BITCOIN → Correction to the risk zone. Rise or fall?BINANCE:BTCUSDT has updated its local maximum to 97,900, the market structure is quite positive, but still depends on the fundamental background and the behavior of the S&P 500.
The fundamental reasons that influenced the growth are the improvement in the tariff situation in the US and relations with China. Bitcoin's growth strengthened as the SP500 index rose, with which it has a fairly high correlation. In the second half of this week, the price broke out of the two-week consolidation, breaking through the resistance level of 95,500 and updating the local maximum. A correction is forming within the local upward channel.
95,000 is the liquidity and risk zone. That is, if the bulls hold their defense above 95K during the retest, Bitcoin will continue to grow in the short and medium term. Otherwise, a break of 95K could trigger a drop to 92K-88K.
Resistance levels: 97,425, 99,475
Support levels: 95,500, 92,000
All eyes are on the 95.5K support level, below which a huge liquidity pool has formed. Growth may be influenced by a retest (false breakout of support) and an imbalance of forces in the market. But we need to be careful, as the market will react to economic data. BUT! A return of prices to the selling zone (below 95000 - 95500) and the inability to continue growth could trigger a correction and liquidation.
Best regards, R. Linda!
BTCDOWNUSDT trade ideas
Important section: 101947.24-106133.74
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Have a nice day today.
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(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
It has touched the Fibonacci ratio 1.902 (101784.54) and is rising.
The key is whether it can receive support near the StochRSI 50 indicator (102971.99) and rise.
If not, it can fall to the 94915.18-97226.92 area.
Since the HA-Low indicator is formed at the 89294.25 point, it is important whether the price can be maintained above that point.
If the StochRSI indicator falls below the overbought range and then rises while moving sideways around the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101784.54) ~ 2 (106178.85), it is expected to renew the ATH.
Even if it falls more than expected, if it rises along the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, it is highly likely to renew the ATH.
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I will explain the newly added indicators, StochRSI 50, StochRSI 80, and StochRSI 20.
The disadvantage of interpreting the StochRSI indicator added as an auxiliary indicator is that it cannot determine the price movement.
Because of this, when interpreting the StochRSI indicator so far,
- Whether it is in the overbought or oversold zone,
- Whether StochRSI is above or below the 50 point,
we interpreted it as above.
Therefore, we added the price movement to the StochRSI indicator to check the movement more accurately.
-
The StochRSI 50 indicator is literally created when the StochRSI indicator passes the 50 point.
Therefore, we need to think about a response plan based on the price StochRSI 50 indicator.
-
The fact that StochRSI 80 is created means that the StochRSI indicator has risen above 80.
Therefore, in order to continue the upward trend, StochRSI must rise above 80.
If StochRSI 80 is not created and only StochRSI 20 is created, the upward trend will occur when the price is maintained above the StochRSI 50 indicator.
-
The fact that StochRSI 20 was created means that the StochRSI indicator has fallen below 20.
Therefore, in order to continue the downtrend, it must fall below StochRSI 20.
If StochRSI 20 is not created and only StochRSI 80 is created, the downtrend will occur when the price is maintained below the StochRSI 50 indicator.
-
Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- This is an explanation of the big picture.
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
I rewrote the previous chart to update it by touching the Fibonacci ratio range of 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10).
(Previous BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year bull market and faces a 1-year bear market.
Accordingly, the bull market is expected to continue until 2025.
-
(Current BTCUSD 12M chart)
Based on the currently written Fibonacci ratio, it is displayed up to 3.618 (178910.15).
It is expected that it will not fall again below the Fibonacci ratio of 0.618 (44234.54).
(BTCUSDT 12M chart)
I think it is around 42283.58 when looking at the BTCUSDT chart.
-
I will explain it again with the BTCUSD chart.
The Fibonacci ratio ranges marked in the light green boxes, 1.902 (101875.70) ~ 2 (106275.10) and 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83), are expected to be important support and resistance ranges.
In other words, it seems likely to act as a volume profile range.
Therefore, in order to break through this section upward, I think the point to watch is whether it can rise with support near the Fibonacci ratios of 1.618 (89126.41) and 2.618 (134018.28).
