Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 98,383.98
1st Support: 94,101.85
1st Resistance: 108,545.92
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BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTC eyes on $97.8k: Last stop before 85.3k Golden Genesis retestShown here is a single fib series in three different time-frames.
The "Genesis Sequence" has called every major turn since 2015.
Clear reactions at each fib confirms our faith in the "Golden Ratio"
Topped at the 111.66k fib, and orbitted the 105k fib for a bit.
Now approaching a critical fib at 97.8k that bulls must fight for.
If it does not hold then we look to the Golden Genesis at 85.3k
$ 97,769.44 is the exact location of next fib.
$ 85,354.35 is the exact location of the Golden fib.
Golden Genesis fibs deserve the respect of a retest.
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Previous calls of the Genesis Sequence include these amazingly PRECISE turns:
$111k Top call:
$105k recent Top call:
$73k previous Cylce top:
Hit the FOLLOW and BOOST to encourage more such PRECISE charts.
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BITCOIN This is the long-term picture. Don't get distracted.Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has been consolidating lately after making a new All Time High (ATH) last month and this is already making part of the market nervous over whether that's the Cycle Top or not.
This is one of those times when it would be best to ignore the short-term noise/ volatility and stick to the long-term picture. And that's exactly what's shown on this chart, with BTC on the 1M time-frame showing the incredible symmetry among its 4-year Cycles, with Bear Markets lasting 12 - 13 months and Bull Markets 35.
Based on that, this Cycle's Top is expected to be priced by October (2025). This also matches the Sine Waves as implied by the 1M RSI, which as been trading within a Channel Down (diminishing returns) since Bitcoin's inception.
So do you also think that we have around 4 months before the market tops? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!
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BTCUSD HTFBitcoin is a decentralized digital currency that you can buy, sell and exchange directly, without an intermediary like a bank. Bitcoin’s creator, Satoshi Nakamoto, originally described the need for “an electronic payment system based on cryptographic proof instead of trust.”
Every Bitcoin transaction that’s ever been made exists on a public ledger accessible to everyone, making transactions hard to reverse and difficult to fake. That’s by design: Core to their decentralized nature, Bitcoins aren’t backed by the government or any issuing institution, and there’s nothing to guarantee their value besides the proof baked in the heart of the system.
BTC/USD Short Setup – Breakdown from Bear Flag Edge🚀||| 👆Your Boost is appreciated in Advance👆 |||🚀
Thesis: Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined descending channel, potentially forming a bear flag on the higher time frame. Price is currently hovering just below the key resistance zone near $108,600 (“The Edge”), failing to reclaim the upper boundary of the flag.
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Entry: 🔻 Short at $106,850 – Price is rejecting the upper channel resistance and failing to break above “The Edge”
Stop-Loss: 🔺 $109,000 – Above the recent swing high and invalidation of the flag structure
Take-Profit 1: ✅ $104,700 🎯
Take-Profit 2: ✅ $102,400 🎯
Optional extended:
TP4: $98,000 – Full measured move of the flag breakdown
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:1 to 1:4 depending on target
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#MJTrading
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #ShortSetup #BearFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #TradingView
BTCUSD - Weekly Bullish Momentum Targeting $115K, Eyeing $137KI'm currently observing a strong bullish structure on the weekly timeframe for Bitcoin, trading at $107,305 at the time of writing. The current weekly candle shows aggressive buying pressure, and if this momentum sustains through the close, we could see a continuation toward the $115,200 level.
There’s visible liquidity and unfilled price action around $109,500, which I expect to be taken out as price moves upward. Once cleared, Bitcoin could either:
1. Continue straight to \$115K+, or
2. Briefly retrace before resuming the uptrend.
From a Fibonacci retracement perspective, BTC previously pulled back to the 38.2% level ~$76,000 before launching into the current leg up, a classic continuation signal within an uptrend.
Given the current price action and historical behavior, I’m targeting the following levels:
Short-term target: $115,200
Long-term target (multi-month): $137,200-$137,300
Stop loss and entry would depend on the timeframe of execution, but from a weekly structure, invalidation would occur if BTC breaks below the last major higher low around $98,000-$96,000.
Let’s see how this weekly candle closes. If the momentum holds, the next leg could already be unfolding.
BITCOIN SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
BITCOIN SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 107,066.16
Target Level: 99,786.09
Stop Loss: 111,861.76
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1D
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS
BTC WILL PLAY THIS BOXES
### 🔴 **Bearish Order Blocks (Resistance Zones)**:
These are likely areas where price previously faced selling pressure and may again.
1. **Zone 1 (Lowest Red OB)**
📍 Range: \~108,300 – 108,800
🔹 Price is currently reacting at this zone.
🔹 If price fails to break and close above this zone with volume, expect a short-term rejection.
2. **Zone 2**
📍 Range: \~109,65,0 – 110,000
🔹 If price breaks above Zone 1, this becomes the next target/resistance.
