**Hey everyone, Bitcoin Shorts!** Hey everyone, Bitcoin Shorts!
Hope you’re all doing well—or at least clinging to sanity while crypto plays its usual game of "emotional damage roulette." 🎢
Trading these days requires nerves of titanium—one minute you’re a genius, the next you’re Googling "how to explain massive losses to my significant other." (Ahem, like that time I turned 50K into SOL-d memories trying to short it. But hey, tuition fees for the school of hard knocks, right?)
Chart Breakdown (with a side of self-awareness):
Long until 109,950 (chart looks bullish, but if I’m wrong and we dip below 106,750, I’ll flip to a manual short—only after confirming a double top + Fib pullback on lower timeframes (3m-15m).
Yes, this is me fighting the trend like a stubborn mule. Old habits die hard—just ask my 2023 P&L.
Then short the pattern down to 97,700 (or 88,800 for that sweet 37x fantasy).
Currently longing to 135,000 (50x), but always wait for the retest. (Patience is a virtue… until the 4AM caffeine wears off.)
Bonus Wisdom (because crypto loves irony):
"Trend is your friend"—unless you’re a thrill-seeker like me who occasionally treats Fib levels like a trampoline.
Side note: Crypto adores Fibonacci more than a conspiracy theorist loves a good pattern. Respect the levels, or they’ll disrespect your wallet.
Final Advice:
May your entries be sniper-precise, your stops be actually placed, and your mental health survive the 3AM wicks. And remember—if all else fails, there’s always the "blame the whales" exit strategy.
Trade safe(ish). 🚀
BTCUSD trade ideas
BTC (Y25. P2.E3).AB=CD scenarioHi traders,
In the past, ATH's have made consistent pullbacks soon after with 14%.
This time round I do expect the same, to shake out before we do new highs.
Macro wise, I still have the Cup and Handle targets.
Short term, this aligns well with my support levels.
For now, the VAL or neckline is likely to be resistance.
We had a obvious descending wedge breakout, its hit its target. and now we should range, consolidate here before price makes a decision.
For more updates, come to our forum.
All the best,
S.SAri
Bitcoin on track as alwaysHello,
This chart is a Bitcoin (BTC) price chart on a weekly timeframe (1W) from BITSTAMP, with annotations around halving cycles, historical patterns, and projected tops. Let’s break down the key insights and patterns visible in this chart, especially focusing on the implications for the next potential top following the 4th halving on April 20, 2024.
🔁 Cycle Structure and Repeating Patterns
Each cycle is defined between two halving events:
1st Halving: Nov 28, 2012
2nd Halving: Jul 9, 2016
3rd Halving: May 11, 2020
4th Halving: Apr 20, 2024
Each halving is followed by:
Accumulation/Sideways Period (marked in purple boxes)
Strong Bull Run to a new all-time high
Sharp Correction
Longer consolidation until the next halving
So, we use historical halving-based fractals to forecast the next Bitcoin bull cycle top around October 2025, assuming a consistent 525-day post-halving rally. The current price structure aligns closely with prior cycles, suggesting BTC is still on track. If the pattern holds, we may see a strong upward trend from mid/late 2024 into late 2025, with a potential blow-off top near the cycle peak.
⚠️ Caveats
Past performance is not a guarantee of future results
Each cycle may rhyme but not repeat exactly – macro conditions, regulations, ETFs, institutional flows, and global liquidity all play bigger roles now
Diminishing returns are evident – each cycle's ROI peak is lower
BTCUSD UPSIDE VIEWAfter Showing M Pattern Break down and treadlin break if halt neckline and showing it will dumb strong selling candle and if market still halt and then small pull back we can enter up side because we go with trap everyone selling this side and SMC will snatched the market up side because it's an uptrend ok.
Market next target
📊 Original Analysis Summary:
Bias: Bullish reversal expected from the support box.
Path: Minor pullback followed by a breakout toward a higher target.
Indicators: Green arrow bounce, blue and yellow upward paths projecting continuation.
---
🚨 Disruption & Bearish Risks:
🔴 1. Support Zone is Weak
The price dipped into the red support box and bounced, but barely made a strong recovery. A weak reaction from this zone could signal buyers are hesitant or exhausted.
🔴 2. Bear Flag Formation
The current price action could be forming a bear flag pattern: a brief upward consolidation following a sharp drop. If confirmed, this would likely lead to another leg down, not up.
🔴 3. Volume Discrepancy
The bounce lacks volume confirmation—note the relatively low buying bars after the large red selling volume spike. This suggests weak bullish conviction and potential for another sell-off.
BTCUSD| About Current Bullish Momentum and Key LevelsHello there,
BTCUSD H1—The 105,699 level is currently maintaining bullish momentum; therefore, BTCUSD is in an overall bullish trend on the higher time frame. The price may move up, spike up or down, or break the support line to test another support area below.
For now, the 110,000 level is open, and the 105,199 level is also open.
Happy Trading,
K.
Not trading advice
BTC/USD ssibly initiating a new bearish phase.
Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD)
Timeframe: 4-hour (4h)
Platform: TradingView
Price Range: Chart shows BTC trading around $108,998.31
---
🧠 Technical Concepts Used:
🔁 Market Structure Terms:
BOS (Break of Structure):
Located on the left side, indicating a shift in trend direction.
Signifies a strong bearish break, typically following a bullish run, possibly initiating a new bearish phase.
CHOCH (Change of Character):
Mid-chart, near a significant support zone.
Indicates a potential bullish reversal or accumulation phase after a downtrend.
HH/HL (Higher Highs/Higher Lows):
Indicate an uptrend following the CHOCH area.
Bullish market structure forming a channel.
---
🟩 Zones & Targets:
🔲 Support and Resistance Zones:
Support Zone: Marked near the bottom (~$82,000–$85,000 range)
Resistance Zone: Near the top (~$110,000 area), where price currently hovers
🎯 Targets and Forecast:
First Target: Mid-level demand zone around ~$96,000–$98,000
Final Target: Strong demand zone around ~$92,000
Price Path Projection:
Suggests a potential drop from current levels (Red arrow)
Temporary bounce at first target, followed by another drop to final target
Afterwards, a potential bullish retracement or reversal
---
📐 Technical Patterns & Tools:
Trend Channel: Price is moving inside an ascending parallel channel.
Arrow Markings:
Show a forecast of retracement and potential consolidation or reversal.
Liquidity Zones: Highlighted zones suggest institutional interest areas where price may react significantly.
---
📅 Timestamp and Device Info:
Chart Date/Time: Sunday, 25th May 2025, 12:00
Current System Time: 10:21 PM, 27th May 2025
Platform: Dell Laptop with Windows OS
---
✅ Summary Like a Pro:
> "The BTC/USD 4H chart presents a classic smart money setup. Following a break of structure (BOS) and change of character (CHOCH), the price entered a bullish structure forming higher highs. Currently, price action is in a premium zone nearing resistance, suggesting a potential bearish move targeting the first demand zone around $96,000 and final institutional support near $92,000. A corrective retracement is expected before any significant bullish continuation, aligning with key liquidity and order block zones."
BTCUSD zooming inUpon close analysis of BTC corrections, it appears that the price is moving in a series of three-wave structures to the downside. We may currently be near a bottom, possibly completing a WXY corrective pattern. However, there is still the potential for one more up-and-down movement before a breakout to the upside, marking the start of the final Wave 5 toward a new all-time high (ATH) in the 113–115 range.
These 4–5% corrective structures can be challenging to trade. It may be more prudent to wait for a clearer signal—such as a breakout above the top trendline or the completion of a five-wave decline within the current structure—before entering a position.
A look at monthly Chart of BTCIf we count Elliot Wave at weekly or monthly, we see we are at the ABC Correction of the Primary Impulsive wave, that the ABC might create an Irregular or Expanded Flat. I think the chart is going to create a C wave of the ABC Primary wave, and those numbers might be a target, but according to Fibbonaci Levels, 0.618, which is 40,000. Other targets can also be seen on the chart.
BTC – Monthly Close + Rising Wedge ContextCRYPTO:BTCUSD BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
🚨 BTC broke out from a Cup & Handle pattern but is now trading inside a Rising Wedge on higher timeframes — watch for potential squeeze or breakdown 📉
🗓️ Monthly candle is closing soon:
• Current range: Support at $78K | Resistance near $114K
• Price recently touched $112K, just below all-time highs 🏁
📆 Looking ahead to next month:
• Resistance zone at $115.7K
• Support zone at $82K
BTC needs to break the wedge to confirm a clear trend; otherwise, the range may persist.
⚠️ Past Rising Wedge breakdown was sharp, but stronger bullish narratives and news could change the outcome this time 🤔
📊 Weekly timeframe shows BTC holding inside an ascending channel — no structure breaks yet, signaling bulls still in play ✅
BTC Bulls Awakening from the Shadows – OB + 79% Fib Reaction 📈 BTCUSD | 30-Min Bullish Reversal Setup from OB + 79% Fib Zone
Smart Money never misses a good discount… and this BTCUSD setup is that juicy premium-to-discount play we wait for.
🔍 1. Price Action Context
Market sold off into a clearly defined Order Block
Price tapped precisely at the 79% Fib level
Internal liquidity sweep confirmed below recent equal lows
No candle close below OB = structure still intact
This is what we call the "Trap + Reverse" move. Late shorts just got baited.
🧱 2. Confluences Stacking Up
💎 79% Fib Retracement — Deep discount zone for Smart Money
💎 Bullish Order Block — Last up candle before the sharp sell-off
💎 Liquidity Sweep — Price swept short-term lows = inducement
💎 Channel Structure — Midline bounce = potential breakout
The OB + Fib overlap = a high-probability buy zone with minimal risk
🎯 3. Trade Plan
Entry Zone: 108,250–108,650
Stop Loss: Below 108,000
Take Profit: 110,758 (premium zone)
⚖️ 4. RRR (Risk-Reward Ratio)
📥 Entry: ~108,400
🔒 SL: 108,000
💰 TP: 110,758
✅ RRR ≈ 1:5.8
This is sniper-level asymmetric risk. You don’t chase candles — you wait here, like a lion in the grass 🦁.
