BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC - NEW ATH COMING W MORE DETAILS Adding more detail to the current forecast. I originally had this a short opportunity at or near $104,500 or so. But I have modified that to safer played as a sell - $105,000 - $106,400 and then stand to the side, and buy back lower , near $96,400 - $95,900 for what then becomes an ATH. This could be risky for home gamers, so handle your own dreams accordingly. In the end, this resolves higher, not lower and below $83,000 as I had originally thought. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave, and Gonzalez wave systems being employed. Comments and Dms always welcome. Good luck!
BTC Flag Formation Showing Signs of Weakness – Bearish Move Load“Been watchin’ this here price action dance within a fine-lookin’ upward flag for a spell now. Marked her clean—upper bound, lower bound—like a gentleman watches over his estate. But I do declare, this structure’s lookin’ mighty tired. Reckon a bearish drop’s comin’ ‘round the bend real soon. Y’all best be ready.”
Bless Trading!
BTCMost will say the cycle just starting.
The top will most likely be in next month in June.. if so those that called this a 2017 rally was more than correct. Even XRP moved like 2017.
BTC/USD Market Snapshot – May 12, 2025📊BTC/USD Market Snapshot – May 12, 2025
🔹Current Price: 104,103.42
🔹Timeframe: 1H
📌Key Demand Zone (Support):
🟢 102,322–102,505 – Clean base of the bullish impulse; price respecting this zone multiple times
📈Bullish Outlook:
Price is consolidating in a tight range after a strong impulsive move. As long as the 102,322 zone holds, BTC remains bullish. Break above recent highs could target 105,000+.
📉Bearish Scenario:
If price breaks and closes below the 102,322–102,505 demand zone, expect deeper correction toward 101,000 and 99,800 levels.
⚠️FX Tip:
✅ Use LTF confirmation (5M–15M BOS/CHoCH) for entries
✅ Avoid chasing breakouts – wait for retest
✅ Maintain clear RR plan with tight stops
#BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #PriceAction #SmartMoney #IntradayTrading #FXFOREVER #CryptoSetup #DemandZone
Possibility of uptrend It is expected that after consolidation above the green support zone, the upward trend will continue. If the support zone is broken, the continuation of the correction will be likely.
Bitcoin long term Wave counts Alt season is starting. Here is my prediction for bitcoins retracement thru its ABC waves using Elliot wave theory, also based on past cycles.
I think bitcoin will bottom at around $37,000.
BTCUSD technical analysis.The chart you shared shows a technical analysis for Bitcoin (BTC) against the US Dollar (USD) on a 1-hour timeframe from the BITSTAMP exchange.
Key Points:
1. Current Price: Around 104,150, with a slight decline of 0.63%.
2. Support and Resistance:
Strong resistance is marked near the 105,000 level, which is also the suggested target.
Intermediate support levels are shown at approximately 104,000 and 103,500.
3. Trend Indication:
The green zigzag line suggests a potential bullish movement after a minor pullback, targeting the 105,000 mark.
The overall sentiment appears cautiously bullish, with the expectation of a breakout above the resistance if the pattern holds.
Would you like an analysis of potential trading strategies based on this chart?
Btc fib levels Btc has hit 105042 level after dipping down to 103820 104367 levels we will see if we can get a clean close above 105042 level if not we will continue at these levels until a breakout
Bullish Tide: Are Bears Drowning as $31M Shorts VanishBullish Tide: Are Bears Drowning as FWB:31M Shorts Vanish and "Price Discovery 2" Looms?
The cryptocurrency landscape is once again electric with anticipation, and at the heart of this renewed fervor stands Bitcoin. As of May 2025, the prevailing winds appear to be firmly in the sails of the bulls. A cascade of recent market events, headlined by a dramatic $31 million liquidation of Bitcoin short positions, is sending a stark warning to pessimistic speculators. This, coupled with compelling technical analysis suggesting that Bitcoin must close the week above a crucial level to initiate 'price discovery 2', paints a picture of a market on the brink of a potentially explosive upward trajectory.
