BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
BTC BULLS IS IN CONTROL Bitcoin holds strong in its bullish sentiment, securing a fresh high at 111K.
With momentum on its side, a new projection toward 120K is now firmly in play — the bullish trajectory stays intact. 📈
Momentum traders, stay alert. This leg might just be getting started. follow for more insights , comment and boost idea .
Bitcoin - Plan for summer 2025 (no new ATH, big range!)Bitcoin's price action is statistically very boring during summer seasons! Usually high volatility kicks in in September. I think we cannot really expect a new all-time high in the next few weeks. Instead, we should see a big range. Why? Let's take a look at technical analysis.
On the chart we can clearly see a blue trendline, and price went below this trendline at the end of May. This indicates that the uptrend is over and a consolidation/distribution phase is in progress. This phase is usually represented as a bull flag, triangle, rectangle, or wedge. When we look at the current price action, it looks like a bullish flag consolidation pattern. In this case we will probably see multiple liquidity sweeps below the previous swing lows to kick out early longs.
There are 2 types of traders. The first one they love to trade ranges, and the second they love to trade breakouts and higher volatility environments. Currently I think Bitcoin is creating a range, so do not expect any crazy movements until this range is valid.
Bullish flags are usually bullish patterns, but often they break down and act like bearish patterns. So what would happen if this bullish flag breaks down? That would send the price of Bitcoin to the 0.618 FIB, which is at 88,882 USDT. What is this bullish flag breaks out? That would send the price of Bitcoin to 116,000 to 125,000, but to establish this price we first need to see low of the bull flag, which is not confirmed yet. I will definitely inform you in one of my next analyses, so write a comment with your altcoin + hit the like button, and I will make an analysis for you in response.
At the end of each post, I share my professional trading tips: "If you realize you’ve made a poor trading decision, exit before the stop loss forces you out."
Trading is not hard if you have a good coach! This is not a trade setup, as there is no stop-loss or profit target. I share my trades privately. Thank you, and I wish you successful trades!
$BTC Holding But Still Bearish Bias Due to War Risk
Bitcoin is trading around $106K, but fear from escalating US–Iran–Israel tensions is keeping the market cautious.
🔸 Key Support Zone: $99,763 – $103,112
As long as BTC stays above this area, it's safe. But if broken, expect a move toward $90,209.
🔸 Upside Target: $110K (Paused)
Breakout chances remain low unless global tensions ease.
🔸 Risk Level: $99K
A daily close below this flips the chart fully bearish.
🔸 Action Plan:
We're still in a short bias zone due to war fears. Hedge remains active. Stay light, stay alert — volatility can spike fast.
BTCUSD LONGBTC has recently broken its last lower timeframe High, shifting market structure and indicating Buyers are currently in control. This break opened up a clear Demand Zone below, a small base or last bearish candle before the rise, which is a key area where unfulfilled buy orders may be resting.
Entry:
I’m looking to buy from this Demand Zone on the pullback, adding to go long when price enters this area. This lets me enter at a discount price while trading in direction of the newly established upward momentum.
Target:
The first Target Profit (TP) is set at the next supply Zone above, where selling pressure might emerge.
Stop Loss:
To control risk, the Stop Loss (SL) is placed just below the demand Zone.
If price drops below this area, it would invalidate the demand’s ability to hold, signalling a potential reversal.
✅ Summary:
• Market has shifted to bullish after breaking last high.
• Demand Zone below is a key area to watch for buying opportunities.
• Buy upon retracement into Demand, with Stop Loss below and Target at supply above.
$BTC Post-Market Update - 6/16Hello Fellow Gamblers,
Bitcoin did a beautiful move towards our confirmation level, but we are now facing with a possible rejection.
As you can see in the chart, i have 2 paths that are possible for us to see happening.
- We need the 1hr 20EMA hold support for a continuation up, a break of the 20EMA support will take price towards 106k level.
- A break of 106 level will validate the bearish scenario.
- If 106k level holds, we could see come quick accumulation to recharge for a stronger breakout.
- Level's to watch: 110.5k, 108.4k, 106.6k, 104.3k, 101.0k
kissy lips formation are we going 120k? or is this btc's peak?kissy lips formation
are we going 120k? or is this bitcoin's peak?
let us know!
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Bitcoin 4-year cycles - The party is getting startedPeople say this cycle is different. But so far, when you zoom out, things are following the general trends.
- The white vertical lines represents exactly 4 years from the first cycle peak
- The blue measurements represents exactly 399 days after the white vertical lines
The trend (so far) is clear. Bitcoin has a cycle peak every 4 years, and has a cycle bottom 399 days later
If this trend was to follow this cycle:
1. Bitcoin to peak on the week of 24th November 2025
2. Bitcoin to bottom on the week of 28th December 2026
Let me know what you think!
