BTCUSDT SELLING SETUPBitcoin (BTCUSDT) is showing signs of a potential selling setup as price approaches a strong resistance zone. Bearish pressure is building, and a rejection from this area could lead to a downside move.
Traders should watch for confirmation signals like bearish candlestick patterns, lower highs, or a break of structure before entering. If sellers take control, we could see BTC move toward lower support levels.
Stay alert, wait for confirmation, and manage risk smartly! 📉🔥
Technical Analysis by Ali Khan
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC eyes on 111.7k then 117.9k: next two Genesis Fibs of concernShown here is a single fib series in 3 different timeframes.
The Genesis Sequence has caught all major turns since 2015.
If there is a "top" around here, it will be one of these fibs.
$ 111,661.75 (Coinbase) is a minor ratio level
$ 117,868.00 is the Semi-Major fib ratio ABOVE.
$ 105,451.85 is the Semi-Major fib ratio BELOW.
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Previous Plots below
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$104k Top of 2024:
$90k Dip call (scalp):
$75k Bottom call:
$69k Top of 2021:
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BTC short term correction A rectangle consolidation near recent highs (potential distribution or continuation) trading in sideways
Volume is Declining (red arrow), which during consolidation usually suggests weakening momentum.
RSI Divergence: RSI is forming lower highs while price is forming equal highs → This is a bearish divergence.
Trade Setup: Looks like a short position has been taken with:
Entry: Nears support(~110,200)
Stop-loss: Just above resistance (111,840)
Target: Lower zone of support (~108,700)
Key Signals
B earish Divergence on RSI: Indicates weakening bullish momentum .
F alling Volume: Suggests lack of conviction from bulls at the high s.
Equal Highs on Price: While RSI declines, this adds weight to the short bias.
Tight stop-loss (risk-managed)
⚠️ Watch for fakeouts: If price breaks above the rectangle with volume, your stop might get triggered, but it would invalidate the bearish setup anyway.
Thanks,
BTC/USDI'm thinking this is the top.
"The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent."
The problem with calling the top is you're going to be wrong for several months, even if you're extremely conscious about how irrational a market can get...
The greater the hatred in the comments, the bigger the shorts.
Expecting this to bounce around in this range for a couple days and finish with a new high.
Followed by a tremendous wave of reality.
We'll use war as the news that justifies it, even though war has been all the news for many months and has affected nothing.
BTCUSD update May 22nd, 2025I have returned and here is my updated chart. I'm such a perfectionist sometimes when it comes to lines that it takes my hours to get them exactly how I envision. To start off, yes I am bullish on Bitcoin and believe that this cycle hasn't ended yet but I will admit that I think the end of it is closer than the beginning. With that being said, I will not disappear when the bear market starts, I will simply make updates and try to catch the bottom like I did in the past. So far I am going with history and my bottom target is above 66,800 and I expect the floor to fizzle out around 71-73k; if it ends up being higher than that, great! Overall this idea is just an update for my own personal records and my prediction is based on what has happen that last time this pattern was brought to us.
Stay safe out there, happy trading, and as always--Cheers!
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.This chart shows a 2-hour candlestick view of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the Bitstamp exchange, with technical analysis annotations indicating a potential trade setup:
Entry Area: Around 111,911 (current market price).
Target (Take Profit): Around 113,521 (green zone), marked by the bullseye icon and a projected upward movement.
Stop Loss: Around 109,277 (red zone), noted below the support area and highlighted in orange.
Trend: The price appears to be in a bullish channel, with recent price action forming a flag or consolidation pattern that could break to the upside.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the potential upside target is significantly higher than the stop loss range.
This setup implies a long position (buy trade) is anticipated, betting on a breakout to the upside from the current consolidation zone. Let me know if you'd like an analysis of the strategy's viability or other insights!
BTCUSD Climbs | Bullish OptimismHi there,
BTCUSD is in a bullish phase, but I am anticipating a dip before the price continues its rally. The high of 104,606 exerts bearish pressure on the current price, and the internal rate of change of the current candle is unstable.
For the price to spark bullish interest, it must break above 104,039 with unmistakable bullish signals.
The potential market bias is toward 110,315, with one potential target area.
Happy trading, and have a great weekend.
K,
Not a trading advice
BTCUSD 120 000In a recent post, renowned trader Peter Brandt disclosed that he has a long position in spot Bitcoin, demonstrating his continued confidence in the cryptocurrency. The announcement was made in conjunction with a more comprehensive disclosure of his trading book, which includes long entries in Swiss francs and short positions in Russell 2000 Index futures, along with setting orders in commodities like coffee and cotton.
When it comes to Bitcoin, Brandt’s position is in line with the current market and technical conditions. The most popular cryptocurrency recently surpassed $110,000, breaking through its all-time high (ATH). Retail investors might be excited by that figure, but for seasoned market players like Brandt, the ATH is a confirmation of momentum rather than merely a milestone.
It indicates that Bitcoin has not only bounced back from its last decline, but is also moving into uncharted territory with opportunities for further growth. The 26 EMA is providing strong support for Bitcoin’s upward movement on the daily chart, and the volume is still high but not euphoric. Crucially, a trend reversal is confirmed over a longer period of time by the golden cross that was formed earlier this month when the 50-day EMA crossed above the 200-day EMA.
The RSI is 76, which indicates some overextension but not enough to cause panic or reversal signals right away. Notwithstanding the rally, Brandt’s remark that Bitcoin is not very extended indicates that he still sees more upside. In contrast, many traders who focus on retail have overbought concerns and may be alarmed by recent vertical moves.
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Using macro tailwinds to his advantage while protecting his risk-balanced exposure against wider equity volatility, longing Bitcoin and the Swiss Franc, and shorting Russell, demonstrates a hedged strategy. The next obstacle for Bitcoin could be found between $112,000 and $115,000.
However, the market might gain more momentum as institutional sentiment rises and players like Brandt enter or double down. His action is a sign that even for an experienced trader with decades of experience, it makes sense to hold onto Bitcoin at this time.
#BITCOIN HISTORY IS ABOUT TO REPEAT !!#Bitcoin HISTORY IS ABOUT TO REPEAT! 🔥
The next move is obvious…
🔹 November 2023: Major breakout led to a 140% rally
🔹 October 2024: Another breakout fueled a 50% move
🔹 Now — May 2025: We are currently observing the Semmeler structure; will it break out again? 👀
New ATH loading... 🚀
CRYPTOCAP:BTC BITSTAMP:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BTC/USD Indicates a potential trend reversal.Current Price Range:
Sell: 110,869.26
Buy: 110,869.26 (same as sell at the moment of the screenshot)
Indicators & Tools:
LuxAlgo indicator is active, providing support and resistance signals.
There are multiple marked zones and annotations such as:
Support and Resistance levels (colored boxes)
CHoCH (Change of Character): Indicates a potential trend reversal.
HL (Higher Low): Signifies the continuation of an uptrend.
Trade Setup:
A potential long trade (buy position) is outlined:
Entry zone: Marked above the resistance breakout.
Target: Projected higher, around the 114,000 zone.
Stop loss: Indicated below the entry zone, around 107,106.
A large blue rectangle highlights the risk-reward area (green for reward, red for risk).
Price Action:
BTC has broken through a resistance level, suggesting a bullish momentum.
Chart structure shows a clear uptrend with retracements.
Date & Time:
Chart time is around May 22, 2025, 01:00 UTC.
The current time on the system is 8:30 AM, May 22, 2025.
This chart is likely being used for short-term swing or intraday trading based on technical patterns and support/resistance zones. The analysis indicates a bullish outlook with a well-defined entry and target plan.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) – 1D Outlook🚀 New All-Time High
BTC just printed a fresh ATH, breaking above the previous 109-110K resistance. Price discovery is now fully active support/resistance levels are harder to define clearly in this zone.
📏 Fibonacci Extension Zone
Using the Fibonacci extension of the previous major leg, we get a first realistic target around 130K, slightly front-running the 1.618 level a common zone for major profit-taking.
📌 Things to Monitor
While momentum remains strong, macro risks still hover :
Global recession fears
Geopolitical tensions
CPI / FOMC surprises
Any of those could trigger a risk-off environment, stalling the BTC rally or triggering a sharper correction.
🎯 What’s next?
As long as the trend holds above 103-105K (former structure highs), bulls remain firmly in control. A move to 130K isn’t out of reach but stay reactive to macro shocks that could cool down the rally.
BITCOIN - price action in skyrocketing mode, how far will we go?Bitcoin on the weekly charts!
Last time Bitcoin was in upside price exploration mode it went on for around ~7 weeks. We then saw a price action of +53%.
Since Bitcoin have retested support at ~$104,530 on the weekly close, I believe we will from now on see a positive upside movement of price. This upside trend will most likely keep going for 6-8 weeks!
If history rhymes we could reach 150k, before we see a cool down this time.
