BITCOIN Rejected (so far) where it absolutely SHOULDN'T!!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit today the top of the Channel Down pattern, which as we've discussed numerous times, is most likely on the long-term a Bull Flag technically. Still, this early test has so far turned into a rejection.
Early on to tell as the price remains above even the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) but if it breaks above the closes a 1D candle above the top of the pattern, we expect it to immediately target the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level at 119500. We have analyzed of course why on the long-term the Target is at least $150k, but this is a shorter term analysis. Notice also how the 1D RSI has already broken above its Lower Highs trend-line.
As long as the price remains rejected within the Channel Down, it is possible to look for support on the 100000 level again, where this time it may make contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) in an attempt to 'attract' the last batch of buyers.
Which scenario do you think will prevail? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Last chance to make profit from BTC with buying positionBullish flag
Strong resistance breakout
2 bull points
Position trade spot buying
Bitcoin completing timecycle on oct 2025 after that it would be 4th time if market again crash for around 70%
Manage your risk in both future and spot trading
Note: NO analysis would 100% profitable trading is the game of probability and risk management so follow your trading plan with proper risk reward and win rate.
Bitcoin Eyes $110K Target Above Key Support LevelBitcoin trades slightly below last week’s high near $107,660.0, while RSI 14 shows bearish divergence without a clear downward move.
Immediate support is at $107,230.0, and resistance at $108,550.0. If BTC closes above resistance, a rally toward $110,651.0 may follow. The bullish outlook remains valid as long as the price stays above $104,681.0.
Bitcoin: a decision week Previous week brought some relief among market participants, when it was announced that the U.S. Administration and China completed the deal regarding trade tariffs. Details of this deal have not been publicly disclosed, however, the markets reacted positively to it. The U.S. equity market gained significantly, while the crypto market managed to hold higher grounds. BTC started the week with a break of $105K toward the upside, testing the resistance at $108K. The majority of trades occurred between $106K and $107K.
The RSI continued to move above the 50 level, indicating that the market is still not ready to seek the oversold market side. The indicator is ending the week at the 56, bringing some probability for the overbought market side in the coming period. The MA50 continues to diverge from MA200, without an indication that the cross might come anytime soon.
Charts are showing that the BTC is currently on the cross road. There are equal probabilities that the coin might be traded toward both sides in the week ahead. On one hand, trades from the last week showed enough buying orders, which were holding the coin at the higher grounds, continuously seeking the break of the $108K level. However, if this market strength does not manage to support the BTC in the week ahead, then the reversal will be inevitable. In this case, the $105K will be the first stop.
BTC WILL PLAY THIS BOXES
### 🔴 **Bearish Order Blocks (Resistance Zones)**:
These are likely areas where price previously faced selling pressure and may again.
1. **Zone 1 (Lowest Red OB)**
📍 Range: \~108,300 – 108,800
🔹 Price is currently reacting at this zone.
🔹 If price fails to break and close above this zone with volume, expect a short-term rejection.
2. **Zone 2**
📍 Range: \~109,65,0 – 110,000
🔹 If price breaks above Zone 1, this becomes the next target/resistance.
3. **Zone 3 (Highest Red OB)**
📍 Range: \~110,500 – 111,500
🔹 Strongest resistance in this chart. If price reaches here, high chance of reversal unless strong momentum continues.
---
### 🔵 **Bullish Order Blocks (Support Zones)**:
These are previous demand areas where buyers stepped in.
1. **Zone 1 (Highest Blue OB)**
📍 Range: \~106,900 – 107,600
🔹 Closest support below current price. If price retraces, it may bounce from here.
🔹 Good area for long entries if price gives bullish confirmation.
2. **Zone 2**
📍 Range: \~105,800 – 106,500
🔹 Stronger support zone; last defense before potential further downside.
🔹 Matches with yellow price marker (105,998.9), possibly a key liquidity level.
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### 🧠 **Trade Idea Suggestion** (Based on your OB strategy):
#### ✅ **Bullish Scenario**:
* Break & close above 108,800 (top of current red OB) with volume → Look for retest to go **long**.
