BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Bitcoin Testing the Gaussian Midline – Bounce or Starts Reversal🟡 Weekly Macro View – Gaussian Channel Holds the Truth
The Gaussian Channel on the weekly chart is painting a high-risk environment:
* Price is hovering below the Gaussian midline, which is currently acting as dynamic resistance at ~$84K.
* A red Gaussian channel is flashing caution — these phases typically indicate distribution or early-stage downtrends.
* BTC previously lost the mean and retested the lower channel, bouncing aggressively off the ~ FWB:73K region — this bounce is the first sign of life, but it’s not confirmation of a trend reversal yet.
What to watch this week:
* If BTC can reclaim the Gaussian mean and close above ~$85K with strong volume, we may see a macro reversal pattern forming.
* However, another rejection from the midline would point to a slow bleed down toward FWB:73K and possibly the lower channel edge near $63K–$65K.
🧭 Weekly Bias:
Cautiously Bearish — Price is below the Gaussian midline in a red channel. Reclaiming $85K flips the tone.
⚠️ Daily Chart View – Bearish Control, Weak Bounce
The daily chart confirms short-term bearish pressure is still intact:
* BTC remains within a down-sloping channel and is struggling to break through key lower highs.
* Volume footprint shows no major demand spike — each bounce is getting sold into.
* The trendlines drawn from recent highs form a clear wedge; price is compressing, signaling a big move is coming.
Support/Resistance Zones:
* ⚔️ Resistance: $84K–$85K
* 🛡️ Support: $80K > $73.6K major zone > $69.9K panic support
* 📉 If we lose $80K again, a retest of $73.6K is very likely.
* 📈 If bulls push above $85K, BTC could rally quickly toward $92K.
What to look for this week:
* A daily close above the upper trendline of the channel on rising volume = first bullish signal.
* A daily lower high + lower low continuation below $80K confirms bears still in charge.
🧠 Final Thoughts – Strategy This Week
BTC is caught in a macro correction but trying to build a base. The Gaussian Channel on the weekly says we're in a danger zone, but the daily shows traders testing the bears’ strength.
🧩 My read:
* Swing traders: Wait for daily close above $85K before going heavy long.
* Scalp traders: Monitor $80K– GETTEX:82K for bounce-to-fade plays.
* HODLers: Prepare for longer consolidation — weekly Gaussian phases take time to resolve.
🧠 This is a "watch, not chase" environment. Let the breakout confirm — not predict.
$85,354 and 35 cents: BTC Golden Genesis fib and KEY for BullRunShown here is a single fib series in three different timeframes.
The "Genesis" (at birth) fibs have caught every turn since 2015.
The "Golden" (1.618 exponents) are major nodes of any wave.
What happens here will reverberate for the rest of Bitty's life.
Bulls need to "orbit" this fib and then try to slingshot Northward.
Bears want a "Ping" (exact ricochet) on fib to mark a lower high.
.
Many other assets are at a similar landmark right now, such as:
NVDA
PLTR
TSLA
Bitcoin's Bounce, Your Weekly Scoop on the Bullish Surge !The market has unfolded as anticipated, aligning with our projections.
Short-Term Outlook: Expect a relatively narrow trading range this week due to the absence of major news catalysts.
Bullish Perspective: We maintain a bullish stance, targeting a price range of $88,000–$92,000.
Local Bottom Confirmation: Bitcoin appears to have established a local bottom. Notably, it diverged from Ethereum, which recorded lower lows, while Bitcoin resisted forming a new low.
Technical Analysis: Last week, Bitcoin respected a daily bullish order block, resulting in a strong upward move.
Key Support Level: This week, an inverse fair value gap (FVG) on the daily chart around $82,400 is expected to act as a liquidity zone and support, with price likely to tap this level and rebound higher.
Thank you for your support! Stay tuned for more insights and drop a Like if you loved it 🚀
Mooooooooooon! This capitulation period could be the end of a bearish butterfly / failed break of the range low.
If it is, then it'll be uppy from here.
Very tight tolerance for stops here. If this fails it could be absolutely horrific. But markets have what I suspect to be wash out low properties.
I'll try one more batch of longs and if they don't work write that off as misadventure.
Best chance of a bigger rally to date so far in BTC now I think.
