BTC: Weekly and Daily UPtrends Confirmed.Now that we have the Weekly and Daily re-taken their UPtrends what follows is a pullback which it shouldn't be too deep and then bounce and by the end of June price should be near or above the $ 118k mark, once it gets there and most important how it gets there will tells us if the move is strong enough to take price to the $ 136k mark or it will stall and drop like a rock. Will see but for now Bitcoin looks great and as long is above it Weekly Zero Line there's nothing to worry about. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen and enjoy the ride.
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC Weekly Play As Called, Price Explodes from Demand Zone This move was no surprise.
Weeks ago, I pointed out the weekly demand zone between 93K–95K as a key area for buyers to step in.
Order flow confirmed absorption — we didn’t wait for retail confirmation.
Now price is following through exactly as forecasted, pushing toward 125K.
This is the power of combining structure with order flow and real market intent.
📍 Called it before it happened.
📈 Traded it with conviction.
📊 Now letting it run.
Want access to this level of precision? You already know what to do.
Just a quick word of WARNING for BITCOIN- Local resistanceEasy to see and understand line od resistance here.
This is trhe line of rejection from 2017 and could well pose a problem in the short term
Technically, PA has the ability to break through this line but we need to see if it does.
BITCOIN is at a crossroads and this is just one of about 3 things that stand in ts way.
As mentioned earlier today, we have crossed one major hurdle today, this is the next one.
Hold on tight Guys and Gals, things could get very interesting but, for now, my preferred move for BTC is to range across for a little longer and come back to this next month
Unless the next 8 days are a strong push above this line and then try and stay above it
Is this Bitcoin’s final push before altcoin season?Bitcoin breakout confirmed. But what if AVAX and other altcoins are where the real profits are hiding? Let’s talk targets, setups, and the coming shift in momentum.
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BTC/USD Bullish Setup: Double Bottom Breakout Targeting $110,000 Trade Setup Analysis
1. Support & Resistance Zones
Support Zone (Buy Zone):
Highlighted in purple, between $103,764 and $104,633, with a noted stop loss area near $104,061.
Resistance/Target Zone (Take Profit Area):
Around $109,878 – $110,002 labeled as “EA TARGET POINT”.
2. Double Bottom Pattern (Bullish Signal)
There are two orange circles at the bottom, indicating a double bottom pattern—often a bullish reversal signal.
This is supported by a neckline break near the entry point at $104,534.
3. Moving Averages
Two moving averages are displayed:
Likely a short-term MA (red) and a medium/long-term MA (blue).
The price crossing above both suggests bullish momentum.
4. Trade Plan
Entry Point: Around $104,534
Stop Loss: Below $104,061
Take Profit (Target): $109,878 – $110,002
Risk/Reward Ratio: High, given the tight stop and wide target.
📈 Price Projection
The blue arrowed path suggests:
A minor dip or consolidation near $104,534, followed by a strong upward move toward the target zone.
The movement outlines a classic cup-and-handle or double-bottom breakout pattern.
🧠 Conclusion
This is a bullish trading setup for BTC/USD with a favorable risk-reward ratio. The chart suggests:
Buying near $104,534
Stop loss just below support
Targeting a move to ~$110,000
Cryptocurrency: Analyzing the Digital Asset RevolutionSince Bitcoin’s creation in 2009, cryptocurrencies have evolved from a niche tech experiment into a dynamic sector disrupting global finance. Grounded in decentralization and blockchain technology, cryptocurrencies aim to remove intermediaries and redefine money.
Key Characteristics
Decentralization: Operate on peer-to-peer networks, free from central authority.
Blockchain Technology: Immutable, transparent ledger ensures trust and security.
Tokenization: Real-world assets like real estate or art can be turned into digital tokens.
Market Dynamics
As of 2024, total crypto market cap exceeded $2.5 trillion.
Bitcoin remains the dominant asset, but Ethereum’s smart contract ecosystem has catalyzed massive growth across DeFi and NFTs.
Opportunities and Risks
Opportunities:
Financial Inclusion: Access for the unbanked via mobile wallets and stablecoins.
Innovation: Enabling decentralized apps, automated lending, and cross-border payments.
Risks:
Regulatory Uncertainty: Governments are actively evaluating oversight frameworks.
Volatility: Sudden price swings create high risk for investors.
Security: Hacks and scams continue to plague the sector, especially in DeFi.
Conclusion
Cryptocurrencies have launched a financial paradigm shift, but for mass adoption to take root, regulation, user protection, and scalability must mature.
