BTCUSD.P trade ideas
Bitcoin Fibonacci levels from the 2022 low.This is what I am seeing. 68,500 is the bottom of channel support. The Fib retracements are a pretty big deal if you want to know where support lies.
BITCOIN Do you really want to miss this rally???Bitcoin / BTCUSD remains supported by the 1week MA50 just like it has been through the whole 2020/21 period after the COVID crash.
In spite of the massive bearish pressure of the polical developments (tariffs), the fact that the market is holding the 1week MA50, means that it is respective Bitcoin's Cycles.
In fact this is like the May-June 2021 accumulation on the 1week MA50, following the first Bitcoin Top of April 2021.
Similarly, we've had a peak formation in December 2024- January 2025 and the market corrected.
In addition to that, the 1week RSI is testing the 42.00, which isn't just where the August 2024 and September 2023 bottoms were priced, but more importantly the June 2021 one.
The symmetry between the last two Cycles is uncanny, both trading inside the long term Channel Up, with identical Bear Cycle and (so far) Bull Cycle ranges.
If all ends up repeating themselves, expect a value of at least $160000 by September.
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BTCUSD hourly trend analysis for April 09, 2025BTCUSD made a double bottom formation. Any upward move will test the resistance at 80,047 and there is a strong support at 73,481. The Timing indicator is bullish from April 10th onwards. Trade with stop loss.
Falling towards pullback support?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 81,250.81
1st support: 78,517.93
1st Resistance: 86,600.97
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTCUSD – Key Technical Breakdown📉 BTCUSD – Key Technical Breakdown on the Horizon?
Bitcoin is currently testing a critical confluence zone — the weekly trendline support and cup & handle neckline around the $82,000-$84,000 range. A confirmed breakdown below this level could validate the bearish pattern, potentially opening the door for deeper retracements toward the $68,000 and even $52,000 zones.
🔍 Technical Highlights:
Potential Cup & Handle formation in play with neckline retest.
Weekly ascending channel acting as major dynamic support.
Monthly horizontal support at $68K could be the next key level if neckline breaks.
🌍 Fundamental Context:
Bitcoin faces macroeconomic headwinds with rising U.S. interest rate expectations and regulatory uncertainties.
On the bullish side, institutional demand and spot ETF flows remain strong, possibly cushioning downside moves.
Market awaits key data from the Fed and CPI release — volatility likely ahead.
📌 Watching for a decisive daily close below the neckline for confirmation. Alternatively, a strong bounce from this zone could invalidate the pattern and push price back toward the $95K region.
📊 Stay cautious and manage risk — structure is everything in this phase.
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #CryptoAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Fundamentals #CryptoTrading #CupAndHandle #PriceAction #TradingView
Bitcoin Bullish Continuation Towards $128KBTC/USD | 1D Chart | April 2025
📊 Technical Analysis:
Bitcoin is maintaining its bullish structure within a well-defined ascending channel. The price has bounced off the lower trendline (green), which has provided strong support multiple times (see green arrows).
Currently, BTC is consolidating near $83,800, and a breakout from this zone could initiate the next impulsive move towards the midline and upper trendline resistance (~$128,000).
Support Levels: ~$80,000 (trendline)
Resistance Levels: ~$90,000, ~$110,000, and ~$128,000
Bullish Trigger: A confirmed breakout above $90,000 could signal strong continuation
🌍 Fundamental Analysis:
Bitcoin Halving (April 2024): Historically, BTC rallies post-halving due to reduced supply. The next supply shock could fuel a rally.
Institutional Demand: Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to see record inflows, with firms like BlackRock and Fidelity accumulating BTC aggressively.
Macroeconomic Factors: With inflation concerns persisting, investors are turning to Bitcoin as a hedge, pushing prices higher.
📈 Trade Idea:
Entry: $84,000 (Breakout Confirmation)
Stop Loss: $79,000 (Below Trendline)
Target Range: $110,000 – $128,000 (Channel Resistance)
I think bitcoin will bounce here on the .618 On the macro we are inside an impulse wave and just touching the .618 fib level. Also, if the measure the cycles top to bottom, you will find the end of the cycle this time actually falls around October 2025. I still think 2025 will be an amazing year for bitcoin, but the sentiment right now is very low. I think now is the best time to buy. Even if stocks continue to fall, I think bitcoin will absorb the liquidity from the stock market, as has been seen before.
Is Bitcoin on the Verge of a Massive Breakout?Bitcoin's wave ((4)) has successfully completed a W-X-Y corrective formation. If Bitcoin manages to decisively break above the key resistance level of 88,826, it could trigger a powerful impulsive rally, potentially driving prices toward the next major targets at 95,250 - 99,508 - 109,176.
