BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC post halving scenariobased on previous halvings, expecting price to come down a bit and accumulate before starting the climb up.
Fib trend gives me 2 significant targets for highs: Mid Jan 2025 and mid Jan 2026.
I've mapped out potential fib targets based on standard fib extension targets.
i.e. 2.272 - 2.786.
However saying this, fib extensions from low to halving project different targets for a bullrun.
previous bullruns have reached fib extensions of between 8-9.
I'll add another chart in the comments showing this.
BTCUSDT – Structure Rebuild or Breakdown? My Neutral Bias Until Description:
On the 15-minute BTCUSDT chart, I’m currently directionally neutral—I need the market to tip its hand before engaging.
94,722.9 USDT – If bulls attempt another breakout, demand must punch through this level. No passivity here—if buyers show up strong, I’ll look for confirmation to join a bullish continuation.
91,631.5 USDT – This is my bull/bear S/R inflection level. If the market slides back into this zone, I’m watching for bearish momentum to reclaim dominance.
Current stance: Structure is rebuilding for a potential long breakout, but I am aggressively watching for proof—no chasing shadows. Until I get a clear reaction at either of these levels, I remain flat, patient, sniper-focused.
The trap zones are set. This is a textbook wait-and-react environment. No bias, no emotion—clarity comes from structure + liquidity + reaction.
Bitcoin Pullback or Opportunity📊 Bitcoin Analysis – Pullback or Opportunity?
CRYPTOCAP:BTC hit strong resistance at 94,000 $ failed to push higher, entering a correction phase 📉. Key support zones now lie at 91,200 $ 87,500 $ , both of which have shown solid reactions in the past 🛡️. If price holds one of these levels, the next target could be around 98,500 $based on the previous move’s momentum 🚀.
📌 Price is still holding above the 200 MA, suggesting bullish momentum is alive but needs further confirmation ✅.
👇 What’s your take on the next move?
🔁 Save this if you're watching the next targets
📩 Share with a friend who's trading BTC right now
Long the Filled FVG Zone (92 502.9–91 888.0) on BTCUSDTDescription
On the 15-minute chart, BTCUSDT remains in a broader up-trend but has paused to digest a fair-value gap between 92 502.9 and 91 888.0. This precise imbalance, aligned with a prior swing-low demand zone, offers a low-risk long opportunity anchored in structural and liquidity confluence.
Entry
Place a limit buy at 91 900 once any 15 m candle wicks the base of the FVG zone (92 502.9–91 888.0) and closes inside.
Stop-Loss
Invalidate this long on a close below 91 050, the origin of the buyer impulse.
Take-Profit
Target 94 350 for an asymmetric R : R of 2.88 : 1.
Failed-Breakout Orderblock
Watch for a retest of the liquidity printed at the failed-breakout orderblock (~93 223) to confirm bullish continuation.
Structure-Flip Level
Resistance turned support at 93 223 offers interim validation en route to the target.
Risk & Reward
This setup risks 8 500 ticks (91 900–91 050) to capture 24 500 ticks (94 350–91 900), yielding R : R ≈ 2.88 : 1.
Execution Notes
Confirm entry with a lower-timeframe bullish orderflow shift before sizing in.
Maintain strict position sizing—risk only a defined percentage of your account per trade.
Importance of HA-Low, HA-High indicators
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
I wonder if you think that BTC has turned into an uptrend as I mentioned before, as it has risen above 89294.25.
The previous idea is titled "Breakthrough trading starts with finding support and resistance points."
It is ideal to buy at the lowest price possible and sell at the highest price possible, but in order to do that, you need to constantly check the chart in real time.
Therefore, I think it is better to focus on finding the most ideal trading time.
Therefore, you should try to trade according to your own trading rules, that is, your trading strategy.
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In that sense, my trading criteria are the HA-Low and HA-High indicators.