Therefore, the maximum rising section in 2025 is expected to be the 3 (151166.97) ~ 3.14 (157451.83) section.
To do that, we need to look at whether it can rise with support near 2.618 (134018.28).
If it falls after the bull market in 2025, we don't know how far it will fall, but considering the previous decline, we expect it to fall by about -60% to -70%.
So, if the decline starts near the Fibonacci ratio 3.14 (157451.83), it seems likely that it will fall to around Fibonacci 0.618 (44234.54).
I will explain more details when the downtrend starts.
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BTC/USDT Crypto Heist - Bullish Breakout Blueprint!🔥 Thief Trading Style: BTC/USDT Bullish Heist Plan 🔥
Greetings, Money Makers & Market Robbers! 🤑
Ready to execute a daring heist in the Bitcoin vs. Tether (BTC/USDT) crypto market? 📈 Our Thief Trading Style combines technical precision and fundamental insights to target a bullish breakout. Follow this charted strategy to ride the wave and exit before the risky Red Zone. Let’s grab those profits together! 💪🎯
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📊 Trade Setup: The Heist Plan
- Market: BTC/USDT (Crypto) 🌐
- Bias: Bullish Breakout 🌟
- Timeframe: 1D (Swing Trade) ⏰
Entry 📈:
- Breakout Entry: Wait for a clean breakout above the Moving Average (MA) at 108000. Place Buy Stop orders just above 108000 to seize the momentum. 🚀
- Pullback Entry: For lower-risk entries, set Buy Limit orders at the recent 15M/30M swing low (e.g., 105000-106000) to catch pullbacks. 📍
- Trader Tip: Set a TradingView alert for the 108000 breakout to stay ahead of the move! 🔔
Stop Loss 🛑:
- Breakout Traders: After the breakout confirms, place your Stop Loss below the recent 1D swing low at 96000 to guard against reversals. ⚠️
- Pullback Traders: Tailor your Stop Loss to your risk appetite (e.g., 1-2% of account). Adjust based on lot size and multiple orders. 📏
- Risk Alert: This heist is high-stakes! Stick to disciplined position sizing to protect your capital.🔥
Target 🎯:
- Aim for 122000, near the risky Red Zone (an overbought area prone to consolidation or reversal). 🏴☠️
- Exit Strategy: Consider taking profits early if bearish signals (e.g., high volume, reversal candles) emerge near 122000. 💸
Scalpers 👀:
- Stick to Long-side scalps with tight trailing stops. Join swing traders for the full heist or scalp quick moves if your capital allows. 💰
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📡 Why This Heist Has Potential
BTC/USDT is in a neutral trend with strong bullish prospects, driven by:
- Technicals: A breakout above the 108000 MA, backed by higher lows on the 1D chart, signals robust momentum. 📊
- Fundamentals: Institutional buying and positive crypto sentiment (check COT reports) fuel upside potential. 📰
- Seasonal Trends: Bitcoin often rallies in Q2, aligning with our setup. 📅
- Intermarket Factors: USD weakness and altcoin strength could lift BTC higher. 🌎
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⚠️ Risk Management: Secure Your Gains
- News Caution: Skip new trades during major news events (e.g., CPI, FOMC) to avoid volatility spikes. 🗞️
- Trailing Stops: Use trailing Stop Loss to lock in profits as price nears 122000. 🔒
- Position Sizing: Limit risk to 1-2% of your account per trade for a safe heist. 🚨
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💥 Power Up the Heist! 💥
Join our Thief Trading Style crew by liking, commenting, and following for more high-energy trade plans! 🚀 Your support strengthens our market raids, helping us profit with precision. Let’s conquer BTC/USDT together! 🤝🏆🎉
Stay Sharp: Another heist plan is on the horizon. Keep your charts locked and loaded, traders! 🐱👤😎
#BTCUSDT #Bitcoin #Crypto #Bullish #SwingTrading #Breakout
#BTC/USDT Bullish Crossover in Play!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Update: Bitcoin is currently holding support and showing signs of strength with a bullish EMA crossover — the 50 EMA crossing above the 100 EMA, which historically signals upward momentum based on past fractals.
