BTCUSD.PM trade ideas
Bitcoin Short: Wave CAfter a 6-days move up after we have hit our target in the previous analysis, I think Bitcoin has completed what I think to be the Wave B and is already on the Wave C run down.
Over in this video, I expressed my personal viewpoint that Bitcoin is not a hedge against the dollar and that it is actually a risk-on/off product more similar to the equities markets like the S&P500. I recommend that anyone who is interested to perform a study on the correlation and beta Bitcoin.
I suggested that the reason why it more closely related to the equity markets is due to it's deep integration within the financial sector (e.g. ETFs, structured products from banks).
Given that I think that the equity markets are primed to crash soon, I think that Bitcoin will follow suit.
Good luck!
BTC Shorts Into Q3 | Monthly + Half-Year Candle PressureWe’re entering a pivotal window on the Bitcoin chart, the monthly close, Q2 close, and 6-month candle all lining up. This kind of macro convergence rarely goes unnoticed by the market and often marks major structural shifts.
BTC has failed multiple times to break through key highs, and with momentum fading into this close, I’m leaning short heading into Q3. Even if price wants to trend higher later this year, I expect that move to begin from a deeper wick, not from the top of the current range.
I’m watching the 103K level closely. A break below it could trigger a swift drop toward 95K, possibly lower depending on how the new monthly opens and reacts. That would line up with the idea of a strong lower wick forming on the new 3M or 6M candle.
This isn't a long-term macro short, just a high R setup where structure, timing, and context are aligning. I believe this move starts today or very soon. The next few candles will speak volumes.
EMA SystemThe system of Moving Averages I started out using is the 9-21-50 SMA. I would use the Fast EMA as a trailing stop loss and only trade long when it's above the 50 SMA. The 21 SMA is often a zone where price can bounce back.
12-21 EMA—EMA of EMA can work as well. So can 50-200 SMA or EMA of EMA for telling the larger trend if you want to enter an Option, then trading against it can be fatal.
Bullish bounce for the Bitcoin?The price is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 108,797.87
1st Support: 106,083.15
1st Resistance: 112,003.20
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BTCUSD: Bulls Are Winning! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse BTCUSD together☺️
The price is near a wide key level
and the pair is approaching a significant decision level of 107,630.73 Therefore, a strong bullish reaction here could determine the next move up.We will watch for a confirmation candle, and then target the next key level of 108,207.06.Recommend Stop-loss is beyond the current level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
July 1 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysis
Hello
This is Bitcoin Guide.
If you "follow"
You can receive real-time movement paths and comment notifications on major sections.
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Please click the booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
Shortly later at 10:30 PM and 11:00 PM, there will be a NASDAQ index announcement.
On the left, with a purple finger,
I connected the long position entry point of $106,775.9, which I entered yesterday, to today's strategy.
Since the rebound was not strong yesterday,
the 12-hour chart -> daily chart MACD dead cross is currently under pressure.
Depending on the situation, it can drop strongly to the 3rd section at the bottom,
and since there may be some people who are maintaining long positions yesterday,
I will explain in detail the operating method such as the loss cut price,
so please check it carefully.
*When the blue finger moves,
Bidirectional neutral
Short->Long switching strategy
1. 107,300.3 dollars short position entry section / stop loss price when orange resistance line is broken
2. 106,222.2 dollars long position switching / stop loss price when section 2 is touched
3. Top section long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
It is important until 9 o'clock when the 12-hour candle is created.
After 9 o'clock, the blue finger 106,222.2 dollars at the bottom
Becomes the main support line
If it comes down from the current position, section 2
The main support line is divided.
In terms of the pattern, it is section 6+12.
If section 2 is touched right away,
There is a high possibility of a strong drop today,
So you should be careful.
- Those who are maintaining a long position
If you touch the 2nd section before 9 PM without touching the short position entry point at the top
You should operate at a loss cut price.
I think it would be good to adjust it according to leverage.
If it falls after touching the 1st section at the top
It becomes a vertical decline condition.
From the bottom, from the 3rd
Maximum Bollinger Band daily chart support line section
Please note that it can be pushed up to 100,685.5 dollars.
I have never changed my perspective suddenly or irresponsibly after leaving an analysis article.
I did my best until the end today.
Please use my analysis article so far only for reference and use
I hope you operate safely with principle trading and loss cut prices.
Thank you.
#5572025 | BTCUSD Supply Zone 1:10BTCUSD Supply Zone Appears in D1 Time Frame Looking Price Action for Long Term Sell
Risk and Reward Ratio is 1:10
After 50 pips Profit Set SL Entry Level
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Bitcoin ConsolidatesBitcoin is currently consolidating just below a clear descending trendline, showing a series of lower highs since its recent local top near $112,000. Price is hovering around $106,300, holding just above key horizontal support at ~$105,800. This level coincides with the 50-day moving average (blue), which is currently acting as dynamic support.
