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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

₿itcoin: Pushing Higher—But Watch for a Reversal AheadAfter taking a brief pause over the weekend, Bitcoin resumed its upward momentum early this morning, trading within the blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. This marks the first time the cryptocurrency giant has traded above the key $120,000 level. Within this zone, and in line with our primary scenario, we continue to anticipate the peak of the corrective wave B rally, followed by a trend reversal to the downside. We expect a significant wave C decline, targeting the lower blue zone between $62,395 and $51,323. As such, prices in the upper blue Target Zone may present an opportunity to take (partial) profits on existing long positions and, where appropriate, to initiate potential short positions as a hedge. These shorts could be protected with a stop 1% above the upper boundary of the zone, given there remains a 35% probability that Bitcoin could break directly above the $130,891 resistance and set a new high as blue wave alt.(i). 📈 Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MarketIntel
1
BTC/USD: 15-Min Reversal Attempt at Key Trendline SupportThis 15-minute chart for BTC/USD highlights a potential reversal opportunity following a significant downtrend. Price has found support at a confluence of a rising long-term trendline and a defined demand zone around 119,271 - 119,477.5. The analysis focuses on the current consolidation at this support, looking for bullish candlestick patterns to confirm a move towards retesting the prior breakdown level (now resistance) at 120,500 - 120,700. Key observations include the breakdown from a previous support, the current bounce, and the defined risk-reward setup for a potential long entry."
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by eltfes
1
Bitcoin Pump & Dump.. Something Nobody Is Mentioning.A massive Bitcoin correction is coming. This was the peak imo. Ask yourself this question.... Why did Bitcoin move now? Simple answer it is a pump into events in a few months and will dump. They pumped it and promoted the pump mainstream to get newbs to chase at the high. Now the important part that nobody else is talking about except me!!!! Look at Bitcoins chart over 15 years. It either drops or runs flat when the FED cuts rates. What is coming soon? Multiple Fed cuts and a new FED chief. That is why they pumped it now. Remember Bitcoin is traded against the dollar. When the dollar is cheap Bitcoin falls. When the dollar is expensive Bitcoin moves. Form 2017 to 2020 the FEDs left rates unchanged and low... Bitcoin traded in the 7k-13k range for those 3- 4 years... In October 2021... They dropped it hard from 60k to 16k in 2 years (shakeout). Used the Sam Bankman story as the catalyst.. Investors knew rates were going back up in the near term so they got people out. What happened in 2022 after Covid to justify this 3 year bull run.... FEDS KEPT RAISING RATES AND KEEPING THEM HIGH and here we are at the end of that cycle. Expecting this to slowly start dropping at this level, for the next year or 2.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by ICharted
1
What no one expects will happen with BitcoinAll markets go through expansion phases and correction phases. As hard as it may be to believe, Bitcoin and the entire crypto space will also face their macro correction at some point. That doesn’t mean it’s going to crash into oblivion or that it’s all a scam — not at all. What I believe is that when that major correction hits, it will open the door to real buying opportunities. And maybe, in 10 or 15 years, once the bear cycle has fully played out, Bitcoin will be ready to climb to 200k, 400k, 600k — or wherever the next cycle takes us.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Jaguime
1
Btcusd techinical analysis.This chart is a 1-hour candlestick chart for Bitcoin/US Dollar (BTC/USD) from OKX, analyzed using TradingView. Here's a breakdown of the technical elements: --- 🔍 Key Observations: 1. Current Price $120,054.6 with a +0.77% gain. Price appears to be rebounding from recent support. 2. Chart Patterns & Annotations Yellow Zigzag Lines: Indicate recent price action and a potential bullish reversal pattern forming. Purple Zones: Likely represent key support and resistance levels. Pink Downtrend Line: A descending trendline showing the bearish resistance. Blue Box Area: Suggests a potential price movement range—either up or down. --- 📈 Technical Analysis Insights ✅ Bullish Case (Upside Scenario) Break above descending trendline could lead BTC to: Target: ~122,800 - 123,000 Potential
OKX:BTCUSDLong
by Rickypher
Retail in?After almost 3 decades as a trader, if there is one thing I have learned over the years, significant highs are made when sentiment is at extremes. Whether it is "mom and pop" or the "shoeshine guy" calling the top, it's when the buying (or selling) by retail is at a fever pitch. These days, you can't find a bear in Bitcoin, and the days on end of reports preaching "record inflows" is almost deafening.  Technically, Bitcoin is probing some key resistance today. It's stalled by the 161% Fibonacci extension of the recent early May highs to June lows. More importantly is the 127% extension of the January highs to April lows. RSI is very divergent as price hits new highs. And with sentiment at near extremes, bulls should be careful now. And a break back below the 112k level would be a very bearish "topping pattern" event. 
