BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC Major countBTC BTC is slowly completing major impulse up. Wave 1-2 of major impulse that lasted Dec 2009 - Oct 2011 are giving us map for all following waves as each wave is respecting the structure of Major wave 1-2 (see blue pattern).
Knowing this we can see that wave 3 was respecting wave 1-2 structure and reached top in Dec 2017 at 20k$ level and correction that lasted till Jan 2019 was wave 4 which finished at ca. 3k$ price range.
We are now in last wave 5 where again we are respecting major wave 1-2 structure (see red pattern) and have already done subwaves 1-4. Currently we are working on wave 5of5 where we are left with one last crazy run for blowoff top. Expecting push that will bring us above major fibb 4.236 range (265k$) and will most likely make top arround 375k$ range. Make sure to secure profits on time and do not go chasing tops as it usually ends badly, rather do DCA profit taking. Once we complete major wave 5 expect big dump bringing price back to major wave 4 aka 3k$ range.
BTC CONSOLIDATESBringing back the old chart to revisit levels we’ve had mapped for months.
Bitcoin is consolidating just below resistance after a massive breakout – currently hovering around $94K. The price is holding above the $91,271 level, which was previously a major zone of resistance and now appears to be acting as support. The 50-day moving average has turned upward and is accelerating, while the 200-day remains supportive below.
Each horizontal line on this chart represents an area of interest rather than precise support or resistance. Still, price action has respected these zones with near-perfect precision.
As long as BTC holds this $91K region, the structure remains bullish. A break below that would suggest a deeper retest, but for now, dips continue to be bought.
Is growth over? What to expect next for Bitcoin ?In this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Important support will be at 90k, the price may show a local rebound from the level before showing further decline within the correction
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis - 1D🏛 1. Current Market Structure
🚀 After a strong rally from $84,000 to around $97,500, the price encountered a major resistance.
🔻 This area corresponds to the bearish OTE from the broader retracement between $109,000 and $74,000, leading to a temporary rejection.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
📐 The rejection at the bearish OTE suggests a liquidity grab at a key potential reversal level.
🔎 The market could now come back to test intermediate support levels before continuing its directional move.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
⬜️ Supply Zone: An area of interest coupled with a former resistance now acting as potential support.
🟩 FVG 1D (Fair Value Gap daily): Strong technical confluence just above the supply zone.
🟦 Bullish OTE (from $84K to $97.5K): A deep retracement level that could act as ultimate support if the upper levels fail.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 Controlled retracement scenario:
Price could first seek liquidity within the FVG 1D or test the supply zone.
If bearish pressure increases, price might dip into the bullish OTE, which would be a key reaccumulation zone.
📈 Bullish scenario (quick recovery):
A clean bounce from the FVG 1D or the supply zone could form a higher low (HL) and target $97,500 again, potentially breaking above $100,000.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
📅 Upcoming US macroeconomic data or FED policy decisions.
🧠 Market’s reaction to technical levels (confluences = algo zones).
📊 Volume analysis around these zones: sustained buying = confirmation of support.
✅ Conclusion
👉 After a clear rejection from the bearish OTE of the larger range, the market is now retesting key supports.
📍 Three key levels to watch:
FVG 1D
Supply Zone
Bullish OTE (84K - 97.5K)
🔎 The price reaction around these levels will determine the next phase: bullish continuation or deeper retracement.
Bitcoin - Bitcoin on the Road to $100,000?!Bitcoin is in its descending channel on the four-hour timeframe, between EMA50 and EMA200. If Bitcoin moves downward towards the specified demand zone, we can look for its next buying opportunities.
It should be noted that there is a possibility of heavy fluctuations and shadows due to the movement of whales in the market and compliance with capital management in the cryptocurrency market will be more important. If the downward trend continues, we can buy in the demand range.
In April, Bitcoin recorded a growth of 14.7%, successfully rebounding from a sharp early-month decline that had dragged its price down to $74,901. This level marks Bitcoin’s lowest price point in 2025 so far.
U.S. President Donald Trump, in an interview with NBC News, responded to growing concerns about a possible economic recession by saying that everything would be “fine.” He referred to the current phase as a “transitional period” and expressed confidence that the U.S. economy would perform “extraordinarily well.” When asked directly if he feared a recession, Trump replied, “No,” though he added, “Anything is possible, but I believe we are headed toward having the greatest economy in our nation’s history.”
On the other hand, Ethereum ended April with a 1.58% decline—marking its fifth consecutive month of losses. Over the past year, Ethereum has only seen gains in three months, and it is currently down 36.7% compared to the same period last year.
Strategy, formerly known as MicroStrategy, announced its intention to invest up to $84 billion in Bitcoin. The funds will be raised evenly through stock issuance ($42 billion) and debt securities ($42 billion).