So far, Bitcoin has respected the ~$100,700 level as major support after the mid-June shakeout. As long as price remains above that zone and holds the 50 MA, the bullish structure remains intact despite the short-term lower highs. But the more price compresses beneath the descending resistance, the more likely we see a breakout (or breakdown) soon.
The 200-day moving average (red) is well below current price action, hovering near $95,000. That’s a long way down and would likely only be tested if broader market conditions deteriorate significantly.
Volume is tapering, suggesting traders are waiting for a decisive move. A break above the descending trendline and reclaim of $110,000+ would invalidate the current short-term downtrend and likely bring $112,000 and new highs into view. A loss of $105,800, on the other hand, puts $100,700 back in play – and below that, things could get ugly quickly.
For now, the trend is neutral within a broader uptrend. The bulls are holding the line – but just barely
BTCUSD parallel channel On the daily chart, BTCUDS is running in the parallel channel. The short-term market fell back after testing the upper resistance. At present, we can pay attention to the short-selling trading opportunities, and the downside target is around 98000. If the price breaks through the resistance near 108800, it will break the channel.
BTCUSD CRACKing Everywhere!As I have been warning for a while now. See previous post.
I first warned to wait for the CRACK!
Then we got the 2nd CRACK!, very normal.
Then a nice M pattern with a lower high.
Then another CRACK!
And now a right Shoulder.
MAGIC!
Now we wait for the H&S to break down.
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BTC/USD Short Setup – Breakdown from Bear Flag Edge🚀||| 👆Your Boost is appreciated in Advance👆 |||🚀
Thesis: Bitcoin is trading within a well-defined descending channel, potentially forming a bear flag on the higher time frame. Price is currently hovering just below the key resistance zone near $108,600 (“The Edge”), failing to reclaim the upper boundary of the flag.
==================================================================
Entry: 🔻 Short at $106,850 – Price is rejecting the upper channel resistance and failing to break above “The Edge”
Stop-Loss: 🔺 $109,000 – Above the recent swing high and invalidation of the flag structure
Take-Profit 1: ✅ $104,700 🎯
Take-Profit 2: ✅ $102,400 🎯
Optional extended:
TP4: $98,000 – Full measured move of the flag breakdown
Risk-Reward Ratio: ~1:1 to 1:4 depending on target
====================================================================
#MJTrading
#BTCUSD #Bitcoin #CryptoTrading #ShortSetup #BearFlag #TechnicalAnalysis #PriceAction #MarketStructure #SwingTrade #TradingView
HelenP. I Bitcoin can drop from resistance levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Bitcoin analytics. If we examine the chart, we can see that the price has approached a significant resistance zone between 108200 and 108800. This area previously acted as a ceiling for the price, and now coincides with the retest of the broken trend line from above. After a strong bullish push from the support zone near 103000, the price is currently consolidating just below resistance, which often signals hesitation and potential reversal pressure. Earlier, we observed a period of consolidation around the support zone, followed by a breakout that broke above the trend line. However, the current structure suggests that the breakout may have been temporary. With multiple signs of slowing momentum and price failing to break convincingly through the resistance, a bearish move from this level becomes increasingly likely. Given the context, I expect BTCUSD to reject this resistance and move downward toward the 103000 support level again. That is my current goal, as I anticipate the price to complete a corrective wave in line with the overall structure. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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Bitcoin can correct to support line of channel and start to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. The price was moving inside a strong upward channel, where it managed to break through the support level and then the resistance level, eventually reaching the seller zone. After that, BTC started to turn around and declined, once again breaking through the 109000 resistance level, this time from above. That movement also marked an exit from the upward channel. Following that, the price made a correction move down to the support level — the same zone that previously acted as a breakout area. From there, BTC showed strength again with a bullish impulse upward, returning to the Seller Zone. However, that rally was short-lived. The market started to decline again, this time forming a downward channel. Now the price is approaching the support line of this channel, which coincides with the support level around 100500 and the buyer zone between 99500 and 100500. I think BTC can decline a bit further to test this support line, and then rebound from this area, starting a new upward move toward the channel resistance line. That’s why I’ve set my TP at 106000 points, just below the resistance line. Given the structure and past reactions from these zones, I remain bullish and expect further growth after this local pullback. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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BTCUSD: $110,000 Resistance as Key Battlefield for Bulls & BearsAfter BTC price broke below the $100,000 integer threshold, it rebounded near $98,000 due to DXY weakness and eased geopolitical tensions, currently challenging the $110,000 level. However, strong resistance exists at $110,000. Historical trends show that BTC tends to trigger pullbacks when rising to the $110,000 integer mark. If it fails to break through $110,000, shorting on rallies is still recommended.
BTCUSD
sell@108500-109500
tp:107500-106500
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BTCUSD H4 Potential DropHi there,
BTCUSD H4: As long as the 85,119.33 level holds, the overall trend remains bullish in a larger scope.
Currently, the price is trading below the diagonal dotted trendline. The further it stays below this trendline, the stronger the bears' position.
The level of 101,574.21 is open for a bias towards 93,511.35.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice.