BTCUSD.P trade ideas
July 18 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
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Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There is no Nasdaq indicator announcement today.
The mid-term pattern was broken in the morning wave,
but I proceeded as safely as possible.
At the bottom left, I connected the final long position switching section in the analysis article on the 15th with a purple finger.
*When the blue finger moves,
Bidirectional neutral
Short->Long or long waiting strategy
1. Short position entry section of $120,338 / Stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. Long position switching of $118,886.8 / Stop loss price when blue support line is broken
3. Long position 1st target of $121,756.2 -> Target price in the order of Good and Great
If it falls immediately from the current position or
touches the top once and falls, it is a vertical decline condition.
If it falls immediately, it is the final long waiting in section 2.
(When the sky blue support line breaks, the stop loss price is the same)
From the sky blue support line break, the 6+12 section is where the mid-term pattern is restored,
and it is roughly the bottom section.
If the strategy is successful, I have left a simulation with a pink finger on the right,
so please check the switching and profit-taking section,
and operate safely in each position, long, short, and no position, based on whether the purple support line breaks from the current position.
From the green support line break, the low point of today's daily candle is broken,
so it would not be good for a long position, right?
Up to this point, please use my analysis article only for reference and use,
and operate safely with principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
BITCOINBTC is showing strong bearish momentum. Price has broken below key support and is forming lower highs and lower lows, indicating continuation of the downtrend.
Until we see a clear reversal pattern or reclaim of resistance levels, I expect further downside.
BTCUSD Analysis – Supply Pressure vs Demand Rejection 📊 Overview:
This BTCUSD 2-hour chart is giving us a clear structure of how price is currently reacting between a strong demand base and a descending trendline supply. We're at a critical decision point, where both buyers and sellers are gearing up for a potential breakout or breakdown. Let’s break it down level by level.
🟢 Demand Zone – Major Support Holding Firm
The Major Support Zone marked at the bottom of the chart is not just any random area—it has been tested multiple times and acted as a launchpad for bullish moves previously. This is also aligned with the Previous Reversal Zone, which adds confluence to this demand base.
Price dipped into this zone and immediately rejected with strong bullish candles, showing aggressive buyer interest.
This is a high-probability area for long setups as long as price stays above it.
You’ve noted on the chart: “If market closes this supply, we will double it” – that makes sense because a confirmed hold above this base increases the probability of upside continuation.
🔻 Trendline & Supply Zone – The Wall Ahead
Moving up the chart, price is being pressured by a descending trendline, acting as dynamic resistance. This trendline is not just drawn for decoration—it has rejected price at least twice already, and is also intersecting with a minor horizontal resistance zone.
This creates a confluence of resistance, making it a tough wall for buyers to break through without strong volume.
You’ve labeled it as “Evidence 1”, meaning the first confirmation of supply reacting here.
If BTC fails here again, we could easily see another pullback to the 116,800 – 116,400 range.
⚖️ QFL Pattern in Play
The QFL (Quick Flip Logic) is in action, where price aggressively dropped and formed a base, followed by a sharp move up. Price is now attempting to return to that base (demand zone) for a potential flip back upward.
If QFL holds and price breaks above the trendline, this will be a strong reversal confirmation.
This aligns with many institutional trading strategies which look for such formations near support zones.
📈 Potential Bullish Scenario:
Break above the descending trendline resistance
Price sustains above Minor Resistance Zone (around 118,800 – 119,600)
Next target: Major Resistance Zone between 120,800 – 121,200
This could create a higher-high structure and resume overall bullish trend
📉 Potential Bearish Scenario:
Failure to break the trendline
Rejection leads to price retesting the Major Support
If that zone breaks cleanly (especially below 116,400), price may drop toward 115,600 or lower
This opens up a possible short opportunity depending on price action and momentum
🎯 Conclusion:
This chart is a textbook example of consolidation between major zones. Bulls are defending hard at the bottom while bears are pushing down from the top. The direction of the breakout will dictate the next major move. Until then, wait for confirmation, avoid early entries, and let the market show its hand.
🧠 Patience = Profits.
🕒 Chart Timeframe: 2H
📌 Strategy in Focus: Supply & Demand Zones, Trendline Breakout, QFL Base Pattern
📍 Sentiment: Neutral-Bullish (Watching Trendline Reaction)
Final Push?In a previous analysis I used the range of the yellow triangle as grounds for suspicion that the bull run may be over. Now, thankfully, it appears to have formed a support on top of this triangle, instead.
