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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

BTC Today's strategySo far, BTC has fluctuated around 84K today, and it still fluctuates within our marked range. The strategy of selling high and buying low still works. Today's BTC trading strategy: btcusdt buy@83K-83.5K tp:84.5K-85.5K There is no large-scale selling by long-term holders in the market. Short-term holders have a significant impact on short-term movements. At present, geopolitical conflicts continue, trade frictions continue, and bitcoin and gold have historically performed well in times of economic uncertainty Our investment strategy has achieved significant returns in the past two weeks. If you also want to double your capital, you can click on my link to get my trading strategy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by HenryClarke
BTCUSD Bitcoin Rising Wedge Breakdown – Professional AnalysisBitcoin's price action is forming a Rising Wedge pattern on the 1-hour chart, a well-known bearish reversal formation. This pattern suggests that although the price has been making higher highs and higher lows, the upward momentum is weakening. Historically, when a rising wedge breaks to the downside, it often leads to strong downward movement, making it an ideal shorting opportunity. This analysis will cover the pattern formation, key support and resistance levels, price action expectations, trading strategy, and risk management to ensure a well-informed trade setup. 1. Chart Pattern Breakdown: Understanding the Rising Wedge Formation of the Rising Wedge The price has been moving within two converging trendlines (black lines), forming a wedge shape. The slope of both the upper and lower trendlines is positive, indicating an uptrend, but the lower trendline is steeper, suggesting weakening bullish pressure. As Bitcoin moves higher, buying volume is declining, indicating that buyers are losing control. The price has tested the upper resistance trendline multiple times, failing to break above it, further confirming bearish exhaustion. The lower trendline has acted as strong support, but multiple touches suggest a possible breakdown soon. Why This Pattern is Bearish The rising wedge is inherently bearish because it signals that although the price is rising, the upward movement is slowing down. Eventually, the price is likely to break below the lower support trendline, triggering a sharp sell-off. A breakdown from this wedge structure would confirm the start of a downtrend, making it an excellent opportunity for short traders. 2. Key Technical Levels to Watch Resistance Level (~$86,000 - $86,500) - Strong Sell Zone Bitcoin has repeatedly failed to break above this zone, indicating heavy selling pressure. If the price unexpectedly moves above this level, the bearish setup would be invalidated. Support Level (~$80,000 - $80,500) - Breakdown Zone This support level has held strong multiple times. If BTC loses this zone, it will likely trigger a massive drop due to stop-loss orders being hit and panic selling. Stop Loss ($88,062) - Risk Management A stop loss above $88,062 ensures protection against unexpected bullish breakouts. This level is placed just above recent highs to minimize the risk of premature stop-outs. Target Level ($75,718) - Profit Objective The projected price target is based on measuring the height of the wedge and applying it to the breakout point. This level also aligns with a major historical support zone, where buyers might step in. 3. Trading Setup & Strategy Bearish Trading Plan - Short Setup 📌 Entry: Enter short after Bitcoin breaks below the wedge’s lower support and confirms the breakdown by retesting support as new resistance. Ideal entry price is around $81,500 - $82,000 after confirmation. 📌 Stop Loss: Place above $88,062, which is beyond the wedge’s upper resistance. This protects against unexpected bullish breakouts. 📌 Take Profit: First target: $78,000 (psychological support). Final target: $75,718 (technical breakdown target). Confirmation Signals for a Strong Short Trade ✔ Candle Close Below Support – A 1-hour candle closing below the wedge confirms a breakdown. ✔ Increase in Selling Volume – Rising bearish volume supports downward momentum. ✔ Retest of Broken Support as Resistance – If the price retests the wedge’s lower trendline and fails to reclaim it, it confirms further downside. 4. Risk Management & Considerations Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The trade offers a 3:1 risk-reward ratio, making it highly favorable. Market Conditions: External news events, institutional activity, or macroeconomic trends (like inflation reports) could impact price action. Bear Trap Possibility: If Bitcoin breaks below but quickly reclaims support, it could be a fakeout, so wait for confirmation before entering. 5. Alternative Scenario – When to Invalidate the Bearish Outlook? Although the primary expectation is a bearish breakdown, we must consider alternate scenarios: 🚨 Bullish Invalidation: What if Bitcoin Rallies? If Bitcoin breaks above the resistance zone at $86,500 - $88,000, the rising wedge breakdown would be invalidated. In that case: ✅ A breakout above $88,062 could trigger a short squeeze, pushing BTC toward $90,000+. ✅ Bulls will regain control, shifting the trend to bullish continuation instead of reversal. 🔹 In such a case, traders should exit short positions and re-evaluate market conditions before re-entering trades. 6. Conclusion – Trading Plan Summary 📊 Current Bias: Bearish 📉 🔹 Pattern: Rising Wedge (Breakdown Expected) 🔹 Entry: Short after wedge breakdown & confirmation 🔹 Stop Loss: Above $88,062 🔹 Target: $75,718 Bitcoin is forming a classic Rising Wedge, which historically leads to strong downward movement once it breaks support. If BTC follows the expected scenario, a high-probability short trade is in play, targeting a decline toward $75,718. However, traders must wait for confirmation and manage risk effectively to avoid fakeouts. 📢 Stay updated, follow price action closely, and trade responsibly! 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC Today's strategySo far, BTC has fluctuated around 84K today, and it still fluctuates within our marked range. The strategy of selling high and buying low still works. Today's BTC trading strategy: btcusdt buy@83K-83.5K tp:84.5K-85.5K There is no large-scale selling by long-term holders in the market. Short-term holders have a significant impact on short-term movements. At present, geopolitical conflicts continue, trade frictions continue, and bitcoin and gold have historically performed well in times of economic uncertainty Our investment strategy has achieved significant returns in the past two weeks. If you also want to double your capital, you can click on my link to get my trading strategy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by HenryClarke
1
Why did BTC experience such minimal movement todayBTC has been floating at 84000 today, yesterday it touched resistance at 87000, today's resistance is still valid, with the Fed's information, gold's rally has been full down, and more people will pay attention to BTC next 💎💎💎 BTC 💎💎💎 🎁 Buy@83500 - 84000 🎁 TP 86000 - 87000 The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed，Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by BenGray9
3
BTC - Is history repeating itself with the M2 money supply?The expansion of the M2 money supply generally leads to increased liquidity in the market. As more money circulates, it must find a home, and some of it inevitably flows into speculative assets like Bitcoin. In previous cycles, when the money supply increased, Bitcoin tended to benefit from the added liquidity, which often drove up its price—especially during periods of strong demand. In short, a larger M2 supply means more money is available for assets like Bitcoin, potentially pushing its price higher. The Global M2 Money Supply and Bitcoin: A Closer Look Lately, I’ve come across comparisons of the global money supply and Bitcoin's price movements, often accompanied by charts showing a clear correlation. The conclusion drawn is that when global M2 supply rises, Bitcoin’s price follows after a brief lag. But is this conclusion accurate? Let’s take a deeper dive into the matter. Global M2 Supply and Bitcoin in the Current Cycle In this cycle, the global M2 supply is steadily increasing to new highs. After each dip, Bitcoin has mirrored this with a corresponding drop. Currently, Bitcoin seems to lag behind the global M2 supply by approximately 80 days. The question is: is Bitcoin ready to follow the M2 supply increase and reach new highs? If you look at the current cycle, the answer would be yes, indeed. However, when examining past cycles, this conclusion becomes more uncertain. Let’s explore why. Global M2 Supply and Bitcoin in Previous Cycles (2017/2018 and 2020/2021) In 2018, the global M2 supply continued to rise even after Bitcoin reached its peak. This could be a warning sign for this cycle. While many are forecasting higher Bitcoin prices due to the rise in the global M2 supply, it’s important to note that this doesn’t always translate into higher asset prices. In the 2021 cycle, the global M2 money supply continued to rise until early 2022. However, Bitcoin had already reached its cycle top and was entering the early stages of a bear market. This highlights a key point: the increase in M2 supply doesn’t always guarantee further price increases in Bitcoin. Conclusion While the global M2 supply is rising this cycle, and Bitcoin has mirrored that growth, there are reasons to be cautious. The global M2 supply has reached new highs, but we must be careful not to assume that this will automatically lead to new highs for Bitcoin. In the past two cycles, the bear market had already begun while the M2 supply continued to rise. Therefore, it's important not to get stuck on the idea that Bitcoin’s price must rise simply because the global M2 supply is increasing. Thanks for your support. - Make sure to follow me so you don't miss out on the next analysis! - Drop a like and leave a comment! Lets chat in the comment section. See you there :)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
17
Crypto Analysis: BTC/USD – 30-Min Chart!📊 🚀 Setup Type: Bullish Breakout – Triangle Pattern + Price Compression ✅ Trade Plan: Long Position 🔔 Entry & Exit Plan ✅ Entry Zone: Above $84,167.85 (Breakout Confirmation) 🛡️ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $83,229.60 (Support & Triangle Base) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: $84,958.18 – Key Resistance Zone 📌 TP2: $86,529.62 – Breakout Projection + Major Resistance 📊 Risk-Reward Breakdown 🔻 Risk: $84,167.85 – $83,229.60 = $938.25 📈 Reward to TP1: $84,958.18 – $84,167.85 = $790.33 → 1:0.8 📈 Reward to TP2: $86,529.62 – $84,167.85 = $2,361.77 → 1:2.5 ✅ Solid breakout play with clean structure & high potential to TP2! 🔍 Technical Breakdown 📌 Symmetrical Triangle: Price compressed between higher lows and lower highs 📌 Breakout Candle: Attempt to push above resistance trendline 📌 Key Support Holding: Strong base formed around $83,200–$83,300 📌 Momentum Bias: Bullish if price holds above breakout level with volume 🛠️ Execution Strategy ✔ Wait for Candle Close Above $84,200+ for confirmation ✔ Move SL to Break-even once TP1 is hit ✔ Partial Profit Booking Strategy:  ▫️ Book 50% at TP1  ▫️ Let the rest ride toward TP2 ✔ Monitor Bitcoin dominance & U.S. market correlation during trade ⚠️ Risk Considerations ❌ False Breakouts: If breakout lacks volume, price may return to range ❌ News Volatility: Be cautious of macroeconomic events or crypto-specific news 🚀 Final Thoughts from ProfittoPath ✔ Bullish structure with a tight breakout zone ✔ Strong R/R setup with clean invalidation ✔ Trade the breakout—don’t chase, wait for confirmation 💡 Discipline + Risk Management = Consistent Profits 🔗 #Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoTrading #ProfittoPath #BreakoutSetup #TradingView
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINLong
by ProfittoPath
Bitcoin(BTC/USD) Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week's trading session demonstrated considerable volatility in Bitcoin's price action. The cryptocurrency made multiple attempts to attain our Interim Coin Rally 88400, yet it ultimately remained at the same level as the week commenced. The current analysis suggests that Bitcoin must reach our Mean Support of 82500 before initiating an upward progression aimed at the Interim Coin Rally of 88400 through the Mean Resistance of 87000. Furthermore, a retest of the completed Outer Coin Dip 78700 is essential before the emergence of a significant rally.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TradeSelecter