This isn't merely about fleeting price surges. Underlying these market dynamics is a growing conviction that Bitcoin doesn’t need to change; the world does. While critics often call for Bitcoin to become "faster, cheaper, greener," a powerful counter-narrative champions its existing, robust design as a solution to the inherent weaknesses of traditional systems. Adding fuel to this bullish fire is the subtle but significant trend of Bitcoin’s Quiet Coup, as wealth funds methodically build up their holdings. Furthermore, market sentiment indicators like Bitcoin funding rates remaining positive on major exchanges like Binance seem to confirm a strong, underlying uptrend. Are Bitcoin bears truly losing out, and are we witnessing the dawn of a new era for the king of cryptocurrencies?
The Cost of Doubt: $31 Million in BTC Shorts Wiped Out
The unforgiving nature of leveraged trading in the cryptocurrency markets was recently laid bare with the news that a staggering $31 million in Bitcoin short positions were liquidated. This event serves as a potent illustration of the risks involved in betting against Bitcoin's momentum, especially in the current climate.
Short selling in the crypto sphere, much like in traditional markets, involves traders borrowing Bitcoin, selling it with the expectation that its price will fall, and then planning to buy it back at a lower price to profit from the difference. However, the crypto markets are known for their high volatility and the widespread use of leverage, particularly in perpetual futures contracts. Leverage allows traders to control a much larger position than their initial capital would normally allow, amplifying potential profits but also, crucially, potential losses.
When the market moves sharply against a leveraged short position – meaning Bitcoin's price surges upwards – traders can face a margin call. If they cannot add more funds to cover their mounting losses, the exchange automatically closes their position to prevent further debt. This forced closure is a liquidation. The $31 million wipeout signifies that a substantial volume of bets on Bitcoin's price decline was overwhelmed by a potent wave of buying pressure.
This mass liquidation event has several implications. Firstly, it inflicts significant financial pain on those who were positioned for a downturn, effectively Bitcoin bears losing out on their wagers. Secondly, these forced closures inherently involve buying Bitcoin to cover the short positions, which paradoxically adds more fuel to the upward price movement. This can trigger a "short squeeze," where rising prices force more shorts to cover, leading to further liquidations and an accelerated price rally. Such events bolster bullish sentiment, demonstrating underlying market strength and deterring further aggressive short selling. It’s a clear signal that the market's undercurrent was far more robust than the bears had anticipated.
On the Cusp of a New Frontier: The Critical Weekly Close and "Price Discovery 2"
The excitement among Bitcoin proponents is palpable, with many analysts asserting that Bitcoin bulls are on the cusp of launching the market back to all-time highs and beyond. Central to this optimistic outlook is the focus on an upcoming, crucial weekly close. According to prevailing technical analysis, Bitcoin must close the week above a specific, strategically important price level to start 'price discovery 2'.
"Price discovery" is the process by which market participants determine the fair value of an asset through their buying and selling activities. When an asset like Bitcoin surpasses its previous all-time high (ATH), it enters a phase where historical resistance levels cease to exist. This is true price discovery – the market is venturing into uncharted territory, with no past price ceilings to act as psychological or technical barriers. "Price Discovery 1" can be considered Bitcoin's journey to its previous peak (around $69,000 in November 2021). The term "Price Discovery 2" thus implies a new, sustained bull run that would take Bitcoin significantly beyond that former zenith.
The significance of a "weekly close" above a key resistance level cannot be overstated in technical analysis. Weekly charts smooth out short-term noise and are often seen as better indicators of major trend shifts. A decisive weekly close above, say, the previous ATH or a major interim peak, would be a powerful confirmation for many traders and investors that the bulls are firmly in control. It would invalidate bearish scenarios that predicted a rejection at these upper levels and would likely attract a fresh wave of capital into the market.
