BTCUSD Downside - Is Yesterday the swing high?Yesterday closed bearish, and there is a trendline break pattern suggesting a bears to enter the market.
Watching the recent two days low, if we can make a break below 83K then it should be clear sailing to the 80K mark.
Alternatively, a break above yesterdays high would signal further buying.
Watch this space!
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Short on BTCUSDBitcoin (BTC/USD) – Bearish Outlook Amid Economic Uncertainty
We anticipate a short-term bearish trend for BTC/USD, driven by escalating economic concerns and the recent resurgence of trade tensions. The imposition of new tariffs has negatively impacted market sentiment, contributing to downward pressure on Bitcoin. The current price structure also suggests limited bullish momentum, favoring another potential sell-off.
From a technical perspective, forming a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic pattern further supports the expectation of a downward move.
Trade Setup:
Entry Level: 84,500
Take Profit 1: 78,500
Take Profit 2: 74,500
We recommend monitoring macroeconomic developments closely, as further deterioration could accelerate the bearish trend.
BTCUSDBitcoin is currently trading near 84,949 after a strong rally, now approaching a critical order block resistance near86,000. While the overall structure remains bullish, the chart signals a potential shift in market behavior—creating a clear discrepation between price structure and projected move.
Discrepation Breakdown:
1. Rising Trend vs. Order Block Reaction
- Expected: Uptrend to continue, breaking through the resistance zone.
- Actual: Price is hesitating and forming a double-top structure inside the order block, hinting at buyer exhaustion.
- Discrepation: A bullish structure failing to maintain momen…
- Recent candles show weak buying volume near the top despite higher prices.
- Discrepation: Price is rising, but volume is not supporting it—bearish divergence, weakening the bullish outlook.
4. Fair Value Gap (FVG) Overlap
- FVG zone around 82.2k aligns with the bearish target, giving confidence to downside movement.
- Market may seek to fill that gap, creating a conflict with the bullish price structure currently visible.
Discrepation Summary Table:
| Technical Element | Market Expectation | Observed Conflict
| Uptrend + Higher Highs | Continuation toward 86,000+ | Double-top …
Although Bitcoin remains in a short-term uptrend, this chart shows clear bearish discrepation. The failure to break the order block, combined with volume divergence and trendline pressure, suggests a potential drop toward $82,232, especially if price confirms the double-top and breaks the ascending trendline.
Would you like a short version of this for social media captions too?
BTC - Has the market stopped falling?Ive been looking for a bottom at FWB:73K -72k for some time. We saw $74,400 and I'm not sure that was THE low. And now we have begun what looks like a false break out. The price is good, but the wave structure is all wrong. In this would be strong counter wave rally we could see prices to around $98,400. Its time to close the shorts, and open the longs but stay very vigilant as this is not another bull leg that leads to a new high. ( In my opinion) It is a decent opportunity to make some money on the long side, but at the end of this rally, I would be opening shorts again. Ill keep posting as developments occur. Prices above $87,600 are very bullish.
BTCUSD 4/13/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you an outstanding update to his previous Analysis. Showing that Price did in fact do exactly what he said it was about to do. But this next Analysis is a Jaw Dropper! Tune in to find out this MEGA MOVE that Price is gearing up for.
_SnipeGoat_
_TheeCandleReadingGURU_
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Bitcoin Testing the Gaussian Midline – Bounce or Starts Reversal🟡 Weekly Macro View – Gaussian Channel Holds the Truth
The Gaussian Channel on the weekly chart is painting a high-risk environment:
* Price is hovering below the Gaussian midline, which is currently acting as dynamic resistance at ~$84K.
* A red Gaussian channel is flashing caution — these phases typically indicate distribution or early-stage downtrends.
* BTC previously lost the mean and retested the lower channel, bouncing aggressively off the ~ FWB:73K region — this bounce is the first sign of life, but it’s not confirmation of a trend reversal yet.
What to watch this week:
* If BTC can reclaim the Gaussian mean and close above ~$85K with strong volume, we may see a macro reversal pattern forming.
* However, another rejection from the midline would point to a slow bleed down toward FWB:73K and possibly the lower channel edge near $63K–$65K.
🧭 Weekly Bias:
Cautiously Bearish — Price is below the Gaussian midline in a red channel. Reclaiming $85K flips the tone.
⚠️ Daily Chart View – Bearish Control, Weak Bounce
The daily chart confirms short-term bearish pressure is still intact:
* BTC remains within a down-sloping channel and is struggling to break through key lower highs.
* Volume footprint shows no major demand spike — each bounce is getting sold into.
* The trendlines drawn from recent highs form a clear wedge; price is compressing, signaling a big move is coming.
Support/Resistance Zones:
* ⚔️ Resistance: $84K–$85K
* 🛡️ Support: $80K > $73.6K major zone > $69.9K panic support
* 📉 If we lose $80K again, a retest of $73.6K is very likely.
