BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC USDT PLAN I favor a short-term pullback unless BTC can reclaim and close above the $111K–112K zone with strong volume.
If price breaks below $106K and confirms it as resistance, it could accelerate a move toward $100K and below.
Caution is warranted for bulls — this looks more like a distribution phase near the highs than a breakout.
₿ Bitcoin: Further Upside ExpectedBitcoin (BTC) pulled back slightly in yesterday’s session but remains on track to continue its corrective rally within green wave B. In line with our primary scenario, this advance is expected to reach the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Afterward, we anticipate the onset of wave C, which should initiate a substantial decline—driving the price down into the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323. This is also where we expect orange wave a to conclude. From there, wave b should provide a temporary rebound before wave c resumes the broader downtrend, ultimately completing blue wave (ii). That said, there’s still a 30% probability that blue wave alt.(i) has not yet topped. In this alternative scenario, BTC would extend higher, potentially breaking above resistance at $130,891 before the corrective phase resumes. The daily chart illustrates the entire five-wave blue sequence and shows our expected low for wave (ii) within the blue zone between $37,623 and $26,082.
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$BTC (Bitcoin) update - June 11, 2025In this video I go into our ABC correction theory for a W2 pull back on BTC. I also take a quick look at CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:XRP and CRYPTOCAP:ADA just to see where the rest of the market is at.
- ABC correction theory is still at play, but I wouldn't recommend shorting as a possible accumulation could be happening.
- Levels to watch: 110.8k, 108.5k, 106.8k, 104.9k.
BTC - NEXT LEG COMING NOW - $132- $137KI was wrong about sideways action, then rally. BTC moved immeditely higher and looks to be picking up steam. I see a new high to $125 area, and then perhaps consolidation. But eventually to $132- $137 is in the next 2-3 months. Things are really looking bullish now. I was expecting it to take more time to develop, but that is not happening.
Do technical signals show Bitcoin’s path to $130K? Do technical signals show Bitcoin’s path to $130K?
Bitcoin briefly pushed above $110,000 for the second time this month, before pulling back slightly to trade around $109,500. The market consolidating just below the 61.8% Fibonacci extension level could be suggesting strong resistance is being tested near current levels.
Bitcoin remains within reach of its all-time high at $111,965, set on May 22.
The latest upward move may have been supported by comments from U.S. Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick, who said trade talks with China in London were progressing well and likely to extend for a third day.
CNBC analyst Todd Gordon expects a breakout toward $130,000 according to his weekly chart analysis. According to our chart, A breakout above 111,897 could open the path to the 78.6% extension around $122,093, followed by the 100% extension target at $135,081
Japan’s Metaplanet to Invest $5.4 Billion in Bitcoin: A Bold StrAmid growing global interest in cryptocurrencies, Japanese investment firm Metaplanet has announced plans to invest $5.4 billion in Bitcoin. This strategic move places the company alongside the largest corporate Bitcoin holders and reflects Japan’s evolving financial stance, where digital assets are beginning to play a more prominent role.
According to Metaplanet, the firm intends to acquire approximately 210,000 BTC by 2027, representing nearly 1% of Bitcoin’s total supply, which is capped at 21 million coins. This initiative is aimed at hedging against inflation and the depreciation of the yen, while also strengthening the company’s position in global financial markets.
Unlike traditional funds, Metaplanet is committed to a long-term holding strategy (hodling) rather than speculative trading. This signals growing confidence in Bitcoin as a store of value comparable to gold. The company also anticipates increasing institutional demand and the potential recognition of Bitcoin as a reserve asset by central banks.
This move is also seen as a step toward legitimizing Bitcoin across Asia. Analysts suggest that other Japanese and South Korean companies may soon follow Metaplanet’s lead.
The $5.4 billion Bitcoin investment is more than a financial move—it’s a statement about the future. Metaplanet is showing that digital assets are becoming an integral part of modern macroeconomic strategy.
BTCUSD: weekly overview for trading!Hello Traders, I'm mostly an investor for this instrument.
for this week we are struggling hard in middle of a long-term channel and also the effect of halving cycles could move the instrument more and more down.
But I'm waiting for good news form USD weakness. I'm still more bullish for Bitcoin.
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The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
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Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
Full Cycle BTC Trendline Mid-2023 to Bull 2025Trendline stretching from mid-2023 lows through the entire bull structure into 2025.
Unbroken since inception
Touched 3+ times
Currently being retested from above
BTC is retesting the primary uptrend
Price dipped below it in April → false breakdown
May-June recovery has reclaimed it
Now sitting right at the trendline, testing it as resistance-turned-support
This is the ultimate decision zone
A daily or weekly close above $110K confirms the trend resumed
Rejection here → opens the door for retrace to $98K–$100K
BTC'S ALL TIME HIGH IS CLOSENice move. Yesterday had a massive daily candle, moving from ~105K to ~110K. The volume was less than impressive, which should always give us a bit of pause, but still a nice upside pop through a key level of resistance.