Several potent catalysts could fuel this ascent into "Price Discovery 2." The quadrennial Bitcoin halving event, the most recent of which occurred in April 2024, historically constricts the new supply of Bitcoin, often leading to significant price appreciation in the months and years that follow as demand outstrips this reduced supply. Continued institutional adoption, evidenced by wealth funds accumulating Bitcoin, provides a steady stream of large-scale buying pressure. Furthermore, a challenging macroeconomic environment, characterized by persistent inflation in major fiat currencies or geopolitical uncertainties, can enhance Bitcoin's appeal as a non-sovereign store of value and a hedge against systemic risks. Should Bitcoin achieve this critical weekly close and embark on "Price Discovery 2," the upside could be substantial, as the market seeks to establish a new equilibrium in uncharted price territory.
The Unwavering Standard: Bitcoin Doesn’t Need to Change, The World Does
Amidst the price charts and market analyses, a more profound narrative is solidifying: Bitcoin doesn’t need to change; the world does. For years, critics have argued that Bitcoin should be faster, cheaper, greener, often comparing its transaction throughput or energy consumption to centralized payment networks or newer, less proven blockchain protocols. However, an increasing number of proponents argue that maybe the point isn’t to fix Bitcoin. Maybe it’s to fix everything else with Bitcoin.
This perspective champions Bitcoin's core attributes – often perceived as limitations by detractors – as its most vital strengths:
• Unparalleled Decentralization: Bitcoin operates on a globally distributed network with no single point of control. This makes it resistant to censorship, shutdown, or manipulation by any government or corporation. In an age of increasing financial surveillance and control, this is a feature, not a bug.
• Robust Security and Immutability: The Proof-of-Work (PoW) consensus mechanism, while energy-intensive, is what underpins Bitcoin's formidable security. The immense computational power dedicated to mining creates an economic fortress around the network, making its transaction history virtually tamper-proof. While the "greener" argument often pushes for alternatives like Proof-of-Stake (PoS), many believe PoW offers a unique level of objective security crucial for a global store of value. Moreover, the narrative around Bitcoin's energy use is evolving, with increasing adoption of renewable and stranded energy sources for mining, and a growing recognition that its energy consumption is a worthwhile trade-off for securing a truly independent financial system.
• Absolute Scarcity: Bitcoin's supply is capped at 21 million coins, a hard-coded limit that cannot be altered. This programmatic scarcity makes it a powerful antidote to the inflationary pressures inherent in fiat currencies, which can be created limitlessly by central banks. This "digital gold" characteristic is fundamental to its value proposition.
• Layered Scaling: While the Bitcoin base layer prioritizes security and decentralization over raw transaction speed, innovation is flourishing on Layer 2 solutions like the Lightning Network. These protocols enable fast, low-cost transactions by batching them off-chain and settling them periodically on the main Bitcoin blockchain, thus allowing Bitcoin to scale for everyday payments without compromising its core principles.
The argument is that instead of trying to mold Bitcoin to fit the constraints of the old financial world, we should recognize how its unique properties can address the systemic flaws within that world – issues like inflation, financial exclusion, censorship, and counterparty risk. Bitcoin, in its current form, offers a radical, resilient alternative.
The Silent Infiltration: Wealth Funds Build Up Bitcoin Holdings
Further bolstering the bullish case is the ongoing, often understated, trend of Bitcoin’s Quiet Coup: Wealth Funds Build Up Holdings. This isn't about flashy headlines but rather a methodical, strategic accumulation of Bitcoin by sophisticated institutional investors, including pension funds, endowments, sovereign wealth funds, and large family offices.
These entities, traditionally conservative and managing trillions of dollars in assets, are increasingly allocating a portion of their portfolios to Bitcoin. Their motivations are manifold:
• Diversification: Bitcoin has historically exhibited low correlation with traditional assets like stocks and bonds, making it an attractive addition for enhancing portfolio risk-adjusted returns.
• Inflation Hedge: In an environment of persistent global inflation, Bitcoin's finite supply positions it as a potential store of value, a digital hedge against currency debasement.
