BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC New Update (12H)The upward wave appears to be a complex correction. Price may retrace downward either from this area or from the red box, and then we could see another strong bullish move from Bitcoin starting from the green zone.
It doesn’t matter where the rejection occurs | what matters is the green Rebuy zone marked on the chart.
In the green zone, we are looking for buy/long positions.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Bitcoin 6X Lev. Full PREMIUM Trade-Numbers —2nd Entry (PP: 540%)I will explain my thinking as usual so you can make an informed decision.
I believe Bitcoin will make a new advance. When there is a move that leads to the challenge of resistance or support, there is always a stop, a retrace or pullback before additional action. Bitcoin here stopped at 95,000, which is the first resistance from our previous trade-signal and did produce a retrace but it was extremely small. This is a bullish signal.
The fact that the action remains at resistance and this resistance continues to be challenged, is also a bullish signal. The more this resistance gets challenged the weaker it becomes.
Now, a 2nd entry is riskier than the first one of course because the action is more advanced but not everybody can enter perfectly at bottom prices nor at the same time.
We manage risk through capital allocation and relatively low leverage, which is actually pretty high.
See the full numbers and you will see that risk is low.
The stop goes below the low 13-Jan. 2025. The lowest after the final advance happened at $91,688 on 24-April. This is a relatively safe chart setup.
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LONG BTCUSDT
Leverage: 6X
1) $96,000
2) $93,000
3) $90,000
Targets:
1) $104,250
2) $120,000
3) $131,400
4) $143,300
5) $165,000
6) $181,000
Stop-loss:
Close weekly below $86,000
Potential profits: 540%
Capital allocation: 5%
_____
I think timing is good on this one. The next move can happen within days because consolidation has been happening already for an entire week without much change in price, clearly a continuation pattern. Volume being low at this point is also a signal of consolidation.
The fact that there is no volume indicates that the true bullish action is yet to start.
Bears not being present indicates that growth will happen long-term as the bearish cycle (the previous correction) is over.
I wishing you great luck and profits.
The market always offers a second chance, always.
Namaste.
Bitcoin's 100K Resistance Breaks Down, New ATH May '25 +AltcoinsIt only took a few days and the final barrier for a new All-Time High is now broken. Bitcoin is set to hit a new All-Time High now, in May 2025 to later continue growing; month after month after month, long-term. This is only the start.
Bitcoin challenging and breaking $100,000 easily with a full green candle is the most important bullish signal we can find. The indicators and candles are great of course, don't get me wrong, but nothing is more important than the actual price, and prices have been growing for more than a month.
— Altcoins Market Update
Most of the Altcoins market is still trading at bottom and this is only as good as it gets. Trading at bottom prices means that these Altcoins will produce massive growth in the coming weeks and days; straight up for sure, the bullish bias is confirmed.
As Bitcoin hits $100,000 and moves beyond, the entire Altcoins market is set to follow.
As Bitcoin approaches a new All-Time High in a matter of days, the Altcoins will be growing between 100, 200 and even 300% in the coming days. Think about it, 200-300% up this very same month. This is an amazing opportunity, an opportunity that you should grab; buy and hold.
Feel free to make your analysis request by leaving a comment on the Top Altcoins Choice —Your Pick trade-idea, it is live today.
Thanks a lot for your continued support.
It is truly appreciated.
We win again.
Namaste.
BTC 4H analysisIn the previous analysis, the zone of 70 was determining level for us, whether it was a correction or a downward trend.
BTC continued it's upward movement from near that area.
Now Bitcoin is near it's historical resistance area, this time the zone of 110 to 114 plays this role for us.
According to ICHIMOKU and according to previous analysis, Bitcoin tends to move to higher levels marked on the chart.
Bitcoin is not going anywhere in the medium term: $68,000Bitcoin 4-hour chart: Analysis using equilibrium levels and price saturation levels from the January 2025 ceiling: After breaking the main zone, the candles failed to break the blue equilibrium line below, and the candles are turning and hitting the blue equilibrium line above to maintain balance... Due to the main zone breakdown, the candles will reach the middle zone in the medium term... Range of $65,000 to $69,000
Note: Equilibrium analyses may be slightly delayed due to the big-image view of the market, but the targets will be touched in the market.
