BITCOIN SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 96,964.04
Target Level: 86,587.12
Stop Loss: 103,865.43
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTCUSD Possible Move May 6th 2025🔻 BTC/USD – SHORT SIGNAL & ANALYSIS
📉 Signal:
Sell BTC/USD below 94,000 after a confirmed break and retest of the ascending trendline.
Target: 93,000 liquidity zone
Stop Loss: Above 94,400 (or structure high after retest)
Risk/Reward: Approx. 1:2+
📊 Analysis:
Price has been in a descending channel, followed by a corrective structure forming higher lows.
Currently testing a rising trendline, suggesting weakening bullish momentum.
Clean liquidity pool rests around 93,000, likely to be targeted if structure breaks.
Expected flow:
Break below 94,000 trendline
Retest the trendline as resistance
Continuation to 93,000 demand/imbalance area
🧠 Trade Idea Summary:
This setup aligns with bearish market structure and liquidity concepts. A breakdown from the trendline would confirm bearish intent, with 93,000 as the next logical draw on price.
BTCUSD Long Setup – Trading Within Ascending ChannelBitcoin is currently trading within a well-defined ascending channel on the 1-hour chart. Price recently bounced off the lower boundary of the channel and is showing signs of bullish continuation.
Entry: Around 94,400
Stop Loss: 94,250
Take Profit: 95,642
The price action shows a clear upward channel with consistently higher highs and higher lows. After the recent pullback, BTC respected the lower trendline support and formed a potential base for a new bullish leg.
Risk is well-contained below recent structure
As long as BTC remains inside the channel, upside potential remains valid
This is a simple trend-following setup with tight risk and clear upside structure.
BTCUSD – 5M Premium Zone Rejection | Short Setup Activated🧩 BTCUSD – 5-Minute Breakdown | May 4, 2025
The BoS has happened, but don’t let it fool you — price just entered the danger zone. This is where Smart Money loves to trap late longs and send price tumbling.
🧠 SMC Playbook:
🔨 BoS Identified: Minor bullish BoS after initial reaction from the previous low.
🟥 Supply Zone (Entry Area): 79%–100% retracement zone from the latest swing high to low.
🔄 Reversal Point: Entry just above the 79% zone (95,499–95,629).
🎯 Target: Weak Low = 95,200
🧼 Stop-Loss: Above 95,629 (structure invalidation)
📏 RR Ratio Potential: 1:3 to 1:4+
🔎 Narrative:
Price is engineered to grab liquidity before making the real move. The Strong High acts as protection — Smart Money is defending this area. Once the premium fills, we expect a clean breakdown back into the discount zone.
📊 Key Observations:
❌ Buyers are likely trapped.
📍OB tapped + Fibonacci 79–100% = High confluence.
💥 Expecting liquidity sweep → sharp sell-off.
⏰ Execution timeframe = M1/M5 confirmation (engulfing, CHoCH, etc.)
📣 How to Trade It:
Monitor price action inside red zone (79–100%).
Wait for lower timeframe confirmation (e.g. bearish engulfing, M1 CHoCH).
Short from ~95,500 with SL above 95,630.
TP at Weak Low → potential extension to 94,800 if momentum kicks in.
🧠 Chart Ninja Tip:
“Don’t chase price — trap it. Let price come to you and confirm. The premium zone is where trades go from good to god-tier.”
💬 Drop a 🧠 if you’re watching this level too.
📈 Save this chart for your next sniper entry.
🔁 Share it with your SMC crew and ride the liquidity wave!
BTC/USD Analysis – Strong Demand Zone Breakout or Reversal Chart Timeframe: 15 Min
Indicators Used: LuxAlgo Supply & Demand, Visible Range Volume Profile
Current Price: $95,554
Support Zone: $95,631 - Key demand zone (highlighted in orange)
Resistance Levels: $96,786 and $97,727
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Analysis:
Bitcoin is currently sitting right at a high-volume demand zone ($95,631), which has acted as strong support recently. Price is testing this level aggressively.
Two possible scenarios are in play:
1. Bullish Reversal:
If bulls defend this zone, we could see a bounce back toward $96,786, and possibly a retest of the $97,727 supply zone. This area aligns with previous sell pressure and high volume, making it a solid take-profit zone for long scalpers.
2. Bearish Breakdown:
A clean break and candle close below the orange demand zone may signal further downside, with the next logical support not shown on this chart (could be referenced in a follow-up post). Look for high-volume confirmation on the breakdown.
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Trade Idea:
Long Entry: On bullish confirmation (e.g., bullish engulfing or demand hold at $95,631)
Target 1: $96,786
Target 2: $97,727
Stop Loss: Below $95,400 (depending on risk tolerance)
Bias: Neutral – waiting for confirmation
Market Reaction: Watch how price behaves in the next 2-3 candles at this key zone.