• Asymmetric Upside: Even a small allocation to Bitcoin can offer significant upside potential, an appealing proposition for large funds seeking growth.
• Growing Regulatory Clarity and Infrastructure: The approval of Bitcoin ETFs in major jurisdictions like the U.S. has provided regulated and accessible avenues for institutional investment, alongside the development of institutional-grade custody and trading solutions.
This "Quiet Coup" signifies a maturing perception of Bitcoin, moving it from a speculative niche asset to a legitimate component of institutional investment strategy. The steady inflow of significant capital from these large players not only provides price support but also lends credibility and encourages further adoption, potentially reducing long-term volatility as more Bitcoin is held by entities with long-term horizons.
Reading the Bullish Tea Leaves: Bitcoin Funding Rates Remain Positive
Adding another layer of confirmation to the prevailing bullish sentiment is the observation that Bitcoin Funding Rates Remain Positive On Binance — Strong Uptrend Confirmed? Funding rates are a key mechanism in cryptocurrency perpetual futures markets, designed to keep the price of the perpetual contract aligned with the spot price of the underlying asset.
When funding rates are positive, it generally means that traders holding long positions (betting on a price increase) are paying a premium to those holding short positions. This indicates a higher demand for long leverage, reflecting overall bullish sentiment in the derivatives market. Consistently positive funding rates on a major exchange like Binance, which boasts significant trading volume, suggest that this optimism is sustained. It implies that traders are confident enough in Bitcoin's upward trajectory to pay a recurring fee to maintain their leveraged long positions.
While extremely high funding rates can sometimes signal an over-leveraged market ripe for a correction (a "long squeeze"), moderately and persistently positive rates, as currently observed, are often interpreted as a healthy sign of a strong and well-supported uptrend. It suggests that the rally is not just speculative froth but is backed by conviction among active traders.
Conclusion: A Perfect Storm for Bitcoin's Next Chapter?
As May 2025 progresses, the confluence of factors points towards a potentially transformative period for Bitcoin. The $31 million decimation of short positions serves as a stark reminder of the perils of underestimating Bitcoin's strength. The market's eager anticipation of a weekly close that could unlock "Price Discovery 2" highlights the potent bullish technical setup. This is further reinforced by the fundamental conviction that Bitcoin's core design is its ultimate strength, offering solutions the traditional financial world desperately needs.
The quiet, strategic accumulation by wealth funds injects not only capital but also a profound sense of legitimacy, while positive funding rates reflect a confident and sustained bullish sentiment among active traders. While the path ahead will undoubtedly feature volatility – a characteristic inherent to Bitcoin's journey – the current alignment of technical indicators, institutional adoption, strong market sentiment, and a compelling fundamental narrative suggests that Bitcoin bears may indeed be losing out, and significantly so. The stage appears set for Bitcoin to not only challenge its previous highs but to potentially embark on a new, exhilarating phase of growth and adoption, further solidifying its role in the evolving global financial order.
Bitcoin remains bullish across swing and long-term horizonsCRYPTOCAP:BTC - Bitcoin remains bullish across swing and long-term horizons, supported by strong institutional inflows, favorable macro tailwinds, and robust technical momentum. Short-term signals show mixed sentiment due to overbought conditions and minor bearish patterns.
🎯 Short-Term Tactics (Intraday: minutes–hours)
My bias is neutral to slightly bearish. Currently bearish divergence and range trading between 103,000 (support) and 105,000 (resistance). Close below 103,000 signals bearish continuation.
📅 Near-Term Outlook (Swing: days–weeks)
My bias is bullish, cautious due to overbought RSI.
Continued institutional inflows, Fed rate cut expectations, global liquidity injections.
Key Levels are support at 95,000; resistance at 105,000. Invalidation: Daily close below 95,000 flips bias bearish, indicating deeper correction. Buy dips toward support; avoid chasing at resistance.