Bitcoin: Pullbacks Can't Shake BullsFrom the perspective of technical analysis of the BTC trading chart, on the daily timeframe, after the previous consecutive upward movement with bullish candles, there has been a corrective trend with two consecutive bearish candles recently. Although the bearish candle's real body closed yesterday indicates a downward movement, both the upper and lower shadows are quite prominent. On one hand, some bulls chose to take profits at higher levels. On the other hand, during the correction, buyers stepped in at lower prices, forming a pattern where there is resistance above and support below. In terms of the Bollinger Bands, although the price on the daily timeframe has corrected, it is still hovering near the upper Bollinger Band, and both the upper and middle bands are steadily rising, suggesting that the current bullish trend has not fundamentally changed.
The real-time trading signals we provided have been profitable every day. If you don't know how to get started, you can refer to my strategies. 👉🏼👉🏼👉🏼
On the four-hour timeframe, currently, the coin price is moving around the lower Bollinger Band. The short selling volume has not decreased, but the downward trend of the KDJ indicator has slowed down, greatly reducing the possibility of another deep correction within the day.
On the hourly timeframe, all three bands of the Bollinger Bands are moving downward, and the KDJ indicator continues to decline after the crossover. There is significant short-term downward pressure, but the short selling volume has significantly decreased, showing obvious signs of a bottoming out, and the price is expected to move upward in a volatile manner in the short term.
BTCUSD
buy@102000-102500
tp:103500-104500
Investment itself is not risky; it is only when investment is out of control that risks occur. When trading, always remember not to act on impulse. I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate without any mistakes for a whole month. No matter what gains or losses you've had in the past, with my help, you have the hope of achieving a breakthrough in your investment.👇🏽👇🏽👇🏽
DeGRAM | BTCUSD ended the period below 100k?📊 Technical Analysis
● Price rocketed out of the $91 300 demand zone, snapping the 6‑month descending trend and converting the $99 500 former cap into support.
● A tight bull pennant is forming just above that level; a decisive break targets the marked resistance level/supply band at $108 000. Long bias void below $93 300.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● U.S. Treasury’s plan to boost quarterly bill issuance is flattening real yields and lifting non‑yielding assets.
● Hong Kong’s new spot‑BTC ETFs amassed >$500 M AUM in two weeks, signalling fresh Asia‑Pacific demand and tightening offshore float.
✨ Summary
Pennant continuation above new support and expanding Asian ETF inflows argue for a push from $99.5 K to $108 K; protect longs if price closes under $93.3 K.
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DeGRAM | BTCUSD held the support📊 Technical Analysis
● BTC is holding a well‑defined rising channel; the latest dip rebounded off the mid‑line/101 K zone (labelled “optimal buying”).
● A compact bull flag within that zone implies continuation toward the channel’s ceiling and the 108 K supply band.
💡 Fundamental Analysis
● Hong Kong spot‑BTC ETFs logged five consecutive inflow sessions, lifting combined AUM above $650 M and reducing tradable supply.
● US retail‑sales miss and dovish Fed commentary weighed on the dollar, improving risk appetite for crypto.
✨ Summary
Channel mid‑line defence, steady HK ETF demand and a softer USD support a long view: accumulate 101‑102 K, target 104.5 K → 108 K, cut if price closes below 97.4 K.
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MACD: More Than Just a Crossover ToolHello, traders! 🔥
The MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence) indicator is one of the most trusted tools in technical analysis — but often one of the most oversimplified. While many traders focus on signal line crossovers, the real power of MACD lies in its ability to visualize market momentum, subtle shifts in trend strength, and early signs of potential reversals.
Let’s unpack how MACD behaves using the weekly BTC/USDT chart ✍🏻.
🔧 Understanding the Mechanics
At its core, MACD is the difference between two exponential moving averages — typically the 12-period EMA and the 26-period EMA. The result is the MACD line (blue). The orange line represents a 9-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) of the MACD line, commonly referred to as the signal line. The histogram reflects the distance between them, helping to visualize when momentum is building or fading.
