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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

$BTC Bearish Divergence on the Weekly !? NO!!!Someone on Twitter sent me a chart showing Bearish Divergence on the Weekly for BTC and asked me to analyze it. (hopefully this link shows the chart) pbs.twimg.com My response is below. --- This is a really good question! Caught me off guard for a second and I had to really analyze it. That chart assumes we’re at the end of the cycle, so its showing bearish divergence prematurely in Mar ’25. But the fractal it’s being compared to shows divergence with the peak in Nov ’21. Here’s the correct way to draw the trends. If you draw from the bear market low to current date, you see we are just getting warmed up. This cycle is mimicking 2017 as I’ve mentioned a lot over the past year.

I marked where we are so you can see the Feb - Mar ’21 dip in RSI. Imagine tapping out right before the moonshot! It’s easy to get caught off guard with that chart, as the fractals from ’21 and ’25 on the RSI do look strikingly familiar, but notice how the right shoulder on the RSI falls in Nov 21’ , but the right shoulder on the RSI in Dec ’24 is going higher, pointing to the RSI following the ’17 uptrend. I wonder if the person who made that chart actually thought that was the correct way to analyze the chart, or if that’s just a troll bear-posting. I could see someone like CredibleCrypto or an XRP-maxi posting that.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by jonnieking
SHOCK! Trump to host crypto summit at the White House!On March 7, the White House will host its first-ever crypto summit, chaired by Donald Trump. The event will bring together top leaders of the crypto industry, including Coinbase (#Coinbase) CEO Brian Armstrong, MicroStrategy (#MicroStrgy) founder Michael Saylor, and others. Key discussion topics will include crypto industry regulation, stablecoin oversight, the strategic role of Bitcoin in the U.S. economy, and the establishment of a national crypto reserve. One of the summit’s highlights is the initiative to create a strategic U.S. crypto reserve, which will include Cardano (ADAUSD), Solana (SOLUSD), XRP (XRPUSD), as well as Bitcoin (BTCUSD) and Ethereum (ETHUSD). This move aims to strengthen America’s position in the global digital economy and expand the dollar’s influence. Donald Trump emphasizes that the U.S. must lead in blockchain technology development, promoting the adoption of digital assets in the global financial system. Beyond regulation and reserves, the summit will also address cryptocurrency taxation and potential incentives for businesses operating in the sector. Key growth drivers for the crypto market: • Government support & regulation: High-level officials participating in the summit and the introduction of regulatory frameworks focused on transparency and security create a favorable environment for market growth. Clear regulations encourage institutional investors to enter the space. • Establishment of a strategic crypto reserve: The U.S. aims to include top cryptocurrencies in its national assets, boosting their credibility and investor confidence. This could strengthen digital assets’ role in the global financial system. • Blockchain technology advancements: The adoption of innovations such as smart contracts, decentralized finance (DeFi), and blockchain integration into traditional industries expands the use cases for cryptocurrencies and increases demand. • Rising adoption among users & businesses: Simplified crypto transactions, improved infrastructure, and a growing number of businesses accepting crypto payments contribute to the rising popularity of digital assets among the public. The White House Crypto Summit will be a landmark event for the industry, setting the stage for the crypto market’s future development. Analysts at FreshForex believe that government recognition, clear regulatory frameworks, and technological innovations will provide a solid foundation for the continued growth and strengthening of digital assets in the global economy. At FreshForex, accounts are available in 7 cryptocurrencies and over 70 crypto pairs with 1:100 leverage, accessible 24/7.