Market Manipulators Work Together to Exploit Hope | BM Is Over Iran–Israel Tensions Rising Again | A Hidden Gem for Traders
The conflict between Iran and Israel is heating up once again, and things are far from settled. Behind the scenes, there are signs that Iran may restart its nuclear weapons program, which could trigger a serious reaction — not just from Israel, but also from Western countries and nearby Arab nations.
If this conflict turns into a wider war, we could see major global impacts, including:
Rising oil prices due to tensions in the Middle East
Increased defense spending and movement in military-related stocks
Volatility in gold, USD, and crypto markets as investors seek safety
📉 While the world is watching quietly, this is actually a hidden signal for smart traders. The media might not be talking loudly about it yet, but war risk is building — and when it explodes into headlines, markets could react fast and hard.
🧠 Smart Traders Know:
Geopolitical tension = market moves
Fear fuels gold, oil, and crypto spikes
Nuclear headlines could shift investor psychology overnight
BITCOIN Breakout From Ascending Channel bullish from demand ZoneBTCUSD Breakout Alert
Bitcoin has officially broken out of the descending channel on the 4H timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal from the key demand zone at 106,100.
🎯 Technical Targets:
1st Target: 110,000 – Major supply zone
2nd Target: 112,000 – Strong resistance level
🔒 Stop Loss: 103,000 – Below bullish order block for risk protection
This setup offers a clean R:R with strong confluence. Watch for continuation above 108K for confirmation.
📊 TA only – always manage your risk!
🔥 Like, follow, & comment to stay ahead with more real-time updates!
#BTC #CryptoTrading #PriceAction #BitcoinAnalysis #LiviaTrades 😜
Bitcoin is now **on the verge of one of the biggest breakouts in
\#Bitcoin – **Higher Time Frame Analysis** 📈
Bitcoin is now **on the verge of one of the biggest breakouts in its history**.
📊 On the **daily chart**, we can clearly see a structure forming that's **similar to a Pole & Flag pattern**, which is typically **very bullish** from a price action perspective.
⚠️ However, we remain **cautious** —
We don’t just want a breakout above the upper trendline…
What we’re looking for is a **strong daily candle close above the previous all-time high** (\~**\$112,000**).
💥 If that happens, I’m anticipating a **massive upside move**, potentially towards the **\$123,000–\$125,000** zone.
Let’s stay alert and wait for **clear confirmation** before jumping in!
Traders Gurus always wrong at the crucial pointWhy are trading gurus often wrong at market tops or bottoms?
I recently received an email from the B*itcoin L… channel (where people like P.L. Brandt, Loukas, etc. are members), and it said the following:
The next installment of the 4-Year Cycle.
Exploring the powerful bullish case for Bitcoin, driven by a perfect storm of narratives: institutional adoption, regulatory clarity, and cycle timing. From ETF inflows and corporate treasuries to a pro-crypto U.S. administration, potential interest rate cuts, and surging legitimacy post-halving — signs point to a possible super cycle unfolding.
But honestly, if you know how to read a BTC chart, where exactly do you see a “powerful bullish case for Bitcoin”? Tons of indicators suggest the opposite — even BTC Dominance (BTC.D) doesn’t confirm it.
Wasn’t the move from $16K to $110K already the bullish case?
Based on what I’m seeing in the charts, BTC is likely to cool off for a year, maybe even two. I expect it to come down to at least $50K–$65K before making any significant move upward again. We haven’t even had a proper flash crash yet, which is surprising given everything that’s been going on in the world over the past few months. Something fishy is going on.
BTC Shorts Into Q3 | Monthly + Half-Year Candle PressureWe’re entering a pivotal window on the Bitcoin chart, the monthly close, Q2 close, and 6-month candle all lining up. This kind of macro convergence rarely goes unnoticed by the market and often marks major structural shifts.
BTC has failed multiple times to break through key highs, and with momentum fading into this close, I’m leaning short heading into Q3. Even if price wants to trend higher later this year, I expect that move to begin from a deeper wick, not from the top of the current range.
I’m watching the 103K level closely. A break below it could trigger a swift drop toward 95K, possibly lower depending on how the new monthly opens and reacts. That would line up with the idea of a strong lower wick forming on the new 3M or 6M candle.
