BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
$BTC Daily Outlook BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Macro Picture
Weekly Chart
Both Bias & Momentum aligned bullish
Moving towards 111968.0 vLevel (HH) - ATH
Be careful with Weekly FA from that Level
More upside room from here
vLevels Range between 111968.0 - 77083.5
Daily Chart
Both Bias & Momentum aligned Bullish
Failed Auction at 102000.0
Validated from Volume Footprint Charts - Selling Delta trapped on this Failed Auction - POC & Value Area at Wick Lows
vLevels Range between 111968.0 - 102000.0
More Upside room from here, but overall consolidation for now as we are inside a High Volume Node
A pullback would be ideal to look for entries
10-Hour Chart
Price is currently inside an Inside Bar Range between 109740.9 - 107134.7
Overall momentum from the Intraweek Chart (10-Hour) is bearish due to a Failed Auction around 109740.9
Need to wait for confirmation for New Failed Auction Today.
vLevels zone around 105335.0 - 104567.0
Would be nice to have a pullback towards this zone, in which we can start looking for rejections for Intra-Week Longs
Nice zone to look for longs is also IB Range Low 107134.7
Intraday Picture
1-Hour Chart
No outlook for now, waiting for Intra-Week Chart Confirmation
No shorts from here, as HTF bias & momentum remain bullish
Patience - Overall range, don't want to get chopped here.
10-Minute Chart
No Outlook for now, waiting for MTFs and HTFs confirmation
Bitcoin Outlook — Narrative Recap
On the higher time-frames the picture is straightforward: both weekly and daily bias and momentum are in sync to the upside. Price is grinding toward the prior all-time high vLevel at 111 968 USD. Treat that level with respect, if a weekly failed auction (FA) forms there, it could mark the next inflection, but for now there is still air between price and that resistance. The broader weekly value range spans from 111 968 USD down to 77 083 USD.
The daily chart reinforces the bullish thesis. A failed auction printed at 102 000 USD, and volume-footprint data show sell-side delta trapped at those wick lows; the point of control and value area also sit there. 102 k is now strong support. Price is chopping inside a high-volume node, so a healthy pullback toward 102 k (or at least into value) would be the ideal place to reload longs before the next push higher.
Drop to the 10-hour “intra-week” view and momentum tilts short-term bearish. Price is boxed inside an inside-bar range between 109 741 USD and 107 135 USD after a failed auction at the range high. The preferred play is patience: let price drift into either the IB low at 107 135 USD or, even better, the deeper vLevel cluster at 105 335 USD – 104 567 USD. There we’ll watch for a fresh failed auction or obvious seller exhaustion to trigger new longs targeting the ATH zone.
On the 1-hour and 10-minute intraday charts there is no edge yet, conditions are choppy and hostage to the intra-week setup to align with the Higher Timeframes. With higher-time-frame bias still firmly bullish, fading strength makes little sense; stand aside until the 10-hour chart confirms a pullback and reversal.
Bottom line: stay bullish, stalk a pullback, and look to join strength from 107 k or 105–104 k. A decisive daily close back below 102 k would force a rethink; until then, patience is the edge.
BTC Bulls, this one is for you ;)As most of you know, I’ve been bullish on Bitcoin for quite a while now. And today, I want to show you exactly which resistance levels I’m watching if the breakout continues.
On the weekly BTC/USDT chart, I’ve marked out five key upside targets, all based on Fibonacci extension levels — not just random lines, but technical zones that often attract serious reaction from the market.
Let’s break them down:
🔸 Target 1 — $124K
This lines up with the 141.4% Fibonacci extension and also happens to match the projected move of a textbook Cup & Handle pattern. It’s the first big checkpoint.
🔸 Target 2 — $137K
Here we’ve got the 227.2% Fib level — a classic continuation zone if momentum remains strong.
🔸 Target 3 — $145K
Next up is the 241.4% extension, where we could see some heavier resistance and price interaction.
🔸 Target 4 — $155K
One of the strongest zones on the map. Why? Because it merges four separate Fibonacci extensions in one cluster. A real decision point.