I believe its possible for a big breakout here that will pop out of the red log zone, which would signal the top of this cycle/bubble.
However, for this we will need lots of volume, for which we need lots of euphoria.
$192,000 seems to be the target based on the target of the yellow triangle drawn, as well as the fib retrace. The fact that we are consolidating above $115,000 speaks to me that we still have plenty of juice, but moving the price at this market cap will require a lot of juice. Thus, I have ladder sells starting at $130,000
BTCUSD H1 - 22/7/2025BTCUSD H1
As shown, we are in wave 4 with 2 scenarios:
1- Wave 4 is triangle.
2- Wave 4 is Zigzag.
Thanks
Bitcoin BTC net -50 = mild bearish or neutral bias
Not strong enough alone to trade on — check price action, key levels, and other factors like ETF flows or macro news.
BITCOIN BREAKOUT IMMINENT (120K)The Trend is your Friend. Bitcoin’s current action is the kind of bull‐market digestion you want to see before the next big surge. We’ve powered up from roughly $50 K on the Trump‐election narrative to flirt with all‐time‐high territory around $112 K, and now we’re simply consolidating in a tight $100 K–$110 K range. What really grabs my attention is how volume has dried up inside that band: fewer sellers stepping up means less fuel for a deep pullback, and an ebb in liquidity often precedes the kind of compressed buildup that launches a sharp move. That liquidity squeeze tells me smart money is biding its time rather than panicking out, and that sets the stage for a clean breakout once a new catalyst arrives.
Technically, the setup could hardly be neater. The 10-, 21- and 50-period moving averages have converged, running almost in lockstep. When those averages come together like train tracks, it signals a market in “healthy pause” — neither exhausted by an overextended rally nor capitulating under bearish pressure. It’s the kind of feature you love to see: price has had its run, it’s caught its breath, and it’s ready to go again on fresh conviction. Meanwhile, the RSI sits squarely in the middle of its range, neither overbought nor oversold, meaning there’s plenty of room for buyers to step in without an immediate pullback risk from extreme readings. In other words, momentum indicators are calm, not frothy or fearful, which further supports the case for a measured upward thrust rather than a sudden crash.
On the macro side, fundamentals are lining up, too. Monthly passive inflows into Bitcoin ETPs and ETFs continue at a robust clip, with institutions quietly adding to their positions out of the spotlight. If the Fed pivots toward rate cuts later this year, capital that’s been chasing yield elsewhere could flow back into risk assets — and Bitcoin, with its “digital gold” narrative, stands to gain especially when you consider its roughly $2 trillion market cap versus gold’s $20 trillion. That leaves a lot of upside potential if institutional demand keeps accelerating. Even more compelling: real‐world use cases for blockchain—everything from proof‐of‐ownership to decentralized finance—continue to mature behind the scenes, reinforcing Bitcoin’s narrative as not just a speculative asset, but a foundational piece of tomorrow’s financial system.
Of course, we can’t ignore the risks. We’ve already seen Bitcoin price near $112 K once, and there’s always the chance it carves a frustrating double-top if it stalls again. External narratives—Middle‐East tensions, renewed Ukraine tensions, fresh tariff skirmishes—could throw cold water on the rally and trigger a quick sell-off. But given the current setup—low‐volume consolidation, converging moving averages, balanced RSI and steady capital flows—a 10 % push toward $120 K feels not just possible but probable. Keep your eye on $112 K as your breakout trigger, size your positions sensibly, and plan your stop-loss around the lower end of the range. If Bitcoin can clear that level on strong volume, we’re likely to see this bull market extend rather than roll over into a double-top scenario. Happy trading, stay disciplined, and let’s see where this market takes us next!
Comparison to 2021
I think the structure so far is quite similar to that of 2021.
1. Massive run up, piercing the upper BB and quickly falling down to the lower bound.
2. Double bottom on the lower BB.
3. Second run up, touching upper BB with a retracement to the midline.
4. Another run up higher, this time it seems it couldn't pierce the upper BB, but we already have some divergences and MACD is about to cross over, too.
If history rhymes, we should see next a drop to the midline, potentially overshooting it. The midline will then serve as an upper bound to the PA, before it drops to the lower bound and the ride continues.
Of course, it could also try to pierce the upper BB first, because of the sheer amount of trade deals (🌮)...
btc live or dieOne more leg up is what we re waiting for now so far . 130k+ is the main target for us after holding 118k for days. as long as 112k holds we re not in the end of cycle.
