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BTCUSD trade ideas

BITCOIN Bulls in Control - Next Stop: $94,000?COINBASE:BTCUSD is trading within an ascending channel, signaling bullish momentum. The price has consistently respected the channel boundaries, forming higher highs and higher lows, which aligns with the continuation of the uptrend. After consolidating within a tight range for several days, COINBASE:BTCUSD has broken out with strong momentum. The price may now be pulling back for a retest of the previous resistance zone. If buyers step in and confirm this area as support, a move toward the channel’s upper boundary around $94,000 becomes likely. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation signals, such as bullish engulfing candles, strong rejection wicks from the support zone, or increased buying volume, before considering long positions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by DanieIM
134
BITCOIN Breakout Confirmed - Is $106K the Next Stop?COINBASE:BTCUSD is displaying strong bullish momentum after breaking decisively above the key $90,000 level. This breakout occurred after a well-defined double bottom formed around the major support zone near $74,000. The inability to create a new low and the sharp rejection from that zone confirmed strong buyer presence and marked a clear exhaustion of sellers. The market is now following through with a solid bullish impulse, pushing past intermediate resistance and confirming the continuation of the ascending channel structure. With buyers stepping in aggressively and price respecting bullish market structure, Bitcoin now appears poised to reach the next significant resistance zone around $106,000, which also aligns with a big resistance level. From a fundamental perspective, Bitcoin is gaining strength due to several key macroeconomic shifts. The recent escalation of trade tariffs by the Trump administration has heightened economic uncertainty, driving investors to seek alternative assets outside traditional markets. Historically, Bitcoin has thrived during such periods of instability, acting as a hedge against fiat volatility and centralized policy manipulation. Adding to this backdrop, global central banks continue tightening monetary policy, increasing fears of a recession. As inflation remains sticky and growth slows, capital is flowing into assets with limited supply and no centralized control, reinforcing Bitcoin’s position as digital gold. Meanwhile, institutional adoption continues to climb. Spot market activity is increasing, and institutional investment vehicles are seeing significant inflows. Improvements in regulatory clarity and market infrastructure are reducing barriers, allowing larger players to participate confidently. This deepening institutional interest is providing a strong foundation for sustained price movement toward $106,000. The convergence of powerful technical patterns, especially the confirmed breakout and continuation within the ascending channel, along with strong macro and institutional support, points to a likely continuation of Bitcoin’s upside momentum. Traders should closely monitor confirmation signals, such as bullish volume surges, strong candle closures above the $90,000 breakout level, and continuation patterns forming on lower timeframes to validate this scenario. Feel free to share your thoughts or add further insights into this analysis!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DanieIM
86
BITCOIN's secret catalyst. The Gold-to-Crypto Rotation Is ComingBitcoin (BTCUSD) is attempting to form a new medium-term bottom here, following the Tariffs-led sell-off of the past 2 months. While the crypto market is consolidating and accumulating, the Gold market is smashing every historic All Time High (ATH) after the other. This is not the first time we see this divergence between Gold and BTC and this is what historically delivers what we call 'Gold-to-Crypto Rotation'. This happens when Gold peaks, making its Bull Cycle Top, initiating a capital transition to BTC, hence starting the final rally of its Bull Cycle. This has already taken place 3 times in its short history and Gold's sheer ferocity of the 2025 rally, indicates that we may possibly be about to repeat another one. So what do you think is Gold about to top and offer a mass exodus a capital to Bitcoin, hence kickstarting a massive rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TradingShot
27
BITCOIN → Retest 86190. There are chances for growthBINANCE:BTCUSD is starting to show positive signs, but it is too early to talk about a change in the downtrend or a bullish rally. Strong resistance ahead.... Against the background of everything that is happening, from a fundamental point of view, bitcoin in general has withstood the blows quite well and is gradually beginning to recover, but the situation for the crypto community as a whole has not changed in any way, the promises are not yet fulfilled. Bitcoin's strengthening is most likely due to localized growth in indices and discussion of lower interest rates. But the focus is on the tariff war between China and the US, improved relations and lower tariffs could weaken bitcoin. Technically, we see that the price is moving beyond the resistance of the descending channel. For a few days now, the price has been consolidating in front of the 86190 level, and we have chances to see a rise to the resistance of the 88800 range, from which the future prospects will already depend. Resistance levels: 86190, 88800, 91280 Support levels: 83170, 78170 The price is slowly approaching the resistance 86190, consolidating without updating the local lows, forming a pre-breakout consolidation. There is a probability of a breakout attempt. Breakout and consolidation of the price above 86190 may give a chance to rise to 88800. But, regarding 88800 we will have to watch the price reaction. A sharp approach with the purpose of primary testing of the level may end in a false breakout and correction.... Regards, R. Linda!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RLinda