🔸 Target 5 — $167K
And the final target (for now) — the 261.8% extension. If BTC gets here, it’ll be a major event.
🎯 My View:
This isn’t hopium. These levels are based on market structure, Fibonacci math, and historical behavior. As always, I’ll adjust based on price action, but these are the areas I’m preparing for.
Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8 –(MASSIVE 'Resistance or Breakout')🚀📊 Where Can Bitcoin Go? Part 8 – The Final Test is Near! 🔥🔍
Welcome to Part 8 of “Where Can Bitcoin Go?” – the update of this long-running series. Since mid-2023, not much has changed in the structure. That’s the power of solid technical analysis – levels don’t lie.
🟨 The Setup
Bitcoin is now approaching a third test of a major structural resistance. If you’ve followed my 1-2-3 strategy, you know this is where decisions are made:
✅ Test 1: Rejection
✅ Test 2: Rejection
⏳ Test 3: Now pending… the TERMINAL and DECISIVE 'Breakout or Rejection', and this will change everything.
But here’s the deeper layer:
We’re not just testing one sequence. We now have two separate sets of 1-2 rejections —
🔹 One set from 2021 (the Red 1 and 2)
🔹 And a recent one in 2025 (the white 1 and 2)
This upcoming test is the third rejection attempt on both timeframes, making it a rare and extremely significant technical moment.
📐 Price is now near a critical ascending trendline around $115K–$116K, which has been the gatekeeper to parabolic moves in previous cycles.
🔄 Based on historical halving cycles:
548 days post-halving in 2016 → ATH 2017
565 days post-halving in 2020 → ATH 2021
Halving #4 was in April 2024 → 👀 Could this point to a new ATH by end of 2025?
📊 Probabilities
🔹 83% chance we see the third test before year-end
🔹 57% chance of breakout
🔻 43% chance of rejection
⚠️ And here’s the reality check:
If we see that breakout — the market unleashes itself. We’re talking major pumps, potential follow-through moves, and price discovery into untouched zones like $188K, $197K, and beyond.
But... if we get rejected, it won’t be pretty. We could retest major levels like $66K or worse, and lose momentum that took years to build.
And unfortunately — this isn’t like 18K, or 40K, or even the 79K retest.
Things are much more complicated now.
The sentiment, the structure, the risk profile — they’ve all evolved. We cannot afford to have the same blind bullishness we had in those earlier phases. This is a mature part of the cycle, and it demands discipline over emotion.
💬 What’s your take?
Will Bitcoin finally break through?
Is this just another fakeout in disguise?
Are you feeling this same tension in the market?
Let’s talk structure. Let’s talk price. Let’s talk reality.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
[SeoVereign] BITCOIN Bearish Outlook – July 9, 2025We are the SeoVereign Trading Team.
With sharp insight and precise analysis, we regularly share trading ideas on Bitcoin and other major assets—always guided by structure, sentiment, and momentum.
🔔 Follow us to never miss a market update.
🚀 Boosts provide strong motivation and drive to the SeoVereign team.
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Hello.
This is SeoVereign.
As of July 9, 2025, I present a bullish outlook on Bitcoin.
This idea is an extension of the analysis posted on July 6.
Therefore, it will be easier to understand this analysis if you first read the July 6 idea.
The position reached the second target price and then showed a downward movement.
In this idea, harmonic 0.382 and 1.618 patterns have been additionally identified, and accordingly, I plan to continue holding the long position entered from the July 6 entry point.
The average target price has been set around 109,150 KRW.
I will continue to track the situation, clarify the rationale, and provide updates through this post.
Wishing you continued good fortune.
Sincerely,
SeoVereign
BTCUSDT — Bulls Testing the Smart Money Zone BINANCE:BTCUSDT is knocking on the door of a key supply area, where smart money typically steps in to set the next market direction. The latest 15-minute chart, powered by the GalihRidha ZoneX indicator, puts us right at a classic decision point — here’s what the market is telling us:
1. Bulls Pushed into Supply
After a sharp rally from the demand cluster around 108,600–108,900 (see the green/blue ZoneX blocks), BTCUSDT has powered straight into the upper red supply zone, aligning perfectly with a previous high.
