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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 3, 2025📊 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – April 3, 2025 🚀 🔹 Current Price: 83,187.60 🔹 Timeframe: 30M 📌 Key Support Levels (Demand Zones): 🟢 81,266.01 – Major Support Zone 📌 Key Resistance Levels (Fair Value Gaps - FVGs & Supply Zones): 🔴 83,929.01 – First Target 🔴 85,231.24 – Major Resistance (Potential Target) 📈 Bullish Scenario: BTC is currently consolidating around 83,187 and forming a potential bullish structure. A break above 83,929.01 could lead to a rally toward 85,231.24. The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level (85,310.24) is a key area to watch for potential resistance. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If BTC fails to hold above 83,000, we could see a drop towards the 81,266 support zone. A break below 81,266 may indicate further downside movement. ⚡ Trading Tip: ✅ Wait for bullish confirmation before entering long positions. ✅ Look for potential rejection at the FVG zones for reversal trades. ✅ Use risk management and set stop losses appropriately. #Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #CryptoMarket
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by FXFOREVER_87
The Great Reshuffling (2025-2035)? A Long-Term Investing ThesisWhat Is the Great Reshuffling? The Great Reshuffling is a slow but powerful transition that I believe is already underway. It’s not a one-time crash or boom—it’s a structural reordering of global power, capital, labor, and values. I believe it will take place from 2025 to 2035. We’re seeing the early signs in every direction: jobs disappearing, currencies weakening, AI accelerating, and new global alliances forming. At its core, the reshuffling is a massive shift in where money flows, how economies function, and who benefits. Wealth is quietly moving. Institutions are quietly adjusting. This post isn’t about hype or fear. It’s about equipping. My goal here is to provoke thought, share my perspective, and encourage discussion amongst us all. I’m not here to sell panic or pretend I know everything. The truth is—I’ve never lived through a recession as an adult. I was 16 during 2008. I didn’t understand what was happening back then, and to be honest, I still carry a lot of uncertainty about what a real economic downturn feels like. Will I be paying $15 for a loaf of bread? Living in a box at the local park? These thoughts have kept me up at night. Since January 14th—when the markets gave their first signal of a potential recession. That’s not drama. That’s just how seriously I take the data, and the questions it makes me ponder. I started posting about a 30%–55% drop in the markets before the new administration took office. It’s now playing out almost exactly as forecasted. But this isn’t about being right—it’s about being ready. I’m not a financial guru. Take everything in this thesis with a grain of salt. At the end of the day, none of us have a crystal ball and the market does what it wants. But I’ve been trading for eight years. I called the COVID flash crash six months before it happened. I called Bitcoin’s run from $8K to $32K the week before it moved. I don’t say that to brag—I say that to make one thing clear: Much of the foundation for what I’m sharing here stems from Ray Dalio’s Changing World Order , which I highly recommend watching. It’ll give you the historical context behind the moment we’re living through. And for what it’s worth—we’re nearing the 100-year mark since the Great Depression. History doesn’t repeat perfectly, but it rhymes loud enough to listen. This isn’t a prediction post. It’s an opportunistic positioning plan. 🗂️ What We’ll Cover What the Great Reshuffling Is 8 Key Drivers You Should Know My 3-Phase Plan for Navigating the Next Decade Step 1: U.S. Equity Entry Levels Step 2: Real Asset Wealth Portfolio (R.A.W.) Step 3: Feeding the Crypto Beast (👈DON’T SKIP THIS) Closing Thoughts & Encouragement *Nothing in this article constitutes as financial advice. Investing is risky and it’s up to you to do your own research. Let’s begin. ____________________________________________________________________________ PART I: The Core Drivers of the Reshuffling 1. Gold has skyrocketed nonstop since 2022 This reflects institutional money entering that market. This reflects a demand for hard assets. This reflects distrust towards holding fiat. 2. The Dollar’s Decay The Dollar Index (USD’s value vs other currencies) has dropped 8% this year. It has the potential to drop an additional 25% over the next 5 years. See this post. The USD naturally loses value over time, since it’s inception. Tariffs and isolationist policy could accelerate this trend. (more on that later) 3. Consumer Spending Cracks (U.S.) XRT (an ETF that reflects consumer spending health) is signaling a 20% drop over the next 1-3 years, which would be a return to pre-Covid levels— this shows institutions are betting against consumer spending. Delinquency rates and loan defaults have gone up 50% over the past 2 years.— this is a warning sign. We’re entering the “hangover” after the COVID stimulus party. Savings are lower. Inflation ate up the gains. And we’re starting to feel the real consequences of artificially propping up a fragile system. 