The all time high is in site - we need to see it break on volume convincingly.
BTC Rejected Hard from Supply Zone – Major Downside Levels AheadBitcoin has just shown a clear rejection from the high-volume supply zone at ~$109,200, marked by strong sell pressure and a visible drop in momentum. 📊
💡 Key Observations:
Supply Zone: $108,900–$109,400 (Price stalled and reversed from this area)
Support Levels to Watch:
🔵 $105,416 – Mid-range level, possible short-term support
🔵 $101,481 – Major demand zone from previous consolidation
Demand Zone Highlight: Around $101,000–$100,000 – high probability bounce area with historical buying interest
📉 Bias: Bearish short-term unless price reclaims $109,500 with volume.
🚨 Trade Idea (Not financial advice):
Sell below $108,800
TP1: $105,400
TP2: $101,500
SL: Above $109,500
🔄 Volume dropping, sellers in control, and a clean range is forming. Watch for a break below $105k for confirmation of the downside move.
⚡️Note the lightning icon at the bottom – this could signal a potential high-impact move or liquidity sweep coming soon.
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📍 Chart: BTC/USD 15M | Supply & Demand Zones 🔧 Tools: LuxAlgo S&D, Volume Profile
#Bitcoin #BTC #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #PriceAction #BTCAnalysis #BTCUSD #DayTrading #CryptoTA #TechnicalAnalysis #Scalping #Bearish #ShortBTC
BTCUSD Technical Analysis (MMC) – Resistance or Target Zone🔍 Overview
Bitcoin has executed a strong bullish recovery over the past few sessions, breaking out of a well-structured bullish channel and testing a significant resistance zone. The move exhibits traits often identified in MMC strategies, including liquidity grabs, engineered price action, and trap-based breakouts.
This chart analysis combines curve support structures, channel dynamics, and resistance reactions—all crucial components of technical strategy layered with smart money behavioral cues from MMC.
🔹 Price Action Breakdown
📈 1. Blue Ray – Liquidity Shift Signal
The bullish impulse was initiated from what is labeled the "Blue Ray" zone—a deep liquidity pocket often used by smart money to trap sellers.
This area marks a liquidity sweep after a steep selloff, creating the perfect environment for institutional buy orders to fill before driving price upward.
📉 2. Channel Formation & Breakout
A clean ascending bullish channel formed during the rally, showing a methodical stair-step price climb.
This consolidation phase provided multiple reentry opportunities before a sharp breakout, which signals a transition from accumulation to expansion, often seen in MMC mapping.
🧭 3. Curve Support – Parabolic Price Action
Price hugged a curve support line, often interpreted as a parabolic base.
This curve reflects increasing momentum—buyers are stepping in earlier at each dip, creating higher lows in a tightening arc.
This structure is also commonly seen in smart money accumulation zones as price is pushed upward while retail sentiment lags.
🚧 4. Resistance Zone – High Interest Reversal Region
BTCUSD is now inside a key resistance zone (~$109,800–$111,500), which has acted as both supply and previous swing highs.
MMC traders often identify these zones as trap areas, where price gets aggressively pushed up to fill institutional short orders.
This zone contains high sell-side liquidity, meaning there's a strong chance for a reversal or false breakout.
🔄 5. Projected Reversal Zone
A potential correction could bring price down to the next reversal zone (around $106,500–$107,500).
This zone is supported by:
The curve structure, which is still active.
Previous minor resistance turned support.
Institutional demand likely waiting to reload long positions.
📉 Possible Scenarios
✅ Bullish Continuation
If BTC can break and sustain above $111,500, especially with strong volume, it will likely push into new local highs.
In this case, curve support may be used for re-entry on pullbacks.
❌ Bearish Reversal Setup
A rejection from this resistance zone—especially with a long-wick candle, engulfing pattern, or divergence—could confirm a short-term top.
MMC-style reversals often occur quickly and aggressively, trapping late buyers.
⚙️ Trade Management Insights
Trade Setup Entry Area Target Stop-Loss Notes
Aggressive Short ~$110,800 ~$107,500 ~$111,800 Only on strong rejection pattern
Conservative Long ~$107,000 Retest $110,000+ Below $105,500 Only if curve support holds clean
Breakout Buy Above $111,800 Open upside Below $110,000 Wait for breakout + retest
🧠 MMC Observations
Price Engineering: The market moved through clean zones quickly—classic MMC manipulation to clear liquidity.
Trap Zones: The resistance zone may act as a bull trap where late retail buyers are absorbed.
Smart Money Flow: Institutional traders may now shift to distribution mode unless curve support holds firmly.
💬 Final Thoughts
Bitcoin is at a key decision point. Traders should remain flexible but vigilant. The presence of curve support combined with aggressive upward momentum suggests bullish strength, but the resistance zone and prior liquidity behavior warn of potential trap activity.
Monitor the reaction closely in the next 1–2 candles. A failed breakout could trigger a swift 2–3K retracement.
📌 Tip: Combine this analysis with on-chain volume or open interest data for better conviction.