Is btc on its way to 99k?As you can see, btc has formed a bearish flag on the 4h chart and we are currently breaking out. I am therefore not bullish on btc at the moment, because I think we will drop back to 99k and maybe even to 93k because there is very strong support. I will keep you informed. www.tradingview.com
BTCUSD.P trade ideas
BTCUSDT UP SIDE VIEW In resistance halt why if Market respect that level it will fall why market invite to retailer to sell their position here Market waiting for them is it trap yes exactly what am I saying it's a trap now our trade will activate when market breakout ok up side Seller so many sl Market wil hunt all sl.
โฟ BTC: Delay Tactics in Wave B Bitcoin dropped hard yesterday, throwing a wrench into the expected climb toward the top of green wave B. This bounce was supposed to stretch into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891, which we flagged as a smart area to take partial profits or layer in short hedges. That zone still standsโBTC just isnโt ready to hit it yet. The current pullback suggests weโll see more sideways-to-lower price action before green wave B wraps up. Once it does, green wave C should drag Bitcoin into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. Thatโs where weโre looking for orange wave a to complete. After that, a countertrend rally in wave b could pop upโbefore wave c wraps the entire corrective cycle and finishes blue wave (ii). Weโre also watching an alt.(i) breakout scenario (30% probability). In that case, BTC would blow through the $130,891 level early, bypassing the expected dip and reaching new highs faster than projected.
๐ Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
**Beginning of the Bear!**Fool me once... Fool me twice, shame on me. This looks like a good point of entry, but with the head and shoulders pattern completed as predicted, along with the following correction also anticipated, it is very likely that we are at the start of a bear market.
FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) is clearly evident in the market as leveraged traders predict high numbers, and key Bitcoin institutions are purchasing more. These companies have low average buy prices and can access additional liquidity. Retail buyers, on the other hand, find themselves trapped at high price points where they either have to sell at a loss or hold on (HODL).
It's essential to keep your liquidity safe, as Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to correct. With the average production cost of a BTC around $30,000, miner pressure and profit-taking in preparation for the next halving will come into play. Remember, miners need to sell to buy new rigs, and they create downward pressure on the market, especially when demand is low. Institutions will likely not continue buying in a bear market; instead, they may short BTC and related stocks.
Support is currently strong at $103,000, with the next levels at $101,000 and $97,000. If these support levels break, we could fall below the 200 MA (Moving Average) and enter a bear market, which would create additional selling pressure and could push the price down to approximately $40,000.
BITCOIN Will Move Higher! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The price is testing a key support 105,496.60.
Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 106,868.68 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTCUSD Entre point 103900 105500target 104900 stop loss 103100I think you meant to say the entry point is either 103,900 or 105,500. Assuming the correct entry point is one of these:
- Entry Point: 103,900 or 105,500
- Target: 104,900
- If entry point is 103,900 target looks like 1,000-point gain
- If entry point is 105,500 target looks like 600-point loss, which doesn't make sense given the target is supposed to be a gain. Given the numbers, let's assume the entry point is 103,900.
- Stop Loss: 103,100 (800-point risk)
Risk-reward ratio looks decent if entry point is indeed 103,900! Let's see how it plays out. What's your trading strategy behind this setup? Are you expecting a bullish breakout?
Daily BTC/USD Analysis - Smart Money PerspectivePrice recently swept liquidity above the previous weekly high, indicating a classic liquidity grab. After this move, we observed a market structure shift (MSS) to the downside, followed by a break and a mitigation of a bearish imbalance (BAG).
Currently, price is reacting from a small fair value gap (FVG), but this is likely just a retracement. I'm expecting the market to drop further and target the larger FVG zone that aligns on both the weekly and daily timeframes (highlighted in blue). This zone also aligns with a potential POI (point of interest) for smart money accumulation.
๐ Short-term bias: Bearish
๐ฏ Target: 99,000โ97,000 zone
๐ Watch for rejection at current FVG or possible internal liquidity grab before the drop.
Smart money is likely to seek deeper liquidity before any meaningful bullish continuation. Stay patient and let price come to the premium zone.
BTCUSD Weekly Structure Analysis โ Bearish Trend + Target๐ Overview:
Bitcoin has shown us a classic market structure shift, moving from bullish strength into a clear bearish retracement, all while respecting major zones and smart money concepts. This current price action highlights a Bearish Break of Structure (BOS), followed by a continuation move toward a key demand zone, which we are eyeing for the next potential reversal opportunity.
๐งฉ 1. TRC Breakout & Early Bull Run
The chart shows a strong bullish phase starting from November 2024, which peaked in late May 2025.
The TRC (Trendline Resistance Channel) Breakout marked the shift from lower highs to higher highs.
This breakout was the initial sign of bullish strength, leading to a break of structure (BOS) around the $108,000โ$110,000 level.
โ ๏ธ 2. BOS Confirmed โ Structure Starts to Crumble
Once price reached the reversal area near $112,000 (supply zone), we saw a failure to form new highs.
The Bearish BOS was confirmed when price failed to hold support and aggressively broke below the previous higher low.
This BOS is our first confirmation of trend exhaustion and a transition into bearish structure.
๐ง 3. Structural Analysis & Smart Money Behavior
Notice how price moved sideways near the top before dropping โ a typical distribution phase.
This is where smart money distributes positions to retail buyers at the top before the markdown.
After the BOS, each lower high confirmed the bearish market structure, with no strong bullish CHoCH in sight.
๐งฑ 4. Major CHoCH & Interchange Zone
Look lower on the chart โ the SR Interchange Zone around the $76,000โ$78,000 area is significant.
This acted as resistance in early 2025, flipped into support later, and now stands as a potential Major CHoCH (Change of Character) if price revisits and reverses here.
If price respects this zone again, it could mark the next bullish accumulation phase.
๐ฏ 5. Current Target: $83,000โ$85,000 Zone
Based on structural behavior, liquidity voids, and past interaction, our short-term target is the $83,000โ$85,000 demand zone.
This area is marked as โTarget + Next Reversalโ on the chart.
We expect either:
A reaction and reversal from this zone
Or a deeper push toward SR Interchange depending on volume and macro triggers
๐งฎ Key Technical Breakdown:
Component Observation
Trendline Break TRC Breakout in February
Bullish BOS Confirmed around $108,000
Reversal Area ~$112,000 (Supply/Distribution)
Structure Shift Bearish BOS confirmed
Current Target $83,000โ$85,000
CHoCH Potential $76,000โ$78,000
Bias Bearish short-term
๐ง Trading Wisdom:
โStructure tells the story โ price action confirms it.โ
Always analyze shifts in structure, not just candle patterns. BOS and CHoCH are some of the most reliable tools in understanding true market intent, especially when aligned with high-volume reversal areas.
โ
Final Thoughts:
Bitcoin is currently in a controlled retracement phase, and we are watching closely how price behaves near the $83Kโ$85K demand zone. If that fails, the deeper SR Interchange at ~$76K becomes the next high-probability zone for long entries.
This is a time to be patient, analyze clean structure, and ride with smart money, not against it.
BTC/USD (Bitcoin) โ Smart Money Trap & Expansion Thesis๐ Chart Published: May 31, 2025 | 1D Timeframe
๐ Current Price: $104,712
๐ Structure Type: Smart Money Concepts + Fibonacci Confluence + BOS/CHoCH
๐ง Technical Breakdown
๐บ Premium Supply Zone Rejection
Price recently rejected the Premium Zone ($110Kโ112K), leaving behind a weak high and confirming institutional selling pressure.
The rejection occurred after tapping the 0.886 retracement at ~$107,735 and forming a Break of Structure (BOS) below $103,000.
๐ป Pullback Zones
Equilibrium Zone (EQ): ~$93,255 โ Critical re-accumulation area and liquidity magnet.
Stacked Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) and Fibonacci levels align around this zone, strengthening its magnetism.
If EQ fails, secondary support sits near the Discount Zone (80,000โ85,000).
๐ Projected Move (White Arrow)
Price is expected to retrace to EQ (~$93K) โ sweep liquidity โ create higher low โ initiate a parabolic impulse leg toward $135Kโ$149K.
Long-term Fibonacci extensions target:
1.618 extension: $135,121
2.0 extension: $149,202 (final rally exhaustion)
๐ Probability Model
Scenario Description Probability Rationale
๐ Retrace to EQ (~$93K) Sweep of liquidity & reaccumulation 70% Strong confluence of CHoCH, FVG, EQ zone, and SMC entry logic
๐ Bounce at EQ โ Parabolic Rally Bullish reversal with target at $135โ149K 60% Structure remains bullish unless EQ breaks
๐งจ Deeper Drop to $85Kโ$80K Break of EQ, move into deeper discount zone 30% Only triggered by severe macro panic or BTC-specific FUD
๐ Immediate Rally w/o Pullback Break of $112K and price discovery 15% Low volume, extended move makes this unlikely without major catalyst
๐ฆ Macro Overview โ Bitcoin Q2 2025 Context
๐ ETF Flows & Institutional Positioning
BTC Spot ETF inflows have slowed since May but remain net positive over the month.
Institutions are likely waiting for a pullback before re-entering โ adding weight to the EQ zone retest thesis.
๐ต U.S. Macro Outlook
Fed Pause Likely in June, with July cuts increasingly probable.
Liquidity injection + dovish pivot = risk-on environment favorable for BTC if confirmed.
๐ Global Flows
De-dollarization narratives, unstable fiat in LATAM/EM, and BTC's halving narrative continue to support long-term bullish demand.
โ ๏ธ Risks
Mt. Gox creditor sell pressure expected Q3.
Crypto regulation uncertainty in U.S. and EU.
High beta to tech sector drawdowns if equities retrace.
BITCOIN BULLISH TO $116,000 (UPDATE)Bitcoin has come very close to our $116,000 target, peaking at $112,000 just $4,000 away from our TP.
I still believe BTC prices will push higher for sure. But my only concern right now is will BTC have a huge correction ( Minor Wave 4) before it moves back up again? If it does then I'll most likely cash out my buy positions soon for my Crypto Fund investors, as we've already made decent profits & it is not worth holding on too much longer & risking it.