EIGHTCAP:BTCUSD
by ForexAnalytixPipczar
BITCOIN BREAKS OUT OF CHANNEL AND NOW AT ALL TIME HIGHS!Hey Traders wow just a few week ago I was watching to see if it was going to pullback instead smashes above all time high. Thats how quick these markets can change in the blink of an eye! Lesson here (Always Expect the Unexpected in the Markets!) 😁 Ok so now we have channel breakout above resistance at 112,100. About 70% of the time market will retest this level before continuing the trend. This could be a great place to buy on the pullback! So if your bullish buy around $112,100-113,000 I would recommend a wide stop to give the market room to breath around 106,970. However if bearish I would not consider selling unless market has complete reversal and has daily close below uptrendline at 106,000 . Bears Be careful because this Bull looks like it has Horns! Good Luck & Always use Risk Management! (Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.) Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃 Clifford
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TradeTheIndex
Major Flag Breakout Meets Multi-Year Resistance – What’s Next?After breaking out of the large flag pattern that had been forming on the daily chart, Bitcoin pushed upward with conviction — fueled by a clean 4-hour impulse move. This move carried price directly into a major resistance zone that has held for the past 7–8 years. I was initially skeptical of a full continuation here, given the historic strength of this zone. But observing how price behaved — especially the smooth structural advance, EMA alignment, and volume absorption — I’ve revised my bias. We’ve seen liquidity swept from the downside, and price continues to find support in every micro-dip. Given the compression and resilience at these levels, I now expect the market to push further. Key zone to watch: If we reclaim the midrange after this consolidation, a clean extension beyond the resistance becomes increasingly likely. Caution: This is not a blind long — entries must be placed with discipline, especially as we test macro resistance. #BTC #PriceAction #TradingView #CryptoAnalysis #Breakout
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by getthelukas
What if Analysis for BitcoinNormal Cycles are dead!! According to extended measurements, elliot waves, fib retracements, trend analysis, cyclic lines and QE timeframes, we might see a different play this time, which will leave everyone sidelined i.e Max Pain. We saw for the first time a Bitcoin bull run while we are in a Quantitative Environment. This means that BTC from now on works as a risk off asset. So, imagine we have a local top on September 2025, where the normal cycle ends around 160k then a quick drop at 130k where everyone thinks the bear market is here and after that quick pump on 250k. Then 9 months bear market (usually 12 months) but now shorter cause we have an extended short term cycle for bull run and after that we hit on 2027 directly 700k USD, where we find the huge bear market which will last longer than usual leading to 100k usd on 2030. The target of 700k usd alligns perfectly with fib levels, trend resistances Larry Fink prediction of BTC going to 700k and lastly and most important due to the published data of FED of wanting to revalue gold to buy 1 million btc in the next years. If we multiply gold's price around 3400k per ounce, multiply USA gold reserves (which is in tons, so we have to convert ounces to tons) and then divide that number with 1,000,000 BTC, guess the price--> yes correctly 700k per BTC!!!!!!!!! Let's go boyz!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by NcTrd
1
BTCUSDBTCUSD is currently trading at 120,246, presenting a favorable buy zone near the current price. The first resistance level lies at 123,352, where price may face initial selling pressure. The second resistance is stronger at 125,857, indicating a more significant hurdle for upward momentum. A confirmation of bullish strength will be established if BTCUSD breaks and holds above 126,857. Traders can consider entering long positions around 120,000–120,300, aligning with the current market level. To manage risk, a stop-loss should be placed just below the key support at 117,988.
