BTCEUR trade ideas
Fear & Greed- Retail sentiment is very greedy.
- CFTC leverage fund positions on long/short is 1:5.
- BlockFi reserve is on an ultimatively low
meaning a lack of institutional interest since march and
the later month.
- All Exchanges Fund Flow Ratio is on an ultimatively low
pointing to less retail volume and larger OTC deals.
- The pump spikes we are observing currently
are caused by large amount of market trades
(executed within very short time frames,
a couple of minutes), followed by tiny amounts
of retail trades.
- All these tether based big market portions of BTC
are not transfered from the exchange still sitting there,
meaning possible ready to get sold quite quick and soon.
Nevertheless, the future is and will be unwritten.
Let's see how it plays out.
BTCEUR 1D Time-Frame after btc had a big down trand in the coming period, it's time btc is come back!
I put 3 lines with the price of the btc to see how bitcoin moves.
1 the highest price btc has achieved was 54,191.66.
2 the btc price's lowest point was 24,000.
for a long time the price also remained nicely between 35,000/22,000,
from 24,816.16 there is a push that btc rises but not 100%, it has gone from the red zone to gray at 35,580.92. I expect a new trend with such a thing. the bitcoin price broke the 35k zone and a new trend started to emerge the gray border turned green. I expect right now he goes high and low, high and low. up to the 48k zone and beyond I think above the highest point of 54,191.66.
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BTC/EUR I just noticed the RSII'm quite new to crypto and TA analysis as a general.. my ideas have played out quite well so far but I guess it's always easy on a bull run.
This afternoon I noticed the RSI indicator has crossed the 70% dotted line. Almost every single time this has happened on a daily chart BTC has dropped the following day.
As to where it could drop, if we close above 74 im guessing it could either drop and bounce on the 74 mark and then continue on its bull rally, oooor it could break down all the way near 70.
We'll see how it plays out.
BITCOIN AT 85.000 $ BY END OF NOVEMBER#Diamond pattern
#Stock to Flow
I believe that BTC could get to $85k in the month of November. Then probably at $100k by the end of the year or at the beginning of the next one. It seems that BTC has finally decided its short term road.
Rising inflation and macroeconomic factors might help this path. I also believe that BTC might grow further...
BTC / EUR testing the last resistanceBTC has enjoyed a two day run since surpassing the 41.6€ resistance.
Yesterday BTC tested for the first time the 44.4€ mark being unable to close above it.
The way I see it, we've bounced back and were we to test it again and succesfully break it, there would be another clear road until the 47 mark.
BTC / EUR Next targetsAfter successfully closing above 37.2 we begin the day with a nice green candle.
If the previous resistance has turned to support we can expect two targets.
A daily resistance would be 38.9 based on previous resistance and support levels that coincide with the 0.5 Fibonnaci retracement.
A weekly resistance would be 40.4 based again on previous resistance and support levels that coincide with the 0.618 Fibonnaci retracement.
My Idea on Euro vs Bitcoin ( XBTEUR )For any longer term investor I have the idea to buying bitcoin around the 0,618 retracement / the 1,618 extention area.
Always remember
- you are responsible for your trading, wins and losses
- i dont give trading advices, this is just an idea
- price may drop lower
- you may loose all your money
- you are unique and important
- to live and t love
BTC shows healthy growthbitcoin shows that currently negative news (even the most negative) does not affect the market so much, this is a good sign. Currently, only a large sale of btc can make a huge correction, so I recommend to watch whalealert and draw conclusions. (BTC on long is still the best investment offer)
Old chart but still valid-that is great!Hello Wonderful being!
It truly has been a very long time since my last post, but ii has not been that much reason to post lately.
Simple truth is from the title, that my old chart is still valid and been battle-tested.
The pointers I have on the chart are still what I am watching but let me summarize:
Heiken Ashi is used to remove noise from chart
The colored blocks, segments, are tested and are valid. Look for these as support and resistant if we retrace down.
The Black triangle has been breached to the upside, very good indicator.
The Head & shoulder line has been breached to the upside, but are in threat area to be broken to downside. This line must hold to maintain bullish momentum.
The very old trend line as been tested once again and still valid. If this is broken this week, look for downside correction and watch the colored blocks for resistant and supports.
Things I am concerned about this week, and late September:
Stock market is becoming weak, and seeing downside. Has correction started or is still just a breather?
If stock market correct further, we can see more red in crypto as people and companies will start to book profit in crypto to cover losses in stock market.
The capricious element now is that BTC and crypto is more accepted, which could indicate that money moving out of stock market might come into crypto AFTER it has corrected first. There has been numerous financial conferences where crypto has been a major discussion, even in the latest gold conference. This is great, as more institutional money might come into crypto market as more hedge and more investment.
As always,
stay safe, trade well, do not take risk you cannot endure.
What I THINK will happen next..Hello there, I'm a newbie on this site and I'm also a newbie in trading analysis overall, but on the other hand I'm trying to learn so don't take any of my ideas too serious because they are more like my personal log of fails and successes.
So, here's how I came up with this idea:
1. We are still in bear market since we didn't went through ATH so I think that this last trend was just one of short-term uptrends
2. Bitcoin's price fell below previus highest low which is considered half signal (I think?)
3. We are way above long-term Moving Averages so correction is needed
4. Volume during that last dip didn't really increase, which means that buyers probably think that the price is still too high/to risky
5. Pattern is very similar to that one when BTC went to 54k EUR just at smaller scale
Maybe I forgot something, but yes, this is my idea and if you like it please leave a like or comment of what you think about it because every little tip would help me in my learning journey.
Thank you