BTCUSD: Bullish Continuation & Long Trade
BTCUSD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long BTCUSD
Entry Point - 10465
Stop Loss - 10321
Take Profit - 10794
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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BTCUSD: About to explode to 135k by July.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 57.730, MACD = 3423.900, ADX = 23.501) as it is expreriencing the strongest pullback since the start of its April bottom. Having completed a 1D Golden Cross like on October 27th 2024, this pullback seems a lot like the one that suceeded that Cross, which tested the LH trendline and marginally crossed under it and as it held the 1D MA50, resumed the uptrend and exploded to the 3.382 Fibonacci extension. That is our target on a July horizon (TP = 135,000).
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BTCUSD Mind Mapping Analysis (MMC) + Structure Mapping + Target๐ต๏ธโโ๏ธ Introduction
Welcome traders! In todayโs BTCUSD analysis, we dive deep into the Mind Mapping Concept (MMC) with curve-based support, smart money structure shifts, and mapped liquidity levels. This chart reveals how institutional players moved price through liquidity traps, accumulation zones, and major breakout points, culminating in a reversal zone.
This breakdown is ideal for traders using:
Smart money concepts (SMC)
Curve theory
Liquidity sweeps
Structure mapping
๐ Detailed Breakdown of the Chart:
๐น 1. Ellipse Zone โ Liquidity Trap Phase
The blue ellipse on the left shows a clear area of price compression and indecision.
This is where retail traders often enter prematurely, expecting reversal.
Smart money exploits these zones to collect liquidity โ this is not yet a trend shift, but a trap.
You can observe multiple wicks and fakeouts, signaling manipulation and preparation for expansion.
๐น 2. Expanding Channel โ Volatility Phase
Following the trap, price enters an expanding pattern (also known as a megaphone).
These structures indicate uncertain market behavior, often manipulated to clear both highs and lows.
Smart money uses this to exhaust both buyers and sellers before deciding the real trend direction.
๐น 3. Previous Target & SR Flip Zone
Price reaches the previous downside target, completing a downward liquidity move.
From here, the market forms a support-resistance flip (SR-Interchange) โ a textbook zone for institutional entries.
Once this zone holds, it confirms that buyers are absorbing sell orders.
The curve starts forming, indicating deeper market structure realignment.
๐น 4. Black Curve โ Mind Mapping Curve Support
One of the most important elements of MMC โ the curve โ acts as a psychological and algorithmic support line.
The curve captures the accumulation structure in a flowing manner.
Repeated touches and rejections confirm its strength.
As long as price respects the curve, the bullish momentum remains intact.
๐น 5. Breakout Confirmation
Price breaks through mid-range consolidation and hits Target 1.
This move confirms a shift in market sentiment from indecision to bullish control.
The breakout is supported by volume, structure alignment, and curve acceleration.
๐น 6. Major Breakout Zone
A major resistance line is broken โ this marks a shift in macro structure.
At this point, we label the zone as โMajor Breakoutโ โ any retest of this can offer a high-RR entry.
๐น 7. Next Reversal Zone (Supply Zone)
Price is now inside the Next Reversal Zone, which is a potential supply area or liquidity magnet.
Institutional traders may use this zone for profit-taking or to initiate a deeper retracement.
Watch for rejection signs, such as long wicks, engulfing patterns, or volume divergence.
If this zone is absorbed (i.e., broken cleanly), expect another leg higher.
๐ก MMC Summary (Flow Recap):
Trap โ Expansion โ Liquidity Target โ SR Flip โ Curve Accumulation โ Breakout โ Target Hit โ Reversal Zone
Each stage reflects smart money behavior and follows the natural cycle of manipulation โ accumulation โ distribution.
๐ What to Watch Next?
Confirmation Rejection in Reversal Zone? Short entries could be valid with curve re-entries.
Bullish Continuation? A clean break above reversal zone = new weekly highs likely.
Retest of Curve? If price pulls back, watch for rejections on the curve for safer long positions.
๐จ Trade Tips Based on This Setup:
โ
Use multi-timeframe confluence (M30 + H1 or H4)
โ
Always mark out previous liquidity zones
โ
Place SL below the curve or zone rejections
โ
Avoid entering trades inside expanding zones โ wait for structure confirmation
๐ Conclusion
This BTCUSD setup showcases a masterclass in smart money behavior using the Mind Mapping Concept (MMC). From trap to breakout, every move is cleanly mapped, providing a strong edge to traders who understand institutional footprints.
Whether you're a scalper, day trader, or swing trader, incorporating MMC curve support and liquidity logic can take your trading precision to the next level.
Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has reacted off the pivot, which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, and could drop to the 1st support, which lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 108,411.31
1st Support: 105,349.38
1st Resistance: 109,146.02
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BITCOIN UPDATELooking good....looking good, Bitcoin is doing a great job at controlling bears on every drop so far.
As of now it shows a good support at $103500 - $103800 even tho the $102k started to show up again but there's plenty of support from bulls side and if volatility stays low as of now then $102k has low probability to be hit but hey Bitcoin is a wild beast and can change everything in a heartbeat.