4. Recession Already Here? Unemployment ticking up—if the unemployment rate is 4.3% or higher in May, it will trigger the Sahm rule. A recession has happened 100% of the time this rule is triggered. I’m anticipating higher unemployment reports in May because Q1 layoffs land on that report. If the Fed cuts rates in the first week of May, it will be a strong confirmation that we’re already in a recession. Rate cuts aren’t a bullish signal—they’re a response to something breaking. It’s an attempt to encourage growth. Junk bonds (SJB) are bullish—which usually means investors are worried that more people and businesses won’t be able to pay back their debts. It’s kind of like the first crack in a dam—it doesn’t look huge, but it’s a warning something bigger might break soon. 5. BRICS, Trade Wars, and Global Fragmentation BRICS (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa) now represent about half the world’s population, while the U.S. and its allies (the G7) make up only about 15%. That matters because the bigger group is starting to trade more with each other—and less with the U.S. The U.S. is adding tariffs, which are basically extra taxes on foreign goods, in an attempt to protect its own economy. But the more tariffs we add, the more we push other countries to trade without us. That’s why a new trade system is forming, with other countries working around the U.S. dollar. They’re not doing it out of hate—they’re doing it out of practicality, because being too tied to the dollar feels risky now. This doesn’t mean America’s done—but it does mean the world isn’t waiting on us anymore. 6. Commercial Real Estate Collapse Remote work = empty/half-empty office buildings. Most office buildings are bought with borrowed money, and landlords count on long-term leases to pay those loans. But now, with companies going remote or downsizing, a lot of offices are sitting empty. The bills are still due—but the rent isn’t coming in. This matters because most of that debt is held by regional banks. If too many landlords start defaulting, those banks take the hit first—and that pressure can quietly ripple through the financial system. 7. AI + Job Displacement AI isn’t just an “edge” anymore—it’s a job threat. Companies facing tariffs will automate or cut human labor to protect margins. White-collar layoffs might come next as it continues to evolve. The World Economic Forum (WEF) estimates that between 2023 and 2028, 44% of workers' skills will face disruption due to AI advancements. 8. The Boomer Wealth Transfer The Baby Boomer generation will be aging out of the economy over the next 5–15 years. That means $70–85 trillion is about to change hands—roughly three times the U.S. GDP. Millennials and Gen Z are inheriting that wealth, and they tend to think differently about money than previous generations. Expect a wave of capital to flow out of the typically U.S. Indexes and into alternative assets like crypto, gold, farmland, and digital infrastructure—things that feel more tangible, future-focused, or values-aligned. ____________________________________________________________________ 🔎 Checkpoint: What We’ve Covered So Far Let’s pause for a second and sum up the key signals: 📈 Gold is surging — a sign that big money is shifting into safe, backed assets. 💵 The dollar is weakening — and could drop even further over the next few years. 🛍️ Consumer spending is cracking — defaults are rising, and savings are drying up. 📉 A recession may already be here — rising unemployment and junk bond signals are flashing red. 🌍 Global alliances are shifting — BRICS is rising, and the U.S. is becoming more isolated through tariffs. 🏢 Commercial real estate is unstable — empty offices = quiet pressure on regional banks. 🤖 AI is replacing jobs — especially white-collar roles once thought safe. 👴🏽 $70–85 trillion is changing hands — and the next generation is likely to invest it differently. Taken together, these signals point to a simple truth: The U.S. may be heading into a weaker economic cycle—while other regions begin to expand. That doesn’t mean collapse. It just means the center of gravity is shifting. And in that kind of environment, positioning matters more than predictions. __________________________________________________________________________ How I’m Positioning for the Reshuffle I’m not diving in headfirst or trying to time the exact bottom. I’m treating this like a storm—and storms move in phases. Right now, I’m sitting on my hands, watching key levels. As many of us on here know, Warren Buffett, who normally keeps around $40 billion on hand for Berkshire Hathaway, has quietly built his cash reserves to over $400 billion. That’s not random. It’s a signal. He’s waiting, too—sitting on the sidelines, ready to pounce when the market is ripe. While the U.S. will likely remain a strong place to invest, I don’t believe it will be the only one—or even the best performing one—over the next decade. That’s why I’m also exploring emerging markets, real assets, and global sectors that stand to benefit from shifting demographics, resource demand, and capital flows. This isn’t about abandoning the U.S.—it’s about building a more global, resilient position. I’m not going to lay out a full trading plan here, but I will share the levels and ticker symbols I’m keeping an eye on. This isn’t about predicting the exact bottom—but let’s be real, some entry points are simply better than others. This next section is broken into three phases. 📉 U.S. Equities — Waiting for price to hit fair value levels before entering. 🌍 Real Assets & Emerging Markets — Rotating in once the U.S. dust begins to settle. 