OKX:BTCUSD.PLong
by Ali_Explorer
BTCUSD Weekly Outlook📅 Date: July 14, 2025 📍 Timeframe: 1W (Weekly) 🔍 Key Zones: 🔴 $131,839 – $140,000: Major liquidity pool & reversal zone 🔵 $74,458: External range liquidity target Bitcoin has been pushing higher week after week, but this setup hints at a trap for late bulls. Here’s what I’m watching: Reversal Zone Between $131K – $140K Price is approaching a critical area packed with buy-side liquidity, where I anticipate a liquidity sweep followed by a shift in market structure. This area also aligns with previous highs and psychological resistance. Liquidity Sweep & Break of Structure Once price sweeps the highs and takes out weak hands, I expect a bearish breaker block to form as the reversal confirms. This will be the key signal for a move down. Targeting External Range Liquidity at $74K The sharp decline afterward is expected to reach the external range liquidity around $74,458, taking out long-term resting liquidity. This aligns with clean inefficiencies and unmitigated imbalances on the chart. 🔔 Conclusion: While the short-term bias may remain bullish into the red zone, I’m prepping for a high-probability swing short after signs of exhaustion and confirmation at the top. This is a classic smart money play—liquidity grab, breaker, and redistribution. 📌 Set alerts around $131K – $140K and monitor for structure breaks and bearish rejections.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by realalvaritarfa
Bitcoin Renko Breakout Confirmation with CryptoQuant NetflowFrom late 2024 till now, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) was consolidating within a broad sideways range between well-defined support and resistance levels on the 4H Renko chart. During this time, market indecision was obvious as neither bulls nor bears could establish dominance. Recently, BTC has decisively broken out above the major resistance zone at ~$108,000 — as seen with my custom Renko + Decision Tree + S/R Channel script ( ). This breakout above resistance technically suggests the end of range-bound price action and the potential start of a new bullish trend, especially when confirmed by on-chain data. On-Chain Netflow Confirmation As I originally highlighted in my CryptoQuant Netflow analysis (published under the username ‘cryptoonchain’ on CryptoQuant platform): Total Exchange Netflow for Bitcoin has recently dropped to its lowest level since February 16, 2023 — at which point the last bullish cycle began. Negative Netflow means more BTC is being withdrawn from exchanges than deposited, indicating reduced selling pressure and strong holder conviction. Binance-specific Netflow also confirms massive outflows, a sign whales and large traders are accumulating and withdrawing funds from trading venues. Historically, this combination — a technical breakout (Renko) and deep negative on-chain netflow (dataset: CryptoQuant) — has preceded major bull runs. Summary Based on both my Renko model and current on-chain flows: The breakout above 108,000 resistance marks the start of a likely new uptrend for BTC (now 119,000). On-chain data via CryptoQuant strongly supports the bullish scenario. Invalidation If BTC returns below $108,000 and consolidates there, this bullish outlook is invalidated and a reassessment is required.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by cryptoonchain
BTC/USDT HIDDEN PATTERN! SM, FIB AND MORE COMFIRMED!Price Resilience Amid Geopolitical Stress Bitcoin demonstrated remarkable strength during the Israel-Iran conflict, briefly dipping to ~$98K but swiftly rebounding above $105K. This aligns with historical patterns where BTC initially sells off on geopolitical shocks but recovers aggressively within weeks, outperforming gold and equities by 15-60% post-crisis. There is a $96K-$94K "footprint" that coincided with institutional accumulation, evidenced by $1.37B in spot ETF inflows during the conflict week, led by BlackRock's IBIT ($240M single-day inflow) according to official information. This institutional backstop and many others might single-handedly prevented a deeper correction for now, remember that smart money psychology is to create cause out of thin air and buy during selling and indecisive times. Critical Levels to Watch Immediate Support: $108k area is vital. A sustained hold here maintains short-term bullish momentum. The 50-day SMA near $102.8K (tested during June 13 conflict sell-off) remains a macro support floor. Resistance & Targets: The $112K ATH is the near-term ceiling. Breaking this requires stronger spot demand—currently, net exchange inflows are negative, indicating weak retail participation or traders that are backing off for now.There's a $120K target (0.618 Fib) aligned with Standard Chartered’s $150K year-end model if ETF inflows persist. Risk Zones: A close below $108.3K risks a slide to $105K. Failure here opens path to $96K and a further break of this 92k to 96k zone could lead directly to 70k area or even lower if economical and social activities are not favorable in the near to medium future.Dominance above 55% (currently 65%) delays alt season, but a break below 60% could ignite alts in a positive way. Macro Catalysts & Market Sentiment Policy Tailwinds: Trump’s "One Big Beautiful Bill" (proposing $5T debt ceiling hike and U.S. strategic BTC reserves) could weaken the USD, boosting BTC’s "digital gold" narrative. DXY’s -9% YTD drop already correlates with BTC’s 54% post-election rally. Fed Influence: Pressure to cut rates (amid cooling employment data) may accelerate institutional rotation into BTC. ETF inflows hit $2.75B in late June, signaling renewed institutional FOMO. Geopolitical Cooling: Iran-Israel ceasefire talks reduced immediate panic, but residual volatility risk remains. Traders note BTC often rallies 20-40% within 60 days of conflict events. Structural Challenges Liquidity Fragility: Whale moves (for example: 10K BTC sell orders) now impact prices more due to