BTCEUR trade ideas
Wedge Breakout with S/R flip and Fibonacci confluence The wedge has finally broken out and has created a retest and seems to be coming down crushing, hopefully it keeps going down. The support which was broken yesterday has now turned to a resistance and price bounced off the 50% Fibonacci level. The traders dynamic index has also provided extra confluence with the the green line going below the yellow market baseline. I can finally say all my conditions for this trade are met. Fingers crossed its a win.
BTC/EUR is up to somethingThe publishing shows BTC/EUR on a weekview. First the facts; it has not shown a strong comeback after 2 weeks of going down. The higher lows and lower highs implicate that something is on its way.
So far the facts. Now the million dollar question; what is it going to do next? Zooming out gives you overview, to look at the present trend. The present sideways movement looks like the market is waiting for an external input, like for example news ( positive or negative ), to make the decision for us.
Without external news: if it does not want to go up, than it will probably fall, since in the end, there are only 2 tastes available. I think it is not ready with the downfall yet, the red candles show a too strong signal on a weekview.
Time will tell if Im right. By the way, a downfall might not last very long, since there are simply too many people with too much money burning in their pockets :)
So you are all invited to let me know what you think of my review.
Greets, R.
What crash? 5 days of going strongAnyone bought the dip as well and made another 15% of profit?
#CorrectionNotCrash, not a crash. It's normal when all of a sudden you have institutional investors pouring in and the old bunch safeguarding their profit. It's not even volatility, it's just like any business coming to a market and making their company a success.
ELON MUSK HYPE - " Its a bit expensive - its not green enough" Musk wants MORE Bitcoin - thats obvious - earned more from Bitcoin than cars !!! - so what does he do ? Knock the price . .will silly off-the-cuff rubbish - DOES ANYONE BELIEVE THE RICHEST MAN IN THE WORLD DIDN'T KNOW BITCOIN BURNS ELECTRICITY - BULLSHIT! . .he and his friends wan t you to sell . .CHEAP !!!!...up and up Crypto IS going - thats 100% - Ignore the hype - most Chinese /Indian Officials are corrupt and also want cheap Bitcoin . . Ignore!!!
Options expiration Friday 28.May (buy <25k, sell >36k )Fridays(option expiration): Its not every month it goes down.
Seems to correlate with the trend.
When negative trend > it has cone only 10-20% down.
So max down is -20% around expiration day (since 2-3 years).
Exceptions below.
Looks like the 25kEUR level can be touched
(in May, latest 11.June)
-> worse case 18kEUR
(that is -40% from this moment)
-> reversion next level 36-37kEUR
... 15kEUR will not go there,
Exceptions (continue downtrend vs. reversion)
- Mar2020
- Sep2019
- Dec2018
- May/Jul2018
- Dec2017
(crash, Jan18 dropped -40% in 30days)
What you think?
BTC to 40k€ ?25 April BTC was all time high , then BTC price drop down from 54k€ to 39k€ in few days ( 14 April to 25 April ) for too many reasons like ( decrease hash rate , weak hands , bad news , Elon effect , China decisions and so on )
in 26 of April BTC price start going up again before it starts to crash down in 9th of May
12 May a head and shoulders was confirmed 40% crash down was expected and it happened in few days ( 12 May to 19 May we were in the downtrend )
21-22 of May a left shoulder
23 Of may we see the head
25 was the right shoulder confirmed
are we going to 40k€ soon!