32
Bitcoin: Watch For These Break Out Scenarios.Bitcoin is consolidating within a very tight range: between 83 and 86K. Which way it breaks is a matter of catalyst, but recognizing the break can help to better shape expectations on this time horizon. IF 83K breaks, I will be watching for the higher low scenario (see blue square), for confirmations to go long. IF 86K breaks, I will be anticipating a test of the 88 K resistance (see arrow). What happens after that is anyone's guess. This is NOT about forecasting the future, it is about considering multiple scenarios and then adjusting as the market offers new information. This evaluation can be helpful on multiple time frames if you know how to use it. For example, a break of the 83K support can be a great day trade opportunity on time frames like the 5 minute. A test of the 78K to 80K area followed by a confirmation can offer a long opportunity on the swing trade or day trade time frames. A test of the 88K or 90K resistance levels can offer aggressive short opportunities on smaller time frames as well. You have to be prepared for the possibility of the corresponding pattern to appear (bullish/bearish reversal) and confirmation. From there risk can be effectively quantified and taking action becomes reasonable. Getting stuck on 1 scenario rather then being prepared for multiple possibilities makes you inflexible because there is NO precision in financial markets (unless you're on the micro structure level MOST retail traders are NOT). The scenarios I explained here can unfold over the week or take longer, AGAIN is it a matter of catalyst or surprise news event. As far as the bigger picture, nothing has changed. The 76K AREA low is a double bottom, which translates into a broader higher low when you look back over the year. This higher low structure implies Bitcoin is still generally BULLISH which means betting on resistance levels can be considered a lower probability outcome. This also means current prices are still attractive investment levels as long as you are sizing strategically. IF price manages to break below 65K over the next quarter, then I would say investing should be more limited since such a break implies the impulse structure is no longer in play. Other than that, seasonal volume typically peaks around this time of year in the stock market, which means the next few months are more likely to be less eventful and contain smaller price ranges etc. There are always exceptions and news catalysts will still cause price spikes, but the dramatic nature like we have seen will likely be smaller. So unless there are any surprises in Bitcoin, be prepared for slow grinds or less eventful movements generally speaking. Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by MarcPMarkets
11
BITCOIN Most POWERFUL Signal Activated—Former ATH IS NOW SUPPORTBitcoin (BTCUSD) completed two straight green 1W candles and has started off this week equally impressive, approaching 4-week Highs! This is a direct consequence of the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) holding as a Support, similar to what happened on the last two Higher Lows of the 3-year Channel Up on August 05 2024 and September 11 2023. The hidden catalyst perhaps behind this strong move may be the fact that the April 07 2025 Low, besides the 1W MA50, it also rebounded on the former All Time High (ATH) Resistance Zone (red), which now turned into Support (green). This is the Zone that started with the November 08 2021 Cycle High and rejected BT on March 11 2024, April 08 2024, June 03 2024 and July 29 2024. As long as this critical Support cluster (1W MA50, 2021 ATH Zone) holds, we are expecting the 1W MACD to form a new Bullish Cross, the first since October 14 2024, which technically confirmed the new Bullish Leg of the 3-year Channel Up. In fact all previous 3 Bullish Legs got confirmed by a 1W MACD Bullish Leg and the minimum the rose by was +105.30%. As a result, after the Bullish Cross is confirmed, we will be expecting to see at least $150000 on this current bull run. But what do you think? Can this hugely important Support cluster lead Bitcoin to $150k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
11