📊 MACD in Action — Weekly BTC Chart Breakdown
Looking at the BTC/USDT weekly chart, several notable MACD behaviors stand out:
1. The Bullish Acceleration in Early 2023
In early 2023, MACD crossed above the signal line, accompanied by a sharp rise in the histogram. This indicated strong positive momentum, as the price began recovering from the 2022 lows. The histogram’s expansion confirmed increasing divergence between the short- and long-term EMAs — a classic sign of trend acceleration.
2. Peak Momentum in Late 2023
Around late 2023, the MACD line peaked while the histogram also reached maximum height. This wasn’t just a confirmation of strength — it also hinted that momentum may have reached a climax. Despite price continuing to rise slightly, the MACD curve started to flatten — an early warning of potential exhaustion in trend strength.
3. Bearish Convergence into Q1 2025
In early 2025, the MACD line turned downward and eventually crossed below the signal line, while the histogram flipped to red. This reflected a cooldown in bullish momentum rather than an immediate reversal. What’s notable is how price didn’t collapse sharply, but moved into a pullback phase — illustrating how MACD can show momentum softening before price visibly reacts.
📌 What This Can Tells Us
The MACD indicator on this weekly BTC chart shows how momentum often shifts before the trend itself breaks. Each crossover, divergence, or histogram change is not a guarantee, but a cue to pay closer attention.
Key takeaways:
Strong Histogram Expansion = Confidence in the Current Move.
Peaks in MACD Without Price Making New Highs = Potential Divergence.
Shrinking Histogram + Converging Lines = Momentum Stalling.
🧠 Final Thought
MACD isn’t just about “buy when it crosses” or “sell on red bars.” It’s a narrative tool, showing how the story of the price develops beneath the surface. On higher timeframes, such as the weekly chart, it can potentially highlight macro momentum shifts long before they become apparent in price action alone.
BTC Might Face a Selloff That Could Stay as a Buying OppurtunityBitcoin is enjoying the rally and the support it's receiving from the stock market. After testing the 72,000–74,000 zone, the upward reaction was so strong that even the major resistance at 91,000 failed to slow the move. However, now that the S&P 500 has reached a key resistance zone, momentum may begin to slow, at least in the short term.
If the 102,300 level breaks, Bitcoin could retreat toward the lower boundary of the newly formed trend channel. In the medium-term outlook remains bullish so any short-term pullbacks are likely to present buying opportunities, as long as the trend channel and the 91,000 support level remain intact.
For context, refer to our earlier daily timeframe posts on the S&P 500 and BTC:
BTC Cycle Top? Watching Q4 2025 for Major Reversal PotentialBTC is entering a zone I’m watching closely. Structurally, the current move reminds me of the previous two cycle tops — Q4 2017 and Q4 2021.
📅 My personal outlook:
I’m expecting a potential cycle top anytime between the end of Q3 and end of Q4 2025. Not a guarantee — just a framework to avoid emotional trades.
📌 Target zone:
1.618 Fib: ~$122,500
2.618 Fib: ~$150,000
Past cycles peaked near similar extensions. If the trend holds, these are areas I’ll consider taking action.
Let me know how you're planning your cycle moves.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #CycleTop #MacroView #PriceTarget #TradingView #FibLevels
BTCUSDTHello traders.
The first trade of the week will be from BTCUSDT.
The pair drew a lot of attention over the weekend with strong bullish momentum. Some analysts are even suggesting it could rise to 106,000 USD during the week.
However, the crypto market is currently very volatile. Despite that, I'm activating a trade based on my system.
🔍 Criteria:
✔️ Timeframe: 15M
✔️ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: 1:2
✔️ Trade Direction: Buy
✔️ Entry Price: 104000.00
✔️ Take Profit: 104596.14
✔️ Stop Loss: 103702.15
🔔 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. It's a trade I’m taking based on my own system, shared purely for educational purposes.
