BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
BTC Breakdown Escalates Bearish MomentumBitcoin has officially broken below the critical 104K support level, invalidating the recent short-term bullish structure. The price action reflects a clear shift in market sentiment, confirmed by the bearish EMA/SMA crossover and a firm rejection from the strong supply zone between 110K–111.8K.
This rejection formed a clean lower high around 110K, followed by a decisive drop below the weak supply area and failure to hold 104K a key level previously acting as a demand floor. The current structure now favors downside continuation, with the 98K zone as immediate focus.
If bearish momentum persists, attention will shift toward the Weak Potential Reversal Zone and eventually the Recommended Buy Back Zone around the 84K–86K area. This zone aligns with a historical support range and may offer high-probability entries for medium-term accumulation.
Until price reclaims the 104K–105.5K region, rallies are likely to be sold off within the supply zones. Short-term traders may look to trade the breakdown toward the highlighted support levels, while long-term investors should monitor price reaction within the buyback region.
Bitcoin Just Broke Out! Is $117K Next? (MA50 + Fibo 161% Confirm🚨 MAJOR BTC MOVE!
After weeks of consolidation, Bitcoin has officially broken the downtrend and showed a strong bounce from the MA50, turning previous resistance into support.
📈 Setup Breakdown:
✅ Downtrend breakout confirmed
✅ Clean reaction from MA50
✅ Long entry triggered with upside targets
🎯 Target 1: $112,644 (161% Fibo)
🎯 Target 2: $117,351
📊 This could be the beginning of a new leg up. Watch price behavior at key levels and manage risk accordingly.
💬 What’s your take? Are we heading to $120K or is this a bull trap? Drop your thoughts below 👇
🔁 Like & Share if you caught this move!
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BTCUSDT Daily – Bullish Engulfing = Big Move?Whenever we've seen a bullish engulfing candle on the daily timeframe, it’s often followed by a strong upward move. This pattern has repeated consistently throughout the current cycle.
🔹 The recent daily close shows a clean bullish engulfing right off the 50 EMA support.
🔹 Previous purple zones also highlight areas where similar engulfing candles led to sharp rallies.
🔹 Price is once again reclaiming momentum after a liquidity sweep — a classic accumulation signal.
📈 If history repeats, we could be eyeing another leg higher toward the $112K–$115K zone.
Pattern Psychology:
"This bullish engulfing isn’t just a candle — it's a sentiment shift, where buyers overpower sellers completely in one session."
🔹EMA Bounce Strategy:
"Price is using the 50 EMA as a trampoline — a typical smart money support zone."
🔹 Rejection of Breakdown Narrative:
"The fakeout below 100,582 support could be a classic bear trap, setting up for a liquidity-driven rally."
🔹 Pivot Zone Reaction:
"Immediate pivot zone (102,292) reclaimed — price now in a favorable position to target next R1 around 110,000."
🔹 Historical Context:
"This setup mirrors the March bounce, where similar structure and RSI/MACD confluence led to a 12% surge."
⚠️ Disclaimer:
This is not financial advice or a buy/sell recommendation. Analysis is for educational purposes only.
All chart markings and interpretations are original.
Check support at 108316.90-111696.21
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
Among the many trend lines, the one marked 1W is the important one.
Therefore, we need to look at whether it can rise above the 1W trend line or rise along the trend line.
If not, and it falls below 108316.90, it may lead to further decline, so we need to think about a countermeasure for this.
This volatility period is expected to continue until July 3, but it is expected to last until July 11, so caution is required when trading.
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Indicators that indicate high points are DOM(60), HA-High, and StochRSI 80.
HA-High and StochRSI 80 are formed around 108316.90, and DOM(60) is formed at 111696.21.
Therefore, the 108316.90-111696.21 section is a high point boundary section, and if it is supported and rises in this section, it is highly likely that a stepwise uptrend will begin.
The conditions for a stepwise uptrend to begin are:
- The K of the StochRSI indicator must show an upward trend below 80,
- The PVT-MACD oscillator indicator must show an upward trend above the 0 point,
- The OBV of the Low Line ~ High Line channel must show an upward trend. If possible, it is better for the Low Line ~ High Line channel to form an upward channel.
When the above conditions are met, I think that if it is supported and rises in the 108316.90-111696.21 section, it is highly likely that a stepwise uptrend will continue.
If the above conditions are not met, it is likely that it will show a downward trend again while pretending to rise.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I wish you successful trading.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
(3-year bull market, 1-year bear market pattern)
I will explain more details when the bear market starts.
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BTC is approaching a strong zone!BTC has a strong zone around 110,500 where a large number of orders are stacked.
In crypto, it’s common for stop losses to be taken on both sides.
After a breakout above the zone, short sellers get liquidated, while buyers enter the market — only to be stopped out by a false breakout when the price drops below the zone to trigger their stops.
BTC short squeeze in the makingMany people believe that BTC is running "too hot," and we're seeing what appears to be a short squeeze. We all know what's next. No one in their right mind will buy at the top, esp. given it's volatility. Some economic events are right around the corner over the next 1-2 weeks which could impact BTC and S&P. Typically, market rallies are short lived, esp. when the fundamentals are out of whack. Unemployment is cooling (remember is a lagging indicator), high # of bankruptcies, housing unaffordability highest in decades, high interest rates, student loans will start making a dent soon...the list goes on. Don't let the Champagne effect fool you! Berkshire stocking up on cash for a reason.
Best of luck and always do your own DD! Staying positive, with a healthy dose of keeping things real.