Additionally, the parallel channel's lower trendline is offering substantial support, preventing further downside movement. A strong breakout above this channel could significantly enhance bullish momentum, increasing the probability of Bitcoin reaching new all-time highs.
We will update you with further information.
Where can Bitcoin turn bullish again? (2D)Before anything, pay attention to the timeframe of the analysis. This is a 2-day timeframe, so it will take time.
The green zone is where Bitcoin can start moving toward the specified targets. If the ATH is broken, Bitcoin could also move toward $120K and $140K. However, based on the chart, there is currently no certainty about Bitcoin’s final target.
Reaching the green zone may take more than 4 to 5 weeks.
We are looking for buy/long positions in the green zone.
A daily candle close below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
For risk management, please don't forget stop loss and capital management
When we reach the first target, save some profit and then change the stop to entry
Comment if you have any questions
Thank You
Don’t Trade the Headlines—Trade the Chart: My BTC Game PlanThere’s been a flood of noise in the media over the past few weeks—headlines shouting about uncertainty, new U.S. tariffs, market crashes, and an impending recession.
Years ago, I used to pay close attention to this kind of news, identifying myself as a "fundamental analyst". It didn't take long until I realised that I was looking in the wrong direction.
What changed my mindset was reflecting on how I felt during past market dips and how that feeling often contradicted what actually happened next. In almost every major move, my emotions—heavily influenced by media narratives—led me the wrong way. This time, I believe, is no different.
Despite bearish sentiment and doomsday headlines, I see opportunity. Even if a recession is on the horizon—and I do believe it’s likely—the market has a way of pricing in fear before the real damage hits. That means the upside may start before the worst news becomes obvious.
Before diving into my analysis and strategy, I recommend reading my privous publication, which is also linked to this publication
Chart Analysis & Market Status:
As anticipated, Bitcoin is currently retesting the capitulation price range that was first reached on February 28. Since then, volume has remained relatively low, while the Fear & Greed Index has started to slightly rise—indicating that panic selling may have already subsided.
The price is also sitting around the 20-week EMA, a level that has historically acted as a strong support zone. This alignment suggests that bearish sentiment may already be priced in, and we could be at or near the bottom of the current cycle—regardless of the broader macro fears.
My Current Strategy
🔹 Position: I remain bullish at current levels.
🔹 Exposure: 30% of my capital is already deployed.
Bullish Scenarios
Scenrio 1: (More Likely)
If the market bounces in the next 1–2 weeks, then retests this same price range with a healthy pullback, I’ll deploy another 40% of my capital.
From there, I’ll follow the "blue model" (my projected price path) all the way up until either my timing target or pricing target is hit—whichever comes first.
I’ll keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves.
Scenario 2: (Less likely)
If Bitcoin loses the current support at the 20-week EMA, I’ll allocate 20% at the $71K–$72K range and remain bullish—as the broader macro structure stays intact— considring this price as Wyckoff Spring.
Then I will eploying further 20% at around $80K when market bounces back considering it as Sign of Strength of current Re-Accumolation zone.
I’ll keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves.
Bearish Scenario: (Least Likely)
If Bitcoin breaks below the FWB:73K level—the peak of the previous wave—I’ll deploy another 20% around the 50-week EMA (currently near GETTEX:64K ).
This would invalidate the current bullish model, but my strategy adapts: my average entry would drop to ~$73K. In that case, I plan to sell on the next bounce that retests the 20-week EMA.
I’ll still keep the remaining 30% in reserve to adjust my average buy-in during unexpected market moves.
Final Thoughts:
As I always say: This market is stochastic—not deterministic. You can’t plug in numbers and expect a fixed outcome. There is no perfect formula. That’s why a well-structured Plan B is essential for survival and success.
Don't let headlines write your trades. Let the chart do the talking.
BTC/USD 4H PAIR........Based on My provided information, My looking at a Bitcoin sell position with the following key points:
Sell Position: 83,000
Resistance: 84,000
Target Point 1: 78,000
Target Point 2: 75,000
This indicates that you're considering selling Bitcoin at 83,000 and targeting a drop to 78,000 or 75,000, with 84,000 acting as the resistance level. If Bitcoin fails to break the 84,000 resistance level, you expect the price to decline toward your target points.
If the price approaches 84,000, it would be important to monitor for any signs of a reversal, as that could signal a potential failure of your sell strategy. If the price reaches your target points (78,000 or 75,000), it could be time to consider locking in profits, depending on your risk tolerance.
Would you like assistance with analyzing this further or building a strategy around it?
Bitcoin 1hr Update, Retrace To Continue HigherBitcoin from the 1hr pov will drop to the area between $78850 - $77555 to then bounce and continue higher but just to test the $82865 Res line, and as long as the Daily is in extended Bearish mode every bounce will be short lived to then continue lower until the Daily exits the Bearish mode.
