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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Could btc be forming a top? Bitcoin's Potential Top: A Closer Look at the Rising Wedge Bitcoin's recent price action has formed a technical pattern known as a "rising wedge." This pattern can signal either a continuation of the current trend or a potential reversal. If Bitcoin breaks below the lower trendline of the wedge, it could indicate a significant price decline. However, if it breaks above the upper trendline, it could signal a continuation of the uptrend. To make informed decisions, consider the following: Volume: Decreasing volume within the wedge can suggest a loss of momentum. Market Sentiment: Bearish sentiment can contribute to a downward price movement. Fundamental Factors: Regulatory developments and institutional adoption can influence the price. Remember: Technical analysis is not perfect. It's essential to use it in conjunction with fundamental analysis and risk management strategies.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ParabolicP
Bitcoin BEARISH - BTC Strong Resistance On Weekly TFBitcoin has reached strong resistance on the weekly TF. The resistance line goes the whole way back to 2017. So it's very reliable. A strong move downwards is very likely! Based on previous times this line was tested, Bitcoin could fall 50% or more. However, the 74000-75000 level looks like a good support level. This would be about a 30% drop which is still very significant. I expect profit taking very soon and short sellers to come in. There could possibly even be global headline news to cause this drop. Be very careful in buying near the tops. Trade with your brain and not emotions. This is only an idea and anything can happen, but it's a weekly chart and seems very reliable.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by EACoders
1
Batarang Backfire for BTC!In the shadowy world of crypto, where fortunes are forged and lost in the blink of an eye, Bitcoin finds itself standing on the precarious edge of Gotham’s tallest skyscraper. At $104k, the caped crusader of cryptocurrencies is flying high, but beware—the Batarang is about to backfire. The signals in the market skies hint at the return of the good old Dark Knight Dive. It’s not the fall we fear, but the landing—$90k is where the Batcave awaits. Much like Gotham’s vigilante, BTC has faced its share of villains—market manipulators, FUD spreaders, and the infamous Penguin of Panic. Yet, this time, the weight of over-leveraged trades and thinning demand may pull it down like a grappling hook tethered to the depths. Altcoins, as Robin to BTC’s Batman, are likely to follow suit, retreating into the shadows as the crypto market takes its breather. The Joker of volatility might chuckle, but seasoned Gotham traders know: this isn’t defeat. It’s a tactical retreat. The Bat-Signal shines brightest in the darkest hours, and $90k could just be the staging ground for the next heroic climb. Until then, buckle up, citizens of Crypto Gotham—the Dark Knight Dive awaits.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by UnitedFreedomJapan
2
Bitcoin Bullish continuation. BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Bitcoin just made a new all time High (ATH). Hello everyone today will be looking at the price movement of Bitcoin for the past 3 months Bitcoin has been making some massive moves creating higher highs and higher lows. So what should be expecting from Bitcoin right now. Form the technical aspects, we should be expecting a 10% to 15% drop in the price of Bitcoin to 100k level 🎚️ to the 95k areas. As for right now my expectation for Bitcoin is to retest the 100k and 99k levels before a continuation to the upside, but is the price of BTC fails to hold support at the levels I have just mentioned, we should seen a further drop to the 95k to 90k levels. Also, if we look at the Fear N Greed index, we can see that the market is extremely Greeding and this is not 🚫 a good sign for the market so we should waiting patiently for price to retest key support levels before looking for any buy opportunities. Looking at the upcoming economic events like FEDERAL FUND RATES, FOMC, and many more, so with this activities, we should expect some market volatility.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Jahson23
BTC CYCLE EXPLAINED🔄 THE BITCOIN-ALTCOIN CYCLE EXPLAINED 🔄 In the crypto market, a well-known pattern plays out: When Bitcoin rises 📈, altcoins like Ethereum, Cardano, and Solana tend to struggle 📉. When Bitcoin consolidates or corrects 📉, altcoins often rally 🚀. Why does this happen? 1. 💪 Bitcoin Dominance: Bitcoin (BTC) leads the market, setting the tone for all crypto movements. 2. 🛡️ Risk-Off Sentiment: During Bitcoin’s bullish runs, traders shift funds into BTC as a safer option. 3. 🔄 Altcoin Rotation: When BTC slows, investors look to altcoins for higher returns, driving their prices up. 🚨 The Big Question: Are we on the verge of another altcoin season? 🤔 📊 Keep watching Bitcoin’s movement—it might be signaling the next big altcoin breakout. 🔥 Stay tuned, the cycle could be heating up! 🚀
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by AlphaBull-Trading
### **Short Bias: BTCUSD (4H Chart)** 🔻 **Bias**: Bearish after a break of structure (BOS) and rejection near buy-side liquidity. 🔹 **Entry**: Near the Fair Value Gap (FVG) retest around **104,423.66**. 🔻 **Targets**: - **TP1**: 99,573.52 - **TP2**: 99,307.38 - **TP3**: 87,500.00 🛑 **Stop-Loss**: Above **105,686.51** (recent swing high). ### Key Notes: - Market structure shift to bearish. - FVG rejection confirms sell-side intent. - Targets align with liquidity zones. Trade smart, manage risk! 💡
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by origami_capital33
1
Bullish Patterns and Bitcoin: A Roadmap to $125KAs anticipated by many, following Trump’s election, Bitcoin experienced a significant surge. On November 14th, it encountered its first notable correction during this upward momentum. In early December, Bitcoin crossed the critical 100k milestone for the first time. However, this achievement was followed by a swift pullback. Since then, dips have consistently been met with strong buying activity, and as of now, the price has stabilized comfortably above this key psychological level. The price action since mid-November reveals the formation of an ascending channel, a technical pattern that historically suggests a 70% probability of continuation to the upside. A decisive breakout above 107k could confirm this bullish scenario, with a measured target for the next leg up around 125k if the pattern fulfills its statistical expectation.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Mihai_Iacob
