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BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas

Volatility period likely to continue until July 11th Hello, traders. Please "Follow" to get the latest information quickly. Have a nice day today. ------------------------------------- This volatility period is expected to last until July 11th. The first volatility period, July 1-7, 3 days passed, and the second volatility period began on July 6. It is important to explain it in words, but I think it would be better if you could intuitively understand the flow by looking at the chart. For that reason, I divided the chart into a chart with a trend line drawn and a chart with indicators. Since the trend line is used as a tool to calculate the volatility period, it is not necessary to show it after the volatility period is displayed. What we need to look at is the support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts after the calculated volatility period, or the support in the indicator to find the trading point. - It seems that support is being checked around 108316.90, which is the HA-High indicator point of the 1D chart. Therefore, we need to see if it can rise after receiving support near 108316.90 during this volatility period. If not, it will eventually show a downward trend. As a basic trading strategy, we use buying near the HA-Low indicator and selling near the HA-High indicator. Therefore, considering the current price position, it can be said that it is a section where we should sell to make a profit. However, since the HA-Low and HA-High indicators are intermediate values, if it falls from the HA-Low indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise downward trend, and if it rises from the HA-High indicator, it is possible to show a stepwise upward trend. Therefore, we need to respond with a split transaction. Conditions for continuing the uptrend include: 1. When OBV is above the High Line and shows an upward trend, 2. When PVT-MACD oscillator is above the High Line, 3. When StochRSI is above K > D, showing an upward trend, If the above conditions are met, there is a high possibility that the uptrend will continue. - If it falls below the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely that it will select the trend again when it meets the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. At this time, whether there is support near 99705.62 is important. If it rises, you should check whether it is supported near 111696.21. If it is not supported, it means that it has not broken through the high point section, so you should prepare for a decline. The high point boundary section is the 108316.90-111696.21 section. Therefore, if the price is maintained within this section, there is a possibility that it will continue to attempt to break through upward. - Thank you for reading to the end. I hope you have a successful trade. -------------------------------------------------- - ​​Here is an explanation of the big picture. (3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern) I will explain more details when the bear market starts. ------------------------------------------------------
by readCrypto
BTC Long scalp tight stop 📈 BTCUSDT 15min | Long Trigger Alert Caught a breakout move 🔥 ✅ Entry: 108,697 🎯 Target: 109,748 (+0.76%) 🛑 Stop: 108,473 (Tight 0.21% risk) 🔗 RRR: 3.69 Triggered after reclaim and retest near trendline resistance — flipped into support. Consolidation candles printed bullish structure above EMA. Watching for continuation 🚀 🎯 High confluence setup 💪 Clean structure 🔍 15m momentum shift confirmed Leverage: 20x+ scalp friendly, manage tight. Confidence: 8/10 #BTC #CryptoTrading #BTCUSDT #LeverageTrading #ScalpSetup
Long
by NorthBayJay
BTC accumulates momentum again in the range Macroeconomic and policy impact Trump tariff policy: The United States announced that it would impose 25%-40% tariffs on Japan, South Korea and other countries (effective on August 1), triggering market risk aversion, and Bitcoin once fell to the support level of $107,5004. Federal Reserve policy: The market is concerned about the possibility of a rate cut in July. If the Fed turns dovish, it may boost the price of Bitcoin by 17. Musk and Trump conflict: The public dispute between the two sides over the "Big and Beautiful Act" caused short-term fluctuations in the crypto market, with DOGE leading the decline and BTC once under pressure by 2. Bitcoin is currently in the key liquidity-intensive area of ​​105,000-108,800 US dollars, and the long and short sides are fiercely competing here: Above $108,800: A large number of short stop-loss orders are gathered, and a breakthrough may trigger a chain of short liquidations, pushing the price towards $113,000-130,000. Below $107,100: There are dense long leveraged positions. A break below this level may trigger forced liquidation of long positions, causing the price to fall back to the $92,000-$95,000 support zone 1. Technical aspects and market structure Breakout-retracement mode: If the weekly close stabilizes at $107,720, the upward trend may be confirmed, with the target pointing to $110,000-$130,000. The historical analogy of the "step-up" structure in Q4 2024 indicates that the bull market may continue. Short-term resistance and support: Resistance level: $108,500 (if it breaks through, it may test $110,000). Support level: $107,500 (if it breaks below, it may drop to $106,500)410. Bitcoin has recently fluctuated between $106,000 and $110,000, with ETF inflows and long-term holders selling forming a seesaw 57. Summary Bitcoin is currently in a critical game range. The short-term trend may be determined by the liquidation trigger point (107,100-108,800 US dollars), and is also affected by macro policies (tariffs, the Federal Reserve) and institutional capital flows. The medium- and long-term bullish expectations are strong, but attention should be paid to high leverage risks and changes in market sentiment.