3. **Zone 3 (Highest Red OB)**
📍 Range: \~110,500 – 111,500
🔹 Strongest resistance in this chart. If price reaches here, high chance of reversal unless strong momentum continues.
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### 🔵 **Bullish Order Blocks (Support Zones)**:
These are previous demand areas where buyers stepped in.
1. **Zone 1 (Highest Blue OB)**
📍 Range: \~106,900 – 107,600
🔹 Closest support below current price. If price retraces, it may bounce from here.
🔹 Good area for long entries if price gives bullish confirmation.
2. **Zone 2**
📍 Range: \~105,800 – 106,500
🔹 Stronger support zone; last defense before potential further downside.
🔹 Matches with yellow price marker (105,998.9), possibly a key liquidity level.
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### 🧠 **Trade Idea Suggestion** (Based on your OB strategy):
#### ✅ **Bullish Scenario**:
* Break & close above 108,800 (top of current red OB) with volume → Look for retest to go **long**.
Market next target ⚠️ Disruption & Analytical Weaknesses:
1. Support Zone Already Broken (Wick Penetration):
The candlestick wick clearly pierced the support level drawn on the chart.
This indicates that buyers are weak at that level — the support is not holding firmly.
Relying on this support for a bullish bias is risky, as it may soon turn into resistance.
2. Volume Confirms Weakness, Not Strength:
The bounce from the support zone happens on low or declining volume, suggesting lack of strong buying interest.
A legitimate bullish reversal should be backed by a volume surge — here, that’s absent.
3. False Sense of Recovery:
The analysis shows arrows projecting straight up to the “Target” level, implying a smooth bullish recovery.
This is unrealistic given the recent choppy price action and repeated failures to hold gains above 107,200.
Price action suggests uncertainty or distribution, not clean bullish momentum.
4. Tight Range and High Volatility Ignored:
Price has been ranging between ~106,400 and ~107,600 with rapid whipsaws.
This kind of structure is often indicative of indecision, and setting a clear directional target without breakout confirmation is premature
Bitcoin's Bullish DriversThe four bullish drivers behind Bitcoin's rally:
1.Institutional involvement: BlackRock and other institutions have accumulated large positions through ETFs, with OTC inventory declining, creating a scarcity effect in the market.
2.Policy tailwinds: Escalating expectations of Federal Reserve rate cuts have enhanced Bitcoin's attractiveness under low-interest-rate environments.
3.Regulatory breakthrough: China's Guotai Junan International has obtained regulatory approval, opening a compliant channel for Chinese capital.
4.Technical support: The 50-day moving average has broken above the 200-day moving average, forming a "golden cross" that confirms the long-term upward trend.
BTCUSD
buy@106000~107000
SL:105000
TP:108000~109000
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BTCUSD – Price Approaching The Edge of the Channel📍 BTCUSD – Price Approaching The Edge of the Channel
Bitcoin has surged sharply from the lower boundary of its descending channel and is now reaching another “Edge” — the upper resistance line.
🎯 Two Key Scenarios:
🟩 Bullish Breakout: A clear breakout above ~$108,000 with strong volume could initiate a new leg toward $111K and beyond
🟨 Bearish Rejection: Failure to break the channel may lead to a corrective wave back toward $103K or lower
This is a classic "decision point" — where market structure and momentum meet supply and resistance.
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#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #TheEdge #ChannelTrading #EMA #BitcoinResistance #MJTrading #CryptoSetup #SwingTrade #MarketStructure #BreakoutOrRejection #KeyLevel #TrendWatch
BTCUSD H4 Potential DropHi there,
BTCUSD H4: As long as the 85,119.33 level holds, the overall trend remains bullish in a larger scope.
Currently, the price is trading below the diagonal dotted trendline. The further it stays below this trendline, the stronger the bears' position.
The level of 101,574.21 is open for a bias towards 93,511.35.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.
“DXY at 3-Year Low | Gold Slips, BTC Stalls – What PCE Data Meann this week’s Market Recap, we break down the key moves across the US Dollar Index (DXY), Gold (XAUUSD), and Bitcoin (BTCUSD) — and how they’re all being shaped by rising Fed uncertainty and looming U.S. inflation data.
🔹 DXY is hovering near 3-year lows as political pressure and expectations of Fed rate cuts weigh on sentiment.
🔸 Gold is slipping near 4-week lows as Middle East tensions ease and risk appetite returns.
🔹 Bitcoin remains flat but poised for a breakout, with macro data in the driver's seat.
We explain how each market is reacting, what traders are pricing in ahead of the upcoming PCE inflation data, and how to position yourself in the week ahead.
📌 Covered in this recap:
Market sentiment shifts and key news drivers
Practical insights for interpreting price action
What to watch in next week’s economic calendar
📊 Stay informed, stay prepared.
👉 Like, follow, and comment if you found this helpful. Let’s trade smart.