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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Bitcoin the next store of ValueBitcoin as a store of value is not a new idea. I've been on this road a long time and my old posts are just timestamps of that. Currently price is sitting on the Dec/Jan highs. It appears that which was resistance before could become support now. The fact that the market reacts very fast to small market dips with fear seems like a good sign to me. Though only useful as an indicator in context. We did not break market structure and large buyers are still accumulating. Also retail interest stats like google search have not hit new all time highs. Though google specifically might be a bad metric as AI search is highly used now. There is still a risk of something breaking in US markets while rates stay up and Fed balance sheet is not growing. Though not clear what exactly would break. Kind of like stomping on an orange don't get caught up exactly where the peel breaks. QT is squeezing and you squeeze hard enough and pop. Even with them net buying 10 year US Treasury Bonds. It's still technically a QT environment. Last year bonds almost broke the banks before the Fed aloud those bonds to be listed full term value on the balance sheet. Effectively covering up the issue instead of fixing anything. (Bank Term Funding Program - BTFP) Pros Bitcoin has not yet rate seen US rate cuts Bitcoin has not yet see a new wave of money printing Fund managers suggesting 2% allocation which is no where close to being reached yet Recurring institutional buyers, such as corporations adding Bitcoin to their balance sheets (e.g., Strategy). Cons Large leveraged holders will need to watch cash flows vs interest payments. In 2022 bear market this was easy for Micro Strategy now renamed Strategy. The reason profits were roughly 7x interest payments. In 2024 that has dropped to 5x. They started with a lot of cash flow and found themselves sitting on melting pile of cash. If Bitcoin holdings out grow the software income enough then finding the money for interest payments becomes a new challenge. It's still not 100% clear long term how Bitcoin fits in a portfolio. Most narrative seems like you keep it in a locked room where you celebrate your great fortune that has no material benefits in your life. I think it's probably not that. Is it just something people collect and lend against? Act as a index for the greater crypto asset class that people rebalance? Cash flow with cover calls? Lend it out if Fiat fails it could act like gold being borrowed. Important Questions: What % allocation to Bitcoin makes sense to hold in a bear market? How do you grow Bitcoin holdings in a bull market? "This is not financial advice. These are my personal opinions and observations. Do your own research before making any investment decisions."
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by JamesRennie
$BTC 12-Week Lead Correlation w/ Global Liquidity, M2, GOLD, DXYHere’s a look at Bitcoin's price action against Global Liquidity, Global M2, GOLD and DXY - all with a 12-Week Lead. Notice GOLD has a bit more of a deviation from the BTC price than the others. This is because GOLD is used as a store of value asset, whereas the others are predicated on Central Banks expanding and contracting their money supply and balance sheets. The key here is to smooth out the signal and ignore the noise. Notice the convergence between these metrics the past couple months.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by jonnieking
BITCOIN BULLISH TO $116,000 (UPDATE)Bitcoin has come very close to our $116,000 target, peaking at $112,000 just $4,000 away from our TP. I still believe BTC prices will push higher for sure. But my only concern right now is will BTC have a huge correction ( Minor Wave 4) before it moves back up again? If it does then I'll most likely cash out my buy positions soon for my Crypto Fund investors, as we've already made decent profits & it is not worth holding on too much longer & risking it.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BA_Investments
BTCUSD Key Demand Zone Reached – Will the Bulls Step In? Bitcoin is currently trading at $103,525, sitting firmly inside a high-volume demand zone (highlighted in brown), with visible support at $103,849. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: Timeframe: 15-Minute (Scalpers & Intraday Traders, take note!) Demand Zone: $103,500 – $103,850 Resistance Zones: Minor resistance at $107,427 Major supply area at $110,420+ (high confluence zone) Volume Node: Price is currently reacting to a high-volume node where strong accumulation previously occurred. LuxAlgo Supply & Demand tool shows a historical shift from sellers to buyers around this zone. 📊 What to Watch For: A strong bullish reaction from this level could send BTC toward $107,427, then potentially challenge the $110,420 resistance. A failure to hold above $103,500 could signal deeper downside—caution advised. ⚡️ My Plan: Watching for a bullish engulfing candle or demand confirmation to go long. Stop loss below the zone. Targeting $107.4K and beyond if momentum holds. 📌 Possible Trade Idea: > Long above $103,850 SL: Below $103,300 TP1: $107,400 TP2: $110,420 🚀 Is this the bounce we’ve been waiting for, or just another trap? Comment your outlook 👇 #BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #LuxAlgo #SupplyDemand #Scalping #Intraday #BTC #BullishSetup #PriceAction