📌 If you're also interested in systematic and data-driven trading strategies:
💡 Don’t forget to follow the page and subscribe to stay updated on future analyses.
its just sample sizeThe high at 4 a.m swept all the weekend bad highs (higher than the rest)
on CME theres only 1 candle (to rule them all) and a gap down of ETH (electronic trading hours)
in my experience gaps that form on weekends and gap on ETH get filled even more likely than the ones who are formed on ETH and shown on RTH (regular trading hours)
i like that this high is higher than the range and is back in the previous range it aligns with liquidity concepts.
also, on this range we can observe that the RSI is going down slightly while price remains the same. that indicates a momentoum slowdown and CVD is making higher highs while price stays in the same range which indicates aggressive buyers are actually not making a lot of progress.
I have a short now because i like this structure and my odds.
we can easily have one last sweep of liquidity twards 106 but for now im enjoying my short probabilities.
my first target is 98k where i will attempt a long if the data looks good (hidden bullish divergence, structure, swing fail pattern etc)
the long and short are there to hedge themselves.
if 97 is broken, tho.. we will break the trendline.
bearish retest of this trendline will cascade us into the stoploss domino pieces falling.. i will not stand in the way of this cheos and wait like a good boy around 82k 74k and 69k all while my short is still active.
im bullish for 2025.
12/05/25 Weekly OutlookLast weeks high: $104,972.46
Last weeks low: $93,385.49
Midpoint: $99,178.97
Bitcoin climbs over 12% from weekly low to weekly high, an incredible achievement despite a mixed performance in Tradfi. A pattern we've seen since the $74,500 double bottom following Liberation day goes; A strong rally for a week, consolidation in a tight trading range for a week, then repeat. Should this pattern continue we should see consolidation between weekly high and $102,075 (0.75 line).
CPI & PPI take place this week on Tuesday and Thursday respectively, inflation is still a big talking point but baring a crazy print I would be surprised if these events move BTC. In the last few hours at time of writing The US has reduced tariffs on China to 30% for 90 days, China has reduced tariffs on the US down to 10%. To me this signifies the worst of the trade war narrative is behind us.
This week I will be tracking altcoins with strong fundamentals as BTC.D rolls over from its highest point since January '21, ETH has already had a strong breakout from the downtrend and with BTC at ATH levels with strong resistance this should be the time to see altcoin strength and play catch-up.
Good luck this week!
#BTCUSDT SELL CHART The chart you've shared is a 45-minute candlestick chart for BTC/USDT on Binance, with a technical analysis overlay suggesting a potential bearish move. Here's a quick breakdown:
Highlighted Zone (Top, around 104,348 USDT): This appears to be a resistance or supply zone where the price has reversed previously.
Highlighted Zone (Bottom, around 102,853 USDT): This is marked as a potential support or target zone.
Blue Arrows and Patterns: These indicate a projected bearish move, likely based on a harmonic or price action pattern such as a double top or head and shoulders.
Red and Green Box: This shows a risk-reward setup — red is the stop-loss zone (above resistance), green is the take-profit zone (near support).
This chart suggests the analyst is expecting a short-term decline toward the 102,800 range.
Would you like help analyzing this setup further or converting it into a trading plan?
BTC on the edge of two way📊 Bitcoin Macro Scenarios — What’s Next?
We’re at a critical junction for BTC. The chart outlines two high-probability paths:
🔴 Scenario 1 (Red): Bullish breakout toward $175K with an initial target near $146K, marking the final impulse wave of this cycle before a potential major correction.
🔵 Scenario 2 (Blue): Mid-term pullback to retest the IDM zone around FWB:65K , before resuming the larger uptrend into 2026.
Key Levels:
• First Target: $146,800
• End Point: $175,500
• IDM Reclaim Zone: ~$65,000
Below the chart, our custom Long Short Dom (VI+) indicator confirms increasing bullish pressure — but divergence zones are also forming ⚠️
This is a make-or-break region. Patience and positioning will be key.
📅 Eyes on Q2–Q3 2025 for confirmation.
🧠 What’s your take — do we rocket or retest?