BTC STILL BEARISHI am bearish on BTC until a strong bodily close above the bearish OB to confirm Bullish and possibly a new High
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
MEGAPHONE ALERT! BTC 1H Outlook🧩 Megaphone Formation (Broadening Wedge)
Volatility expanding inside a widening range
Price now testing the Fib cluster (0.66–0.618) between 105,568–105,987
RSI at 66.3, nearing overbought — pressure is building
Volume surging above 20-period MA → breakout imminent
🎯 Key Confluences:
Upper Bollinger Band: 105,950
Mid BB (Basis): 105,110
Lower BB: 104,342
55 SMA: 104,500
SL Zone (Invalidation): Above 106,500 (upper wick resistance)
🔻 Bearish Breakdown Scenario:
Loss of 105,100 and breakdown from lower wedge line
RSI drops < 45 + volume spike → hedge confirmation
Targets: 104,000 → 102,500
🔺 Bullish Breakout Scenario:
Close above 106,000–106,500 with volume
Targets: 107,800 → 108,900
Manage with trailing stops — things will be quick!
⚠️ Summary:
Megaphone = Volatility Bomb
Stay nimble. If BTC fails at this Fib zone, the breakdown will be fast and decisive. If it breaks out, bulls might squeeze higher but need volume to sustain it.
The magic fractal wave of BTCWell it is very interesting pulsation of BTC. ATH > Crash > New ath > Biger crash > recovery > Old ath > crash
I have pretty accurately predicted this cycle. I think we will see 150K this year and then crash to 77K in 2026 and then climb up to 0.5 Mil.
Tell me what you see.
SELL BTCUSD for bullish false breakout STOP LOSS : STOP LOSSSELL BTCUSD for bullish false breakout
STOP LOSS : STOP LOSS position is left opened ( am only closing this trade based on a candle stick pattern)
Trade trade is based on false breakout and divergence.....
First what is false breakout, A false breakout in Forex occurs when the price breaks through a key level (like support or resistance) but quickly reverses and returns to its original range, often trapping traders who were expecting a continuation of the breakout. It's essentially a false signal, indicating a potential trend reversal or continuation, but the price doesn't follow through....
Secondly what is divergence ,In forex trading, divergence occurs when the price of a currency pair moves in one direction, while a technical indicator (like an oscillator) moves in the opposite direction. This mismatch can signal a potential trend reversal or weakening trend. There are two main types: bullish and bearish divergence.
On this trade we are taking it because we saw regular bearish divergence
Regular Bearish Divergence
In case of Regular Bearish Divergence:
* The Indicator shows Lower Highs
* Actual Market Price shows Higher Highs
We can see a strong divergence on the RSI already and There is a strong trend reversal on the daily time frame chart.....
The daily time frame is showing strength of trend reversal from this level resistance so we are looking for the trend reversal and correction push from here .....
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything
BTCUSD HTF cycle analysis
Hi, I’m from Phoenix FX, and today I’ll be sharing my perspective on Bitcoin (BTC) price action based on the higher timeframes.
I’ll also give you my outlook on potential trade setups for today and tomorrow. Please remember that this is not financial advice—use this information as a guide only. If you find it helpful, don’t forget to like and share it with your like-minded communities.
Higher Timeframe Analysis
In my view, BTC tends to follow clear bullish and bearish cycle zones. Typically, we see a pump to new all-time highs (ATH), followed by the formation of resistance and a retracement down to a key support level. Our trading approach focuses on identifying those critical support and resistance levels, with some interim trades based on shorter-term analysis—occasionally even counter-trend, depending on the day’s market bias.
Over the past eight years, BTC has respected a major trend resistance line. The most recent ATH, around $112K, reconfirmed the relevance of this trendline. This makes it a valuable tool for projecting future ATH levels.
Looking ahead, I expect a move towards the $115K level in the coming weeks. This would likely act as a point of resistance, at which stage we might see a reversal and a drop back down to a key support zone.
Trade Setup
The chart I'm referencing highlights what I would consider the first premium buy zone, identified using a 4-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG).
The 50% level of this zone sits at $99,450. If this zone fails to hold, we may drop further to the secondary premium buy zone, which aligns with our higher timeframe (HTF) trend support and a weekly FVG. The 50% level of this deeper zone is around $89,150.
