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BTCUSD trade ideas

BITCOIN: The $110K Crossroads - Bull vs Bear Battleground! The Setup: "The Healthy Pullback Hypothesis 🔵 BLUE SUPPORT TRENDLINE (Rising from ~$76K) The Foundation: This ascending support has held multiple tests Current Status: Price dancing right on this crucial line Psychology: Bulls' last stand 🔴 RED RESISTANCE CHANNEL (Descending from $112K peak) The Ceiling: Two parallel resistance lines creating downward pressure Pattern: Classic bearish channel formation Volume Profile: Declining volume suggests exhaustion 🟡 YELLOW HORIZONTAL ZONES Key Level 1: ~$98K (Previous resistance turned support) Key Level 2: ~$112K (The rejection zone) 🟢 BULLISH SCENARIO (65% Probability) Setup: Breakout above red channel resistance (~$108K) 🚀 Rocket Ship: Explosive move to $120K+ 📉 Reality Check: Deeper correction to $95K-98K range Entry: $97K - 98K (confirmed breakout) Target 1: $104K Target 2: $110K Stop Loss: $95K ____________________________ ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes. Always manage risk and never risk more than you can afford to lose. Markets can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent! ⚠️
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by ONE1iMPACT
BITCOIN All boxes checked. Couldn't be more bullish than this!Bitcoin (BTCUSD) has filled numerous bullish conditions with the latest being holding the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support. This is basically the 3rd time testing and holding it since June 05. Even if that doesn't hold, we have the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) directly below it as the ultimate long-term Support. This trend-line just so happens to be exactly on the neckline of the Right Shoulder on the long-term Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern that has been in development since December 17 2024. On top of all these, the market also formed a 1D Golden Cross a month ago, always a strong long-term bullish signal. IH&S patterns typically target their 2.0 Fibonacci extension, which sits at $168000. Is that another indication that Bitcoin is going after 150k at least on its next run? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
1
BITCOIN, trend outlook for this summerWhile the fundamentals are still very complicated on the stock market at present, with the FED intransigent, trade war/diplomacy (deadline set for July 9 to reach trade agreements) and extreme geopolitical tensions, can the bitcoin price withstand all these challenges and continue its annual bull run over the summer? Let's take a look at a number of elements, including a major technical risk and two factors that are, on the contrary, favorable to a new record this summer. 1) Bitcoin's bullish cycle linked to the spring 2024 halving is still long Let's start with the cyclical aspect of bitcoin, the famous 4-year cycle built around the quadrennial halving. The last halving took place in April 2024, and if the cycle repetition works again, then the current cycle is due to end at the end of 2025. So there's still time for bitcoin to set a new record, even if it comes under short-term pressure - it still has 5 months to go. The first chart below summarizes the 4-year cycle by averaging the time and price of all previous cycles since 2009. Our current cycle is represented by the red curve, and in terms of probability, the end of the cycle is expected between October and December 2025. There's still time, and this is the first major piece of information in our article. 2) A bearish technical divergence in weekly data calls for great caution On the other hand, technical analysis of the bitcoin price in weekly data gives a warning signal with the presence of a bearish price/momentum divergence, market momentum being represented here by the RSI technical indicator. This bearish divergence resembles that at the end of the previous cycle in November 2021, but the comparison stops here. At that time, all end-of-cycle models were on alert, but this is not the case today. Nevertheless, we must be aware that this bearish divergence could be a pressure factor this summer. 3) Global liquidity as represented by the M2 monetary aggregate gives grounds for optimism about bitcoin's summer trend Global M2 deploys a strong positive correlation with the bitcoin price, and it takes an average of 12 weeks for this liquidity to act on BTC. This monetary aggregate measures the sum of the money supply (M2) of the major economies - USA, China, Eurozone - converted into US dollars. It includes sight deposits, savings accounts and certain short-term instruments, representing the gross liquidity immediately available in the global economy. This level of liquidity is directly influenced by monetary (key rates, QE/QT), fiscal and wage policies. The evolution of the US dollar plays a crucial role: a strong dollar mechanically reduces global M2 in USD, while a weak dollar increases it. In this respect, Chinese and US dynamics are often divergent, as they are driven by different credit logics (centralized planning on the Chinese side, rate-based adjustment on the US side). Since the beginning of April, Bitcoin has been on a marked uptrend. This progression, which we have followed step by step, raises an essential question: can this momentum be maintained this summer, despite the fundamental challenges of the moment? Such a hypothesis is plausible, provided that a key - and often underestimated - driver continues to act: the