BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC NEARS 14 WEEKS HIGH, WOULD THE MOMENTUM CONTINUE?The king of crypto, Bitcoin (BTC), extended its winning streak into Thursday, marking three consecutive days of gains. This surge has been largely attributed to a weaker U.S. dollar, the establishment of the U.S. strategic Bitcoin reserve and accumulation of large amount by investors and an overall risk-on sentiment prevailing in global markets, which has buoyed demand for alternative assets like BTC.
As at 5:55pm GMT +4, Bitcoin was trading around $99,280.87, up approximately 2.72% for the day. This bullish momentum puts BTC within striking distance of its 14-week high at $100,202.18, a level that currently acts as a key resistance zone on the upside.
From a technical standpoint, BTC continues to respect the ascending trendline on the 4-hour time frame, reinforcing its short-term bullish structure.
However, the upward movement has so far been capped near the psychological and technical supply zone around $100,000.
For the remaining days in the week, no major catalysts are currently on the calendar. This opens the door for price action to be primarily driven by market sentiment and technical levels.
KEY LEVELS TO WATCHOUT
If bullish momentum persists and buyers manage to push price above the $100,000 barrier, this could pave the way for a test of $102,551. A breakout beyond that level would shift focus to the $106,000 region, As per analysts,
On the flip side, should sellers regain control, immediate support lies at $95,000. A sustained break below that level could lead to deeper corrections, with potential targets at $91,800 and even $88,565, according to market analysts. Breakouts in either direction are not ruled out.
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BTCUSD technical analysis.The new image shows an updated technical analysis chart for Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on a 1-hour timeframe from the Bitstamp exchange, published by the XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team on TradingView.
Key Updates and Insights:
1. Price Action:
The current price has increased to 96,625, down 189 points (-0.20%) from the previous level.
2. Chart Patterns:
Similar to the previous chart, there is a rectangle pattern at the bottom, indicating a consolidation phase.
After a breakout, the price moved upwards, forming a new resistance level at 96,616 (marked by a black line).
3. New Predicted Movement:
The updated arrows indicate a bullish outlook.
The chart now shows a potential retracement to the resistance level, followed by a move upward if the level is successfully retested and holds as support.
4. Trading Implication:
If the price holds above 96,616, it could indicate a buy signal, targeting higher levels.
A break and retest pattern is highlighted, suggesting a potential long position after confirmation.
Would you like help formulating a trading strategy based on this bullish scenario?
Bitcoin has pulled back after a substantial riseThe price of Bitcoin showed a trend of rising first and then making a small correction. On that day, the price rose after getting support near $93,500 and reached around $97,500 at its highest point, before pulling back somewhat.👉👉👉
The bulls in the market have shown strong performance, and the price has significantly increased at one point. However, we still need to be cautious about the potential pullback risks brought by the bearish divergence at the top and the resistance level above.
BTCUSD Trading Strategy
buy @ 94000-94370
sl 93000
tp 95000-95500
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!👉👉👉
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) – Bullish Continuation SetupBitcoin is showing strong bullish structure on the daily timeframe, having broken out of a key range and now approaching a potential retest zone.
Price is currently hovering around 96,990, and we’re anticipating a possible retracement into the demand zone between 91,856 – 88,533. This area aligns with a previous consolidation and breakout range, offering a high-probability buy zone if price reacts with bullish intent.
📌 Key Technical Highlights:
Break of structure confirms bullish bias
Demand zone identified between 91.8K – 88.5K
Anticipating a retracement for continuation
Bullish targets toward 100K+
We’ll be watching lower timeframes for confirmation (engulfing candles, bullish BOS, or SFPs) before entering long.
Blow off soon?PSA this is just ripping off Peter Brandt's tweets. I gathered his breadcrumbs and pieced together this analysis.
His most recent comment in April '25 suggested that the recent BTC pullback was a back-test of a long standing reverse H&S formation. He has not provided any charting of this formation afaik but I reverse engineered it and I believe this is the formation he is referring to.
He has also said several times that he feels the peak will be in Sept '25 at around $140,000.
Given this information, we have a rough roadmap of how we ought to get there. The market has cooled off since inauguration day and could be preparing for the blow off top.
Fingers crossed!
BTC has reached 88.5kBTC has reached 88.5k as per today, my target previously was 88k but I got out too soon at 86k (I got the weak hands syndrome for a bit, I blame the market its been too choppy)
So what do I see BTC doing next?
In all honesty BTC is looking very strong, I am sure the trend will continue but 88.5 has been a very strong point of resistance so I would say wait for the price to go over resistance before buying (this is my case) or wait for the price to retest the support and hold before buying.
