BTCUSD.P trade ideas
$BTC. It is simpler than you think. How could you go wrong with buying and HODLing CRYPTOCAP:BTC ? Don't fade Bitcoin.
Expecting continued chop for next couple months before the real bull market arrives.
Great time to accumulate more CRYPTOCAP:BTC
Buying anywhere is good if you are just DCAing in for long term.
If we get in the BTFD zone before breaking new highs I will be adding large additions to my cold storage.
Patience is very important at this time
Do not get bored and go try to make a quick buck
Accumulate CRYPTOCAP:BTC , hold it, then go enjoy something else in the meantime
BTC pattern this cycle SUPEERCLEEANSudden spikes in prices whenall crow bored and then a large and long bleeding with colateral corrections, looks that the pattern this cycle will be in that format, with the resistance in 150k,200k,240k, with the maximum top at 256k, the sell zone would be at 230k and shorting after 250k
Btc aiming to kill 109kBTC is heading for a take out of the short positions opened at 109k.
Possible drop when it takes them out.
BTCBTC getting thru this FIB will be BTCs proving ground. ALTs have seen bear market rallies at best up until this point. It appears that the cycle has turned more ALT holders into BTC holders with vert few ALTs outperforming BTC. 2025 has been nothing short of lackluster for the ALTs. BTC new ATHs on the way?
btc . wednesday . may . w3yesterday
. no LONG - only at bigger retracement - didnt come
. no SHORT - as 10pm (UTC+2) has recently been a little unpredictable
today - wednesday - LIQUIDITY + VOLATILITY ?!
. no SHORT - as we are nowhere price opportunity wise + BULLISH outlook
. yes COMPOUND LONG . I had wanted to see the drop towards 2pm (UTC+2) - run yesterdays NewYork low and push up . didnt happen, but as I was waiting for the level, I had limit orders prepared of which 4 triggered during LondonSession
. additional little compound now prepared at 103622 - LPOC + VWAP
- bullish continuation . price is consolidating and momentum of this week is turning to the upside
- bearish continuation . see a rejection here at dOpen + wOpen . have price loose its cwLow . catch everyone of guard (unlikely by the outlook, but neverless)
BTCUSD 1H Short Setup | Order Block + Premium Rejection⚠️ BTCUSD | 1H Rejection at Supply Zone | May 10, 2025
Bitcoin is showing signs of exhaustion after a sharp rally into a high-value Supply Zone marked by a bearish Order Block at ~$104.1k–$106.4k. Price tapped right into premium levels, triggering potential Smart Money distribution.
🔍 KEY CONFLUENCES:
🧱 1H Bearish Order Block at 104,139–106,477
⚖️ Price in premium zone (>50% range)
🧠 Clean liquidity grab from prior swing high
🚫 Signs of buying weakness inside OB
📉 Anticipated move down toward imbalance and demand zone near $96k
📊 Setup Specs:
Pair: BTCUSD
Timeframe: 1H
Entry Zone: 104,139 – 106,477
SL: 106,477
TP: 95,789
RR: Approx. 1:4+
📌 Smart Money Breakdown:
After explosive rallies, institutions often offload in supply-rich OB zones while retail buys the top. This setup shows textbook SMC signs of distribution, imbalance below, and a clean trade idea toward unmitigated demand.
🧠 Chart Ninjas Tip:
“Never short early — wait for price to enter the OB and show weakness. That’s where smart entries live.”
CHECK BTCUSD SIGNAL READ CAPTAINbtcusd signal technical analysis satup 👇🏼
(btcusd) buy zone
( TRADE SATUP)
ENTRY POINT (103.600) to (103.500) 📊
FIRST TP (104.000)📊
2ND TARGET (104600) 📊
LAST TARGET (105.000) 📊
STOP LOOS (103.000)❌
FALLOW RISK MANAGEMENT
BTCUSDT - 4H - POSSIBLE SHSBTCUSDT - 4H - POSSIBLE SHS
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_______________________________________________________
BTCUSDT - 4H - POSSIBLE SHS
LEVELS:
Resistance: 105k
DYNAMIC SL: 101k
2nd SHOULDER: 91k - 92k
Why could BTC make a SHS breakout?
It seems BTC is again topping out at 105k (coinciding with the horizontal shoulder line).
We have a SELL signal at these levels.
And third, we have a GAP at 92k in the Chicago FUTURES.
If BTC makes this correction, we would have a bullish SHS pattern that could take BTC to 140k.
To be successful in trading, it is essential to be faithful to our strategy. Be clear about where we are, where we want to go, and when it is best to be liquid. __________________________________________________
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This tool is in development, and the beta version will be available soon for testing.
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I share with you my technical analysis assessments on certain securities that I follow as part of the strategies I design for my portfolio, but I do not recommend trading with these indicators. Get informed, educate yourself, and create your own investment strategies. I hope my comments help you on your journey :)
BTC/USD Price Action Update – May 14, 2025📊 BTC/USD Price Action Update – May 14, 2025
🔹Current Price: 103,364.59
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌 Key Demand Zone:
🟢 103,100–103,250 – Clean rejection from this zone confirms buyers stepping in. Demand held on retest.
📈 Live Trade Scenario:
Price has reacted strongly from marked demand and is aiming toward 104,700 zone. R:R setup currently active.
🎯 Targets:
TP1: 104,284
TP2: 104,700
SL placed below demand zone at 102,818
⚠️ Risk Reminder:
Rejection below 103,100 could invalidate setup and trigger downside revisit to 102,500 support.
🔍 FXFOREVER Insight:
✅ Bullish structure above 103K
✅ Ideal sniper entry after mitigation
✅ Maintain trade discipline – no FOMO
#BTCUSD #PriceAction #SmartMoney #CryptoTrading #FXFOREVER #DemandZone #LiveTrade #ChartAnalysis
BTC Bullish Pennant Breakout – Eyeing $107K TargetBitcoin (BTC/USD) has recently demonstrated strong bullish structure following an extended consolidation phase. The current price action suggests a textbook bullish pennant breakout, which often indicates trend continuation in strong markets. This technical setup follows a period of accumulation and consolidation between March and April, with a well-defined pennant formation leading into the breakout in early May.
Technical Analysis:
Historical Context & Structure:
From mid-February to March, BTC experienced significant downward pressure, eventually finding major support in the $76,000–$78,000 zone, which is clearly outlined on the chart as a key support level.
This support zone initiated a reversal, forming the base of a new bullish leg that marked the beginning of the next trending phase.
Consolidation Phase – The Ellipse Region:
The price action within the elliptical region (mid-March to late April) reflects accumulation behavior, with multiple rejections on both upper and lower bounds, indicating balance between buyers and sellers.
This phase formed a foundational structure, setting up the stage for a breakout pattern.
Pennant Formation (Late April – Early May):
The price sharply rallied in late April, breaking out of the consolidation and moving into a tight triangular pennant pattern — a classic continuation formation.
This bullish pennant features converging trendlines, lower volume, and diminishing volatility as price consolidates — all typical characteristics.
Breakout and Retest:
The breakout from the pennant occurred on high momentum with strong bullish candles.
Post-breakout, the price approached the resistance zone (~$103,000–$105,000) and is currently attempting to establish support at this level.
This retest adds validity to the breakout and opens the door for further upside continuation.
Trade Parameters:
Entry Zone: Breakout above the pennant (~$99,000–$100,000), confirmed by momentum.
Resistance Zone: $103,000–$105,000 (currently being retested).
Target (Measured Move):
Using the height of the pennant pole (~$20,000 move from $80K to $100K), the projected target lies near $107,307, aligning with horizontal resistance.
Stop Loss:
Set at $93,344, just below the pennant’s lower boundary. This level also aligns with recent structural support and invalidation of the pattern.
Risk/Reward Ratio:
Approx. 1:2.5+, offering a favorable setup assuming trend continuation.
Additional Notes:
Volume:
Although not shown, breakouts from pennants are ideally confirmed by an increase in volume, indicating market conviction. Volume confirmation is highly recommended for trade confirmation.
Market Context:
This setup aligns with broader bullish sentiment in the crypto space and may be reinforced by macroeconomic or ETF-related developments. However, risk management remains key, especially around psychological levels and news-driven volatility.
Conclusion :
Bitcoin is currently in a strong technical position. The breakout from the bullish pennant pattern following prolonged consolidation signals continuation of the prevailing uptrend. Traders should watch for sustained price action above $103K for confirmation. A pullback or retest toward this level can present re-entry opportunities before a potential move toward $107K. Tight risk management is advised with stops below $93K.