BITCOIN Is Bullish! Buy!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 96,975.97.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 99,781.42 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Summary of the Bitcoin Market This WeekThis week, the Bitcoin market showed a trend of steady increase and broke through the key resistance level.👉👉👉
Technically, the MACD indicator on the daily chart shows a strong bullish signal, and the price has also held above the key moving average, confirming the short - to medium - term upward trend. Overall, market sentiment is relatively optimistic, and investors' expectations for it to break through the psychological barrier of $100,000 have increased. However, when Bitcoin approaches the $98,000 level, it may form a short - term resistance, and as the price gets closer to the $100,000 mark, the overly optimistic market sentiment also increases the risk of a pullback.
The better than expected performance of the US job market has alleviated recession concerns, boosted the sentiment of risky assets, and provided support for Bitcoin. Meanwhile, the signs of easing in US - China trade relations have had a positive impact on the global financial markets, including the cryptocurrency market.
This week, the Bitcoin market has performed strongly driven by various factors. Both on-chain data and market indicators have shown positive signals. However, during the process of price increase, it's also necessary to pay attention to the potential risk of a pullback.
$BTC Trump Pump $100k Target HitTRUMP PUMP IS BACK 🔥
$100k target hit ✅
Another massive rip for CRYPTOCAP:BTC closing within the golden zone 🏆
Need some consistent PA in here or a rip and close above the .786 fib.
200DMA (now sitting at $90,861) is still my base case as mentioned in my original analysis several weeks ago.
IF this is the start of the PARABOLA, and you have some dry powder, a retest of ATH ~109k and then correction to .786 ~$101k would be your entry, with a SL just below the .618 ~$93k
Exciting to watch either way it goes!
This is why you always prepare for both scenarios 🤓
Bitcoin Monthly Target?Take a look at this chart we have, I think it will be possible for Bitcoin to even break 142,000$ with enough volume, In this chart it seems a golden cross happened back in April 2024. Also a price break out back in March 2025 we ascended from 73,000$ and now have retested that level and has become support it seems we are also in an ascending channel. I think if we break out of this channel I think we could see some explosive price action we are in unknown territory with bitcoin. I can even see this going to 220,000$ in a rather short time frame.
Today we have hit again that 100,000 number and have started to ascend with alt coins following.
I think in the next two weeks or so we will see large price gains my current target is 142,000$
What are your targets and why?
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Analysis – 1H
🏛 1. Current Market Structure
📉 Price is currently moving within a small ascending channel after rejecting the red zone (IFVG 1D), but this move might be a bear trap.
⚠️ A downside breakout is likely, aiming to sweep liquidity lower.
🌍 2. Bigger Picture Outlook
🔍 The market could drop toward the grey support zone (below $91,500) before a potential bullish recovery.
📅 Overall structure remains dependent on a key macro catalyst, particularly Jerome Powell's upcoming speech.
🔍 3. Key Technical Observations
🟥 IFVG 1D: Clean rejection from this zone, increasing selling pressure.
📉 Suspicious ascending channel: Often a corrective pattern before continuation downward.
🟩 FVG 1D below: A potential liquidity zone, likely to trigger a reaction if tested.
🎯 4. Short-Term Expectations
📉 Favored bearish scenario:
Channel breakdown
Liquidity sweep
Retest of the grey support area (~$91,000)
📈 Bullish reaction possible afterwards, depending on how price behaves at support and macro conditions.
🔥 5. Upcoming Catalysts
🕰 Powell’s speech on Wednesday: Highly anticipated by the market.
💸 A rate cut could support BTC, but short-term uncertainty keeps pressure on price.
🔎 Until then, expect high volatility as the market seeks clarity.
✅ Conclusion
👉 Current price action suggests a bear trap with a likely liquidity grab to the downside.
📍 Key levels to watch:
Grey support zone (~$91,000)
Green FVG 1D (~$89,000)
Market reaction post-FOMC
⏳ Until the FED decision, the market remains fragile and liquidity-driven.
BTC TO TEST 100K?Bitcoin continues to grind higher, now pushing up against the key $99,517 resistance level – the final major hurdle before entering price discovery territory above the March high.
The chart is technically strong: price is comfortably above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which have acted as dynamic support during the recent move up. The consolidation we saw under $95K acted as a healthy base, and today’s candle shows a clear attempt to break out of that range with strength.
Volume has picked up slightly, but not aggressively – so while the momentum is clearly bullish, we’d want to see stronger participation on a confirmed breakout above $100K to avoid a potential fakeout or exhaustion move.
The $100K psychological level looms large and could bring volatility if reached. The next major resistances are $106,099 and $109,358 – both of which were strong rejection zones earlier this year. Until then, the trend remains intact and higher lows continue to support the bullish case.
Note - crazy how easy this was… buy around $74,000 a retest of the previous all time high.
Bitcoin Confirms Breakout — Bullish Trend Gains StrengthStair-Stepping Uptrend:
Bitcoin has confirmed a breakout above the critical $88,000–$90,000 resistance zone, forming a classic pattern of higher lows and higher highs. This technical structure signals a decisive shift in market sentiment.
Momentum Builds:
The breakout marks a clear resurgence in bullish momentum after months of consolidation following January’s highs. It suggests that the market is regaining strength and preparing for a sustained move upward.