Bitcoin (BTC) - Bearish Short TermBitcoin has formed a Head and Shoulders pattern recently on the 1 hour time frame. This pattern tends to be bearish and could potentially lead to a price drop to the next level of support at: $99,000. If bulls hold selling pressure, and this pattern does not break, we cannot say that the price is bearish for certain long term. Therefore, we should wait for this pattern to break to confirm a bearish trend. If price doesn't hold above: $99K, then it will continue to the downside of $95K.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Bitcoin_Benny
1
Bitcoin Market Update: Why I’m Still Not Buying the Hype🚀 Bitcoin’s Short-Lived Breakout? Bitcoin is showing upward momentum, but I believe this is a short squeeze and not a sustainable breakout. 📉 Caution Is Advised: I’m sticking to my guns—I don’t trust the current upward action and predict significant downward movement soon. 🛑 Wait Before Buying: No altcoin I’ve reviewed is displaying convincingly bullish signals, reinforcing my cautious stance. 🕵️‍♂️ Cross-Market Analysis: Charts across the crypto market, including Bitcoin and altcoins, suggest indecision and potential fakeouts. 💡 Key Levels to Watch: Downward action could present excellent buying opportunities—stay vigilant for potential entries. ⚠️ Not Investment Advice: This is my personal analysis—trade responsibly and be prepared for sudden market moves. CRYPTO:BTCUSD COINBASE:NEONUSD COINBASE:ARBUSD COINBASE:SPELLUSD COINBASE:SHPINGUSD COINBASE:SUKUUSD COINBASE:CTXUSD COINBASE:HONEYUSD COINBASE:RAREUSD COINBASE:ALGOUSD COINBASE:NEARUSD
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Hollywood260AB
5
Bitcoin's 486 days marathon after halving to reach the 150,000 !The Basics of Bitcoin's Analysis As we approach the anticipated fourth Bitcoin halving on April 15th, 2024, the mining of Bitcoin’s 19,656,962nd coin is a testament to the network’s enduring strength, bringing the circulating supply to 90% of the total. The ‘rainbow chart’ remains a popular model for visualizing Bitcoin’s logarithmic growth and its cyclical price patterns. The halving events, pivotal in Bitcoin’s economic model, systematically reduce the block reward, thereby constraining the new supply of Bitcoin. The current reward stands at 6.25 BTC per block, which will decrease to 3.125 BTC post the fourth halving. This deflationary mechanism has historically triggered bullish market sentiments as the reduced flow of new coins amplifies scarcity. Analyzing the cycles between halvings, a clear pattern emerges: the initial 70,000 blocks post-halving often usher in a bullish phase, succeeded by a bearish phase up to the 140,000th block, and culminating in a sideways market until the next halving at the 210,000th block. Bitcoin’s market dominance is also subject to cyclical fluctuations. Since 2016, its dominance has dipped below 40% during bearish phases and soared to around 70% during bullish periods, significantly influencing the broader cryptocurrency market. The average drawdown observed between halvings is approximately 80%. Currently, in the sideways phase of the third cycle, projections based on the intersection of the 210,000th block and the lower logarithmic regression boundary suggest a valuation of $30,000 per Bitcoin. The forthcoming era could witness a peak of $150,000, with an 80% drawdown positioning the potential low at $55,000 during the bearish phase, commencing 486 days after the halving. Where are we Today? Recent market analyses align with these projections, indicating a minor retracement a month after the 2024 halving, followed by a significant rally to new heights. Analysts advise caution as the market nears the halving event, with some predicting a pre-halving sell-off. Despite short-term volatility, the long-term outlook for Bitcoin remains bullish, with predictions of a new all-time high price in each 4-year period between Halving dates. The only indicator to consider: The MVRV Ratio and Z-score The MVRV ratio was created by Murad Mahmudov & David Puell hot on the heals of the invention of the Realized Cap concept by the Coinmetrics team of Nic Carter and Antoine Le Calvez. Realized Cap is an alternative approach to Market Cap as a measure of network valuation. Rather than using the last traded price and multiplying by the coins in circulation as seen in Market Cap, Realized Cap approximates the value paid for all coins in existence by summing the market value of coins at the time they last moved on the blockchain. MVRV is simply the ratio comparing the two, i.e. MVRV = Market Cap / Realized Cap. It’s useful for getting a sense of when the exchange traded price is below “fair value” and is also quite useful for spotting market tops and bottoms (Source: Coinmetrics.com). The MVRV ratio is calculated by dividing the total bitcoin market value (MV) by its realized value (RV). Therefore, the metric represents the extent in which the current bitcoin market valuation is overextended beyond (values >1) or actually at a discount (values <1) compared to the holders’ aggregated cost base. From the MVRV ratio we obtain the MVRV z-score, which first calculates the difference between the total bitcoin market value and its realized value, and then divides that by the standard deviation of the market valuation — a common statistical procedure called “standardization.” The MVRV z-scores, therefore, represent the number of standard deviations that each bitcoin market valuation is increased or decreased against its realized value (Remember z-score >1 means overextended and z-score <1 discount) What do indicators say? We are currently at the dusk of the 3rd halving era which occurred on May 11th 2020, more precisely the END of the sideways phase. The MVRV ratio is at 2.24 giving sights of a Fair Value. Historically, Values over '3.7' indicated price top and values below '1' indicated price bottom.(Source: CryptoQuant) (It is crucial to note that these insights are for educational purposes and should not be considered financial advice. The cryptocurrency market is inherently volatile, and while historical data can provide guidance, it does not guarantee future performance).
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
1