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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

Bitcoin: tariffs and inflationFor one more week investors were not happy with developments over trade tariffs and inflation expectations. The US equity markets finished the week in red, and BTC was just following the general sentiment. During the first half of the week, BTC was trying to reach higher grounds, above the $ 88K, however, the new stories regarding tariffs and especially Friday's University of Michigan inflation expectation sentiment of US consumers, brought another sell-off day. The BTC ended the week at the level of $82,4K. The RSI tried to breach the 50 level in order to start a path toward the overbought market side, however, the indicator ended the week at the level of 44. At this moment, it is questionable whether the market is eyeing the oversold market side for one more time. It is more likely that the investors are uncertain which side to trade. Significant developments are also with MA50 and MA200 lines, which are converging toward each other for some time now, pointing to a probability of a cross within a few weeks from now. This time, it will be a so-called dead cross, implying a BTCs potential for further decrease in value. Current charts are showing a potential for BTC to move toward both sides during the week ahead. On an upside, there is some probability for the levels above $85K, but not higher from $86K. On the opposite side, the support line at $80K might easily be the first stop of BTC in the week ahead. However, this is not a long term significant level, so in case that $80K is reached, the BTC will not spend too much time testing it. It should be considered that NFP and unemployment data for the US will be posted, so volatility will most probably continue also in the week ahead.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by XBTFX
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 61.8% Fibonacci support. Pivot: 84,019.80 1st Support: 72,880.23 1st Resistance: 91,396.07 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by ICmarkets
1
Bitcoin Purchase Program!The chart uses Fibonacci retracement from a low of around $60,290 to a high of $107,187 to find potential support and resistance levels. Key levels: 0.236 (23.6%) at $96,119 (resistance) 0.382 (38.2%) at $89,272 0.5 (50%) at $83,738 (current price zone) 0.618 (61.8%) at $78,205 (strong support) 0.786 (78.6%) at $70,326 Current Price Action BTC is currently trading around $83,361. It has retraced to the 50% Fibonacci level, which is often seen as a critical zone for trend continuation. Trend Projection A downward trendline was broken, suggesting a possible trend reversal. A bullish move (red arrow) is projected, targeting the green resistance box around $116,000 - $120,000. The price needs to break above $89,272 and $96,119 to confirm this upward move. Key Takeaway If BTC holds above the 50% retracement level and continues upward, it could be aiming for a new high. If it fails, it may retest the $78,205 or $70,326 support levels before another attempt at breaking out.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Abbas_GoatEon
BITCOIN Breaking Down – Is $78K Inevitable?COINBASE:BTCUSD is continuing its bearish trend after rejecting from the resistance level within the descending channel. The price formed a converging triangle at this level and broke out to the downside, confirming strong selling pressure. If sellers maintain control at this level, we could see a drop toward the $78,000 level, which aligns with a key support level. This zone could serve as a short-term target within the current bearish market structure. However, failure to break below this support zone could invalidate the bearish outlook and signal a potential rebound. Traders should monitor bearish confirmation signals, such as weak pullbacks, lower highs, or increasing selling volume, before entering short positions. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by DanieIM
228
#202513 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Evening and I hope you are well. comment: Textbook breakout below the bear flag and market is likely on it’s way testing previous lows below 80000. My target 75000 or even 70000 remain the same. What would bulls need to stop this? I highly doubt they can produce a bull surprise above 90000, so if they would go sideways above 80000 for the next 1-3 days, it could have been enough to stop the selling and keep the trading range 80000 - 89000 alive for some more. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 70k - 90k bull case: Only chance for bulls I see here is going sideways and stopping the selling above 80000. Otherwise I don’t have anything for them. They have touched the bear trend line 3 times now and failed. Did not change much to last week since market has not invalidated anything of it. Invalidation is below 70k. bear case: Bears need to close the bull gap down to 73800, no ifs or buts. If they do not create better selling pressure next week and close a daily bar below 80k, market has likely turned more neutral again and both sides have equal odds of the next impulse. Invalidation is above 94k. short term: Neutral. Need strong selling momentum again for me to join this. medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon. current swing trade: Short since 85000. Stop is 89000 no matter where you go short here. chart update: Removed one minor broken bear trend line.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by priceactiontds
