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BTCUSD Perpetual Contract

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BTCUSD.P trade ideas

BTC will botom now(sorry I wrote this took quite a long time so the price has moved first) Summary: The recent drop in Bitcoin is primarily due to geopolitical tensions specifically the conflict between Israel and Iran. This is interpreted as a short-term market shock rather than a fundamental breakdown. Structurally, the bias remains bullish with expectations of a near-term rebound. Why is BTC dropping? The sell-off is driven by global risk aversion due to the geopolitical escalation. Investors are temporarily fleeing into cash and defensive assets like gold. However, this behavior is emotional and not based on a fundamental shift in Bitcoin’s outlook. Bullish Thesis: * Bitcoin’s recent decline is not structurally bearish; it's a reaction to short-term uncertainty * Historically, Bitcoin has shown strength and recovery following global shocks * The current correction may provide a setup for a relief rally before any further downside movement * Even if a deeper correction is ahead, the price is likely to move upward first to sweep liquidity or test resistance Technical View: * The current price level is a key area from a price action perspective * BTC is showing signs of rejection at this key support, indicating potential buyer interest * This level has acted as a significant pivot in previous swings, making it technically important for short-term direction * If this rejection holds, it may serve as the base for a short-term recovery leg Correlation Insight – BTC vs. Gold: * Bitcoin has been showing a moderate positive correlation with gold, particularly during periods of heightened geopolitical risk * Currently, gold is approaching its major resistance or all-time high level * If gold reaches this zone, it may trigger profit-taking or sell pressure, prompting a rotation of capital out of gold into BTC * This potential rotation strengthens the case for a bullish move in Bitcoin, especially if BTC stabilizes around current support Expectations: * Near-term bounce or consolidation, followed by a potential breakout toward key resistance levels * A shift in capital from traditional hedges like gold to crypto could act as a tailwind * As volatility from the conflict settles, Bitcoin could regain its role as a risk-on asymmetric bet Conclusion: The pullback appears to be a temporary, sentiment-driven move rather than a trend reversal. BTC remains fundamentally strong, and the potential reversal in gold adds confluence to a bullish Bitcoin thesis. With price currently showing rejection at a key technical support level, this may be a strategic accumulation zone for mid- to long-term investors.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Rich_From_Home
Bitcoin - Bearish Head & Shoulders Within a Falling Wedge | Key This chart illustrates a potential Head and Shoulders pattern, signaling a possible trend reversal on the 1H Bitcoin/USD timeframe. The price is currently compressing within a falling wedge, and the right shoulder has recently completed. Key highlights: Head & Shoulders pattern: Suggests a bearish reversal if neckline breaks. Price inside falling wedge: Could act as a short-term consolidation structure before a breakout. Demand zones: 102,965 – 102,602 107,000 – 101,737 97,350 – 97,083 Scenarios: Bullish breakout of the wedge may invalidate the head & shoulders and trigger upside continuation. Bearish breakdown below neckline and demand zones could open deeper retracements. This setup offers a clear "wait-for-confirmation" strategy before entering long or short, based on price reaction at key levels. If this Head & Shoulders plays out... oh boy 😏 We’re diving straight into those demand zones. Next stops? 🔻 102,600 🔻 101,700 🔻 97,000 (ultimate trap zone) But hey — break the wedge to the upside and bulls might flip the script. Let’s see who wins 🔥📉📈 #Bitcoin #BTC #HeadAndShoulders #CryptoAnalysis
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by AngleHunter
Favorite Fibonacci ChannelI posted about the Fibonacci Channel I regularly use to set my stop loss, mean reversal TP, and breakout TP. It's typically 0.5 for a mean reversion, and the breakout is typically confirmed with a strong move past the 1.27 or -0.27 threshold, with 1.88 as the expected move and Euler's e and Pi as the followed profit targets. The vice versa is true for negative Tp below the zero line. I trade it as low as the 1-minute time frame to as high as weekly, as it works very well, especially when it's preparing a squeeze.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by OneWallStreetQuant
Chart Pattern Analysis Of Bitcoin. K1 and K2 verified a potential strong support, If the following candles K5 or K6 close upon the downtrend line like K2, Another bull run will keep climbing up. It will be a good place to buy it around the downtrend line. If the following candles consolidate around the resistance to verify the bullish momentum, It will also a good place to buy it around the resistance. On the other hand, If K5 or K6 close below K4 to verify the resistance, The market will fall to test the support for more times, I will try to buy it at about 100K area. Long-101618/Stop-100618/Target-120K Long-103188/Stop-102188/Target-120K
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by nothingchangehere
The deeper the dip, the more precise the entry.BTC didn’t break. It reloaded. This isn’t fear — it’s efficiency. And the market just offered a second chance to those who didn’t hesitate. Here’s the logic: Price is holding above the 4H OB, and the entry zone aligns perfectly with the Daily FVG — a textbook reaccumulation base Below that sits another 4H OB — clean invalidation and maximum risk definition The bullish thesis stays intact as long as price holds above 101,511 — anything between here and that OB is just noise Above, the first objective remains 107,739, then a sweep into the Daily OB around 111,861. That’s where real distribution begins — not before. Execution view: Long from 103k–104k with conviction Invalidation: 101.5k TP1: 107.7k TP2: 111.8k Beyond that? We follow structure They’ll panic on the retrace. I’ll build position. Precision isn’t about calling tops — it’s about knowing where price wants to rebalance. More like this? The profile description holds the rest.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by SmartFlowst
1
BITCOIN: Retaking Its UptrendLooking good....looking good. Now that Bitcoin is retaking its uptrend move what's next? Well knowing that at this point in TIME the Daily and the 4hrs entered in their Bullish TIME Cycle and the 1 hr its Bearish TIME Cycle we should expect a pause and retrace (small) because its 1hr TIME Cycle it just entered in its Bearish Cycle and that will make price to stop from going higher but remember the higher TIME Cycle overpowers the smallest Cycles so don't worry about it if you see a retrace because for at least the rest of week we should be seeing Higher highs and higher lows on the 1hr TIME Cycle. Now If price does NOT continue higher for at least the rest of week then we going to have a problem, but lets take one move at the TIME should we? Enjoy the ride.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Numberfive
Is Bitcoin Trend in Danger?Damn bears destroy what it was a beautiful trend but Bulls still have one more week to try to finish the job right. TIME will tell. Alright now that volatility has subside (for now) we can see what the numbers will be for the next 2 to 3 days and doesn't look too good unless bulls are able to climb back up and stay above the $107k within the next 48hrs. Weekly hasn't changed at all and is to the Upside. Daily also still to the UPside but showing weakness. Lets see if the 4hrs TF which is in bullish mode, can fix the damage that bears did today. Lets see what the weekend brings. No popcorns today ladies and gentlemen.
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by Numberfive
Bitcoin life cycle-stage One ending-Next cycle has to start NOW There are 3 things to see in this chart 1) The Orange Arc of resistance. I have talked about this previously but to recap a little, it has its origins in Oct 2009 and has rejected EVERY ATH since then, as you can see on the chart. The Arc itself is part of a Fibonacci Spiral. This Arc has begun to Squeeze PA against the lower trend line, that was formed in 2011. And we are now in a position where PA MUST react or get pushed below the Long Term line of support. This could be called Make or Break time for Bitcoin. The Apex of this pennant is around Jan 2026 PA always reacts before the Apex.....99% of the time. 2) The Vertical Coloured bars are Trend Based Fibonacci Time, It begins on the 1st ATH in the channel that Bitcoin created. This channel is shown in the chart below See how the Runs to the 2017 & 2021 ATH were all in a Bullish Green zone and how PA never retouched the lower trend line of support in this time Since Mid 2021, we entered a Bearish Zone. On the main chart, you will notice how this Fib Time has just ended. 3) The Trend based Fibonacci Extensions. Every single ATH rejected off a Fib extension. The Root is at the 2009 Low and 1 is at the First ATH in the Bullish Fib time Zone. The numbers here are all based off the 3,6,9 number sequence. Lets look a little closer at the weekly chart As we can see, PA got repeatably rejected off this orange Arc of Resistance and Current PA has been up there, trying to break through since 2024. Many people have also commented on how PA has been so subdued this cycle and could this be reflected in the Fib Time showing us that we are in a Red Bearish Zone. See how, from Mid 2021, when we entered a Strong Red zone, PA took a Deep dive off the Nov 2021 ATH. Also note how this zone ended in late 2022 and in Jan 2023, PA began its current cycle Run. See the change in Colour ? And Currently, while Bitcoin tries to break out of this squeeze, we were in a Red zone again....that just ended. AND we can also see that we have not yet reached the 6 Fib Extension at 120,251 usd The situation we face here is that if PA gets rejected off that Fib line, having just broken through the Arc, we could get pushed right back down under the Arc again. It is VERY STRONG RESISTANCE This next move from Bitcoin HAS to be strong enough to take us up to the 9 fib line at 180,391 usd at a minimum. This way we can use the 6 Fib extension as support when PA cools off from a big push and so remain above the Arc and begin the Next long term cycle. The Daily chart below shows us where we are right now You can see how PA has repeatably tried to break above the Arc and been rejected Firmly Every time...so far, PA has avoided going right back down to the Lower trend line and has remained in near distance to this Arc..But we are running out of Time. Recent attempts by PA have been Strong and I am sure that we will make it over but the real question is can we also get over that 6 Fib extension and stay above. The weekly MACD certainly has enough strength to cope Should we have a subdued Summer trading on Bitcoin, we will see this MACD cool off and be stronger before a sustained push near Autumn maybe. To conclude, Bitcoin is under pressure to move out of its First Full Cycle. It is getting Squeezed and now it is time for Bitcoin to prove it can cope with its new found "Adulthood" The Next Big push, maybe later in the year, could very realistically reach 200K or more and this would place us Above that 9 Fibonacci extension I talked about earlier. Of course, events could change and we could see PA collapse back below the Arc. If this happens, all is NOT lost but it would certainly weaken the case for Long Term holders to continue doing so. This then could create a Snownall effect and prices may tumble....And I will buy MORE.... Either way, we are in a HUGE moment for Bitcoin and I am privileged to be able see this all unfold... Lets see what happens but, for me, I am Still VERY Bullish though Cautious.... We may have to revisit low 70K in the near future if Pa cannot get over this Arc and the 6 Fib extension
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
Market Moves Ahead? | DXY, Gold, and Bitcoin 📊 The markets are on edge—and this week’s economic data could trigger major moves in the US Dollar Index (DXY), Gold (XAU/USD), and Bitcoin (BTC/USD). In this video, we break down: ✅ The latest CPI inflation expectations ✅ Fed interest rate outlook and Trump’s pressure on rate cuts ✅ U.S.–China trade negotiations and what they mean for global risk sentiment ✅ Technical levels to watch for DXY, Gold, and BTC ✅ Key events to watch this week (CPI, PCE, Fed speeches) Whether you're a trader, investor, or just market-curious, this analysis will keep you one step ahead. 🧠💹 🔔 Don’t forget to like, comment, and subscribe for real-time market insights! #DXY #XAUUSD #BTCUSD #Inflation #GoldPrice #BitcoinNews #FedWatch #MarketUpdate
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by DeanMuller
BTC/USD 1H chartHello everyone, let's look at the 1H BTC chart for USD, in this situation we can see how the price moves over a strong growth trend line. However, let's start by defining goals for the near future the price must face: T1 = 109164 $ T2 = 110207 $ Т3 = 111463 $. Let's go to Stop-Loss now in case of further declines on the market: SL1 = 107264 $ SL2 = 106314 $ SL3 = 105578 $ SL4 = 104781 $ Looking at the RSI indicator, we see Return above the upper limit, which can cause an attempt to relax at the coming hours.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Bitcoin H1 | Bullish rebound to extend higher?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 105,148.50 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 103,900.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit is at 107,583.00 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
TRADU:BTCUSDLong
by Tradu
BTC long-term prediction Hi all, After initial reflection on Bitcoin's long-term prospects (see link below), I would like to make a more detailed analaysis for it in the next two or three years. Development cycles and characteristics I'll devide the evolution of BTC into three main cycles: Cycle 0: From the birth of BTC until November 2021 Cycle 1: From Nov 2011 to Nov 2018. In this cycle, we have observed two Halving events (November 28, 2012) and (July 9, 2016 Cycle 2: From Nov 2018 to Nov 2025. This cycle encompasses the most recent halving event (May 11, 2020) and the upcoming one (April 26, 2024) In every cycle, BTC has the following common price action Main Trendline Support: it confirms the exponential increase in BTC's price. Cycle High: it is intriguing to observe that Cycle Highs tend to materialize approximately 1 to 1.5 years after the halving event (or the birth) of BTC Break-down event: It happened two times and both on November (2011 and in 2018). This marks the end of a cycle. About historical BTC Highs Since its birth, BTC has achieved four Cycle Highs. Connecting two consecutive Cycle Highs with a trendline reveals that the slope of this line is halved (devided by 2) between two Halving Events. This gradual decrease in slope appears rational and organic, as exponential growth is typically unsustainable. What's even more intriguing is that this 1:2 ratio aligns with the reduction of mined BTC by half after each Halving Event (or the block reward given to Bitcoin miners for processing transactions). Predictions for the next Halving and beyond By considering the aforementioned characteristics in BTC's evolution, we can utilize historical patterns to provide potential insights into the future. Here's a possible scenario: Leading up to the 4th Halving (scheduled for April 26, 2024), BTC prices are likely to align with the blue support trendline, and significant deviations from this trendline are not anticipated. Following the 4th Halving, BTC may enter an accelerated phase, potentially triggering a major bull run. A new price high could be achieved somewhere between May and September 2025, based on historical averages of the time needed for BTC to reach a new high after halving. This new price high is projected to be approximately $120k. However, it's essential to note that a subsequent bear market is expected to follow, possibly manifesting in November 2025. During this phase, BTC may experience a gradual decline, with prices potentially dropping as low as $30k. It's vital to remember that predicting the future with certainty in the highly volatile cryptocurrency market is challenging and often speculative. These projections are based on historical trends and patterns but are subject to various unpredictable factors. What do you think about this analysis and what is your price prediction for BTC in the next bullrun?
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by evasivesteering
3
BTCUSD: Bearish Signal from Mother Candle on Daily ChartMother Candle - A big candle that engulfs the subsequent candles. The Mother Candle formed on Dec 5th on a Daily Chart still holds good, with a Bear Counter Attack and a Fake Break Down. With the Rising Wedge to get to the Mother Candle, there is a very high probability that this could be a bearish reversal. If there is a Break Down on the Mother Candle, there are known support levels from GETTEX:92K to $85K. The price could dip down to one of these levels. Let's see.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by pmasilamani
8
Bitcoin is Super Bullish Right Now - Here is my BTC trade planSince Bitcoin is super bullish on monthly and weekly time frame, my focus is to trade trend continuation pull backs on the 4HR time frame. For this particular trade, I want to see a pull back to a key level of either imbalance or the old high serving as new support for price. I will be taking a bullish trend continuation setup on that 4HR pull back. Target: I expect to see Bitcoin break that all time high of 111k level and go as high as 150k per one.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Elijahenoch7
BTC/USD Trade Setup - June 7, 2025I'm looking at a potential bullish breakout trade on Bitcoin. Here's the breakdown of my idea: 📊 Context & Structure Price has broken out of a consolidation zone after reclaiming a prior high-volume node (visible from the Volume Profile on the left). We see a clear ascending triangle forming, suggesting bullish continuation. Volume profile shows strong support below current price, with acceptance building at the current level. 📈 Entry & Risk Management ✅ Entry: $104,952 (just above triangle resistance). ❌ Stop Loss: Below the higher low structure and volume gap at $104,401. 🎯 Target: $106,854 — previous high/POI area, aligning with upper resistance on the profile. 📐 Risk-Reward Ratio RRR: ~3:1, offering a strong reward relative to risk. 📌 Additional Notes: Waiting for a breakout confirmation candle before full entry. Strong rejection below $104,700 would invalidate the setup. This post conveys a clear technical story and shows your reasoning using price action, market structure, and volume profile. Let me know if you'd like a more concise or visual version!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Tommykamo