In the first quarter of 2025, Strategy reported a profit of $5.8 billion from its Bitcoin investments, achieving a return of 13.7%. The company has also raised its annual targets, increasing its projected Bitcoin return from 15% to 25% and its dollar profit goal from $10 billion to $15 billion.Meanwhile, the short-term holder profit/loss ratio for Bitcoin has returned to a neutral level of 1.0, indicating balance between coins held at a profit and those at a loss. Historically, this level has often served as resistance during bearish phases. If prices remain above this point, it could signal strengthening momentum and a potential market recovery.
Elsewhere, reports indicate that Apple has violated a previous antitrust ruling by continuing to restrict users from accessing alternative payment methods outside of the App Store. The decision, issued by Judge Yvonne Gonzalez Rogers, now requires Apple to allow apps—including those related to crypto and NFTs—to operate without paying fees or seeking special approval. This ruling immediately strips Apple of its ability to collect commissions on out-of-app purchases and prohibits the company from monitoring or tracking such transactions.
BTC Traders: Buy the Dip or Wait for the Break?Bitcoin broke out of its range, hit 97K, and is now consolidating near key resistance at 99K. Traders are watching for either a bullish breakout or a dip to buy. Watch the video to learn more.
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BITCOIN 1st 1W MACD Bullish Cross in 7 months!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is ahead of completing this week a Bullish Cross on its 1W MACD, which will be the first one after 7 months (since October 14 2024).
This is a major technical bullish development as since the very first one (Sep 26 2022) right before the November 21 2022 Bear Cycle bottom, it has always kick-started the Bullish Legs of this 2.5-year Channel Up.
In addition to that, this was accompanied by an Ichimoku Bullish Cross, where the Conversion Line (green) crossed above the Base Line (black). Considering also that exactly 4 weeks ago BTC found Support and rebounded on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), we can safely confirm a Bottom there and call for the minimum +100.73% rise, similar to the first Bullish Leg of this Channel Up. We remain consistent to our $150000 Target.
So do you think this 1W MACD Bullish Cross is the final confirmation we need for the new Bullish Leg? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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To what level could the retracement potentially continue? Scenario 1:
A potential pullback in Bitcoin may extend towards the 93,900 support zone. If this level holds, the price could enter a sideways consolidation phase between 96,000 and 96,500, suggesting a neutral short-term structure.
Scenario 2:
In an alternative scenario, the retracement could deepen towards the 92,750–93,250 support range. A rebound from this region may again lead to lateral price action within the 96,000–96,500 zone, indicating a stabilization phase following the correction.
Watching for 88.5-89KMorning folks,
So, upside spike has happened and our 3-Drive + butterfly patterns are done. Although we haven't got continuation to 98K area that also was on a table.
Now short-term sentiment has changed. Recent data shows that the Fed doesn't need to hurry up with rate cut, yields turns up, so BTC also could follow the common tendency with deeper retracement.
This is the reason why we do not consider any longs today. As a nearest area that might be reached we consider 88.5-89K support.
So, for bulls it is nothing to do. If you're intraday trader, you could consider bearish positions from predefined Fib levels on the picture. 3-Drive hasn't reached its target yet, so 92.5-93K area still could be reached...
Bitcoin (BTC): Looking For Re-Test of $92,000Weekends were pretty bloody, where we had a strong sell-off on the markets, but yet we did not see the proper re-test of the local resistance zone (which is still the resistance and now proper support zone).
We are looking for the price to decline back towards the GETTEX:92K , where we will be looking either for further downward movement or upward movement.
We set both sell and buy entry zones for us so let's wait now
Swallow Academy
Bitcoin H4 | Potential bullish bounceBitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 91,933.60 which is a swing-low support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 87,400.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 99,342.60 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Bitcoin's attractiveness as a hedge against inflation
**Direction:** **LONG**
**LONG Targets:**
- **T1 = $95500**
- **T2 = $97000**
**Stop Levels:**
- **S1 = $93500**
- **S2 = $93000**
**Wisdom of Professional Traders:**
This analysis synthesizes insights from thousands of professional traders and market experts, leveraging collective intelligence to identify high-probability trade setups. The wisdom of crowds principle suggests that aggregated market perspectives from experienced professionals often outperform individual forecasts, reducing cognitive biases and highlighting consensus opportunities in Bitcoin.
**Key Insights:**
Bitcoin's attractiveness as a hedge against inflation has been amplified amidst recent macroeconomic fluctuations. The asset’s adoption by institutional investors continues to signal a positive long-term trajectory. On-chain data highlights declining exchange reserves, suggesting reduced selling pressure as investors move coins to cold storage for long-term holding.
