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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

VWMA : Example Volume weighted Moving Average 🔍 VWMA in Crypto Trading Smarter than simple MAs. Powered by volume. What is VWMA? 🎯 VWMA = Price + Volume Combined Unlike SMA/EMA, VWMA gives more weight to high-volume candles. ✅ Shows where the real trading pressure is. Why Use VWMA? 💥 Volume Confirms Price Price movement + High Volume = Stronger Signal VWMA adjusts faster when volume spikes 📊 More reliable in volatile crypto markets. Some VWMA Settings 📊 Optimal VWMA Periods by Timeframe 🕒 15m – VWMA 20 → For scalping 🕞 30m – VWMA 20/30 → Intraday breakouts 🕐 1h – VWMA 30/50 → Trend filter + RSI combo 🕓 4h – VWMA 50/100 → Swing trading 📅 1D – VWMA 50/100/200 → Macro trend + S/R levels Go through different settings to see what suits you best. VWMA in Action 📈 Price Above VWMA = Bullish Strength More confidence in uptrend Especially valid during high volume surges 🟢 Great confluence with MA 7/9 in short-term setups Dynamic Support/Resistance 🛡️ VWMA Reacts to Market Strength Acts as dynamic support or resistance—especially when volume increases. Useful in catching pullback entries or trailing SLs. 🚦 Filter Fakeouts with VWMA + MA ✅ Use in confluence for stronger edge. Tips for VWMA 📌 Use shorter VWMA (20–30) for entries 📌 Use longer VWMA (50–200) for trend validation 🎯 Works best in trending, high-volume conditions
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by CmpCryptoInsights
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: 110k RejectionAfter the powerful rally that began in the last quarter of 2024, Bitcoin is now at a critical market juncture. The price has once again reached the 106,000–110,000 USD zone, an area that already showed strong signs of distribution back in February and March 2025. This isn’t just a typical resistance level—it’s a psychologically loaded zone, marked by previous highs and repeated selling pressure. In May, the monthly candle revealed a clear rejection from this zone: a prominent upper wick and a bearish body, signaling the bulls' struggle to sustain new highs. This behavior suggests the beginning of a profit-taking phase or, more likely, a medium-term consolidation. The picture becomes even more complex when we look at the COT Report dated May 27, 2025. Non-commercial institutional traders—speculative funds, hedge funds, and portfolio managers—have significantly increased their short positions, now exceeding 26,800 contracts. Meanwhile, long positions are hovering around 24,500, resulting in a net bearish exposure. The message is clear: smart money isn’t buying the breakout—it's selling into it. Seasonality analysis reinforces this narrative. Historically, June tends to be a weak month for Bitcoin, often followed by renewed strength in the next quarter. The 2025 seasonal curve has mirrored the bullish pattern of 2021 up to May, but now—consistent with historical patterns—is showing signs of slowing. This supports the idea that the market might need a breather before potentially rallying again in Q3. From a technical standpoint, the key levels are well defined. The 95,000–97,000 USD area is the first dynamic support zone, where the price might find short-term relief. However, the more significant support lies between 82,000 and 85,000 USD—this is the origin of the current rally and aligns with the old breakout structure. A return to this level would represent a healthy and natural correction within a still structurally bullish long-term context. In summary, the current outlook calls for caution. Momentum is fading, seasonality is unfavorable, and institutional players are trimming long exposure while adding to shorts. Until the price can consolidate above 110,500 USD, the dominant scenario remains a corrective pullback, with interim targets at 95k and potential drops toward the 85k zone. However, if the market surprises with a strong weekly close above the highs, it could pave the way for a new leg up toward the 125,000–135,000 USD range—potentially fueled by macro catalysts such as ETF inflows, Fed narratives, or broader adoption.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by EdgeTradingJourney
6
BTCUSD - Further retracement to 97700 after protracted reversalOn the daily chart, a large head and shoulders pattern appears close to completion, suggesting a potential reversal of the recent uptrend. The formation is somewhat uneven, but in volatile markets like this one, clean textbook patterns are rarely seen. Continued bullish sentiment has slowed the reversal, with buyers stepping in to support the price during each dip. If we consider the April to May uptrend as a single move, the first Fibonacci retracement level aligns with support at 103,000. This level has been respected on both sides of the head and also serves as the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern. A break below 103,000 in the coming days could open the way toward the next support level near 98,000. The right shoulder has not yet fully developed. Unless the price moves decisively above 106,900, we may continue to see the kind of sideways movement that formed the left shoulder, leading up to a potential breakout to the down side. Should the price break above 107,000 with strong momentum, the pattern could fail, potentially triggering a bullish breakout and a long opportunity. However, recent candles appear more bearish than those of previous sessions. Decreasing volume trend across the H&S pattern, along with a falling RSI and a bearish MACD crossover, provides further evidence of a reversal. The momentum appears to be shifting in favour of the bears, while the bulls are losing steam.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by BusinessPanda
