$BTCUSD Trade Setup – Rejection at Channel Highs or BreakoutBitcoin is approaching a key decision point at the top of its descending channel. After bouncing off $100K support and reclaiming the midline, price is now pressing against the upper trendline near $112K. The MACD has just flipped bullish, and momentum is turning upward. However, BTC has repeatedly failed at this level over the last two months, forming a clear resistance zone.
This trade is structured as a short from resistance with tight invalidation above $112K. The setup offers a favorable risk/reward if this rejection holds and BTC pulls back to the $97K–$98K zone.
Entry: ~$108K
Stop: ~$112K (channel breakout)
Target: ~$97.5K (lower channel support)
If BTC breaks and holds above $112K, that would invalidate the short thesis and likely flip the structure toward a full breakout scenario.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Bitcoin’s Breathing Zone – Watching for a Natural Snap Setup📊 Bitcoin Daily – Probabilistic Swing Scenario
I’m closely watching a probabilistic swing setup based on natural price oscillations and EMA wave dynamics.
The current structure suggests that Bitcoin could need a deeper retracement to the 100k - 102k zone to allow the short-term EMAs to snap together just above the 55 EMA.
This is typically where the market builds energy for significant moves.
I've highlighted this potential snap zone and the expected price flow in the chart.
If the price compresses in this area, it could trigger a move towards the upper yellow trendline around 124k.
A clean pullback followed by EMA clustering is usually the kind of natural swing that opens the door for explosive price action.
From there, a retest around 108k - 110k would not only be healthy – it would likely serve as the launchpad for a possible extension towards the macro target zone of 160k - 180k.
I trade probabilistic scenarios based on natural market rhythms, EMA waves, and energy compression zones.
What’s your view on this? Are you tracking a similar path?
BTC/USD 1DHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC chart to USD, in this situation we can see how the 3rd peak formed us and we are currently fighting to maintain the price or a potential output up if we do not see a try to break out, you can expect a stronger relief.
However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face:
T1 = 108376 $
T2 = 110473 $
Т3 = 112061 $
Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market:
SL1 = 105444 $
SL2 = 103637 $
SL3 = 100644 $
SL4 = 98285
Looking at the RSI indicator, we see
As we entered the upper part of the indicator again, however, there is still a place to try to grow.
$BTC - $120K IS COMINGBTC is currently forming one giant bull flag since the May high. It is teasing the top of the channel while holding the 1H 100MA firmly consecutive times. Within this bull flag, the last few days have formed an additional bull flag at the top of the channel as well.
This weekend will see us breakout of both and to the upside. I am targeting $120K here with $135K if we overextend. Let's see
Title: BTC Rejected at Channel Top – Downside Risk BuildsText:
Bitcoin is showing signs of rejection from the top of the descending channel near the 109k region. With selling pressure increasing and price struggling to break higher, there’s a strong probability of a downward move. If support around 106k fails, BTC could revisit previous lows and potentially head toward the sub-1M zone ("Azad"). Caution is advised as the market may be preparing for another bearish wave.
BTCUSD short tradeAnalyst: Mosilar
BTC is trading near $107K with a key liquidity zone around $108,300 – $108,800. Max Pain for tomorrow’s options expiry sits at $102K.
Historically, BTC often gravitates toward Max Pain into expiry. A potential fade from the liquidity zone toward $104K and $102K could be in play.
Key Levels:
Liquidity Zone: 108,300 – 108,800
Volume Profile: 104,000
Max Pain: 102,000
Market next target 📉 Disruption: Bearish Outlook Contradiction
1. Resistance Zone Rejection:
The price action is repeatedly failing near the 107,800–108,000 resistance zone.
The chart shows several long upper wicks, indicating strong selling pressure when BTC tries to move higher.
2. False Breakout Risk:
The recent bullish candle with a long lower wick could be a bull trap—designed to lure buyers before a reversal.
Price may retest the red box (support turned resistance) and fail to hold above it.
3. Volume Analysis:
Despite a small recovery, volume is not increasing significantly, which is not typical of a strong bullish move.
A lack of strong buyer volume could indicate exhaustion.