Key Support Level:
As long as Bitcoin holds above $92,000, the bullish structure remains valid. This level now acts as a critical threshold for traders to manage risk and assess continuation.
Outlook:
With the trend now clearly favoring the bulls, Bitcoin is well-positioned for further upside in the near term. Continued strength could open the door to retesting previous all-time highs and potentially reaching new ones.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #Breakout #TechnicalAnalysis #BullishTrend #CryptoMarket #SupportAndResistance #MarketUpdate #PriceAction
Is growth over? What to expect next for Bitcoin ?In this idea I marked the important levels for this week and considered a few scenarios of price performance
Important support will be at 90k, the price may show a local rebound from the level before showing further decline within the correction
Write a comment with your coins & hit the like button and I will make an analysis for you
The author's opinion may differ from yours,
Consider your risks.
Wish you successful trades! MURA
BITCOIN's Trump effect: The 2025 PARABOLIC FINALE is coming!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has completed 3 straight green 1W candles, making an impressive start into Q2 2025. But is it a coincidence or systemic behavior of technical trends?
It certainly is no coincidence the structure that the market has with Trump under President. Q1 has been undoubtedly disastrous due to the Trade War fueled by back and forth tariffs. But this is a pattern we've seen before and more specifically in Trump's 1st Term during Q1 2017.
As you can see, BTC was again under heavy volatility during Trump's 1st Term Q1, even though the correction wasn't as hard initially. What's more interesting however, is that in both Terms, the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY, blue trend-line) topped in Q1 and started collapsing. In 2017 that was the catalyst that fueled BTC's insane Parabolic Rally for the rest of the year.
Can the current Dollar collapse kick-start a rally for the rest of 2025? If the Trade War stabilizes, it certainly looks so. It is no coincidence that in 2017 Trump came out storming that the Dollar was too high just like he states now that the Interest Rates are too high, pressuring the Fed to cut.
So what do you think? Is the rest of 2025 destined to be as strong as 2017? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTC tries to break out of rectangle, eyes 3% rallyBitcoin is breaking out from a tight range with a potential 3% move to 98,500, but it needs to gain momentum fast to avoid a false breakout.
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"Bitcoin - Stop loss level $92381.77"In continuation with yesterday's update,
"#Bitcoin, there is a possibility that $94239.50 may act as support otherwise $92381.77 should work as a stop loss. If it breaks, then we may see the further downside levels as $90523.64, $88665.50, $86575.25 and $84485.00.",
Now, I have added the upside levels as well.
Mid-point: $94239.50
Stop loss: $92381.77
Upside: $97962.33, $99813.50, $101903.75 and $103994.00
Downside: $90523.64, $88665.50, $86575.25 and $84485.00
#BTCUSD
#BitcoinResistance
#CryptoAnalysis
#ChartAnalysis
Are We Witnessing A WHALE Diving Expedition?Get ready to buckle up and prepare for an exhilarating ride, because the Bitcoin seas are getting choppy!
Whispers are circulating,
theories are bubbling, and everyone's glued to their screens as we potentially witness something HUGE:
Bitcoin whales might be prepping for a deep-sea dive, potentially pulling the price down from a hypothetical high of 96,000 to the depths of 66,000 and even $55,000...
and Whales might be taking their sweet, strategic time about it!
To be or not to be, that is the question..... BTC/USD Bitcoin Elliott Wave Projection – 4H Timeframe Analysis
This 4-hour BTC/USD chart applies Elliott Wave Theory to outline a potential bullish continuation scenario, balanced with a corrective alternative. The chart currently identifies a completed 5-wave impulse move from the recent bottom, followed by a likely ABC corrective structure forming.
Key Elements:
• Primary Impulse (Blue Waves 1-5): A five-wave bullish sequence appears to have played out from early April to early May, suggesting the completion of Wave (1) of a larger degree bullish cycle.
• Corrective Wave (ABC in Yellow): After the peak of Wave (5), an ABC correction is expected, retracing into the Fibonacci support zones. Highlighted levels include the 0.382 ($89,958), 0.5 ($87,286), and 0.618 ($84,713) retracement levels.
• Accumulation/Order Block Zones: Two key green demand zones are marked between $86,997 and $75,322, with heavy interest shown in the golden pocket region for potential re-entries (0.618-0.65 zone).
• Bullish Continuation Scenario: After the corrective ABC structure completes, a new five-wave impulsive rally is projected—this would form Wave (3) of a higher-degree cycle, with sub-waves (1)-(5) plotted in blue, potentially pushing BTC toward the $140,000 range.
• Bearish Alternative (Red Arrow): A red arrow suggests the alternate scenario—if price fails to hold the Fibonacci support or green demand zones, a deeper decline could ensue, invalidating the bullish wave count.
Technical Indicators:
• Moving Averages: The chart includes a 50-period EMA (red) and a longer-term MA (white), showing a bullish crossover.
• Order Block Detector (LuxAlgo): Supports the chart’s high-confluence buy zones.