3
BTC Analysis 2025 Roadmap - High timeframe BTC Analysis 2025 Roadmap As we embark on 2025, Bitcoin remains a pivotal player in the cryptocurrency landscape. This detailed analysis highlights crucial milestones, technical indicators, and market sentiment for traders to focus on throughout the year. 1. Market Sentiment: With Bitcoin trading at this level, sentiment may be bullish. Examine recent news and developments that might be influencing buyer interest. 2. Key Resistance Levels: The next resistance levels to watch could be around $85,000 and $90,000. A breakout above these levels may indicate further upside potential. 3. Support Levels: Consider key support levels at $80,000 and $75,000. A drop below these levels might signal a corrective phase. 4. Technical Indicators: Analyze your preferred technical indicators (like RSI, MACD, and moving averages) to gauge potential overbought or oversold conditions. 5. Trading Strategy: Based on the current price action, determine if a short-term trading strategy or a long-term hold approach aligns with your risk tolerance and market outlook. Keep in mind that market conditions can change rapidly, so staying informed and adjusting your strategy accordingly is crucial.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MarcaGroup
Bitcoin: Watching For Reversal 78K AREA.Bitcoin bear flag has become in play over the previous week as I anticipated in my previous week's analysis. While there is a potential minor support in the 81 to 80K area, the lower high established at 88K implies a lower low is likely to follow which can unfold this week. This scenario could see price retesting the 76K area low. There are a couple of potential opportunities that can present themselves in this situation. The day trade long off the 81,500 area support (see thin rectangle and arrow). This would be appropriate for the smaller time frames like 30 min or lower. Waiting for price structure confirmations and looking for profit objectives that are proportionally within reason on your selected time frame (Trade Scanner Pro is ideal for this). Price may see smaller time frame reversal patterns between 81,500 and 80K numerous times. It is important to take proportional profits because there is NO guarantee the reversal will follow through especially in the face of a lower probability bounce (thanks to the lower high established at 88K). The opportunity for larger time frames (like swing trades) is between 78 to 76K. This is the previous low and a broader double bottom formation can develop here. The confirmation patterns are the same as previously explained, except the profit objective can be much greater because of the magnitude of the levels in question. For example, if a long confirms at 78,500, risk would be like 2K points, profit objective would be 4K at minimum. Scaling out of a swing trade can also be considered here like selling half at 83.5K, another quarter at 84.5K and closing what is left at 85.5K. Scaling is a more advanced concept, if you find it confusing, just stick to a simple R:R of 2:1 or more all in all out in high potential situations. While the broader trend in Bitcoin is still bullish, the short term structure is bearish until proven otherwise by price. Trying to piece together news, economic reports, etc., I find to be nothing but confusing and often counterintuitive to how the market actually reacts. This is why I rely ONLY on price structure and support/resistance levels. They are objective and help me align with the market intent (and why a lot of my anticipated scenarios happen to play out). The fact that the short term structure is bearish implies support levels have a greater chance of breaking. This helps to shape my expectations, and also why it is so important to wait for confirmation. The reason I prefer longs over shorts in this situation is because I do not lose site of the BIG picture. The 76K to 73K area is VERY relevant location of a broader higher low. This is why you need to have a very deep understanding of the time frames you are using along with the potential and risks presented by reach one. The larger the time frame, the more weight it carries. The short term bearish trend is nothing more than a retrace of a broader BULLISH structure that has been in play since the 15K low a few years ago. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
7
BTCUSD POSSIBLE TRADE SETUPPotential Trade Setup on BTCUSD The price has successfully retested the $75,000 region however to complete the corrective wave we can expect to see BTC drop further to the $70,00 before another round of bullish runs. A BUY trade opportunity is best looked at after the full retest of the $71k and $70k region before I begin to buy Bitcoin However, the SELL opportunity is clear below FWB:65K which can be regarded as 202 extreme dip. You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Trade Responsibly! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Adefxc