🔁 5. What to Watch Next
Price must reclaim and close above 108,867 for confirmation
If we get a BOS (Break of Structure) above 109,200 = 🚀
Hold above the mid-channel line = bullish continuation
💬 Comment “LONGED BTC 💎” if you caught this with the OB bounce!
📌 Save this to study OB + Fib synergy.
👀 Watch price action at 109,200 — breakout zone incoming?
May 27 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
This is the NASDAQ 30-minute chart.
There will be an indicator announcement at 11 o'clock.
The daily chart MACD dead cross is in progress.
*When the red finger moves,
it is a long position strategy.
I simply proceeded with the purple finger short -> red finger long switching
or the red finger long waiting strategy.
Today, if possible, it is advantageous for long positions because the weekly chart low point will not be broken even if you just move sideways without touching the gap section.
When the gap section is deviated, I marked the bottom -> section 2 at the bottom
and applied it to Bitcoin as it is.
This is a Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
At the bottom left is the gap retracement section that was performed on the 26th
The purple finger is the entry point for the long position at $108,233.5
It is connected as is.
*When the red finger moves,
It is a long position strategy.
1. After confirming the touch of the first section of the purple finger at the top
109,519.6 long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line is broken
2. 111,883.3 long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
Until the additional daily chart is created at 9 am tomorrow
Because the top section of the resistance line of the Bollinger Band daily chart can be a strong adjustment section
You should be careful.
If you touch after 9 o'clock, there is a possibility of additional increase, and
If the strategy is successful, you can use the 1st section indicated at the top as a long re-entry section after the first liquidation of the Top section.
Today, we will focus on long positions,
but it is important whether the main point touches the upper part of Nasdaq first and then
comes down immediately.
If it comes down immediately without touching the 1st section,
the final long waiting strategy is at 108,652.9 dollars in the 2nd section.
If the green support line breaks away, the stop loss price is the same.
Since the mid-term pattern is broken,
if you somehow manage to hold it within the 2nd section today, it is good for the long position.
If it breaks away, check the Bottom -> 3rd section at the bottom,
Since Bitcoin's new high is updated depending on the movement of Nasdaq this week,
it seems that a decline or continuous rise after the double top may be connected.
Up to this point, I ask that you simply use my analysis for reference and use only.
I hope that you operate safely with the principle of trading and cut-off price.
Thank you.
BTC (Y25.P2.E4). Potential bullish fractal to take placeHi traders,
Price is bullish and its likely we will see more ATH to come.
Here, with a peak, followed by a troph, we found support like the macro Y21 BTC price action. Hence finding that support level makes sense to long.. To early to find a long but it could come soon.
Alternatively, we see a AB=CD move to 105k level, but this is looking less likely
The ABC target, is 1 to 1, which aligns to take the liquidity above this ATH level.
Or Its a wave 2 level and hence a bigger move of wave 3.
All the best,
S.SAri
Market next move
Disruption of the Bullish Bias:
1. False Breakout Risk
The area marked with a red rectangle might be showing signs of consolidation, but there's a possibility that the bullish breakout is a bull trap.
Volume does not strongly confirm a breakout; note that the volume on the recent upward candles is not significantly higher than the surrounding bars — often a sign of weak buyer conviction.
2. Resistance Overhead
BTC is approaching the psychological level of 110,000, which may act as resistance.
Price action shows several small-bodied candles with wicks, indicating indecision or rejection from higher levels.
3. Bearish Divergence Potential
If paired with RSI or MACD indicators (not visible in this image), there might be signs of bearish divergence — price making higher highs while the indicator makes lower highs.
4. Liquidity Sweep Scenario
The recent wick into the highlighted zone could be a liquidity sweep — grabbing stop-losses before reversing downward.
This would support a bearish move contrary to the bullish forecast.
5. Market Sentiment & Fundamentals
Ignoring macro events such as Fed decisions, ETF movements, or regulatory news can be dangerous. If bearish news breaks out, technical setups can fail fast
Market next move Original Analysis Summary:
Identifies a bullish structure breaking above a support area.
Projects a potential continuation to higher targets.
Suggests consolidation and bounce from support before climbing.
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Disruptive Bearish Interpretation:
1. Lower High Possibility:
Recent price action might be forming a lower high rather than a continuation signal, signaling weakness in buying pressure.
2. Volume Imbalance:
Notice how the large green candle was followed by lower bullish volume, suggesting buying momentum is fading.
3. Breakout Trap:
The "Support area" may instead be a liquidity zone where breakout traders entered long positions and could now be trapped. A break below this area could cause a panic sell-off.
4. Trendline Respect (Rejection):
Price is currently retesting the underside of a descending trendline — a common reversal spot.