BTC Cycles & TA: 4/7/25 ETH & SPY BONUS!!!Please enjoy this crash landing until the market has come to a full and complete stop.. :) All you that watch my videos were FULLY WARNED of this chaos and should NOT be surprised at ALL... Enjoy the forecast. I have an ETHERIUM CHART AND TWO SPY CHARTS on this video.
SECRET Indicator Says LINK Will Moon🚨MartyBoots here , I have been trading for 17 years and sharing my thoughts on BINANCE:LINKUSDT here.🚨
.
🚨 BINANCE:LINKUSDT is looking beautiful , very interesting chart for more upside
and is now into support🚨
Do not miss out on BINANCE:LINKUSDT as this is a great opportunity
The SECRET Indicator says it will moon
Watch video for more details
This could be a bitter end for BTC or an opportunity !!!Do you think this will happen, or do you see Bitcoin below $50K in the future?
Give me some energy !!
✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us.
Best regards CobraVanguard.💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
BTC Tightening Up – Key Support & Resistance in Focus!📝 🚀 BTC/USD – 4H Price Action Masterclass | Breakout Brewing Between $71.2K & $72K!
Bitcoin is currently consolidating in a high-tension zone on the 4-hour chart, forming a classic range-bound structure between two key levels:
🔹 Support at $71,200 – a previous resistance now acting as short-term demand
🔹 Resistance at $72,000 – a strong psychological barrier that price has failed to close above
This tightening range is setting the stage for a high-impact move, and the market is showing signs of compression. No indicators, no noise — just clean structure and price action clarity.
🔍 Detailed Technical Breakdown:
📌 $71,200 – Flip Zone:
Recently flipped from resistance to support after a breakout. Price is now retesting this level with precision, suggesting potential accumulation — but failure here may trigger strong selling pressure.
📌 $72,000 – Critical Resistance:
This level has held price down for multiple sessions. If bulls manage to close above it on strong volume, we could see a push towards FWB:73K +, where liquidity clusters await.
⚔️ Battle of the Zones – What to Expect Next?
Bullish Scenario: A breakout above $72,000 on strong bullish candles could ignite a move toward the next resistance at $73,500–$74,000.
Bearish Scenario: If $71,200 breaks down, expect a sharp drop toward $70,400, possibly extending to the $69K handle.
This setup offers a textbook example of how support/resistance zones act as battlegrounds for short-term market control.
🔥 Why This Chart Matters (No Indicators Used):
Clean price action = clean decision-making.
Ideal for breakout traders & range scalpers.
High probability setup with defined risk levels.
Easy to read & replicate — especially for beginners learning PA.
💬 What’s YOUR take?
Are we about to see a bullish explosion, or is this a trap before a deeper drop?
👇 Drop your analysis in the comments – let’s build a real traders’ conversation below!
📈 If you found this chart helpful, don’t forget to like & follow for more clean setups.
Bullish momentum to extend?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 79,541.85
1st Support: 72,724.17
1st Resistance: 94,187.24
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
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BITCOIN UPDATE.Nice to see a strong move with the Daily TF joining the party but that's not enough. Bitcoin NOT out of the woods yet. We need to see the same move it just did but now on next Weekly candle to confirm the UP move. As of now the move is UP from the 1hr, 4hrs and Daily point of view and once the Weekly candle closes we'll find out if the Weekly also confirms. I see Bitcoin moving in a trading range between $76500 and $85500 that's from the Daily pov until the Weekly decides what will do. Buckle up ladies and gentlemen good trades ahead.
Crypto Updated Short & Long-Term AnalysisStill staying patient even though we got in (at the perfect level) on the big 3, BTC, ETH, XRP.
As I mentioned previously, those were my initial entries and I am looking for further downside before entering with my full cash-allocation.
Here is what I'm looking for in terms of short-term rejection and deeper liquidity build - which will likely align with the broader market taking another tumble.
Happy Trading :)
BTCUSD: Last chance to prove the Bull Cycle is still intact.Bitcoin remains bearish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 40.819, MACD = 1234.500, ADX = 47.185) as it is on the 3rd red 1W candle in a row, which just hit the 1W MA50. First contact since Sep 2nd 2024. The weeky low is also almost at the HL bottom of the Bull Cycle's Channel Up. Needless to say, it has to hold in order for the bullish trend to continue. Practically this is the market's last chance to prove that the Bull Cycle is still intact. So far the -32% decline is no different that all prior inside the Channel Up but an Arc shaped bottom needs to start forming. If it does and that's the new bottom, expect $160,000 by September.
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