The lower support zone is marked in blue, in case the price dips further.
Immediate resistance remains at the GETTEX:98K level — a confirmed close above this could trigger a move toward $103K.
Stay tuned for more real-time updates.
Do hit the like button if you like it, and share your views in the comments section.
Thank you
Mastering Order Blocks: How to Trade Like Smart MoneyIntroduction
Order Blocks (OBs) are one of the most critical concepts in Smart Money trading. They represent areas where institutional traders have entered the market with significant volume, typically leading to strong price movements. Identifying and trading Order Blocks gives traders an edge by aligning with the footprints of Smart Money.
What is an Order Block?
An Order Block is the last bearish candle before a bullish move for bullish OBs, or the last bullish candle before a bearish move for bearish OBs. These candles represent areas where institutions accumulated or distributed large positions, leading to a market shift.
Types of Order Blocks
A Bullish Order Block appears at the end of a downtrend or during a retracement just before the price moves sharply upward. It is typically represented by the last bearish candle prior to an impulsive bullish move. Price will often return to this level to mitigate institutional orders before continuing upward.
A Bearish Order Block, in contrast, forms at the end of an uptrend or retracement where price begins a downward reversal. It is characterized by the last bullish candle before a strong bearish move. Price tends to revisit this level to mitigate before continuing lower.
How to Identify a Valid Order Block
The key to identifying a valid Order Block is first observing a strong impulsive move, also known as displacement, that follows the OB candle. The move must also result in a break of market structure or a significant shift in direction. Order Blocks that produce Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) or Market Structure Shifts (MSS) tend to be more reliable. Another important sign is when price returns to the OB for mitigation, offering a potential entry.
Entry Model Using Order Blocks
After locating a valid OB, the next step is to wait for price to return to this area. The ideal entry happens within the OB body or near its 50% level. For extra confirmation, look for a Market Structure Shift or Break of Structure on a lower timeframe. Entries are more powerful when combined with additional elements like Fair Value Gaps, liquidity grabs, or SMT Divergences. The stop-loss should be placed just beyond the OB’s high or low, depending on the direction of the trade.
Refinement Techniques
To increase precision, higher timeframe OBs can be refined by zooming into lower timeframes like the 1M or 5M chart. Within a broad OB zone, identify internal market structure, displacement candles, or embedded FVGs to determine a more precise entry point. One effective refinement is the Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), which is often found at the 50% level of the Order Block.
Order Blocks vs. Supply and Demand Zones
While they may seem similar, Order Blocks are more narrowly defined and specifically related to institutional order flow. Supply and Demand zones are broader and typically drawn around areas of price reaction, but OBs are derived from the final institutional candle before a large move and are often confirmed by structure shifts or displacement. This makes OBs more precise and actionable in the context of Smart Money concepts.
Target Setting from Order Blocks
Targets after entering from an OB should align with liquidity objectives. Common targets include internal liquidity like equal highs or lows, or consolidation zones just beyond the OB. External liquidity targets such as previous major swing highs or lows are also ideal, especially when they align with imbalances or Fair Value Gaps. It's important to adjust targets based on the current market structure and trading session.
Common Mistakes to Avoid
A frequent mistake is treating any candle before a move as an OB without verifying key signals like displacement or a Break of Structure. Entering without other confirmations, such as an MSS or liquidity sweep, can lead to poor trades. Another common error is placing the stop-loss too tightly within the OB, instead of just beyond it, increasing the chance of premature stop-outs. Traders should also avoid executing OB trades during low-liquidity sessions where price action can be unpredictable and wicky.
Final Thoughts
Order Blocks are foundational to Smart Money trading. They allow you to enter where institutions have placed large positions and offer clear invalidation and entry logic. With practice, you can identify high-quality OBs and combine them with other concepts like FVGs, MSS, and SMT for powerful, precise trades.
Practice on different timeframes and assets, and always look for clean displacement and structure confirmation. Mastering OBs is a big step toward becoming a consistently profitable trader.
Trust the Blocks. Trade with Intention.
BTCUSDTHello Traders! 👋
What are your thoughts on BITCOIN?
