SELL BTCUSDBTCUSD price could start declining from this supply area. There seems to have been a bullish break however, it may be a fake out so wait for price to fall back inside
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BTC/USD.1h chart patternBTC/USD 1-hour chart, we can see that MY continuing a bearish price projection, and the chart has clearly defined target zones based on structure and Ichimoku analysis.
🔍 Key Observations:
Price is currently below the Ichimoku cloud, confirming a bearish bias.
A resistance retest has already occurred.
Price action suggests a clear break of structure, aiming lower.
Two horizontal target zones are marked below with a sharp projected drop (red path) and a blue downward arrow for emphasis.
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🎯 Bearish Target Levels:
1. First Target: Around $104,000
This is your immediate bearish target.
Aligned with minor historical support and possible reaction area.
2. Final Target: Around $100,000–$101,000
This is the extended target and marked clearly on the chart with a bold arrow.
Likely represents a psychological level and strong liquidity zone.
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✅ Conclusion:
Short-term bear bias remains strong unless the price reclaims and closes above the resistance/cloud zone (~$108,500).
Watch for potential reactions at $104K; if it breaks cleanly, $100K–$101K becomes highly probable.
Let me know if you want support/resistance zones or confirmations using volume or Fibonacci confluence.
Bitcoin long $600k- long Bitcoin targeting $10-12T market cap by 2028
- acceleration of companies accumulating Bitcoin + continuation of Saylor & Strategy's ongoing TWAP
- notable uptick in global concerns w/ having access to non-sovereign store of wealth not affected by government intervention + over-reliance on USD + US Debt
- Gold's current market cap: $23T. Bitcoin is incredibly more useful as a SOV that's transferable easily across nation states & easier to transact with between parties anywhere globally
- currently holding $100k support after selling off to ~$75k during tariff fears + austerity with DOGE + macro higher low from last year and held support from November election
- including improved crypto regulatory environment otw soon + general sentiment around crypto a lot more positive
Trading Recommendations for the BTC/USDU.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent stated yesterday that USD-backed stable coins could reach a market capitalization of $2 trillion or more. His remarks indicate growing governmental interest in cryptocurrencies, particularly stable coins, as a potentially vital component of the future financial system. Bessent emphasized that with proper regulation, stable coins could enhance payment efficiency, reduce transaction costs, and expand access to financial services for millions of people.
He also noted that stable coins could help broaden the global use of the U.S. dollar and that congress is advancing legislation requiring such coins to be backed by high-quality assets like U.S. Treasury bonds.
It's worth noting the U.S. Senate yesterday voted 68 to 30 to pass the Stable coin Regulation Act, bringing it closer to final approval. If enacted, the legislation could lead to a 10x increase in stable coin supply over the next for years - up to $2 trillion. As a result, stable coin issuers may acquire up to $1.6 trillion in U.S. government bonds for their reserves.
As for the medium-term strategy , I will continue to capitalize on deep pullbacks in Bitcoin and Ethereum, anticipating continuing the broader bullish market trend.
As for short-term trading, the strategy and conditions are described below.
Scenario 1: Buy Bitcoin today on a break above $108,1000, with a target of $108,700. Exit the buy position near $108,700 and open a short on the pullback. Before buying, ensure the 50-day moving average is below the current price and the Awesome Oscillator is in positive territory.
Scenario 2: Buy from the lower boundary of $107,500 if there is no market reaction to its breakout, aiming for a reversal back to $108,100 and $108,700.
Sell Scenario
Scenario 1: Sell Bitcoin today from $107,500, targeting $106,800. Exit shorts at $106,800 and consider buying on the bounce. Confirm that the 50-day moving average is above the current price, and the Awesome Oscillator is in negative territory.
Scenario 2: Sell from the upper boundary at $108,100 if there is no follow-through breakout, targeting $107.500 and $106,800.
Bitcoin: Break Out Or Fake Out Can Be Long.Bitcoin has adhered to my previous week's anticipated scenario almost exactly. While this may be a coincidence, I have called similar scenarios like this numerous times just see my previous articles, I left the illustration on the chart. From here, there are two scenarios to consider, one offering greater probability than the other. Let me explain.
First consider that the Bitcoin trend has never changed. The broader tend is bullish and the previous weeks only saw a brief corrective structure which found support in the 102K AREA )see my previous article). A reversal developed and confirmed and now we are in the process of rallying back toward the highs.
Scenario 1 The Breakout: IF the high 106's are cleared, it is possible price can break out to potentially test the next resistance around the 110K area. Since this environment is typically a lower volume time of year, I believe there is a greater chance of fake out. How you manage the risk all depends on the time frame you operate on. Smaller time frames can pin point more accurate signs of follow through while maintaining tighter risk while taking the breakout on this time frame exposes you to more risk. If taking the breakout on this time frame, consider mitigating risk with smaller size or being prepared to exit IF a conflicting signal appears like a bearish pin bar.
