BTC UPDATERegarding the Reaction to 104.000 level it is still possible to get one more mmove down to 103.000 level before the next Rally Up Towards 117.000 / 123.000 and further
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Still Strong Uptrend!Bitcoin (BTC-USD) Eyes $115K: Can the $10 Trillion Dream Become Reality?
Bitcoin is not pausing. Hovering just under $110,000, BTC-USD is moving with new capital, DeFi expansion, and institutional accumulation behind it—fueling one of the most aggressive pushes since the 2021 cycle. At $109,703, after printing an all-time high of $111,769 last week, the asset is rangebound between $107,500–$109,000 as volatility tightens ahead of the PCE inflation report and the flagship Bitcoin 2025 Conference.
DeFi on Bitcoin: From Digital Gold to Active Financial Infrastructure
A silent transformation is underway. Bitcoin isn’t just the digital gold it once was—it’s becoming programmable capital. The total value locked (TVL) in Bitcoin-based DeFi protocols has surged over 2,000% since 2024, hitting $6.67 billion. That figure isn’t just a milestone—it signals Bitcoin’s usability leap.
DeFi use cases now include collateralized loans, on-chain derivatives, decentralized exchanges, and algorithmic stablecoins—built directly on Bitcoin infrastructure. This is not passive holding; it’s an activated network that attracts capital with yield, utility, and interoperability. Bitcoin’s network is now monetizing time and trust.
Harmonics & BTCBear Shark and break down on how to trade it. According to some sources this particular pattern has a higher win rate than most others in the harmonic family.
can it be double bottom looks like Bitcoin just pulled off the classic double bottom move — and it's smiling about it! 😎 This bullish chart pattern is like BTC saying, "I dipped twice… but I’m back, baby!
BTCUSD Short Position Update – May 30, 2025Entry: 110,200
Current Price: 105,633
After entering short at 110.2K, price action has validated the downside thesis, moving steadily toward our planned take-profit zones.
Trade Management:
We are scaling out incrementally at key support levels (see red dots on chart):
104,979
104,414
104,001
Final targets are staged around 103,000 and 102,595, where significant historical liquidity resides. This incremental approach allows us to secure profits while staying positioned for further downside should selling accelerate.
Risk:
If price reclaims the 106,800–107,000 zone on strong momentum, we will reassess the short thesis and manage exposure accordingly.
Thesis:
All levels are chosen based on prior demand clusters and high-volume areas. This systematic approach helps derisk the position while participating in potential continuation.
This is not financial advice. Trade your own plan.
Long and Short Position Tool Scale Error My strategy relies on a 1:1 risk-to-reward setup, so when I place a long or short position, I expect the take profit and stop loss levels to be visually accurate. However, when I zoom in or out on the chart, the scale of the long/short position tool changes—making the visual representation of the trade no longer reliable. Even if the entry point stays the same, the stop loss and take profit levels appear to shift, which defeats the purpose of using the tool for quick visual reference. This completely undermines the accuracy of a 1:1 setup on screen.
BTC PULLS BACKBitcoin has pulled back slightly after the recent surge, currently holding above the $105,500 area, which was previously resistance. This level could now act as support, though it’s early to call. The overall market structure remains bullish, with price trading above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the moving averages themselves still aligned in a bullish formation.
Volume has tapered a bit on the pullback, suggesting this might just be a healthy retracement rather than a reversal. If Bitcoin can hold this level and continue consolidating, it could set the stage for another move higher. However, a break below $105,500 could open the door for a deeper pullback, with $99,500 as the next key level to watch.
Always proceed with caution, especially after strong rallies.
BITCOIN BUY SIGNALBITCOIN has been in a bullish order flow hence it came back to the daily order block and gave a confirmatory buy set up
BTC Last week I already indicated in my analysis of btc that an imbalance had to be filled on the 4h. In the meantime, it has been filled and we are trying to convert the previous resistance level into support, in other words, the bulls are trying with all their might to defend the 105k. If the bulls succeed in this, then in my view nothing will stand in the way of a run to the 115k. I still expect the bears to try to break through the level a few times and perhaps a double bottom will then arise, which is a good conformation for the way up. I will keep you informed. www.tradingview.com
BTCUSD Breakdown from Pennant – MMC Structure Analysis + Target🧠 Introduction: Why This Chart Matters
Bitcoin recently provided a textbook example of market manipulation, where the price action formed a bullish-looking pattern (Pennant), trapped traders with a fake breakout, and then reversed strongly to the downside. By using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), we can clearly see the logic behind this move—how the market mirrored a previous pattern and fulfilled a predictable target zone.
This analysis breaks it all down, step-by-step, for both educational and practical trading purposes.
🔍 Detailed Chart Breakdown:
1️⃣ The Illusion – Bullish Pennant Formation
Initially, BTC/USD formed what looked like a bullish pennant—a common continuation pattern in technical analysis. The pattern appeared after a sharp upward move, followed by converging trendlines suggesting consolidation.
