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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

BTC RISINGBitcoin's daily chart continues to show strength after a strong bounce from the 200-day moving average, which acted as key support. The price is now consolidating below $91,271, an important resistance level that bulls need to reclaim for further upside momentum. The recent surge in volume suggests strong buying interest at the lows, reinforcing the idea that the recent dip was met with accumulation rather than panic selling. However, the next major hurdle remains at $94,990, which has previously acted as a key resistance level. For bulls, the immediate objective is to flip $91,271 into support, which would open the door for a move back toward $94,990. Failure to break above this level could lead to a retest of the 200-day MA, which remains the key downside level to watch. Overall, the structure has improved, but Bitcoin still needs a daily close above $91,271 to confirm a continuation of the recovery.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
Bitcoin Uptrend Continuation AnalysisQuick analysis of BTCUSD downside targets. Remains to be seen whether the near-term Bitcoin lows will hold, but if they don't, a "bear trap" setup could be in play. There's a daily demand zone (77075-74305) wedged between the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracements. The bear trap will be dependent on momentum, but watch this area if we get a flush below 78180. If bullish divergences form, bulls could look to trap bears and buy within said range. That said, keep the focus on longer-term charts. Larger timeframe buy zones are ~70K. Should the weekly RSI take a dive < 40, look for reversal signals on smaller timeframes before getting long. The high of the corrective segment denoting ideal buys is 73808 and the anchor low securing the long-term uptrend is 49351. Entries within that range, which is wide, are viable. Also multiple support/resistance "flip zones" in play circa the abovementioned levels. Bitcoin found some support ~50% Fib retrace, anchored VWAP, and sub-daily demand. It could hold here (trying to put in a intraday higher low as I type this), but I'm hoping it trades lower before higher. Godspeed! JHart
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by JHartCharts
Bitcoin Loses Key Support – Is the Bull Trend in Trouble?Bitcoin has fallen sharply, breaking below the $91,000 support level, which previously acted as a major floor for the uptrend. The cryptocurrency is now testing the 200-EMA ($79,897) as it struggles to find buying interest. 🔍 Technical Breakdown: 📉 Major Breakdown – The loss of $91,000 has turned sentiment bearish. 📉 200-EMA as Last Defense – Holding above $80,000 is critical to avoid deeper losses. 📉 RSI at 29.30 – Bitcoin is entering oversold territory, suggesting a potential relief bounce. 📉 MACD Bearish – The indicator remains deeply negative, confirming ongoing selling momentum. 📌 Key Levels to Watch: 🔹 $80,000-$79,000 – Crucial support zone; a breakdown here could trigger further selling. 🔹 $91,000 – Now resistance; bulls must reclaim this level to restore confidence. 🔹 $100,000+ – Long-term bullish outlook remains intact above this mark. 💡 Trading Outlook: 🔻 Bearish Case: A sustained break below $80,000 could accelerate downside pressure, targeting $72,500 (61.8% Fib retracement). 🔺 Bullish Case: If Bitcoin holds above the 200-EMA, a relief bounce toward $91,000 is possible, but buyers need to reclaim it to shift momentum. Bitcoin's long-term trend is still bullish, but the recent breakdown raises concerns about further downside risk. Can bulls defend $80,000, or is this the start of a deeper correction?