SAXO:BTCUSDLong
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Extreme short term view on BTCBTC appears more likely to want to trade higher than lower over the next 12-24 hours. However, it's even more uncertain to forecast given we have the NFP figures being released tomorrow which could cause BTC price to whipsaw in both direction (up or down). If I had a choice to choose whether to trade ahead of the NFP I would say now. However, if I had no option and has to choose a position - I would be long and would want to be out of my position 30-60 minutes before the NFP news release. Let's see what happens.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by KnowledgeAndProfits
Cryptocurrency Analysis: Bitcoin (BTC) Current Price: 88631 24h Volume: $45B RSI (Relative Strength Index): 50.32 (Neutral) --- Technical Analysis: 1. Ascending Triangle Breakout: - Bitcoin has broken out of the large ascending triangle pattern on the weekly chart, reaching a new price level of $109,000. This breakout confirms the bullish continuation pattern, signaling strong upward momentum. - The next key resistance levels to watch are $120,000 and $150,000, as these could serve as psychological and technical barriers. 2. RSI Analysis: - The RSI is at 50.32, still in neutral territory. This indicates that Bitcoin has room to grow before entering overbought conditions, supporting the potential for further upward movement. 3. Volume: - The 24-hour trading volume of $45B remains robust, indicating sustained interest and participation in the market. High volume during a breakout is a strong confirmation of the move's validity. --- Fundamental Analysis: 1. Regulatory Outlook: - The positive regulatory environment in the US and other countries continues to bolster confidence in Bitcoin. Institutional adoption and clearer frameworks are driving mainstream acceptance, which could further fuel the rally. 2. Market Sentiment: - With Bitcoin trading above $100,000, market sentiment is overwhelmingly bullish. The psychological milestone of a 6-figure Bitcoin price could attract even more investors and traders. --- **Trade Setup:** - Entry Point: For those who missed the initial breakout, pullbacks to the previous resistance level (now support) around $78,000 could provide a secondary entry opportunity. - Take Profit: Initial target at $110,000, with extended targets at $150,000 and beyond. - Stop Loss: A break below $75,000 could indicate a false breakout, making it a logical stop-loss level. --- Conclusion: For Bitcoin's breakout above the ascending triangle and its new price level of $88,632 solidify the bullish case for the cryptocurrency. With strong technicals, improving fundamentals, and positive market sentiment, Bitcoin is well-positioned to continue its upward trajectory. However, traders should remain vigilant and manage risk appropriately, as volatility is inherent in cryptocurrency markets. What are your thoughts? Do you see Bitcoin continuing its rally toward $110,000 and beyond, or do you think a consolidation phase is likely after this breakout? Share your opinions below!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by AhmadAnil
Bitcoin Halving to ATH data -2 year UPDATE-conflicting results I havw Noticed in recent days, people "Boosting" A chart I posted in Dec 2022, called "BITCOIN Halving cycles and Pump %" So I thought I would update it and see where we are now. In it, i said 2024 would be a Good year. Well, we got that in many ways and not surprisingly but we have seen some things that point towards this being a VERY different cycle and I will explain some of them here So, as the title suggests, Lets Look at the Halving to ATH - For a start, I need to explain the issue we have with 2021 - 2 major ATH and a divided community about which one was the REAL ATH and so on. There are plenty of reasons to accept the NOV 2021 ATH as the real one, mostly because it was the highest price ! It was also a similar day count from previous Halving to ATH and so I am working with that. The Current Bitcoin ATH was 280 days after Halving. A Lot Less than any previous day count from Halving to ATH.. We are however, still under the 365 count we had in 2012 Halving to ATH - So...for me, the possibility that we have NOT seen Cycle ATH still exists for many reasons.. And yet, at the same time, I am Very aware that this Cycle has seen accelerated adoption because of ETF's etc,,,,,,so, please Keep an open mind. Using the day Count system and the Nov 2021 day count, we could expect this Cycle ATH around Oct 2025 - probably safer to say Q4 But how High ? The % rise from ATH to ATH is an interesting topic here. 2012 to 2017 ATH saw a 1144.6% Rise in PA 2017 to 2021 ATH ( Nov ) saw a 326,3% rise in PA - This is 3.5 X SMALLER than the previous Rise. Using that 3.5 Smaller calculation, that gives us an % rise of 92.4% and an ATH of around 121K for this cycle. Kind of contradicts expectations and this alone could point towards that fact we may have already be near reacheing cycle Top ! (I have posted a Far more detailed chart about this and will be updating it soon) BUT, the Crunch comes when we look at the Halving to ATH, as mentioned in the title I wrote in Dec 2022 2012 Halving 10K% rise after 2016 Halving 3,5K% rise after 2020 Halving 700 % rise after Projected PA in 2024 /5 would also be 700% BUT, Bitcoin is far more public now and the Halving Pumps will be talked about aLot. Could the Next halving actually be pumped a Lot earlier than previous dates We got earlier Pumps due to ETF expectations, as can be seen by how far of the Curve PA rose in 2024 - This has completely changed how strong PA was at Halving and how Much further it could rise. In facr, if you look back over previous Halvings, PA has been FLAT by comparison. And so, Since the Bitcoin Halving in March 2024, to the current ATH, we have only seen a 62.8% Rise If PA Had been on the Curve in the chart at the halving date, we would have seen a 397.8% eise to the current ATH This Highlights a Massive change in how PA is rising But, at the same time, We would still most likely be in the Range we are now in. And Lastly, I want to show you this I mentioned in Dec 2022 how Bitcoin PA could expect a 700% Rise in Price from Halving to cycle ATH I was WRONG From Where PA was at Halving to the Expected ATH mark on Rising trend line, it will be 651% rise and around 500K So, in conclusion, despite a massive change in how PA approached Halving and how Shallow the rise in PA has been compared to previous cycles after Halving, we are Still in a VERY Good place. However, if you Look at just the ATH to ATH dats calculation, we may already he near TOP.... Take you pick - For Me, I am holding out for Q4 but I have safe guards in place should it turn out we have peaked early. But do remember, this is a Projection..No guarantees......But we can hope Stay safe and Love your Neighbour
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
BTC RISINGBitcoin's daily chart continues to show strength after a strong bounce from the 200-day moving average, which acted as key support. The price is now consolidating below $91,271, an important resistance level that bulls need to reclaim for further upside momentum. The recent surge in volume suggests strong buying interest at the lows, reinforcing the idea that the recent dip was met with accumulation rather than panic selling. However, the next major hurdle remains at $94,990, which has previously acted as a key resistance level. For bulls, the immediate objective is to flip $91,271 into support, which would open the door for a move back toward $94,990. Failure to break above this level could lead to a retest of the 200-day MA, which remains the key downside level to watch. Overall, the structure has improved, but Bitcoin still needs a daily close above $91,271 to confirm a continuation of the recovery.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
Bitcoin Loses Key Support – Is the Bull Trend in Trouble?Bitcoin has fallen sharply, breaking below the $91,000 support level, which previously acted as a major floor for the uptrend. The cryptocurrency is now testing the 200-EMA ($79,897) as it struggles to find buying interest. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 📉 Major Breakdown – The loss of $91,000 has turned sentiment bearish. 📉 200-EMA as Last Defense – Holding above $80,000 is critical to avoid deeper losses. 📉 RSI at 29.30 – Bitcoin is entering oversold territory, suggesting a potential relief bounce. 📉 MACD Bearish – The indicator remains deeply negative, confirming ongoing selling momentum. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 $80,000-$79,000 – Crucial support zone; a breakdown here could trigger further selling. 🔹 $91,000 – Now resistance; bulls must reclaim this level to restore confidence. 🔹 $100,000+ – Long-term bullish outlook remains intact above this mark. 💡 Trading Outlook: 🔻 Bearish Case: A sustained break below $80,000 could accelerate downside pressure, targeting $72,500 (61.8% Fib retracement). 🔺 Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds above the 200-EMA, a relief bounce toward $91,000 is possible, but buyers need to reclaim it to shift momentum. Bitcoin's long-term trend is still bullish, but the recent breakdown raises concerns about further downside risk. Can bulls defend $80,000, or is this the start of a deeper correction?
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREXcom
#202509 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: The bear breakout finally happened. First time I wrote about 75k was when we broke above 100k 3 months ago. This bear trend is now confirmed and the only question for me is do we get 1 or 2 legs more. For now my main target remains 75000 and everything below is a bonus. The 50% retracement for the whole bull market since 2022-11 is at 62k, but I highly doubt we can get there in the medium term. The big bull trend line and monthly 20ema is now my lowest medium target - around 68/70k. We have not touched the monthly 20ema since 2023-10. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 70k - 95k bull case: Bulls stopped the fall above the breakout price around 74k and they want to keep some of the bull gap open to keep the hopes of a continuation up alive. On the weekly and monthly chart it is still a bull trend until we break below the trend line currently at 65k. Bulls main objective is now to print higher lows and bounce to at least the daily ema around 92k. Trends can only be very strong, if pull-backs are shallow and many traders trapped in losing positions, so they have to cover once it’s clear that we will get nowhere near their entry price. If bulls can bounce this above 90k or even 94k, all bulls who previously bought the lows and bought them now as well, will be able to make money. Invalidation is below 70k. bear case: Bears showed strength by finally closing consecutive days below 90k and even dropped below 80k. Now they need to break below the breakout price at 74k and close the gap to the previous ath. Once they have accomplished that, this bull trend is much less strong and they can try to test down to the bull trend line around 68k, depending on when we get there. Last weeks selling is likely the W1 of a intermediate bear trend inside the bigger bull trend. Could it be the start of a bigger bear trend where we test down to the 50% retracement of the multi-year bull trend around 62k? Possible but irrelevant for now. Bears have to take it level by level. I have drawn two potential ways forward for this wave-series. Much less bearish would be a bigger two-legged move where the pull-back would reach up to 94k and the second leg down could stay above 75k, if it would even get there. Much more bearish alternative would be a measured move down to almost exactly the named 50% retracement at 62k. We could get there in a 5-wave series, which is also drawn on the chart. As always, price is likely much more probable than timing on the chart. Invalidation is above 95k. short term: Max bearish. Any pullback is a good short with a stop 97k. medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. Right now nothing is moving, so my targets are useless for any trade. Here is my year end special outlook from 2024-12-29 bear case: The pain trade is to the downside. There is no arguing about that fact. Only issue for bears is that bubbles can go on for longer than anyone’s account can handle. So selling right now with a stop 109k is reasonable but most bears want more confirmation. Below 90000 more bulls have to cover and this will accelerate down. My targets in order are the breakout retest around 75000 and if things get bad enough there, we go down to the 50% pullback and the bull trend line at 62500. There I expect the market to go sideways for more time and depending on how we get there, we can estimate new targets above or below. current swing trade: Looking to scale into shorts around 90k with stop 97k. chart update: Added potential bear channel and two wave-series.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
