BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC/USD – Liquidity Sweep at Highs Signals Potential ReversalBTC/USD – 30-Minute Time Frame Analysis
On the 30-minute chart, BTC/USD has recently executed a liquidity sweep above the recent highs, triggering stop-losses on the sell side. This stop-hunt behavior often indicates exhaustion of bearish momentum and the potential for a reversal.
Given this development, a short opportunity is anticipated from the current region around 105600, with a clear invalidation level above the recent highs.
Entry 105600
Stop-Loss 106312
Target 104002
This setup is based on price action and liquidity dynamics, suggesting short-term bearish pressure following the stop-run.
Outlook: Bearish below 106312, targeting 104002 as the next key level of interest.
BTC July/August Top3 Drives Pattern (Mar 2024, Jan 2025)
Last Drive in July/August but leaning towards July
June 19th - 22nd for potential impulse
June 27th/28th for a local top into Early July Bottom | if Price is Bearish into these dates then Local Bottom
July 17th to 24th for Summer Top
Aug 3rd to 11th for a potential Local Bottom
Expected Top is 120k and up (Can be seen on Fibs) | 135k would be ideal
#202524 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
comment: Last week I printed another potential two-legged correction where the C would print a new ath. Bulls were to weak to even retest 112k and 110k was all they got. Now I do think there are many more reasons that this will be the mother of all doubles tops than any arguments for the bulls exist, how they could print a new ath. Structure is decent and market has spent many days at the top trying to continuing the trend. Confirmation is a daily close below 100k.
current market cycle: Broad bull channel on the weekly tf. Market is about to re-test the ath and will likely transition into a trading range afterwards or we are already in one.
key levels: 100k - 115k
bull case: Bulls are still hopeful, that’s why we are still above 110k but the next touch could break it and I doubt many will hold long or scale into new ones there. Best bulls can get right now is to go sideways for longer and stay above 100k. I mean… Staying above 100k is as bullish as it get’s if you be honest.
Invalidation is a daily close below 100k
bear case: Can we also get a new bear trend from 110k? We would need 4-5 consecutive daily bear closes for that. Right now bears are only getting 4 but prices is not moving much during those 4 and the bars are overlapping too much. Bulls are still hopeful. Bears need to do more if they want lower prices again. As of now bulls are favored to continue inside the given range.
Invalidation is above 113k
short term: Bearish with stop 113k. Will scale into shorts and take some profits around 100k until we see a big breakout below.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-08:
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-08: “Need to see a clear sign that bulls can not push it beyond 112k and once we turn again from closer to the ath, I will comment on bear targets for the next months.”
This was from last week and market provided this clear sign with the amazing double top but only a daily close below 100k is confirmation. First target below 100k is 97k the breakout retest and after that is the 50% retracement around 93000.
BTCUSD📈 Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Market Update
Current Price: $105,000.00
Outlook: Strongly Bullish
Bitcoin is currently trading at $105,000 and showing continued bullish momentum. Price action indicates strong demand at current levels, with technical structure suggesting potential for an explosive move upward.
Key Insight:
Buy pressure remains dominant, with no immediate signs of reversal. BTC is holding above key support zones and appears poised for a continuation rally.
📊 Trade Idea:
Bias: Long (Buy)
Entry Zone: Market Price (~$105,000)
Short-Term Targets:
🎯 Target 1: $110,000
🎯 Target 2: $120,000
🎯 Target 3: $130,000
Note: Monitor for consolidation above $105,000 as a base for further upside. Risk management remains essential—adjust stop-loss levels as per your strategy.
Middle East Tensions Drive Capital Shift: BTC May Test 100K SupCurrently, we can clearly see that BTC is in a downward trend 🔻. Due to the tense situation in the Middle East 😰, a large amount of capital has flowed into gold and crude oil markets. BTCUSD is likely to continue its downward movement on Monday ⬇️. Let's focus on the support level at 100,000. If it breaks below 100,000, it may continue to decline ⚠️.
⚡️⚡️⚡️ BTCUSD ⚡️⚡️⚡️
🚀 Sell@ 106500 - 105500
🚀 TP 102000 - 101000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟 👇
BITCOIN TOPPED. ELLIOT WAVE LONG Long term outlook of Bitcoin using EWT. I personally think Bitcoin has topped and the btc.d charts support it as well as the actual chart shown here. We’re beggining the massive correction as it did way back and I kept the ratios the same so after wave C next year or whenever, we can all buy btc at around 30k and ride the next waves up.