Altcoins: Analyzing the Ecosystem Beyond BitcoinAltcoins — short for “alternative coins” — encompass all cryptocurrencies other than Bitcoin. Emerging as early as 2011, they have since evolved into a diversified sector aiming to improve upon Bitcoin’s limitations or explore new use cases.
Classification of Altcoins
Smart Contract Platforms (Ethereum, Solana): Enable programmable finance and decentralized applications (dApps).
Privacy Coins (Monero, Zcash): Focus on anonymity and data protection.
Utility and Infrastructure Tokens (Chainlink, Polkadot): Facilitate blockchain communication and ecosystem functionality.
Market Analysis
In 2024, altcoins made up roughly 48% of total crypto market capitalization.
Ethereum continues to lead as the foundational layer for DeFi, NFTs, and DAOs.
New entrants like Avalanche and Near Protocol are gaining ground through scalability improvements.
Key Strengths and Challenges
Strengths:
Drive innovation in DeFi, Web3, and tokenized finance.
Foster scalability, low-cost transactions, and cross-chain connectivity.
Challenges:
Fragmentation: Competing standards hinder interoperability.
Security Risks: Vulnerabilities in smart contracts can lead to major hacks.
Regulatory Exposure: SEC scrutiny may classify some tokens as securities.
Conclusion
Altcoins represent the innovative edge of the crypto sector. For investors, they offer high-reward opportunities, but also come with elevated risks. Understanding their ecosystems is essential for long-term participation.
Bitcoin: 106K Breakout To 113K Resistance.Bitcoin is attempting to break out of a minor consolidation which is a typical momentum continuation pattern. The updated wave count illustrates the potential (113K area) IF this breakout follows through over the coming week. While the structure is clearly bullish, I suspect this is a 5th of a 5th wave relative to the wave structure dating back to the 2017 peak (weekly chart). For traders this offers plenty of opportunities particularly on the long side, BUT for investors this means the higher it goes, the GREATER the risk. In other words, a break out to new highs should be considered an opportunity to take profits or reduce risk. Wave 5's typically appear to be the "best" time to get involved in a market, but offer the LEAST potential and the greatest risk.
I was not able to write my analysis over the previous week because I was hosting the ICTC 2025 (link in signature). My analysis the week before that was still bullish but I was anticipating a broader retrace which never materialized. Again the key in this game is ADJUSTING, not getting stuck on opinions. IF the 106K is compromised, and the daily candle closes strong, the breakout is more likely to follow through. This can lead price back to the 109K all time high. Since Wave 5's typically go higher than the Wave 3 peak, the next price objective is the 113K area which is proportional to Wave 1 on this impulse (similar length) when projected from the consolidation breakout (see illustration).
It is possible that Wave 5 can extend further, because the broader price structure is bullish. The mistake to avoid is thinking "it's just getting started". The further it goes, the greater the risk. Longer term investors are MOST vulnerable in situations like this because they are more likely to follow the "hype" that surrounds such moves while be completely ignorant to the shrinking shorter term potential. Wave 5's often characterize the idea that the majority of participants who were going to buy have bought, which means there will be much less potential demand in the near future.
This concept is NOT to be confused with long term fundamentals which often don't change. What changes is the sentiment and sentiment is what motivates price. The recent corrective move to the 76K low also illustrates this phenomenon. Fundamentally there was no reason for price to be pushing such lows. Such a move was provoked by the "perceived" risks brought on by the tariff drama which we know now was nothing more than a knee jerk reaction and an enormous buying opportunity for those who have the ability to see through the hype (read my analysis of that time).
In my opinion the best way to navigate this market is on smaller time frames. Anywhere from 1 minute to 4H offers more precise price references to mitigate risk from. Another consideration is if you plan to trade the broader time frame, use smaller than usual sizing if you plan to dollar cost average into higher prices. The trend is clearly BULLISH which means support levels are more likely to hold while resistances are likely to break. Expect more from longs and LESS from shorts. Short setups, while tempting are going to be lower probability. This should only be done by more experienced traders who understand how to manage the elevated risk. This is the mindset I will maintain UNTIL the market proves otherwise.
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
Now this is extremely interesting... and potentially scaryTake this how you like - but eerily similar pattern to what we saw back in 2022 prior to a massive pullback (almost 90% of the previous bullish breakout move).
Does the crypto market want to shock the world and trap every HODLER?
We know what to look out for...
Happy Trading :)
BITCOIN Seems to have Broken the LONG Term resistance- BIG DAY
The chart really does say it all
You can see the Arc, above PA that has rejected PA Every ATH since 2013
It created the point of rejection on 6 ATH in Total and presented a huge problem if it was not broken. And I can assure you, that arc touches Every ATH.