Bitcoin is currently testing a major resistance zone between $98,000 and $100,000, which also aligns with the 0.707 Fibonacci retracement. This area has previously acted as a strong supply zone, raising the possibility of a short-term rejection.
Scenario 1 – Bullish Breakout:
If price breaks and closes above $100,000, we could see a strong continuation toward $106,000 → $112,000, driven by momentum and possible FOMO.
Scenario 2 – Deeper Pullback Before Continuation:
If Bitcoin gets rejected at resistance, a retest of the lower support zone (previous demand area) may follow.
A successful bounce from that support could reignite bullish momentum in the medium term.
Trading Strategy:
Wait for a confirmed breakout and candle close above $100K for a high-conviction long entry.
Alternatively, look for buy setups on a pullback toward the support zone for a better risk-reward entry.
How are you planning to trade this setup? Breakout or dip-buy? Share your strategy below! 👇
Don’t forget to like and share your thoughts in the comments! ❤️
BTC/USDT Weekly Analysis – Bullish Momentum ContinuesBitcoin continues to trade within a well-defined ascending green channel that started in early 2023. After a healthy consolidation near the midline of the channel, the price broke out of a wedge pattern, confirming renewed bullish momentum.
As long as BTC remains inside this channel and above key support levels, the trend remains bullish. Based on Fibonacci extension levels, the upcoming targets are:
$130,000 (1.618 extension)
$171,000 (2.618 extension)
$226,000 (3.618 extension)
If Bitcoin breaks above the previous all-time high of $109,588, we could see a strong rally toward the $130K–$170K zone by Fall 2025.
Bearish scenario: A confirmed breakdown below the midline and $95K support could lead to a deeper correction.
$BTC, Bitcoin update: what is going on?🚨 Bitcoin Update: We've just seen a decent correction on CRYPTOCAP:BTC followed by a strong pump.
I’ve warned about this already — this pump is not organic. It's largely driven by institutions and Michael Saylor, using leverage.
📉 A healthy price movement should look like a staircase: move up, consolidate, reset the daily MACD, then push higher again.
Each rally should be followed by a slight pullback — that’s how sustainable trends are built.
❌ But this natural cycle is being disrupted.
Saylor and ETFs keep buying the top to prevent corrections. Some laugh and call it incompetence, but I believe it’s strategic.
These players don’t care about making money on trades.
Their goal is to inflate the value of their companies (or stock value), which are now heavily tied to Bitcoin’s price.
That’s why they don’t want BTC to consolidate.
Every time there's weakness, they step in to buy, preventing any pullback and forcing the price through resistances and fair value gaps.
🤖 The problem? Bots — which represent +80%+ of the trading volume — are not wired this way.
They sell when BTC is overbought and buy when it's oversold.
But with institutions disrupting this cycle, exchanges end up selling BTC, and whales scoop it up — leading to lower supply on exchanges.
Exchanges then have to buy BTC back at higher prices, sometimes even at a loss — often by printing billions in Tether (USDT) to compensate.
🎈 This entire mechanism is inflating Bitcoin’s price, exactly what Bitcoin maximalists want.
But it also kills the chance for an altseason, which usually comes after Bitcoin tops out.
📊 So what’s next?
Ideally, we get a consolidation to around $91K to avoid a major bearish divergence.
If BTC breaks below $90K, we could see GETTEX:82K — but given current conditions, that’s unlikely.
On the chart, RSI is high on daioly, Williams indicator is turning bearish and MACD too. These are all signs of a most needed consolidation. But as I explained, this is cancelled at the moment.
💰 Can institutions push BTC to a new all-time high?
Yes — they basically have unlimited capital and the money printer will turn back on by September.
But once again, altseason is postponed.
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoMarkets #MichaelSaylor #ETF #BTCAnalysis #Altseason #CryptoPump #MarketManipulation #BTCUpdate #Tether #CryptoWhales #DailyMACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoInsights #Web3
Will Bitcoin Break This Resistance – Or Is It a Bull Trap?MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN is once again at a critical resistance level, and the crypto world is split.