by Crypto_Sniper_btc
BTC , 4hr , BearishBTC is Forming a Pattern and it is at the top of the Another Pattern and It is facing rejection 3 Times from Above and now it is forming another pattern inside and Ready for Break Down of the Pattern , if it breaks the Pattern Down then it will be bearish almost 90% it will move to down side , if it has not given Breakdown and moving inside the small pattern then wait patiently and observe carefully . Then it may also give Breakout for up side . Follow Risk Management Properly Follow for More Swing Ideas Like this .
Short
by mahesh56a
Bitcoin is bullish in world of War or Peace Simple and easy it is like Gold but better version and limited edition one. Both(BTC & XAU) are bullish most of the time because future is not for Paper Tokens like Dollar or Yuan or Ruble or Euro or .. Currency of strong countries seems interesting But soon with more laws and Taxes and Rules against each other Economic which USA start it, more and more Trades and things are going to take place in Crypto where the money is still non Trackable or it is tax free. Also in a world of War as i mentioned in previous Analysis too, more Buys and Sells are going to take place via Crypto instead of countries currency. Some countries Now are buying and selling weapons from their enemies even and it is possible in Crypto which no one judge or find the transactions. interesting things which can not all written here are now need Crypto more than ever. These prices are like a joke and soon maybe with or without some stop loss hunting to the downside and kicking out buyers with leverage market of Crypto will face another Huge gain. DISCLAIMER: ((trade based on your own decision)) <<press like👍 if you enjoy💚
by MMBTtrader
13
Orangeman vs The Federal Reverse: Season 1 (2018–2020)It all started in 2018... 🎬 🧱📈💼 March 21, 2018: Jerome Powell steps in as the new Fed Chair. Almost immediately, the Fed hikes rates from 1.50% to 1.75%, citing a strong U.S. economy. 💬📊🇺🇸 June 13, 2018: Another hike to 2.00%. Powell says the U.S. economy is “in great shape.” But markets? Not so thrilled. 🗣️📉🇺🇸 July 19, 2018: Enter The Orangeman—President Trump publicly attacks the Fed's policy, breaking tradition. He’s “not thrilled” with the hikes. 📉🏦 September 26, 2018: Yet another hike to 2.25%. The Fed stays firm. Trump? Getting louder. ❗😠💬 "I'm not happy with the Fed." – Trump ⚠️📉📉 December 19, 2018: Fourth hike of the year to 2.50%. Markets tank. Rumors swirl: Trump wants Powell gone. 🔥💣👔 Behind the scenes: Trump reportedly explores ways to dismiss Powell. The pressure is on. 📛🇺🇸📉 June 10, 2019: The battle heats up. Trump calls the hikes a “big mistake” and demands rate cuts. ✂️📉📉 July 31, 2019: Powell blinks. The Fed cuts rates by 0.25%—first cut since 2008. Trump tweets: 👎🐦💸 “Powell let us down.” ⬇️📉🔁 September 18, 2019: Second cut. ⚖️🔁🧩 October 30, 2019: Third consecutive cut. The Fed pivots completely. The Orangeman’s influence is undeniable. 🦠🧪📉 March 2020: COVID strikes. The Fed responds with emergency rate cuts. 🌀🧻💸 March 15 & 23, 2020: Rates slashed to near zero. QE infinity unleashed. Powell goes full printer mode. Bitcoin begins to stir... Season 1 closes with markets melting down, a pandemic, and the Fed surrendering to zero rates. But The Orangeman isn’t done... And The Federal Reverse still lurks in the shadows. Next up: tariffs, China, currency wars, and another campaign trail. 🐉💵⚔️ Season 2 is coming. Stay tuned... One tweets. The other tightens. Who controls our future? One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Long
by FX_Professor
3
Bitcoin Monthly · New ATH vs 2021, Indicators & MoreLast month Bitcoin produced its highest close ever, $107,146. The last three months all closed green, the close was higher than the open, and this is the fourth green month so far. Bitcoin tends to produce a period of bullish consolidation before a major move, and this is exactly what we are seeing now. Bitcoin tends to produce a correction before a major bullish move, and this is exactly what happened between January and April. Bitcoin is set to grow. Past action · consolidation We already looked at the consolidation period that happens between each major price advance. Since 2022, Bitcoin has been moving sideways for some 200-220 days before each advance. This happened in 2022, 2023, 2024 and also now in 2025. Looking at it from the monthly timeframe, the consolidation period was capped each time at 7 bars, 214 days. Current consolidation has already been going for more than 215 days. Bitcoin is set to continue growing. Indicators · MAs, RSI & MACD Bitcoin is trading above all moving averages. The monthly RSI is very strong, beyond 70.6. The monthly MACD is moving at all-time high levels, trending up with room available for additional growth. Chart patterns · candlestick reading The chart patterns now has no similarities to 2021. Many people were saying that Bitcoin produced a double-top similar to 2021 and was set to move down. I completely disagree with this analysis. In 2021 both instances when Bitcoin peaked the month ended up closing red. In 2025 the months when Bitcoin peaked the months ended closing green. The same month the peak was hit in 2021 was followed by bearish action, twice. And of course, the bear market. In 2025 the market has been consolidating for months and trading near its all-time high. Finally, in 2021 each peak was 7 months apart, 214. In 2025, the last two peaks are 4 months apart, only 120 days. This difference is good to point out because market conditions are not the same. Not the same market conditions means that Bitcoin is not likely to go into a bear market now, instead, it can produce something difference. The market has only three directions: Down, sideways and up. Down has been eliminated based on past action. Sideways is happening now. Something different only leaves the upside open; Bitcoin is going up. Namaste.