Retail traders often anticipate a breakout above the pennant as a sign of bullish continuation. This is where the trap begins.
Why It’s a Trap: The pattern looked clean and reliable—but the context told another story. This move was designed to lure breakout traders into long positions right before a reversal.
2️⃣ The Fakeout – Liquidity Grab Above the Pattern
Shortly after the pennant formed, price pushed above the upper trendline, triggering breakout entries and stop losses of short-sellers. But instead of continuing up:
The price reversed sharply.
This aggressive move confirmed the fakeout.
This is a classic example of a liquidity hunt, where the market moves briefly in one direction to gather orders before executing the real move.
📌 MMC Insight: This behavior mirrors a prior setup—price previously faked upward, then dropped to a key demand zone. The mirror pattern gives a clue that the same outcome might repeat.
3️⃣ CHoCH – Change of Character Confirmed
After the fakeout, BTC broke below a key internal support and trendline structure, signaling a CHoCH (Change of Character)—a shift from bullish to bearish market control.
This moment is crucial:
It confirms the smart money’s intention.
It signals that the previous bullish move was just a setup.
Sellers now have control.
💡 Pro Tip: CHoCH is one of the earliest and most reliable signs of a reversal when combined with liquidity patterns.
4️⃣ Trendline Break & Structural Sell-Off
The break of the trendline following CHoCH solidified the bearish direction. This was the best confirmation-based entry point, as the structure flipped and began forming lower highs and lower lows.
5️⃣ Target Fulfilled – Previous Demand Zone Hit
The price then continued down aggressively and hit the marked MMC target zone. This area coincided with:
A previous demand zone (where buyers stepped in before).
A Mirror Market reversal point, seen earlier in the chart.
This fulfillment of the MMC target validates the entire analysis—from trap to reversal to target.
🎯 Key Zones:
Fakeout High: $69,600 area (liquidity sweep)
CHoCH Break Level: Around $69,100
Trendline Break Confirmation: $69,000
Final Target Zone: $68,500–$68,700
📈 Trading Strategy Recap:
Entry Idea: Enter short after CHoCH and trendline break
Stop Loss: Above fakeout high ($69,600+)
Take Profit: MMC demand zone ($68,500–$68,700)
This trade offered excellent risk-to-reward and confluence using multiple tools (MMC, CHoCH, structure, liquidity sweep).
🧠 What You Can Learn from This Setup:
Patterns Can Lie: A pattern like a pennant isn’t enough—context is key.
Liquidity Is King: Understand where the market needs to go to collect orders.
Mirror Market Concepts Work: Historical behavior often repeats in reverse. Use MMC to forecast likely outcomes.
CHoCH is Powerful: It's your early alert system for trend changes.
🔎 Final Thoughts:
This BTC/USD chart is a powerful example of how smart money operates—with manipulation, pattern traps, and mirrored market behavior. If you’re a price action trader or use MMC, this breakdown is a must-study.
Don't just trade patterns—trade context. Look for traps. Use MMC. Watch CHoCH. And always have a mapped target based on structure.
A look at monthly Chart of BTCIf we count Elliot Wave at weekly or monthly, we see we are at the ABC Correction of the Primary Impulsive wave, that the ABC might create an Irregular or Expanded Flat. I think the chart is going to create a C wave of the ABC Primary wave, and those numbers might be a target, but according to Fibbonaci Levels, 0.618, which is 40,000. Other targets can also be seen on the chart.
Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern Bitcoin first bearish pattern i've seen inverted head and shoulders pattern! $94,000 possible then a run in December! for Bitcoin
Minor advantage on the bullish sideMorning folks,
So, downside AB-CD action is started as we suggested. But, it is very slow and going heavy. Appearing of triangle shape here and early signs of bullish dynamic pressure on daily chart turns the balance slightly on the bullish side.
Still, we do not have yet any clear patterns that makes us sure. So, if you're conservative - it would be better to wait a bit. If you still want to buy inside the triangle - it would be better to place initial stop below OP target, just not to be washed out occasionally, if AB=CD will be completed. Because it doesn't break the bullish context but could give us "222' Buy instead.
BTC – Monthly Close + Rising Wedge ContextCRYPTO:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
🚨 BTC broke out from a Cup & Handle pattern but is now trading inside a Rising Wedge on higher timeframes — watch for potential squeeze or breakdown 📉
🗓️ Monthly candle is closing soon:
• Current range: Support at $78K | Resistance near $114K
• Price recently touched $112K, just below all-time highs 🏁
📆 Looking ahead to next month:
• Resistance zone at $115.7K
• Support zone at $82K
BTC needs to break the wedge to confirm a clear trend; otherwise, the range may persist.
⚠️ Past Rising Wedge breakdown was sharp, but stronger bullish narratives and news could change the outcome this time 🤔
📊 Weekly timeframe shows BTC holding inside an ascending channel — no structure breaks yet, signaling bulls still in play ✅
btcusd 15mThis updated Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart expands on the previous one, introducing a clearer risk management structure by adding a "register level" — a deeper demand/support zone. Let’s break it down:
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📉 Updated Chart Breakdown (BTC/USD – 15 Min)
🔻 Register Level (Stronger Demand Zone)
Zone: ~$106,600–$106,800
This zone caught a previous wick and bounce, suggesting it's a stronger support if the price drops below the immediate entry level.
It represents a last defense zone before deeper sell-offs.
🟩 Entry Level Zone
Zone: ~$107,300–$107,600
Same as the previous chart. It’s still valid but is now more clearly shown as a potential reaction zone, not the ultimate bottom.
🔶 Support Point
Zone: ~$108,300
Where price was rejected before. This level will likely be a key confirmation breakout if hit again.
🎯 Target Level (Take Profit)
Level: ~$110,250–$110,400
The trade setup aims for a strong upside continuation into this resistance area.
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📌 What’s Different in This Chart vs. the Previous BTC Chart?
Element Previous Chart Updated Chart
Register Level ❌ Not Shown ✅ Shown (strong support)
Support Level Label ✅ Same ✅ Same
Entry Zone Depth Mid-level Now shows fallback area
Risk Management Clarity Medium ✅ Much clearer
Trade Setup Bullish Reversal Bullish Reversal w/ zone confidence
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✅ Key Trading Insight
This chart provides better risk control by identifying a lower register zone that gives traders the ability to:
Wait for a deeper test before entering.
Add confidence to the trade if price bounces hard from this zone.
Place tighter or more informed stop-losses just below this level.
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Would you like a side-by-side comparison of this BTC setup with the earlier Gold setup you shared — in terms of risk/reward, entry logic, and strength of signals?
SHOULD WE WORRY ABOUT BTC? NEXT MOVE BTC Rejected From 4H FVG Around 110001-110613. Also, we should not forget made double top. And then headed to 106800 area. And MOST IMPORTANT BREAK BELLOW the TREND LINE. Now try to retest the TRENDLIND. If successfully retest and reject, then that will be an opportunity to open short. NOTE: WE SHOULD WAIT FOR THE RETEST CONFERMATOIN.
Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin
K3 is a weak break down,
It failed to close below K2.
It seems that K4 will test the uptrend line to verify K3 was a fake down or not.
If K4 close upon K3,
Another bull run will start here to test 112K area.
If K4 or K5 are doji candles around the support,
It is likely that a sharp price correction will start here to test 102K area.
BTC OUT OF STEAM - $84.5 K Updating the BTC coverage. Was hoping to push thru directly to $132k, that did not happen. It looks more likely BTC will drop back to $84,500 before a resumption of trend can continue. There is a chance she can hold at $95,600 but currently not the best odds for that. A full dip looks to be coming. Take profits on BTC now.
Bitcoin Market Analysis: Short-Term Scenarios and Key Support LeBTC Update – Short-Term Scenario
Bitcoin has broken above its recent high, and the uptrend remains intact. However, demand is starting to diminish. A short-term pullback would be healthy. The $103K level stands out as a strong support zone for the bulls.
Technical Breakdown and Market Dynamics
Looking at Bitcoin's current price action, there are some interesting developments unfolding. The cryptocurrency is attempting to break out, but the follow-through is occurring on diminishing volume, which shows ease in the market momentum.
The recent breakout attempt reveals important technical characteristics. The bar that reverses the last attempt does so quite easily, indicating reduced buying pressure at these elevated levels. This ease of reversal suggests that market participants are becoming more cautious at current price levels, which is a natural development after significant upward movement.
Current Rally Dynamics and Volume Analysis
The current rally appears to be relatively weak when compared to previous moves. This weakness in the rally structure points to a potential reaction around the $102K level. Volume analysis supports this view, as the diminishing volume on the breakout attempt typically signals that the move may not have sufficient backing to sustain itself at these levels.
Support Levels and Potential Scenarios
If Bitcoin closes at current levels, there's still some demand that could come into play. This demand might create one last attempt to retest recent highs and test the critical level that has been acting as resistance. The specific bar formation that has been staying on for such a long time represents a key concept in the current market structure.
Market Outlook and Key Considerations
The diminishing demand at current levels doesn't necessarily signal a reversal of the overall uptrend. Instead, it suggests that a consolidation or pullback phase might be necessary to build a foundation for the next leg higher. Such pullbacks are often healthy in trending markets as they allow for the absorption of supply and the reset of technical indicators.
Btc price.Btc is is staying in a beautiful channel and i think we might see a pump to 118k as soon as today.
BTCUSD Entre point 108800target 109900 stop loss 108000New trade setup for BTCUSD:
- Entry Point: 108,800
- Target: 109,900 (1,100-point gain)
- Stop Loss: 108,000 (800-point risk)
Risk-reward ratio looks decent! Let's see how it plays out. What's your trading strategy behind this setup?