Some believe we’re gearing up for a new all-time high (ATH), while others argue the top is already in—and this could be a classic bull trap in disguise.
The key lies in how price reacts to this zone.
• A breakout above $109K would confirm a new ATH and likely spark another leg up.
• But a strong rejection here might signal that the rally was a trap, echoing patterns we’ve seen in past cycles.
My Take: We’re at a make-or-break moment. Confirmation from this level will decide the next big move.
What’s your take—breakout or bull trap?
Please support this idea with a LIKE👍 if you find it useful🥳
Happy Trading💰🥳🤗
TradeCityPro | Bitcoin Daily Analysis #91👋 Welcome to TradeCity Pro!
Let’s dive into the Bitcoin and major crypto index analysis. As usual, I'll go over the key triggers for the New York futures session.
⏳1-Hour Timeframe
As you can see, Bitcoin made a bullish move yesterday after breaking above 102,882 and reached as high as 104,866.
✔️ After hitting 104,866, the price failed to break this resistance and got rejected, pulling back to retest 102,882 with a wick.
✨ As long as the price stays above 102,882, I consider the market momentum bullish. I still hold my long position opened around 85,000 and plan to open another one if we break 104,866.
📈 So the best long trigger is a clean breakout above 104,866. The next resistance is 106,247, which makes the 104,866 breakout a bit riskier due to proximity to that major supply zone.
🔽 For short setups, the first trigger is again 102,882. If the price forms a lower high below 104,866, a breakdown of 102,882 could justify a risky short.
📊 Personally, I’m not opening any shorts yet since higher timeframe trends are bullish. My first valid short trigger would be a breakdown of 101,628.
👑 BTC.D Analysis
Bitcoin dominance continues to fall and has now reached the 62.07 support level and is reacting to it.
💫 If 62.07 breaks, we could see another bearish leg down to 61.34.
🔼 For BTC.D to flip bullish, we first need to see the descending trendline break and then look for confirmation and a long trigger from that.
📅 Total2 Analysis
After breaking through 1.24, Total2 moved up to 1.26 and is now pulling back to retest 1.24.
🧩 If 1.24 holds and the price breaks above 1.26, there’s a strong chance it continues toward 1.31. This would confirm a long setup for altcoins.
🔔 For short positions, the only valid trigger for now is a breakdown of 1.18.
📅 USDT.D Analysis
Tether dominance faked a breakdown below 4.51 yesterday but has now bounced back above it.
💥 Currently, we should wait for the price to retest 4.51 again and reassess that support. If it breaks down cleanly, we’ll get confirmation of bearish momentum for USDT.D, which would support a bullish trend in the broader crypto market.
❌ Disclaimer ❌
Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel.
Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
Do you think I'm joking ???I might be wrong and this might never happen, but it might come true From a technical perspective!!!
REMEMBER
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
_ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _
✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Bitcoin short term Selling Opportunity Bitcoin could reverse from 103k to 109k level. Possible target could be 75k in 3-4 months . Those who do pyramiding after confirmation be get benefit of rally .109k is strong supply zone where seller will get aggresive and pull Price Down.
Disclaimer - Educational Purpose only
Will Bitcoin Break This Resistance ?BITCOIN is once again at a critical resistance level, and the crypto world is split.
Some believe we’re gearing up for a new all-time high (ATH), while others argue the top is already in—and this could be a classic bull trap in disguise.
The key lies in how price reacts to this zone.
• A breakout above $109K would confirm a new ATH and likely spark another leg up.
• But a strong rejection here might signal that the rally was a trap, echoing patterns we’ve seen in past cycles.
My Take: We’re at a make-or-break moment. Confirmation from this level will decide the next big move.
What’s your take—breakout or bull trap?
Analysis of the Latest SignalsThe advancement of the Bitcoin Reserve Bill in many US states, such as Arizona's plan to allocate 10% of state assets to BTC, combined with the discussion on the regulatory framework at the White House Crypto Summit, may make policy clarity a catalyst for future market conditions. The market is watching this week's FOMC decision. If the rate - cut expectation heats up, it may promote the recovery of Bitcoin liquidity.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
Trading Strategy:
buy@93500-94000
TP:95500-96000