1
where is BTC heading? A retest to the highs maybe?🔍 Current Market Structure Price: ~$104,674 Market Range: Between PDH (Previous Day High) ~$106,161 and PDL (Previous Day Low) ~$104,160 Consolidation Zone: Price is compressing just above a support zone (PDL/PWL) after a downtrend. 📈 Buy Setup (Long Position) 🔹 Entry Zone (Buy): Around PDL / PWL (~$104,160–$104,674) Confirmation: Bullish engulfing or CHoCH (Change of Character) indicating shift to bullish structure. Support by: Bollinger Bands lower band touch RSI is near 40, suggesting potential oversold MACD lines are converging → potential bullish crossover 🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets: PDH (~$106,161) – Conservative target Premium Supply Zone / Weak High (~$110,000–$112,000) – Aggressive target 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Below PWL (~$103,500), or just under recent Equal Lows (EQL) for structure-based SL. 📉 Sell Setup (Short Position) 🔸 Entry Zone (Sell): Premium Zone (~$110,000–$112,000) Confirmation: Rejection from resistance with bearish CHoCH Supported by: Price entering overbought RSI territory MACD bearish crossover Weak High rejection 🎯 Take Profit (TP) Targets: PDL / PWL (~$104,000) – Scalp TP Major Demand Zone (~$94,000–$95,000) – Swing TP 🛑 Stop Loss (SL): Above Premium Zone (~$113,000) 📊 Indicators Summary Indicator Signal RSI (40.13) Near oversold → potential for bounce MACD Close to crossing bullish, watch for confirmation Bollinger Bands Price near lower band → potential support Price Action Compression → potential breakout ✅ Suggested Strategy Short-Term Traders (Scalping/Intraday): Look for long entry above $104,160 with TP near $106,100. Swing Traders: Wait for breakout/rejection at $106,100 or $110,000 zone for a clearer trend direction.
VANTAGE:BTCUSDLong
by artschweizch
1
Bitcoin Gann Cycle Projection: 2025 Top Near 0.75?This chart applies the Gann Square of 9 over the last three Bitcoin cycles, each normalized in both time and price using log scale. 🔹 Cycle Durations: 1st cycle: 1064 days 2nd cycle: 1064 days Current (projected): 1064 days 🔹 Cycle Tops by Time Division (of full Gann square): Cycle 1 top: ~0.125 (1/8) Cycle 2 top: ~0.382 (between 0.382 and 0.5) Current cycle (2025) is projected to top near 0.75 (3/4), which historically marks the later phases of Gann harmonic progression. 🔹 Price-Time Symmetry: All three cycles align with the Gann square grid, showing how BTC tends to follow harmonic time levels: 0.125 0.25 0.382 0.5 0.618 0.75 (projected top) 🌀 This follows a 1 → 3 → 6 harmonic expansion sequence, reflecting Gann’s time geometry more than Fibonacci. 📅 Projected top timing: Around October 20, 2025 💰 Potential price zone: ~$124,000, intersecting Gann resistance at the 0.75 time level.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by msezng
1
BTCUSD Breakdown Incoming? 4H Chart Flags Key Bearish Entry🔵 Entry Point (Sell Limit / Market Entry) • Around $104,600 – $104,700 This area aligns with the retest of the descending trend line and a weak resistance zone. Price is reacting negatively after hitting this level. 🟥 Stop Loss • $107,060 Placed just above the weak resistance. This protects the trade in case price breaks structure and invalidates the bearish setup. 🟩 Take Profit Targets 1. TP1: $101,818 (Support 1) o First major support zone; price has bounced here previously. 2. TP2: $98,020 (Support 2) o Deeper support and more aggressive target. Aligned with previous wick lows. 🔺 Chart Observations • Trend Line: Still intact and respected. Price rejected it on the latest retest. • Structure: Lower highs and lower lows show bearish momentum. • Volume/Volatility: Tapering candles around resistance indicate weakening bullish attempts. • Risk-to-Reward o TP1 R:R ≈ 1.3:1 o TP2 R:R ≈ 2.5:1+ ⚠️ Scalper Note If you’re trading this as a scalp, consider securing partial profits at TP1 and moving SL to breakeven to protect gains. Volatility around macro events or news (like the red event icons near June 3–5) could trigger wicks. Would you like me to add RSI, MACD, or EMA confluence to strengthen the setup further?
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by SupertradeOfficial
1
$BTC outlook, TOP or NOT?!Today someone said to me: Bitcoin is not performing well. And I open the charts and see it at almost ATH. We barely missed the longterm target by less than 1% and we have a similar situation like in $SPY. I have reasons to be bullish. I have a voice which is getting cautious, at least if we dont stay up this month. Worst case would be a drop under 90k, it would mark the top for a longer time in my eyes. Against all the sayings 'its healthy if we go down, after we can have a rally', my opinion is: we should stay UP this month - then we can flash a longterm trend (until end of nov, a bit longer than AMEX:SPY ) and end up in a range from 155k to 260k. Im just long spot and my capacity is maxed out for crypto (Im long BITSTAMP:ETHUSD and BITSTAMP:BTCUSD only), IF we get a bullish continuation in weekly (which will be clear over next 2 weeks) I go trough NASDAQ:MSTR into more exposure, even if I hate the stock. My outlook right now: if we can stay up this month we will probably get a nice rally and top end of year. I hope Im right. best wishes for your trades and risk management, peace!