Technical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) ON BINANCE + TRADE PLANTechnical Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Market Trend and Chart Structure:
The price of Bitcoin is in a consolidation phase as shown in the descending channel pattern formed by the resistance and support lines.
The market is moving within this range, but there is a strong possibility of a breakout to the upside based on the bullish divergence forming on the indicators and the overall market sentiment.
The chart also shows Bollinger Bands (BB), which are in a squeeze, signaling a potential breakout. Typically, this indicates that volatility is low, and the price could move sharply in either direction once the bands break.
Key Indicators and Signals:
MACD: The MACD indicator is showing a bullish crossover, which indicates the possibility of a trend reversal to the upside.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at 45.78, indicating that the market is neither overbought nor oversold. This suggests that Bitcoin is in a neutral zone, but with bullish signals from other indicators, an upward move seems likely if momentum continues to build.
ArtY Money Flow Index: The Money Flow Index is showing green bars, suggesting that capital is flowing into Bitcoin, which supports the bullish outlook.
Stochastic RSI: The stochastic is in the oversold region (currently at 14.99), which usually signals a potential reversal to the upside.
Resistance and Support Levels:
Resistance: The primary resistance level is located at $105,705. A break above this level would indicate a strong upward move.
Support: The primary support level is around $101,600. If the price reaches this level and holds, it could act as a potential bounce point for a reversal.
Trading Strategy and Plan:
Entry Strategy:
Buy Entry: Enter a long position if the price breaks above the $104,700-$105,705 range, indicating a breakout above resistance. A confirmation from the MACD and RSI would add strength to this signal.
Stop Loss: Set a stop-loss order at $101,000, below the key support, to manage risk if the market reverses unexpectedly.
Target/Exit Strategy:
Take Profit Target: A good target is at the $110,000 level, where Bitcoin could face another resistance. A more aggressive target could be at $115,000, but this would require a continuation of the bullish momentum.
Trailing Stop: Use a trailing stop as Bitcoin continues to move upward to secure profits if the price continues to climb without retracing.
Risk Management:
Maintain a risk-to-reward ratio of at least 1:3, meaning you should aim for profits that are at least three times the amount of risk you take. This will ensure better risk management in case the market reverses unexpectedly.
Monitor the market sentiment closely. Bitcoin's price movements can be highly volatile, so being ready to adjust stop-loss and take-profit levels is essential for successful trading.
Bitcoin is showing positive signs of breaking to the upside, with support from key technical indicators such as bullish MACD crossovers, oversold stochastic levels, and a neutral RSI. It’s essential to monitor the breakout above the $104,700-$105,705 level, which could signal a strong upward move. However, traders should use proper risk management techniques, such as setting stop-loss orders and managing position sizes carefully.
Always stay updated with market news and adjust your strategy based on any significant news or changes in the overall market sentiment.
Markets Shifting: Here's What You Need to Know (DXY, XAU, BTC)Inflation is cooling, gold is retreating, and Bitcoin is eyeing another breakout — but what’s really driving the markets right now?
In this week’s outlook, I break down:
✅ The key economic data that rocked the markets
✅ What the softer U.S. inflation print means for the Fed and rate cuts
✅ How upcoming data could shift momentum for DXY, Gold, and Bitcoin
✅ The levels and scenarios I’m watching next
Whether you're a trader, investor, or just staying informed — this outlook gives you the clarity you need for the days ahead.
📈 Don’t just follow the headlines — understand what moves them.
🎥 Watch now and stay one step ahead.
#Trading #Markets #DXY #XAUUSD #BTCUSD #EconomicOutlook #Forex #Gold #Bitcoin #MarketUpdate
BTCUSD Set to Reclaim This Weak High,Watch This Smart Money Zone📊 BTCUSD 30-Min Smart Money Concept Setup
Let’s dissect this high-probability Smart Money setup on BTCUSD, which just tapped into a premium-to-discount range retracement and looks ready to reverse from demand.
🔻 1. Market Context
We saw a strong impulsive move up earlier today, followed by a corrective move pulling back into the 61.8–79% fib zone, lining up with internal liquidity and support zones.
Price just respected that 61.8% level with multiple bullish rejection wicks, indicating a potential bounce.
🧱 2. Key Zones Identified
Strong Low: 102,757.05 — protected for now
Entry Zone: 103,646 – 103,758
Weak High Target: 104,800+
Final TP: 105,788.51 (aligned with -27% fib extension)
The confluence of internal trendline support and fib levels supports the bullish narrative.
