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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Bitcoin - V-shape recovery down towards the 4h FVG at $111.000?The move began with a strong rally that peaked near the $123,000 level. After hitting that high, Bitcoin quickly reversed and sold off aggressively, forming a classic V-shaped pattern. This type of formation typically indicates a strong shift in momentum, where bullish control is quickly overtaken by sellers, leading to swift downward movement. 4H bearish FVG Shortly after the initial drop, Bitcoin made a retest of the bearish 4H FVG (Fair Value Gap) around the $119,000 to $120,500 zone. This fair value gap was created during the sharp move down and represented an area of inefficiency in price. The chart shows that price moved back into this zone and was “perfectly retested,” getting rejected almost immediately. This rejection confirmed that sellers are respecting this imbalance, turning it into a short-term resistance level. Market structure As the price failed to reclaim the fair value gap and continued lower, it broke the market structure at around $117,000. This break suggests that the previous higher low was taken out, signaling a bearish shift in the intermediate trend. The market structure break often acts as confirmation that buyers are losing control and lower prices are likely. CME gap Adding to the downside pressure is the CME gap, labeled as the "BTC CME GAP" on the chart. This gap spans from roughly $114,000 to $116,300 and was formed over the weekend when the CME (Chicago Mercantile Exchange) was closed. Historically, Bitcoin has shown a tendency to "fill" these gaps by revisiting the price levels within them. The current price action has already started to dip into this region, which could suggest further downside to complete the gap fill. Bullish 4H FVG with support Finally, the chart hints at the potential drop to the lowest 4H FVG and previous resistance, located just above $111,000. This fair value gap aligns closely with a prior resistance level from earlier in the month, making it a logical magnet for price if selling pressure persists. It represents a confluence zone where buyers may look to step in again, especially if the CME gap is filled and the market is searching for support. Conclusion In summary, Bitcoin is showing bearish technical signs following a V-shape top and a strong rejection from the 4H FVG at $120,000. The break of market structure and ongoing fill of the CME gap suggest that further downside toward the $111,000 level is a strong possibility. Traders should watch closely for price reaction in that lower fair value gap zone, as it could serve as a critical area for a potential bounce. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Thanks for your support. If you enjoyed this analysis, make sure to follow me so you don't miss the next one. And if you found it helpful, feel free to drop a like and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by Youriverse
52
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) as of July 11, 2025. The current price is $117,979.53, reflecting a 4-hour increase of $1,938.91 (+1.67%). The chart highlights a significant upward trend, with a notable breakout above the $114,719.92 resistance level, reaching up to $121,362.93. Key price levels include support at $116,625.93 and resistance at $121,362.93, with buy and sell options marked at the current price.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Alee_Gold_Trader
1
Btcusd techinical analysis.This Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart from TradingView illustrates a technical analysis on the 1-hour timeframe. Here's a breakdown of the key elements and possible implications: --- 🔍 Chart Overview: Current Price: $117,997.8 Timeframe: 1-hour candles Exchange: OKX Date/Time: July 16, 2025, 05:16 UTC --- 🧠 Key Technical Patterns & Indicators: 1. Descending Triangle Breakout Setup: A descending resistance line (in pink) is converging with a horizontal support level (around $116,000–$117,000). The price appears to be testing the upper boundary, indicating a potential breakout. 2. Target Measurement: The blue arrow pointing upward suggests a measured move after a breakout. Target Price: ~ $120,957.8 (approx. 2.53% move or +2,959.8 points from breakout level) 3. Support Zone: Strong horizontal support zone marked in purple near $116,000. This zone has held despite a sharp dip, indicating buyer interest. 4. Previous Trend Channels: Blue and red channels represent bullish and bearish trends. Recent bearish
OKX:BTCUSDLong
by Rickypher
1
Breaking below the psychological 115,000 level could trigger furMomentum indicators such as RSI and MACD likely show bearish divergence or downward momentum, supporting the short thesis. The recommended stop-loss for this setup is at 119,000, which is just above recent resistance and protects against false breakouts. This SL level offers a good risk-reward ratio, with approximately 2:1 or better depending on entry precision. If price fails to reclaim 119,000 or form higher highs, the bearish momentum is expected to persist. Price rejection candles or bearish engulfing patterns near 117,500 further validate short entries. Breaking below the psychological 115,000 level could trigger further downside acceleration. This setup is ideal for short-term swing traders or day traders looking to capitalize on intraday volatility. Overall, the structure favors sellers as long as BTCUSD remains below the 119,000 resistance.