* 📈 If bulls push above $85K, BTC could rally quickly toward $92K.
What to look for this week:
* A daily close above the upper trendline of the channel on rising volume = first bullish signal.
* A daily lower high + lower low continuation below $80K confirms bears still in charge.
🧠 Final Thoughts – Strategy This Week
BTC is caught in a macro correction but trying to build a base. The Gaussian Channel on the weekly says we're in a danger zone, but the daily shows traders testing the bears’ strength.
🧩 My read:
* Swing traders: Wait for daily close above $85K before going heavy long.
* Scalp traders: Monitor $80K– GETTEX:82K for bounce-to-fade plays.
* HODLers: Prepare for longer consolidation — weekly Gaussian phases take time to resolve.
🧠 This is a "watch, not chase" environment. Let the breakout confirm — not predict.
What to expect from the markets this weekWith markets taking a break from the US and China going off on each other for 5 days straight, investors are bracing for a potentially turbulent week ahead.
Cryptocurrencies seem to have recovered a large chunk of their losses from the first week of April, but how long can we expect this upward reversal to last?
Well, if we're being realistic, not long . If you take a look at the price charts of most cryptocurrencies, you'll notice a common theme: we're in a mid- to long-term downtrend.
If you've been trading cryptocurrencies (or any other type of security) for a while, you're probably familiar with the saying that goes “ The trend is your friend ”. With that in mind, if you're looking to hold any short-term crypto trades, shorts might offer better, less-risky opportunities.
Now's not the time to panic and FOMO into the market. Big players are still looking to shake weak hands out of the market. My advice: Observe market fluctuations through the first days of the week before committing your money to any trade.
69K Or 95kI think this is a crucial time for crypto, both technically and fundamentally, but I’ll be focusing on the technical side. Price needs to break above the upper resistance trend line for btc to break out of a descending channel. If btc fails to break above the channel, then it may head for a double bottom or back down to the support trend line of the descending channel. My thoughts are we will see a break out soon, but that’s only my opinion and not a fact.
B/$This is my expectation for next week
The waves have shifted a bit, but the direction is the same for now
...
I will open positions against the trend in both directions and rely on the reversal to take me to +
It is unlikely that we will see a price above 100k in the next month.
I think the range will continue for a long time.
Time to get Bitcoin Range in perspective again -where are we ?
This chart clearly shows us where BTC PA is in relation to the ATH it created in Early 2025.
PA sits just above centre line of current Lower range box.
There is still a Long way to go, against some strong resistance, to get back into the upper Range box and to that ATH line
We will manage it, I have no doubt about that But we may get to top of current Range box and be rejected before that time comes.
There are a number of different scenarios that exist right now and it is next to impossible to pin point when we may reach higher, to a New ATH.
My Feeling is that we will hit top of this current range box in the near future ( in april )
From that point, we have to weigh up the Macro and Sentiments of Markets and see.
But for now, Bitcoin PA is with Strength and has tha bility to reach higher.
I am still Bullish fora Cycle ATH in Q4
Bitcoin Cyclical Pattern Analysis: 2017 vs 2025-2026The charts provide compelling evidence of fractal patterns between Bitcoin's 2017 bull run and the current 2025 cycle, revealing both striking similarities and meaningful differences in market behavior.
Key Similarities
Both periods display remarkably similar structural patterns with consistent sequence of movements:
Initial pulldowns (~34% in 2017 vs ~33% in 2025)
Series of uptrends followed by corrective pullbacks
Progressive upward momentum with higher highs and higher lows
Similar number of major price waves (four significant uptrends in each case)
Key Differences
Timeframe Extension: The 2025 cycle shows significantly extended durations compared to
2017
Initial pulldown: 3 weeks (2017) vs 21 weeks (2025) – 7x longer
First major uptrend: 12 weeks (2017) vs 11 weeks (2025) – similar duration
Second uptrend: 12 weeks (2017) vs 14 weeks (2025) – slightly longer
Overall cycle progression is approximately 2-3x longer
Magnitude Reduction: The 2025 cycle shows diminished percentage movements:
First major uptrend: 230% (2017) vs 120% (2025) – roughly half
Second uptrend: 172% (2017) vs 85% (2025) – roughly half
Final uptrend: 253% (2017) vs 125% (2025) – roughly half
Technical Analysis Support
This pattern correlation would likely be supported by other technical indicators:
Bollinger Bands would show:
Similar pattern of band expansion during strong directional moves
Band contraction during consolidation periods before breakouts
2025 likely exhibiting less volatility (narrower bands) but with similar repeating patterns of price touching upper bands during uptrends and lower bands during corrections
Ichimoku Cloud would demonstrate:
Similar cloud breakout patterns preceding major uptrends
Price respecting key Ichimoku components (Tenkan-sen, Kijun-sen) as support/resistance
2025 showing extended time within the cloud during longer consolidation periods
Similar bullish/bearish crossovers of the conversion and base lines, but occurring over longer timeframes
Predictive Value
This comparative lens offers valuable predictive power for several reasons:
Market Psychology Consistency: Despite Bitcoin's maturation, market psychology (fear, greed cycles) remains remarkably consistent, expressed through similar percentage retracements and fractal patterns.