📈 3. Trade Setup + RRR
✅ Entry: Around 103,750
❌ Stop Loss: Below 102,800 (beneath strong low)
🎯 Take Profit: 105,780
📊 RRR: ~4:1+
This setup offers a clean low-risk, high-reward opportunity with minimal drawdown.
🔥 4. Why This Is Smart Money Approved
✅ Deep retracement into discount zone
✅ Strong bullish structure + weak high liquidity above
✅ Trendline support confluence
✅ Smart Money targeting liquidity
✅ Higher timeframe bullish bias still intact
💬 Type “⚡️BTC Weak High Raid Loading” if you’re riding this wave too!
🚀 Follow @ChartNinjas88 for more precision Smart Money plays like this.
BTCUSD Price Targets
Short-Term (May 2025):
Upside: Analysts project potential resistance near $107,000, with further targets at $108,000–$110,000. A sustained move above $110,000 could open the path to $115,000.
trading around $103,690 after breaking out of a long consolidation phase, signaling a strong bullish trend. Technical indicators like rising moving averages and an RSI above 70 confirm momentum but hint at possible short-term pullbacks. In the short term, BTC may test resistance between $107,000 and $110,000, while a drop below $100,000 could push it back toward $92,000. Medium-term projections suggest a possible rise to $120,000, driven by institutional inflows and favorable macroeconomic trends.
Long trade
🟩 Buyside Trade Log
📈 Pair: BTC/USD
🏷️ Type: Intraday | NY to LND Session AM
🧠 Setup: Breakout
🆔 Trade ID: #BTCUSD-0513A
📅 Date: Tuesday, 13th May 2025
🕦 Time: 11:55 AM
🔹 Entry Price: 101,540
🔹 Profit Target: 104,638.11 (+0.98%)
🔹 Stop Loss: 103,453.78 (-0.16%)
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio: 6.01
🔍 Reasoning:
Buyside breakout trade taken during the NY to LND session overlap. Price broke cleanly above a key intraday resistance level with strong momentum, confirming structural strength. Order flow supported bullish continuation, and the setup aligned with a broader liquidity run toward the next major high
BTCUSDIt is possible that this month BTCUSD will return to 100k and this year it will break through the 150k & 200k levels
BTC Testing Red Resistance – Potential Breakout Ahead!🚀 CRYPTOCAP:BTC Testing Red Resistance – Potential Breakout Ahead! 📈
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is currently testing the red resistance zone. A potential breakout could be coming soon, and we might see a new all-time high (ATH)! 🔥
Let’s watch this breakout closely! 💼💸
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This chart appears to be a technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) on the BITSTAMP exchange, using a 1-hour timeframe.
Key Observations:
1. Current Price and Drop: The price is shown at around 101,661 USD, experiencing a sharp decline of approximately 2.37%.
2. Price Target: The chart indicates a target level of around 103,000 USD, suggesting a potential recovery or rebound.
3. Chart Pattern: The sharp drop followed by a possible upward movement (zigzag arrow) suggests a potential bullish correction after a sell-off.
4. Bollinger Bands: The blue bands indicate volatility. The current drop has moved significantly below the lower band, which might indicate an oversold condition.
5. Support and Resistance: The highlighted rectangular areas denote resistance and support zones, with the lower box around 103,000 acting as a potential resistance if the price recovers.
Would you like an analysis of potential trading strategies based on this chart?
Ethereum and the Pectra Upgrade: ETH Growth PotentialEthereum is approaching a significant upgrade called Pectra, which, according to analysts at Trenovia Group, could become a major catalyst for ETH’s price appreciation—especially if network activity continues to rise.
What Does Pectra Bring?
Pectra continues Ethereum’s path toward greater technological maturity. The upgrade introduces enhancements to the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM), optimizes validator coordination, and strengthens smart contract security. As Trenovia Group highlights, such developments are essential to the platform's long-term competitiveness and stability.
Potential Impact on ETH Price
Based on Trenovia Group’s internal analysis, ETH could strengthen after the Pectra upgrade, assuming a rise in network engagement. Past events, such as The Merge, have historically driven price momentum. However, sustained growth depends on actual increases in user activity, transaction volumes, and new project deployments.
Network Activity as a Growth Indicator
Network usage is one of the most critical metrics tracked by Trenovia Group. A surge in active wallets, decentralized applications (dApps), and DeFi platforms often translates to higher demand for ETH. These indicators are at the core of our investment strategies and client advisory services.
