BTCUSD LONG Rebound BTCUSD Rebound until 78.60 Fibbonacci level and after that sell until 1h orderblock downside.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Is BTC ready to move to 66k?I honestly hate to say it but BTC looks like its about to breakdown to 66k. Looks like a symmetrical triangle on declining volume almost ready to move.
The Trump Tariffs are the culprit of course and tomorrow 10 percent tariffs will hit across the board. On the 9th, heavier tariffs will hit. Price action will be determined by these regulations. I hope that a lot of countries renegotiate them and actually turn these things into bullish news but I'm very doubtful. I think its more likely that these hit and take us lower. Stay vigilant
BTC riding the green line is not normalBut when it does, it goes up HUGE. The channel is narrowing which means less volatility in the future and steady inflows are expected, that time is unknown at the moment but I believe it is a given. Now is a great time to buy your favorite coin whatever that is......
Shut out the noise and trade there is money to be made here.
^^ turns to VV to watch for it.
Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge | Upside Potential Ahead!Market Overview:
The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 4-hour chart is displaying a Falling Wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal structure. This indicates that the downtrend is weakening, and a potential breakout could lead to a strong upside move.
🔹 Key Technical Analysis
1️⃣ Falling Wedge Formation & Breakout
Bitcoin has been trading inside a falling wedge, marked by lower highs and lower lows, signaling a contraction in volatility.
A breakout above the upper trendline of the wedge is forming, suggesting a bullish reversal and the start of an uptrend.
Falling wedges typically lead to a rally equal to the height of the pattern, giving a measured move target of $114,334.
2️⃣ Price Action & Confirmation Levels
A clean breakout above $87,000 would confirm bullish momentum.
If price successfully retests the wedge’s upper boundary and holds support, further bullish continuation is expected.
The psychological level of $100,000 could act as an interim resistance before the final target is reached.
3️⃣ Upside Target & Resistance Zones
The measured move suggests a potential rally towards $114,334, aligning with previous resistance zones.
This target represents a 30.55% gain from the breakout level.
Traders should watch for pullbacks and retests as part of the breakout confirmation.
📈 Trading Plan - Long Setup
🔹 Entry: Look for a confirmed breakout above $87,000, or a retest of support.
🔹 Stop Loss: Below $84,000, protecting against false breakouts.
🔹 Take Profit: $100,000 - $114,334 (previous resistance & measured move target).
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: Strong bullish setup with favorable upside potential.
🛑 Risk Factors to Consider
⚠️ A failed breakout and a drop below $83,000 would invalidate the bullish setup.
⚠️ External factors such as macroeconomic events, regulatory news, and BTC ETF developments could influence volatility.
Final Thought
The breakout from the falling wedge signals a potential bullish continuation for Bitcoin, with targets set around $114,334. Traders should watch for confirmation above $87,000 and manage risk accordingly.
Institutional smart money concept trading. Execution of institutional traders. Identify liquidity or become liquidity.
BTC/USD update on the drop!Good day traders, yesterday I posted the same set up on bitcoin and now I’ve decided I’m gonna update this setup till we hit our Daily lowest low.
1H TF yesterday before end of trading day we show price bounce off the the horizontal lines and that is used as my support area, going into the New York session we can expect price to retest the break after it breaks below the support which will than become my resistance.
Hopefully today we can see price run our liquidity resting below(equal lows).
My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet..#Salute
Bitcoin Holding prz support line its coming upward read captionIt sounds like you're analyzing Bitcoin's price action and think it's approaching or holding a support line, which could mean an upward move is likely soon. Support zones can definitely act as a springboard for price bounces, especially if volume confirms the strength.
Do you have a chart you're looking at or a specific PRZ (Potential Reversal Zone) or support level in mind? I can help break it down further if you want to share more details or an image.
BITCOIN Will Go Lower! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 84,393.94.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 81,267.75 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BTCUSD Technical analysis after breakout we expect this move.BTCUSD Forecast and technical analysis H1 Time Frame next move possible. Not financial advice
Bitcoin Super RecessionI beleive Bitcoin will face a totally 53% drop from its all time high after US Recession will start during this year.
Mark my words last time we had a collapse on crypto in 2022 i predicted this time is easier due to financial incertenity
BTCUSD – April 2025 Downside ReportTheme: Distribution, Crowded Longs, and Imminent Breakdown
• Bitcoin is showing signs of late-stage distribution after a failed breakout and prolonged consolidation.
• Sentiment remains bullish, but price has stalled — a dangerous divergence.
• The market is heavily one-sided: long exposure is extreme, while net long positioning has quietly begun to unwind.
• Institutions are pulling back exposure, while retail is still stuck in euphoric bias from previous highs.
• This is a classic case of positioning mismatch, where downside risk builds beneath stagnant price action.
⸻
Bias: Bearish
• Market structure is weakening — lower highs and failed momentum indicate sellers are regaining control.
• Positioning data reveals a crowded trade with little fuel left to push higher.
• Reflexivity kicks in as participants begin exiting longs en masse, creating liquidity voids beneath the current range.
• The longer the market holds in this fragile zone, the more violent the eventual release is likely to be.
⸻
Trade Idea: Fade the Retest
• Look for a failed rally into prior rejection zones — signs of exhaustion or reversal patterns signal opportunity.
• Enter short on confirmation of weakness, using a tactical stop just above the structure break.
• Ride the move lower as trapped longs are forced to unwind.
• Stay patient — the breakdown may come fast and sharp once emotional pressure unwinds.
This is a strategy built on imbalance: the crowd wants higher, but the structure and positioning say lower.
BTC Breakout Alert: Falling Wedge Long Setup!Bitcoin is showing a classic falling wedge pattern, signaling a potential bullish reversal. Price is respecting support levels and consolidating, indicating a possible breakout to the upside. This setup aligns with previous similar patterns that led to upward momentum. Keeping an eye on resistance levels for profit-taking, while managing risk in case of a breakdown. A textbook long opportunity for technical traders.
Déjà Vu, BTC's Historical Pattern EncoreIt is possible the pattern that shaped in late 2020 and 2021 might repeat again.
Everything just looks like the previous main high which is selected with the red square in the left of chart.
There is no guarantee even if it happens - movement and ratios of movement can be different.
Déjà vu on the charts isn't by chance.
Bitcoin will follow QQQAfter Trump announce tarrifs the entire market has collapsed except Bitcoin, Bitcoin is no different than Stock Markert and will follow the crash has others.
Delay is what i tell you guys is happening with bitcoin its just a matter of timew until you see bitcoin trading bellow 70s around 68,000.00
BTCUSD: Market of Buyers
Our strategy, polished by years of trial and error has helped us identify what seems to be a great trading opportunity and we are here to share it with you as the time is ripe for us to buy BTCUSD.
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BTC short setup for the coming weeksHi Everyone,
In today's market update, I’m analyzing a potential short setup that I plan to take in the coming weeks.
While we are currently experiencing an upward rally, the broader macroeconomic environment remains uncertain. This leads me to believe that the current move is merely a relief rally, with further downside likely ahead.
I will begin building my short position once we enter the red zone between 90,654.73 - 94,366.47.
For invalidation, I am watching the 95,500 level—if the price breaks and holds above this level, I will exit the trade, as it would invalidate my setup.
Stay tuned for updates on my trading plan!
Pushing BTC higher. Smart money concept tradingThe market price managed to sweep all the liquidity below. The order block is a point of interest for the price to mitigate and to give a confirmation if the buyers already took control of the market potential price movement.
BTC - Cryptos look bullish?Based on the action the last 2 days, I'm actually feeling bullish on cryptos, lol. Cryptos have been tracking the market lately, especially on selloffs, so the dissociation with the market drop is bullish.
People will notice, several followers have already commented on it. As more people notice, they'll flock to crypto as the "safe haven" that crypto nerds always wanted them to be. Plus Trump is a crypto nerd too.
Personally, I think cryptos are just a bunch of worthless numbers, but then again I'll trade Pet Rocks and Beanie Babies if I thought I could make money on them. (Yeah, I'm old, lol) People don't seem to understand that you don't own any part of the technology, just a set of numbers generated by an algorithm. Regardless, still bullish short term.
Also, 3hr indicators sort of work on BTC, you can see 3hr MFI went oversold and BTC bounced.
Bitcoin vs. Nasdaq: BTC Shows Signs of Decoupling Amid US Stock
For years, the narrative surrounding Bitcoin’s price action has been inextricably linked to the performance of traditional financial markets, particularly the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite. Often moving in lockstep, Bitcoin was viewed by many as a high-beta asset, amplifying the gains during bullish periods and suffering even steeper losses when risk sentiment soured in equities. However, recent market movements have sparked a crucial question among investors and analysts alike: is Bitcoin finally beginning to forge its own path, decoupling from the gravitational pull of U.S. stocks as they face mounting headwinds?
The past few weeks have witnessed a notable divergence. While U.S. stock markets, reeling from a confluence of factors including escalating geopolitical tensions stemming from a potential “Trump tariff war,” persistent inflation concerns highlighted by Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s hawkish warnings of “higher inflation and slower growth,” and broader macroeconomic anxieties, have experienced a significant downturn – shedding a staggering $3.5 trillion in value – Bitcoin has demonstrated a surprising degree of resilience, even posting gains in some instances. This nascent divergence has ignited a wave of optimism among Bitcoin proponents who have long yearned for the digital asset to be recognized and traded based on its own fundamental merits, rather than as a mere proxy for risk-on sentiment in the equity markets.
The concept of Bitcoin decoupling from traditional assets has been a recurring theme in the cryptocurrency space. The original thesis for Bitcoin, after all, positioned it as a decentralized, censorship-resistant store of value and a hedge against traditional financial system vulnerabilities. Its finite supply, its independence from central banks and government policies, and its inherent scarcity were touted as key differentiators that would eventually lead it to trade independently. However, the reality of the past few years has often painted a different picture, with institutional adoption bringing increased correlation with established asset classes.