🪙 Crypto (already underway) — Actively accumulating now due to long-term upside. Here’s the breakdown… Step 1: Observe U.S. Equities for Signal From left to right: S&P, NASDAQ, DJI This has the potential to be a quick dip and go, or a 2-3 year sideways market similar to 2008. The average recession lasts for roughly 11 months, and the start of this one (if or once they call it that) will be January 2025. Meaning the bottom could happen around November 2025. If you are not an active trader I don’t recommend trying to time the bottom. It requires a lot of precision, and patience. Since this post is more of a passive long-term positioning plan, I’m placing buy positions at the purple and red lines. I’m using a Dollar Cost Averaging strategy, and adding bigger positions the deeper the dip. My favorite spots for entry are the top red lines on each chart, and the bottom red lines on each chart. Step 2: Begin Rotation Into Real Asset Wealth Portfolio Once U.S. equities reach the key zones and confirm structure. I’ll begin rotating or adding into what I call my Real Asset Wealth Portfolio (R.A.W.). This isn’t about chasing hype—it’s about anchoring into assets that hold long-term value during global shifts. I’m talking about emerging markets, metals, commodities, water, shelter, and infrastructure. These are the sectors I believe will perform well in a world where fiat devalues, supply chains shift, and global power is rebalanced. It’s really a 10-year investment plan, maybe a five-year one. I’m not sharing charts for this section, but just know—these picks aren’t random. I’ve filtered them for structure, global relevance, and upside. Here's how I’m thinking about the allocation: 🌍 Real Asset Wealth Portfolio Overview (R.A.W.) 💡 Note: About 90% of these ETFs pay dividends, which means this portfolio isn’t just positioned for growth—it’s also designed to generate income while I wait. The full portfolio could return around 2.4% annually in dividends alone. That said, please double-check the dividend yield on each ETF yourself, as these can change over time. ________________________________________________________ Step 3: Feeding the Crypto Beast Crypto is the only asset I’m actively investing in right now. It offers the best risk-to-reward setup I see in this entire reshuffling. I view Bitcoin as digital gold—but with even more upside. It’s holding steady while the world shakes. That’s not weakness—that’s maturity. And if the Fed cuts rates in May, I believe we’ll see a bull run kick off, potentially stretching 6–24 months. I’m expecting these markets to go sideways or even dip a bit more—but that just means buying at a discount in a market that could go on a serious run. Across the board, I believe many of these assets have 10x to 30x potential over the next few years. That’s not a guarantee—it’s a calculated conviction based on structure, liquidity, and long-term utility. 🔍 My Current Crypto Watchlist (with Target Prices) I’m not chasing pumps—I’m accumulating quietly using dollar-cost averaging, focusing on a small set of high-conviction plays that align with a reshaped financial future. I don’t watch YouTube crypto news hype, etc. ____________________________________________________________ 🙏 Final Thoughts If you’ve made it this far, thank you. I didn’t write this to scare anyone—I wrote it to prepare and empower. This isn’t financial advice, and I’m not a guru. I’m just a guy who sees a potential storm coming and wants to build something that can weather it. Whatever you choose to do—don’t bet the house. Be thoughtful. Stay liquid. Keep your family and your peace protected. Even if the world shakes… you're still blessed by the best, God. Don’t forget that. The goal isn’t just to survive. It’s to plant deeper roots, build better fruit, and thrive in a new season. — Gio ___________________________________________________ What are your thoughts on this? Do you think the currency market is shifting? How are you positioning yourself? Is crypto going to pop?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by elevatedinvestor
Bitcoin - Are we there yet?Bullish weekly divergence FBD of bullish expanding megaphone On daily that double bottom area has positive divergence Think we are at a good place. May move slowly... then fast... as DXY looks like it may slowly go up this month. But there has been a lot or downside on the DXY the market hasn't seem to of priced in yet. So for prediction DXY - up slowly for April while bitcoin also goes up Down for May & June, finds low early July - end of bull run Not financial advice.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by mypostsareNotFinancialAdvice
BITCOIN Stock Chart Fibonacci Analysis 040225Trading Idea 1) Find a FIBO slingshot 2) Check FIBO 61.80% level 3) Entry Point > 84,700/61.80% Chart time frame: C A) 15 min(1W-3M) B) 1 hr(3M-6M) C) 4 hr(6M-1year) D) 1 day(1-3years) Stock progress: B A) Keep rising over 61.80% resistance B) 61.80% resistance C) 61.80% support D) Hit the bottom E) Hit the top Stocks rise as they rise from support and fall from resistance. Our goal is to find a low support point and enter. It can be referred to as buying at the pullback point. The pullback point can be found with a Fibonacci extension of 61.80%. This is a step to find entry level. 1) Find a triangle (Fibonacci Speed Fan Line) that connects the high (resistance) and low (support) points of the stock in progress, where it is continuously expressed as a Slingshot, 2) and create a Fibonacci extension level for the first rising wave from the start point of slingshot pattern. When the current price goes over 61.80% level , that can be a good entry point, especially if the SMA 100 and 200 curves are gathered together at 61.80%, it is a very good entry point. As a great help, tradingview provides these Fibonacci speed fan lines and extension levels with ease. So if you use the Fibonacci fan line, the extension level, and the SMA 100/200 curve well, you can find an entry point for the stock market. At least you have to enter at this low point to avoid trading failure, and if you are skilled at entering this low point, with fibonacci6180 technique, your reading skill to chart will be greatly improved. If you want to do day trading, please set the time frame to 5 minutes or 15 minutes, and you will see many of the low point of rising stocks. If want to prefer long term range trading, you can set the time frame to 1 hr or 1 day.