This area isn’t just technical resistance — it’s where institutional players tend to absorb late longs and test true buying conviction. Recent wicks into this zone suggest the first signs of exhaustion or aggressive selling.
2. Liquidity Pools and the Battle for Control
Notice how the yellow dashed line (yesterday’s high) and the red block (ZoneX supply) form a liquidity shelf. This is where both breakout buyers and aggressive shorters are active.
If bulls can establish support above this shelf, it often signals true trend continuation. If not, this same zone is primed for a fakeout reversal.
3. The VWAP/Midline Story
Below, the VWAP band and midline (dotted) tell us where fair value and market balance sit. Price spent hours consolidating here before the breakout. Any pullback into this area (around 108,900) will be a major test: will buyers defend, or will the breakout unwind?
4. Scenarios and What to Watch
Bullish scenario:
A strong close and hold above the red supply zone could unleash another wave higher, as shorts get squeezed and trend followers pile in. Watch for retests of the broken supply as new support.
Bearish scenario:
If price can’t hold above the supply zone and quickly falls back below, expect sellers to target the VWAP/midline band. A deeper flush could see a return all the way to the green demand zone.
Neutral/chop:
If price oscillates around this supply zone, expect a battle of wicks — a classic “liquidity grab” before the next directional move.
My Approach
I’m letting the zone do the talking. No FOMO at the top; I want to see if bulls can really flip this area to support.
Patience is key: I’ll trade with momentum on confirmation above, or fade a failed breakout with a tight stop.
Summary:
BTCUSDT is in a classic smart money test zone. Whoever wins this battle will set the next move — don’t trade blindly, trade with the levels the big players watch!
If you found this analysis useful, smash like and follow for more smart money zone breakdowns!
BITCOIN: BULL TRAP???! (Be careful if you are long)Yello! I am breaking down Bitcoin, and sharing with you the Elliot Wave descending Leading diagonal formation, Rising wedge aka contracting triangle where E wave might be forming a corrective mode wave triangle itself and, after that’s formed we might start crashing if we will get the confirmations we are waiting for, and which some of them I shared with you in this video. Enjoy Paradisers!
BTC back to 110K, ATH effortPlan BTC today: 09 July 2025
Related Information:!!!
Cryptocurrencies are trading in a volatile environment driven by tariff-related uncertainties ahead of the release of the Federal Reserve's (Fed) Minutes from the June meeting, scheduled for Wednesday. Bitcoin (BTC) continues to exhibit technical weakness, trading below the key resistance level near $109,000. Trading activity in the spot market remains subdued, with K33 Research reporting a 4% decline in weekly volume to $2.1 billion.
Aside from a few selective rallies, as evidenced by Wednesday’s top-performing tokens, most altcoins are underperforming relative to Bitcoin, reflecting limited engagement from the retail segment. Nonetheless, Ethereum (ETH) is showing early signs of a potential upward move after breaking above the former resistance-turned-support level at $2,600. Ripple (XRP), meanwhile, has extended its recovery above $2.33, posting over 1% in intraday gains.
personal opinion:!!!
Continued efforts by the bulls, breaking ATH above the 110,000 price zone. The time is near for the FED to lower interest rates.
Important price zone to consider :!!!
support zone : 109.200
resistance zone : 109.700
Sustainable trading to beat the market
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #123👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As usual, in this analysis I’ll go over the trigger levels for the New York futures session.
⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe
On the 1-hour chart, as you can see, Bitcoin is currently below a resistance zone at 109135 and is approaching this level with strong bullish momentum.
⭐ If the price breaks and stabilizes above this level, we can open a long position. Both the volume and market momentum are confirming this setup well, but the main long trigger remains the breakout of 109135.
📈 If this bullish move turns out to be fake and the price starts heading downward, the first trigger we have for a short position is the 107853 level. A break below this level would give us an entry for a short.
👀 Overall, I think the market has been pretty straightforward lately, and we don’t need complex tools to analyze it. Just these support and resistance levels and simple triggers are sufficient.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Moving on to Bitcoin Dominance, the 65.04 floor has finally broken, and dominance is now trending downward.
💫 The next support ahead is at 64.81, which the price is approaching. We’ll have to see how the market reacts to this level. For now, the trend of dominance in the 1-hour timeframe appears bearish.
📅 Total2 Analysis
Let’s look at Total2. With Bitcoin Dominance dropping and Bitcoin itself moving upward, Total2 has started a strong bullish leg and is heading toward the 1.18 level.
🔑 Many of the altcoins I’ve analyzed have triggered their entries, and as long as Total2 remains bullish, these moves can continue.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Now to Tether Dominance. After breaking below the 4.76 level, it has now reached the 4.72 floor.
💥 A break below this floor could confirm continuation of the downtrend, but in my opinion, the price may pause here for some correction and consolidation.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Bitcoin 8H – Higher Lows Forming Above Key SupportBitcoin has spent the last two months consolidating within a well-defined horizontal range, anchored by strong support around the $100,000 zone. The current chart highlights a series of higher lows building beneath overhead resistance, signaling growing bullish pressure.
Each pullback has been bought up consistently at or near the same key support level, suggesting institutional accumulation or strong demand in this area. Price has now tested this level three separate times without a breakdown, which strengthens its validity as a major floor in the current structure.
At the same time, the market has shifted from lower highs to higher lows — a common early signal of an impending breakout. The trendline drawn from the May low to the most recent higher low illustrates this dynamic clearly. Price is now compressing within a narrowing range between the support floor and the horizontal ceiling near $110,000.
Technical Highlights:
Ascending trendline supporting price since May
Three successful defenses of the $100K support zone
Horizontal resistance near $110K continues to cap upside
Price is currently coiling within an increasingly tighter range
Consolidation within this structure suggests a breakout is approaching
If BTC can break and hold above the $110,000 resistance with volume, this would likely mark the beginning of the next expansion leg to the upside. However, any loss of the $100K zone would invalidate this ascending structure and expose BTC to deeper pullbacks toward the $95K–$92K range.
🧠 Trade Considerations:
Bias remains bullish while higher lows hold
Breakout above $110K opens room for continuation toward $115K and beyond
Breakdown below $100K support would flip the structure bearish
The Whale’s Blueprint: Read It Before It Happens🧠 The Real Game
Institutional Bullish vs Institutional Bearish — It Was Never About Direction.
This chart isn’t about setups.
It’s a blueprint of manipulation, a battlefield map where:
• Retail gets trapped at emotional highs
• Liquidity gets swept in layers
• Institutions reload in silence
• And the price becomes the puppet, not the player
🔺 Top Red Zones (106K–112K):
These aren’t resistance. They’re execution zones for sell walls, fake breakouts, and late long liquidations.
🔻 Green Demand Zones (105K & Below):
Not support. They’re reaction chambers — where whales absorb panic and retail exits in fear.
💥 125K is not a fantasy. It’s a controlled explosion waiting to happen —
But only if the trap is set right and the fuel (volume + interest) loads in.
🧱 Real accumulation doesn’t happen in comfort.
It happens in the shadows, at the edges of fear.
This isn’t price action.
This is power action.
⸻
“Most trade the surface.
Snipers wait beneath it…
and strike before the story reveals itself.”
#BTCUSDT #LiquidityGame #WhaleTrap #InstitutionalZones #SniperMindset #KaizenMethod #TheRealGame
There’s a higher probability of an upward breakout.🚨 Bitcoin Technical Update – Key Levels Ahead! 🚨
Bitcoin is currently forming a symmetrical triangle pattern, a classic setup that often signals a strong move ahead. At the moment, the market is leaning toward the upside, showing early signs of bullish momentum.
📈 If we see a breakout to the upside, it's crucial to wait for a retest of the breakout level. A successful retest could confirm the move, setting the stage for a strong upward rally. However, if the breakout fails, don’t rush in — just observe the price action closely to see how the market reacts.
⚖️ There’s a higher probability of an upward breakout, as liquidity is still building above, and there are strong support levels holding below. This combination could act as a springboard for price to move higher.
🔍 As always, Do Your Own Research (DYOR) before entering any trade. Stay alert and manage your risk wisely!
