BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Bitcoin Bounced from a High-Volume Area at the 103,363 Support.FenzoFx—Bitcoin dipped to $105,175, creating a bearish fair value gap that highlights selling pressure. Immediate support is at $103,463, backed by high volume, while resistance stands at $107,792. If support holds, BTC/USD could rise toward $112,000.
A drop below $102,185 may accelerate the downtrend toward $93,363, the previous monthly low.
BTC – Rising Wedge Breakdown Raises the StakesCRYPTOCAP:BTC is slipping below the rising wedge structure on the 4-hour chart 📉 — a move that demands attention.
Is this a real breakdown signaling a deeper drop, or a deceptive shakeout to trap late bears? 🤔
Momentum is shifting fast. The next few candles will decide whether this move holds weight or flips direction.
Stay sharp — volatility ahead ⚠️
Bitcoin buying today Hi traders. Tonight is FOMC and Bitcoin daily candle opened above yesterday closing making it a clear buy for the day. My secret for FOMC is to analyse the market at 6h30 and start trading at 7h00 to catch the direction that FOMC is going to take as this happen every month during this event.
BITCOIN BEARISH DIVERGENCE CRYPTOCAP:BTC ,this is concerning me a little..markets can remain in an uptrend longer than expected so,im not calling anything in here but to be more positive about the outcome I would like to see new highs on price,supported by volume and a RSI breaking above previous peaks!
Shows price action with clear bullish and bearish candles.Key Elements in the Chart:
Current Price: Around $104,615 at the time of the screenshot.
Time: 3:30 AM on June 18, 2025 (UTC+3).
Candlestick Chart: Shows price action with clear bullish and bearish candles.
Chart Patterns:
Multiple descending channel patterns, with price breaking out upwards.
Support Zone: Around $104,000 (highlighted in green).
Resistance Zone: Around $110,000–$111,500 (also highlighted in green).
Lower Support Zone: Around $97,000–$99,000.
Forecast Paths (White Arrows):
The white arrows represent potential future price paths:
Bullish Scenario: Bounce from support near $104k and rise toward the $110k–$111k resistance zone.
Bearish Scenario: Failure to hold the $104k support leads to a drop toward the $97k–$99k range.
Choppy Scenario: Price oscillates within the current range before breaking either up or down.
Btcusd is about to be bullishbtcusd is getting ready for tomorrow's FOMC news and we are expecting a massive bullish break out to the moon.
Reasons
1, descending triangle pattern
2, in the bigger picture of the chart, we can see a bullish flag pattern.
3, in weekly timeframe, we can see the chart is a support zone
Bitcoin📉 Bitcoin price might be showing weakness… but it’s deeper than that.
Uncertainty in the global market, including the ongoing Iran-Israel conflict, is creating pressure on risk assets like BTC. Investors are shifting capital, signaling fear and caution.
This could also be a clue that interest rates may not be cut soon, keeping financial conditions tight and slowing down the economy further. 🏦💥
When there's no clear direction from the Fed and geopolitics dominate the headlines, liquidity dries up and Bitcoin feels it first.
Stay alert. Volatility is not going anywhere.
Bitcoin in expected price zone, may go lower then UP ?
This is the old fractal chart and I have faded out the Fractal from 2013 to 2017,
Everything ese remains unchanged since Feb this year.
We hit the expected price range indicated by the circle and we are still in that area but I expect, once the month closes and we have a small red month candle, then we can start printing Green again.
The daily version of this chart shows us more local detail
We have left the area of resistance and so now, we have a free move BUT I think we may dip down to that line of support around 100K - 98K
This would not be a bad thing to do before the end of the month as it would cool off the PA / RSI and MACD and so give confidence to the serious investor while scaring the pats off the New guys and Gals.
The Daily MACD still has a way to dip before it may find support on the neutral line
This level could see PA near that line of support but it is possible for MACD to drop while PA ranges.
So we could see that Dip to line of support and it may offer the last 100K buying zone for a very long time ..
But we do have Stupid people trying to start WW3 with Lies and Greed - this could possibly destabilise things.
Be Cautious
BITCOIN UPDATE: Not looking good for Bitcoin ladies and gentlemen . Its going down too fast and it just started the 1hr Bearish TIME Cycle, bears have plenty of TIME to do damage to the trend.
This is the drop that I was talking about the one that can cause serious damage to the trend.
Will see how it ends up at end of week.
ZONE SNIPER SETUP (BEARISH)BTC/USD Supply Zone Reaction Expected...!
Current price action is retracing toward a well defined supply zone between 107,016 and 108,576, an area of previous institutional selling. The expectation is a potential rejection from this zone, leading to a continuation of the broader downtrend.
If price taps into this supply and fails to break above, short opportunities become favorable targeting:
Intermediate support at 104,000.
Final target at 101,565, aligning with prior liquidity sweep.
Invalidation occurs on a strong close above 108,576.
#BTC/USD, #FOREX, @VeloraFXReal
BTC/USD Analysis – Is the Pullback Just Beginning?Bitcoin has recently faced strong resistance at the $108,874 zone, a high-volume supply area identified by the LuxAlgo Visible Range. Price was rejected sharply, and now BTC is trading at $104,746 after a -1.32% move down.
---
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
🟥 Supply Zone:
$106,800 – $108,800
Price has tested this area multiple times but failed to break above it.
🟦 Key Support Zones to Watch:
1. $94,334: Mid-level support; if broken, it confirms bearish strength.
2. $77,957 – $80,000: Strong demand zone; potential reversal or consolidation area.
📉 Bearish Signals:
Lower highs forming after rejection at resistance.
Red arrows indicate potential drop targets.
Volume fading on recent rallies – suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
---
🎯 Potential Trading Plan:
🔻 Short Setup:
Entry: $104,500 – $105,000 (below current structure)
TP1: $94,300
TP2: $80,000
SL: $106,800 (above resistance zone)
🟠 Long Setup (if price reaches demand):
Entry: $78,000 – $80,000
SL: $76,000
TP: $94,000 / $100,000
---
⚡News Catalyst:
⚠️ Major U.S. and global economic events expected soon. Be ready for volatility spikes (icons indicate calendar impact).
---
📊 What I'm Watching:
Volume divergence
Price reaction to $94k level
Fed announcements and macro impact on crypto
---
💬 Do you think BTC will bounce from $94k or head to $80k?
Comment below your trade setup 👇
---
🔖 Hashtags for Reach:
#BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #BTCShort #PriceAction #BitcoinCrash #CryptoTA #BTCTradeSetup #tradingviewcommunity
---
₿itcoin: Directly or with a Detour?!Under our primary scenario, Bitcoin remains on track to climb into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891 during green wave B. The key question at this stage: will the crypto giant head straight for the zone – or take a detour below the $100,000 level first? Either path remains structurally consistent with the broader outlook. Once wave B concludes, we expect a pullback to unfold in wave C, with the low of that move – and the bottom of orange wave a – anticipated in the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. From there, orange wave b should initiate a corrective rally, likely rebounding toward the $100,000 mark. This would set the stage for the final leg down in blue wave (ii). Meanwhile, our alternative scenario remains intact on the 8-hour chart. This 30% likely scenario suggests Bitcoin is still advancing within blue wave alt.(i) , rather than correcting in wave (ii). A confirmed breakout above $130,891 would validate this outcome.
📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BTCUSD GOING LONG AFTER AN UPWARD SHIFTBTC has recently broken its last lower timeframe High, shifting market structure and indicating Buyers are currently in control.
This break opened up a clear Demand Zone below, a small base or last bearish candle before the rise, which is a key area where unfulfilled buy orders may be resting.
Price is likely to retrace back into this Demand Zone to fill those orders. Once it reaches this area, we expect buying pressure to resume and push price upward, honoring the imbalance left by the rise.
Entry:
I’m looking to buy from this Demand Zone on a pullback, adding to go long when price enters this area.
This lets me enter at a discount price while trading in direction of the newly established upward momentum.
Target:
The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next supply Zone above, where selling pressure might emerge.
Stop Loss:
To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just below the demand Zone.
If price drops below this area, it would invalidate the demand’s ability to hold, signaling a potential reversal.
✅ Summary:
• Market has shifted to bullish after breaking last high.
• Demand Zone below is a key area to watch for buying opportunities.
• Buy upon retracement into Demand, with Stop Loss below and Target at supply above.
Bitcoin Strategic Compression, ETF Inflows and Powell’s Shadow.⊢
⟁ BTC/USD - Binance - (CHART: 12H) - (June 17, 2025).
⟐ Analysis Price: $105,324.51.
⊢
⨀ I. Temporal Axis – Strategic Interval – (12H):
▦ EMA13 – ($106,094.47):
∴ The arcane speed line was briefly reclaimed but lost again in the latest candle close;
∴ Price has consistently failed to close above EMA13 since June 13th, indicating weakening momentum;
∴ It now acts as primary dynamic resistance in the 12H structure.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA13 has been rejected. Bearish pressure remains in control.
⊢
▦ EMA44 – ($105,907.07):
∴ Price is currently below EMA44, though recent candles show no strong bearish conviction;
∴ This level functions as a neutral battleground - a true trend emerges only with decisive close above or below;
∴ The slope remains positive, preventing immediate breakdown.
✴️ Conclusion: EMA44 is the structural balance line. Below it, weakness persists.
⊢
▦ VWAP (Session) – ($106,117.67):
∴ VWAP sits above current price, reflecting rejection of institutional value;
∴ All recent attempts to reclaim VWAP failed, signaling lack of dominant buy-side volume;
∴ Confluence with EMA13 and Donchian upper band creates a unified technical ceiling.
✴️ Conclusion: Institutional control remains absent. Value zone denied.
⊢
▦ Donchian Channel (20) – ($106,690.95 / $102,854.49):
∴ Bands remain narrow, and price consolidates between mid-channel and the lower range;
∴ Upper band has been precisely respected for multiple sessions;
∴ This signals imminent volatility release from compression.
✴️ Conclusion: Volatility is fully compressed. Expansion is near.