unprecedented increase in global liquidity, as measured by the M2 monetary aggregate. According to the latest available data, global M2 has set a new all-time record, and this is a factor supporting the BTC trend for the first part of the summer. DISCLAIMER: This content is intended for individuals who are familiar with financial markets and instruments and is for information purposes only. The presented idea (including market commentary, market data and observations) is not a work product of any research department of Swissquote or its affiliates. This material is intended to highlight market action and does not constitute investment, legal or tax advice. If you are a retail investor or lack experience in trading complex financial products, it is advisable to seek professional advice from licensed advisor before making any financial decisions. This content is not intended to manipulate the market or encourage any specific financial behavior. Swissquote makes no representation or warranty as to the quality, completeness, accuracy, comprehensiveness or non-infringement of such content. The views expressed are those of the consultant and are provided for educational purposes only. Any information provided relating to a product or market should not be construed as recommending an investment strategy or transaction. Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. 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BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Swissquote
BTCUSD: Israel-Iran conflict like October 2024.Despite the Middle East tension, Bitcoin remains long term bullish on its 1W technical outlook (RSI = 63.167, MACD = 6883.200, ADX = 33.150). It remains supported on its 1D MA50, in fact in the same manner it was during the previous Israel-Iran conflict. I was on October 26th 2024, when Israel launched three waves of strikes against 20 locations in Iran and other locations in Iraq, and Syria. Simila to the June 13th 2025 attacks. It is more than striking how similar the two price patterns are. Assisted by the U.S. elections on November 5th 2024, a massive rally followed the Middle East conflict. A repeat of that may very well send Bitcoin to $150,000 and above. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope
BITCOIN The secret trend-line that no one notices..Bitcoin (BTCUSD) was under heavy selling pressure yesterday and even the 1D time-frame turned marginally bearish. What most seem to ignore however is the larger picture. On the 1W time-frame, BTC has managed to close the last 5 weeks above the Pivot trend-line. What that trend-line is? It is the level that initially started as a Resistance from December 09 2024 to January 27 2025, closing all 1W candles below it, despite occasional candle wicks breaking above it. That confirmed it's status as a Resistance at the time. Now we see the opposite, five straight 1W candles closing above that Pivot line. Check in particular, how flat the last two 1W candles closed, showcasing no just the high volatility that the market is under in the past weeks, but also the same amount of sellers and buyers existing in the market (neutral). This is an indication that this is a consolidation phase, preparing BTC for the next rally. If we place the top Fibonacci level (1.0) on that Pivot, we get the 2.0 Fib extension just above the $145000 mark. That gels perfectly with various other studies we've conducted showing a similar long-term Target. So do you think the Pivot line will hold and push Bitcoin to $145k? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below! ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TradingShot
7
Cup and Handle Hello Traders 👋 — Hope you're having a strong start to the week! Let's dive into the BTCUSD Daily Chart 📈 — we’re looking at a Cup and Handle setup that's matured beautifully. 🔵 Price carved out a clean rounded base (cup), followed by a consolidation handle right below resistance. 🟠 The 200 SMA is holding as dynamic support. ⚡️ A confirmed break above 109K could launch price toward 130K+, with clear Fibonacci extension targets in sight. Key Zones: Handle Support: 100,472 Breakout Line: 109,360 Main Target: 130,867 Extended: 136K–144K Structure ✅ | Momentum Building ⚡ | Risk Managed 🎯 Stay sharp, stay patient. Structure first — breakout next.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by TradeChartPatternsLikeThePros
Final Shakeout Before BTC’s Last Leg Up?BTC Update Well due update here... Since my last forecast, price pushed higher without giving the pullback I was anticipating — instead sweeping liquidity above the prior ATH. After taking that BSL, price stalled and has since been ranging, showing clear signs of bearish momentum creeping in. We're seeing bearish orderflow on the LTF and daily, and volume is thinning out up at these highs — not ideal for bulls. USDT.D is also pushing higher and showing strength, which typically leans bearish for BTC in the short term. The structure on that chart is bullish and supports the idea of a BTC pullback being likely before any continuation higher. That said, I'm still pro-trend bullish overall — as I mentioned in April — thanks to the clean bullish shift from the range lows and clear signs of accumulation. We’ve got textbook last points of support (LPS) and unmitigated demand sitting below current price, which are prime candidates for a reversal. Right now I’m eyeing two key levels: Upper demand zone / LPS — lining up with the top of the prior accumulation range. This has strong confluence as a breakout-retest zone. Lower refined weekly/2W demand — valid if we see a deeper flush or capitulation leg, though less likely in the short term. My focus is on the first level. I’ll be watching for reactions and reversal signals if price taps into it. Same logic applies to USDT.D as it approaches nearby supply zones. Overall, I see this as a healthy correction — overdue after an extended leg — and expect BTC to push higher and break ATHs once demand is retested and confirmed. Zooming out: the 4-year cycle is approaching its final stages, with data suggesting a cycle top could form around Q3/Q4 2025 — likely between August and October, if past cycles rhyme. I’ll be monitoring major assets against that timeline and will look to scale out and risk-off when the confluences begin aligning with that macro cycle window. Just think... 1 last BTC leg up... Final altseason hype to drag in latecomers... Then the cycle ends — and the trap shuts as we re-enter bear territory. Charts: 1D: 3D: 1W: Extra: 1M:
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by marshyyy
1
BTC/USD BUY 22/06/2025🇺🇸 This trade setup offers a strong buying opportunity, supported by several technical confluences. We observe a retest of the lower boundary of a descending range within a broader bullish trend, reinforced by a bullish RSI divergence and the presence of a key support zone. The strategy is to wait for a potential retest of the range low before entering a long position around the \$100,000 to \$101,000 area, with a stop loss set at \$98,000 to manage risk. The target (TP) is set at \$110,000, aiming for a risk-to-reward ratio (RR) greater than 3, which makes this setup highly attractive in terms of risk management. From a fundamental perspective, this bullish bias is further supported by growing institutional interest and an uncertain macroeconomic environment, marked by inflation and geopolitical tensions. These factors continue to drive demand for alternative assets like Bitcoin as a store of value.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MaelJly
BTC/USD - The Bitcoin Cycle TopBTC has recently broken below a key uptrend line that had been guiding price for some time. I’m watching for a potential backtest of that broken trendline, a rather classic move that could set the stage for a final upwards squeeze, possibly printing a quick higher high to trap late longs. I’m watching the circled area closely as a potential exhaustion zone. Key levels and price action around the trendline will be critical, breaking of upwards trendlines after backtesting may mark the beginning of the larger unwind. We could see multiple backtests of the broken trendline over time, with the trendline now likely acting as resistance. Note: I’m publishing this idea simply to have a timestamped record. This post is my way of putting a clear marker in the sand. I’m not looking to debate or go deeper into the reasoning, and I generally won’t be responding to comments.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by eliasson89
1
BTC/USD 3H CHART PATTERNThe BTC/USD 3-hour chart shows a bullish reversal forming from a higher low structure along a rising trendline, indicating increasing buyer strength. Price action has broken above the Ichimoku cloud and is now testing resistance levels, suggesting bullish momentum. The chart also highlights confluence with dynamic support from the 250 and 370-period DEMA indicators, adding to the strength of the uptrend. A breakout above current resistance may lead to continuation toward the marked target zones. Overall sentiment favors a bullish move with clear upside potential if momentum sustains and no major rejection occurs from the resistance zones. Entry Point: 106,600 First Target: 110,360 Second Target: 112,000
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Trend_logic
33
Another Edge - Decision time | Buy? or Sell? share your opinionTitle: BTCUSD: At The Edge – Decision Time Looms Idea: Bitcoin is currently flirting with "The Edge"—a key decision zone near $98,000 where trend dynamics could shift sharply. After touching the lower boundary of a descending channel, BTC is testing support that could mark either a springboard for a bullish reversal or a trapdoor for further downside. If bulls reclaim territory above the descending resistance line and push toward $104,000, we may see a trend breakout and renewed upside momentum. Confirmation with volume would strengthen the case for a long position, targeting the $111,917 level. However, failure to hold "The Edge" could open the door to a swift move lower toward the $91,666 then $85,000 support zone, especially if accompanied by broader risk-off sentiment. Trade Plan: • Long above $100K with confirmation and strong volume; target $111,917. Stop below $97K. • Short on breakdown below $97K with bearish momentum; target $91,666. Stop above $100K. Watching: Volume spikes, macro news, and behavior around the channel boundaries. 🚀 Will Bitcoin bounce off the edge—or fall into the abyss? #MJTrading #BTC #Bitcoin #Buy #long #chart #signal #forex
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by MJElahifx
2
BTC Weekly Outlook - paving the wayBTC Weekly Outlook In this week's forecast, we're observing a structured plan grounded in historical monthly Bitcoin data and liquidity dynamics. With MH (Monthly High) and ML (Monthly Low) clearly marked, this scenario outlines a potential roadmap for price action through short-term liquidity movements and higher timeframe rebalancing. Phase 1: Retrace to 4H BPR and Weekend Liquidity (Green Path) The first part of the projection anticipates a minor upward move early in the week, ideally on Monday or Tuesday. This rally would target the 4H Bearish Price Range (BPR) and weekend liquidity, which are areas where price often moves to fill orders left unfilled during lower volume periods. The blue box around the BPR highlights a key short-term zone of interest. Inside it lies the OTE level and the midpoint of the prior range, both typically offering reactions as market participants attempt to position themselves at favorable prices before larger moves unfold. A move into this area would likely be followed by a rejection, setting up for a deeper move lower. Phase 2: Distribution and Breakdown Toward Monthly Statistical Targets (Orange to Green) After reacting to the 4H BPR area, the expectation is for a broader move down through the rest of the week. This would take price below ML (Monthly Low) and into deeper liquidity zones where historical data suggests higher probabilities of price interaction. Two key levels are marked based on monthly performance statistics: TP1 at the first 90 percent confidence level, where price could pause or consolidate. FULL TP deeper down, near a liquidity-rich area that aligns with a Weekly Imbalance (W IMB). This would be a logical place for larger participants to begin building longer-term positions. Phase 3: High Timeframe Discount and Reversal Once price reaches the imbalance, the projection expects a shift in momentum. This region represents a higher timeframe discount, where order books are more likely to begin filling for longer-term positions. From here, the green path resumes, suggesting a reversal and a sustained move upward. If this plays out, BTC would: -Complete a full liquidity sweep below ML -Accumulate at lower prices where there is room to fill larger buy orders -Begin a strong push upward, potentially leading toward new all-time highs This sequence is not only logical from a liquidity perspective but is also statistically supported by how BTC typically behaves around monthly lows and key imbalances. The forecast reflects a market that needs time and space to build positions before initiating the next major leg up.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PShort
by tristanmartinusdijkmanderojas1
2
Thief Trader Setup: Robbing the BTC/USD Market Reversal🏴‍☠️💰 Bitcoin Heist Blueprint: BTC/USD Robbery Plan by the Thief Trader Crew 💰🏴‍☠️ (Swing & Day Trade Outlook – Clean Entry, Clean Exit, No Fingerprints Left Behind) 🌟 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌟 To All Market Raiders & Silent Money Makers 🤑💸💰✈️ This isn't your average BTC/USD analysis — this is a strategic market heist, crafted from the Thief Trading Playbook. We're planning a clean operation based on both technical setups and fundamental awareness. Let’s enter smart, exit faster, and leave no trace — just profit. 🏆 🎯 THE GAME PLAN: Unlocking the BTC/USD Vault 📈 Entry – “The Vault’s Cracked Open!” The plan kicks off with retest entries on the 15 or 30-minute chart. Sell limits should be placed around recent highs or lows where market momentum pulls back. Precision and patience are your tools. 🛑 Stop Loss – Backup Escape Route Use the 1D swing high/low (e.g., 104.500) as your SL zone. Position size smartly, factoring in risk %, lot size, and number of active orders. 🏁 Target – 94.000 (Or Bail Out Before It Gets Hot) Don’t stick around too long — cash out near the zone or before if price slows or traps emerge. Secure the bag, vanish before resistance bites back. 🧲 Scalpers – Quick In, Quick Out! Stick to the short side only — short the bounces, trail your SL, and move with stealth. Big players can strike straight; others can shadow the swing crew and trail behind with protection. 🧠 Why This Works – Market Pulse BTC/USD is facing overbought pressure, consolidation traps, and is nearing a critical MA Zone where reversals tend to form. Momentum shows signs of weakening, and the bears are regrouping — that’s where we slip in and out. Supporting Factors Include: Macro trends Fundamental sentiment COT positioning On-Chain signals Intermarket flow Key psychological levels 🔍 All these build the narrative behind this bearish setup. This is more than just price action — it's a calculated move. ⚠️ Trading Risk Alert: Stay Off the Radar During News Drops 📰🚨 Avoid new entries during major news events — increased volatility = increased risk. Use trailing stop-losses to lock in profits while staying protected during spikes. ❤️ Like the Plan? Power the Crew! If this setup helped you see the market differently, hit the 💥Boost Button💥. Every like supports the effort and helps sharpen our future plans. Trade with style, move with purpose — Thief Trader Style. 🚀 Stay tuned for the next setup from the shadows. Until then — stay sharp, stay strategic, and always protect your profits. 🐱‍👤💰📉📈
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Thief_Trader
BTC/USD Rising Wedge Breakdown Ahead?Bitcoin shows signs of a potential bearish reversal as price forms a rising wedge beneath a key supply zone. After a recent drop, price is retesting the 106k area (green zone), possibly setting up for continuation to the downside. 🔹 Rising wedge pattern near resistance 🔹 Bearish retest at previous support turned resistance 🔹 Potential drop targets: 102,575 and 102,268 🔹 Break below wedge support could accelerate the fall
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Ttrade-With-Logic