Long
by MasterAnanda
5
Bitcoin - Last move down, ready for ATH?Bitcoin is showing clear signs of a corrective move within a broader bullish structure. After forming a second consecutive lower high, price is now pressing downward, creating space for a potential liquidity grab and discount entry. Despite this short-term weakness, the macro narrative remains intact. The all-time high remains untapped above, holding a thick layer of liquidity that the market has yet to collect. Liquidity and Fib Confluence There is a visible equal low structure around the 107.8k area. This is a prime zone for a sweep, where smart money is likely to trigger sell stops before reversing. Below that lies a Fair Value Gap (FVG) extending into the 106.5k range. Within this same zone, we also have strong Fibonacci confluence, especially at the 0.786 level near 106.2k. This makes it a high-probability entry area if price delivers a clean displacement after the sweep. Short-Term Bearish, Long-Term Bullish The market is respecting a trendline drawn across the lower highs, giving the impression of sustained bearish control. However, this is likely a trap. Once the sell-side liquidity below the 107.8k low is taken and the imbalance around 106.5k is filled, price will be primed for a reversal. The true target lies much higher, with the all-time high around 110.5k as the main magnet. FVG Fill and Reversal Mechanics This entire drop is likely engineered to fill inefficiencies left behind earlier in the move up. The FVG acts not only as a magnet, but also a springboard for the next leg. Expecting price to show a reaction at the 0.786 level, where the order flow could shift and confirm a bullish reversal, is key here. Ideally, we see a clean sweep, a displacement, and a reclaim of previous structure before targeting higher levels. Projection and Trade Setup The anticipated sequence is a sweep of 107.8k, fill of the gap and fib zone down to 106.2k, then a potential reversal structure forming. If that structure confirms, the next major move should aim for the untouched all-time highs, where significant liquidity remains resting. Traders should remain patient and let the sweep and confirmation unfold before entering. Conclusion We are watching a classic setup where engineered downside movement is likely to create the conditions for a powerful reversal. As long as price respects the 106k zone and gives a strong reaction, the path toward the ATH remains wide open. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀
Long
by TehThomas
58
Diamond Pattern Context (4H BTC Chart)The structure forming from June 27 to July 8 appears to be a diamond top, a reversal pattern often seen after uptrends. Price expanded (broadening left) and then started converging (right side) — classic diamond symmetry. It has developed right at the macro trendline resistance (~109.5K), increasing its reliability. Volume has declined during the right half of the diamond, which is consistent with pattern expectations. ✅ Implications of Diamond Pattern Bearish Bias (Diamond Top): If price breaks below the lower boundary (~107.8K), it confirms the pattern → potential move to 104.5K–102.5K zone. Measured move ≈ height of pattern (109.8K–106K) ≈ 3.8K drop. Invalidation/Bullish Flip: Break and hold above 109.5K with volume would invalidate the bearish diamond. In that case, it flips into a squeeze breakout with upside to 110.8K–111.5K+. 🎯 Conclusion: The diamond top, combined with macro resistance and declining volume, strengthens the bearish breakdown scenario. However, no confirmation yet — remain neutral to bearish unless either: ✅ Clean breakout >109.5K 🔻 Breakdown <107.8K with volume
by MyTradingJournal6th
Bitcoin - Bull Trap! Don't get caught (Buy at 102,909 USD)Bitcoin has been pumping last week, but the problem is that the bulls made a false breakout above the bullish flag / descending channel. We see that the price went above the channel but failed to continue in the uptrend. This is called a false breakout of a pattern or a bull trap. Usually what happens next is that the price goes in the opposite direction! That's a pretty bearish case because the bulls are now trapped in their long position, and we all know that the whales need liquidity (orders and stop losses). That's why they will be ready to push the price to the downside, potentially to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement of the previous impulse wave. From the Elliott Wave perspective, this is a bullish setup, but we have just finished an impulse wave (1), so we should wait for an ABC correction (wave (2)) to form before entering a long position. I expect Bitcoin to hit 102,909 USD in the short term because there is the 0.618 FIBO. Also, we have an unfilled FVG between 102k - 104k on the daily chart. Usually these kinds of gaps tend to be filled sooner rather than later; that's why I expect a pullback. Write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response. Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades! Trading tip at the end: Organize Personal Life - Professional traders have great management of their personal life as they keep their trading activities from personal concerns. Balancing your personal life is essential to achieve harmony as well as improve your performance in trading.