BTC Long and ShortFor chart pattern, TP1 Reahced , mostly will go TP 2.Target swing high (TP 2) and Counter for swing low,after reaching TP2. What do you think guys
BTCUSDThe market general trends sideways we haven't seen a major breakout to the upside or downside, so for this morning we will be favoring the upside b targeting 1:3, then we wait to see how price playout
Bitcoin’s Crossroads: Shooting Star Pressure vs. Bullish Pennantwe examine a classic battle of signals: the daily chart reveals a dominant shooting star candle—hinting at overhead resistance and possible downside risk—while the 4-hour setup unfolds a bullish pennant triangle, often a prelude to continuation moves. This presentation balances caution with opportunity, highlighting key breakout zones, invalidation points, and what traders should watch next. As Bitcoin hovers at this technical tension point, will bulls find the strength to punch through? Unfortunately bulls have been faked out and we currently have a confirmed candle open and close below the 50EMA on 4H. This confirms a strong pullback initiated by the shooting star on the daily chart to a potential target of $114k.
BTC 130 Minor pullback to regression channel bottom then attempt at HH. Bottom of daily regression channel is centerline of weekly regression. If channel support fails, 100 maybe.
BTCUSD BULLYING Bitcoin is still respecting price and is buying can expect some nice moves (New Highs)
Btusdt techinical analysisThis chart shows a BTC/USD (Bitcoin to US Dollar) 30-minute time frame with a falling wedge pattern and potential bullish breakout setup. Here’s a breakdown of the key technical elements:
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🔍 Chart Analysis Summary:
1. Pattern:
Falling wedge (highlighted by the converging pink trendlines): typically a bullish reversal pattern, especially after a downtrend.
Price has broken above the wedge, indicating a possible breakout.
2. Price Action:
BTC found strong support near $116,800.
After the breakout, the expected upward move is projected by the blue measured move box, targeting around $118,400–$118,800, a 1.36% gain (~$1,591).
3. Resistance & Target Zones:
First resistance zone: $118,400–$118,800 (wedge top and measured move target).
Next major resistance: $119,600–$120,000 area.
4. Support:
Strong support marked around $116,800 (purple zone at the bottom).
If BTC breaks below this, the bearish scenario could resume.
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📈 Potential Trade Setup:
Bullish bias above wedge breakout.
Entry: Current level (if breakout holds).
Target: $118,400–$118,800.
Stop loss: Below $116,800 support zone.
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Let me know if you'd like a bearish scenario, RSI/volume analysis, or a follow-up chart.
BTC Update – Short-Term Pressure Building
Bitcoin is still being pushed down below the BB center.
RSI is trending lower, and MACD is nearing a bearish crossover.
PSAR is hovering close to price, a warning sign.
This could still be a pause before the next leg up — but don’t ignore the signs.
And just a thought: Trump Media buying $2B in BTC might’ve marked a local top.
Prepare in advance.
Always take profits and manage risk.
Interaction is welcome.
vision paintingthis is sort of a game, i would like to play with anyone interested in chart riddles. i'm being very specific with my inputs, and coloring, painting a picture of what i need to see and when. painting whats there, guiding to where itll be. wondering if i could actually create art pieces here. hypothetically the 'paintings' would need to be back checked, to artificialy create any worth to it. market involvement is day/week trades. *no advice whatsoever. so, i think ill give it a go. from here onwards, these posts are the only ill post, with updates, within the comments of such post. happy trading
ballino
Second bull legI can sense a second bull leg forming right now. My last prediction was correct the market found some support from my demand zone but sadly it ripped right through it. Here is my second hope for a BTC bull run
WEEKLY CLSBTC has formed a generous weekly range, I can already see a few candles closing inside of the range signaling a further downside to the 114K range where I will take most profit.
I will look for manipulation tommorow on wednesday and see if I can find more precise entries, if anything ask me in the comments and I will happily reply!
Good luck and do not over-leverage and remember be PATIENT!
Head and shoulder pattern on hourly.
A reversal seems likely, so we should anticipate a pullback. The trading volume is decreasing while exchange volume is increasing, which suggests a potential market top based on previous trends. Greed is also on the rise. Although history doesn’t repeat itself, it certainly shows similarities. The BTC/GBP chart is indicating a double top pattern on the daily timeframe. An altcoin season may be approaching based on the ETH/BTC pair, signaling that the end of Bitcoin’s dominance could be near.
SellRejection Level
Daily Volume
Market Structure Shift
London Session
Trend Line Break
Untapped Order Point
