Trade Analysis (BTC/USD Long Trade – 30m chart)!Trade Setup Summary
Trade Type: Long (Buy)
Entry Price: ~105,067 (current level)
Stop Loss: ~104,581 (white horizontal support)
Target Price: ~106,983 (green resistance)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Excellent (approx. 1:3+)
🔍 Technical Highlights
Ascending Triangle Breakout: The price was compressing in a triangle; it seems to have broken out just above the yellow resistance.
Key Resistance Levels:
Immediate resistance: 105,831 (red line – might be retested)
Target resistance: 106,983 (green line – take-profit zone)
Support Zone: 104,581 – solid level for stop-loss placement.
📌 Trade Confidence Signals
📊 Breakout from a mini ascending triangle.
📈 Volume is slightly increasing.
🟡 Previous resistance flipped into potential support.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
$BTC 12-Week Lead Correlation w/ Global Liquidity, M2, GOLD, DXYHere’s a look at Bitcoin's price action against Global Liquidity, Global M2, GOLD and DXY - all with a 12-Week Lead.
Notice GOLD has a bit more of a deviation from the BTC price than the others.
This is because GOLD is used as a store of value asset, whereas the others are predicated on Central Banks expanding and contracting their money supply and balance sheets.
The key here is to smooth out the signal and ignore the noise.
Notice the convergence between these metrics the past couple months.
BTC SHORT TP:103,700 31-05-2025🚨 SHORT setup in play
Entry between 104,800 and 105,100, targeting 103,600–103,800 on the 1H chart.
Estimated duration: 6–10 horas ⏳
Esto es solo un rebote bajista en un contexto donde lo grande sigue siendo alza. Si no baja dentro del tiempo estimado, el setup queda invalidado.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
#BTC #PriceAction #Reydragon21
BTCUSD: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 104,740.70 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 105,037.78 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
BTC (Daily) Elliot Wave 2 UnderwayBTC appears to have completed a motif wave (1) poking above all time high after printing a triangle for wave 4. Triangles are an ending pattern with a final thrust up afterwards typically breaking all time highs before reversing in wave 2, selling into retail FOMO.
Wave 2 has a $92k target at 0.5 Fibonacci retracement and high volume support node.
Wave 3 should be a powerful move up taking price way into all time high.
Safe trading
Daily BTC/USD Analysis - Smart Money PerspectivePrice recently swept liquidity above the previous weekly high, indicating a classic liquidity grab. After this move, we observed a market structure shift (MSS) to the downside, followed by a break and a mitigation of a bearish imbalance (BAG).
Currently, price is reacting from a small fair value gap (FVG), but this is likely just a retracement. I'm expecting the market to drop further and target the larger FVG zone that aligns on both the weekly and daily timeframes (highlighted in blue). This zone also aligns with a potential POI (point of interest) for smart money accumulation.
📌 Short-term bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: 99,000–97,000 zone
🔍 Watch for rejection at current FVG or possible internal liquidity grab before the drop.
Smart money is likely to seek deeper liquidity before any meaningful bullish continuation. Stay patient and let price come to the premium zone.
I WILL RISK BIG FOR THIS BITCOIN BULLISH IDEAWhy this long setup “makes sense”
Retest of a Confluence Zone:
Price Structure: Earlier in the day, BTC was trading below 104,566, then broke higher, printed a small rally up to ~104,900. After that rally, it pulled back down to retest 104,566.
Volume Profile Support (VAL): The short-session Value Area Low (≈104,550–104,600) lines up almost exactly with that horizontal support. When price dips into a VAL and sees buying volume pick up, it frequently “re-rejects” downward and rallies toward the VAH/POC again.
Point of Control (POC) as Magnet:
Notice how the mini-profile’s POC sits around 104,650–104,700. If price is able to hold just above VAL and above 104,566, it often needs to re-test that POC (near 104,650–104,700) before building momentum toward higher value areas (105,000+).
Risk Management:
The stop at ~104,433 is placed just under the previous swing low and under the VAL. Should price break below that, it’s likely invalidating the bullish absorption you want to see here.
Conversely, targeting 105,627 (the next confluence of highs, mini-profile VAH, and the flat top of that small volume profile box) gives you a clean reward, because that level acted as short-term resistance earlier in the afternoon.
15-Minute Candlestick Reaction:
Right at this moment you see a wick dipping into VAL/104,550, followed by a small bullish pin that closes off the low. That’s a sign buyers are absorbing. Once you get a full 15-minute candle close back above 104,566 (preferably with a little body rather than just a wick), that’s your trigger to pull the buy trigger.
3. Step-by-step execution plan
Wait for Confirmation Candle:
Let the current 15-minute candle close (around 9:30 PM on the chart). If it closes entirely above 104,566 (preferably with a bullish body), that validates support/VAL is holding.
Enter Long (Buy) at Market or on a Small Limit Order:
You can place a limit order at 104,566 exactly, or simply buy at market when you see the close. Either way, entry is once the bounce is confirmed.