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by FrankFx14
BTC Macro View - Possible PullbackFailed breakout or just a pause? Bitcoin wicked above the 7-month range ($74k–$109k) and hit a new ATH at $112k—but the breakout lacked conviction: -3 Day candle did not close outside the range. It wicked above ATH and closed back inside, which often signals a failed breakout. -Volume on the breakout was low—not the kind of commitment you'd expect on price discovery. -Unless we reclaim the highs with conviction, the odds lean toward mean reversion or a deeper pullback, especially as macro risk increases (S&P weakness, renewed trade tension, credit rating concerns). S&P Correlation I was calling for a pullback on the S&P on May 16th in this Idea. -https://www.tradingview.com/chart/ES1!/CMKml8I3-Bearish-Divergence-Pullback-Pending/ -The S&P has already started fading off highs. -BTC kept pushing a bit longer—but may have just been lagging the risk-off shift. -Now both look vulnerable and possibly entering correction together. Macro Narrative Timeline March–April: Trump escalates tariff rhetoric → markets sell hard: S&P falls from 6,100 → 4,800 BTC dumps from $108k → $74k Mid-April–May: Trump pivots, talks trade deals → markets bounce: S&P rallies back to 6,000 BTC rips to $112k ATH Now at highs, bearish news flow returns: Moody’s U.S. credit downgrade Trump targeting EU and Apple with new tariffs S&P rolling over again BTC starting to follow This is narrative cycling: Scare → Ease → Pump → Re-scare near highs Short-Term Setup Macro structure is still bullish. But short-term risk is rising fast: -Bearish RSI divergence on the 4H chart -Failed breakout on the 3D, Low volume ATH push -Crowded longs getting chopped -BTC media coverage going vertical—endless bullish predictions across TV, headlines, social media -Media didn't talk about BTC when it was at $74k. They were loud now, at the highs. Fibonacci Retracement Levels from April 9 Low → $112k High 0.786 = $103,969 0.618 = $97,665 0.5 = $93,237 -Each level aligns with prior consolidation and offers strong technical context. -No need to guess. We will watch volume + structure at each zone. -These are prime areas to accumulate spot. -No leverage. No chasing. Let it come to you. -This is what Bitcoin is—accumulate pullbacks, hold, survive the chop. -After this correction, I believe we push back to ATH and into price discovery. Whale Psychology Trap (my thoughts on it) Recently a Hyperliquid whale built a record breaking $1B+ BTC long on a defi exchange, drew in a massive herd to follow, then flipped short over the weekend after closing the position. -Now that crowd is likely emotionally tied to their longs—feeling betrayed, stubborn, and unwilling to cut on a pullback. -Red flag: we now have whales publicly influencing the herd with precision. Not a bullish short-term signal. Final Thoughts We’re seeing alignment across: -Failed breakout on 3D -Overheated retail sentiment (even though retail thinks the reverse, all you hear right now is "RETAIL IS NOT EVEN HERE YET") -Public Whale traps in motion -Media pushing euphoria the past two weeks -Macro headwinds slowly creeping back in at the most convenient time to pullback -BTC remains in a macro uptrend. But this is not a healthy breakout yet. P.S. This breakdown is mainly for traders. But let me be clear: -The smartest approach to Bitcoin is still simple—accumulate and hold spot. -Given BTC’s position in a world of debt-soaked economies, eroding fiat trust, and centralized monetary control, it's far riskier to have none than to hold through volatility -The wealthy, the powerful, the largest corporations — they’re starting to understand this reality -Your job? Keep buying dips and holding long-term. Use macro views like this to: -Take profits from overextended markets (U.S. equities, alts, etc.) -Time bigger BTC adds when fear returns But if you own spot BTC? Don’t sell it. Ever. Trade other assets. Stack sats. And if BTC ever hits $1M/coin... then sure—do whatever you want
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by HunterMorris