Technically, Bitcoin's current price action displays consolidation within a robust support zone near $93000-$93500, indicating favorable positioning for bullish momentum. Trading volume profiles suggest healthy market liquidity, which is crucial for sustaining an upward trajectory. Furthermore, a recent uptick in demand from retail investors amid decreasing supply bolsters confidence in a potential breakout.
**Recent Performance:**
Bitcoin has exhibited steady upward momentum over the past few weeks, climbing from its support base near $91000 to the current price level. Recovery from mid-year market volatility has been gradual yet consistent, and the asset has demonstrated resilience against external shocks, including regulatory pressures. These movements suggest strengthened accumulations by traders, supporting a bullish outlook.
**Expert Analysis:**
Professional analysis underscores the importance of psychological price marks, such as the $95000 level. Crossing such thresholds often ignites fresh interest among momentum traders, potentially driving a rally toward the next resistance at $97000. RSI and MACD indicators, converging toward bullish signals, further complement this optimistic setup. Bitcoin’s network activity also aligns favorably with a strong holding pattern, suggesting limited downside risks in the short term.
**News Impact:**
Recent news of increased adoption of Bitcoin as legal tender in emerging economies has rejuvenated investor sentiment. Additionally, announcements of significant institutional purchases have amplified the bullish outlook. Regulatory clarity in certain jurisdictions has sparked renewed optimism and decreased uncertainty about the asset, paving the way for sustained buying interest over time.
**Trading Recommendation:**
Given the technical strength at current levels and supportive fundamental factors, a LONG position on Bitcoin to target $95500 and $97000 appears prudent. Maintain cautious risk management by setting stops at $93500 and $93000 to safeguard against unforeseen reversals while capitalizing on potential upside momentum.
BTC on high time frame
"Hello, focusing on BTC on high time frames, the price has pulled back to a significant zone around $75,000 and is currently showing bullish momentum. The next target appears to be the 4-hour order block located at $98,000."
If you need further assistance or have any specific questions, feel free to ask!
Bitcoin Technical AnalysisFenzoFx— Bitcoin began consolidating after peaking at $98,000, dipping toward the $93,565 support and now trading slightly above it. The Stochastic Oscillator sits below 25, suggesting BTC is oversold and may rebound.
Immediate support lies at $92,565. If this level holds, the uptrend could resume, targeting $98,000, with potential to push toward the $99,560 resistance if buying pressure increases.
Bearish Scenario: A drop below $91,720 would invalidate the bullish outlook, potentially extending the decline to $88,830.
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Bitcoin: holds, but slowing downThere are two major events which marked the previous week. One is related to the Chinese government, which openly noted that they are considering entering into negotiations with the US Administration regarding the ongoing “trade war”, noting the absurdity of the currently imposed tax of 145% on Chinese goods and 125% on goods imported from the US. The other news was related to the US macro data and stronger than expected jobs data posted during the previous week. The market was relieved that the US economy is obviously not entering into recession, which was their worst fear during the previous period. All these, currently positive news supported optimism on financial markets, including the riskier assets, like BTC.
The price of BTC continues to move toward the higher grounds during the week. The highest weekly level was reached on Friday, after the jobs report, at the level of $97,8K. The price eased a bit during the Saturdays trading session, currently trading around $96,2K. The RSI continues to move close to the overbought market side, ending the week around the level of 67. This would be usually a clear signal in technical analysis that the potential reversal is coming, however, at this moment it might happen only if strong demand is put on a halt. Moving averages of 50 and 200 days are currently moving as two parallel lines with an uptrend.
The volatility might continue also during the week ahead. It should be strongly considered that the FOMC meeting is scheduled for May 6-7, where Fed officials will decide on the course on interest rates. What the market is currently expecting to hear from Fed Chair Powell is the Fed's view on the potential negative consequences of imposed trade tariffs. This might have a strong implication on investors sentiment and bring back volatility on the market. At this point, BTC is slowing down. Whether this is only temporary, will be much clearer during the week ahead. As per current charts, the level of $ 98K is the next historically significant resistance line. There is some potential that the BTC might try to test this level in the coming period. However, if the market turns to the down side, then the $95K might be the next level, on its road toward the $92K.
Trading suggestions for BTCTwo days ago, I accurately predicted that the price of BTC would break through 97,500! 🚀
Currently, BTC is finding it difficult to break through the resistance level of 98,000 ⚠️. Given the current situation, it is recommended to decisively adopt a short-selling strategy at a high price level 📉.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@97500
🚀 TP 96000 - 95000 - 94000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Sell@97500, TP 96000 - 95000 - 94000🎉 Yesterday, I accurately predicted that the price of BTC would break through 97,000! 🚀 Now, a pullback is on the horizon ⬇️. Keep an eye on the support level at 93,000! 👀
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@97500
🚀 TP 96000 - 95000 - 94000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