BITFINEX:BTCUSD
by fibonacci6180
Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge | Upside Potential Ahead!Market Overview: The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart is displaying a Falling Wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal structure. This indicates that the downtrend is weakening, and a potential breakout could lead to a strong upside move. 🔹 Key Technical Analysis 1️⃣ Falling Wedge Formation & Breakout Bitcoin has been trading inside a falling wedge, marked by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a contraction in volatility. A breakout above the upper trendline of the wedge is forming, suggesting a bullish reversal and the start of an uptrend. Falling wedges typically lead to a rally equal to the height of the pattern, giving a measured move target of $114,334. 2️⃣ Price Action & Confirmation Levels A clean breakout above $87,000 would confirm bullish momentum. If price successfully retests the wedge’s upper boundary and holds support, further bullish continuation is expected. The psychological level of $100,000 could act as an interim resistance before the final target is reached. 3️⃣ Upside Target & Resistance Zones The measured move suggests a potential rally towards $114,334, aligning with previous resistance zones. This target represents a 30.55% gain from the breakout level. Traders should watch for pullbacks and retests as part of the breakout confirmation. 📈 Trading Plan - Long Setup 🔹 Entry: Look for a confirmed breakout above $87,000, or a retest of support. 🔹 Stop Loss: Below $84,000, protecting against false breakouts. 🔹 Take Profit: $100,000 - $114,334 (previous resistance & measured move target). 🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: Strong bullish setup with favorable upside potential. 🛑 Risk Factors to Consider ⚠️ A failed breakout and a drop below $83,000 would invalidate the bullish setup. ⚠️ External factors such as macroeconomic events, regulatory news, and BTC ETF developments could influence volatility. Final Thought The breakout from the falling wedge signals a potential bullish continuation for Bitcoin, with targets set around $114,334. Traders should watch for confirmation above $87,000 and manage risk accordingly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by ForexOptimizer
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Reversal? Rising Wedge Breakdown Signals Sell! The chart suggests a potential bearish move after a rising wedge pattern breakdown. Key Observations: Rising Wedge Breakdown: BTC formed a rising wedge, which is a bearish reversal pattern. The price has broken down from this wedge, indicating a potential downtrend. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance Zone: Around $88,188 – $88,792, marked as a key level where selling pressure may increase. Support Zone: Around $85,368 – $84,226, where buyers may step in. Target: $81,429 – $81,258, a strong support level where price could drop. Bearish Setup: The chart suggests a sell opportunity near resistance, expecting a downward move toward the target zone. Trading Idea: Entry: Sell near $88,000 after confirmation. Target: $81,429 – $81,258 (support zone). Stop-Loss: Above $89,991 (resistance zone). This setup suggests Bitcoin could decline further, making it a potential short trade opportunity. However, traders should watch for confirmation and overall market sentiment before executing trades.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by PIPsOptimizer
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Short Trade Setup: Resistance Rejection & TargThis chart is a Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 15-minute price chart from TradingView, showing a potential short trade setup based on technical analysis. Here’s a breakdown of the key elements: 1. Resistance Zone & Short Setup The purple highlighted area represents a resistance level around $85,358. Price is consolidating within this resistance zone, suggesting a potential reversal. The expected scenario involves a price rejection from this resistance, leading to a downward move. 2. Moving Averages EMA (200, blue line) at $83,433: A long-term trend indicator suggesting a strong support zone. EMA (30, red line) at $84,657: A short-term trend indicator, currently above the price, indicating a potential bearish setup if the price moves below it. 3. Target & Stop-Loss Le
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EA_GOLD_MAN_COPY_TRADE
BITCOIN REJECTED ON WEEKLY ZERO LINE Well Bitcoin wasn't able to break above the Weekly zero line $88225 and now its heading to test support at the Daily Zero Line $79325 there's still momentum and TIME to the downside so expect lower prices. next week is a bearish TIME week and even if Bitcoin drops to the base of the channel and stays there moving sideways for the next 2 weeks then the weekly uptrend will remain intact. we'll see what happens next week. Buckle up bois and girls turbulent days ahead. use leverage wisely.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by Numberfive