BTCUSD TRADING ROADMAP 16 - 22 JUNI 2025💹 BTCUSD TRADING ROADMAP – STRATEGY OUTLOOK 💹
BTCUSD is currently trading below Magnet Area (spH4) 106035.00 – 106931.00, and is showing potential for a retest toward Magnet Area (dmH4) 103579.00 – 102849.00.
As long as price holds above Magnet Area (dmD) 102098.00 – 97411.00, the market may resume bullish momentum toward the next Magnet Area (spH4) 110067.00 – 110412.00.
However, if price breaks below Magnet Area (dmH4) 103579.00 – 102849.00, a deeper drop may occur toward the next Magnet Area (dmH4) 100793.00 – 99880.00.
📌 Key Scenarios:
🔄 Retest zone: 103579 – 102849 (dmH4)
📈 Upside continuation: valid above 102098 – 97411 (dmD), target 110067 – 110412
📉 Bearish breakdown: below 102849 could trigger drop to 100793 – 99880
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This content is for educational purposes only and is not financial advice. Cryptocurrency trading carries a high level of risk. Always conduct your own analysis and apply proper risk management before entering any trade.
BTC Trading in a Range.Support & Resistance Levels:
R1: ~106,300
R2: ~109,000
R3: ~111,600
S1: ~102,800
S2: ~100,000
Bearish RSI Divergence
Price made higher highs earlier (around June 10-11).
RSI made lower highs, indicating bearish divergence.
Price Action
BTC bounced back from below S1 (~102,800) and is now hovering around R1 (~106,300).
If it breaks and sustains above R1, we could see a move toward R2 (109k).
However, failure at R1 can lead to a pullback to S1 or S2 levels.
Strategy Suggestions:
📌 If Bullish:
Wait for a clean breakout above R1 (~106,300) with volume.
Potential targets: R2 (109k) and R3 (111.6k).
📌 If Bearish:
If price fails to hold R1 and rejects, consider short opportunities.
Targets would be: S1 (102.8k) and S2 (100k).
Keep an eye on RSI — if it forms another divergence or crosses down the MA, bearish bias increases.
⚠️ Risk Factors:
BTC is still within a consolidation range between R1 and S1.
No clear breakout yet; be cautious with position sizing.
Watch for macroeconomic news/events, as they can spike volatility.
BTCUSD: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 105,670.43 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 106,057.41 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Ready for the plunge. Market meltdown incoming!⚠️ UPDATED ASSESSMENT - MAXIMUM RISK
Escalation Level: MAXIMUM RISK - The conflict has now reached unprecedented scale with 720+ military facilities attacked, confirmed US involvement, and potential for regional Islamic coalition forming against Israel.
Financial Market Risk: 95/100 - We are approaching systemic financial risk with oil supply chains threatened, nuclear facilities under massive attack, and potential for regional war involving multiple Islamic nations.
Critical Factors: Scale of destruction (170+ targets), nuclear program targeting (80+ sites), US military involvement confirmed, calls for Islamic unity, and expert warnings of broader regional war.
Immediate Concerns: Complete breakdown of Middle East oil supply, global energy crisis, nuclear contamination risks, and potential World War III scenario if regional Islamic coalition forms.
Bitcoin Weekly Analysis – Rising Risks Amid Geopolitical TensionBitcoin (BTC/USD) is currently navigating a critical zone. The market shows signs of weakening structure, with price failing to make higher highs and now hovering near a key support area within an ascending channel.
My projection indicates a potential retest of the mid-range support around $85,000. However, if this level fails to hold—especially under the weight of macroeconomic and geopolitical uncertainty—we may see a deeper correction toward the $70,000 zone and possibly even the long-term trendline support near $60,000.
One of the most concerning external factors influencing the market sentiment right now is the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran. With Israel reportedly conducting airstrikes over the weekend and Iran threatening retaliation, the situation is rapidly intensifying. Such geopolitical instability tends to spark fear in global markets, often pushing risk-on assets like Bitcoin into sharp selloffs as liquidity shifts into safer instruments like gold or the U.S. dollar.
Even though institutional players such as BlackRock continue to accumulate Bitcoin, likely due to long-term conviction and ETF exposure, retail sentiment is highly sensitive. In scenarios where war escalates or expands to involve other nations, panic selling by retail traders could trigger cascade liquidations, potentially fulfilling this bearish projection.
In summary, while Bitcoin remains technically within a bullish channel, the structure is fragile. A clean break below the highlighted support zone could usher in a mid-cycle correction, especially if geopolitical tensions worsen. Risk management is paramount in the current environment.
Current BTC Trend Analysis and Trading RecommendationsToday's overall BTC market rebounded after hitting a low of 102,614 in the early trading session, with Bitcoin's price maintaining a slow upward trend throughout the day. The intraday high reached 105,912 but encountered resistance. As the weekend approaches, historical market data shows limited volatility during weekends, so range-bound fluctuations are expected for the weekend.
From the current overall market rhythm, the price has rebounded slightly today after the previous decline. The hourly chart shows consecutive upward candles, though the price movement remains relatively slow. As time progresses, the price is expected to sustain an upward trend after pullbacks, and breaking through the short-term resistance level is only a matter of time. In terms of short-term structure and pattern, despite slight resistance and minor pullbacks, the downward momentum has weakened. We can still focus on long positions at lower levels, paying attention to the 106,000 resistance level.
BTCUSD
buy@104000-104500
tp:106000-107000
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Support (Demand Zone): Around $90,000 — the projected downside .✅ Current Market Structure:
We’re seeing lower highs and lower lows, which typically signals a downtrend.
The price recently fell from a resistance zone (marked in green) near $110,000.
Currently, we’re bouncing upward (forming a small correction) before a potential further drop.
✅ Key Levels:
Resistance (Supply Zone): Around $108,000–$111,000 — strong selling pressure here.
Support (Demand Zone): Around $90,000 — the projected downside target.
The price might break down toward that $90,000 range after a small upward correction.
✅ Expected Scenario:
The price may rebound toward $106,000 or even up toward $108,000 (forming a lower high), then reverse and continue its descent toward $100,000, and ultimately toward $90,000.
This forms a zig-zag down — a classical downtrend structure with lower tops and lower bottoms.
✨ If you’d like, I can:
Provide entry, stop-loss, and take-profit for a short trade.
Perform a more granular technical analysis with indicators (RSI, MACD, or Fibonacci).
#BTC Double Top Breakdown? Key Levels to Watch: 100K, 92K, 74Bitcoin has recently formed a double top pattern near its all-time high at $112K–$110K, signaling potential exhaustion in the bullish momentum. After a strong rejection from the $106K resistance — a critical zone that has historically failed to close above on the daily timeframe — BTC is showing increasing bearish pressure.
All major indicators — RSI, MACD, and Stochastic RSI — are aligning to confirm this potential downtrend.
Here’s the projected bearish scenario if key supports break:
A break below $100K could trigger a fall to $97K, followed by a bounce and retest.
Rejection from $100K again may lead to a drop toward $92K.
Failure to reclaim $95K–$90K could send BTC directly down to $88K.
Another failed attempt near $90K might push Bitcoin to crash toward $74K, echoing the 2024 summer correction pattern.
This setup mirrors past seasonal moves and could mark a significant shift in market structure if confirmed.
📉 Watch these key zones:
$106K – Major resistance
$100K – Psychological and structural support
$92K / $88K / $74K – Potential targets if bearish continuation plays out
⚠️ Stay alert for retests and confirmations before entries.
Bitcoin/US Dollar 1-Hour Price Chart (June 15, 2025)a 1-hour candlestick chart for Bitcoin (BTC) priced in US Dollars (USD), showing a recent price of $105,154.79 with a slight decline of -0.30% (-$311.19). The chart highlights a price range between $103,501.84 and $106,000.00, with a notable support level around $105,154.79 and a resistance zone shaded in pink between $105,217.91 and $105,767.97. The time frame spans from 10:00 to 20:00, with the current time at approximately 15:00.
Bitcoin: weekly gains and dipsThere has been a sort of roller coaster with BTCs weekly price movements during the previous week. The week started with a strong move toward $110K. Although it seemed like a fresh new momentum toward the higher grounds, or eventually new all time highest level, the price soon began to tumble down, ending the week above the $104K level. On charts, it looks more like a “pump and dump” strategy, imposing a potential for a further correction. However, the reaction of BTC market on the negative news regarding the new unrest in the Middle East was exposed shortly on Friday trading session, when the price shortly reached the $102,9K level.
The RSI modestly dropped below the 50 level, ending the week at the 47. The MA 50 currently stands as a supporting level for BTCs price, while the indicator continues to diverge from its MA200 counterparty.
As per current charts, there is a high probability that weekly gains and dips will continue. The line connecting the lowest level from the beginning of April this year and lows from the beginning of June and from the previous week shows that there is a high probability for $104K to be tested. It also perfectly combines with MA50 as a currently supporting line. In case that the $104K is breached toward the downside, then it might bring some short bearish movements with BTC. In this scenario, the $100K might be again the target. However, if the $104K sustains the selling pressure, then the BTC will return toward the $108K.