ETF-driven liquidity concentration. Recent $98K flash crash exemplified this. Regulatory Overhang: MiCA compliance costs in the EU and U.S. security-reclassification proposals could pressure smaller tokens, though BTC’s status appears secure 28. Seasonal Slump: July historically sees 6.1% of annual crypto volume—low volatility may delay breakouts until August 4. Strategic Outlook A July breakout above $112K could ignite the next leg to $120K, but a retest of $107K-$105K is likely first. Altcoins remain subdued until BTC dominance breaks <55%—select projects with institutional backing (for example, ETF candidates) or real-world utility for asymmetric opportunities. Conclusion: BTC’s resilience amid chaos confirms its institutional maturity. Trade the $108.3K-$112K range aggressively, with a break above ATH targeting $120K by September. Always hedge tail risks (escalations, regulatory shocks) in this volatility-rich asset class. While this great surge in institutional inflow is good for BTC it also indicates a reduction or slower pace of other crypto currencies. This is my analysis for BTC, let me know what you think and I hope you like it!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Neldjouw
4
BTC/USD: Rejection from 123,000 Triggers Correction Market Overview: Bitcoin surged to the 123,000 resistance zone, completing a potential ABC bullish pattern. The price has since pulled back sharply, indicating the start of a correction. Current price action suggests consolidation within the 116,600 – 123,000 range, as traders lock in profits and reassess direction. Technical Signals & Formations: — ABC bullish pattern completed at the top — Strong weekly resistance at 123,000 — Horizontal support at 116,600 acting as key pivot — EMA(144) far below, suggesting room for deeper correction if weakness persists Key Levels: Resistance: 123,000, 126,000 Support: 116,600, 113,800, 113,000, 110,580 Scenario: Primary: continued pullback toward 116,600. A breakdown below this level may lead to further downside targeting 113,800–113,000. Alternative: stabilization within the range, followed by a rebound and potential retest of 123,000.
ACTIVTRADES:BTCUSDLong
by DENOLLAFINANCERU
Bitcoin’s 486-Day Halving Blueprint: The $200,000 Blowoff?Summary Bitcoin’s price consistently follows a 3-phase structure after each halving, with ~486 days per phase. If history repeats, we are nearing the end of the parabolic phase, with a potential peak around $200,000, before entering a structured drawdown. Halving Cycles: The Real Clock Behind Bitcoin Bitcoin’s monetary policy is pre-programmed. A halving occurs approximately every 210,000 blocks (~4 years), and market behaviour after each halving follows this repeating pattern: Phase 1: Parabolic Rally (0 to 70,000 blocks post-halving). Phase 2: Major Drawdown (70,000 to 140,000 blocks). Phase 3: Equilibrium Phase (140,000 to 210,000 blocks). Each phase lasts approximately 486 days, and this structure has repeated reliably since 2012. Phase 1: The Parabolic Rally (Current Phase) We are currently in the growth segment of the cycle: Price rising rapidly. Miner profitability at highs. Hashrate and network security increasing. MVRV Z-Score steadily climbing, but not yet overextended. Roughly 700,000 BTC are mined during this period, creating a supply shock as issuance is halved while demand accelerates. Phase 2: The Drawdown (Expected Next) Historically begins between block 70,000 to 140,000 post-halving. Market peaks and begins to correct. Miner margins compress. Hashrate may plateau or decline. Forced selling and miner capitulation drive volatility. Price retraces significantly from the peak. This phase resets the market and eliminates unsustainable excess. Phase 3: The Equilibrium Phase Occurs between block 140,000 to 210,000 post-halving. Price enters consolidation. Realized value and market price converge. Ideal accumulation period for long-term investors. Network fundamentals stabilize ahead of the next halving. This phase is critical in building the base for the next cycle. MVRV Z-Score: Market Thermometer The chart includes the MVRV Z-Score, a key metric showing how far price deviates from realized value: Readings above 6.0 have consistently marked cycle tops. Readings near or below 0 have marked major bottoms. Current value is around 2.67 — indicating a rising trend, but not overheated. This metric reflects market-wide profitability and speculative pressure. Why $200,000 Is in Sight The projected resistance curve on the chart suggests that: $200,000 aligns with the top of the long-term parabolic channel. It corresponds with the expected end of the parabolic phase (Q1–Q2 2026). It fits prior extension patterns following each halving. It is a strong psychological target, likely to trigger heavy profit-taking. This price level is not arbitrary—it is derived from the same structure that defined previous peaks. What Comes After If the historical cycle structure remains intact: The peak should occur before mid-2026. A deep correction phase follows, likely into 2027. True bottoms tend to occur as miner capitulation concludes and difficulty adjusts downward. This is where conviction and preparation matter most. Final Thoughts Bitcoin cycles are not random. They are structured around block height, issuance, and miner economics. Every cycle since 2012 has followed this 486-day framework, divided across parabola, crash, and reset. This model has outperformed calendar-based predictions and technical narratives. Disclaimer This content is for educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or trading advice. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always do your own research and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making investment decisions. The author holds no responsibility for any losses incurred as a result of using the information presented herein.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Theperfectionist
6