A potential long entry at $92,550, with a stop loss around $88,000, offers an excellent risk-to-reward (RR) ratio, targeting a move up to the $115K level.
Intraday Outlook
For today, I see bearish price action, with potential rejection around the $104,300–$105,000 range. Go short around the $104,750 to $105,000 zone
This could lead to a move down toward the lower key zones highlighted in the HTF analysis.
I recommend taking partial profits (TP) at every $1,000 increment and setting your stop loss to breakeven (BE) after hitting the first target.
Final Thoughts
Price action analysis is always subjective, so I’d love to hear your thoughts and ideas in the comments—each one, teach one.
Thanks for giving me some of your time.
From the Phoenix FX team, have a great weekend!
BTCUSD: This part may be the most exciting of all.Bitcoin is on an excellent bullish 1W technical outlook (RSI = 65.366, MACD = 6742.800, ADX = 33.478) unphazed by the recent short term pullback. This is because the Cycle is only now starting is strongest phase, at least based on the historic price action of the former Cycles. After the U.S. elections in November 2024, we've crossed above the Bear Cycle neckline and on all previous Cycles, that is where the parabolic rally started. How high it can go is anybody's guess and depends largely on fundamentals (adoption, ETF, Rate Cuts) but we can agree that we will see at least 150,000 before this Cycle ends.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 30, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Bitcoin has undergone a significant decline during the current week's trading session and is presently situated at the Mean Support level of $103,000. This downward trajectory has the potential to establish a temporary pause, which may facilitate the emergence of upward momentum from this level, and it could pose a challenge to the Key Resistance level at 109500. A successful breach of this resistance may lead to the completion of the Inner Coin Rally target at $114500. However, it is crucial to acknowledge the possibility of renewed downward momentum from the current level, as this could result in a decline toward the Mean Support of 99000.
Intuition-based predictive forecasting on bitcoinNot much rhyme or reason for the waves besides intuition. not trading this, just for fun
5 out of 5 Buy BTC 1hr entry 5 Star Set Up ⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️⭐️
Oversold with red dot check✅
Squeeze is green ✅
Swing is greeen ✅
Buy at the entry ✅
6-21 crossover ✅
Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!'🚀📈 Bitcoin smells like 'Brexit to the NORTH Pole!' 💥🇬🇧
Hi everyone! Let’s break down what’s brewing with Bitcoin — and why it feels eerily like the Brexit moment of 2016 all over again.
I’ve been closely tracking BTCUSD inside a clear parallel channel. These channels often get noisy with fakeouts and temporary breaches, but this one has remained valid due to its multiple touches and midline confirmations. We're now seeing massive manipulation — not once or twice, but four times. This exact pattern took me back to the British Pound's behavior during the Brexit referendum on June 23, 2016. 🎯
Back then, despite media narratives claiming “Bremain,” real traders on the street saw Brexit coming — and so did the charts. GBP/USD mirrored today's BTC structure: a valid channel, several manipulative moves, and then an explosive breakout once the truth surfaced.
Fast forward to today — Bitcoin’s chart screams volatility. We’ve got a channel that still holds structure. As long as we stay within or reclaim the bounds of this channel, I’m aiming for a move toward:
📍 107,305 as resistance
📍 113,800–114,000 as the breakout trigger
📍 119,000 and beyond for a new all-time high 🚀
If price dips to the 104,469 area or even the 102,700–102,400 dual support, I’ll be watching for reclaims to go long. But remember, this is a volatile setup, not for the faint-hearted or the underfunded. Spot trading is safer; leverage requires deep pockets and tight risk controls.
🛑 A break below 102K changes the picture — that’s where the bears take over, potentially dragging BTC to 74K. I give that scenario only a 10–15% probability, but in this market, we prepare for everything.
The resemblance to Brexit isn’t just visual — it’s psychological. Media narratives, manipulative institutions, and a channel that's begging for a breakout.
I’m ultra-bullish and ready for a sharp upside move. Are you?
📌 Full analysis and key levels charted here.