BTCUSD Trade Recap & Weekend Outlook This weekend, BTCUSD showed signs of continued bearish momentum after a clean break and retest of the support zone turned resistance. The market respected both structure and fib confluences, giving a great R:R opportunity on the short side. 🔹 Trade Breakdown: First short position was stopped at -50 pips, but setup remained valid. Re-entry aligned with bearish confirmation, hitting a +100 pip move on the downside. Price is now printing a lower high and appears to be preparing for further downside continuation. 📍 Technical Highlights: Price rejected the 0.236 fib zone and failed to reclaim the prior support. Market is respecting a bearish channel from the higher time frame. Next potential target zones lie around the 82,000–81,000 region if momentum continues. 🧠 Note: This analysis is for educational purposes only. Always use proper risk management and confirm trades with your own strategy.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FaithdrivenTrades
2
Bearish Daily Setup - BTC/USD ### **📉 Bearish Daily Setup - BTC/USD** **Bias**: Bearish **Context**: Daily DR (Dealing Range) is broken, and price is rejecting premium level. --- ### 🧠 **Narrative:** Price traded into a daily FVG (Fair Value Gap) near **premium zone**, then formed a lower high. The daily **DR (Dealing Range)** was broken to the downside, showing bearish intent. We also see rejection from a marked supply area (pink zone), confirming seller presence. --- ### 📌 **Entry:** Sell entry around **84,600** (near retest of daily FVG & imbalance zone) --- ### 🎯 **Targets:** - **TP1**: 76,555 (Recent low / liquidity pool) - **TP2**: 74,000 (Clean imbalance area) - **TP3**: 73,383 (Final liquidity draw) --- ### 🛑 **Stop Loss:** Above recent high / supply zone **SL**: 88,762 --- ### 🔢 **RRR**: Approx. **1:4** (Excellent reward-to-risk) --- ### 🧩 **Extra Confluences:** - Daily FVG (imbalance) filled and rejected - Supply zone respected - DR broken - Momentum shifted bearish
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by Asif_Brain_Waves
BTCUSD Short Setup (15min) – Smart Money & Fib RetracementStructure remains bearish with a clear lower high formed after a deep retracement to the 0.786 Fibonacci level, aligned with prior liquidity and premium zone. 🧠 Analysis Highlights: Market structure: Bearish, with BOS to the downside. Price retraced to the 0.786 Fibonacci level (~82,400), signaling a potential exhaustion of buyers. Internal structure shifted bearish after breaking the corrective trendline. Entry idea is based on confirmation below the trendline with a clean R:R setup. 🔻 Trade Plan: Entry: Below 82,200 (confirmation after structure shift) Stop Loss: Above 83,380 (invalidates the short idea) Target: 79,770 (aligned with previous low and 0% Fib) ⏰ Confluences: 0.786 Fib + Previous Supply NY Killzone active – watching for volume + manipulation Internal BOS + Trendline Break Clean liquidity resting below 81,500 and 80,600 ⚠️ Potential Risks: Possible liquidity sweep above 82,600 before final drop. Strong short-term support at 81,250 may cause temporary bounce. Confirm entry during high-volume session (preferably NY open). ✅ Bias: Bearish Let the market confirm the shift – don’t rush in without a proper entry model (like M5 CHoCH or engulfing after mitigation). 📌 Reminder: This is not financial advice – just a structural and fib-based idea within a bearish context.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by hmdnazari76
Bitcoin harmonic pattern. Back to back Gartley. BTCGOLD ratio.The BTC/GOLD ratio has experienced a significant correction, currently standing at 27 gold ounces per 1 Bitcoin, down from a peak of 41, representing a decline of 34%. Gold, priced at $3,114 in US Federal Reserve notes, is in a sustained bull market. It is reasonable to anticipate that the digital equivalent of gold will gain traction once gold stabilizes at a higher price point. The Gartley pattern is recognized as the most prevalent harmonic chart pattern. Harmonic patterns are based on the idea that Fibonacci sequences can be utilized to create geometric formations, which include price breakouts and retracements. The Gartley pattern illustrated indicates an upward movement from point X to point A, followed by a price reversal at point A. According to Fibonacci ratios, the retracement from point X to point B is expected to be 61.8%. At point B, the price reverses again towards point C, which should reflect a retracement of either 38.2% or 88.6% from point A. From point C, the price then reverses to point D. At point D, the pattern is considered complete, generating buy signals with an upside target that aligns with points C and A, as well as a final price target of a 161.8% increase from point A. Often, point 0 serves as a stop-loss level for the entire trade. While these Fibonacci levels do not have to be precise, greater proximity enhances the reliability of the pattern. Will these consecutive Gartley patterns succeed in bolstering Bitcoin's strength? We will soon discover the answer.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BallaJi