Macro Context Integration: The longer durations and reduced volatility in 2025 reflect Bitcoin's increased market capitalization and institutional adoption, creating a logical evolution of the same underlying patterns.
Specific Forecasting Application: If the pattern correlation holds, we might anticipate:
The current cycle extending into mid-2026
One more major uptrend followed by a 30-40% correction
A final explosive move of approximately 125-150%
Total cycle appreciation significantly less than 2017 but still substantial
Risk Management Framework: These patterns provide clear pivot points for position sizing and risk management, with defined percentage targets and timeframes.
This analysis suggests we're witnessing an evolved expression of the same market dynamics that drove the 2017 cycle, with the extended timeframes and reduced percentage movements reflecting Bitcoin's maturation as an asset class while maintaining its fundamental cyclical character.RetryClaude can make mistakes. Please double-check responses.
Bitcoin: it’s a crossDuring the first week of the general market sell-off, two weeks ago, the crypto market was sort of left behind investors' attention. However, the previous week brought some negative movements at the beginning of the week, which were diminished as of the weekend. The problem of margin calls from other traditional markets affected the crypto market at the start of the week. BTC reached its lowest weekly level at $74.860. The second half of the week was supported by news of tariffs delay for 90 days, in which sense, the market optimism was back, as well as the price of BTC. At the Saturday trading session, BTC tested the resistance line at $85K.
The RSI is still struggling to pass the 50 level. During Saturday, RSI reached the 52 level, but it still does not provide a clear signal that the market is heading toward the overbought market side. The most important weekly development was with MA 50 and MA 200 lines. These two MAs created a cross, where MA 50 crossed the MA 200 from the upper side and is currently moving below the MA200 level. In a technical analysis this is called the “dead cross” indicating probability that the uptrend is exhausted.
The current general volatility in markets might still not be over, simply because it is driven by Government narrative related to tariffs, which is quite changeable on a daily basis. Markets have never been happy with uncertainty. To which extent this uncertainty will be transferred to the crypto market is hard to predict at this moment. Some indications of the recovery are modestly seen on charts. However, the question at this moment is whether this is a sustainable recovery? It is positive that BTC headed to test the $85K resistance level. In case that it is broken to the upside, the BTC will seek higher grounds, around the $ 87K and $90K resistance. However, the move toward the opposite side might bring BTC back toward the $ 83K or $80K support levels. Both options are currently open, because the market is not driven by actual sentiment, but the fear of potential consequences from tariff wars.
What now BTC?This fibonacchi spiral i drew on #bitcoin chart based on nikkei crash, says many things. Look, how this fib. spiral played out perfectly on #btcusd .Spiral revels the confirmation of grand correction of summer 2024, the top of the elections rally in Jan 2025 and price declinations to present. Now, #btc price is about to decide the the path. An incoming trend reversal or correction continuation to 66K?
Well.. There are some positive and negative facts on market. To think positive, 74K may be the tariff capitulation played in, markets eager to normalize, gold top may be in etc. A bullish divergence has formed in lower time frame CRYPTOCAP:BTC chart.
So, BTC must crush 91K with permanent daily and weekly closes. Losing 73K will deepen the correction.
Not financial advice.
Bitcoin Price Movement Analysis Current Situation Price: $84,721This is AI created analyses, not a trading recommendation. You act at your own risk
EMA:
Technical Analysis
Elliott Wave Theory
The chart shows a completed corrective ABC structure:
Wave (c) concluded near $75,000, which may act as a key support level.
A new upward impulse could form if Bitcoin breaks above $90,000.
Short-Term Strategy
Monitor the $85,000 level (EMA 38):
A sustained move above this level could justify entering long positions targeting $90,000.
Set a stop-loss below $80,000 to minimize risks.
If Bitcoin breaks $90,000:
This would confirm the start of a new upward impulse.
Targets: $100,000 and beyond.
Medium-Term Strategy
Wait for a breakout above EMA 162 ($86,600):
A price consolidation above this line would be a strong signal for continued growth.
Consider holding positions until levels of $110,000–$120,000.
If the price drops below $75,000:
This would confirm the continuation of the bearish trend.
Consider short positions targeting $65,000.
Support and Resistance Levels
Support: $75,000 and $80,000.
Resistance: $85,000 (EMA 38), $90,000, and $100,000.
Conclusion
Bitcoin is in a transitional phase between correction and the potential start of a new bullish cycle. Key levels to watch are EMA 38 ($85,000) and EMA 162 ($86,600). Traders are advised to act cautiously and use stop-loss orders to protect capital while monitoring critical breakout points.