BTCUSD 5/20/2025As you can see, Price is encountering a Daily Internal Retracement. We shall see if Price is Retracing or Reversing, based on the Price Action we encounter here. The basis that this could also be a reversal here is the fact Price has shown respect to the Weekly Equal Highs level. Price is also encountering a 12hr Internal Retracement after encountering a BOS & showing respect after coming into 12hr Structure.
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BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Idea Based on the Diamond PatternA diamond pattern has formed earlier in the chart, followed by a breakout of the upper boundary. If the breakout is confirmed by a candlestick body close above the diamond and then retested, a limit buy order can be placed after the retest. This sets up a primary long position with the expectation of reaching the take profit (TP) in the upward direction.
However, if the market fails to continue upwards and instead reverses, a secondary strategy comes into play. In this case, a limit buy order is placed near the lower boundary of the diamond, aiming for a recovery back to the upper boundary, which becomes the TP level. This fallback approach is designed to exit the market with minimal or no loss, using the diamond’s structure as a defined risk and recovery zone.
This dual approach allows for:
A primary breakout trade setup.
A backup recovery strategy if the breakout fails.
The visual projection shows both scenarios:
Successful breakout continuation toward higher highs.
False breakout and retracement down to the lower boundary, followed by a rebound back toward the original upper boundary.
May 19 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the Nasdaq 30-minute chart.
There is no separate indicator announcement today.
The 12-hour chart MACD dead cross is in progress.
The blue finger is short->long or if it goes down right away,
the purple finger is a long waiting strategy.
Since the morning, the blind decline has been in progress,
and the short-term pattern is broken.
The bottom section is about 6+12 sections,
and it is today's major support line.
I applied it to Bitcoin as it is.
This is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
It is being adjusted strongly as it is coupled with Nasdaq.
Based on Tether dominance,
If the current low is broken,
It is a position where it can be pushed strongly.
* When the red finger moves,
It is a one-way long position strategy.
1. 102,192.1 USD long position entry section / stop loss price when the green support line is broken
2. 104,866.1 USD long position 1st target -> Top 2nd target
The 1st section of the purple finger at the top
Is the best short position entry section of the day.
If it does not touch, it will fall vertically,
So if it goes down right away without touching the 1st section
It can be pushed to the bottom -> 2.
The danger signal has passed, but the problem is when it couples with Nasdaq.
The 2nd section at the very bottom is the 12+ daily support section,
and will be today's major support line.
Last week, many people pressed the booster,
so I'm leaving it as a public post today as well.
Up to this point, I ask that you use my analysis for reference and use only,
and I hope that you operate safely with principle trading and loss cuts.
Thank you.
BTC/USD..4H CHART PATTERN..Here’s a structured trade plan based on me *BTCUSD SELL* entry:
### *Trade Plan: BTCUSD SELL @ 105,300*
*Risk-Reward Ratio:* ~1:2.5 (assuming stop loss at resistance)
#### *Key Levels:*
- *Entry:* *105,300*
- *Stop Loss (SL):* *107,300* (above resistance, ~1.9% risk)
- *Take Profit (TP):* *93,600* (~11.1% downside target)
#### *Risk Management:*
- *Risk per Trade:* Adjust position size so that a move to SL loses an amount im comfortable with (e.g., 1-2% of capital).
- *Leverage:* If trading with leverage, ensure it’s low enough to avoid liquidation (e.g., 3-5x for conservative plays).
#### *Additional Notes:*
1. *Confirmation:* Wait for bearish rejection (e.g., pinbar, RSI divergence) near *107,300* before entering.
2. *Partial Profit-Taking:* Consider closing 50% at *~99,500* (midway TP) and trailing SL for the rest.
3. *Market Context:* Monitor Bitcoin sentiment (ETF flows, macro news) as breaks above *107,300* could invalidate the setup.
*Alternative Scenario:*
- If price breaks *107,300, the bearish thesis weakens—watch for a retest-then-rally toward **110,000*.
Would you like help refining the setup or analyzing supporting indicators (e.g., RSI, volume)?
BTC/USD Bearish Setup – Trendline Retest Before the Fall?🔍 Technical Breakdown – BTC/USD 3H Timeframe
Bitcoin is displaying a textbook Double Top pattern formation on the 3-hour chart, signaling a potential bearish reversal after a strong bullish run. This classic pattern suggests buyer exhaustion and sets the stage for a downward move. Let's break down the analysis:
🧠 Pattern Insight: Double Top Reversal
A Double Top is one of the most reliable trend reversal patterns, especially when it forms after a sustained uptrend — just like we're seeing here.
Top 1 and Top 2 both formed inside a strong Resistance Zone between $106,500 and $107,000, showing repeated rejection from buyers to push price higher.
The formation of lower highs and long wicks near Top 2 further reinforce the weakening bullish momentum.
💥 Neckline Breakdown & Bearish Trigger
The Neckline, aligned with a horizontal Support Zone (~$103,300–$103,800), was decisively broken, confirming the pattern.
This breakdown acts as the trigger for bearish entries, and we are now in the "Retest Phase", where price often pulls back to the neckline or a nearby trendline before continuing lower.
📐 Trendline Confluence – Retest Opportunity
A short-term descending trendline drawn from Top 2 intersects near the neckline zone.
Price is now approaching this confluence area, offering a potential high-probability short entry if bearish price action confirms (e.g., a rejection candle like a bearish engulfing or pin bar).