Bitcoin's at ALL TIME HIGHS and I'm going ALL IN!!As Bitcoin surges to new all-time highs, I've made a pivotal decision: to stop saving in dollars and start holding Bitcoin. Why Bitcoin? Self-Custody: Owning Bitcoin means true ownership. With self-custody, I control my private keys, ensuring my wealth isn't subject to third-party risks like bank failures or government seizures. Declining Dollar Value: The U.S. dollar continues to depreciate due to inflation and economic policies. Holding Bitcoin, a deflationary asset, offers a hedge against this erosion of purchasing power. Global Accessibility: Bitcoin transcends borders, providing financial inclusion for anyone with internet access, especially in regions with unstable currencies. Security and Privacy: With proper self-custody practices, my Bitcoin holdings are secure from hacks and offer enhanced privacy compared to traditional financial systems. As I monitor the BTC/USD daily chart, the trend is clear: Bitcoin isn't just a speculative asset; it's a movement towards financial sovereignty.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by SAT_STACKR
BTCUSD zooming inUpon close analysis of BTC corrections, it appears that the price is moving in a series of three-wave structures to the downside. We may currently be near a bottom, possibly completing a WXY corrective pattern. However, there is still the potential for one more up-and-down movement before a breakout to the upside, marking the start of the final Wave 5 toward a new all-time high (ATH) in the 113–115 range. These 4–5% corrective structures can be challenging to trade. It may be more prudent to wait for a clearer signal—such as a breakout above the top trendline or the completion of a five-wave decline within the current structure—before entering a position.
OANDA:BTCUSD
by wolffarchitecture
2
BITCOIN repeating every Cycle's final rally!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been on a strong rally since the April 2025 bottom on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and that's perfectly aligned with the 1W MA50 rebound it had on the previous two Cycles in June 2021 and June 2017. As you can see, those (blue circles) where the All Time High (ATH) Pivot trend-line test before the final (parabolic) rally of the Cycle started, which was its most aggressive part. In 2017 it was much stronger and the price rallied much higher, which is natural as the market was much less mature (institutionally) than today, but it is not improbable to get a rally similar to July - November 2021. Can that be enough to push BTC to $150k and beyond? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
6
BTCUSD NEXT MOVE (EXPECTING MILD CORRECTION)(23-05-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly. Anup 'BIAS for BTCUSD (23-05-2025) (SHORT TERM) Current price- 1111000 "if Price stay below 1,12,000 then next target is 1,10,000, 1,08,000 and 1,06,000 above that 1,13,000. -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AnupZiddi
16
Healthy BTC Retrace in Trend Next Breakout Target 112K Then 122KBitcoin continues to respect the bullish market highlighted in our previous analysis, where the AB=CD structure pointed toward significant upside potential. The market has since retraced into a well defined re-accumulation zone, aligning precisely with prior expectations. Price has held firmly above the round figure support ($100k), with the current structure confirming a healthy correction within trend. As long as the re-accumulation zone between 104k–107k holds, momentum remains skewed to the upside. The projected 2.618 extension sits near the 122k mark, where the current setup aims to complete. The broader structure still respects higher timeframe demand and ascending channel boundaries, keeping bullish continuation valid unless 100k decisively breaks. Watch for confirmation breakout above 112k to activate the next leg of the move. If you found this analysis insightful, drop a like to support the work and leave a comment with your perspective whether you agree, disagree, or have an alternate scenario in mind. Let's grow together through collective insights.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by weslad
32
9-Up Waves—Extended Bullish Impulse—Bitcoin's 2025 Bull MarketIn Elliot Wave Theory, a bullish impulse has a total count of 5 waves but this isn't all. There is something called an "extension." Extensions can lead not only to 9 total waves but even 13 waves. We can easily see this happen if we consider Bitcoin's bull market based on the long-term chart structure, starting in November 2022, see the chart above. A bull market is defined as a sequence of higher highs and higher lows. This is perfectly visible on this chart. Contrary to many Altcoins, Bitcoin is in a long-term bull market. If we consider even some of the big Altcoins projects, we can see that no long-term bull market is present, many are producing lower lows, but at the same time, others are producing long-term uptrends like Tron. So there are variations. Seeing a perfect long-term 5 waves pattern completed when Bitcoin hit $110,000 in January 2025, seeing a strong higher low and the continuation of this trend, we can easily conclude that an extension is taking place. Will this extension end at 9 waves or 13 waves? Bitcoin is going up. It is already happening. There will be more. Thank you for reading. Namaste.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MasterAnanda
9