BTC SHORT TP:105,000 16-06-2025Back from a quick break and we’re jumping straight into action 😎
Short and sweet setup — we’re looking for a fast move down.
Entry: 106,500 – 107,000
Target: 104,800 – 105,100
RR: 3.0 average
Timeframe: 2H
Duration: 20–24 hours
Context: Quick and clean short after a small vacation break — let’s stack more green.
📌 Use a tight stop or adjust based on your strategy.
If the move doesn’t play out within the time range, the setup is invalid.
We don’t use indicators, we’re not out here drawing lines or cute little shapes — I just give you a clean trade.
BTC/USDI've been calling for a crash for a while.
The closer to the top you are, the more hatred that you'll get for calling one.
It's a difficult position being contrary to the crowd. I think that's why Peter denied Jesus.
In any case, positive sentiment must end and as overdue as it is, I'm expecting a bang, after a final wave of FOMO.
Macromics Group: Market Trends Overview (June 2025)Global Economic Landscape: What Has Changed?
June 2025 marks significant shifts in the global economy. After several years of instability caused by the pandemic, inflation, and geopolitical tensions, markets are gradually stabilizing. However, new challenges are emerging: rising risks in Asia, digital transformation in Europe, and strategy shifts in the U.S.
China and India continue to show strong growth rates—5.8% and 6.5% respectively. Europe, by contrast, is lagging behind due to slow recovery and persistent inflation. The U.S. maintains a steady course driven by consumer spending and innovation, reporting 2.1% GDP growth.
Macromics Group continues to deliver in-depth analytics and strategies for clients seeking to understand and capitalize on these changes. We analyze trends across more than 120 industries, helping companies adapt and thrive.
Macroeconomics and Monetary Policy: A Shift Toward Stabilization
Financial regulators have begun cautiously lowering interest rates after the peaks of 2024. The U.S. Federal Reserve has dropped its rate to 4.5%, while the ECB has reduced its rate to 3.75%. This is made possible by a decline in inflation: 2.7% in the U.S. and 3.1% in the EU.
Meanwhile, developing nations like Turkey and Argentina are still grappling with high inflation. These countries risk falling behind the global recovery unless decisive steps are taken.
Overall, the global course is toward soft stabilization: interest rates remain high but steady. This creates favorable conditions for investment and long-term planning.
Financial Markets: From Caution to Moderate Optimism
Stock markets in June 2025 show mixed performance. U.S. indexes such as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq hit new highs, thanks to the booming tech sector. Stocks of companies involved in AI, quantum computing, and cybersecurity are particularly strong.
European markets are less active but relatively stable. Growth is limited by high costs, demographic issues, and the transition to ESG standards. In Russia and CIS countries, markets are under pressure due to sanctions, currency restrictions, and reduced investment.
On the currency front, the U.S. dollar and Chinese yuan dominate. The ruble is volatile, the euro is stable, and the yen is strengthening as a safe haven asset.
Technology: The Engine of New Markets
The main trend in 2025 is AI and automation. Companies are deploying neural networks in logistics, marketing, finance, and HR to cut costs and boost efficiency. Demand for AI professionals and developers is surging.
5G infrastructure has matured in most developed countries, unlocking new potential in IoT, telemedicine, and remote work. At the same time, quantum computing is advancing rapidly, with commercial solutions expected by 2026.
Macromics Group invests in next-generation analytical platforms, enabling clients to access real-time insights and forecast trends before they go mainstream.
Energy and Sustainability: ESG and the “Green” Shift
Energy markets have stabilized after the turbulence of 2024. Oil prices remain between $70–$85 per barrel—comfortable for both producers and consumers. Meanwhile, renewable energy—solar, wind, and hydrogen—is seeing record investment.
Corporations are increasingly reporting according to ESG standards. It’s not just a trend, but a new business reality. Investors demand transparency, consumers prefer socially responsible brands, and regulators impose mandatory reporting.
Macromics Group supports clients in transitioning to sustainable models by developing ESG strategies, assessing risks, and offering financial solutions.
Conclusion: Outlook for the Second Half of 2025
The first half of 2025 showed that markets are learning to operate in a new reality. The global economy is no longer chasing rapid growth, but adapting to volatility. Key focus areas are technology, sustainability, and smart resource management.
For businesses, this means quick adaptation, innovative thinking, and reliance on data-driven decisions. In this context, Macromics Group serves not just as an analyst but as a strategic partner.
Our recommendation: act proactively. In times of uncertainty, those who plan years ahead and use quality data will win.
Automated Trading with Pine ScriptIn the digital age, trading is gradually shifting from manual analysis to automated solutions. A key player in this process is Pine Script — a programming language developed for the TradingView platform, enabling users to create custom indicators, strategies, and automated signals. Its simplicity and powerful capabilities have made it especially popular among retail traders.
What is Pine Script?
Pine Script is a language developed by the TradingView team specifically for financial market analysis. Unlike general-purpose languages like Python or C++, Pine Script is designed for tasks related to technical analysis and trading automation.
It is used for:
Creating custom indicators;
Writing trading strategies;
Visualizing data on charts;
Setting up trading alerts (notifications).
Why Automate Trading?
Automated trading eliminates the human factor, which is crucial in volatile markets. Key advantages include:
Speed of reaction — the algorithm reacts instantly to signals.
Discipline — automated strategies do not succumb to emotions.
Scalability — one strategy can be applied to dozens of instruments.
Historical analysis — the ability to test ideas on past data (backtesting).
Structure of a Pine Script
Every script starts with a version declaration and the type of tool being created:
pinescript
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//@version=5
indicator("Sample Indicator", overlay=true)
@version=5 — Pine Script version.
indicator(...) — indicates that the script is an indicator.
overlay=true — places graphics over the price chart.
For strategies, the strategy keyword is used:
pinescript
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strategy("My Strategy", overlay=true)
Example of a Simple Automated Strategy
Let’s build a script that generates buy and sell signals based on the crossover of two moving averages:
pinescript
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//@version=5
strategy("MA Strategy", overlay=true)
fastMA = ta.sma(close, 9)
slowMA = ta.sma(close, 21)
longCondition = ta.crossover(fastMA, slowMA)
shortCondition = ta.crossunder(fastMA, slowMA)
if longCondition
strategy.entry("Buy", strategy.long)
if shortCondition
strategy.entry("Sell", strategy.short)
plot(fastMA, color=color.green)
plot(slowMA, color=color.red)
This code:
Opens a long position when the fast MA crosses above the slow MA.
Opens a short position when the fast MA crosses below the slow MA.
Strategy Backtesting
TradingView automatically runs a backtest on historical data. In the Strategy Tester tab, users get:
total number of trades;
average profit;
win rate;
maximum drawdown;
risk/reward ratio.
This is a vital tool to evaluate the effectiveness of a strategy before deploying it in live trading.
Adding Stop Loss and Take Profit
To manage risk, strategies can include loss and profit limits:
pinescript
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strategy.entry("Buy", strategy.long)
strategy.exit("Exit Buy", from_entry="Buy", stop=100, limit=200)
stop=100 — stop loss at 100 points.
limit=200 — take profit at 200 points.
This enhances both automation and risk control in the trading process.
Setting Up Alerts
While Pine Script cannot place real trades by itself, it can generate alert signals, which can be linked to external systems or brokers.
pinescript
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alertcondition(longCondition, title="Buy Signal", message="Buy signal")
alertcondition(shortCondition, title="Sell Signal", message="Sell signal")
After adding these conditions to the chart, users can set up alerts that arrive via email, mobile notifications, or webhooks—useful for integration with bots or APIs.
Automated Trading via API
For full automation (from signal to trade execution), Pine Script is often used in conjunction with other technologies:
Webhook — TradingView sends an HTTP request when an alert triggers.
Server or bot — receives and processes the request, then sends an order to the broker.
Broker’s API — executes the order (open, close, modify positions).
Examples of brokers with API access: Binance, Bybit, Interactive Brokers, Alpaca, MetaTrader (via third-party bridges).
Tips for Writing Trading Strategies
Start simple. Use just 1–2 indicators.
Avoid overfitting. Don’t tailor your strategy too closely to past data.
Test on different timeframes. Ensure strategy stability.
Account for fees and slippage. Especially important on lower timeframes.
Add filters. For example, trend direction, volume, or volatility conditions.
Pine Script Limitations
While powerful and beginner-friendly, Pine Script has some limitations:
No tick-by-tick data access. Scripts execute on bar close.
Resource limits. Limits on script length and processing power.
No direct trade execution. Only possible via external integration or supported brokers.
Conclusion
Pine Script is an excellent tool for traders who want to automate their trading ideas. It allows you to create, test, and visualize strategies—even with minimal programming knowledge. While it’s not a full-fledged programming language, its capabilities are more than sufficient for most retail trading needs. With Pine Script, traders can improve efficiency, consistency, and reduce the emotional impact of trading decisions.