Trenovia Group’s Position
As a company focused on digital asset analytics and blockchain innovation, Trenovia Group views Pectra as a strategically important upgrade. It further solidifies Ethereum’s role in decentralized finance and Web3. We will continue to deliver in-depth market insights and recommendations as the network evolves.
Conclusion
Ethereum is entering a new phase of development. Should the Pectra upgrade lead to a measurable increase in network activity, Trenovia Group anticipates a favorable environment for ETH growth, reaffirming its position as a leader in the crypto market.
Bitcoin Forecast: May 2025 OutlookMay 2025 has marked a strong upward trend for Bitcoin, with the leading cryptocurrency steadily trading in the $100,000–$105,000 range and hitting multi-month highs. This growth has been largely fueled by active accumulation from institutional investors, including exchange-traded funds (ETFs), reinforcing Bitcoin’s growing integration into the traditional financial system.
Institutional Demand as a Key Driver
A major factor behind Bitcoin’s recent surge is the increasing flow of capital from institutional investors. Large ETFs, such as those managed by BlackRock and Fidelity, have expanded their positions in BTC, sending a strong signal of confidence from established financial institutions. This has further boosted interest from retail investors and strengthened the overall bullish momentum.
Macroeconomic Context
Another significant influence is the market's anticipation of a potential interest rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. A more dovish monetary policy stance would make riskier assets, including cryptocurrencies, more attractive, encouraging further investment in Bitcoin.
While the Fed is expected to make a rate decision in June, markets tend to price in such moves early, which is already being reflected in Bitcoin’s price trajectory.
Forecast: How Much Could Bitcoin Be Worth by End of May?
Given the current momentum and positive market sentiment, analysts suggest that Bitcoin could continue its ascent. Optimistic forecasts predict that BTC might reach $120,000–$130,000 by the end of the month, provided macroeconomic conditions remain favorable. Still, the inherent volatility of the crypto market means potential pullbacks should not be ruled out.
Conclusion
May 2025 could prove to be a pivotal month for Bitcoin. Increased institutional participation, supportive macroeconomic signals, and favorable technical indicators are all contributing to its ongoing rally. If the current trend continues, Bitcoin could set new all-time highs in the coming weeks.
BTC CONSOLIDATESBitcoin is taking a breather just below the $106,099 resistance level, after a strong rally from sub-$90K levels in April. Yesterday’s candle showed some indecision, which makes sense given the proximity to the key psychological milestone of $100,000 and the well-defined horizontal resistance between $106K and $109,358. This area previously marked the top of the February range and is likely to be heavily contested.
Price is comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are rising and signaling trend strength. Volume has decreased slightly during this consolidation phase, a normal occurrence after a powerful breakout, but we’ll want to see volume pick back up if Bitcoin makes a run at the highs.
If bulls can clear $106K cleanly with conviction, $109,358 is the final local resistance before we enter open skies and potential new highs. On the downside, $99,517 now serves as the first line of support, and a deeper pullback could retest the $92,817 level — the site of the previous breakout.
The structure remains bullish, but some cooling or consolidation here would be healthy, especially after such an aggressive move.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 1H Analysis🏛 Market Structure
BTC continues to show strong bullish intent, holding near its recent highs after a brief dip.
🔎 Yesterday’s liquidity sweep below local support levels appears to have been a classic trap, designed to clean out weak hands before resuming the uptrend.
📈 Current Setup
🟩 1H FVG (Fair Value Gap) has acted as a strong support, with price bouncing cleanly off it.
🟫 Multiple supply zones above still need to be cleared, but BTC looks ready to challenge them again.
🔄 The reclaim of the previous range low and subsequent higher low suggest momentum is shifting back toward the bulls.
🎯 Short-Term Outlook
📈 Bullish Bias:
If the current structure holds, BTC could push back toward the $105K–$106K area.
The RSI is also curling back up from the lower bound, showing renewed momentum.
⚠️ Key to Watch:
Price must stay above the FVG (~$101K–$102K) to keep the bullish scenario valid.
A break back below this zone would expose BTC to another liquidity grab toward $99K.
✅ Conclusion
BTC is showing healthy consolidation with signs of accumulation just below resistance. The recovery after yesterday's sweep confirms that the market is still looking to push higher — especially if buyers can maintain control above $103K.