Bitcoin (BTC): Buyers Are Building Up The Volume | Be ReadyBuyers are still holding strong where price is not showing any signs of weakness. With that being said, we are seeing the volume gathering near the current zone, which might result in a breakout and a strong upwards movement.
A new ATH is coming; this has been seen already once on the BTC, so it is just a repeat of history.
Swallow Academy
BTCUSDT Short Position (25/Jul/9)Bitcoin, similar to the TOTAL chart, is showing weakness in its bullish momentum. However, unlike TOTAL, the divergence in Bitcoin is clearly noticeable. Additionally, within the marked zone on the Bitcoin chart, there is a possibility of a fake breakout and liquidity grab. I suggest entering only with proper confirmation.
⚠️ This Analysis will be updated ...
👤 Sadegh Ahmadi: GPTradersHub
📅 2025.Jul.9
⚠️(DYOR)
❤️ If you apperciate my work , Please like and comment , It Keeps me motivated to do better
Bitcoin Market Outlook📈 Bitcoin Market Outlook
We're seeing lower highs forming on the chart, which suggests a possible short-term bearish trend.
🔹 I'm watching $109,953 for a long position — if price breaks above that level, I’ll consider entering with a stop-buy using the exchange's order book.
🔹 For a short position, the current trigger is $107,344, but keep in mind this level may change — I’ll update if needed.
🚨 If you’re shorting, use a tight stop-loss and take profits quickly.
In this kind of market, risk and money management are everything.
💬 Let me know what you think in the comments — always happy to hear your take!
Bullish on $BTC🧠 Wyckoff Overview
🔻 This chart follows Accumulation Schematic #1 in Wyckoff theory.
🔻 The Spring phase (Phase C) is confirmed.
🔻 BTC has broken out from the accumulation zone.
🔻 We are now in Phase D, expecting a move into Phase E (new ATH).
📊 Technical Details
🔻 Accumulation zone: Around $72,000 – $88,000.
🔻 Spring (Phase C): A fakeout happened near $68,000, matching Wyckoff structure.
🔻 Breakout is confirmed after price moved above the downtrend line and Ichimoku cloud.
🔻 Main resistance: $95,000 – currently testing the supply zone.
🔻 Target: If breakout continues, BTC could reach a new ATH above $110,000.
📈 RSI and Volume
🔻 RSI at 66.71: Not overbought yet, still has room to go up.
🔻 Volume is increasing along with the breakout → shows strong buying pressure.
🎯 Personal Prediction
🔻 If BTC holds above $92,000 – $95,000 and continues to consolidate:
→ Short-term goal: $100,000
→ Mid-term goal (Wyckoff Phase E): $110,000 – $112,000
BTC/USDT Chart Analysis (4H)Patterns and Structure:
Bitcoin remains inside a larger converging structure (symmetrical triangle/wedge) visible from the diagonal trendline.
The price has recently broken above the descending resistance trendline but is hovering near the red resistance area (~$109,000–$110,000).
Ichimoku Cloud:
The price is currently above the Ichimoku Cloud, which acts as support (~$107,000–$108,000 area).
The cloud below the price is green, indicating bullish momentum.
Key Areas:
Resistance Area: $109,000–$110,000 (red box). Multiple previous rejections from this area.
Support Zone: $106,000–$107,000 (cloud and trendline support).
Key Lower Support: The green box near $98,000–$100,000, in case of a deeper retracement.
Possible Scenario:
As your blue arrow suggests, if Bitcoin consolidates above the breakout level (~$108,000), a rally towards the next major resistance between $112,000–$114,000 is likely.
Conversely, losing the breakout zone could see BTC return to retest lower support levels around $106,000 or $100,000.
Short-term Outlook:
The trend bias remains bullish as long as BTC stays above ~$107,000.
Monitor price reaction to the red resistance zone for breakout confirmation or potential rejection.
Conclusion:
BTC is showing signs of strength, but the $109,000-$110,000 resistance zone is crucial. A confirmed breakout above this zone could accelerate the move towards the $112,000-$114,000 targets.
Stay tuned for updates and key levels to watch!
Thanks for your support!
DYOR. NFA