The Bitcoin “Big Short”: Whales Are Quietly Leaving the PartyBitcoin just broke $111,000. Headlines are celebrating. Retail is euphoric. But under the surface, on-chain data tells a very different story: wallets holding over $1,000,000 in BTC—commonly referred to as whales—are quietly exiting.
According to Glassnode, the number of $1M+ wallets has dropped by nearly 9% over the last 60 days, even as price soared to new highs. This isn't a coincidence. It's the classic distribution phase—whales cashing out while late-stage buyers, lured in by ETF hype and bullish momentum, absorb the risk.
Bloomberg Crypto reported this month that over $10 billion in BTC has been moved from cold storage to exchanges, much of it from long-dormant wallets and miner reserves. This pattern echoes what we saw before the 2021 crash—strategic selling into strength.
ETFs: Fuel and Trap
Spot Bitcoin ETFs were pitched as the final gateway to mass adoption. In reality, they’re a liquidity funnel. Retail investors pile in via retirement accounts and brokerages, buying exposure—but not the asset itself. Meanwhile, institutional whales sell BTC into these passive flows.
As Bloomberg’s ETF Weekly noted in May 2025, “The majority of ETF inflows are retail-led, while OTC desks are reporting increased large-lot sell requests.” It’s a perfect storm: passive inflows mask whale exits, and the average buyer is blind to what’s really happening on-chain.
On-Chain Red Flags
The blockchain doesn’t lie. Key warning signs are flashing:
$1M+ wallets falling: Down from ~139K to ~126K since March.
Exchange reserves rising: Indicating coins are being positioned for liquidation.
Long-term holder profit-taking: SOPR is above 1.6—profit margins not seen since the last major top.
Dormant coins awakening: Older UTXOs (2+ years) are being spent at the fastest rate since late 2021.
Even miners are capitulating. Miner-held balances are down 12% YTD, and transfer spikes suggest they're taking advantage of inflated prices to fund operations.
Why It Matters
This isn’t FUD. It’s math. When the most informed market participants offload supply into a leveraged, overextended retail-driven rally, the result is rarely soft. If BTC loses key support around $95K, the slide to $60K—or lower—could be violent and fast.
The chart may look bullish. But the blockchain shows distribution, not accumulation. The whales aren’t tweeting. They’re cashing out.
Retail is late to the party. The smart money is already gone.
BTC is high! Any Weakness?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment!
Bitcoin Breaks to All-Time Highs — What’s Next for Price Structure?
Bitcoin has officially pushed into new all-time highs, and while the move wasn’t entirely unexpected, it still packs a punch. We discussed this possibility in recent videos, though I wasn’t fully convinced at the time. That’s the nature of trading—uncertainty is the cost of admission, and conviction builds as structure confirms.
As always, I was watching the price action closely. BTC started providing the clues needed to lean into the more bullish interpretation. The levels held. The flips were clean. Momentum lined up.
That said, I did take some speculative shorts at lower degrees—not to fight the trend, but to respect possible overextensions within the count. For those following the Elliott Wave roadmap, these intraday reactions were worth probing, but nothing confirmed a larger reversal yet.
The key now is structure.
We’re currently navigating uncharted territory, and in these zones, understanding wave context and market behavior around prior resistance becomes even more critical. There’s no overhead supply—only psychology, fib projections and profit-taking to watch for.
Here’s what I’m focused on:
Clear labeling of the motive sequence—is this the end of a Wave 3 or just a smaller subdivision?
Volume behavior and momentum divergence—looking for any signals that we’re near exhaustion.
Pullback zones—marking areas where Wave 4 or consolidation might emerge, if it’s due.
This is a time to stay sharp, not euphoric.
Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
BTC - Why THIS TIME is DIFFERENT (⊙ˍ⊙)This time IS DIFFERENT. Bitcoin has made a new ATH as I predicted in a few previous posts, but something's off...🤔
If we look at BTC from a macro view, the dates for this run up was quite extended. We do see some similarities in terms of the retracement (highlighted in blue) but from a timeframe analysis, there is no comparing this high to the previous:
stretching from March to October where classical bear market symptoms were show - lower highs and lower lows, with a duration unlike any of the previous cycles.
Interestingly, the previous season we increased not even 7% from the previous peak. And if we were to look at the same fractal, that places us around $116k.
But the ONE thing, that has had me suspicious this entire time (🥁) was ETH. Overlaying the ETH chart, we see that historically, ETH peaked a week or two after the BTC ATH - until this time.
The fact that BTC made such a dramatic ATH and Ethereum didn't? That was a new one. And even up to now, ETH is still 80% away only from it's previous ATH - imagine the altseason we will have IF ETH makes a new ATH... or will this time just be , different ?