4. Lower High Structure:
The chart is still forming lower highs, a sign of a downtrend continuation unless it breaks above 108,000 convincingly.
#Bitcoin - Pivot is $102915 | Target $125385 or $80445 ?Date: 24-06-2025
#Bitcoin
Current Price: 105375
Pivot Point: 102915.00 Support: 99206.48 Resistance: 106655.63
#Bitcoin Upside Targets:
Target 1: 111205.31
Target 2: 115755.00
Target 3: 120570.00
Target 4: 125385.00
#Bitcoin Downside Targets:
Target 1: 94640.74
Target 2: 90075
Target 3: 85260
Target 4: 80445.00
Chart Pattern Analysis of Bitcoin.
K4 close at high price area, but still failed to close upon the downtrend line,
If K5 close upon the line,
The strong bullish momentum will be verified here,
And the market will accelerate to test or break up 112K area.
It is also possible that the market consolidate around the downtrend line,
And days later, it chose to break up or fall down.
If I didn’t bought it earlier,
I will not buy it here.
It is still possible that the following candles fall to test 101K or 103K area.
I will try to buy it there.
Barb WireBTCUSD is potentially entering in a Barb Wire, meaning bulls and bears are in equilibrium and any breakout to either side has a good chance of being a false breakout.
I'm going to stay out of it for now.
If price breaks through the bear TL and make a strong reversal bar at the All Time High, it could potentially be a good short trade with high RR.
The inevitable breakout to an ATH?MN Capital founder Michael van de Poppe spotted Bitcoin hovering at $107,450, saying that after taking out some liquidity around $109,000, BTC may see a slight pullback before breaking out to all-time highs. We already reach this area.
An accompanying chart shows $109,000 as the key level to watch on BTC’s four-hour time frame. “This is the area we need to break in order to have upward momentum,” Van de Poppe said, adding:“The inevitable breakout to an ATH on Bitcoin might even happen during the upcoming week.”
However, I think we might see a pullback before this happens. We might have an inverse head and shoulder pattern in process.
BTCUSD bull flag?Hi traders what is your opinion,are still bullish or pump n dump scares you?well amstil bullish wait for breakout n retest for safety entry if you are scared, I've been buying dips my first target is 120k,take Calculated risk n hold your trades,money management is your friend,I wish you all the best I don't have much to say but what I study is what is happening in the market.
BTCUSD LONG BULLISH FLAG📊 BTCUSD Trade Setup – 15m Chart
🔔 Shared by RKZ FX SIGNAL
We're currently monitoring a bullish setup forming inside a descending channel. Price is showing signs of accumulation near the demand zone around 106,640 – 106,700, with a potential bullish break from the falling wedge structure.
🟢 Trade Idea (Potential Buy Setup):
Entry Zone: Around 106,650 – 106,700
Stop Loss: Below 106,326 (below liquidity & demand zone)
Take Profit: Targeting supply zone between 107,980 – 108,250
Risk to Reward Ratio: ~1:3
🧠 Analysis Notes:
Price has tapped into a fresh demand zone and shown a short-term bullish reaction.
Still inside the descending channel, but momentum is building for a breakout.
Confirmation will be stronger once price breaks the midline and retests the top boundary as support.
🔔 Wait for price action confirmation at entry zone before entering. Avoid early entries.
#202526 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
#btcusd - bitcoin
comment: Neutral since bears fumbled it again. Range is clear, don’t have much else to say about this. Bulls want 113k+ and bears need a strong daily close below 100k for more downside.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 100k - 115k
bull case: Bulls are still hopeful, that’s why we are still above 110k but the next touch could break it and I doubt many will hold long or scale into new ones there. Best bulls can get right now is to go sideways for longer and stay above 100k. I mean… Staying above 100k is as bullish as it get’s if you be honest. Same as last week since nothing has changed for the bulls. Trading range since mid May.
Invalidation is a strong daily close below 100k
bear case: Bears fumbled it again. Strong daily close below 100k or we won’t go lower. Right now odds favor the bears to go down from 107k to 100k but need more selling pressure.
