BTC/GOLDIt looks like btc got blocked by the last ATH comparing to gold. but we still holding on above the support line. also we just closed the FVG and we are close to OB under the FVG if we break it. Lets see how it develops
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
4HOURS BTC/USD It seems my analysis indicating that BTC will UPSupport Held Strong – The price has tested the support zone multiple times (around $82,000), showing signs of buying pressure.
Reversal Pattern – The higher low (LH) formation suggests that sellers are weakening, and buyers are gaining control.
Projected Bullish Move –
The chart outlines a breakout scenario with an upward trajectory.
The target zone is around $91,000 - $94,000, based on the green box marking a potential take-profit area.
ITS NOT FINANCAIL ADVISE
BTCUSD PUUL BACK Double Top Resistance Could Trigger a Reversal
The chart assumes a breakout, but a double top is typically a bearish pattern. If price gets rejected at this resistance, it could signal a strong downtrend instead of the projected bullish move.
Support Might Not Hold
The analysis assumes a bounce from support, but price recently dropped aggressively to that level. If buyers fail to hold, a break below support could push price lower toward $83,200 or even $81,200.
Bearish Volume Presence
The recent large red candles show strong selling pressure. This could indicate that sellers are in control, and any upward move might just be a bull trap before further downside.
Resistance Overhead is Strong
The resistance zone around $86,400-$87,200 is a major supply zone. Even if price moves up, sellers could aggressively step in at that level, limiting upside potential.
Bear flag alert!!!Bear flag on the 1hr chart. We can see a drop into 80-82k range before we see the break through of 80k.
BTC 6 months price predicitonNo investment advice. Just a possibility for myself and whoever that wants to check.
BTCUSD H1 timeframe market AnalysisBTCUSD H1 timeframe. we are looking at a trend line going from top to bottom that has seen a bullish breakout indicating a trend, on the other hand, the upside liquidity has also broken out, indicating that Bitcoin is showing a bullish trend, we would consider buying.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD Entry Buy level: 85,200
TP: 88,000
TP: 90,400
TP: 92,700
SL: 82,600
Support and Resistance
Strong Support Zone : 76,630
Strong Support Zone 2 : 79,930
Strong Resistance Zone: 72,700
90-91K seems interesting for short sellingMorning folks,
So, our worryings were not in vain - we've got action to 88-89K area. Now our 4H "222" Sell is completed.
At the same time, now we have the bigger one on a daily chart. Since 90-91K is a rather strong resistance area, we suggest that attempt to sell there should be relatively safe, once the upside AB=CD target around 90.5K will be completed.
So, I mark this idea as "bearish" although price could raise a bit more.
BTC to 71K as next downward target. Its been a while. The .5 target on the Fibonacci retracement has been hit from the weekly candle on the 3rd of May 2025. The 1.618 would be the next macro target down around 71k if we cannot break back above 90K soon and hold. The untagged golden pocket from the week of Nov 4th 2024 would line up as the next major support area. The 10SMA crossing the 20, rising price on falling volume and RSI looking like it is about to reject at the 50 all support this downward momentum sooner than later. Hopefully this info helps anyone investing or trading manage their finances accordingly. Thanks for your time. Good day, be well and abundance. All glory goes to The Most High.
BITCOIN (BTC/USD): Update & The Thing to WatchTake a look at the price movement of ⚠️BITCOIN, the market is consolidating around a significant daily support level.
Analyzing a 4-hour chart, I spotted a descending trend line and a potential inverted head and shoulders pattern.
The left shoulder and head have already formed, and the right shoulder is currently in progress.
The neckline for this pattern is between 83,600 and 84,488.
The trigger to buy BITCOIN will be its bullish breakout (4h candle close above), could signal a buying opportunity for BITCOIN with a target range of 88,000 to 90,000.
⚠️However, if the price drops to a new low, the pattern will no longer be valid.
BTCUSD | Rising Wedge Breakdown – Bearish SetupChart Overview:
This chart represents Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe and showcases a Rising Wedge pattern. The price action has reached a key resistance level, and a potential breakdown scenario is unfolding.
1️⃣ Pattern Identification: Rising Wedge Formation
A Rising Wedge is a bearish reversal pattern that forms when price moves within two converging upward-sloping trendlines. The narrowing price range indicates a weakening trend, and a breakdown usually leads to a significant price drop.
Upper Trendline (Resistance): Marked in blue, this trendline connects the higher highs.
Lower Trendline (Support): Also in blue, connecting the higher lows.
Breakdown Confirmation: The price has already moved below the wedge support, confirming the bearish bias.
2️⃣ Key Price Levels & Zones
🔹 Resistance Zone (Blue Box)
This strong resistance level has repeatedly rejected the price.
The final rejection led to a breakout failure and potential trend reversal.
🔹 Support Zone (Blue Box)
A strong demand zone, but a breakdown below it triggers a bearish trend.
This level is now acting as potential resistance after the breakdown.
🔹 ATH (All-Time High) – $87,566
This marks the highest price level reached in the given timeframe.