(BTC) bitcoin "recent red plus sign"Bitcoin is a product of the environment we live in, for some there are references to it that matter, for others BTC is not reality and more so evil. Is BTC anymore evil than holding dollars in your pocket that you will not spend? Hodl value is akin to the properties of holding cash. With no purpose behind holding the cash a person would not hold cash, but money has purpose even if there is nothing to buy. Buying is figurative value where a conversion takes place between the property of the original cash and the newly found material item(s). Though the cash holds a stronger replacement for value than any single item of material value because to buy means to immediate lose re-sellable value. I can buy a pair of pants but if I wear them even once they are not brand new and cannot be returned or resold as such. If BTC is a product of the environment, what environments occur where BTC holds no value? When value is determined for value sake than value is indeterminate therefore the meaning of the value is not dependent to any one aspect of spending or savings. Fire a bunch of people from their job, does their value return to becoming pure cash or was it a daydream that some people believed to suspend payment of workers in order to recover what was believed to be lost. Animated imaginations create cryptocurrency to a degree that reaches a mass audience of people that do not actually like investing through memes. Bitcoin will never be a meme and will remain a digital historical monument throughout time which represents the before the story went crazy with fanciful ideas that may or may not have gone anywhere ...
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
Bitcoin like a Diamond.The diamond pattern is a sophisticated chart formation found in financial markets, yet it remains relatively obscure among technical traders and investors. As a member of the classical chart pattern family, it stands apart from more commonly recognized formations like flags, pennants, head and shoulders, and rectangles. Due to its rarity, traders encounter fewer chances to engage with the diamond pattern compared to these other formations. However, it is important for technical traders to familiarize themselves with this pattern, as it can present valuable trading opportunities when identified in a timely manner. Often mistaken for the head and shoulders pattern, the diamond chart formation shares some similarities but also has key differences that set it apart. The Continuation Diamond pattern serves as a signal for continuation, suggesting that the current trend is likely to persist. Traders often use this pattern to validate an uptrend and to identify potential buying opportunities in the market. The bearish diamond formation emerges following a strong upward price movement. It consists of two support levels that limit earlier pullbacks and two resistance levels that have interrupted the upward trend. Commonly referred to as the diamond top pattern, this formation serves as a signal for market participants to consider selling. So Diamond patterns can indicate either a reversal or continuation in the market, suggesting a potential bullish or bearish breakout. It's essential for traders to look for confirmation through trading volume at the breakout point. To execute trades, one should sell when the price falls below the diamond's top formation and buy when it rises above the diamond's bottom formation. This approach allows traders to effectively take long or short positions based on diamond patterns.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BallaJi
11
BTC "Chronological Explosion" Pattern Detected! A rare, high-probability setup is forming – statistically significant every 1,323 days. Key Observations: 721-Day Bullish Foundation: BTC has consolidated/risen for 721 days, mirroring historical pre-breakout behavior. Cycle Alignment: This pattern last appeared in also this current season preceding a rally. Always BUY THE DIP: Weak hands are exiting Watch for pullbacks like this at key supports. For those whose bags are full are protected by this cycle pattern based on fractal replication. Why Now? This pattern’s 1,323-day recurrence rate suggests imminent volatility for the weekly chart. It aligns with early-stage bull market behavior. ⚠️ Caution: Risk management is critical. Use stop-losses and scale in gradually. It is time to cost leverage. Discovered via proprietary analysis of BTC’s fractal history. Shared first online! Boost engagement by adding. A simplified chart screenshot (highlighting the 721-day rise and 1,323-day cycle) Not financial advice Happy trading Raf
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Cryptplosive
1
Crab Pattern Based on the provided chart, there is a possibility for the Crab Pattern to complete. In this pattern, point D typically forms at higher Fibonacci levels, specifically around 2.618 of the BC leg. In this chart, the PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) is identified as a key area for the pattern’s completion. This zone can act as a potential point for a price reversal. The Crab Pattern often emerges at extreme price levels, and if the price reaches this zone, a reaction or reversal might occur. To confirm the completion of this pattern, analyzing price behavior near the PRZ is crucial. Using additional technical indicators such as trading volume, momentum indicators, and candlestick patterns can provide more precise insights. Overall, the pattern has the potential to complete, but traders should wait for further confirmation from the market.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by rozane