Invalidation is above 110k
short term: As neutral as can be.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-29: Strong daily close below 100k will be the confirmation for more downside. First target below 100k is 97k the breakout retest and after that is the 50% retracement around 93k. I have no bullish for the next weeks/months. Once the gap to 97k closes we are likely in a bear trend again and I expect to hit at least 85k over the summer.
BTC SHORT TP: 106,300 25-06-2025Let’s be real — what’s coming looks like pure manipulation 😮💨
Setting a SHORT between 108,550 – 109,250, aiming for 106,200 – 106,550, with an average 3.3 RR.
🕑 Timeframe: 2H
⏳ Duration: 20–30 hours
Context: If you see a massive green candle… that’s not strength — that’s the short signal. Stops are pretty obvious in this kind of setup. Classic trap vibes loading.
If the move doesn’t happen within the estimated time, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
BTC/USD 1H Chart, here’s the clear breakdown:BTC/USD 1H Chart, here’s the clear breakdown:
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Current Price:
Around 106,636 USD
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Bearish Setup Observations:
Price has broken the ascending trendline support
Price is below Ichimoku Cloud — bearish confirmation
Retest of broken trendline area failed, suggesting more downside
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Target Levels Based on Your Chart:
✅ First Target: Around 105,200 - 105,400 USD
✅ Second Target (Final Target): Around 103,200 - 103,500 USD
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Conclusion:
Bearish momentum is strong; watch for price to test 105,200 zone
If that level breaks, likely move toward 103,200
Resistance area remains near 107,200 - 107,500 (good stop-loss zone for shorts)
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Would you like a risk management suggestion for this setup? Let me know!
BTC LONG TP:106,400 24-06-2025Scalping opportunity in progress ⚡️
Entry zone: 105,500
Target zone: 106,400
RR: 1.5
Timeframe: 30m
Estimated duration: 2 hours
We’re jumping in on a quick continuation after the recent pump. The bullish pressure is still there, and this move aims to squeeze a fast gain before the next reversal.
Looking for a short right after if the setup confirms.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
If price doesn’t move within the expected time, the setup is invalid.
BITCOIN Trump and the 1D EMA100 saved the day!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) rebounded yesterday on its 1D EMA100 (green trend-line) and along with Trump's truce announcement between Israel and Iran, it sent the market into a buying frenzy and back above the $105k mark.
Technically, the 1D EMA100 isn't something to be ignored as since the November 2022 market bottom, each Bullish Leg (Channel Up) that started had a contact (or near) with it that resulted into a considerable bullish extension.
The 1st Channel Up even breached below it, but after rebounding, it reached the 1.382 Fibonacci extension before the next correction. The 2nd Channel Up rebounded exactly on the 1D EMA100, and reached the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. The 3rd Channel Up almost hit the 1D EMA100 and then rebounded to the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
It is obvious that the pattern follows a progression and each Fib extension peak is higher than on the previous Channel Up. As a result, it is not unlikely to see a High even above the 2.0 Fib ext ($168k) on the current (4th) Channel Up, however on the short-term we would still welcome the 1.382 Fib 'minimum' expectation, targeting $130000.
Do you think we should at least be expecting that? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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Bitcoin Short: Wave CAfter a 6-days move up after we have hit our target in the previous analysis, I think Bitcoin has completed what I think to be the Wave B and is already on the Wave C run down.
Over in this video, I expressed my personal viewpoint that Bitcoin is not a hedge against the dollar and that it is actually a risk-on/off product more similar to the equities markets like the S&P500. I recommend that anyone who is interested to perform a study on the correlation and beta Bitcoin.
I suggested that the reason why it more closely related to the equity markets is due to it's deep integration within the financial sector (e.g. ETFs, structured products from banks).
Given that I think that the equity markets are primed to crash soon, I think that Bitcoin will follow suit.
Good luck!
BTCUSD CRACKing Everywhere!As I have been warning for a while now. See previous post.
I first warned to wait for the CRACK!
Then we got the 2nd CRACK!, very normal.
Then a nice M pattern with a lower high.
Then another CRACK!
And now a right Shoulder.
MAGIC!
Now we wait for the H&S to break down.
Click boost, follow, and subscribe for more. Let's get to 5,000 followers. ))