As you can see from the published formula, when the Heikin-Ashi chart shows an upward trend, the HA-Low indicator is created, and when it shows a downward trend, the HA-High indicator is created.
Therefore, if possible, you can think of a trading strategy to buy when it shows support near the HA-Low indicator, and sell when it shows resistance near the HA-High indicator.
If it falls below the HA-Low indicator, a stepwise downtrend may begin, and if it rises above the HA-HIgh indicator, a stepwise uptrend may begin.
Therefore, it is necessary to look at how long the HA-Low and HA-High indicators make a horizontal line.
Looking at the current chart, we can see that the HA-Low indicator was created at the 89294.25 point and the price fell, but the HA-Low indicator remained the same.
Therefore, even if it fell below the HA-Low indicator, it did not lead to a stepwise downtrend.
In order for a stepwise downtrend to lead, the HA-Low indicator must show a new shape as it falls.
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The HA-High indicator on the 1D chart is formed at the 101947.24 point.
Therefore, the section that determines the trend again is expected to be around 101947.24.
However, since the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is formed at the 97224.92 point, we must first check whether it can rise above this area.
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OBV has broken through the upper line.
However, since there is a difference from the previous high, the point to watch is whether it can rise above the previous high.
Section A is the section where the lower point of the HA-High indicator box and the upper point of the HA-Low indicator box overlap.
Therefore, the key is whether it can receive support and rise in this section.
This is because it can be considered a volume profile section because it is a section where the influence of the HA-Low indicator and the HA-High indicator are simultaneously applied.
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This volatility period is expected to be around April 25-29 (up to April 24-30).
If the StochRSI indicator falls from the overbought zone after this volatility period, then the support around 89294.25 is expected to be an important issue.
The movement of the StochRSI indicator and the price movement do not necessarily appear in the same direction.
Therefore, we recommend that you focus on finding a selling time when the StochRSI indicator is above the 50 point and on finding a buying time when it is below the 50 point.
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The biggest disadvantage of the breakout trading mentioned earlier is that when it shows a downward trend, it is a split selling period.
In other words, when it rises from the point where the breakout trading was made and then shows a downward trend, it is the first selling period.
If you ignore this, you may suffer a loss or increase psychological anxiety, so you need to be careful.
Since the current HA-Low indicator is the standard for breakout trading, you will feel less psychological anxiety.
The reason is that the HA-Low indicator is created, which means that it has broken out of the low range.
When the price rises and breaks through the HA-High indicator, it feels different from when it breaks through the HA-Low indicator.
When the HA-High indicator breaks upward, it makes you think that it will rise more.
No matter how much you try to calm your mind and look at the chart with a third-party's eyes, it is not easy to stop thinking like that.
The HA-High indicator is created, which means that it has fallen from the high range.
Therefore, since rising above the HA-High indicator means that it has risen to the high range, it is not strange if it falls at any time.
However, as I mentioned earlier, the idea that it will rise more will be dominant, so there is a high possibility that FOMO will take effect.
In order to escape this psychological state, support and resistance points drawn on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts are absolutely necessary.
It is necessary to make an effort to stabilize your psychological state by conducting a split transaction depending on whether there is support near the drawn support and resistance points.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful transaction.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire BTC section.
I rewrote it to update the previous chart while touching the Fibonacci ratio section of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have maintained an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, the upward trend is expected to continue until 2025.
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(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
Based on the BTCUSDT chart, I think it is around 42283.58.
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I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely that they will act as volume profile ranges.
Therefore, in order to break through these ranges upward, I think the point to watch is whether they can receive support and rise near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising range in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) range.
In order to do that, we need to see if it is supported and rises near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but based on the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
Therefore, if it starts to fall near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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Market Analysis: #BTCUSDT💰 On the BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P chart, a clear symmetrical triangle pattern has formed and already broken down, leading to a confirmed bearish impulse. Price has now returned below the POC level at $93,370.4 (Point of Control by volume), indicating weakness from buyers.