🎯 Price Targets & Trade Setup
Parameter Value
📍 Entry On bearish confirmation near neckline/trendline retest (~$105,300)
❌ Stop Loss (SL) Above recent swing high / Top 2 (~$107,100)
🎯 Target ~$97,126 (based on measured move from top to neckline projection)
⚖️ Risk:Reward Approx. 1:3 or better (depending on entry timing)
Measured Target Calculation:
Height from neckline to peak (~$107,000 - $103,500 = $3,500)
Target = Neckline break - height = ~$103,500 - $3,500 = $97,000–$97,100
🔥 Market Context & Psychological Edge
This chart structure reflects a shift in market sentiment. What was once strong bullish momentum is now hesitating — with buyers failing to make higher highs and sellers stepping in aggressively. The double top is not just a pattern, it's a narrative of exhaustion and reversal.
“Let price confirm your bias. Don't just predict; react to structure and behavior.”
Being patient and letting the retest play out is crucial. Don’t rush in early — let the market give you a clean signal. This is where technical discipline pays off.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes
Crypto markets are highly volatile — avoid oversized positions.
A failed double top can lead to a bullish continuation, so SL discipline is key.
Wait for confirmation — candlestick patterns, momentum shifts, or bearish volume spikes can add confidence.
📌 Summary
✅ Pattern: Double Top
✅ Confirmation: Neckline Break
🔄 Current Phase: Retesting Neckline/Trendline
📉 Bias: Bearish
🎯 Target: ~$97,100
❗ SL: Above Top 2
💬 What do you think? Are we headed to GETTEX:97K or is this just a fakeout? Drop your thoughts below and don’t forget to like and follow for more trade setups!
BITCOIN This Cycle's peak zone is $150k - $200k.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is extending its gains week after week since the April 07 bottom on the 1W MA50, which as we've analyzed extensively its a new Higher Low launchpad for the new (current) Bullish Leg, the way it's been consistently doing on the Higher Lows trend-line since the start of this Bull Cycle.
It's in fact the very same Higher Lows trend-line it had during both previous Cycles, which ended up peaking on the Logarithmic Growth Curve's (LGC) top 2 zones (red), breaking also above the 2 SD above band (orange) of the Mayer Multiple Bands (MMB).
This time the price has 'only' broken above the 1 SD MMB (grey), while having breached into just the lower pink LGC zone. This highlights the theory of Diminishing Returns but at the same time also shows the strong upside potential of the market while subject to these conditions.
So assuming it won't hit by the end of this Cycle the 2 SD MMB nor the top 2 zones of the LGC, the bad case scenario seems to be topping the lower pink LGC zone and the good case scenario topping the upper pink LGC zone. Those two give a profit taking range of 150 - 200k respectively and based on the Sine Waves, we should peak around October 2025.
Is that your profit taking zone as well for this Cycle? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC UpdateLooking at historical data, we’re at a similar point as in 2021 — diverging RSI, declining volume, and signs of exhaustion. The key difference now is the level of institutional involvement: hedge funds are heavily in, MicroStrategy keeps buying, and even nation-states have exposure.
Despite the bullish narrative, I believe we’re heading down.
Price action isn’t convincing — we're still trading below the January monthly candle close, volume is drying up, and RSI continues to diverge. Each 5–10% pump is followed by a sharp spike in open interest (OI), then a brutal liquidation cascade wiping out $500M–$1B. This is starting to look like a leveraged casino, not a healthy uptrend.
That said, I wouldn’t rule out a final wick toward $120K to trap late longs and suck in liquidity before the real move down.
I called the top after the January rally — they called me a madman. Still, I was right.
Mastery tends to be a funny thing, seems like on a long enough timeframe you cant lose.
Stay safe everyone.
Bitcoin has recently touched its weekly Fair Value GapBitcoin (BTC) Market Update
Bitcoin has recently touched its weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is now showing upward momentum. This price behavior is aligning with a potential transition from an Intermediate Reversion Level (IRL) to an Extended Reversion Level (ERL), suggesting the formation of a structured bullish model.
Given the current positive market sentiment surrounding BTC and the fact that the asset has already absorbed significant sell-side liquidity, the potential for further upward movement remains strong. There is a possibility that the market could aim for the 110K level in the near term if bullish conditions persist.
Investors and traders are advised to monitor the market closely as this structure develops, considering both technical indicators and macroeconomic influences to make informed decisions.
DYOR!
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.The image you uploaded shows a TradingView chart for Bitcoin against the US Dollar (BTC/USD) on a 30-minute timeframe from the BITSTAMP exchange.
Key Features of the Chart:
1. Price Action:
Current price: 104,912 USD.
Price change: -1,608 USD (-1.51%).
2. Technical Indicators:
Two moving average curves (red and blue) indicating short and longer-term trends.
A clear double-bottom pattern, suggesting a potential reversal.
3. Trading Setup:
Target Level: Around 106,537 USD.
Stop-Loss (SL) Level: Around 102,169 USD.
Suggested strategy involves either a breakout to the upside (bullish) or a potential pullback (bearish), with both scenarios outlined.
4. Analysis:
The chart suggests that if the price breaks above the resistance zone, it could reach the target of 106,537 USD.
If the price fails to break through and falls below support, it could hit the stop-loss level at 102,169 USD.
Would you like a more detailed analysis or insights on potential trading strategies?