Scenario 2 The Retrace: IF price rejects the 106K area (fake out possibility) then I will be watching for a retest of the 104K area minor support. This is the level where I would be looking for confirmation patterns like bullish pin bars etc. This would not only constitute a higher low but also establish a classic inverted head and shoulders pattern. I do not put a lot of emphasis on the broader pattern, but it can help foster a self fulfilling prophecy. This reversal offers a greater probability since it is coming from a pullback within a broader bullish trend. Also the profit objective is greater since the 110K resistance would still be the same.
How you mange this again depends on the type of strategies you employ. My analysis is meant to provide an overall roadmap of the possibilities that I anticipate and nothing more. If you are a day trader this information will not be used the same way compared to if you are a swing trader. The key is how you define the risk and the confirmations. If the market rejects both scenarios, then we simply have to readjust to the new information that becomes available.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
BTC Short. Its time to correctionStrong Sell Limits sitting at our entry level!
SELL LIMIT / SWING TRADE
ENTRY: 106106.3
SL: 109676.8
TP: 93409.1
Bearish trend is active and this would be the time for correction and even maybe for 91350 gap close .
Join our free DC group for more and faster news about market. Forex,Crypto,Stocks - Fifteenmin crypto group. Dm me if you enjoy this idea.
BTCUSDEventually anything goes up sooner or later goes down especially speculative and high liquidity market this is the system or core process and nothing is impossible.
Again, it's just simple prediction based on simple technical analysis there are so many other factors involve where to market would be next move means its only just forming not confirmed yet once again just scenario. NOT FA.
HelenP. I Bitcoin may continue to decline to trend lineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. The chart began with a steady rising movement near the trend line, where the price consistently respected upward support and showed healthy momentum. After each test of the trend line, BTC managed to rebound strongly, confirming this level as dynamic support. One of the key reactions came when the price bounced from the 100300 zone, forming a solid base and continuing its bullish leg toward the resistance area. However, buyers lost momentum after breaking through intermediate support levels and reaching the resistance zone between 110700 and 111700. This resistance zone acted as a ceiling, halting further upside and triggering a local reversal. Since then, the price has been gradually retreating, printing lower highs and showing early signs of weakness. Currently, BTCUSDT is retracing, and the structure suggests that the market is leaning toward another test of the trend line. Given the previous reactions and technical setup, I expect the price to pull back toward the 102500 points, which aligns closely with the trend line. That’s why my current goal is set at this zone. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
BTC Macro Cycle Outlook (Log Chart)Bitcoin continues to respect its logarithmic ascending channel that has defined every major bull and bear cycle since 2015. Each cycle top has historically aligned with the upper blue trendline, marked by sharp rejections (red arrows 🔴).
Currently, BTC is pushing within a steep short-term channel, mirroring previous parabolic phases. If the structure holds, we could see a final push toward the $300,000 zone, which aligns with the channel resistance — potentially marking the next cycle top.
📈 This chart captures the bigger picture — filtering out short-term noise and focusing on the rhythm of Bitcoin’s long-term cycles.
Do you think this cycle will end like the last two? Or are we in for something different?
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Bitcoin - We have to see new highs now!Bitcoin - CRYPTO:BTCUSD - is now at the previous highs:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
It could really not be more exciting on Bitcoin at the moment. With the current "all or nothing" potential breakout or double top creation, we will either see a bullrun or a bear market. So far, bulls are still strong, so the chances of a breakout luckily remain higher.
Levels to watch: $100.000
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
BITCOIN is only now starting the final Cycle rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) took a hit overnight following the Israel attack on Iran and at the moment the consequences of that action can't be quantified in great detail but on the long-term the bullish trend seems intact.
In fact it remains below the historic Pivot Growth Curve (PGC) that has separated BTC's peak pattern (green Arcs) from bottom and accumulation (red Arcs), and could be tested by next month.
Once broken, the real rally towards the Cycle's peak can start, with most previous studies we conducted showing that $150000 is a fair (if not modest) estimate.
Are you worried about the latest geopolitical conflict or this chart is enough to give you long-term assurances? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Waiting For BreakoutIt appears that ⚠️Bitcoin is gearing up for a bullish trend.
Analyzing the 4H time frame, I spotted a bullish flag pattern and a confrimed breakout of its upper boundary.
The final hurdle for buyers is the resistance level between 105,880 and 106,934 on the 4-hour chart.
A successful break and close above this range would signal a significant bullish indication, potentially leading to a continuation towards at least 111,500.
BITCOIN Megaphone is the last step before $150k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is repeating almost to the exact point the 2023/ 2024 uptrend, as right now it is in the process of forming a Megaphone pattern similar to the one during December 2023 - January 2024.
Before that, both patterns started the uptrend when a 1D Death Cross formed the bottom. After the 1st Bullish Leg, a Channel Up on a 1D Golden Cross marked the transition to the 2nd Bullish Leg that eventually led to the Megaphone.
In 2024, when BTC broke above the Megaphone, it started the final Bullish Leg that peaked a little above the 1.786 Fibonacci extension from the bottom. During that process, the 1D RSI sequences among the two fractals have been similar.
As result, aiming for the $150000, which is marginally below the 1.786 Fib ext, is a solid target.
Do you think the pattern will continue to be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin: Temporal ST FibsSo we have consecutive 2 rejections after registering Lower High on bigger scale..
Research Notes
Hypothetically, if it's about to fall based on similar flow of market reactions forming on top then this would be the closest fractal for bearish scenario.
Should be perceived as squeezed version of historic pattern. Not to scale on price axis solely, as increase in volatility can accelerate replication rate at places. The value is in temporal aspect like frequency of reversals.
To be sure I'd add a curve that describes current growth on smaller scale, and which could later on indicate a turning point.
Crossing under would confirm a scenario of bearish continuation.
Experiment
If we connect highs and map it to the local bottom, would the dimensions of original wave carry any structural significance?
Original Fib Channels (price oriented)
Temporal Fibs Sharing common coordinate to define them.
Yet to evaluate this approach for structural buildup. Fibs Channel lines are extended upwards in order to capture the reactions at any scenario.
#BTC/USD Close Fight but bulls win! $117K Still in sight!CRYPTOCAP:BTC Weekly Update:
BTC closed the week up by just 0.08%, leaving behind a long wick and a tiny body, forming a Dragonfly Doji, one of the strongest candlestick patterns, signalling a fierce battle between bulls and bears.
✅ This time, the bulls won by a small margin, but a win is a win.
✅ BTC successfully held its key support.
✅ The CC is green, which is a positive sign.
The price action remains choppy, but the trend is still pushing upward from here.
Invalidation:- Weekly Close below $100k
What do you think?
Do let me know in the comments section. And please hit the like button.
Thank you
#PEACE
False bull flag breakout Looking for a lower retest 105k. Target 103k.. also see a hidden bear flag on the flow.
The magic fractal wave of BTCWell it is very interesting pulsation of BTC. ATH > Crash > New ath > Biger crash > recovery > Old ath > crash
I have pretty accurately predicted this cycle. I think we will see 150K this year and then crash to 77K in 2026 and then climb up to 0.5 Mil.
Tell me what you see.
BITCOIN The beauty of structured patterns. $150k is next.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has invalidated all bias calling for a deeper pull-back after May's new All Time High (ATH), as yesterday it broke above the previous ATH Resistance, invalidating the short-term Head and Shoulders pattern, while rebounding last week exactly on the dashed Lower Highs trend-line, confirming it as a Support level.
Within BTC's 3 year Channel Up pattern, we have seen this price action structure another 3 times. The minimum rise on such pattern has been +101% and that wasn't even a Lower Highs rebound. The other two that were exactly like the current formation, increased by a lot more.
As a result, we expect Bitcoin to complete a minimum +101% rise from the April 07 bottom, which translates to a clean $150000 Target.
Do you think the structure ill continue to hold up to $150k and possibly beyond? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD CRACKing Everywhere!As I have been warning for a while now. See previous post.
I first warned to wait for the CRACK!
Then we got the 2nd CRACK!, very normal.
Then a nice M pattern with a lower high.
Then another CRACK!
And now a right Shoulder.
MAGIC!
Now we wait for the H&S to break down.
Click boost, follow, and subscribe for more. Let's get to 5,000 followers. ))
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 115,000.I see that price has shown a violent rise in a five-wave move and I have redrawn the waves a bit to make it clear where to expect a correction. I think we are currently seeing a correction in wave “4” (104,000).
But most importantly, I expect an update of the high. Therefore, I believe that the level of 115,000 will be reached and it may be a wave “5”, after which we can expect a deeper correction.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BTC buy now !!!So if you pay attention to the btc chart you can see that the price has formed a Ascending FLAG or wedge which means it is expected to price move as equal as the measured price movement.( AB=CD )
NOTE: wait for break of the FLAG .
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BITCOIN - NEW BREAKOUT !Hello Traders !
The Bitcoin failed to break the support level (101400 - 100700).
The price broke the resistance (106300 - 106900).
This key level becomes new resistance !
So, I expect a bullish move🚀
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TARGET: 110500🎯
