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BTCUSD Wave Count: Bitcoin Unfolding Wave ((5)) ?Hello Friends, Welcome to RK_Chaarts, Let's analyze the Bitcoin chart today using Elliott Wave theory. As we can see, Bitcoin recently made a high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025. We've marked this as the completion of Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)). After that, it dropped to complete Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025. Now, it's moving up, possibly unfolding Wave ((5)). According to Elliott Wave principles, Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1. So, our nearest invalidation level is the 31st May's low at $103000. If the price sustains above this level, we can expect it to move towards $115,000 as a Projected Target of wave ((5)). However, if it breaks below the invalidation level, we'll need to re-analyze the wave counts. We've also drawn some trend lines, marked in black dotted lines, which act as support and resistance. This is a 1-hour time frame chart. The red line marking the nearest invalidation level is crucial. If it breaks, we'll need to adjust our wave counts. If it holds, we can expect the price to move up towards $115,000. Let's see how the market unfolds. Please note that this is an educational analysis and not a trading tip or advice. Analysis Summary - Analyzing Bitcoin chart using Elliott Wave theory to understand market trends and potential price movements. - Recent high around $112,000 on 23rd May 2025, & Recent Low around $103,000 on 31st May 2025 indicates a significant turning point in the market. Wave Count - Completed Primary Degree Black Wave ((3)) suggests a major uptrend has concluded. - Completed Wave ((4)) on 31st May 2025 indicates a correction phase has ended. - Possibly unfolding Wave ((5)) implies a new uptrend may be emerging. Key Levels - Nearest invalidation level: 31st May's low at $103,000 serves as a crucial support level. - Projected Target: $115,000 represents a potential upside target based on Elliott Wave principles. Elliott Wave Principles - Wave 2 cannot retrace more than 100% of Wave 1: a key rule governing wave relationships. - Wave ((5)) projection based on Fibonacci ratios and wave extensions. Chart Details - 1-hour time frame chart provides a detailed view of recent price action. - Trend lines marked in black dotted lines highlight key support and resistance levels. - Red line marking nearest invalidation level is crucial for validating the wave count. Important Notes - Breaking below the invalidation level would require re-evaluation of the wave count. - Sustaining above the invalidation level increases confidence in the projected target. I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only. Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing. I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses. Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else. However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business. If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...! Hope this post is helpful to community Thanks RK💕 Disclaimer and Risk Warning. The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Chaarts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Chaarts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by RK_Chaarts
4
BITCOIN Can the 4H MA200 hold and kickstart the next rally? Bitcoin (BTCUSD) almost hit on Saturday its 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been holding since April 16, and immediately rebounded. So far the bullish reaction is moderate as the price action is still being restricted below the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), which is now acting as the short-term Resistance. The blue Arc pattern that BTC has formed in the past 3 weeks, resembles the last two peak formations and pull-backs since the early April bottom. On top of all this, the 4H RSI got oversold (30.00) actually for the first time since the April 07 bottom. With the weakest rally of this long-term Bullish Leg being +16.06%, if the 4H MA200 holds and a 4H MA50 break-out confirms it, we can expect a minimum short-term rise of almost $120k (+16.06%). Do you think that's what's coming next? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