FOREXCOM:BTCUSD
by FOREXcom
#202509 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: The bear breakout finally happened. First time I wrote about 75k was when we broke above 100k 3 months ago. This bear trend is now confirmed and the only question for me is do we get 1 or 2 legs more. For now my main target remains 75000 and everything below is a bonus. The 50% retracement for the whole bull market since 2022-11 is at 62k, but I highly doubt we can get there in the medium term. The big bull trend line and monthly 20ema is now my lowest medium target - around 68/70k. We have not touched the monthly 20ema since 2023-10. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 70k - 95k bull case: Bulls stopped the fall above the breakout price around 74k and they want to keep some of the bull gap open to keep the hopes of a continuation up alive. On the weekly and monthly chart it is still a bull trend until we break below the trend line currently at 65k. Bulls main objective is now to print higher lows and bounce to at least the daily ema around 92k. Trends can only be very strong, if pull-backs are shallow and many traders trapped in losing positions, so they have to cover once it’s clear that we will get nowhere near their entry price. If bulls can bounce this above 90k or even 94k, all bulls who previously bought the lows and bought them now as well, will be able to make money. Invalidation is below 70k. bear case: Bears showed strength by finally closing consecutive days below 90k and even dropped below 80k. Now they need to break below the breakout price at 74k and close the gap to the previous ath. Once they have accomplished that, this bull trend is much less strong and they can try to test down to the bull trend line around 68k, depending on when we get there. Last weeks selling is likely the W1 of a intermediate bear trend inside the bigger bull trend. Could it be the start of a bigger bear trend where we test down to the 50% retracement of the multi-year bull trend around 62k? Possible but irrelevant for now. Bears have to take it level by level. I have drawn two potential ways forward for this wave-series. Much less bearish would be a bigger two-legged move where the pull-back would reach up to 94k and the second leg down could stay above 75k, if it would even get there. Much more bearish alternative would be a measured move down to almost exactly the named 50% retracement at 62k. We could get there in a 5-wave series, which is also drawn on the chart. As always, price is likely much more probable than timing on the chart. Invalidation is above 95k. short term: Max bearish. Any pullback is a good short with a stop 97k. medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. Right now nothing is moving, so my targets are useless for any trade. Here is my year end special outlook from 2024-12-29 bear case: The pain trade is to the downside. There is no arguing about that fact. Only issue for bears is that bubbles can go on for longer than anyone’s account can handle. So selling right now with a stop 109k is reasonable but most bears want more confirmation. Below 90000 more bulls have to cover and this will accelerate down. My targets in order are the breakout retest around 75000 and if things get bad enough there, we go down to the 50% pullback and the bull trend line at 62500. There I expect the market to go sideways for more time and depending on how we get there, we can estimate new targets above or below. current swing trade: Looking to scale into shorts around 90k with stop 97k. chart update: Added potential bear channel and two wave-series.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
BITCOIN Can it reach 200k by the end of the year?Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is under a heavy consolidation for the whole month of February bringing discomfort to the market, which thought that an immediate rally in 2025 was in order. Libra's rug pull and last week's ByBit's hack didn't help, quite the contrary, the first calls of a Bear Market have started to resurface again. This chart on the 1W time-frame however, pays good justice as to the situation BTC is currently facing. First of all, the price has dropped below the Mayer Multiple 1SD above (grey trend-line), which is not encouraging as in the previous Cycle this only happened in mid-May 2021 and in the two Cycles before, didn't happen until the new Bear Cycles started. This isn't however that alarming as it was natural for Bitcoin to be more aggressive during its first years, with the price so low (and with much greater potential ahead of it) and the market capitalization still in infant stages. This is why, as you may notice, the Parabolic Channels get less and less aggressive on each passing Cycle, with the current one being the most 'conservative' of all. This explains why last Cycle 'only' hit the MM 2SD above (orange trend-line), while the two Cycles before that easily hit and broke above the MM 3SD above. Naturally, we may assume the following to parameters for the remainder of the current Bull Cycle: a) It is not necessary to hit the MM 2SD above again, in fact it is more likely not to do so. b) Since the last two Cycles both lasted 1064 days (152 weeks) from their Bear Cycle bottom to the Bull Cycle top, we can expect the current one to top around October 06 2025. Despite those limitations, BTC can hit the $200k mark based on the tranjectory of the current Parabolic Channel, which would still be considerably below the MM 2SD above, by the end of 2025. Do you think that's realistic to expect or $200000 is too much to expect during this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
(BTC) bitcoin "recent red plus sign"Bitcoin is a product of the environment we live in, for some there are references to it that matter, for others BTC is not reality and more so evil. Is BTC anymore evil than holding dollars in your pocket that you will not spend? Hodl value is akin to the properties of holding cash. With no purpose behind holding the cash a person would not hold cash, but money has purpose even if there is nothing to buy. Buying is figurative value where a conversion takes place between the property of the original cash and the newly found material item(s). Though the cash holds a stronger replacement for value than any single item of material value because to buy means to immediate lose re-sellable value. I can buy a pair of pants but if I wear them even once they are not brand new and cannot be returned or resold as such. If BTC is a product of the environment, what environments occur where BTC holds no value? When value is determined for value sake than value is indeterminate therefore the meaning of the value is not dependent to any one aspect of spending or savings. Fire a bunch of people from their job, does their value return to becoming pure cash or was it a daydream that some people believed to suspend payment of workers in order to recover what was believed to be lost. Animated imaginations create cryptocurrency to a degree that reaches a mass audience of people that do not actually like investing through memes. Bitcoin will never be a meme and will remain a digital historical monument throughout time which represents the before the story went crazy with fanciful ideas that may or may not have gone anywhere ...