Bitcoin Cycle Update – Are We Nearing the Peak?Check out this BTCUSDT chart – we’re at GETTEX:92K today, and seems like things are heating up! ▸We’ve seen a Cycle Bottom in late 2022 - early 2023, followed by strong Bull runs in 2023 and 2024. ▸Those Consolidation phases (sideways channels) gave us the perfect setup for massive pumps! ▸Right now, we’re in a Pause Triangle after a big rally – but the Cycle Top could be just around the corner in mid-2025. ▸After that? A potential Bear phase – time to plan your moves! 💡 What’s your strategy? Are you riding this wave to the top, or preparing for the next dip? Let’s discuss 📨
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ArShevelev
17
Key Insights: Financial Markets Transformation by 2030For years, this page has been my space to share in-depth market research and personal insights into key financial trends. This post reflects my perspective — a strategic outlook on where I believe the digital finance industry is heading. The financial world is evolving at an unprecedented pace, and it's easy to overlook subtle shifts. But the undeniable fact is that we are now standing at the intersection of three powerful industries — financial markets, blockchain, and artificial intelligence. We are positioned at the cutting edge of technology, where innovation is not a future concept but a present reality. This post serves as a reference point for future trends and a guide to understanding the transformative forces shaping financial markets by 2030. These are not just facts, but my vision of the opportunities and challenges ahead in this rapidly converging digital ecosystem. Staying ahead today means more than following the market — it means recognizing that we are part of a technological shift redefining the core of global finance. 📈 1. Electronic Trading Evolution Full transition from traditional trading floors to AI-driven digital platforms. Integration of blockchain and smart contracts ensures transparency, automation, and risk reduction. Real-time data analytics democratizes market access and enhances strategic decision-making. 🤖 2. Algorithmic Trading Growth Accelerated by AI, machine learning, and big data analytics. High-frequency trading (HFT) boosts efficiency but introduces new volatility factors. Adaptive algorithms dynamically adjust strategies in real time. Strong focus on regulatory compliance and ethical standards. 🔗 3. Tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA) Transforming asset management with projected growth to $18.9 trillion by 2033. (now 18.85B) Enhances liquidity, accessibility, and transparency via blockchain. Institutional adoption is driving mainstream acceptance. Evolving regulations (DLT Act, MiCA) support secure tokenized ecosystems. 🏦 4. Institutional Adoption & Regulatory Frameworks Digitalization of fixed income markets and exponential growth in institutional DeFi participation. Key drivers: compliance, custody solutions, and advanced infrastructure. Global regulatory harmonization and smart contract-based compliance automation are reshaping governance. 💳 5. Embedded Finance & Smart Connectivity Embedded finance market to hit $7.2 trillion by 2030. Seamless integration of financial services into everyday platforms (e-commerce, mobility, etc.). AI, blockchain, and IoT power real-time, personalized financial ecosystems. Smart contracts reduce operational friction and enhance user experience. 🛡 6. Financial Crime Risk Management Market expected to reach $30.28 billion by 2030. AI-driven threat detection and anomaly monitoring strengthen AML compliance. Blockchain ensures data integrity and automates cross-border regulatory adherence. Global collaboration (FATF, EU AML) fortifies defenses against evolving financial crimes. 🌍 7. Consumer Behavior & Financial Inclusion Digital banking bridges the gap for underbanked populations, especially in emerging markets. Mobile solutions like M-Pesa revolutionize access to financial services. Biometrics, microfinance, and AI-powered engagement tools foster inclusive economic participation. 🚀 Conclusion By 2030, financial markets will be defined by technology-driven efficiency, regulatory adaptability, and inclusive growth. Success will favor those who embrace innovation, leverage automation, and engage in cross-sector collaboration. The future belongs to agile stakeholders navigating a landscape shaped by AI, blockchain, tokenization, and smart finance connectivity. Best regards, EXCAVO _____________________ Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by EXCAVO
7
“Does size matter?” when it comes to backtesting?It’s the kind of question that gets a few smirks, sure. But when it comes to backtesting trading strategies, it’s not a joke, it’s the difference between confidence and false hope. Let’s get real for a minute: the size of your candles absolutely matters. What you don’t see can hurt you Most people start testing on bigger timeframes. It’s faster, easier on the eyes, and the results look clean. But clean doesn’t mean correct. Larger candles blur the details. That one nice-looking 4-hour candle? Inside, price could’ve spiked, reversed, chopped around, or triggered your stop before closing where it did. You’d never know. And that’s the problem. You might think your entry worked beautifully… but only because the data smoothed out everything that actually happened. A backtest should feel like a real trade Trading isn't just about the final price. It’s about what price does to get there. That messy movement inside the candle? That’s where most trades are made or broken. If your strategy is