3️⃣ Market Structure Breakdown
🔻 Bearish Momentum & Breakdown
After touching the resistance, BTC failed to sustain upward movement.
A breakout of the wedge's lower trendline confirms a trend reversal.
Price action suggests a lower-high, lower-low structure, indicating a bearish market shift.
📉 Expected Price Movement (Wave Structure)
The breakout retest could result in a small pullback to previous support (now resistance).
After confirmation, price is likely to continue downward in a wave-like structure.
Fibonacci levels or key support zones will act as profit-taking targets.
4️⃣ Trade Setup & Targets
🔻 Short Setup (Bearish Trade Idea)
Entry: On a successful retest of the broken support zone.
Stop-Loss (SL): Above the previous resistance zone for risk management.
Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP 1: $81,638
TP 2: $77,897
Final Target: $74,990
5️⃣ Summary & Conclusion
📌 BTC/USD has broken out of a Rising Wedge pattern, confirming a bearish trend.
📌 A pullback and retest may occur before further downside continuation.
📌 The chart suggests a short opportunity, targeting lower support zones for potential profit-taking.
📌 Traders should manage risk with a well-placed stop-loss above key resistance.
This setup aligns with technical analysis principles, confirming a high-probability short trade for BTC. 🚀
BITCOIN (BTCUSD): Bullish Reversal Confirmed?!
Bitcoin turned bullish after the yesterday's FOMC.
The price broke and closed above a significant daily resistance.
I see a confirmed bullish reversal pattern now:
a cup & handle with a broken horizontal neckline.
I think that the market will continue growing and reach at least 90500 level soon.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Btcusd to moonThis Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart on a daily timeframe (1D) from Coinbase shows a recent downtrend, with the price currently at $85,749.48, down 1.30%. A potential bullish reversal is suggested with an upward projection toward the $100,000+ range, as indicated by the hand-drawn price path.
Key observations:
Volume Profile on the Right: Indicates high trading activity around current levels, with less resistance above $90,000.
Projected Price Movement: Suggests a breakout from recent lows, a pullback, and then a strong upward move ("BTC to the moon").
Buyer-Seller Levels: The buy price is slightly above the current market price, indicating demand.
This analysis suggests bullish momentum, but confirmation through further price action and volume is needed.
BTCUSD eyes bearish bat patternOn the 4-hour chart, BTCUSD stabilized and rebounded in the short term, and bulls dominated the situation. At present, we can pay attention to the area around 91000, which is a potential short position of the bearish bat pattern, and this position is in the previous supply area.
BTCUSD: It’s bullish as hell!Bitcoin surprised the fear market as it pushed more long today and yesterday. Expect this continuation if we stay above the 200MA 🤙🏼
The Fed Cuts Balance Sheet Runoff by 80% - BULLISH!RISK-ON 🚨
I’m seeing so many people incorrectly analyzing the September 2019 emergency repo OMOs, which were short-term liquidity injections from the Fed, and then comparing it to the price of BTC going down, before QE officially started in March 2020 because of the pandemic.
Here’s what really happened.
September 15, 2019 was a tax deadline, pulling ~$100B out of markets as large corporations paid the IRS and funds flew into the TGA.
Meanwhile, the Treasury issued new T-Bills to rebuild cash reserves following the post-debt ceiling resolution in August, draining another $50-100B as big banks and institutions absorbed the securities.
During this time, the Fed continued reducing its balance sheet (QT) down to $3.76T, but the balance sheet did not leave enough slack for unexpected cash drains to the system, such as corporate taxes and Treasury issuance.
Unfortunately, the Fed was flying blind and did not have a hard number estimate for “ample reserves” in the banking system.
These reserves were largely hoarded by a few of the larger banking institutions due to Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) rules and a higher IOER at 2.1% vs the ON RRP rate of 1.7% - a 40 bp spread.
This caused a liquidity crisis in the US repo market because bank reserves held at the Fed ($1.36T) were too low and repo lending dried up. Banks weren’t able to access each other’s reserves to fund daily operations.
SOUND FAMILIAR !?
The US just resolved its CR to avoid a government shutdown, and they will be refilling the TGA by issuing new T-Bills. The reverse repo facility is also nearly drained.
Today, we heard the Fed will be reducing its securities runoff from $25B - SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B on April 1st, an 80% adjustment.
One of the main drivers is they wanted to get ahead of another 2019-style repo crisis (although they won’t say this), rather than being reactive and having to perform emergency OMOs once again.
Now to go back to my original point with people saying the Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff is a big nothingburger based on BTC price action in 2019.
BTC dumped because of the repo crisis, NOT because markets needed QE.
By early 2020, the liquidity crisis was resolved, and BTC pumped ~45% before the pandemic hit in March and nuked the chart.
Proof is in the pudding - just look at the 2017 bull market.
QT started in October 2017, and the market ripped until early 2018.
The Fed reducing its balance sheet runoff by 80% is definitely a signal of risk-on for educated market participants, as it leaves more reserves in the financial system, which gives banks more liquidity to loan the market.
i.e. M2 go up.