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyBlot
Bitcoin Has Bullish Divergence With Oversold RSIThe 4-hour Bitcoin chart is showing a strong signal of potential bottoming with an oversold bullish divergence. While price made a lower low, the RSI made a higher low, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening. This type of divergence often precedes a reversal or at least a relief bounce. However, it is important to remain cautious of potential hidden bearish divergence forming on lower timeframes. If price makes a lower high while RSI makes a higher high, it could signal a continuation of the downtrend. Confirmation above local resistance levels would be needed to invalidate further downside risk. For now, the bullish divergence suggests that the worst of the sell-off might be over, but price action needs to hold and push higher to confirm a stronger reversal. When zooming into the 4-hour chart from the daily, an important detail emerges—while there was heavy volume during the sell-off, the strongest volume candles were actually buy-side, not sell-side. This suggests that buyers aggressively stepped in at the lows, supporting the idea that the oversold bullish divergence could mark a local bottom. This type of volume profile is significant because it indicates that demand is returning at key support levels, rather than panic-driven selling dominating the price action. However, while this signals potential bottoming, price still needs to reclaim key resistance levels to confirm a reversal.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ScottMelker
1
BTCUSD: Bearish Signal from Mother Candle on Daily ChartMother Candle - A big candle that engulfs the subsequent candles. The Mother Candle formed on Dec 5th on a Daily Chart still holds good, with a Bear Counter Attack and a Fake Break Down. With the Rising Wedge to get to the Mother Candle, there is a very high probability that this could be a bearish reversal. If there is a Break Down on the Mother Candle, there are known support levels from GETTEX:92K to $85K. The price could dip down to one of these levels. Let's see.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by pmasilamani
8
Bitcoin Daily Analysis #17 | Univers Of SignalsLet’s move on to the analysis of Bitcoin and key crypto indices. As I mentioned yesterday, there was a possibility that the market would undergo a correction and start ranging, and that’s exactly what happened. ✨ The price hasn’t changed much compared to yesterday, and the short positions we opened remain open for now. There’s no need to take profits yet. Let’s analyze the market to identify today’s triggers or the ones that might signal when to take profits on previous positions. ⏳ 1-Hour Timeframe As you can see in the 1-hour timeframe, after the price formed a base at 87,700, it entered a ranging phase. The RSI, after being rejected multiple times from the 30 level, has finally exited the oversold zone and has now reached 50, indicating that the bearish momentum has slightly weakened. ⚡️ The current minor resistance is at 89,458, and if the price closes above this level, we can take partial profits on our short positions, securing the desired profit from this market move. 👀 However, as you can see, I have placed a Fibonacci retracement on the chart since the price completed a bearish leg and, after reaching the 82,770 low, this bearish leg can be considered complete. Now, we are in a correction phase. As you can see, the price has not even retraced to the 0.382 Fibonacci level yet, forming a lower high below this zone. 🔼 This indicates that buyers are weak in the market, and sellers remain in control. If the price closes above 89,458, the likelihood of deeper corrections increases, which could extend to the 0.5, 0.618, or even 0.786 Fibonacci levels. 🧲 A crucial point about this Fibonacci retracement is the zone between 0.5 and 0.618, where the price has already reacted in the previous bearish leg. More importantly, the 92,433 support that was broken aligns with the 0.618 Fibonacci level, making this zone a critical PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone). 🔑 If the price breaks below 87,070, you can enter a short position, but for longs, I suggest waiting until the price forms more structure and buyers step into the market, leading to bullish momentum. 👑 BTC.D Analysis Let’s move on to Bitcoin dominance analysis. As I mentioned yesterday, BTC dominance got rejected from 62.19, and I had said that a bearish trend was likely. That’s exactly what happened, and after BTC dominance broke below 61.49, it moved downward in a bearish leg to 60.91. Now, it is in a corrective phase. 