even remotely reactive, waiting for structure, confirmation, retests, or anything time-sensitive, you need to see what price did between the open and close. And the only way to see that? Use smaller candles. Smaller data, clearer picture 1-minute candles might look overwhelming at first, but they give you something the higher timeframes just can’t: behavior. Not just outcomes. Not just win/loss stats. But the actual shape of the move, the hesitation, the fakeouts, the precise moment when the trade made sense—or didn’t. And once you start testing with that level of detail, your strategy either earns your trust… or shows its cracks. So how small should you go? There’s no one-size-fits-all here. But as a general rule: if your idea relies on precision, go small. Test it on 1-minute or 5-minute charts, even if you plan to execute on higher timeframes. You’ll quickly see if the entry makes sense, or if you’ve been relying on candle-close hindsight. Yes, it takes longer. Yes, you’ll stare at noisy charts for hours. But your strategy will thank you. Watch out for “too good to be true” One last thing, if your backtest results look flawless on 1h or 4h candles, pause. That’s often a sign that you’re testing a story, not a strategy. Zoom in. See what actually happens. You might be surprised at how different the same trade looks when you’re not glossing over the details. TL;DR: In backtesting, size absolutely matters. Smaller candles reveal real behavior. Bigger ones hide the truth. So if you care about how your strategy actually performs not just how it looks. go smaller. Your backtesting will get sharper, and your confidence? Way more earned.
BINANCE:BTCUSDEducation
by Maaz_BA
12
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-25 : Inside Breakaway patternToday's Pattern is an Inside Breakaway pattern. I suggest this pattern could play a pivotal role in how the markets setup for the May 2 Major Bottom pattern I'm expecting. You'll see in this video how any move to the upside could present a broadening of the consolidation range - resulting in even bigger price volatility going forward. Yet, I believe the markets will stall and roll a bit downward/sideways today. Possibly resulting in a move back into the lower consolidation range as we ROLL off resistance. As I suggested last weekend, I see no reason to assume the markets are "cleared for take-off" yet. Tariffs and political concerns are still driving uncertainty. I think we are seeing Q1 earnings inflate the markets while the fundamental elements of the global markets are still somewhat unsettled. I urge traders to HEDGE any open trades going into this weekend. If the markets don't make any clear moves today, hedge any positions you hold into next week. Gold & Silver are showing signs of minor panic selling. I see that as traders wanting to retest the $3300/$33 levels for Gold/Silver. I still believe Gold/Silver will skyrocket higher. But, probably not going to happen today. BTCUSD is making an interesting move higher. Potentially invalidating the previous EPP pattern and/or setting up a very broad consolidation range. It will be interesting to see how BTCUSD continues to trend over the next few months. Remember, I'm hopefully helping all of you find ways to improve your trading and find better results. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
13
Hellena | BITCOIN (4H): LONG to resistance area of 98,000.Dear colleagues, in this forecast I will not make too forward-looking plans. I believe that the upward movement is not over yet, because the wave “C” is not yet completed and consists of five waves. I think that we should expect to reach the resistance area of 98,000. A small correction to the support area of 90,000 is possible. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Hellena_Trade
10
BITCOIN Well well well.. The break-out happened..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) completed a massive break-out yesterday as it convincingly left the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) behind on its strongest 1D green candle since . The foundation of this was a 1D RSI Bullish Divergence on the April 08 2025 Low. This is the same kind of Bullish Divergence that took place on the September 06 2024 Low and resulted in a similar Lower Highs bullish break-out. After an October 02 2024 re-test of the 1D MA50, the trend-line became the new Support all the way to the 3.382 Fibonacci extension (measured from the last Lower High). As a result, we expect BTC's next medium-term Target to be $130000 (just below the new 3.382 Fibonacci extension). So do you think the pattern will be repeated? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
3
BTC Short Sell Setup Around Major Resistance zone, This BTCUSD chart outlines a clear potential sell setup as price approaches a major resistance zone between 87,900–88,100. This area previously formed two tops, indicating strong seller presence. - Current Price Action**: BTC is pushing into the resistance zone with a sharp move up. However, this area has historically led to reversals. - Trade Plan: Wait for bearish rejection or confirmation (like a reversal candle or structure break) before entering a short position. - Targets: - 1st Target: 85,561 – minor support and possible bounce zone. - 2nd Target: Around 82,000 – previous consolidation and demand area. - 3rd Target: Near 78,000 – deeper support zone if bearish momentum continues. The chart emphasizes patience and discipline: no trade without confirmation. It's a strategic setup relying on historical resistance and clean downside structure. Overall, it’s a potential short setup near resistance with clean downside targets, but confirmation is key.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