Just recently, this same line rejected PA Twice, with strength.
The Zoomed chart below shows you where we are now
This image shows you the two 2021 ATH points. and the last two touches { which I find remarkably close to the 2021 double ATH but in miniature }
And, as you can see, we have a candle ABOVE this Arc of resistance. and the Big question is now, WILL WE STAY ABOVE
And what is also notable is how this has happened perfectly at the end of the FIB TIME SCALE used.
This line will have to be tested as support one day and when that day comes, we really REALLY need to remain above.
And once we do that..we really will be in price discovery, in a way that we have never been before.
I am looking at some charts that may offer projected lines of resistance but I am waiting to see what happens here first before publishing them
ENJOY THE RIDE
Geopolitics, Markets & Real Strategy: It's No Longer Just About
We’re entering a new global phase. Politics, economics, and warfare no longer operate on separate tracks. What once was diplomacy is now turning into direct geopolitical tensions and strategic maneuvers that are reshaping global market behavior.
🧭 What’s happening?
China is stepping into the Gaza conflict
This breaks years of strategic neutrality in the Middle East.
It signals the start of a new indirect confrontation between China and the U.S.
Diplomacy is being replaced by displays of power
Global players are acting based on interests, not speeches.
This new phase is not just military—it’s financial, economic, and structural.
The U.S. is reacting through financial firepower
$16 billion in 20-year bonds were auctioned with exceptionally high yields.
Weak demand = rising concern over the U.S. deficit and debt sustainability.
📉 How are markets responding?
The Dow, Nasdaq, and S&P 500 are falling—not due to earnings, but geopolitical risk pricing.
Bitcoin and gold are strengthening as alternative safe-haven assets.
Short-duration bonds (like SHY) are gaining favor for their capital protection.
💡 How are we responding?
We’re applying a 3-phase strategy, with strict discipline based on our 20-point checklist—covering technicals, fundamentals, and mental clarity:
🔒 Phase 1 – Capital Protection
Holding 30–40% in liquidity
Investing in BTC, gold (GLD), and short-term bonds (SHY)
🔥 Phase 2 – Tactical Attack
Only entering if at least 19 out of 20 checklist points are met
Buying CALLs on strong technical rebounds in solid names (MSFT, AMZN, TLT)
Using precise stop-losses and <1% risk per trade
🔭 Phase 3 – Post-Crisis Positioning
Accumulating in defensive sectors: energy, healthcare, defense, AI
Building a hybrid portfolio: resilience + growth
🧨 China’s Ace Up Its Sleeve
What few mention is that China doesn’t only hold political or military influence.
It holds a financial bomb in silence: over $770 billion in U.S. Treasury debt.
👉 If China were to start unloading that debt—accepting the losses as collateral damage—the consequences could be devastating:
Bond yields would spike; U.S. debt would become harder to sustain
Stocks and bond markets would plunge
A crisis of confidence in the U.S. economy could erupt
Global recession risk would skyrocket
In modern geopolitical chess, sometimes sacrificing a pawn is the strategy to threaten the king.
🎯 Final Takeaway
These are not times to trade on emotion.
These are times to trade with strategic vision, disciplined risk control, and mental strength.
And those who grasp this early… won’t just survive—they’ll dominate the new cycle.
💬 How are you positioning your portfolio in this new cycle?
📩 Want access to my full 20-point checklist or strategic breakdown? Drop a comment below.
BTC/USD: Structural Breakout of Curved Resistance – Eyes on $116Technical Overview:
Bitcoin (BTC) has successfully completed a significant technical breakout after months of accumulation and resistance interaction. The chart highlights a precise market structure where price has moved from a phase of consolidation into a confirmed bullish breakout, with a clearly defined target and invalidation level.
1. SR Interchange Zone (Support-turned-Resistance):
From May to October 2024, BTC price action was trapped in a sideways range, marked by an extended accumulation phase between approximately $60,000 to $73,000. This zone acted as a historical resistance level during the downtrend, but was later flipped into support, forming a classic SR Interchange — a foundational concept in market structure analysis.
This area provided a strong base from which BTC launched its late 2024 rally.
2. Consolidation Below Curved Resistance (Dec 2024 – Apr 2025):
Following a steep bullish impulse, BTC entered a multi-month consolidation phase, forming a rounded top pattern — shown on the chart as the Black Mind Curve Resistance. This curved resistance represented a psychological and structural ceiling, suppressing bullish momentum and trapping liquidity.
Price action was tightly compressed under this dynamic resistance curve, with multiple failed breakout attempts. This period was marked by range-bound volatility and low directional commitment — classic behavior during a re-accumulation phase.
3. Breakout of Black Mind Curve Resistance (May 2025):
A major technical event occurred as BTC broke decisively above the Black Mind Curve Resistance, accompanied by a surge in bullish momentum. This move not only invalidated the prior rounding top structure but also confirmed a trend continuation breakout.
The breakout was clean, with strong follow-through volume and a higher high structure above the Major Horizontal Resistance Zone (~$105,000–$109,000) — now confirmed as flipped support.
4. Bullish Continuation & Price Target:
Following the breakout, BTC has established a higher low and continued its upward trajectory toward the marked target zone at $116,065. This zone coincides with:
Previous untested supply levels
Technical Fibonacci extension (1.272–1.618 zone)
Measured move from the curve structure base
With current momentum and structure intact, BTC remains bullishly biased until it either reaches the target zone or breaks below the invalidation level.
5. Invalidation & Risk Management:
A close below $102,005 — the defined SI (Support-Invalidation) level — would be considered structurally bearish. This level represents:
The most recent higher low
Base of the breakout structure
Re-entry into previous consolidation range
A breakdown below this level would invalidate the bullish thesis and may open the door for a deeper pullback toward $95,000 or even $88,000.
✅ Conclusion:
The breakout of the Black Mind Curve Resistance marks a significant technical shift in Bitcoin’s trend. With momentum in favor of the bulls and market structure supporting higher prices, BTC appears poised to test the $116,000 target zone in the short to mid-term — barring a breakdown below key support.
📌 Key Levels Recap:
Level Type Price
Target Zone $116,065
Current Price $110,902
Support / Invalidation (SI) $102,005
📈 Strategy Outlook:
Bias: Bullish
Entry Area: Retest of $107,000–$109,000 (if offered)
Target: $116,065
Stop-Loss: Below $102,005 (structural invalidation)
💬 Stay focused on structure, not emotions. The best trades are born from patience, not prediction.
Let me know if you'd like a summary version for use on social media or a custom signature block for your TradingView profile.
Bitcoin Make New All Time High!Bitcoin just flipped the script.
After multiple days of confirmed bearish divergence on the daily RSI – one of my favorite signals – price has now decisively pushed higher, likely invalidating the setup. This is a strong reminder that no signal is right all the time, and market context always matters more than indicators in isolation.
We now have a new all-time high on both a closing and intraday basis, coupled with a clear surge in volume on the breakout – a textbook bullish confirmation. Price has left the $109,358 zone behind and is holding firmly above it as of now.
The structure couldn’t be cleaner. Higher lows, consistent buying pressure, and now continuation to the upside even in the face of temporary overbought conditions. This was a classic example of “bearish divergence failure” – which often leads to explosive upside as shorts get trapped.
Momentum is back on Bitcoin’s side. The next resistance is undefined territory, but psychologically, the $115K and $120K levels could attract attention.
Bottom line: Bitcoin is doing what strong assets do in bull trends – invalidating bearish signals and grinding higher.
New highs for bitcoin above $110,000Bitcoin has performed very strongly overall since the second half of last month, moving up to test fresh record highs currently. Possible American deregulation is in focus while appetite for risk has recovered recently as rhetoric on trade, particularly between China and the USA, has calmed down significantly. MVRV is about 2.2, so the uptrend might be mature, but sentiment remains mostly greedy. The more dovish scenarios for the Fed this year seem much less likely than around this time last month with a plurality of participants now expecting only two cuts by the end of 2025.
From the chart, it's also pretty clear that the medium-term uptrend starting around the middle of April is mature. Buying saturation from the stochastic or RSI is obvious but this usually isn't such an important factor for a cryptocurrency. The 100% weekly Fibonacci extension was previously a resistance so might now flip to being an area of support if the price can hold above $107,000 for more than a couple of days. The obvious longer term target would be the 161.8% Fibonacci expansion around $140,000.
An immediate consolidation or correction much below $100,000 seems quite unlikely under the current circumstances. The main dynamic support for now could be the 20 SMA around $102,600. This is a potentially difficult situation for new buyers because it presents a dilemma whether to 'jump on the rocket' quickly at the risk of there being no more 'rocket' for a while or to wait for a significant consolidation which equally might mean missing any further 'rocket'.
This is my personal opinion, not the opinion of Exness. This is not a recommendation to trade.
Bitcoin Market Update 22-May-25Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration.