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 💙💙💙
BTCUSD: Neutral but long term still intact.Bitcoin has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 50.968, MACD = 1795.700, ADX = 23.670) a direct consequence of last week's correction. That correction is though just a pullback on the 1W timeframe, which is more bullish than ever as it's coming off a May 1W MACD Bullish Cross. Since the 1W MA50 supported April's bottom and produced the current rebound (even ATH has been made) that also respected the powerful P1 trendline, this is a bullish wave similar to all prior since the late 2022 Bear Cycle bottom. As all 3 rallied by +100%, we can stay bullish aiming for 150,000 towards the end of the year.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Bitcoin: eased on profit-takingAs expected, BTC eased a bit during the previous week. Two weeks ago, BTC celebrated its anniversary, so-called Pizza Day, with a fresh new all time highest level at $111,6K. After the strong push to the upside, it was expected that some profit taking would take place in which sense, the price of BTC will revert a bit. During Saturdays trading, BTC reached the lowest weekly level at $103,2K, but is ending the week above the $104K.
The RSI moved down from the strongly overbought market side, reaching the level of 50 as of the weekend. It is still not a clear indication that investors are eyeing the oversold market side, as long as RSI is moving above the 50 levels. The MA50 continues to strongly diverge from MA200, confirming further the golden cross occurred two weeks ago.
BTC recently returned to the levels from the beginning of May, and might spend some time testing these levels in the week ahead. This could imply movements between the $102K and $104K. Charts are pointing that the next historical support line is at $102K level, which easily might be tested in the week ahead. However, there is also equal probability for the short term reversal in the week ahead, where BTC might again shortly test levels around the $106K. Return toward the $109K is also possible, based on charts, but with a lower level of probability.
A Harmonic Pattern Entry Into A Potential Continuation TradeI don't look at Bitcoin often but when answering a question for another trader this weekend I stumbled across an interesting opportunity.
Higher timeframe we've recently broken and closed above a previous high, allowing me to project that price is likely to continue higher.
We've already started to retracement in the form of a complex pullback and if you look carefully on the lower timeframe this complex pullback as also created a bullish bat pattern which could be used as an entry.
Please leave any questions or comments below
Akil
BITCOIN Desperately needs that weekly closing!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) broke last week above its January Resistance, effectively making a new All Time High (ATH). Technically, within BTC's dominant 2.5-year Channel Up, that is not enough to generate a bullish extension on its own and the reason is that a 1W candle closing above the Resistance level is needed and not just a break.
At least that's what happened during the last two Bullish Legs, where it required a convincing 1W candle close considerably above the Resistance, to confirm the Bullish Extension. In fact the break-out candles on both previous Bullish Legs is fairly identical.
The minimum % rise on the pattern's three Bullish Legs has been +96.75% with the others not falling way off that range (+98.74% and +106.94%). As a result, the bare minimum Target we can be expecting, in the event of a 1W candle closing above the $109500 Resistance, is $147000.
Do you think that' within the market's immediate reach? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTCUSD CRACKing Everywhere!As I have been warning for a while now. See previous post.
I first warned to wait for the CRACK!
Then we got the 2nd CRACK!, very normal.
Then a nice M pattern with a lower high.
Then another CRACK!
And now a right Shoulder.
MAGIC!
Now we wait for the H&S to break down.
Click boost, follow, and subscribe for more. Let's get to 5,000 followers. ))
Bitcoin: Fib Interference PatternNeeded 3h timeframe version of the Fibonacci interference pattern to better capture and document short-term market behavior around key intersection zones.
Measurements
BITCOIN targets 165k based on VIX's 10-year SupportBitcoin (BTCUSD) has started a new (and possibly last for this Cycle) Bullish Leg following April's bottom and has already made a new All Time High (ATH).
The BTC/VIX ratio on that very same day (April 07 2025) hit and rebounded on its 10-year Higher Lows trend-line, a Support level that has been holding since the August 24 2015 market bottom.
Every rebound on this Higher Lows trend-line, has produced a strong medium-term rally, the 'weakest' of which has been the most recent (August - December 2024), which rose by +121.44%. If BTC repeats this 'minimum', we are looking at a $165000 High, which aligns perfectly with the majority of projections for this Cycle's Top.
Do you think we will see that price by October? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. **
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
💸💸💸💸💸💸
👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
BTCUSD: Consolidation is about to be over.Bitcoin remains neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.429, MACD = 1547.600, ADX = 23.123) as so far it is failing to stage a proper breakout from the consolidation of the last few days. Based on the long term comparison with the previous Channel Up at the time of the 1D Golden Cross, the consolidation could be over soon, resembling November 4th 2024. As long as the 1D MA50 holds, stay bullish, TP = 165,000.
## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ##
## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
BTC/USD Rebound in Play! | Key Support Holding, Eyes on $112K📊 BTC/USD Technical Analysis
🗓️ Chart Date: May 25, 2025
🔍 Key Levels:
🔵 Support Zone: $106,800 – $107,300
Notably, price bounced twice in this region, indicating strong buying interest.
This area aligns closely with the 200 EMA (currently at $107,213.51), adding further confluence as dynamic support.
🔴 Resistance Zone: $111,800 – $112,300
Previous highs and consolidation make this a significant area where sellers may re-enter the market.
📈 Indicators:
🔵 EMA 200 (Blue): $107,213.51
Acts as a strong dynamic support; price bounced off it recently.
🔴 EMA 50 (Red): $108,182.91
Price is currently below the 50 EMA, suggesting short-term bearish pressure remains until this level is reclaimed.
🧠 Market Structure & Price Action:
After a sharp drop from the resistance zone, price found solid footing at the support zone.
Recent candles show rejection wicks from the downside, hinting at potential bullish reversal.
A breakout above minor consolidation and 50 EMA could trigger a bullish continuation toward the resistance.
📌 Forecast:
✅ If the price holds above the support zone and breaks above $108,200, we can expect a bullish move toward $112,000.
⚠️ However, a failure to break above the 50 EMA could lead to a retest of the support zone.
🧭 Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice):
📥 Long Bias:
Entry: On confirmed breakout above $108,200
SL: Below $107,000
TP: $111,800 – $112,300
📌 Conclusion:
The chart setup suggests a potential bullish reversal 📈 from a key support zone, supported by EMA 200. Watch for a break above the 50 EMA for momentum confirmation.
🧠 Always confirm with volume and wait for confirmation before entering a position.
BTCUSD Price ActionHello Traders,
The market is closing soon, but for those following BTC — here's a setup I’ve spotted. Our previous setup successfully hit the take-profit target.
Now, we can clearly see that price initially respected the trendline, followed by a breakout. It has now returned for a retest, again respecting the trendline. This presents a valid short opportunity, provided you apply proper risk management.
Also, take a moment to reflect on any trading mistakes you made this week — not with regret, but as a learning experience. That’s how progress happens.
Wishing you all the best — happy weekend and good trades ahead!
BTC/USD | Potential Bearish Swing – Triple TP Setup from Key📉 Idea Description:
Bitcoin is currently facing resistance around the $104,500–$105,000 zone after a strong bullish run. A rejection from this level can trigger a potential short opportunity with a high risk-to-reward ratio.
The market structure shows signs of weakness on the daily chart with lower highs forming and momentum fading. A rejection at this level opens the door for a deeper correction toward major support zones.
---
📌 Trade Setup Details:
Entry: $104,508 (Current Market Price)
Stop Loss: $110,212 (Above recent swing high)
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: $93,546 (Short-term support)
TP2: $83,318 (Mid-range zone)
TP3: $74,354 (Strong daily demand zone)
---
📌 Trade Idea Summary:
Timeframe: 1D
Bias: Bearish
R:R Ratio: Favorable (~1:3+)
Strategy: Reversal from supply zone / Trend exhaustion
📛 Always use proper risk management. This is not financial advice—shared for educational purposes.
Sell BTC!It’s time to sell BTC and wait for the profit, as the chart shows the candle has closed at the resistance level. There’s a significant gap between this resistance and the next one, indicating that the upcoming candles are likely to be red until the price reaches the next resistance line.
Fib Channel Extending From 2020 To PresentThe Fractal Wave Marker is used in this analysis. It gives a multi-scale perspective of swing highs and lows - how the market moves across different time intervals.
Nested cycles (fractured pattern) reveals important order in phase transitions from small pullbacks to major trends. Basically making it easier to look for systematic patterns.
For example, with this tool we can easier spot a commonality like the identifying consistent angle that connects consecutive tops as well as bottoms by parallel lines that gives an idea of general direction.
If we were to use that channel as a topological expression to examine to what extent the fact of price happening there influenced probability density and what it changed in future price behavior , we would literally integrate it with broader scale fibonacci structures like: adding more ratios after 1 (not just 0 - 1) to illustrated chart above.
The implemented version would look something like this:
Chart-based curve aligning with angle of the channel - validating measurements in use.
Documenting the structural buildup for research purposes.