📊 Key Levels
🔴 POC BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $93,370.4
— This is the highest volume area, now acting as strong resistance. As long as price remains below, short bias is favored.
🔵 Support BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P $91,905.5
— A short-term target if the bearish momentum continues.
🎯 Lower Target Zone
— Indicates the full depth of the breakdown move, aiming at the $90,800–$91,000 range.
📈 Volume
➡️ Volume increased during the breakdown, then dropped as price revisited the $93,000 zone — this signals a weak retest and seller control.
📍 Important Notes
➡️ Currently, BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P is trading between two key zones — the POC above and the $91,900 support below.
➡️ Failure to break and hold above $93,370 keeps the bearish scenario in play.
➡️ A move below $92,600 will confirm continuation of the downtrend.
📢 Strategy Recommendations:
🚨 SHORT Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P
Entry: on a retest of $93,000–$93,200 and rejection
Stop Loss: above POC ($93,450)
Targets: $92,100 → $91,900 → $90,800
🚨 Alternative LONG Scenario BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P (only if POC is broken):
Entry: after a solid breakout and hold above $93,400 with volume
Target: $94,200–$94,800
Stop Loss: below $93,000
🚨 Conclusion :
BYBIT:BTCUSDT.P has completed the triangle pattern and is now in a retest phase. So far, signs still point to bearish continuation, with final confirmation coming from a break below $92,600.
BTC SHORT SIGNAL!!Are you ready for a price drop?
There are two groups of people in the market right now. Those who believe that Bitcoin will go straight from its current price to $125,000, and those who believe that the price must first touch 65-72 to go up. I am in the second group, and I think we have a higher chance of winning if we are a member of the second group. There are a lot of buy orders hidden in the 65-72 areas, it seems that we cannot go up without attracting them.
Bitcoin long-term analysisI am really surprised by some friends' opinions!! They say we will go straight to the 150 target!!
How is it possible for Bitcoin to go up without testing this huge support level?? This move is completely scientifically wrong. Bitcoin needs to increase volume in the huge support area to move.
Every price increase increases the possibility of a drop. That's my opinion.
Stay tuned for Bitcoin analysis in the short term
#BTC is stuck but Here's the simplified Plan!Bitcoin is currently trading between key levels:
Upper resistance: 93700
Lower support: 91670
We are stuck in this range, and a breakout above or below these levels will confirm the next move in the trend.
Right now, Bitcoin is holding the 50 EMA on the 30-minute chart. As long as this support holds, we could see a move towards 95k, after which we will reassess the chart.
Here are two possible scenarios if we hit 95,700 again:
We break above and target 100k
We face rejection and correct back to 88k. While this wouldn’t be a large correction, it could offer a very opportunistic entry point.
I’ll be sharing more insights and updates as the chart unfolds.
Follow me on all my socials (link in bio).
Drop your thoughts in the comment section and hit the like button if this is useful.
Thank you
#PEACE
Bitcoin Major AB=CD in PlayFollowing repeated community requests, we’re updating our Bitcoin macro-outlook, which remains structurally aligned with our previously published projection (BTC Dips into Major Demand Zone)
a chart that precisely captured the major demand zone reaction and subsequent bullish impulse.
The newly updated chart illustrates a strong impulsive wave structure, supported by a well-defined corrective wave count, completing at the prior immediate demand zone (~$85K– GETTEX:89K ).
From this base, price action has resumed within a clearly impulsive structure, suggesting the possibility of an extended bullish fifth wave, potentially evolving into an ending diagonal pattern.
🔹 Immediate Focus:
$85K– GETTEX:89K zone is acting as a local support and re-accumulation area (immediate demand).
$102K resistance is a pivotal structural barrier. A confirmed breakout from this level will reinforce bullish continuation.
🔹 Pattern Target:
A potential AB=CD completion and Wave 5 termination zone are aligned between $147K–$154K, with Fibonacci projections and channel symmetry suggesting further upside extension to $160K–$170K under euphoric conditions.