But keep listening to your favorite large accounts who are all of a sudden macro gurus, what do I know 🤓
BTCUSD a potential reversal before rallying upBTCUSD is recovering and trading to the upside based on the chart.
A potential pullback after the liquidation of equal highs could occur this week, reaching the unmitigated FVG level of 80,811 - 80,556 before surging to the major resistance level of 87,414.
Bitcoin Descending Channel - $65,500 Support Retest?Hello traders, in today’s Bitcoin analysis, we are going to look at recent price action developments and the rejection that occurred in the past 12 hours.
Bitcoin remains within a descending triangle, printing consecutive lower lows and lower highs. The latest move saw an impulse pump into the 0.618 Fibonacci level, aligning perfectly with the descending channel range high. This resulted in a rejection, reinforcing the probability of a move lower.
Key Points:
• BTC is trading within a descending triangle with a clear lower high and lower low structure.
• The recent rejection occurred at the 0.618 Fibonacci level, aligning with the channel range high.
• The next key support is at the lower channel boundary around $65,500.
Bitcoin’s price action has solidified this descending trading channel, and until a breakout occurs, the market will likely continue to respect this structure. If sellers maintain control, a move toward the channel low remains the most probable scenario.
However, BTC can still range within this formation until a decisive break occurs. Traders should keep an eye on key support and resistance levels, as any strong reaction at these areas could indicate the next major move
Big Capitulation Pattern and Bull Trap Would Make Sense Now.We now have a lot of match up in how the BTC and SPX moves have formed with both of them showing properties of what could be a choppy wave 4.
This would predict we see a period of panic selling (likely driven by news) and then we enter into the ABC correction.
Now ... by the book, if a bigger bear move is happening the high should now be in. If there's to be a big bull trap it'll be an ABC to the 76 retracement and then there'll be a sharp second down leg - surpassing the first.
By the way things actually are, we have to be wary of the butterfly bull trap. This would look and act identical to a 76 reversal up to a certain point and then it would make a hyper parabolic spike - which would briefly trade at new highs before setting up a big rug-pull event.
I explained in a previous post 70K was a critical make or break area. Upon further swing development I still think that's broadly correct but a false breakout could go as far as 65K.
If we get a sharp period of capitulation here I'll be very careful with my shorts. Trailing stops aggressively.
And likely be very bullish around 65K. So long as I can get reasonable stop entries (breaking of this area could mean an out and out waterfall - would not be a fun knife catch if you tried to hold it).
I kinda have a feeling the worst for the BTC drop might be directly ahead of us, but that is also likely the low for the foreseeable future.
Contingent on there being the sharp drop (ideally with news to explain it) and me seeing things I like in the 65K zone I can see me being extremely bullish on this in the coming month.
Bitcoin heading to $72.000We see a distribution model with what seems a confirmed third tap. We want to look for the latest supply zone for a short entry.
The only problem we have is that we have strong supply above the range so we might go for another fakeout before we dump so keep that in mind.
BTC Today's strategyThe global trade tensions and economic uncertainties triggered by the tariff policy will cause investors' panic sentiment to spread and their risk appetite to decline. In such a situation, investors will reduce their allocation of risky assets. As a high-risk cryptocurrency, the price of Bitcoin is likely to be impacted.
In addition, some investors may be concerned that the government will strengthen its regulation of cryptocurrencies, which could affect the market performance of Bitcoin and lead to a decline in its price.
There will also be other news items with an influence on the market trend released this week. In the short term, we can conduct transactions within the established price range. In order to effectively control risks and seize potential profit opportunities at the same time, it is advisable that you keep your position between 10% and 20%.
BTC Today's strategy
sell:85500-84500
tp:81500-80500
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BTCUSD: Ready to Soar or Collapse?Hi Traders ! Possible Entries in BTCUSD (1H):
✅ Buy: If the price bounces off the lower line of the smaller ascending channel and breaks above 85,000 with volume. Additional confirmation if the RSI recovers above 60.
❌ Sell: If the price breaks down the smaller ascending channel, especially if it falls below 84,800. Extra confirmation if the RSI crosses below 50.
📢 Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Manage your risk properly.
Bitcoin & Tariffs 📉 In the short term, Trump's proposed tariffs add to the current risk-off sentiment—ETF flows, correlations with stocks, and macro uncertainty are already weighing on Bitcoin.
🗣 While debates rage on about whether tariffs will hurt importers or exporters or whether Trump will roll back some after negotiations, one thing is certain: inflation. And inflation is historically a positive for $BTC.
🌊Liquidity injections, growth of money supply (M2) and potential QE will follow as a weak economy struggles with disrupted supply chains—another long-term positive for Bitcoin
⚖️ During trade wars and geopolitical uncertainty, investors run to gold. With Bitcoin’s correlation to gold, this could be another tailwind
💡 So while tariffs may be a short-term drag, structurally, they are bullish for Bitcoin in the long run. You also need to remember that quite a lot of negativity is already built into the price, and if there is no new round of counter-tariffs, positive sentiment may appear sooner.