Short
by Xanrox
103
BTC Forming Second Diamond: New ATH Targeting $115K–$120KAfter topping out at the previous ATH, Bitcoin formed a classic diamond top pattern which triggered a drop to the $98,115 level. Now, Bitcoin appears to be forming a second diamond — but this time, the breakout structure suggests a bullish reversal rather than a top. This second diamond formation indicates consolidation before a strong upward move, potentially driving BTC toward a new all-time high between $115K and $120K. Watch for confirmation of the breakout. If price holds above key resistance levels post-pattern, the bullish scenario gains strength.
Long
by StoXobr
2
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #122👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro! Let’s dive into the latest analysis of Bitcoin and major crypto indicators. As usual, this update will focus on potential triggers for the New York futures session. ⌛️ 1-Hour Timeframe On the 1-hour chart, Bitcoin is once again ranging between the 107,853 and 108,619 levels. ✔️ Last night, Bitcoin briefly faked out below the bottom of this range, so we now need to wait and see how the price reacts upon revisiting this area. 💫 I believe it’s best to hold off on entering a short position until we identify the precise location of the support line. As price retests this area, we can pinpoint the true support level. ✨ Once that level is confirmed, and if it breaks, a short position could be considered. The next support zones would be at 106,586 and 105,370. 📊 Make sure to watch the volume closely for this trade, and I strongly recommend waiting for a volume confirmation before entering. 📈 As for a long position, if 108,619 breaks to the upside, we could consider going long. The buying volume in the current upward leg is increasing, and if this trend continues, a breakout above 108,619 would make a long position reasonable. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Moving on to Bitcoin dominance — it has once again reached its trendline and is currently being rejected from it. If this rejection continues, BTC.D could decline toward 65.04. 🔍 However, if the trendline breaks, the 65.31 level will be the bullish confirmation trigger. 📅 Total2 Analysis Now on to the Total2 index (altcoin market cap excluding BTC), it has bounced from the 1.14 support and is moving toward 1.16. 🔑 A breakout above 1.16 would serve as a bullish confirmation for long positions, with 1.17 acting as the main breakout trigger. 📅 USDT.D Analysis USDT dominance is also moving downward and has reached the 4.78 support zone. 💥 A breakdown below this level would confirm a bearish continuation toward the 4.72 level.. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Long
by tradecitypro
4
BTCUSDT 4H Analysis | Apex Decision ZoneStructure & Price Action BTC is consolidating within a symmetrical triangle (red trendlines). Price is squeezing near the apex, suggesting an imminent breakout. Strong defense at ascending channel support (~108K zone) + green trendline. Lower highs indicate sellers still active, but higher lows reflect buyer strength too. Price bounced from previous demand block (green box), now pushing toward resistance. 📊 Indicator Confluence RSI: Curling up from mid-range (~52–55), no divergence, neutral-to-bullish tilt. DMI/ADX: ADX rising slightly, -DI weakening vs +DI → potential trend shift brewing. MACD: Histogram flat; momentum hasn't confirmed either side yet. Wave Trend: Bouncing from mid-line, bullish cross may form if price breaks triangle. Volume: Gradual decline = typical pre-breakout compression. Watch for spike. Stochastic: Flipped bullish from oversold — early bullish bias. 🎯 Summary & Probabilities: BTC is coiling near triangle apex — breakout likely soon. 🔼 Break above 109.4K with volume → 60% chance of move to 110.5K–111.5K. 🔽 Drop below 107.9K → 40% chance of fall to 106.3K–104.4K. Bias: Neutral-to-bullish — confirmation needed.
by MyTradingJournal6th