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by TiMMiT
1
Critical Support Test for Bitcoin: 100K Holding or Breaking? Dear Traders, Bitcoin's previous support level of 106,000.00 has now been broken, turning it into a resistance point. At this moment, Bitcoin is at a critical stage, and the most important support level is 100,000.00. In this zone, rather than opening a position, it is wiser to observe carefully. If the 100,000.00 support level breaks, I will provide you with a downward target. If Bitcoin holds at this level and finds support, I will share an upward target. Right now, Bitcoin is choosing its direction. Will the whales push the price up with their purchases, or drive it down with their sales? We have to watch patiently, like a hunter, to see how this unfolds.👀 Each and every one of you is incredibly valuable to me! I am always working hard to bring you the most accurate and insightful analysis. A huge thank you to everyone who supports my work by leaving likes.🙏
CAPITALCOM:BTCUSD
by TraderTilki
2
Bitcoin Breaks below $102,500 Support : Watch For RejectionIf you have been following my research on Bitcoin, you already know I published a prediction of a Double-Top pattern and a potential breakdown in Bitcoin on May 20, 2025. TradingView selected this video as an Editor's Pick and it received thousands of views. Thank you for all the great comments and questions from everyone. Now, after about 3+ Weeks, we are starting to see BTCUSD move below my $102,500 support level (my breakdown level) and this could be the start of a broad downward price phase for BTCUSD and US/Global assets. If you have followed any of my longer-term research, you'll quickly understand why I believe the US markets will struggle through most of 2025 as the world attempts to adjust to Trump leadership. This uncertainty will likely result in a sideways-consolidation phase in many global markets and a disruption of hard and soft assets. In this regard, you can read the content of my original post (May 20). Right now, I want to warn you that an immediate price rejection of the breakdown move is likely - possibly targeting $105k or higher. This type of rejection is very common before price makes a much bigger move. So, be prepared for BTCUSD to attempt to reject and move back above $105k, then stall and break downward very hard - trying to move below $80k in an initial downward price phase. It's going to be very interesting to see how this plays out with my broad cycle research. I'm still expecting a July 2025 and October 2025 MAJOR LOW cycle phase to play out. Buckle up. Get some #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
1
BITCOIN No different than all the Bullish Legs since 2023!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has just completed a Golden Cross on the 1D time-frame, the 4th such pattern since February 05 2023. All those Golden Crosses have been formed marginally after the Channel Up bottoms and start of their respective Bullish Legs. The current pattern is no different than any other of those Bullish Legs. On top of that, the 1W MACD has also formed its usual Bullish Cross that has technically always preceded the 1D Golden Cross. Given that, when this happens, BTC tends to be at least near the 0.5 Fibonacci level from the eventual top, we can estimate that the next peak might be around $165000. This is another indicator that makes our $150k Target for this Cycle more than realistic. But what do you think? Are you also expecting the market to explode past $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
16
Bitcoin Wyckoff Distribution Complete – Markdown Phase Ahead?This chart is a technical analysis of **Bitcoin (BTC/USD)** on the **4-hour timeframe** from Binance, illustrating **Wyckoff Market Cycle Phases** applied to recent price action. ### 🧠 Chart Description: The chart identifies and labels key **Wyckoff phases**: * **Accumulation (April)**: Price consolidates in a range after a downtrend. This phase marks strong hands accumulating Bitcoin from weak hands. * **Reaccumulation (late April to early May)**: A bullish continuation pattern where the price pauses temporarily before resuming the uptrend. * **Distribution (mid-May)**: The price enters another consolidation phase, but this time smart money begins offloading holdings at elevated prices to retail traders. ### 📉 Projected Move: * A breakdown below the current support is anticipated, leading to a **markdown phase**. * The red path suggests a significant decline, potentially toward the **\$85,000–\$90,000 range**, indicating bearish momentum. * After the markdown, **accumulation is expected to resume**, setting the stage for the next potential markup. ### 📊 Supporting Visual: On the right side, there's a reference schematic titled **“Market Phases” by Readtheticker.com**, which summarizes: * Accumulation → Markup → Distribution → Markdown → Accumulation cycle. * It also highlights buying/selling pressure dynamics and behavioral patterns at each phase. ---
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Ttrade-With-Logic
1
BTCUSD NEXT MOVE (EXPECTING MILD BEARISH)(28-05-2025)Go through the analysis carefully, and do trade accordingly. (TODAY ANALYSIS IS LOW ACURACY ANALYSIS) Anup 'BIAS for BTCUSD (28-05-2025) (SHORT TERM) Current price- 109000 "if Price stay below 1,10,000 then next target is 1,08,000, 1,07,000 and 1,06,000 above that 1,11,000. -POSSIBILITY-1 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening ) -POSSIBILITY-2 Wait (as geopolitical situation are worsening) Best of luck Never risk 2% of principal to follow any position. Support us by liking and sharing the post.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by AnupZiddi
46