11
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 4-21 : Inside Breakaway PatternToday's Inside Breakaway pattern may not show up as I would expect. An Inside Breakaway pattern suggests the OPEN will be within the Body range of the previous bar - I don't see that happening today. The Breakaway portion of the pattern is much more likely to happen today with Gold/Silver moving much higher and BTCUSD moving slightly higher today. It appears Safe-Haven assets are THE THING right now. That would suggest the US Dollar and US-Dollar based assed would continue to fall (move downward) as devaluation and contraction in the global economy continues to play out. If you watched my video (posted late last night), you already know my data suggests there is almost no reason for the markets to mount a rally right now. The only thing I can see that would drive a big rally from these lows would be some incredible news that the world is immediately going back to somewhat normal in terms of GCB spending and Global Trade. I don't see that happening. I know there are a lot of emotions related to these Tariff wars and global trade. Heck, almost anything that goes on in the world right now is full of emotions. I urge all traders to STEP BACK. Think of the markets like an engine that runs on the quality of AIR, FUEL, SPARK, LUBRICATION, STRUCTURAL MECHANICAL PARTS, & INTAKE/OUTPUT CAPACITY. If you start to think about the markets (global markets) as a big engine, while thinking of individual economies (by country) as smaller engines, it starts to make a little more sense (at least in my mind). Every country runs its own engine (see the components above). If some of those components are failing, then that country's economy will falter a bit. And that faltering economy may put additional pressure on the global economy/engine. It takes a lot to destroy a functional economy. I mean A LOT. War, Total Destruction of government/law/society. Maybe even some type of internal conflict. But, even then, the economy will still have roots and will fall back to core elements. So, don't worry about all of these people telling you "the world is going to CRASH in the next 2 years because of Trump". That is highly unlikely. What is more likely is that the world will "re-settle expectations" related to future growth and output. Strengthening economies where needed and building up the core elements of global trade/economies over many months. So, if you are worried or don't know what to do right now, move your positions into CASH and wait it out a bit. There will be lots of opportunities for you to pick the right time to start trading again. There is no reason why you have to try to FORCE the markets to adhere to your wants (they never do that anyway). Just wait it out, keep learning, and plan/time your trade efficiently. Get some... #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BradMatheny
8
BITCOIN $140k will come sooner than you think!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) eventually made the strong rebound we've been talking about on the highly important Support cluster of: a) the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), b) the former All Time High (ATH) trend-line and c) the Higher Lows Zone of the current Bull Cycle. This Triple Hold Move is expected to produce the strongest rally of the Bull Cycle, the Parabolic Rally. But even if it is similar to the 'weakest' rally of this Cycle, then we should be expecting at least a +92.94% rise from the bottom, which translates to a price marginally above $140000. And that could come as early as this August. So do you think we'll be seeing a rally at least as strong as last year's? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
2
BTCUSD: Heavily supported, targeting $160k.Bitcoin is neutral on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 51.863, MACD = 1668.900, ADX = 41.878), running a bullish steak of 3 green 1W candles in a row. Supported heavily by the 1W MA50, this looks like all previous HL bottoms since late 2022. Those kickstated bullish waves that have reached at least the 2.0 Fibonacci extension. The medium term trade here is long, TP = 160,000. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
2
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is a pullback resistance. Pivot: 85,389.36 1st Support: 83,252.81 1st Resistance: 92,478.49 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
4
BTC/USD) Trend channel analysis setup Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update technical analysis of Bitcoin (BTC/USD) on the 1-hour timeframe. It showcases a potential breakout continuation vs. pullback scenario, depending on how price reacts around a key short-term resistance area. --- Key Observations: 1. Current Price: $93,754 — Price is consolidating just below a local high. 2. Support and Resistance Zones: Support BOS (Break of Structure): Around the $87,351 level, highlighted in yellow. Upper Target Zone: $98,954–$98,983 200 EMA: Near $86,926, offering dynamic support. 3. Two Possible Scenarios: A. Bullish Continuation: If the price holds above the immediate structure and breaks out of the short-term consolidation near the top: It may surge toward the upper target zone ($98,983). This aligns with the ascending channel and continuation pattern. B. Bearish Pullback: If the price fails to sustain above the resistance area: A correction down to the support BOS zone (~$87,351) is likely. This pullback may be temporary, potentially offering a re-entry zone for bulls. 4. RSI Analysis (Bottom of Chart): RSI is showing signs of bearish divergence (price making higher highs while RSI makes lower highs). This suggests momentum is weakening, and a short-term pullback could occur. --- Trade Ideas: Long Setup (Breakout): Entry: Above recent high (~$94,500). Target: ~$98,950 Stop Loss: Below ~$92,000 Short Setup (Rejection): Entry: Rejection near ~$94,000–$94,500 Target: ~$87,350 Stop Loss: Above ~$94,800 Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary: This analysis reflects a critical decision point for BTC/USD. Price is nearing a local high with RSI divergence suggesting a pullback may come first — but if buyers remain strong and break resistance, a continuation toward GETTEX:98K is likely. Wait for confirmation of direction before entering. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by SMC-Trading-Point
8
Real Success Rates of the Falling Wedge in TradingReal Success Rates of the Falling Wedge in Trading The falling wedge is a chart pattern highly valued by traders for its potential for bullish reversals after a bearish or consolidation phase. Its effectiveness has been extensively studied and documented by various technical analysts and leading authors. Key Statistics Bullish Exit: In 82% of cases, the exit from the falling wedge is upward, making it one of the most reliable patterns for anticipating a positive reversal. Price Target Achieved: The pattern's theoretical target (calculated by plotting the height of the wedge at the breakout point) is achieved in approximately 63% to 88% of cases, depending on the source, demonstrating a high success rate for profit-taking. Trend Reversal: In 55% to 68% of cases, the falling wedge acts as a reversal pattern, signaling the end of a downtrend and the beginning of a new bullish phase. Pullback: After the breakout, a pullback (return to the resistance line) occurs in approximately 53% to 56% of cases, which can provide a second entry opportunity but tends to reduce the pattern's overall performance. False Breakouts: False exits represent between 10% and 27% of cases. However, a false bullish breakout only results in a true bearish breakout in 3% of cases, making the bullish signal particularly robust. Performance and Context Bull Market: The pattern performs particularly well when it appears during a corrective phase of an uptrend, with a profit target reached in 70% of cases within three months. Gain Potential: The maximum gain potential can reach 32% in half of cases during a bullish breakout, according to statistical studies on equity markets. Formation Time: The wider the wedge and the steeper the trend lines, the faster and more violent the post-breakout upward movement will be. Comparative Summary of Success Rates: Criteria Rate Observed Frequency Bullish Exit 82% Price Target Achieved 63% to 88% Reversal Pattern 55% to 68% Pullback After Breakout 53% to 56% False Breakouts (False Exits) 10% to 27% Bullish False Breakouts Leading to a Downside 3% Points of Attention The falling wedge is a rare and difficult pattern to correctly identify, requiring at least five contact points to be valid. Performance is best when the breakout occurs around 60% of the pattern's length and when volume increases at the time of the breakout. Pullbacks, although frequent, tend to weaken the initial bullish momentum. Conclusion The falling wedge has a remarkable success rate, with more than 8 out of 10 cases resulting in a bullish exit and a price target being reached in the majority of cases. However, it remains essential to validate the pattern with other technical signals (volume, momentum) and to remain vigilant against false breakouts, even if their rate is relatively low. When mastered, this pattern proves to be a valuable tool for traders looking for optimized entry points on bullish reversals.
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by Le-Loup-de-Zurich
4
BITCOIN Ready for PUMP or what ?Currently, COINBASE:BTCUSD is forming an ascending triangle, indicating a potential price increase. It is anticipated that the price could rise, aligning with the projected price movement (AB=CD). However, it is crucial to wait for the triangle to break before taking any action. Give me some energy !! ✨We spend hours finding potential opportunities and writing useful ideas, we would be happy if you support us. Best regards CobraVanguard.💚 _ _ _ _ __ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ _ ✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟! ⚠️Things can change... The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CobraVanguard