BTC/USD – Critical Reversal or Breakout?Bitcoin is currently trading around $107,500, pressing against the upper boundary of a rising wedge on the 1H and 4H charts. The structure remains fragile, with weakening momentum and conflicting signals between short and mid-term indicators.
📌 Scenario 1 – Bearish:
The current move likely completes wave (b) of an ABC correction.
Price has reached ~0.735 retracement at $108,358.
Breakdown of wedge support (~$104,600) could activate wave (c) toward $101K–$98K, or even the 1.618 extension to $86,000 (seen on daily).
📈 Scenario 2 – Bullish Alternate:
If BTC breaks and closes above $108,500, with volume, we may have invalidation of wave (b).
This opens the door for a wave (5) extension toward $113,000.
🔍 Key Indicators:
RSI on 1H is weakening, under 50.
OBV is flat – no accumulation spike.
QQE shows Buy signals but lacks follow-through.
Volume remains unconvincing for continuation.
🎯 Conclusion:
BTC is at a make-or-break level. A clean breakout and retest above $108.5K flips the structure bullish. Until then, wedge breakdown is the higher-probability play. Watch the $104.6K zone closely for direction confirmation.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BITCOIN Trump and the 1D EMA100 saved the day!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rebounded yesterday on its 1D EMA100 (green trend-line) and along with Trump's truce announcement between Israel and Iran, it sent the market into a buying frenzy and back above the $105k mark.
Technically, the 1D EMA100 isn't something to be ignored as since the November 2022 market bottom, each Bullish Leg (Channel Up) that started had a contact (or near) with it that resulted into a considerable bullish extension.
The 1st Channel Up even breached below it, but after rebounding, it reached the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next correction. The 2nd Channel Up rebounded exactly on the 1D EMA100, and reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The 3rd Channel Up almost hit the 1D EMA100 and then rebounded to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
It is obvious that the pattern follows a progression and each Fib extension peak is higher than on the previous Channel Up. As a result, it is not unlikely to see a High even above the 2.0 Fib ext ($168k) on the current (4th) Channel Up, however on the short-term we would still welcome the 1.382 Fib 'minimum' expectation, targeting $130000.
Do you think we should at least be expecting that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTC/USD - The Bitcoin Cycle TopBTC has recently broken below a key uptrend line that had been guiding price for some time. I’m watching for a potential backtest of that broken trendline, a rather classic move that could set the stage for a final upwards squeeze, possibly printing a quick higher high to trap late longs.
I’m watching the circled area closely as a potential exhaustion zone. Key levels and price action around the trendline will be critical, breaking of upwards trendlines after backtesting may mark the beginning of the larger unwind.
We could see multiple backtests of the broken trendline over time, with the trendline now likely acting as resistance.
Note: I’m publishing this idea simply to have a timestamped record. This post is my way of putting a clear marker in the sand. I’m not looking to debate or go deeper into the reasoning, and I generally won’t be responding to comments.
BTC: neutral case analysisBITFINEX:BTCUSD
Hello
Based on last 3 bull cycles and bear cycles, I did some calculations and this pattern is the result of it.
Take it with a pinch of salt, this might not even be close, but just past data gives me this fractal.
Here are the peak Bitcoin (BTC) prices for the years you mentioned:
2013: $1,156
2017: $19,497
2021: $67,566
We can now treat these as the values of the quadratic function:
a=1156 (for year 2013)
b=19497 (for year 2017)
c=67566 (for year 2021)
However, to apply the formula:
Price(x) = a⋅x2 + b⋅x + c
Using a quadratic fit to the BTC peak prices in 2013, 2017, and 2021, we get the following estimated prices:
2017: $19,497 (matches actual)
2021: $67,566 (matches actual)
2025: $145,363
Above is the AI calculation, I think it is about right.
Happy trading
Cheers
Bitcoin Order Book - How To Trade ItBitcoin Order Book Analysis | Massive BTC Liquidity Zones You Need to Watch
In this video, we break down the Bitcoin (BTCUSD) order book and highlight the biggest buy and sell levels currently driving market sentiment. These are the exact price zones where whales and institutions are placing large orders—often creating powerful support and resistance that can trigger breakout or reversal setups.
In This Breakdown:
• Where major buy/sell walls are forming in the BTC order book
• How order book depth can predict short-term price direction
• Real-time liquidity pockets traders are watching now
• Key price levels to watch for possible long/short entries
This is a must-watch if you’re actively trading BTC and want to track where the smart money is stacking their positions.
⸻
Tools Featured:
• BTCUSD real-time chart
• Order book heatmap / depth
• Liquidity zone visualizations
• Volume profile overlays
• Sentiment Tool
⸻
Use this insight to position your trades around high-probability reversal or breakout zones. Comment your BTC target below, and follow for daily pro-level crypto insights.
⸻
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #OrderBookAnalysis #BTCOrderFlow #WhaleActivity #LiquidityZones #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #CryptoTA #BitcoinStrategy
BTC SHORT TP: 106,300 25-06-2025Let’s be real — what’s coming looks like pure manipulation 😮💨
Setting a SHORT between 108,550 – 109,250, aiming for 106,200 – 106,550, with an average 3.3 RR.
🕑 Timeframe: 2H
⏳ Duration: 20–30 hours
Context: If you see a massive green candle… that’s not strength — that’s the short signal. Stops are pretty obvious in this kind of setup. Classic trap vibes loading.
If the move doesn’t happen within the estimated time, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
Bitcoin is gearing up for 120K and 140K (1D)The flip zone has been reclaimed, but no proper pullback had occurred. The recent pullback came with a sweep of the all-time high (ATH), which has caused confusion and uncertainty among market participants.
In fact, this drop can be interpreted as a pullback to the flip zone, accompanied by an ATH hunt.
We expect the price, after touching the green zone and forming a base around this level, to move toward the targets of 120K and 140K — which we currently consider as Bitcoin’s final targets for this cycle.
A weekly candle close below the invalidation level would invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
June 25 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
This is Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
If my analysis was helpful,
Please click the booster button at the bottom.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Nasdaq indicators will be announced at 11 o'clock shortly.
Nasdaq is rising vertically + renewing its all-time high.
Accordingly, I ignored the weekly MACD dead cross and
proposed the strategy for the pattern by substituting Tether dominance.
Although it is not visible on the screen,
I created today's strategy with the condition of maintaining the long position of $100,587.9 that was confirmed on the 23rd.
* One-way long position strategy when the red finger moves
1. $106,746 long position entry section / When the purple support line is broken
or when section 2 is touched, stop loss price
2. $108,66 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd -> Great 3rd target price
When section 1 at the top touches, it can be connected to an upward trend,
and section 2 is a sideways market.
At the very bottom and the very top,
I have indicated the maximum possible trend until tomorrow afternoon.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only
I hope that you will operate safely with the principle of trading and stop loss.
Thank you.
BTC/USD Resistance Rejection + Bearish Structure FormingBitcoin has reached a strong resistance zone near $107,500–$108,500, showing signs of rejection. Based on the 2H chart, price has formed a bearish pattern after a sharp rally, suggesting a potential short opportunity.
📊 Technical Confluence:
Resistance zone holding firm
Bearish engulfing candle at top
Overbought conditions + potential reversal
Price breaking back below local support
🔽 Target Zones:
1st Target: $102,500 – $102,600
Final Target (Strong Support Zone): $98,500 – $99,500
🕒 Watch for confirmation on lower timeframes before entry. Risk management is key.
Bull-Flag within a Bull Flag means Exponential gains coming ???As of Friday, June 27, 2025, at 9:41:55 PM PDT, here's an analysis of Bitcoin:
Current Price & Performance:
Last Price: Approximately $107,280.10 (as of June 27, 2025)
Recent Performance: Bitcoin has been showing resilience above the $105,000 mark and has consolidated in a range between $100,000 and $110,000 recently, after hitting an unprecedented price of around $111,814 last month.
Bull Flag in a Bull Flag Pattern (Nested Bull Flags)
A "bull flag" is a bullish continuation pattern characterized by:
Flagpole: A sharp, strong upward price move.
Flag: A period of consolidation or slight retracement that forms a rectangular or parallelogram shape, typically with lower trading volume.
Breakout: A resumption of the uptrend with a strong move out of the flag, ideally on increased volume.
A "bull flag in a bull flag" (or nested bull flag) implies that a smaller bull flag is forming within a larger, ongoing bull flag pattern. This suggests a powerful, sustained uptrend where even the pauses for consolidation are themselves exhibiting bullish continuation characteristics.
Identifying this for Bitcoin:
To identify this pattern in Bitcoin, we would look for the following on a daily or higher timeframe chart:
1. The "Larger" Bull Flag:
Flagpole (Large): Bitcoin's overall parabolic run from its post-bear market lows to its recent all-time highs (e.g., $111,814). This multi-month or multi-year rally constitutes the significant "flagpole."
Flag (Large): The current consolidation phase Bitcoin is undergoing after reaching those all-time highs. This "flag" would be characterized by a broad trading range (e.g., between $100,000 and $110,000, or a wider range after its initial peak). This large flag would be a period of consolidation following the massive flagpole.
2. The "Smaller" Bull Flag (Nested within the larger one):
Flagpole (Small): Within this larger consolidation "flag," Bitcoin might experience shorter, sharper upward impulses. For example, if Bitcoin has a sudden 10% surge from $100,000 to $110,000 within the larger flag. This specific surge acts as the "flagpole" for the smaller flag.
Flag (Small): Following this smaller surge, Bitcoin then enters a mini-consolidation phase (a few days to a week or two), forming a tighter "flag" pattern within the broader trading range. This would be a slight downward or sideways channel on lower volume.
Breakout (Small): A breakout from this smaller flag would see Bitcoin push higher within the larger consolidation range, perhaps targeting the upper boundary of the larger flag (e.g., aiming for $110,000 or new highs).
Current Bitcoin State and the Pattern:
Based on recent market commentary and price action:
Overall Context: Bitcoin is in a long-term bull market, having recovered significantly from previous lows and testing all-time highs. This broad trend provides the context for large "flagpoles."
Larger Flag: Bitcoin's current consolidation around the $100,000-$110,000 zone, after its surge to $111,814, clearly fits the description of a large "flag" forming after a substantial "flagpole." This is a critical consolidation phase for the overall bull run.
Smaller Flag (Potentially Forming): Recent news mentions that Bitcoin surged over 10% since last Sunday (early June 2025) and has been consolidating between $100,000 and $110,000 for over three days. This description fits the start of a nested bull flag:
The 10% surge could be the smaller flagpole.
The consolidation for over three days within the $106,390 - $108,384 range after that surge could be the smaller flag formation.
If this smaller flag resolves to the upside, it would push Bitcoin towards the upper boundary of the larger flag ($110,000 to $112,000) or beyond.
Significance of a Nested Bull Flag:
Strong Underlying Momentum: The presence of a smaller bull flag within a larger one suggests exceptionally strong buying pressure and conviction among bulls. Even during periods of overall consolidation, traders are quick to accumulate on dips, leading to these smaller continuation patterns.
Layered Confirmation: It provides multiple layers of bullish signals. A breakout from the smaller flag reinforces the bullish bias within the larger flag, increasing the probability of an eventual breakout from the larger pattern.
Entry Opportunities: For traders, the smaller flags offer shorter-term entry opportunities within a larger trend, allowing them to capitalize on mini-surges as the broader consolidation unfolds.
Caution:
Confirmation is Key: Like all chart patterns, bull flags require confirmation. For the smaller flag, watch for a decisive breakout above its upper trendline on increasing volume. For the larger flag, the ultimate confirmation would be a sustained break above its all-time high resistance (around $112,000) on significant volume.
Volatility: Bitcoin is known for its volatility, and even continuation patterns can have false breakouts or deeper retracements than anticipated.
Volume: Volume confirmation is crucial. The "flag" portion should ideally show decreasing volume, while the "breakout" should be accompanied by a surge in volume.
In summary, Bitcoin appears to be currently in a large consolidation phase which could be interpreted as a significant "bull flag." Within this larger "flag," recent price action suggests the potential formation of a smaller, nested bull flag, where a recent mini-surge (small flagpole) is followed by a short consolidation (small flag). This indicates strong underlying bullish sentiment, with market participants potentially looking for a push towards the upper boundaries of the broader consolidation range.
This analysis is based on technical patterns and current market information. It is not financial advice. Always perform your own due diligence and consult with a financial professional before making investment decisions, especially in highly volatile assets like cryptocurrencies.
BTCUSD: Minimum target for this Cycle is 150,000Bitcoin turned neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.882, MACD = -410.600, ADX = 22.509) as it recovered the losses of the last 2 days thanks to the Truce announcement between Israel and Iran. The long term picture couldn't be more bullish however as it hasn't even hit the bottom red zone of the Logarithmic Growth Curves model. According to the Time Cycles that mark each Cycle High, the Top for this Cycle is estimated to be between October and December. By October 2025, the top of the first profit taking zone (lightest pink) would be $150,000. That is technically the bare minimum of Top that should be expected based on the current LGC model. Technically it can even hit $200,000 but fundamentals have to help a lot in this scenario (adoption, ETFs, rate cuts).
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Cautionary tale on BitcoinI decided to temporarily depart from my usual trade ideas to wave a cautionary finger at the chart of Bitcoin, where I have noticed a rather worrying pattern within the weekly charts. However, before I delve in, I would like to stress that I am a very rigid believer in the long-term prospect of our monetary saviour and what I am supposed to write about only concerns the usual, inevitable cyclicality that always entails the otherwise upward-sloping trajectory of Bitcoin ( CRYPTO:BTCUSD )
Although overall this has not felt like much of a crypto bull run given the apparently absent performance of altcoins (apart from an occasional 1000x on a well-targeted memecoin), Bitcoin has, in the meantime, trod its usual path upwards. Since the '22 lows, it has mimicked its regular pattern where after a devastating plummet lower, it has spent several long months accumulating until it has burst out of its cocoon to provide a 6x return to its strong believer. However, the mimicking is almost too good as we have now started painting a very similar picture to what eventually transpired to be the '21 top. We have reached a strong above >100k top only to hit a vicious correction (announcement of tariffs), similar to what Bitcoin did in May of 2021 (China crackdown, tech selloff). The price then quickly consolidated - which I am not an avid fan of as a formation of a more robust base would be more preferable (though would take longer ) - and bitcoin shot back up again, quickly reclaiming the previous highs; just like it did in October/November 2021. This creates an unfortunate setup best represented by the series of lower highs on an RS I while the price keep climbing higher - creating the probably best-know bearish signal with higher highs built on weaker and less robust momentum.
We know how this ended in 2021, and I am not suggesting that Microstrategy should blow up, go bankrupt and sell all its bitcoin (though definitely a possibility) - however, one must admit that there are currently quite a lot of uncertainties that could unwind at any time (one such coming on July 8th with the second version of the lets-blow-up-the-stock-market day). With a stock market priced to perfection, and with what seems like a large pile of uncertainties hovering in the air, it seems like any one of these could light up the fire underneath these lovely valuations we have reached, and although I would love for cryptocurrency prices to be completely independent of the stock market, we usually know how this goes.
So, what to do about this? Preferably nothing . If you are as much of a believer as I am in the necessity of bitcoin in today's financial world, this is just another blip in an otherwise long and profitable ride. So, I won't be any selling any of it - hopefully only adding once we decline. I would also add that I am not expecting as much of a bloodbath as last time. I think Bitcoin has reached a point where the 80-90% declines become very rare. However, regarding my other allocations in crypto assets, I am not as optimistic, hence I decided to sell most of everything else. Although I love the premise of Ethereum, the chart looks pretty horrific, currently drawing a perfect head-and-shoulder on a 4h chart (which I might write about as well as a short idea).
I will end this essay the same way I started it - I know absolutely nothing, and maybe I will come back at the end of the summer, beautifully tanned and relaxed as we all are in Europe, and find everything at all-time highs. I just currently believe the risk-reward ratio is not skewed in my favour, and I don't know how about you, but I tend to listen to my probability gods, especially on the eve of another strong SPAC year .
#Bitcoin - Pivot is $102915 | Target $125385 or $80445 ?Date: 24-06-2025
#Bitcoin
Current Price: 105375
Pivot Point: 102915.00 Support: 99206.48 Resistance: 106655.63
#Bitcoin Upside Targets:
Target 1: 111205.31
Target 2: 115755.00
Target 3: 120570.00
Target 4: 125385.00
#Bitcoin Downside Targets:
Target 1: 94640.74
Target 2: 90075
Target 3: 85260
Target 4: 80445.00
BTC/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown Ahead?Bitcoin shows signs of a potential bearish reversal as price forms a rising wedge beneath a key supply zone. After a recent drop, price is retesting the 106k area (green zone), possibly setting up for continuation to the downside.
🔹 Rising wedge pattern near resistance
🔹 Bearish retest at previous support turned resistance
🔹 Potential drop targets: 102,575 and 102,268
🔹 Break below wedge support could accelerate the fall
BITCOIN'S BIG BOUNCEBitcoin’s daily chart shows a textbook liquidity sweep followed by a strong recovery. After dipping below the critical $100,000 psychological level late last week, price tagged a low around $99,000 before reversing sharply. This move likely shook out overleveraged longs and trapped breakout shorts – setting the stage for a high-volume bounce. Importantly, BTC reclaimed both the $100,716 horizontal support and the 50-day moving average – signaling renewed short-term bullish momentum.
Currently, Bitcoin is trading just below the key resistance level at $105,787 – a price zone that has repeatedly acted as a ceiling throughout June. A decisive breakout and close above this level would likely open the door to a move toward the $112,000 range highs. Until then, $105,787 remains the level to beat. If price rejects from here, the $100K zone becomes crucial once again – with $92,817 as the next major support below.
Volume has been supportive on the bounce, suggesting real demand stepped in on the sweep of the lows. For bulls to maintain control, they’ll want to see continued strength above the 50-day moving average and a clear break of resistance. For now, the structure looks constructive – but the next couple of daily closes will determine whether this was just a relief rally or the start of a broader continuation higher. We are basically trading between two key levels in a small range.
BTC/USD BUY 22/06/2025🇺🇸 This trade setup offers a strong buying opportunity, supported by several technical confluences. We observe a retest of the lower boundary of a descending range within a broader bullish trend, reinforced by a bullish RSI divergence and the presence of a key support zone. The strategy is to wait for a potential retest of the range low before entering a long position around the \$100,000 to \$101,000 area, with a stop loss set at \$98,000 to manage risk. The target (TP) is set at \$110,000, aiming for a risk-to-reward ratio (RR) greater than 3, which makes this setup highly attractive in terms of risk management.
From a fundamental perspective, this bullish bias is further supported by growing institutional interest and an uncertain macroeconomic environment, marked by inflation and geopolitical tensions. These factors continue to drive demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin as a store of value.
BITCOIN Is this just a giant Bull Flag??Bitcoin (BTCUSD) saw a strong sell-off yesterday in the aftermath of the U.S. strike in Iran and fears of retaliation, but in later hours recovered some of the lost ground. The recovery is being extended into the Asian and early E.U. hours today and the emerging Channel Down pattern already draws strong similarities with the one in December 17 2024 - January 13 2025.
Both broke below their respective 1D MA50 (blue trend-lines) to form a Lower Low, which in the case of Jan 2025, it initiated a rebound that tested the All Time High (ATH) Resistance. See also how similar their 1D RSI patterns are, testing the same Support level too (41.20).
Given that this time the uptrend has been much shorter since the April 07 2025 Low, this Channel Down may be nothing but a giant Bull Flag in the middle of a standard Bull Cycle Leg. Until confirmed with a 1W candle closing above the ATH Resistance though, the medium-term Target is $111900.
Notice also the formation today of a 1D MA100/200 Bullish Cross, the first since November 13 2024.
So what do you think? Is $111900 your short-term Target? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Bitcoin Top is In! Bear considerationsPrice has been carving out an unclear correction off the high. The recent structure has many squinting. Is it done or the calm before another wave of selling?
I am weighing two bearish scenarios here. One is more aggressive than the other. But both start with the same idea. No new high before another low.
Let’s start at the top.
The initial move down off the recent high could count as an impulse. Whether that is a wave 1 or a wave A is still up for judgment. Either way, that first leg sets a bearish tone at the larger degree.
Here’s where it gets interesting. The correction since then shows traits of a flat. A running one at the moment.
This opens the door to two active bearish projections:
A wave C collapse, implying a completed A B C correction and a downside resolution.
A wave 3 drop, for a possible top if this is an impulsive sequence.
That is the fork in the road. And it all hinges on the next move.
Right now, the smallest degree impulse off the low is doing some heavy lifting.
If that pivot holds and we only get an internal retracement like a micro wave 2, the door is still open for upside continuation.
But if that impulse gets invalidated, I would expect bears to press. First for a break below 100k, then toward the 95k area.
Here is how to think about it:
Hold the small impulse → Potential upside
Break the impulse base → Wave C or 3 likely underway
Context still leans bearish. Lower highs are still in play. But we are hunting a specific structure to confirm it.
Bitcoin's Bullish DriversThe four bullish drivers behind Bitcoin's rally:
1.Institutional involvement: BlackRock and other institutions have accumulated large positions through ETFs, with OTC inventory declining, creating a scarcity effect in the market.
2.Policy tailwinds: Escalating expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts have enhanced Bitcoin's attractiveness under low-interest-rate environments.
3.Regulatory breakthrough: China's Guotai Junan International has obtained regulatory approval, opening a compliant channel for Chinese capital.
4.Technical support: The 50-day moving average has broken above the 200-day moving average, forming a "golden cross" that confirms the long-term upward trend.
BTCUSD
buy@106000~107000
SL:105000
TP:108000~109000
I am committed to sharing trading signals every day. Among them, real-time signals will be flexibly pushed according to market dynamics. All the signals sent out last week accurately matched the market trends, helping numerous traders achieve substantial profits. Regardless of your previous investment performance, I believe that with the support of my professional strategies and timely signals, I will surely be able to assist you in breaking through investment bottlenecks and achieving new breakthroughs in the trading field.