OKX:BTCUSDShort
by Ali_Explorer
1
XAU/USD Chart Pattern ObservedBased on the image you've shared, this is a technical analysis chart for gold (XAU/USD), with a visible bearish setup in play. Here’s a detailed sell-side analysis: Chart Pattern Observed Bearish Pennant/Wedge Breakout: The price appears to be breaking out downward from a rising wedge or bearish pennant pattern. These patterns typically indicate a continuation to the downside after a short consolidation or pullback. Key Levels Identified Resistance Zone: 118.800 (Strong resistance level marked in red) Price failed to break above this and reversed, confirming it as a solid supply zone. Current Price: Around 117.500 Support Levels (Take Profit Targets): 116.000 – Minor support/first TP level 114.000 – Major support/final TP level (likely the full target of the move) RSI Indicator RSI at 50.71 – neutral but pointing slightly downward. This gives room for further bearish momentum to unfold. Sell Trade Setup Entry: After confirmed break below the rising trendline (around 117.800 - 117.500) Stop Loss: Above 118.800 (just above the resistance zone to avoid fakeouts) Take Profits: TP1: 116.000 TP2: 114.000 Trade Justification Clear lower highs forming. Rejection at strong resistance. Breakdown of rising structure = bearish continuation. Bearish projection arrows on chart suggest institutional outlook favors sell. Risk Management Use proper lot sizing based on your account balance and risk %. Look for a retest of the trendline as a safer sell entry if missed the initial break.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by HamandMagic
Why Risk Management Is Your Only Real Superpower in TradingMany traders obsess over entries, indicators, or finding the “perfect” strategy… But the real longevity in this game comes from how you manage risk — not how often you’re right. Obviously it all starts with using stop loss. I hope you already know it. We all learned lessons in trying to enter the top / bottom and it was really not the top/ bottom yet. ✅ Always use Stop Loss. Interestingly more then 50% failed prop challenges are because traders dont use a stop loss. Now your stop loss should always be adjusted to the market structure. Not always same lot size Obviously some short-term scalping can be done with the fixed SL and TP distance. But most of strategies needs to adjust SL to the current structure. And here come the problem. Many traders use still same lot size even when the stop loss distance is different and thats the problem. Let me just show you on 2 examples of series of trades. We count with 5 identical trade setups Let's assume we had 5 trades 1 winner and 4 losses. 📌 1) Using always same position size on 10K account - Outcome of trades is various - 1 win with fixed lot was small. Instead of fixed lot we could use higher lot size as the SL distance was small. This trade didnt covered other losses. - Losses of other trades are various - psychological affect - uncertainty increasing fear of loss - total result after is -273 pips - minus 2.7% and - $273 📌 2) Calculated risk 1.5% for each trade - we risk 1.5% for each trade by adjusting lot size - You always know how much you loose if you loose. - You can maximize profits on high RR trades. - Every trade will have same % value in your series of trades. This makes your statistics working - first trade has made huge profit - other 4 losses were 1.5% each - first trade covered losses and even made gains - we again ended in minus 273 pips BUT +$337 IN MONEY / AND + 3.37% PROFIT 📌 Final Conclusion Although we modeled 5 completely same trading setups in first example we ended up loosing in pips and money. While in the second example with the completely identical setups we ended in profit and more stability of on our account but also with psychological preservation. And this is power of risk management and it has much bigger impact especially to our trading psychology which is 80% of success. 🧠 Psychological Importance of Risk Management: 🧪 Reduces emotional pressure When your capital is protected, you stop making desperate, fear-based decisions. 🧪 Builds confidence in your strategy Knowing you’re safe even if a trade fails allows you to focus on execution, not outcome. 🧪 Eliminates fear of losing Small, controlled losses become part of the process — not something to avoid or fear. 🧪Improves consistency and discipline Following rules forces you to act like a professional, not a gambler. 🧪 Prevents burnout and mental fatigue Managing risk = managing stress. Overexposure to loss drains your mental capital, not just your account. 📌 Final tip There is no strategy on the world which is only winning. Losses are normal. Same like restaurant owner has a cost with rent and salaries for employees. We as a trader has cost of the doing the business in losses. You cant avoid them. One loss out of 4 trades is nothing. But what if you get in to a loosing streak like me in the may? How did I survive? Many people would start doubting the strategy , doing the changes, switching to trading different markets etc.. But NO, if you know your statistical data and stick with the your risk management it will keeps you going. You know that even 75% win rate doesnt guarantee that you cant get in to a loosing streak. 75% winning ratio means that out of 100 trades you will win 75. But still there is 25 looters. And you never know what would be distribution of wins and losses. So you keep going and its only possible if you calculate risk per trade and know how much is your max loss per trade not by using same lot size for random stop loss distance. “Adapt what is useful. Reject whats useless and add whats is specifically yours.” David Perk aka Dave FX Hunter