Set Stop‐Loss:
Hard stop at 104,433 (≈130 pips below entry). This is below the mini‐profile VAL and the very recent swing low on the 15-minute chart.
Technically, any drop below 104,550 would already bug out the mini-profile support, so going a few ticks lower (to 104,433) gives a bit of breathing room without risking too much.
Set Take‐Profit:
Mark your TP at 105,627 (≈1,000 pips above entry). In practice, that level has already shown minor rejection earlier today and lines up with the upper boundary of that small volume‐profile box.
If price can clear 105,627 convincingly, you could even consider a trailing-stop strategy beyond that, but for now, treat 105,627 as your primary R:R target.
Track Price Behavior:
As soon as price moves +50 pips in your favor (≈104,800), consider moving stop to breakeven (104,566). That way you can eliminate risk on the remaining position and let the rest run to 105,627.
If price slices through the POC (~104,650–104,700) with conviction, that often signals enough short‐covering/bull momentum to push toward 105,000+.
4. If the trade goes south…
Invalidation:
Should price break below 104,550 (the VAL) and then keep selling into 104,400–104,350, your stop at 104,433 will get hit. At that point, the little “volume magnet” has failed and sellers are in control.
What to Watch Next:
If your stop is taken out, watch how price behaves around 104,300–104,200 (the next obvious swing low from earlier in the session). That could become the next short idea if bearish volume continues, but only after you’ve cut your losses here.
5. Why the Risk:Reward (≈1:4) is attractive
Risk (~130 pips):
One 15-minute candle’s worth of volatility around this mini-profile level is roughly 50–60 pips, plus some buffer. By placing your stop a bit lower (≈130 pips), you give the trade room to breathe under VAL.
Reward (~1,060 pips):
Getting back up toward the mini-profile’s VAH/POC cluster near 105,600–105,700 is a higher‐probability area for profit, since that zone acted as recent resistance. A ~1,000-pips upside vs ~130 pips downside gives an ~8:1 gross R:R before fees or slippage. Even if actual profit is slightly less, your risk is small relative to potential reward.
6. Key takeaways
Volume Profile + Value Area can help you spot where “big players” have put most of their orders. VAL often acts as short‐term support.
Confluence Zone: The overlap of “horizontal support” (104,566) and the mini-profile VAL (≈104,550–104,600) is what makes this a high‐probability long zone.
Discipline on Stops: Placing your stop below the VAL (104,433) ensures you’re out quickly if that support fails.
Aggressive R:R: Shooting for ~105,627 offers a large reward if price truly wants to re-test the upper volume/value levels.
Confirmation Is Critical: Never enter exactly when price first touches VAL—wait for a full 15-minute candle close back above the support line.
Next Steps
If you are demo-trading this setup: Practice waiting for the candle close, measure your exact pip risk, and note how price reacts when it revisits the POC (around 104,650–104,700).
If you go live: Size your position so that a 130-pip stop risk equals 1–2% of your account. For example, if 1 BTC = $104,000, each pip is $0.10 (on a 0.01 BTC position), so 130 pips = $13 risk. Make sure $13 is ≤ 1% of your trading capital.
That’s the essence of this 15-minute BTCUSD volume-profile long setup. You have a clear entry (≈104,566), a logical stop (≈104,433), and a well-defined profit target (≈105,627). Keep an eye on how price interacts with the mini‐profile Value Area Low and Point of Control—if buyers step up here, you’ll likely see a swift move back toward the 105,600 zone.
Good luck trading! 🚀
sellers are getting absorbedin this chart you can see the CVD decreasing while price is increasing.
we also made a tridant structure
although these are all bead lows, that i would like to be swept absorption is happening and money is flowing in.
so im prepared in case it wants to make a sweep on CME market open.
but its an obvious long
BTCUSD Analysis | Buyers Returning at Key Support🔍 Market Context:
BTCUSD recently saw aggressive selling pressure between May 30 and early May 31, as seen in heavy negative delta prints (-41, -63, -53) and elevated sell volumes. Price fell sharply from ~$106,000 to the ~$103,500–$104,000 region.
However, this drop is now showing signs of buyer absorption, with several candles printing positive delta (e.g., +5, +6, +24) and increased buy-side volume. The price has since recovered to around $104,927, with buyers holding the level strongly into the latest 4H close.
🔄 Footprint Takeaways:
Strong Sell-Off Zone: ~$105,750–$106,000
Sellers dominated here with significant imbalances and sharp rejection.
Key Demand Zone: ~$103,500–$104,000
This area saw multiple positive delta candles and absorption behavior — likely where bulls are building positions.
Recent Strength:
Latest candles show clear buyer control with strong closes and little upper wick.
Volume delta improving in favor of the bulls.
🧭 Outlook:
📈 Short-Term Bias: Bullish
🧱 Resistance Ahead: $105,750–$106,000
💡 Support to Hold: $103,500–$104,000
A clean break and hold above $106K would shift the momentum toward continued upside. Until then, this remains a potential reversal zone worth watching closely.