🌐 Long-Term Thesis (Investment: months+)
My bias is strongly bullish - macro drivers are institutional adoption (record inflows), Fed dovish pivot expectations, global liquidity expansion (e.g., China RRR cut). Maintain or increase BTC exposure; consider incremental accumulation on pullbacks to support. Critical support at psychological 100,000 level. Invalidation: Weekly close below 100,000 or sustained reversal in institutional inflows.
Long-term bullish thesis remains intact unless macro or fund-flow regime materially changes.
Bitcoiin up trendBitcoin is gearing up to test its all-time highs, fueled by growing investor optimism and robust market momentum. Technical indicators and increasing institutional interest point to a potential breakout in the near term.
BTCUSD Key Levels – Massive Breakdown Imminent? Watch These ZoneBitcoin is currently consolidating in a tight range around $104,000, just below a major Supply Zone highlighted by the LuxAlgo Visible Range indicator. This could be the calm before the storm.
Here's what I'm seeing on the 15-min chart:
1. Supply Zone (Resistance Area):
104,000 - 105,000 range is acting as strong resistance.
Price has rejected multiple times from this level, showing seller strength.
Any breakout above must be confirmed with high volume.
2. Demand Zones (Potential Reversal Points):
99,280: First major support. If broken, could trigger a wave of selling.
94,210: Strong historical demand zone + previous accumulation area. A high-probability bounce could occur here.
Orange zone: Indicates a volume gap – a drop through this area could be swift.
3. Trade Setup Idea:
Short-term bias: Bearish if price stays under 104K.
Entry idea: Wait for a clear breakdown candle below 99,280, then look to short with a target at 94,210.
Risk management: Stop loss just above the 104K supply zone.
4. Watch for This Catalyst:
U.S. economic data and CPI release on May 12 might fuel volatility. Combine technicals with the macro calendar!
5. What to Watch Next:
Bullish case: Break and retest above 104,500 with strong volume could trigger the next rally toward 108K.
Bearish case: Clean breakdown below 99,280 confirms sellers in control.
Strategic Analysis of Bitcoin for Next WeekRecently, Bitcoin has broken through the $100,000 mark, and its market dominance has risen to over 60%. Investors are highly bullish. Such a positive market sentiment is likely to attract more investors to enter the market, further driving up the price. 👉👉👉
In the short term, the price of Bitcoin has continuously broken through multiple key technical resistance levels. For example, on May 8th, it broke through the psychological barrier of $100,000, demonstrating strong bullish momentum. The market dominance has risen to over 60%, and investors are highly bullish. Such a positive market sentiment is likely to attract more investors to enter the market, further driving up the price.
BTCUSD Trading Strategy
buy @ 103500-103200
sl 101000
tp 104300-104600
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!👉👉👉
Summary of Bitcoin Last WeekThe overall trend of the Bitcoin market shows a pattern of "first decline and then rise". The price has continuously broken through several key technical resistance levels, strongly breaking through the psychological barrier of the $100,000 mark and reaching a new stage high.👉👉👉
With the rise in price, the hash price of Bitcoin has steadily rebounded and is approaching the high range of the past month, rising for several consecutive days, indicating that the market demand for computing power resources remains robust.
Overall, after the previous fluctuations, the Bitcoin market has demonstrated strong resilience and optimistic expectations under the dominance of the bulls in the recent period. However, the cryptocurrency market is highly uncertain and risky, and investors still need to approach it with caution.
If you approve of my analysis, you can give it a thumbs-up as support. If you have different opinions, you can leave your thoughts in the comments.Thank you!👉👉👉
BTCUSD Liquidationmove to All-Time-HighBitcoin moves with liquidity and will follow the path of maximum pain. An extension of the initial pump with fibonacci under consideration of the btc long short ratio in combination with liquidationlevels is showing this path, the path for maximum pain for retail.
XXBTCX4HThere are many variations of passages of Lorem Ipsum available, but the majority have suffered alteration in some form, by injected humour, or randomised words which don't look even slightly believable.