With momentum building in alignment with the long-term bullish cycle structure. We should watch for retracement entries near demand levels, with invalidations below $73K.
Let us know your thoughts: are we in the final stretch towards BTC's macro top?
Looking to Short Bitcoin if Key Support FailsFrom a short-term perspective, the instrument is in a well-defined uptrend, so shorting at current levels doesn’t make much sense. It’s better to wait for signs of weakness — specifically, when price starts to move lower and breaks below the initial local lows.
In this case, the key zone to watch is the narrow range between 91,911 and 91,631. If price begins to break below that range, a short setup becomes valid, with the first target at 82,953–82,753. The final target is 74,565–74,456.
For now, though, price is still moving upward and could continue higher. Wait for confirmation before taking any position.
BTCUSDTPreferably suitable for scalping and accurate as long as you watch carefully the price action with the drawn areas.
With your likes and comments, you give me enough energy to provide the best analysis on an ongoing basis.
And if you needed any analysis that was not on the page, you can ask me with a comment or a personal message.
Enjoy Trading ;)
BTC/USDT Analysis: Following the Scenario
Hello everyone! This is CryptoRobotics' trader-analyst with your daily market breakdown.
Yesterday, Bitcoin came just short of testing the $95,000–$96,700 resistance zone (accumulated volumes) and began to pull back. Most likely, we will see more significant selling pressure once this zone is directly tested.
At the moment, we’ve tested the $92,000–$90,000 buy zone (strong buying imbalance) and are already seeing a reaction from it. The main expectation is the continuation of the long position and a test of the mentioned resistance zones. This is supported by the relatively weak nature of the pullback, absorption of market selling pressure on cumulative delta, and the presence of strong support.
Sell Zones:
$95,000–$96,700 (accumulated volumes)
$97,500–$98,400 (aggressive pushing volumes)
$107,000–$109,000 (volume anomalies)
Buy Zones:
$92,000–$90,000 (strong buying imbalance)
$88,100–$87,000 (market sell absorption)
$85,500–$84,000 (accumulated volumes)
$82,700–$81,400 (high volume area)
Level at $74,800
$69,000–$60,600 (accumulated volumes)
This publication does not constitute financial advice.
BTC-----Sell around 92600 area, target 91800-91500 areaTechnical analysis of BTC contract on April 24: Today, the large-cycle daily level closed with a small positive line yesterday, the K-line pattern continued to rise, the price was at a high level, and the attached indicator was running in a golden cross. The general trend is still rising, but after yesterday's price surged, it did not continue this morning but began to retreat under pressure. This is a correction. The four-hour chart K-line continued to be negative, and the price was near the moving average pressure level. In this way, the decline should be seen first during the day. The short-cycle hourly chart started from yesterday's European session. The price continued to fluctuate at a high level. The price began to retreat under pressure in Asian time. The current K-line pattern is a single positive line with a continuous negative line, and the attached indicator is running in a dead cross, and the strength of the four-hour chart has not yet come out.
Today's BTC short-term contract trading strategy: sell directly at the current price of 92600, stop loss in the 93100 area, and target the 91800-91500 area;
DeGRAM | BTCUSD Flipped the Resistance Zone📊 Technical Analysis
BTC holds the reclaimed 90-91k zone; staying > $91 500 keeps 98k then 108k in view.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
• Spot ETFs drew $381 M (21 Apr), $936 M (22 Apr) and $912 M (23 Apr) net inflows.
• Network hashrate hovers near the 1 000 EH/s ATH
• MicroStrategy lifted its stack to 461k BTC after a fresh 11k buy.
✨ Summary
Strong, accelerating ETF demand, shrinking liquid supply and ongoing corporate accumulation reinforce the bullish breakout, favouring a climb to 98-100 k while BTC holds above $91 500.
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