The Bitcoin Illusion: Unraveling the Largest Financial Bubble inIntroduction Bitcoin, often hailed as the future of money, a decentralized dream, and a hedge against fiat currencies, has captured the imagination of millions. Its meteoric rise from obscurity to a trillion-dollar market cap has fueled narratives of financial liberation and technological revolution. However, beneath the surface lies a troubling reality: Bitcoin’s story is a carefully orchestrated illusion, a bubble of unprecedented scale propped up by insiders, manipulative schemes, and a lack of real-world demand. This article dissects the claims surrounding Bitcoin’s legitimacy, exposing the mechanisms behind its inflated value and the insiders who control its narrative, wallets, and even laws. From El Salvador’s failed experiment to Tether’s opaque operations and the leveraged plays of figures like Jack Mallers and Michael Saylor, we’ll uncover why Bitcoin is poised to become the largest financial scandal in history. 1. The El Salvador Mirage: A Manufactured “Adoption” Narrative In 2021, El Salvador made headlines as the first nation to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender, a move championed by President Nayib Bukele and Bitcoin advocate Jack Mallers. The announcement, delivered with emotional fanfare at the Bitcoin Conference in Miami, was sold as a revolutionary step toward financial inclusion and sovereignty. But the reality is far less inspiring. Blockchain data and reports suggest that El Salvador’s Bitcoin “investment” is not what it seems, revealing a troubling connection to Tether and Bitfinex that undermines the narrative of organic adoption. The Blockchain Evidence Recent on-chain analysis indicates that of the 6,114 Bitcoin held in El Salvador’s treasury, 6,111 BTC were transferred directly from wallets linked to Bitfinex and Tether, not purchased on the open market. This raises serious questions about the authenticity of El Salvador’s Bitcoin strategy. If a nation were truly adopting Bitcoin as a currency, one would expect transparent, market-based purchases, not opaque transfers from a single entity. Tether, the issuer of the USDT stablecoin, has deep ties to Bitfinex, and both entities have been scrutinized for their lack of transparency and history of regulatory violations. The fact that Tether reportedly drafted El Salvador’s Bitcoin legislation further muddies the waters, suggesting a coordinated effort to create the appearance of national adoption. The Chivo Wallet Collapse El Salvador’s Chivo Wallet, launched to facilitate Bitcoin transactions, was supposed to be the cornerstone of this experiment. Yet, it has been an unmitigated failure. Usage plummeted by 98.9% shortly after its launch, and the wallet is now effectively defunct. Reports indicate that the infrastructure was plagued by technical issues, low adoption rates, and a lack of trust among citizens. This collapse undermines the claim that Bitcoin enjoys organic demand in El Salvador. Instead, it points to a top-down push, likely incentivized by Tether and Bitfinex, to create a facade of success. A Liquidity Laundering Scheme? The involvement of Tether and Bitfinex suggests a deeper motive: a liquidity laundering scheme designed to prop up Bitcoin’s price and Tether’s reserves. By transferring Bitcoin to El Salvador’s treasury, Tether could inflate the perception of institutional adoption, encouraging retail investors to buy in. Bukele’s government, facing economic challenges and seeking global attention, was an ideal partner. The arrangement benefits all parties: Bukele gains PR as a forward-thinking leader, Bitfinex secures liquidity, and Tether maintains its fragile peg. But the lack of real demand in El Salvador exposes this as a manufactured narrative, not a genuine economic shift. 2. Jack Mallers and Twenty One Capital: Tether’s Puppet Play Jack Mallers, the charismatic CEO of Strike and now Twenty One Capital, has positioned himself as a Bitcoin evangelist, promising to outdo Michael Saylor in the race to accumulate BTC. His new venture, Twenty One Capital, launched with a $3.6 billion Bitcoin treasury, backed by Tether, Bitfinex, and SoftBank. But a closer look reveals that this is less an investment firm and more a cog in the Tether-Bitfinex machine, designed to perpetuate the illusion of Bitcoin’s dominance. On-Chain Revelations On-chain data shows that 25,812 BTC, worth over $2 billion, were transferred to Twenty One Capital from Tether and Bitfinex wallets in June 2025 alone. An earlier transfer of 4,812 BTC for $458.7 million was also traced to Tether. These transactions, detailed in reports from Bitcoin Magazine and other sources, indicate that Twenty One’s Bitcoin holdings are not the result of market demand but rather internal movements within the Tether ecosystem. This is not investment—it’s accounting sleight of hand, designed to create the appearance of institutional interest. Strike’s Tether Dependency Mallers’ other venture, Strike, has long relied on Tether’s USDT for its payment infrastructure. Despite Mallers’ public Bitcoin maximalism, Strike’s operations have historically leaned on USDT, with reports confirming that 100% of its payments flow through Tether’s stablecoin. This dependency raises questions about Mallers’ independence and suggests that his ventures are extensions of Tether’s agenda. Strike’s reported $6 billion in transaction volume in 2024 and high profit margins are impressive, but they hinge on Tether’s opaque operations, not a decentralized Bitcoin economy. The Saylor Playbook, Amplified Twenty One Capital explicitly models itself after Michael Saylor’s Strategy, aiming to “Saylorize” corporate Bitcoin adoption. But unlike Strategy, which at least operates as a publicly traded company with some regulatory oversight, Twenty One is majority-owned by Tether and Bitfinex, entities with a history of legal troubles. Tether’s $145 billion market cap and lack of independent audits make it a risky linchpin for such a venture. Mallers’ promise to grow “Bitcoin per share” sounds innovative, but it’s a repackaged version of the same leveraged speculation that fuels Bitcoin’s bubble. 