💫 The confirmation of further downside for BTC dominance will come if it breaks below 60.91, which could trigger the next bearish leg. Currently, I do not have any bullish triggers for BTC dominance except for a reclaim of 61.49. However, since the structure is still forming, we need to wait before considering any bullish trigger. 📅 Total2 Analysis Now, let’s move on to Total2. As I mentioned yesterday, the 1.16 level was broken, and a new support formed at 1.07. As you can see, Total2 has retraced more significantly than Bitcoin, correcting almost to the 0.382 Fibonacci level. 🎲 The reason for this deeper retracement is that Bitcoin dominance has been declining—more money has exited Bitcoin than altcoins, allowing altcoins to recover more than Bitcoin. 🔫 In Total2, we also have a major resistance zone between the 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels, similar to Bitcoin. In general, both Bitcoin and Total2 have a critical resistance zone between their respective 0.5 and 0.618 Fibonacci retracements. 💥 Currently, the key resistance is at 1.13, and if the price breaks this level, it could move towards the resistance zone. However, for short positions, if 1.07 is broken, you can enter a short trade. ✅ Be mindful of BTC dominance, as it is currently in a downtrend. If BTC.D continues to decline, shorting Bitcoin may be a better choice than shorting altcoins. 📅 USDT.D Analysis Now, let’s analyze USDT dominance (USDT.D). Yesterday, it made a fake breakout above 5.04 and then reversed sharply downward, failing to hold the resistance. However, it has not yet formed a clear structure, so it’s too early to make any strong conclusions. ⭐️ I recommend avoiding opening new positions in the market for now and refraining from high-risk trades. The main trade opportunity was already provided when Bitcoin’s range broke down, so if you missed it, do not let FOMO push you into a trade. Avoid making rushed decisions that could put your capital at risk. ❌ Disclaimer ❌ Trading futures is highly risky and dangerous. If you're not an expert, these triggers may not be suitable for you. You should first learn risk and capital management. You can also use the educational content from this channel. Finally, these triggers reflect my personal opinions on price action, and the market may move completely against this analysis. So, do your own research before opening any position.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by UNIVERSOFSIGNALS
Bitcoin Maxis: Your Delusion Is About to Get Liquidated!Oh look, Bitcoin maxis are back at it again—screaming "NEW ALL-TIME HIGH SOON! 🚀" while conveniently ignoring every single warning sign flashing like a Christmas tree on fire. 🔥🎄 Shall we take a quick reality check? Let's talk about that chart—the one showing a huge bearish divergence on the RSI . Yeah, that thing maxis pretend doesn't exist because, apparently, TA is for "normies." Price is pushing up, but momentum? Looking about as exhausted as a degenerate who just YOLO'd their life savings into a dog coin. This is not a bullish sign. Last time we saw this pattern? Oh right—November 2021, right before Bitcoin went from $69K to $15K in record time. But hey, I’m sure "this time is different," right? 😂 Then there’s the rising wedge , which is basically a giant neon sign saying, "Hey, we’re about to dump!" But maxis, bless their little diamond hands, will call it "accumulation" while their portfolios get sliced like a Thanksgiving turkey. 🍗 Now, let’s talk targets. 20K? Very possible. 15K? Wouldn’t be shocking. The big green arrows in the chart? Yeah, they’re not pointing up. But don’t worry, you’ll still hear "BUY THE DIP!" echoing through the wreckage as another cycle of hopium plays out in real time. At the end of the day, Bitcoin maxis don’t need technical analysis—they need therapy. Because no matter how many times the market smacks them in the face, they’ll still be here, shouting " Number go up !" while ignoring every single warning sign. 😆 Tick. Tock. The market doesn’t care about your laser eyes. 🕰️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by RoadToAMillionClub
BTCUSD: These are historically the best conditions to buy.Bitcoin has turned oversold on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 27.940, MACD = -1745.600, ADX = 37.260) and neutral on its 1W (RSI = 50.407). These are historically the best conditions to buy. Neutral long term, oversold short term. Last time the 1D RSI was oversold was on the August 5th 2024 low, which was the bottom of Bitcoin's prior consolidation phase. At the time, the market was again inside a Channel Down, and the rebound after the August bottom, immediately targeted the 0.786 Fibonacci. Consequently, our first target is the 0.786 Fib at the top of the Channel Down (TP = 102,000) and after it breaks, we expect a rally similar to October-December 2024. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope