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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin Roadmap to $144K by September – Daily Chart Breakout SetHello traders, I'm sharing my current outlook on Bitcoin using the daily timeframe. Price is ~109K below a key descending trendline (in red), which has defined the structure since 21 May. 🔍 Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: $111,000 Support: $91,000 Current Price: ~$109,000 ⚡ Breakout Scenario: If Bitcoin closes above $111K on the daily chart, backed by strong volume (ideally 30% above the 20-day average), I expect the next targets to unfold as: ✅ $122,000 ✅ $133,000 ✅ $144,000 🗓️ Target date for $144K: Around 22 September 2025 This projection is based on a pivot structure I’m tracking: 🟢 25 March 2025: Pivot low at ~$84K 🔴 12 June 2025: Pivot high 🟡 Expected pivot high: ~4 September 2025 (if symmetry holds) This pattern suggests a 1-2-3 formation that could lead to a breakout move. 🧯 Failure Scenario: If BTC fails to break out, I’m watching for a pullback toward the $91K support zone. 🛑 Current Stance: I’m not in a position yet. Waiting for a daily candle close above $111K with volume confirmation and momentum indicators. 📣 Stay Updated I’ll be sharing daily updates as the price action evolves. Follow me here on TradingView, and feel free to share your analysis or ask questions in the comments! 🏷️ Hashtags: #BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #BTC #TechnicalAnalysis #SwingTrade #BreakoutSetup Let me know your comments.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Eymen-GUVEN
1
BTCUSD: Whales Move 80,000 BTC, Shaking the MarketBTCUSD on Alert: Whales Move 80,000 BTC, Shaking the Market By Ion Jauregui – Analyst at ActivTrades The cryptocurrency market witnessed one of the year’s most puzzling moves this week. Over 80,000 Bitcoins—worth more than $8.6 billion—were transferred from wallets that had been inactive since the early years of the crypto ecosystem. These transfers, originating from addresses linked to 2010 and 2011, sparked a wave of reactions among investors, analysts, and crypto enthusiasts. Fundamental Analysis: Mass Sell-Off or Simple Restructuring? The market's initial response was uncertainty. It’s unusual for wallets from the so-called “Satoshi era” to become active again. However, research led by Arkham Intelligence and other on-chain analysis firms indicates that this was not an immediate sale. The BTC was not sent to exchanges, but to new addresses—possibly with enhanced security (SegWit or multisig technologies)—suggesting an internal reorganization rather than a liquidation. On a macro level, the environment remains favorable for Bitcoin: – Institutional inflows via ETFs have already surpassed $14 billion in 2025. – Broader adoption is expected, driven by proposals such as the creation of a strategic Bitcoin reserve in the U.S. and clearer regulations in advanced economies. – The market has shown resilience in the face of similar events in the past, reducing the risk of a structural correction. Technical Analysis: Consolidation Zone with Key Resistance at $112,000 From a technical perspective, Bitcoin has maintained a strong bullish structure in recent weeks but is currently in a consolidation phase near its all-time highs: • Key support: $103,477, located mid-range of the current consolidation zone. The lower bound sits at $98,209, where the price has reacted positively following the whale movements. The delta pressure zone is positioned at the upper part of the range, near current price levels. • Immediate resistance: $111,978.21, a breakout of which could open the door to a move toward $112,000–$115,000. • Daily RSI: Neutral bias with slight overbought conditions at 54.11%. • Moving averages: The 50- and 100-day EMAs show clear compression—typically a precursor to a breakout—while the 200-day EMA remains well expanded, appearing to support the current consolidation. Volume remains elevated but without speculative spikes, and funding rates in the derivatives market are still positive, suggesting sustained buying interest. Conclusion: A Symbolic Shake-Up Rather Than a Threat Although the whale movements have made headlines and stirred speculation about a possible sell-off, the signs point to a technical update rather than a shift in trend. The market has remained stable over the past 48 hours, with technical indicators and macro fundamentals supporting a short-term neutral-to-bullish outlook. The key will be whether these funds remain dormant or begin to disperse in smaller transactions. For now, the crypto ecosystem has weathered the shake-up without major consequences, reinforcing the growing maturity of an increasingly institutional market. ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acting on the information provided does so at their own risk. Political risk is unpredictable. Central bank actions can vary. Platform tools do not guarantee success. Regulated status does not guarantee security.
ACTIVTRADES:BTCUSDLong
by ActivTrades
BTC/USD Analysis Update. Chart Pattern: The chart clearly shows an Inverse Head & Shoulders structure: Left Shoulder Head Right Shoulder This is a strong bullish reversal pattern. Moving Averages: Price hovers near the 100-day and 200-day MA, acting as a strong support zone (around $90k–$95k). This area is critical for sustaining long positions. Expected Move: Strong bullish potential towards the $113k–$115k zone, aligned with the upper trendline target. RSI also suggests room for a bullish recovery from this zone. Trade Plan: Ideal Entry: Near $90k–$95k (Right Shoulder area) Stop Loss: Just below $88k Target: $113k–$115k This structure is very favorable for long positions if the price confirms strength within the right shoulder zone.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoSanders9563
Bitcoin May See Short-Term Pullback After Hitting $108,000📊 Market Overview: Bitcoin surged to $108,000 amid renewed risk-on sentiment, a softer US dollar, and slightly declining bond yields. However, weekend trading sees lower liquidity, and some profit-taking has emerged. Traders are also cautious ahead of next week’s Fed-related news. 📉 Technical Analysis: • Key Resistance: $108,500 – $110,000 • Nearest Support: $106,200 – $105,500 • EMA 09 (1H): Price is above EMA 09, indicating bullish momentum remains. • Candlesticks & Volume: Doji candle and falling volume in 1H → suggests weakening upside momentum and possible retracement. 📌 Outlook: Bitcoin may face a short-term pullback if it fails to break above $108,500 and no fresh catalysts emerge. Holding above $106,200 would keep the broader bullish structure intact. 💡 Suggested Trade Setup: 🔻 SELL BTC/USD at: 108,200 – 108,500 🎯 TP: 106,800 ❌ SL: 109,300 🔺 BUY BTC/USD at: 106,200 – 105,500 🎯 TP: 107,800 ❌ SL: 104,800
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by Mian-FXSignals
BTCUSD Analysis – Riding the Mind Curve & Bullish Setup Target🔎 Technical Narrative & Market Structure Analysis Bitcoin is currently respecting a textbook parabolic support structure represented by the Black Mind Curve—a dynamic visual model reflecting the psychology of crowd behavior transitioning from uncertainty to confidence. This curved structure often precedes strong bullish continuation patterns, especially when paired with evidence of smart money involvement. The current price action shows sequential higher lows, each of which is supported directly by the Mind Curve. These bounces confirm demand stepping in consistently at higher levels, a strong sign of controlled accumulation and momentum building. 🧠 Key Chart Components Explained ✅ 1. Mind Curve (Dynamic Support) A custom-drawn parabolic curve reflects the ongoing upward force from buyers. Bitcoin has tested and bounced from this curve multiple times, showing it is respected by market participants. As price hugs the curve more tightly, the compression could lead to a volatility breakout. ✅ 2. Major BOS (Break of Structure) A significant market structure break occurred as price took out a previous swing high. This BOS confirms a shift in market sentiment from ranging/sideways to uptrend formation. The BOS now acts as a reference point for bullish momentum and could serve as support on a potential retest. ✅ 3. QFL Zone (Quantity following line ) Located just below the BOS, this zone marks the last area where aggressive buyers stepped in before the breakout. These levels are often defended on a retest and are used by institutional traders to re-enter positions. ✅ 4. Evidence Candle This sharp bullish impulse candle is what we call an "evidence candle"—it pierces minor resistances with strength and volume. It represents institutional-level interest and confirms smart money accumulation. Such candles typically precede either continuation or minor pullback for re-accumulation. ✅ 5. Reversal Zone (Target Zone) This zone lies ahead at approximately 112,500 to 113,000, a confluence of previous supply, key psychological level, and potential liquidity pool. It's the next logical area where price may pause, react, or break through if momentum sustains. ⚔️ Scenarios to Watch 🟩 Bullish Scenario: Price continues riding the curve support upward. Breaks and closes above the Reversal Zone, ideally with volume and continuation candle. Potential upside extension toward 114,000–115,000. 🟨 Neutral/Consolidation Scenario: Price consolidates just below the Reversal Zone. May form a flag/pennant or triangle structure. Bullish continuation likely if the curve holds beneath. 🟥 Bearish/Invalidation Scenario: Price breaks below the Mind Curve and BOS, closing below with momentum. This would signal a potential breakdown of the bullish structure. Invalidation zone likely sits below 110,000, and a breakdown could open room to revisit the 108,500–109,000 area. 📌 Confluence Factors Supporting the Bullish Bias: Respect of Mind Curve over time = hidden institutional support Presence of BOS and QFL = structure and order block confluence Evidence candle = high-volume trigger point Reversal Zone = logical magnet for price, supported by liquidity and previous reactions 📈 Summary & Trading Thesis Bitcoin is currently in a bullish microstructure within a larger range. The parabola-style Mind Curve suggests that this structure is maturing toward an inflection point. The break above BOS, evidence of strength, and alignment with demand zones all support a move toward the 112,500–113,000 Reversal Zone. If momentum sustains, this could become the start of a broader bullish leg. 📢 Final Thought: While the setup is bullish, discipline and patience are key. Watching how price behaves around the Reversal Zone will be critical. A clean breakout or solid rejection will provide the next high-probability signal.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
An Elliot Wave indicating a Bitcoin SupercyclePrimary cycle 3 ends approximately March 2026 at $225,000. Primary cycle 4 ends around Nov 2026 at $75,000. Primary cycle 5 and the end of cycle I ends near $400,000 in Jan 2028. This illustrates Bob Loukas' latest thought toward an extended right translated bull Bitcoin cycle ending in early 2026 instead of the end of 2025. Then a shortened bear market that ends in Nov 2026, 4 years after the last bear cycle in Nov 2022. Then a "left" translated cycle ending in Jan 2028 near $400,000 which completes Cycle I. It looks like a supercycle by combining the right translated current cycle with a left translated next cycle. A good cycle strategy would be to take at least partial profit near $225,000, reaccumulate near $75,000 at the end of 2026 in anticipation of a big move up to near $400,000 by Jan 2028. A major sell at that point would be prudent. Loukas believes after a 12-16 month left translated cycle into early 2028 will be followed by a 2.5 year or more bear market to the end of 2030.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by shubbs
BTCUSD Structure Analysis : Bullish Zone From Support + Target🔍 Current Market Structure Overview: Bitcoin is currently trading around $108,375, hovering just above a clearly respected rising support zone (shaded area). This dynamic support has held price multiple times and continues to act as a springboard for short-term bullish moves. The chart illustrates a classic bullish continuation setup forming, with key structural levels marked as Minor BOS (Break of Structure) and Major BOS, indicating potential areas of trend validation and momentum acceleration. 🔹 Key Technical Elements: ✅ Support Zone: The shaded diagonal support zone has acted as a bullish trendline base, holding up since late June. BTC recently dipped into this area, found buyers, and is now attempting a reversal from this level. This reinforces market interest and confirms the accumulation behavior in this zone. ⚠️ Break of Structure (BOS) Levels: Minor BOS is marked near $109,800, signaling the first key intraday resistance. A break above this level would signal bullish intent and open the way for price expansion. Major BOS around $110,600–$110,800 is critical. A clean break here will likely validate a trend continuation toward the next objective. 🟩 Next Reversal Zone (Target Area): Highlighted around $111,500–$112,000, this green zone represents a potential liquidity grab/reversal area where sellers could re-enter. This zone aligns with previous price exhaustion levels and may trigger consolidation or a short-term pullback. 📈 Projected Price Path (Wave Schematic): The chart outlines a wave structure projection, suggesting: A possible retest of the minor BOS. Follow-through into the major BOS area. Final push into the reversal zone before potential rejection or sideways action. 🔧 Bias & Strategy: Bias: Moderately Bullish as long as BTC respects the support zone. Invalidation: A decisive breakdown below the trendline support and close under $107,500 would invalidate this bullish setup and shift bias to neutral/bearish short-term. Trading Plan Ideas: 📥 Buy Opportunity: On minor dips within the support zone, targeting BOS levels. 📤 Sell Watch: Near reversal zone ($111.5K–$112K) if signs of exhaustion or bearish divergence appear. 📌 Final Notes: BTC appears to be gearing up for a breakout from consolidation, and price action is coiling with higher lows. Market participants should watch closely how BTC reacts at the minor and major BOS zones, as they could define the next leg for either bullish continuation or rejection.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
$BTC (BITCOIN) 4HPrice previously rallied strongly from a Fair Value Gap (FVG) at the bottom of the chart, forming a bullish market structure. After a bullish displacement, BTC consolidated in a tight range (reaccumulation) and swept internal liquidity before breaking down. Now, price has returned to a critical discount zone around 107800–107600 First Target: 109,229 — internal range high. Main Objective: 112,000 — resting external liquidity above a clean high. As long as BTC holds above 107600, we remain bullish. The current area is perfect for accumulation before a potential expansion phase toward external liquidity.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by TopGBanks
BTC Storm of Consolidation, New Money, and Macro-PoliticsBitcoin at the Precipice: A Perfect Storm of Consolidation, New Money, and Macro-Political Tailwinds In the intricate and often tempestuous world of digital assets, there are moments of frantic volatility and periods of eerie calm. Bitcoin, the undisputed king of cryptocurrencies, currently finds itself in one of these fascinating lulls—a state of high-altitude consolidation that is anything but sleepy. Trading just a whisper away from its all-time high, the asset is coiling like a spring, absorbing immense selling pressure from early adopters while simultaneously drawing in a new, powerful wave of buyers. This delicate equilibrium, however, is set against a backdrop of explosive potential catalysts. From tightening technical indicators screaming of an imminent breakout to the looming deadline of US tariffs, the vocal endorsement of tech titans, and the unprecedented entry of Bitcoin into the mainstream political arena, the stage is being meticulously set. The question on every analyst's and investor's mind is no longer if Bitcoin will make its next major move, but when, and just how monumental it will be. This is not just another market cycle; it is a convergence of forces that could propel Bitcoin toward price horizons that were once the domain of only the most fervent optimists. The Anatomy of a Healthy Consolidation: Whales Recede as a New Foundation is Built At first glance, a market that stalls just below its peak might seem like a sign of weakness, an indication that the bullish momentum has been exhausted. However, a deeper look into the current structure of the Bitcoin market reveals a picture of profound strength and maturity. This period of consolidation is characterized by a crucial and healthy rotation of ownership. The so-called "whales"—early investors and large-scale holders who have accumulated vast quantities of Bitcoin at much lower prices—are beginning to ease their holdings. This is not the panic-selling seen during bear market capitulations. Rather, it is a strategic and logical process of taking profits, de-risking portfolios, and realizing life-changing gains after a historic run. Every Bitcoin sold by a whale must be bought by someone else, and the identity of these new buyers is what makes the current phase so compellingly bullish. The supply being released onto the market is not causing a price crash; instead, it is being steadily absorbed by a fresh cohort of participants. This new wave includes a diverse mix of players: retail investors who are gaining confidence as Bitcoin solidifies its mainstream status, smaller institutional players who are now more comfortable entering the market, and, most significantly, corporations that are beginning to view Bitcoin as a legitimate treasury reserve asset. This process is akin to the changing of the guard. The early pioneers are passing the baton to a new generation of holders who are establishing a new, higher cost basis. This dynamic is incredibly constructive for long-term price stability. It builds a robust and formidable wall of support at these elevated price levels, transforming what was once a speculative peak into a solid foundation for the next leg up. Further evidence of this underlying strength can be seen in Bitcoin's recent weekly performance. The asset has managed to set another record high weekly close. In the world of technical analysis, a weekly close is considered far more significant than a brief, volatile intraday spike. An intraday high can be the result of a short-lived speculative frenzy or a liquidation cascade, but a high weekly close demonstrates sustained buying pressure and conviction over a longer duration. It signifies that, for seven straight days, buyers successfully defended higher price levels against sellers, ultimately winning the battle as the candle closed. This repeated ability to secure high weekly closes indicates that the market is systematically accepting and validating these new price territories, creating a psychological and technical launchpad for a future assault on all-time highs. Traders are now intensely focused on this dynamic, attempting to pinpoint the new, higher bottoms of this consolidation range, recognizing that these levels are likely to serve as the bedrock for the next major bull run. The Technical Cauldron: Bollinger Bands Signal an Imminent and Violent Breakout While the fundamental picture is one of healthy rotation, the technical charts are sending an even more urgent message: prepare for a massive move. Among the myriad of indicators used by traders, the Bollinger Bands are currently painting a particularly dramatic picture. Bollinger Bands consist of three lines plotted over a price chart. The middle band is a simple moving average, while the upper and lower bands are positioned at a set number of standard deviations away from the middle band. In essence, they are a direct measure of market volatility. When the market is volatile, the bands widen. When the market is calm and consolidating, the bands contract, or "squeeze." Bitcoin is currently in the midst of one of the most significant Bollinger Band squeezes seen in recent history. The upper and lower bands have drawn incredibly close to one another, indicating that volatility has been wrung out of the market to an extreme degree. Historically, such periods of low volatility are the calm before the storm. A Bollinger Band squeeze is almost always resolved by a period of explosive, high volatility—a powerful breakout. The longer and tighter the squeeze, the more violent the subsequent price move tends to be. The indicator itself does not predict the direction of the breakout, but in the current context, the directional bias is overwhelmingly clear. With Bitcoin consolidating just shy of its all-time high after a powerful uptrend, and with the fundamental backdrop being so strong, the path of least resistance is overwhelmingly to the upside. This technical setup creates a powerful psychological feedback loop. As more traders and algorithms spot the tightening bands, they begin to position themselves for the inevitable breakout. This builds a massive amount of potential energy within the market. When the price finally does break through the upper band, it can trigger a cascade of buy orders—from traders entering new long positions, to short-sellers being forced to buy back to cover their losing bets. This rush of buying pressure is what can turn a simple breakout into a parabolic, face-ripping rally. The anticipation surrounding this move has led to some audacious price targets being discussed. Analysts are now contemplating the possibility of a "false move" to as high as $105,000. The term "false move" in this context is intriguing. It could imply a rapid, almost wick-like surge to that level, driven by extreme speculation and leverage, which might then be followed by a sharp correction to shake out the "paper hands" before a more sustainable climb resumes. Alternatively, it could simply be a way of expressing disbelief at the sheer velocity of the potential move. Whether the target is $105,000 or another figure, the underlying message from the charts is unambiguous: Bitcoin is on the verge of a big move, and the technicals strongly suggest it will be a powerful breakout to the upside, potentially ushering in a new phase of price discovery. The Confluence of Catalysts: Tariffs, Politics, and The Musk Effect A primed technical setup is potent on its own, but when combined with powerful external catalysts, it creates the recipe for a perfect storm. Bitcoin's next potential move is not just being driven by its internal market dynamics; it is being pulled forward by a confluence of macroeconomic and political forces that are aligning in its favor. One of the most significant near-term catalysts is the looming US tariff deadline. Historically, periods of geopolitical tension and economic uncertainty have been incredibly bullish for Bitcoin. Tariffs, trade wars, and protectionist policies create instability in global markets and can erode the value and trust in fiat currencies. As nations engage in economic conflict, savvy investors and even central banks begin to look for non-sovereign, censorship-resistant stores of value to hedge their wealth. Bitcoin, with its decentralized nature and fixed supply, is the ultimate hedge against such fiat currency debasement and geopolitical turmoil. The impending tariff deadline is forcing a global conversation about the stability of the current financial system, and Bitcoin stands to be a primary beneficiary as capital seeks a safe haven from the storm. Adding fuel to this fire is the upcoming "Crypto Week," a period of heightened focus on the industry through conferences, major announcements, and media coverage. These events act as a gravitational force, pulling the attention of the financial world toward the digital asset space. This concentrated attention almost always leads to increased trading volume and volatility. It creates a self-fulfilling prophecy where the expectation of big news and market moves encourages traders to participate, thereby creating the very volatility they anticipated. Perhaps the most electrifying and unpredictable catalyst, however, is the re-emergence of Elon Musk's "love" for Bitcoin and the asset's dramatic entrance onto the main stage of American politics. Musk, with his colossal social media following, has a proven and unparalleled ability to influence market sentiment with a single post. His recent teasing of a "Pro-Bitcoin America Party" has sent shockwaves far beyond the crypto community. This move, whether serious or satirical, has injected Bitcoin directly into the heart of the US political discourse. It reframes Bitcoin not just as a financial asset, but as a political symbol—a representation of innovation, decentralization, and freedom from government control. This has been met with a reaction from other major political figures, including Donald Trump, creating a fascinating push-and-pull. The fact that leading presidential candidates and political influencers are now debating Bitcoin's merits and role in the nation's future is a monumental step in its journey toward mainstream legitimacy. It forces the public and policymakers to take it seriously. This political theater creates an environment where assets perceived as being aligned with pro-growth, pro-innovation, and pro-freedom ideologies can thrive. The emergence of a "BTC Bull Token" or similar concepts tied to this political momentum underscores the new reality: Bitcoin is no longer just a tech story; it is a powerful political and cultural movement, and this new dimension is likely to attract a wave of capital from those who align with its burgeoning ideology. The Institutional Stamp of Approval: A Corporate Treasury Revolution While retail excitement and political drama provide the fuel, the institutional adoption of Bitcoin provides the solid, unshakeable foundation for its long-term trajectory. The most powerful recent example of this trend is the announcement from Genius Group, a publicly traded education technology company, that it is increasing its Bitcoin treasury target to a staggering 10,000 BTC. This is not a speculative trade; it is a profound strategic shift in corporate treasury management. This decision signifies that corporate boards and CFOs are beginning to understand and act upon Bitcoin's value proposition as a superior treasury reserve asset. In an era of persistent inflation and low-to-negative real yields on traditional assets like government bonds, holding large amounts of cash on a balance sheet is a guaranteed way to lose purchasing power. By allocating a portion of its treasury to Bitcoin, Genius Group is taking a proactive step to protect its shareholders' value from the ravages of monetary debasement. It is a declaration of confidence in Bitcoin's long-term potential as a reliable store of value. The importance of such a move cannot be overstated. It provides a powerful stamp of approval and a case study for thousands of other corporations around the world. When one publicly traded company makes such a bold move and outlines its rationale, it normalizes the strategy. Other CFOs, who may have been hesitant, now have a blueprint to follow and a precedent to point to when presenting the idea to their own boards. This has the potential to unlock a veritable floodgate of corporate capital. Even a small, single-digit percentage allocation from the treasuries of the S&P 500 companies would represent hundreds of billions of dollars of new, sustained buying pressure for Bitcoin. The move by Genius Group is not an isolated event; it is the leading edge of a seismic shift in how the corporate world perceives and utilizes money. Conclusion: The Dawn of a New Epoch Bitcoin stands at a historic inflection point. The current period of quiet consolidation is deceptive; beneath the surface, a powerful confluence of forces is converging to launch the asset into its next major chapter. The market's internal structure has never been healthier, with the holdings of early whales being patiently absorbed by a new and committed class of buyers, building a formidable price floor far above previous highs. The technical charts are screaming of an imminent and powerful breakout, with the tightening Bollinger Bands signaling a massive release of energy that heavily favors the upside. Layered on top of this potent technical and structural setup is a perfect storm of external catalysts. The specter of global economic instability driven by tariffs, the focused attention of a "Crypto Week," the unparalleled influence of figures like Elon Musk, and the shocking but legitimizing entry of Bitcoin into the partisan political arena are all acting as powerful tailwinds. This is all underpinned by the quiet but revolutionary trend of institutional and corporate adoption, which promises to bring waves of new capital into the asset for years to come. The consolidation will soon end. The question is not about direction, but about magnitude. The forces at play are no longer just about market cycles; they are about a fundamental repricing of a global, non-sovereign asset in a world grappling with economic and political uncertainty. The stage is set for a breakout that could not only shatter previous all-time highs but could also permanently elevate Bitcoin's status, solidifying its role as a cornerstone of the 21st-century financial and political landscape.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by bryandowningqln
Bitcoin will drop from resistance level and fall to 103500 levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Bitcoin. Some days ago, price entered the pennant, where it turned around from the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level, and dropped to the 103500 support level. Then it bounced and tried to grow, but soon failed and dropped below the 103500 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone and reached the support line of the pennant. Following this movement, BTC experienced an upward impulse, breaking the 103,500 support level and subsequently exiting the pennant pattern, before rising to the resistance level. Price broke this level and then started to decline inside another pennant pattern. In this pattern, the price dropped top 103500 support level again and then tried to bounce back, but failed and continued to decline. In a short time, it fell to the support level, broke it, and then fell to the support line of the pennant. Next, BTC turned around and repeated an impulse up to the resistance line of the pennant and exited from this pattern. Then it rose to the seller zone, where it rebounded from it and fell, but recently it rebounded and started to grow. Now, I expect that price will reach the resistance level and then drop to the 103500 support level. For this case, this level is my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀 Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
THINKMARKETS:BTCUSDShort
by LegionQ8
13
Wyckoff Re-Accumulation (Phase 2) – BTC Market Structure AnalysiThis is an updated outlook on BTC’s current price structure based on Wyckoff methodology. 🔹 Structure Overview: BTC has broken out above its previous resistance and reached a new ATH. Based on current price action and volume behavior, I believe we are at the Sign of Strength (SOS) phase in a Wyckoff Re-Accumulation Phase 2. Key Wyckoff Labels in this structure: PSY – Preliminary Supply BC – Buying Climax AR – Automatic Rally ST – Secondary Test UT – Upthrust LPS – Last Point of Support SOS – Sign of Strength (For those unfamiliar with the terms, I suggest looking up the Wyckoff Method for detailed definitions.) The breakout is happening with volume support, and we’ll need to observe how sustained the demand is. 🔹 RSI Observation: In June, RSI pivoted at 64, and has now reached 73 Both price and RSI are printing higher highs Daily RSI has not yet reached overbought territory (80+) If RSI crosses above 80 and then rolls over, it could signal a bearish divergence → followed by a retracement 🔹 Possible Scenarios (3 Outcomes I’m Watching): 📈 Another Re-Accumulation Phase forms after this move 🧊 Market tops out at ATH and enters a Distribution Phase 🚀 A parabolic move (Blow-off Top) happens, followed by a sharp crash and Distribution 🔹 My Personal Trading Plan: As price enters the next phase, I’ll be watching closely for signs of PSY and BC (Preliminary Supply & Buying Climax). If bearish divergence aligns with these, it may indicate an upcoming retracement. Once BC forms, I expect an AR (Automatic Reaction) to follow I’ll look for short entries during the retracement A Trading Range could form between the BC (resistance) and AR (support) ⚠️ Be cautious of fakeouts, especially during breakout attempts at the range boundaries. 🔹 Price Projection (Fibonacci Extension – For Reference Only): Using Fibonacci Extension based on the following price coordinates: Point A: 49,577 Point B: 109,356 Point C: 74,434 🎯 Target Zones: 0.786 extension → 121,420 1.000 extension → 134,213 Again, these are not predictions — just reference points based on market structure. 🔹 Final Note: This analysis reflects my personal interpretation of the current market structure. Price action can change rapidly based on macro and technical factors. Patterns and phase transitions may take days or even weeks to fully develop. Feel free to share your thoughts, criticisms, or alternate views — I’m open to feedback from fellow traders. #Wyckoff #BTC #Bitcoin #CryptoTA #Reaccumulation #TradingPlan #TechnicalAnalysis #RSI #FibExtension #MarketStructure
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ColdSai
$BTC Will Hit Unimaginable Numbers :) Honestly not much to say the chart looks fantastic a lot of potential to the downside but from a Macro standpoint we could reach 150k in the coming months. Bitcoin will see extreme gains in the next 5 years. If you are not bullish I have news for you. you lost...... Short term I think we reach as far as 120k before a pull back. Only time will tell but these fib extensions do not lie. When you blow through the 1 fib ALWAYS AND I MEAN ALWAYS LOOK HIGHER. Obviously this is the monthly chart and will take year to play out. I do not expect much attention as I am a small trader but I will post occasional updates. In the mean time I will be buying large dips.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BigeMarket