This isn't a long-term macro short, just a high R setup where structure, timing, and context are aligning. I believe this move starts today or very soon. The next few candles will speak volumes.
$BTC Weekend Update - A New Hope - 6/29Hello fellow degenerates,
Price held beautifully above 106.6k key level and is now attempting a test of 110.4k level. We are in a high risk zone as we do have a lot of levels that could initiate a reversal down, so ultimate caution is needed.
- Price hit the target where a Wave 1 could be so I am looking for a possible retracement that would take us towards 103k.
- In the most bullish scenario, both Wave 1 and 2 have been completed and price could just break above ATH and continue higher, but this is just wishful thinking.
- Currently watching for a break above the Parallel channel resistance
- Levels to Watch: 110.4k, 106.6k, 103.4k, 101k
Bitcoin: Bearish Signal Watch 107,400 To Confirm.Bitcoin bearish pin bar developing, which is a bearish sign at least for the short term. IF this candle closes and low is compromised, (107,400?) A sell signal will be in effect (see arrow). This will also confirm a failed break out (see trend line) of a multi month consolidation. The signal in question is an ideal setup for swing traders or day traders looking for aggressive shorts, while the broader trend is completely intact. A reasonable price objective for such a move is the 103K area which is basically the mid point of the consolidation and near the 102 to 100K support. While the market can potentially break lower than that, there is NO way to forecast such an event. Market confirms first, then expectations can be adjusted effectively.
The wave count has been adjusted on this chart. The current consolidation is likely the sub wave 4 of the broader 5 which means implies the trend is still bullish since the sub wave 5 of 5 is not in play yet. Maybe after this next retrace? The next bullish setup (around 103K?) may present a high probability swing trade opportunity on the long side possible over the next week or two.
Keep in mind, it is not a good idea to get married to any opinions. I don't care how bullish the fundamentals are, all it takes is an unexpected catalyst and this market retraces hard. A week ago we were flirting with 98K, today 108K. Levels and price action are a much more accurate gauge of where the market is likely to go on the short term, and more importantly offer greater insight into the potential reward and RISK.
I adjust my outlook constantly because I know that the MARKET is ALWAYS right. It offers guidance if you know how to listen and be flexible. "Outlook" can be categorized by time which helps to keep expectations inline with market intent. For example, reward and risk expectations for a swing trade (4H time frame) will be smaller compared to a position entered for investment (weekly time frame). Keeping these expectations separate will help you control risk in a much more optimal way compared to having a swing trade turn into an investment.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Title: BTC Rejected at Channel Top – Downside Risk BuildsText:
Bitcoin is showing signs of rejection from the top of the descending channel near the 109k region. With selling pressure increasing and price struggling to break higher, there’s a strong probability of a downward move. If support around 106k fails, BTC could revisit previous lows and potentially head toward the sub-1M zone ("Azad"). Caution is advised as the market may be preparing for another bearish wave.
#202526 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well.
#btcusd - bitcoin
comment: Neutral since bears fumbled it again. Range is clear, don’t have much else to say about this. Bulls want 113k+ and bears need a strong daily close below 100k for more downside.
current market cycle: trading range
key levels: 100k - 115k
bull case: Bulls are still hopeful, that’s why we are still above 110k but the next touch could break it and I doubt many will hold long or scale into new ones there. Best bulls can get right now is to go sideways for longer and stay above 100k. I mean… Staying above 100k is as bullish as it get’s if you be honest. Same as last week since nothing has changed for the bulls. Trading range since mid May.
Invalidation is a strong daily close below 100k
bear case: Bears fumbled it again. Strong daily close below 100k or we won’t go lower. Right now odds favor the bears to go down from 107k to 100k but need more selling pressure.
Invalidation is above 110k
short term: As neutral as can be.
medium-long term - Update from 2025-06-29: Strong daily close below 100k will be the confirmation for more downside. First target below 100k is 97k the breakout retest and after that is the 50% retracement around 93k. I have no bullish for the next weeks/months. Once the gap to 97k closes we are likely in a bear trend again and I expect to hit at least 85k over the summer.