BTC Top/Bottom PredictionsThe idea here is knowing when to sell some btc during a cycle and when to buy back in during a crash. The lines are really solid compared to social media hype and theory and go back to 2018.
If you're a holder like me then perhaps you sell off 10-20% based on this chart, only to buy it back lower during the crash.
These redlines are major resistance. If it touches these red lines in 2025 then sell some, maybe 10% on each line.
Then you'll buy back BTC with the same money at whatever the price is when the lower chart purple line hits the green lines; which is where the BTC crash will almost have bottomed.
BITCOIN QUICK BUY Bitcoin will shoot back up once it breakout of the ascending triangle, but its a short term. Buy tho for those that use 5 to 30M Timeframe
Join me on this BUY
Bitcoin is expected to maintain its upward trend throughout nextAgainst the backdrop of an unstable global macro and geopolitical environment, the resilience of Bitcoin will continue to be tested. The escalating geopolitical tensions between India and Pakistan pose a risk of evolving into a full-scale conflict. Meanwhile, the Federal Reserve finds itself in a dilemma between employment and inflation and has no immediate intention of cutting interest rates. Although the Trump administration's tough rhetoric on tariffs has somewhat softened, the market is still awaiting a clear direction for its trade policy. Based on these factors, it is expected that Bitcoin is likely to continue to fluctuate within the range of $70,000 to $109,000 in the coming two months.
you are currently struggling with losses, or are unsure which of the numerous trading strategies to follow, at this moment, you can choose to observe the operations within our channel.
15 MINS - BTCUSD - INVERSE DOUBLE H&S FAILURE PATTERN. 📉 BITCOIN (BTC/USD) – Possible Breakdown Ahead | Inverse Double H&S Failure Pattern
Chart Overview:
Bitcoin has formed a rare and complex Inverse Double Head & Shoulders structure — typically a bullish reversal pattern. However, such extended and repeated formations tend to fail in most real-world scenarios and act as a reversal trap. This failure often leads to a sharp downside breakout, making it a powerful contrarian signal.
Key Observations:
Multiple Left and Right Shoulders signal pattern fatigue.
Lack of strong bullish momentum post neckline testing.
Price showing weakness near upper range resistance.
Bearish structure forming with potential breakdown path marked.
🔻 Bearish Scenario:
Expecting breakdown if neckline breaches with momentum:
Target 1: $99,998
Target 2: $97,210
⚠️ Confirmation Needed:
Watch for volume confirmation and neckline breach to enter.
Consider managing risk above the recent swing high near $105K.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Always do your own research and consult your financial advisor before making investment decisions.
#202519 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
#btcusd - bitcoin
comment: Can’t be anything but bullish. Weekly chart is clear as day and we are in the third leg up.
current market cycle: bull trend inside a big bull wedge and we are close to the top
key levels: 85k - 100k (if bears somehow manage to get below 85k again, we test 80k next)
bull case: Upside will likely be limited to something below 120000 but bulls are in full control until we print below a higher low again. Bulls want 110000 and then some. It’s a clear bull wedge and longs above 100000 are tough because stop has to be at least 97000. It looks like we could accelerate up and get to 110000 faster but betting on it is a bad strategy. Any decent pullback to 100000 or 98000 will most likely be bought.
Invalidation is below 96000.
bear case: Bears can scalp this at best but tough way to make a living. They are not doing much because most will wait for a new ath or at least let the market get closer to 109000 and see better selling pressure. We are at the top of a potential channel up but until bears print something below 102000 again, it would be gambling to hope for a better pullback to sell.
Invalidation is above 112000.
short term: Bullish but buying at the very top is tough. Any long 100000 or 98000 is likely good, if it’s not during a crazy strong bear spike.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-05-11: I expect a trading range 700000 - 100000 for longer. The current move above 100000 I see as a retest of the ath and it could overshoot but I doubt market can find acceptance there for longer. Only interested in shorts on anything above the 1h time frame.