Supports going down will be at around 86.7k and 85.1k The strongest support going down is the 83,5k I don't think it will go that low, but just in case it did and we don't see the huge red candles of death, then there is a chance that BTC will reverse and make it to the next resistances which are at around 95.2k and 109.3k
But one thing is for sure it makes no sense from a market maker's perspective to test low supports again because 88.5k will still be resistance again! So it makes more sense to just jump into 89-92k hold prices there and start going sideways there, so the alts can pump after.
Anyhow put stop loses up, do your diligence and don't trust any body else's advice not even mine, I can be wrong and I have been wrong, so let's not get rekt and enjoy the uptrends.
Next BTC Bullish Target: 110,000?BTC has successfully broken through the last major bearish FVG, signaling a potential shift to bullish momentum. Multiple bullish FVGs on the chart indicate possible support zones where price could retrace before pushing higher. The next target is the breakout of the next bearish FVG towards $102,000-$104,000 before it reach new ATH. Looking for further confirmations on bullish continuation.
Previous Breakout of Bearish FVG:
The recent breakout of the bearish Fair Value Gap (FVG) indicates a shift in momentum. The price has moved above the previous significant resistance, which could be interpreted as a bullish signal.
Bullish FVGs at Key Levels:
The chart shows multiple bullish FVGs (Fair Value Gaps) marked at different price levels. These areas are often considered potential support zones where price could retrace to before continuing the upward trend.
Next Target: Breaking the Bearish FVG:
The next major target is to break the bearish FVG above, which could open the path towards the higher price levels. If this zone gets broken, the bullish momentum could accelerate super fast.
Bullish Market Sentiment:
Given that the last bearish FVG has already been broken and the price is consistently moving higher within bullish FVG areas, the general sentiment is bullish.
The movement suggests that after minor pullbacks to the bullish FVG levels, the price is likely to continue upward toward the 110k+ target range.
Bitcoin vs Nasdaq for this cycleSo many people say bitcoin is like high beta nasdaq, but that is not the case if you plot the historical chart.
Bitcoin just goes up against everything on the long term.
Now if we compare to previous cycles, and apply the fibonacci retracements, we can see the previous cycle top was BTC = 1.618 times de Nasdaq 100 index.
Assuming the same fibo retracement, the top for this cycle would take us around 7 times nasdaq 100, which would be around 140k USD at current prices. Now depending on what nasdaq does, and assuming it goes up to previous highs, we would be talking about 150k USD.
Now, I think this is a pretty conservative estimate given that we are in a global debt crisis, and that bitcoin will position itself as a neutral risk-off asset for investors who do not want to take other risks due to tariffs, deflation, debt refinancing etc.
I think a better estimate is around 10-12 times nasdaq, which could take us to 250-300k USD top, which matches the estimate when comparting btc to gold (see my previous idea).
BTC NEXT MOVE?🚀 Bitcoin (BTC) Market Update
We are expecting a small dip in Bitcoin's price, potentially down to the 89,000–90,000 USD zone. From that level, we anticipate a strong rally toward 101,000 USD, as highlighted in the chart.
📈 This move could also lead Bitcoin toward making a new all-time high!
Stay patient and follow the setup carefully.
#Bitcoin's long-term road plan!-396 days Processed Between 2013 High and 2015 Bottom!
-365 days Processed Between 2017 High and 2018 Bottom!
-365 days Processed Between 2021 High and 2022 Bottom!
-1065 days processed between 2015 Bottom and 2017 Peak!
-1065 days processed between 2018 Bottom and 2021 Peak!
-1430 days Processed Between 2015 Bottom and 2018 Bottom!
-1430 days Processed Between 2018 Bottom and 2022 Bottom!
If the 1065 model is processed between 2022 Bottom and 2025 Peak, I think we will see a local peak in October.
If the 365 days Model is processed, I think we will see a 2025 Peak in October and a 2026 October Bottom.
I will be grateful if you appreciate...
Bitcoin Makes Nice MovePrice action continues to look strong, with BTC holding above key support at $88,804 after breaking out from both descending resistance and the 200 MA. The structure is clearly bullish, and we’re seeing healthy follow-through after the breakout.
That said, I’m keeping an eye on potential bearish divergence forming on the RSI. While price is making higher highs, RSI has yet to confirm with a new high of its own. This doesn’t mean a reversal is imminent — divergences can resolve through consolidation or minor pullbacks — but it’s something to be cautious of in an otherwise strong trend.
Momentum remains on the bulls' side, but I’m staying measured here rather than euphoric.