GEMINI:BTCUSDEducation
by David_Perk
42
BTC – Strong Buy Signals, Sentiment Reversing, Final Push?BTC is clearly in a place of rising trust - Fear & Greed Index improving: last week 24 (Extreme Fear), yesterday 31, now 38 (Fear), last month low was 3 - Several bullish divergences visible: RSI and MACD show higher lows vs. price, momentum indicators curling up, OBV ticking higher despite weak price action - Price is sitting at the lower Bollinger Band and holding an ascending trendline - Multi-indicator (mostly RSI-based) showing clustered buy signals, similar to previous rallies - Simple Fibonacci retracement from the recent high (~73K) shows potential move toward 130K, assuming continuation and break above ~109K - Last S-BUY signal was 14 bars ago, still active - Structure is clean and holding - If this is the final leg up, we could be entering danger or euphoria territory soon
KRAKEN:BTCUSDLong
by dotcom880
BTC Heading DownThis is my first chart using TradingView. I'm 50/50 on how I feel about it's utility, but it does well enough until I learn it better. I use the D Timeframe too look for support/resistance. I focus in on the 4h, then 1h further. I have recently switched from lower timeframes to higher timeframes with some surprising success following my rules. Constructive Criticism/Dialogue welcomed. It is time for a reversal. Why? Those ATHs were just hit after two bullish runs for 2025 (Jan and July). Granted it would be hopeful for all investors to keep seeing this beast rip for a 3rd time in 2025, that is a dream, I think. There has been two runs then consolidation/pullbacks, NORMALLY (see hollow boxes on chart). This does not mean this is the case, but this is what I am going with after researching. After the ATH, a lovely wick and an incredibly high volume on an engulfing candle formed. This along with a PSAR switch on the 4H is what I utilize. I have only researched down to $102k. Each TP (blue line), I will be looking for a sign of reversal on the 4h. Key: Blue lines: - My TP Boxes: - Areas of Interest Hollow Boxes only: - Shows two runs before a consolidation to an official breakout Highlights: - What within that area of interest I'm using for justification Orange lines: - Where in the past BTC has had breakouts then a retest before the next breakout Red line: - My SL Enjoy your BTC, AtlasRising
OKX:BTCUSD
by Tmdoc
Final BTC target still remain above 130kBTC still has some push to do to reach my final target, 130k - 145k region. If you look at my BTC chart from January, that region has been highlighted. Till then, I'm still bullish. Now DXY is trying to turn bullish too, which will mean bearish BTC but it is that is s lagging indicator. It won't happen immediately, maybe next 2 or 3 months. Be prepared, for now, we still go up. Enjoyyy Follow me as my trades are market order so you'll see the trades on time anand enter on time
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by UGBOR
BTC - Capitulation. Now Time For A Bounce?Whenever there is a big impulsive rally, dumb money will come rushing in to buy. And thus we can somewhat expect the market maker to print a shakeout for them to exit at best price and dumb money to carry the bags at worst price. ... In this area we have multiple charts providing the liquidity zones for the shakeouts: The upside shakeout (long wick) printed on TOTAL through ATH: ... Before I make the next point, lets see the design of the chart bots 10 years ago in 2015. Notice that the high and low of the trading range is set by the impulsive high then initial slump: That sets the trading range. Once set; the chart bots then print a liquidity sweeping slightly higher high... Which slumps back to liquidity sweep the lows of the trading range. From there the next wave up begins. ... Now notice in these charts from the last 2 days, that the trading range was similar to that of 2015. But once the range was set; rather than printing a simple slightly higher high, the more evolved chart bots printed a wild impulsive move up to draw in buyers. This then became a very impulsive smackdown. ... Although going on a wild journey, the price is effectively similar to the pattern of 2015; liquidity sweep at the highs and now it is below the low. Notice on these 2 charts from the last two days that the support that Bitcoin has hit today was the obvious trading range low - similar to 2015. And so the question is now; whether it will also be a liquidity sweep at the lows and a bounce will follow? Notice on the chart, there was a big smackdown and then we have had another fast smackdown (arrow) to take price beneath the lows. This looks very much like a fear test - where the chart bots try to sell you another immediate capitulation, but yet the price holds in the zone of higher liquidity below support. Wyckoff would call these 2 lows SC Selling CLimax and ST Secondary Test. The selling climax completes the real bearish wave down. Secondary Test is the probe into higher liquidity which is a fear test to scare longs away. ... So if we consider that history may not repeat, but it does rhyme then there will likely be a bounce in this area - as the market maker gets best price for their short positions while dumb money panic sell their long positions at a loss. Not advice
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by dRends35