3. Michael Saylor and Strategy: The Leveraged Ponzi Loop Michael Saylor, the outspoken CEO of Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy), is often credited with pioneering corporate Bitcoin adoption. His company holds over 580,000 BTC, valued at approximately $64 billion as of June 2025. But Saylor’s strategy is not about sound money—it’s a high-stakes gamble that relies on perpetual hype and leverage to sustain itself. The Circular Scheme Saylor’s playbook is simple: raise capital through debt or equity, buy Bitcoin, hype the price, raise more capital, and repeat. This circular loop has driven Strategy’s stock to dizzying heights, with a market cap of $94 billion despite minimal operational revenue. The company’s aggressive borrowing—over $4 billion in convertible notes—makes it one of the riskiest stocks in the market. If Bitcoin’s price falters, Strategy’s debt obligations could trigger a catastrophic unwind, wiping out shareholders and exposing the fragility of its model. No Real Innovation Strategy’s pivot from a struggling software company to a Bitcoin proxy is not innovation—it’s financial engineering. By tying its value to Bitcoin’s price, Saylor has created a vehicle for speculation, not utility. The company produces no meaningful Bitcoin-based products or services, relying instead on market sentiment to drive its stock price. This mirrors the dot-com bubble, where companies with no viable business models soared on hype alone. Insider Connections? While direct evidence of Saylor’s ties to Tether is lacking, the parallels between Strategy’s strategy and the Tether-Bitfinex ecosystem are striking. Both rely on inflating Bitcoin’s price through artificial demand, whether via Tether’s unbacked USDT minting or Strategy’s leveraged purchases. The lack of transparency in both operations suggests a coordinated effort to maintain the illusion of Bitcoin’s value. 4. Tether and Bitcoin: A Circular Backing Loop At the heart of Bitcoin’s bubble lies Tether, the stablecoin issuer that has become the crypto market’s central bank. Tether’s USDT, pegged to the dollar, is the lifeblood of crypto exchanges, accounting for over 70% of trading volume. But its opaque reserves and history of regulatory violations make it a ticking time bomb, with Bitcoin as its primary collateral damage. Tether’s Bitcoin Hoard At the Bitcoin 2025 Conference, Tether announced it holds over 100,000 BTC and 50 tons of gold, alongside its $145 billion in USDT reserves. This revelation confirms long-standing suspicions that Tether is a major buyer of Bitcoin, using freshly minted USDT to pump prices. The strategy is straightforward: mint USDT, buy BTC, sell excess BTC for USD and gold to bolster reserves, then parade those reserves as proof of legitimacy. This creates a circular loop where Tether props up Bitcoin, and Bitcoin’s rising price justifies Tether’s peg. The Mt. Gox Parallel This setup mirrors the collapse of Mt. Gox, the infamous Bitcoin exchange that imploded in 2014 after losing 850,000 BTC. Like Mt. Gox, Tether operates with minimal transparency, refusing independent audits and facing regulatory scrutiny. Posts on X highlight this concern, with users noting Tether’s failure to comply with Europe’s MiCA regulations and its history of printing unbacked tokens. If Tether’s reserves are overstated or its Bitcoin holdings lose value, the entire crypto market could collapse, taking Bitcoin with it. Saifedean Ammous’ Warning Bitcoin maximalist Saifedean Ammous, author of The Bitcoin Standard, inadvertently exposed the fragility of this system at Bitcoin 2025. He suggested that Tether’s growing Bitcoin reserves could one day surpass its dollar reserves, potentially revaluing USDT above the dollar. While framed as a bullish prediction, this scenario highlights the absurdity of a stablecoin backed by a volatile asset like Bitcoin. If Tether’s peg breaks, the fallout would be catastrophic, echoing the Lehman Brothers collapse of 2008. 