BTC Move We need to first close above the weird shape in yellow and then go up to close above 99000 and we will see the bull market
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Bitcoin's Unbalanced move with the US electionsThe overall trend is still bullish, but the market needs to rebalance at $86,686 before it can push to new highs. Right now, the price action is not respecting bullish structure and is moving sideways in a consolidation phase.
The market does not move in a straight line. Every strong move needs to be balanced before continuing. The price left behind inefficiencies during the last expansion, and the market seeks to correct these before the next leg up. Liquidity is key. Right now, there is an imbalance that needs to be filled, and resting liquidity below must be taken before the market can resume its upward trend.
Smart money is not buying at current levels. They need better pricing and the market naturally moves to levels where institutional interest is highest. That level is around eighty-six thousand six hundred eighty-six, where a large amount of liquidity is positioned. The market is likely to dip into this level, take out weak-handed buyers, and trap sellers before pushing higher.
A ten percent drop from here would bring the price into that area, where real accumulation can take place. Until then, any short-term rallies are likely to be liquidity grabs rather than true continuation.
Please do not forget that this is a daily chart and we can see more liquidity grabs before reaching the target. This is an idea and nothing in the future is certain. With unexpected news we can see unexpected moves.
COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT28H2025
$BTCUSD Expansion or Reversal? Key Levels to WatchBITSTAMP:BTCUSD
Overview
We explore the key resistance and support levels, potential pattern formations, and what we should monitor in the coming sessions.
Bitcoin appears to be forming an expanding triangle within the broader range of its weekly fractals. Additionally, there is the potential emergence of a double top reversal pattern . This pattern has a critical support level at $89,164, which acts as a neckline. A breakdown below this support could threaten the weekly fractal support positioned at $91,530. If the breakdown confirms , Bitcoin may experience a significant decline, targeting the previously broken monthly fractal resistance at $73,794 , representing a potential 17% drop . This level coincides with the 200% Fibonacci extension, often seen as a default target for a double top reversal.
Despite the downside risks, a corrective move lower may provide a bullish setup. A key support level at $76,368 aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension of the last bullish swing. A potential Bullish Deep Crab Pattern could form around this level, indicating a possible reversal. If Bitcoin reaches this zone, traders should monitor price reactions for signs of recovery.
Will Bitcoin break higher, or is a deeper correction on the horizon? Stay tuned for further updates!
Key Takeaways
Weekly Fractal Resistance: $109,359
Weekly Fractal Support: $91,530
Daily Fractal Resistance: $98,871 (rejecting 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at $98,314)
Daily Support: $93,340 (above weekly fractal support)
Critical Support Level: $89,164 (neckline for a potential double top)
Downside Target: $73,794 (previous monthly fractal resistance, aligning with 200% Fibonacci extension)
Bullish Reversal Zone: $76,368 (161.8% Fibonacci extension, potential Bullish Deep Crab Pattern)
It is important to remain neutral regarding bias unless the price confirms the pattern with a breakdown below the neckline. Until that happens, the market structure remains open to different scenarios, and traders should focus on confirmation signals rather than assumptions.
Happy Trading,
André Cardoso
Risk Warning: Trading financial assets carries a high level of risk and may result in the loss of all your capital. Make sure to fully understand the risks involved before you start trading and carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance. The data and information provided in this content do not constitute financial or investment advice and should not be considered as such. Only invest what you can afford to lose, and be aware of the risks associated with trading financial assets.
We need a weekly closing above 99842 to imply a further advanceThis channel is not providing individualized trading or investment advice, nor is it a banking service, brokerage service, trading service, investment service or money management
service.
BTCUSD - 85% Probability
Gap MT4
Wycoff Break Down
Been waiting for it to happen
Gaps Get Filled 80% - 90% of the time
I believe from my own Trading observations.
Chat GTP Analysis
BTC/USD Gap Fill Probability Analysis
Observations:
Current Price: ~$87,699
Support Broken: Price has decisively broken below $91,586.
Gap Zones:
Top Gap: ~$79,988
Bottom Gap: ~$74,244
Probability of Gap Fills:
Top Gap ($79,988) → 85% Probability
Price has broken key support and is heading downward.
Strong historical tendency for gaps to fill (~80%+).
No immediate strong support to stop further decline.
High probability of at least touching $79,988 in the near term.
Bottom Gap ($74,244) → 65% Probability
If $79,988 fails to hold, the next liquidity zone is around $74,244.
Further breakdowns in BTC could push price lower.
Less probability than the top gap, but still a strong possibility if selling pressure continues.
Conclusion:
BTC/USD likely to fill the top gap ($79,988) first (85% probability).
If momentum continues, $74,244 (bottom gap) has a 65% chance of being filled.
Look for reaction at $79,988—if it holds, a bounce is likely; if it breaks, expect further downside.
Bitcoin close to breaking down- follow up on this analysis:
- this range has been forming for the last three months and with this latest move, Bitcoin is very close to confirming a much larger move to the downside
- HTF volatility at rock bottom (comments) so the firepower for a big big move is present
Short BTC USD on sideways rangesBTCUSD Technical Analysis
February 4, 2025
Trade Setup: Short Position
set up : price rejection with bearish candle on 0.382 fib
Trading Range: Sideways consolidation pattern
Timeframe: 4 H
Technical Structure
Price testing major resistance level at 100,223 or 0.382 fib
Sideways trend indicating market indecision on since
Range-bound price action on daily chart
Resistance zone historically significant
Stop Loss: Above range high
Take Profit: Lower range major support at 92k area
Position size: According to risk tolerance
will BTC dump to 66??I see that based on price mapping, there is 1 more stronghold left for BTC, there is a chance to rise, namely at 85,158...if this level is broken, there is great potential for it to continue down to 66
The only way to become a day trader in 2025Follow my page for more insights. Don't hesitate to reach out.
BITCOIN/USDT Potential test of the 86k LevelsThe distribution of Bitcoin still in power, building top structure can potentially gets us to 86k Levels.
BTC/USD Technical Analysis (Updated Bearish Scenario)Will BTC go down to 72k?
In my previous Analysis I talked about BTC consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern indicating indecision in the market.
first BTC has broken down from the symmetric triangle with a bearish engulfing candle, indicating bears has enter the market.
Secondly BTC has broken the Blue support zone indicating more bears confirmation.
for now I will advice to wait for a retest towards the blue zone or towards symmetric triangle then look for entry pattern for a sell/short position.
Key Bearish Levels to Watch:
Support: $72,000 is the main level to monitor. A strong reaction here could lead to a temporary bounce.
Breakdown Risk: If BTC fails to hold $72,000, increased selling pressure could drive further downside.
Bearish Confirmation:
Sustained trading below $72,000 could signal continuation of the downtrend.
Low buying volume at this level would indicate weak support and higher chances of a breakdown.
RSI and momentum indicators turning oversold could hint at a short-term relief bounce.
Potential Scenarios:
1. If BTC Holds $72,000: A consolidation or bounce could occur, leading to a possible recovery.
#BTCUSD #XAUUSD #BTCUSDT
BTC USDT Buy ZoneAs discussed earlier safe zone for BTC USDT LONG/BUY .
Handel with care maximum possiblility of testing 89000 area place order accordingly.
Happy Trading ..
BTCSUD: Expected increase of 5000 points.I have notified everyone to buy a large amount below 89000. Maybe we can see profits in a short period of time.
This time's buying is the biggest bottoming and the biggest rebound in recent months.
So cherish the opportunity,
BUY:88500-89000
sl86500
tp93000-95000
I will continue to announce the follow-up details in the analysis circle. Remember to refer to it to avoid missing the latest developments.
Bitcoin Plunges Below Support: $70k Looms Amid Selling Pressure● Bitcoin has broken below its key support level of $91,000, sparking concerns of a deeper correction.
● If selling pressure persists, a sharp drop to $70,000 could be imminent.
● Market sentiment has shifted decisively bearish, reflecting growing investor anxiety.
BTCUSD Ranging Bearish Below 97KHi there,
Bitcoin is finding it difficult to rise above $97,000. If it manages to break this level, it could trigger a strong upward movement, possibly reaching $98,500 or even the key $100,000 level.
Key Points
Support Levels : The $95,000 level is an important safety net for Bitcoin. If the price falls below this, selling pressure could increase, pushing it even lower.
Market Sentiment : Experts are divided on whether Bitcoin will rise or fall. Large investors are buying aggressively, which is usually a positive sign, but overall, traders remain cautious.
Consolidation Phase : Bitcoin has been moving within a tight range of $94,000 to $100,000, with little price movement. This often happens before a major change in direction.
External Factors : Economic events, such as US job reports, can impact Bitcoin’s price. If the economy shows strength, Bitcoin could dip below $95,000.
In short, Bitcoin needs to stay above $95,000 to keep its upward momentum. If it breaks past $97,000, it may rise significantly, but if not, it could drop to lower levels.
Why Bitcoin is Struggling at $97,000
*
Investor Selling Pressure : Many Bitcoin holders bought at prices between $97,000 and $99,500. As Bitcoin approaches this range, some may sell to recover their investment or take profits, making it harder for the price to rise.
Economic Uncertainty : Rising inflation and strong job growth in the US have raised concerns about future interest rate increases, making investors more cautious.
Macroeconomic Factors : A strong US dollar and high interest rates reduce the appeal of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies, adding to the challenge of breaking resistance levels.
Psychological Barriers: The $100,000 area is a major resistance level. Many traders are hesitant to push prices higher unless Bitcoin clearly breaks through resistance.
Conclusion :
Overall, BTCUSD has a bearish sentiment due to a bearish volume delta, but there is strong bullish pressure on candlestick lows. It is best to wait it out.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
BTC LongIt's time for a possible bounce, found strong support from avwap in combination with prev month low within an Order Block, took liquidity with high volume. SL just below daily level just in case we go lower.
shortshort. The U.S. Treasury has to buy bits at the bottom of the price, so the price will fall into this range
Critical Decision PointCOINBASE:BTCUSD
We're currently at a significant support level after breaking below the ascending trendline and a descending triangle pattern. This is truly a make-or-break moment for Bitcoin in the short term.
Price has broken below the multi-month uptrend line
Descending triangle pattern broken to the downside
Currently testing horizontal support
No major support until ~72K if current level fails
EMA stack still has some bullish structure but momentum weakening
CYCLE 4 | LOG Trend Lines Chart - For Fun!Quick post looking at how BTC has historically respected 'log trend lines and how they may affect BTC future price action.
Will be fun to see how this model holds up over cycle 4 and future BTC cycles (view on a computer and use the future price action tools to see what happened past todays post date).
BTCUSD As anticipated, Bitcoin's recent dip appears to be a strategic move to foster bearish sentiment, while macroeconomic indicators suggest a different narrative. Looking ahead, a mid-week surge is plausible, potentially leading to a significant short squeeze. Targeting the $108,000 zone is reasonable, but an ideal scenario would see Bitcoin reaching $111,000, triggering one of the largest short liquidations in history. This could prompt retail investors to enter en masse, fearing they'll miss the upcoming altseason. Let's see if February closes in the green. 📈🚀
BTC on daily timeframe
"Concerning BTC, the price is currently experiencing a strong bullish momentum. However, as evidenced on the TOTAL chart, there are indications of a potential correction. In my view, if the price surpasses a critical decision level convincingly and forms a bearish (FVG) pattern, a sell position could be a prudent choice with low risk."
If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your text, feel free to ask!
BTCUSD.P_Short_15MinOn the Weekly time frame, we have identified a Fair Value Gap (FVG) area below the current price, which acts like a magnet, suggesting a strong pull towards that level. Given the overall downtrend bias, this aligns with expectations of downward movement. On the lower time frame (15-minute), we observe two clear FVG areas, with liquidity accumulating around these zones. Based on this analysis, we anticipate a downward move from the FVG areas on the LTF. The optimal entry point is positioned at the mid-point of the FVG, with the stop-loss placed above the FVG. The target is set below the recent swing low, ensuring a favourable risk-to-reward ratio.