⊢
▦ Volume - (MA20: 154):
∴ Volume remains below the 20-period moving average;
∴ No strong buying or selling pressure confirms indecision;
∴ Market stands in strategic silence.
✴️ Conclusion: Low activity zone. Observation mode prevails.
⊢
▦ Stoch RSI (3,3,14,14) – (21.38 / 27.27):
∴ Oscillator is crossing upward from oversold, but with weak momentum;
∴ Attempt to recover above 40 still incomplete;
∴ Risk of fakeout unless next candle confirms with bullish volume.
✴️ Conclusion: Reversal signal is weak. Watch for trap conditions.
⊢
▦ MFI (14) – (31.86):
∴ Money flow index stays in low liquidity zone - no signs of accumulation from large players;
∴ No clear bullish divergence, yet no panic selloff either;
∴ The flat trajectory since June 10 confirms institutional disengagement.
✴️ Conclusion: Capital remains cautious. No inflow to trigger reversal.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight — Technical Oracle:
∴ Indicators show compression, rejection at $106K and lack of institutional momentum;
∴ Price structure is neutral-bearish with volume confirming indecision;
∴ A breakout would only be valid with strong candle body and +180 BTC/12H volume.
✴️ Conclusion: Tactical patience advised. Await true breakout with confirmation.
⊢
∫ III. On-Chain Intelligence – (Source: CryptoQuant):
▦ Exchange Inflow Total – (All Exchanges):
∴ Total BTC inflows remain below 10K/day, well beneath panic thresholds;
∴ No spikes above 50K BTC since early April - aligns with neutral market conditions;
∴ This reflects dormant whale behavior and no visible distribution phase.
✴️ Conclusion: The market is in structural silence. No signs of capitulation.
⊢
▦ Exchange Inflow Mean = (MA7) – (All Exchanges):
∴ The 7-day moving average of inflow size dropped to ~0.4 BTC - a historic low;
∴ Indicates retail-dominant transactions, not whales;
∴ Precedents show this pattern often occurs before breakout events.
✴️ Conclusion: Institutional wallets remain inactive. Momentum awaits external ignition.
⊢
▦ Spot Taker CVD - (Cumulative Volume Delta, 90-day):
∴ Buyers still hold slight dominance, but the curve is flattening;
∴ This signals demand exhaustion and growing equilibrium;
∴ Historically precedes redistribution or longer sideways action.
✴️ Conclusion: Spot market is neutralizing. Demand fades. No clear strength.
⊢
🜎 Strategic Insight - On-Chain Oracle:
∴ All on-chain indicators confirm weak momentum, low inflows, and diminishing spot demand;
∴ There’s no signal of heavy sell pressure - but also no engine for rally;
∴ This is the seal of silence: light flows, thin volume, no imbalance.
✴️ Conclusion: Market waits for external driver. Watch for catalyst.
⊢
⧉ IV. Contextvs Macro–Geopoliticvs – Interflux Economicus:
▦ Middle East Tensions – Israel / Iran:
∴ Dow and S&P futures drop as evacuation alerts from Tehran raise global concern - (InfoMoney);
∴ Crude oil rises up to +2% - markets brace for supply disruption via Hormuz - (CryptoSlate);
∴ Global capital flows to Treasuries and gold, reducing liquidity in risk-on assets like BTC.
✴️ Conclusion: Geopolitical risk increases macro fear. Bitcoin faces risk-off inertia.
⊢
▦ ETF Activity vs Macro Outlook:
∴ Despite $1.7B ETF inflows last week, price failed to hold key resistances - (CryptoSlate);
∴ This divergence reflects growing fear and fragile confidence in crypto exposure amid global tension;
∴ Institutional demand is present, but impact is diluted by macro noise.
✴️ Conclusion: ETF flows bring no clear edge under macro instability.
⊢
▦ Fed Chair Powell (Upcoming):
∴ Jerome Powell will speak on June 19 - expected to comment on rate pause and forward guidance - (Cointelegraph);
∴ Retail data weakens U.S. outlook, but Fed’s stance remains cautious - (FXStreet);
∴ The speech will likely reset volatility across all assets.
✴️ Conclusion: Powell’s message is the next global pivot point. Market waits.
⊢
⚜️ 𝟙⟠ Magister Arcanvm – Vox Primordialis!
⚖️ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy.
⊢
⊢
⌘ Codicillus Silentii – Strategic Note:
The current bias is neutral with a bearish weight;
No validated entry present at this time;
Volume must confirm any breakout attempt;
The Seal of Silence remains active - we watch, not react.
⊢
Elliot Wave Count Bitcoin - BTCElliot Wave count BTC. Last wave up could be 1st of 5th wave, but think it's a B wave, in expanded flat wave B can take on an impulsive structure and consist of five waves, allowing it to rise above the starting point of wave A. Supported by Elliot Wave count in Equity where probably wave 5 is also placed. And by latest lower high what could be start of market structure change. Invalidation above more or less 113-116k. Fib.time 0.66 gives turning point on July 6th in confluence with end of wedge. World is mega bullish with lot of fresh Longs (big-time in ETF's) waiting for overnight millions. Lets see how this count works out.