🔔 Follow for more order flow & footprint-based insights.
💬 Drop your thoughts or levels in the comments!
BTC wait for Long
Bitcoin continues to struggle with its long-term weekly resistance.
In the short term, it’s likely that BTC will consolidate within the $100,000–$112,000 range.
Positioning heavily into altcoins during this phase may not be ideal. It’s more prudent to wait for either a confirmed breakout above weekly resistance or a pullback toward the $94,000–$92,000 support zone.
For now, the focus remains on short-term trading opportunities within this range. A potential long setup is outlined in the chart.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is based on my personnal views and is not a financial advice. Risk is under your control.
BTC/USD Potential Rebound from Key Support Towards 106,268Bitcoin is currently testing the 104,895 support level after a sharp decline from the upper resistance at 108,468. The price action suggests potential stabilization above this key support zone. If the 104,895 level holds, we may see a bullish move targeting the resistance at 106,268, which aligns with previous price rejection zones.
This area could act as the first profit target for intraday traders. A successful break above 106,268 could open the path for a retest of the 108,468 resistance level.
However, if the price fails to hold above 104,895, the next critical support lies at 103,153, where we previously saw strong bullish momentum. This would be the invalidation zone for the long setup.
BTCUSD: Long Trading Opportunity
BTCUSD
- Classic bullish formation
- Our team expects growth
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Buy BTCUSD
Entry Level - 10515
Sl - 10370
Tp - 10771
Our Risk - 1%
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Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of June 13, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Throughout the past week, Bitcoin has exhibited considerable volatility. After reaching a peak at the first Mean Resistance level of 109500, the cryptocurrency experienced a significant decline. Nevertheless, on Friday, Bitcoin demonstrated a notable recovery, ascending to a newly established resistance now designated as the new Mean Resistance level marked at 110300.
At this juncture, Bitcoin is retracing downward as it retests the initial Mean Support level of 104000 while aiming to target the Mean Support at 101500 and the ultimate Inner Coin Dip at 96500. It is essential to recognize the potential for an upward rally from the Mean Support levels of $ 104,000 and/or $ 101,500, which could culminate in a retest of the Mean Resistance level of $ 110,300.
BTCUSD Hey everyone,
Taking a closer look at the BTCUSD chart, I've plotted some interesting price levels that could act as significant support and resistance in the coming weeks. This analysis aligns with what appears to be a trend-based Fibonacci time analysis, and I've also marked some crucial dates where we might see major market changes.
Based on our observations, we're seeing a range of important price action. For instance, notice the cluster of highs around the 112,048 to 113,343 area. These levels, particularly those marked with an asterisk such as 112,167, 112,503, and 113,006, have previously shown strong upward movements, suggesting they could serve as notable resistance if price attempts to push higher.
Conversely, on the downside, the levels from 111,952 down to 110,665, with points like 111,833, 111,499, and 110,832 highlighted, have historically seen bounces or significant slowing of downward momentum. These could very well act as crucial support areas, preventing further declines.
As we move forward, it will be crucial to observe how price interacts with these levels, especially around the following dates where we might see major market shifts:
July 4th, 2025
July 11th, 2025
July 26th, 2025
August 9th, 2025
August 16th, 2025
September 9th, 2025
The higher resistance points reaching up to 118,793 and lower support extending to 105,407 define a broader range we'll be watching closely.
Keep an eye on these zones for potential reversals or breakthroughs, particularly around the dates mentioned, which could signal the next significant move for Bitcoin. As always, manage your risk accordingly.
What are your thoughts on these levels and potential turning points? Share in the comments below!
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⚠️ Disclaimer: This post is educational content and does not constitute investment advice, financial advice, or trading recommendations. The views expressed here are based on technical analysis and are shared solely for informational purposes. The stock market is subject to risks, including capital loss, and readers should exercise due diligence before investing. We do not take responsibility for decisions made based on this content. Consult a certified financial advisor for personalized guidance.
Price High Price Low
112048 111952
112084 111916
*112167 *111833
*112335 *111666
*112503 *111499
*112670 *111332
*112838 *111165
*113006 *110998
*113174 *110832
*113343 *110665
114017 110001
*114693 *109339
115372 108678
116052 108020
116734 107364
*117419 *106709
118105 106057
118793 105407
$BTC Bounced from $103K – Hedge Short Still Active
Bitcoin was supposed to break out, but fear of war changed the plan. Instead of pumping, BTC dropped to retest support around $102,700 — and bounced strongly.
🔸 Key Support Zone: $100K – $99K
This area is holding well for now. But if BTC loses $99K, we could see a deeper drop.
🔸 Short from $108,500 is still open
We’re using it as a hedge in case the market crashes. If the price drops more, we’ll take profit on the short. If BTC goes back up to $108K+, the short will be closed on entry. That’s the best-case scenario.
🔸 What’s Next?
Everything depends on global news. If war fears grow, BTC may drop fast. If things calm down, we could see a strong recovery.
✅ We’re in a strong position — low risk, high reward. No panic. We’re ready for both outcomes.