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Bitcoin could surprise with new ATHs- one of the more tricky analysis since technically BTC could be in a HTF downtrend so looking for very high upside targets is not the best idea
- that said, there are some interesting developments here:
1. PA has broken the very clear downtrend line
2. S/R flip just recently confirmed on the 4H time-frame suggests the bull strength is real
3. perhaps most importantly, Bitcoin has traded differently to US equities for the last couple of days with SPX heading sharply lower but Bitcoin not really following and even rallying (something unheard of until this year!)
It is too early to tell whether this is a new dynamic between the two and certainly far too early to say that Bitcoin has become a risk-off/alternative asset but with Trump fundamentally changing the flow of goods, services and most importantly capital it may be time to discard all the old, known asset correlations aside.
High conviction that Bitcoin heads to at least the 92k - 94k region. Possibility of a surprise run towards previous and perhaps even new ATHs is present and would be confirmed if Bitcoin starts holding the 95 - 96k level.
Ultimately, it is rather likely that the upcoming move is fake/nothing but a bear rally and lower prices are expected or at the very least it is unlikely upside PA for Bitcoin gets sustained in the long term UNTIL
.. as long as Solana is not trading below 80$, chances are we are still in a bear(ish) market.
May 21 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There is no separate indicator announcement today.
After the red finger chase purchase,
I explained the main demand section drawing and price.
I applied it to Bitcoin as is.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
At the bottom left, the purple finger
connects the strategy to the long position entry section that was entered on the 20th.
*When the red finger moves,
it is a one-way long position strategy.
1. $105,263.7 long position entry section / stop loss price when the sky blue support line is broken
2. $108,207.6 long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target -> Good 3rd target price
The 1st section at the top is the rising wave confirmation section,
and the strategy is more likely to succeed if the purple support line is broken after the touch.
(If it goes up right away, there is a possibility of a vertical rise)
Red finger long hold
If it goes down right away without touching, it is the final long hold strategy at 2.
From the 2nd section deviation, I marked Bottom -> 3
Since the mid-term pattern was broken yesterday,
you should succeed in rebounding within the green support line if possible.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use,
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and stop loss prices.
Thank you.
Artavion Analysts Forecast Bitcoin to Reach $100,000 by End of MThe analytical company Artavion has released an updated forecast for the price of Bitcoin (BTC) by the end of May 2025. According to the experts, amid sustained institutional demand and limited supply following the recent halving, the price of the leading cryptocurrency could reach $100,000 in the coming days.
Key Growth Drivers
Analysts highlight several factors contributing to Bitcoin's price growth:
📈 Institutional Demand: Ongoing accumulation by investment funds and banks through spot ETFs approved in the U.S. and Asia.
⛏ Reduced Supply: The April halving has decreased miner rewards, limiting daily BTC issuance.
🇺🇸 Fed Policy Easing: Expectations of interest rate cuts are increasing demand for alternative assets, including crypto.
💼 Market Confidence: Growth in long-term holders and increasing BTC withdrawals from exchanges indicate a “HODLing” trend among investors.
Company Comment
"We are witnessing stable accumulation and a capital shift into digital assets. If markets avoid major shocks, Bitcoin has every chance to consolidate above $95,000 and briefly test the psychological barrier of $100,000," said Alexey Gurov, senior strategist at Artavion.
Potential Risks
Despite the optimistic outlook, analysts point out several risks that could impact the forecast:
📉 Unexpected macroeconomic data (e.g., rising inflation, stronger U.S. dollar);
⚠️ Regulatory actions from the SEC or other global bodies;
🌍 Escalation of geopolitical tensions, which could trigger risk-off sentiment.
Conclusion
Considering the current market environment and macroeconomic expectations, Artavion maintains a positive short-term outlook for Bitcoin through the end of May, while cautioning investors to remain aware of the sector’s inherent volatility and risk.
Unveiling Crypto Market Insights - Bitcoin Price DiscoveryGM bitcoin enthusiasts,
Yesterday, Bitcoin hit a new all-time high of $110,730 on Bitstamp, with a record daily close at $109,682. 🚀
Today, BTC is continuing its upward momentum, seemingly unfazed by resistance at the previous all-time high around the $109K level. Bulls remain in control—for now.
So the question is:
- Is this a true breakout signaling continuation of the rally?
- Or is this just a deviation above resistance that needs to cool off before making new highs?
- Could we be facing a stronger correction soon?
Curious to hear your thoughts—are you riding this wave, or playing it cautious?
P.S. There’s something poetic about Bitcoin making new highs on Bitcoin Pizza Day. 🍕 Maybe it's the perfect excuse to treat yourself to a slice and reflect on how far we've come.