BTC LongThe price is hovering around the one hour bullish trendline, and also above the 0,618 Fib level. A bullish divergence is forming on the 30 minutes time frame which suggests a reversal may take place.
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 81,250.81
1st Support: 74,377.30
1st Resistance: 84,581.33
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
BTCUSD sideways consolidation Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 79,000, followed by 76,278 and 74,222.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 91,900, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 95,126, with further resistance at 96,415.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Bitcoin Falls Below $75,000, Impacting Crypto-Exposed StocksBitcoin (BTC) slipped under $75,000 on Monday as fresh U.S.-China trade tensions rattled markets. The drop followed President Donald Trump’s announcement of new tariffs on Chinese goods. Beijing responded swiftly, increasing fears of a prolonged trade war.
Bitcoin fell to a daily low of $74,500 before recovering to trade near $79,000. This marked its lowest level since November 2024. Before the drop, Bitcoin had consolidated around $85,000 for several weeks.
The crypto market lost 7% of its total market capitalization in 24 hours. Coinglass data showed $1.61 billion in crypto liquidations. Bitcoin dominance rose slightly to 62.62%.
Ethereum (ETH) and XRP also recorded sharp losses. Ethereum briefly dropped below $1,500 but rebounded above support. XRP fell over 10%, currently trading at $1.8710.
Meme coins and altcoins mirrored the losses. Nearly all top-30 tokens saw double-digit declines. Derivatives traders reduced exposure, with open interest falling 10% to $91.19 billion.
Crypto-Exposed Stocks Take a Hit
Stocks tied to crypto followed Bitcoin’s slide. Shares of Coinbase Global (COIN), Marathon Digital (MARA) and Robinhood (HOOD) all declined. Strategy Inc. (MSTR), formerly MicroStrategy, dropped 9.24% in pre-market trading. The company holds a large Bitcoin treasury, making it sensitive to BTC movements.
However, chipmaker Nvidia (NVDA) rose 3.5% in a minor rebound. The stock had fallen 14% the previous week, its worst since January 2024. Nvidia remains down 27% year-to-date.
Technical Analysis: Bitcoin Retests Key Levels
Bitcoin has remained bearish since hitting an all-time high of $109,000 in January. The recent slide takes BTC back to levels last seen in November 2024. Despite temporary bounces, the market continues to trend downward.
BTC is now hovering above $78,000 but may head toward $71,000 support. This level could provide a base for a potential rally. A move below $71,000 could trigger further declines.
Recovery Depends on Macro Conditions. Traders are watching for new developments and macroeconomic data. The market needs positive catalysts to reverse bearish sentiment. Sentiment remains fragile after Trump’s tariffs and fears of global slowdown. The future of the crypto market under Trump’s administration is uncertain.
Pullback to 80KMorning folks,
So, our long-term bearish journey that we were following for 4-5 weeks comes to an end. BTC more or less hit our 74K target and strong weekly support area .
The next one stands around 69K, but market strongly needs a new driving factor to break ~70K support area, and hardly this will happen this week.
Taking in consideration that market is oversold, now we set a tactical target- pullback to 80K resistance area , and then we will see, should be sell again or not.
BTCUSD Trade AnalysisLong at 82,520
Target 1 (Primary):91,195 (Early exit if strong rejection forms)
Target 2 (Secondary):99,200 (If bullish momentum sustains)
Stop Loss:77,000 (Below key support).
Expecting a bullish continuation toward 99,200 before a potential sell-off resumes. Will monitor price action near 91,195 for signs of rejection. Stop loss placed below 77,000 to protect against a breakdown.
Bitcoin 325000Hello
I hope you are well🌹♥️
Political games and wars will affect the world and economic situation, but nothing will stop Bitcoin's growth for now
Soon we will have to move from the 70 range to higher targets and the first stop will be 325,000🚀🚀
Let's see what happens😉
BTCUSD LONG Rebound BTCUSD Rebound until 78.60 Fibbonacci level and after that sell until 1h orderblock downside.
MAJOR BULL RUN RALLY INCOMING !!! Starting From MAY 2025 !!!On Big Picture starting from 2020....
Inverse H & S was formed... after breakout we got pull back & then it started 8 months rally from September 2020 To April 2021.
Then after deep bear market, we got Inverse H&S... after breakout, we got pull back & then it started 8 months rally from September 2023 To April 2024.
Now. we got big H&S... after breakout, we are getting pull back & now we are almost near at support level of H&S. From around 74-66K region, reversal bull run rally is expected which will most probably start from next month ( May 2025) and around after 8 months (October-December) we would be roaming ATH around 300K !!! which tags exactly at major resistance line. By copy pasting 2021 rally's candles pattern on current scenario, we can see exactly how things are going to shape in upcoming months.
Lets Hope For The Best !!!