5. Institutional Retreat: The Fading “Smart Money” Narrative Bitcoin’s proponents often cite institutional adoption as proof of its legitimacy. But recent data paints a different picture. Bitcoin spot ETFs saw $267.5 million in net outflows on June 2, 2025, marking three consecutive days of withdrawals. Since the 2021 hype peak, institutional interest has dropped by over 91%, reflecting growing skepticism. Even the SEC, despite a pro-crypto shift under the Trump administration, remains cautious, hesitating to approve new ETFs from firms like Bitwise and Grayscale due to concerns over fraud protections. The ETF Exodus The steady outflows from Bitcoin ETFs signal that institutions are not “all in” as claimed. The initial FOMO-driven inflows of 2021 have given way to a more sober assessment of Bitcoin’s risks. Volatile prices, regulatory uncertainty, and a lack of clear use cases have eroded confidence. This contradicts the narrative that Bitcoin is a safe haven or a maturing asset class, exposing it as a speculative bubble driven by retail hype. Regulatory Headwinds The SEC’s reluctance to expand Bitcoin ETF approvals underscores the market’s vulnerabilities. Fraud, manipulation, and lack of transparency—issues tied to Tether and Bitfinex—remain significant concerns. Even in a pro-crypto regulatory environment, these structural flaws cannot be ignored, further undermining Bitcoin’s institutional appeal. 6. The House of Cards: Why Bitcoin’s Collapse Is Inevitable Bitcoin’s value proposition rests on three pillars: decentralization, scarcity, and utility. Each is weaker than it appears, and together, they form a house of cards waiting to collapse. Centralization in Disguise Despite its decentralized rhetoric, Bitcoin’s ecosystem is controlled by a handful of players. Tether and Bitfinex dominate liquidity, exchanges like Binance and Coinbase control trading, and figures like Mallers and Saylor shape the narrative. Wallet concentration is another issue: the top 1% of Bitcoin addresses hold over 90% of the supply, undermining the idea of a democratic currency. Scarcity Myth Bitcoin’s 21 million supply cap is often touted as a hedge against inflation. But scarcity alone doesn’t guarantee value. Without real-world utility, Bitcoin’s price is driven by speculation, not fundamentals. Tether’s ability to mint USDT and buy BTC artificially inflates demand, creating a false sense of scarcity. Lack of Utility Bitcoin’s use as a currency or store of value is limited. Transaction fees remain high, scalability is a persistent issue, and adoption as a payment method is negligible outside niche communities. El Salvador’s failed experiment and the collapse of Chivo Wallet demonstrate that Bitcoin struggles to gain traction in real-world economies. The Tether Time Bomb Tether’s role as Bitcoin’s primary buyer is the linchpin of this bubble. If Tether’s reserves are exposed as inadequate or its USDT peg breaks, the crypto market will face a liquidity crisis. Bitcoin’s price, propped up by Tether’s printing, would plummet, triggering a cascade of liquidations across leveraged players like Strategy and Twenty One Capital. 7. The Psychological Trap: Why Bitcoiners Are Blind to the Truth Bitcoin’s community, often called “maximalists,” is driven by a mix of ideology, greed, and denial. They view Bitcoin as a rebellion against centralized finance, ignoring the centralization within their own ecosystem. This cognitive dissonance is fueled by charismatic figures like Mallers and Saylor, who promise wealth and freedom while orchestrating speculative schemes. The Cult of HODL The “HODL” mantra—holding Bitcoin regardless of price—encourages blind loyalty over critical thinking. Maximalists dismiss criticism as FUD (fear, uncertainty, doubt), refusing to engage with evidence of manipulation or fragility. This cult-like behavior mirrors historical bubbles, where investors ignored red flags until it was too late. The Role of Influencers Figures like Mallers, Saylor, and even Bukele serve as influencers, leveraging charisma and media to sustain the hype. Their promises of endless growth and financial revolution obscure the reality of a market propped up by unbacked stablecoins and leveraged bets. 8. Historical Parallels: Lessons from Past Bubbles Bitcoin’s trajectory mirrors historical financial bubbles, from the Dutch Tulip Mania to the dot-com crash. Each was driven by speculative fervor, a lack of intrinsic value, and insider manipulation. The dot-com bubble, for instance, saw companies with no revenue soar on hype, only to collapse when reality set in. Bitcoin’s reliance on Tether’s unbacked USDT and leveraged corporate plays like Strategy and Twenty One Capital echoes this pattern. The collapse of Mt. Gox in 2014 is a closer parallel. Like Tether, Mt. Gox was a central player in Bitcoin’s early ecosystem, handling 70% of transactions. Its failure exposed systemic vulnerabilities, and Tether’s current dominance poses a similar risk. If Tether falters, the fallout could dwarf Mt. Gox’s impact, given Bitcoin’s $1.5 trillion market cap. 9. The Endgame: A Scandal of Historic Proportions