The current shift, however tentative, offers a glimmer of hope for those who believe in Bitcoin’s unique value proposition. The factors contributing to the stock market slump – trade war anxieties, inflation fears, and the prospect of tighter monetary policy – arguably strengthen the case for Bitcoin as an alternative asset. In times of economic uncertainty and currency debasement concerns, the fixed supply and decentralized nature of Bitcoin could become increasingly attractive to investors seeking a safe haven outside the traditional financial system.
Furthermore, the increasing maturity of the Bitcoin market, with the development of more sophisticated trading instruments, greater institutional participation, and a deeper understanding of its underlying technology, may be contributing to its growing independence. As Bitcoin gains broader acceptance as a legitimate asset class, its price discovery mechanisms may become less reliant on the sentiment driving traditional equity markets.
However, it is crucial to approach this apparent decoupling with a degree of caution. While the recent divergence is encouraging for Bitcoin bulls, it is too early to definitively declare the long-awaited break has finally arrived. Market correlations can be fluid and influenced by a multitude of factors. A sudden shift in global risk sentiment or a significant negative event specific to the cryptocurrency space could easily re-establish the link between Bitcoin and traditional assets.
Adding a layer of complexity to the current narrative is the warning from some analysts regarding a potential Bitcoin price correction. Despite the recent resilience, multiple BTC price forecasting models have pointed towards a scenario where Bitcoin could fall back to its 2021 all-time high of around $70,000 in a relatively short timeframe – some even suggesting this could occur within the next ten days. This potential “crash risk,” as one analyst termed it, is attributed to various technical and market cycle indicators.
The notion that $70,000 could represent Bitcoin’s “practical bottom,” as suggested by some, highlights the inherent volatility and speculative nature of the cryptocurrency market. Even if Bitcoin is beginning to decouple from traditional equities, it remains susceptible to its own unique set of risks and price swings. Factors such as regulatory developments, network security concerns, and shifts in investor sentiment within the crypto space can still exert significant influence on its price.
Therefore, while the current divergence between Bitcoin and the struggling U.S. stock market offers a compelling narrative and fuels the hopes of long-term Bitcoin holders, it is essential to maintain a balanced perspective. The confluence of factors driving the stock market decline could indeed be creating an environment where Bitcoin’s unique characteristics become more appealing, leading to a sustained period of independent price action. However, the inherent volatility of the cryptocurrency market and the potential for a significant correction remind investors that the journey towards true decoupling is likely to be a complex and potentially bumpy one.
In conclusion, the recent market dynamics present a fascinating juncture for Bitcoin. The initial signs of decoupling from the crumbling U.S. stock market, driven by a confluence of macroeconomic anxieties and the potential for Bitcoin to act as an alternative store of value, are undeniably encouraging for those who believe in its long-term potential. However, the warnings of a potential price correction underscore the inherent risks within the cryptocurrency space. Whether this nascent decoupling marks a definitive shift in Bitcoin's market behavior or proves to be a temporary divergence remains to be seen. Investors would be wise to monitor these trends closely, remaining cognizant of both the potential for independent growth and the ever-present risks associated with this dynamic and evolving asset class. The coming weeks and months will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin can truly forge its own path in the face of traditional market turmoil.
BTCUSD: Conservative September Target $150kBitcoin remains neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 46.307, MACD = 1999.100, ADX = 44.501), firmly supported on top of the 1W MA50. On this analysis you see the Channel Up that dictated the price action of the last three Cycles. Since December 2023 BTC has traded solely inside the 0.382 - 0.618 Fibonacci Zone, the median zone of the Channel Up. The Theory of pre-Halving / post-Halving symmetry implies that the time range from the Cycle Bottom to the Halving is almost the same as the time from the Halving to the Cycle Top. Since on the current Cycle, the time from the Bottom to the Halving has been 76 weeks, in theory the Top should be another 76 weeks from the Halving. We take the worst case estimate of 74 weeks like the 2017 Top. That's the end of September. And with regards to the target, a conservative estimate is just over the 0.5 Fib at 150k, like the highs of December 2024 and March 2024.
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1 Month Bitcoin Consolidation, and Back to $100,000Following the global liquidity with a 109-day delay, the price of BTC should consolidate between the upper 70s and low 80s until the first week of May before increasing back to over $100,000 and eventually to new ATHs. This will coincide with the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve purchase in the US.
P.S - incredibly impressed with how Bitcoin is holding up whilst the stock market is crashing.
Bitcoin Eyeing a Breakout After Consolidation!BTC is forming a potential bullish setup after a period of tight consolidation within a falling wedge. Price is attempting to reclaim structure above key resistance, with the wedge breakout suggesting momentum could shift upward. If volume supports the move, bulls may regain control, making this zone critical for confirmation.
BTCUSDT BuyBitcoin is ready to start uptrend and retest 93k level. Stop area is 77k. Consolidation between 82 - 93 levels is still active.