Bitcoin’s bubble is not just a financial phenomenon—it’s a scandal waiting to unravel. The interplay of Tether’s unbacked stablecoin, insider-controlled wallets, and leveraged corporate plays creates a perfect storm. When the music stops, the consequences will be severe: Retail Investors: Small investors, lured by promises of wealth, will bear the brunt of the collapse. Many have invested life savings, unaware of the manipulation behind Bitcoin’s price. Institutional Fallout: Firms like Strategy and Twenty One Capital, heavily leveraged, face insolvency if Bitcoin’s price crashes. This could ripple through equity markets, affecting broader portfolios. Regulatory Crackdown: A Tether collapse would prompt global regulators to crack down on crypto, potentially stifling innovation but exposing the industry’s weaknesses. 10. Conclusion: Time to Wake Up Bitcoin’s story is a seductive illusion, a carefully crafted narrative designed to enrich insiders while exploiting the hopes of retail investors. From El Salvador’s manufactured adoption to Tether’s opaque reserves, Jack Mallers’ Tether-backed ventures, and Michael Saylor’s leveraged gamble, the evidence points to a bubble built on smoke and mirrors. The decline in institutional interest, coupled with Tether’s central role, signals that the end is near. Bitcoiners may cling to the dream of decentralization, but the reality is a centralized ecosystem controlled by a few powerful players. The largest financial scandal in history is not a question of “if” but “when.” Investors must look beyond the hype, question the narratives, and protect themselves from the inevitable crash.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by RoadToAMillionClub
BTCUSD Bear Trap Loading – Premium OB Sell Setup ActivatedBTCUSD | 1H Smart Money Rejection Play – Premium Repricing Before Breakdown The king of crypto is looking shaky. Smart money isn’t buying the pump. Here’s why BTCUSD might be gearing up for a steep dump from a premium order block reaction 🩸👇 📌 1. Market Context: After a clean bearish leg, BTCUSD is now retracing into a premium zone — above the 70.5% Fib Price is climbing into a high-probability reversal OB (highlighted in purple/red) This area aligns with the 70.5%–79% golden retracement zone — where institutions love to load shorts 🧠📉 💎 2. Key Levels to Watch: 🔺 Premium OB Zone (Sell Zone): 108,378.95 – 109,276.15 🟣 Golden Rejection Zone: Fib 70.5% – 79% 🔽 Target Weak Low: 103,121.59 ⛔ Invalidation/SL Above: 109,276.15 🎯 RR Potential: 1:4+ sniper-grade Price is expected to tap this premium zone, sweep liquidity, and collapse into the weak low for a full market cycle completion 🔁 🧠 3. Smart Money Flow: This move smells like a liquidity grab trap – taking out late longs before a drop No bullish BOS from HTF – market structure still bearish OB overlaps with inefficiency (FVG), making it ripe for rejection Strong high is intact — unbroken = more confluence for downside 🎯 4. Execution Strategy (Entry Tips): ⚔ Wait for: M5–M15 shift in structure (BOS) from bullish to bearish inside the OB Sharp rejection wick or engulfing candle for confirmation Ideal entry = wick entry near 109.2 with tight SL just above OB Target = weak low for full mitigation and profit harvesting This is surgical precision territory. The sniper must be patient before pulling the trigger 🥷 🔥 5. Why This Short is GOLD: ✅ OB + Fib + FVG confluence = high-odds reversal zone ✅ Price is in premium – not discount = perfect for shorts ✅ Weak low = magnet ✅ No bullish confirmation = no reason to long This is not a guess — this is the blueprint for institutional execution 📐 📉 Drop “BTC Dump Mode 🚨” in the comments if you’re watching this setup too 🔁 Save this setup for your playbook ⚔ Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more institutional-level trade ideas like this one
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88
Bitcoin: Bear Flag Formation Implies Weakness.Bitcoin has retraced as anticipated in my previous article (see Wave 5). So much for all the nonsense hype at the Bitcoin conference. Bitcoin has tested the 103K area and found some support but is developing a mini bear flag (see arrow). IF the 103,500K level is broken, that confirms the corrective structure is still in play and a test of 102 to 100K can still be the dominant scenario for the coming week (NFP this week). This means for swing traders on this time frame, it is likely too early for longs. The 102 to 100K area is still the major support that I anticipate. A long signal here can look like a pin bar on this time frame, or a double bottom formation on a 4h or 1h chart. It often pays to wait for these scenarios but there is always a risk of missing the move if price confirms a reversal pattern sooner. IF the current candle closes much higher (above 106K) then it will invalidate the bear flag. This means the bullish continuation would be in play. In my opinion this is a lower probability, but you have to be open to it. In the bullish scenario a test of 110 to 112 servers as a profit objective. While a breakout beyond 112 can happen, the more you expect, the more RISK you must be exposed to. A test of high is more probable than a new high. Along with that, I suspect current price action is more likely to consolidate rather than continue high over the short term because 5 waves are clearly in place. That usually means a corrective structure is likely to follow, and that is what we are currently in. The bullish candles are too early to buy into. If the bear flag plays out, there will be more attractive prices to wait for reversal formations. Otherwise, work smaller time frames, look for small bites going either way and keep the size small. This is not an easy environment.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
4
BTCUSD Analysis Today: Technical and On-Chain !In this video, I will share my BTCUSD analysis by providing my complete technical and on-chain insights, so you can watch it to improve your crypto trading skillset. The video is structured in 4 parts, first I will be performing my complete technical analysis, then I will be moving to the on-chain data analysis, then I will be moving to the liquidation maps analysis and lastly, I will be putting together these 3 different types of analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Transparent_Fx_Academy
37
Bullish View Towards $109,000!Hello dear traders! 🍻 Today, I want to share my bullish outlook on Bitcoin. After a precise examination of the chart and the influencing factors, I believe Bitcoin has the potential to reach $109,000 in the short term. 🔷 Technical Analysis: Confirming Order Block Strength From a technical perspective, Bitcoin had a crucial interaction with a designated order block (marked by a red square) on the chart and immediately moved upwards. This direct and strong upward reaction indicates the power and significance of this specific order block. Please keep in mind that this analysis is solely my personal opinion. Any return of the price to this area could be very significant. However, if the price breaks below this red area, my bullish analysis would be invalidated, and we could potentially see a drop to $95,000. 🔶 Fundamental Analysis: A Bright Future Ahead Beyond the technicals, several strong fundamental factors also support a positive outlook for Bitcoin:🔻 1. ETF Inflows: The continuous inflow of liquidity into Bitcoin Spot ETFs paints a bright future for Bitcoin, consistently increasing buying pressure in the market. 2. Institutional and National Adoption: The growing acceptance of Bitcoin by investment funds and even as strategic reserves by countries could truly transform Bitcoin into a global and highly valuable asset. 3. Accumulation by Long-Term Holders & Decreasing Exchange Supply: Data shows that long-term Bitcoin investors are actively accumulating and holding onto their assets. Concurrently, the supply of Bitcoin on exchanges is decreasing. This suggests that investors are not planning to exit their positions for current profits and are anticipating much higher prices. 📍 Conclusion ⚠️ Overall, this was a short-term, personal analysis that I've provided. I hope you find it useful. Important Note: Any break below the red marked area invalidates this analysis. GOODLUCK🍀
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by TheApolloo
BTCUSD Technical Outlook – Supply Zone Reaction Likely?Price has aggressively recovered from the demand zone around $101,000–$101,500, initiating a sharp bullish leg into a previously defined supply zone between $104,260–$104,787. This region also overlaps with a prior inefficiency and strong sell-off area. 📌 Key Highlights: PDH (Previous Day High) has been swept. Price is now entering a confluence of resistance: 🔹 Bearish order block 🔹 Supply zone 🔹 Volume imbalance filled Clear reaction anticipated as buyers begin to slow down near $104,260–$104,787. Lower timeframe structure suggests bullish exhaustion as we tap into this zone. 📉 Bias: Bearish 💡 Scenario: Looking for potential rejection from current levels for a move back into $103,116, with deeper downside targets near $102,600 and possibly back into the demand zone below $101,500. Trade Setup Idea: Entry: ~$104,260–$104,787 TP1: $103,100 TP2: $102,600 SL: Above $104,800 Invalidation: Clean break and close above $104,800 on higher timeframes. 🧠 Watch price action closely within this zone before entering. Patience will be key for precision.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by PIPSPHERE_NETWORK
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: 110k RejectionAfter the powerful rally that began in the last quarter of 2024, Bitcoin is now at a critical market juncture. The price has once again reached the 106,000–110,000 USD zone, an area that already showed strong signs of distribution back in February and March 2025. This isn’t just a typical resistance level—it’s a psychologically loaded zone, marked by previous highs and repeated selling pressure. In May, the monthly candle revealed a clear rejection from this zone: a prominent upper wick and a bearish body, signaling the bulls' struggle to sustain new highs. This behavior suggests the beginning of a profit-taking phase or, more likely, a medium-term consolidation. The picture becomes even more complex when we look at the COT Report dated May 27, 2025. Non-commercial institutional traders—speculative funds, hedge funds, and portfolio managers—have significantly increased their short positions, now exceeding 26,800 contracts. Meanwhile, long positions are hovering around 24,500, resulting in a net bearish exposure. The message is clear: smart money isn’t buying the breakout—it's selling into it. Seasonality analysis reinforces this narrative. Historically, June tends to be a weak month for Bitcoin, often followed by renewed strength in the next quarter. The 2025 seasonal curve has mirrored the bullish pattern of 2021 up to May, but now—consistent with historical patterns—is showing signs of slowing. This supports the idea that the market might need a breather before potentially rallying again in Q3. From a technical standpoint, the key levels are well defined. The 95,000–97,000 USD area is the first dynamic support zone, where the price might find short-term relief. However, the more significant support lies between 82,000 and 85,000 USD—this is the origin of the current rally and aligns with the old breakout structure. A return to this level would represent a healthy and natural correction within a still structurally bullish long-term context. In summary, the current outlook calls for caution. Momentum is fading, seasonality is unfavorable, and institutional players are trimming long exposure while adding to shorts. Until the price can consolidate above 110,500 USD, the dominant scenario remains a corrective pullback, with interim targets at 95k and potential drops toward the 85k zone. However, if the market surprises with a strong weekly close above the highs, it could pave the way for a new leg up toward the 125,000–135,000 USD range—potentially fueled by macro catalysts such as ETF inflows, Fed narratives, or broader adoption.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
Fib Channel Extending From 2020 To PresentThe Fractal Wave Marker is used in this analysis. It gives a multi-scale perspective of swing highs and lows - how the market moves across different time intervals. Nested cycles (fractured pattern) reveals important order in phase transitions from small pullbacks to major trends. Basically making it easier to look for systematic patterns. For example, with this tool we can easier spot a commonality like the identifying consistent angle that connects consecutive tops as well as bottoms by parallel lines that gives an idea of general direction. If we were to use that channel as a topological expression to examine to what extent the fact of price happening there influenced probability density and what it changed in future price behavior , we would literally integrate it with broader scale fibonacci structures like: adding more ratios after 1 (not just 0 - 1) to illustrated chart above. The implemented version would look something like this: Chart-based curve aligning with angle of the channel - validating measurements in use. Documenting the structural buildup for research purposes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by fract
BTC/USD 4H – Simple Price Action Analysis✅ Break of structure: Price broke above the last lower high, showing a shift from bearish to bullish. 🟦 Demand zone: Price is now pulling back into a previous consolidation area (blue box), which could act as support. 📉 Current move: The recent drop seems like a correction. If buyers defend the $103,800–$104,200 area, we could see another bounce. 📈 Potential: If support holds, next targets could be around $107,000 or higher. Watch for bullish candles near support to confirm a possible continuation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Signals_Trader
BTCUSD Price ActionHello Traders, The market is closing soon, but for those following BTC — here's a setup I’ve spotted. Our previous setup successfully hit the take-profit target. Now, we can clearly see that price initially respected the trendline, followed by a breakout. It has now returned for a retest, again respecting the trendline. This presents a valid short opportunity, provided you apply proper risk management. Also, take a moment to reflect on any trading mistakes you made this week — not with regret, but as a learning experience. That’s how progress happens. Wishing you all the best — happy weekend and good trades ahead!
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by SuvashishFx
BTC / USD 1hr 110K INC!BTC/USD – 1H Chart Analysis 📝 Trend Overview: BTC is showing signs of a bullish reversal, forming higher highs and higher lows, supported by the broadening bottom pattern. This formation often signals accumulation and precedes breakout moves. The market has now bounced three times from the demand zone, reinforcing its validity as a strong support. 📍 Key Technical Zones: Demand Zone: 103,201.46 – 104,197.07 Price has tested this zone multiple times and bounced, indicating strong buying interest. ☑️ Supply Zone: 110,098.80 – 111,330.54 Significant historical resistance. If BTC reaches this zone, expect strong selling pressure. 📥 Fair Value Gaps (FVGs): 1H FVG: 105,746.93 – 106,157.49 Aligned with the Fibonacci Golden Pocket (0.618–0.786) retracement, increasing confluence. 4H FVG: 107,337.85 – 107,738.15 Key level for potential breakout or rejection. ✅ Targets: TP1: 1H FVG zone (~106k) TP2: 4H FVG zone (~107.5k) TP3: Supply zone (~110k–111k) ❌ Invalidation: Break and close below the demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias short term. 📊 Volume Profile & OBV: Volume Profile (Right Side): High activity zones between 105k–107k show areas of interest for both bulls and bears. 📊 OBV (On-Balance Volume): Currently consolidating, which suggests accumulation and potential for a breakout once volume picks up. 🧠 Summary: BTC has regained bullish momentum following multiple rejections from the demand zone and the formation of a broadening bottom. If the price confirms a higher low at or above 104,925, expect a move towards the 106k and possibly the 110k region. Monitor price action at the FVGs for reactions and profit-taking opportunities. (NOTE: This is a spot trade - Leverage at your own risk and research)
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by King_BennyBag
6
Is Bitcoin Ready to Explode? This setup with 10 R:RIs BTC Ready for the Next Uptrend After a Small Pullback to the 0.236 Fib Level (~103K)? A potential 10:1 risk-to-reward setup is forming. BTC has already printed a higher low (HL) on the weekly chart and is currently trading above both the weekly and monthly opens — a strong sign of bullish momentum. Setup Details: Entry: 106670 Stop Loss: 103000 Target: 144000 Risk-to-Reward: 10:1 This setup is shared for educational purposes only. Always do your own research and manage risk accordingly.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CaptainMilo
BTCUSD 6/7/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a phenomenal Market Breakdown & an update to his 6/2/2025 Call-out as Price did exactly what he said Price was about to do AGAIN!!!! This is a repeated offender of anticipating Bitcoins Price Action with Precise Levels, Proper Timing, & Perfect Direction! _SnipeGoat_ _TheeCandleReadingGURU_ #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheeSnipeGoat
BTCUSD: This part may be the most exciting of all.Bitcoin is on an excellent bullish 1W technical outlook (RSI = 65.366, MACD = 6742.800, ADX = 33.478) unphazed by the recent short term pullback. This is because the Cycle is only now starting is strongest phase, at least based on the historic price action of the former Cycles. After the U.S. elections in November 2024, we've crossed above the Bear Cycle neckline and on all previous Cycles, that is where the parabolic rally started. How high it can go is anybody's guess and depends largely on fundamentals (adoption, ETF, Rate Cuts) but we can agree that we will see at least 150,000 before this Cycle ends. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
₿ BTC: Delay Tactics in Wave B Bitcoin dropped hard yesterday, throwing a wrench into the expected climb toward the top of green wave B. This bounce was supposed to stretch into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891, which we flagged as a smart area to take partial profits or layer in short hedges. That zone still stands—BTC just isn’t ready to hit it yet. The current pullback suggests we’ll see more sideways-to-lower price action before green wave B wraps up. Once it does, green wave C should drag Bitcoin into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. That’s where we’re looking for orange wave a to complete. After that, a countertrend rally in wave b could pop up—before wave c wraps the entire corrective cycle and finishes blue wave (ii). We’re also watching an alt.(i) breakout scenario (30% probability). In that case, BTC would blow through the $130,891 level early, bypassing the expected dip and reaching new highs faster than projected. 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel