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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin Santa Rally My view for year-end rally in Bitcoin is based on seasonal and global liquidity (GLI) My projection for the Treasury General Account (TGA) is an increase from $740B today to a peak of $880B on 12/17 (which will be negative for Bitcoin and assets) and then a decrease (positive liquidity) of $200+ Billion down to a low of $630B on 1/10. This will be the window to buy a dip IMO. These figures do not take into account any additional reduction from the debt ceiling being reinstated on 1/1... which could add additional liquidity not accounted for as it is an unknown. That said, the debt ceiling debate is less of a factor now that we had a red sweep in the elections and the republicans control the votes, thus unlikely to be much of a "debate"... Simple but my view.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Trainwreck
1
BTC USDT Update During Christmas Days```During the Christmas holidays, minor corrections occur due to low volume``` A major correction has already occurred from 108K, as predicted. Now, hopefully, one more correction will happen during the Christmas holidays. However, the trading volume during Christmas 🎄🎁 will likely be low. Gradually, BTC is expected to move upward 📈, breaking 108K, creating support at 105K, and then heading toward its next and final leg up to 123.5K, 143.5K, and 163.5K. After that, the bear market will hopefully begin, likely around March/April, with a maximum extension until May at the latest. I will update you before the market peaks, the bear market starts, or the time comes to exit the market based on my system.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Dr_WolfsDen
BTCUSD - Potential ScenariosTechnical Analysis Overview Key Patterns: The Cup and Handle pattern identified in the past has already been played out, signifying the completion of a bullish breakout phase. This historical pattern adds context to the long-term bullish sentiment and the continuation of the uptrend. We could potentially retest all-time highs before heading lower. Confluence Zone and Support Areas: Multi-confluence zone for a good loading zone (around $65,000 - $73,000): This is highlighted as a critical entry area for potential long trades. This zone combines: Historical resistance turned into support. Marked as a major psychological and technical support. This area could serve as a robust accumulation zone for long-term investors if Bitcoin retraces. If strong bullish price action fails to emerge at this key zone, the price could potentially move down toward the 40k level. Long-term targets: $150,000 - $165,000, indicating significant bullish potential. (we could reach this around mid 2025 if stay in a bullish market sentiment.) Volume Trends: Noticeable volume increases are observed near critical levels, supporting the significance of the multi-confluence zone. Higher volume during breakouts adds to the bullish case. Macro Factors (Inauguration of Trump - Jan 20, 2025): A speculative note suggests potential macroeconomic influence on crypto markets, such as regulatory clarity or adoption promises from political leadership. However, this remains an external factor, not directly affecting the technical framework. Bullish Scenario: Holding Above $65,000 - $73,000: If Bitcoin maintains support within this multi-confluence zone, it could serve as a launchpad for the next bullish leg. Breaking ATH's at $108,000: A clean breakout above this level would validate the Fibonacci extension targets of $150,000 and beyond, indicating a continued bullish rally. Bearish Scenario: Breakdown Below $40,000: A sustained breakdown below this psychological level would invalidate the current bullish structure, potentially leading to deeper corrections and prolonged consolidation. Conclusion: The chart presents a long-term bullish outlook, supported by historical patterns, strong technical confluence zones, and potential macroeconomic tailwinds. Traders and investors should watch the multi-confluence zone closely for signs of accumulation and monitor volume dynamics to confirm the trend continuation. Trading Advisory: Exercise caution and consider market conditions and your own risk tolerance when trading. It's advisable to conduct comprehensive research or consult with a financial advisor before engaging in trading activities. Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Do not rely too much on my time horizone on the chart.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by meitshels_smell_trades
BITCOIN Will Go Up! Long! Take a look at our analysis for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 17h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 95,774. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 103,155 level. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SignalProvider
1
ATCryptoScan: BTCUSD upside target in mid-Dec, what's next?Previously marked that BTCUSD would make a Mid-Dec 2024 top, at about 107K. Happened 17 Dec as previously marked! DONE and checked sweetly. This was folllowed by an a large bearish marubozu candlestick downwards which broke back into the decision box, indicating that it would go out the other side. And it did, just yesterday, but it rebounded within the day to end off back in the box with a dragonfly doj i like candlestick... this is a bullish indication. Thing is, technicals are bearish, including the modified VolDiv (dotted line, lower panel) which shows some weakening; and includes a MACD crossdown. Waiting to see if the supports are going to break. Am expecting it to break down... Previously downside target 75,000 But tendency for over estimates for downside in a bull run, so the new moderated downside target is 88,000 at the end of 2024. BTCUSD is looking for a nice bullishs start to 2025... Watch for it.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Auguraltrader
BTC/USD : First Short, Then LONG! (READ THE CAPTION)Analyzing the #Bitcoin chart in the 4-hour timeframe, we observe that the price is currently trading around $100K. If the price stabilizes below $100,380, we could expect further declines, with $97,800 as the first key level, followed by the potential start of the next bullish wave for Bitcoin. The second scenario involves a price surge above $101,500, which could increase demand and push the price to levels above $102,000. This analysis will be updated further. Weekly Time Frame Analysis : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
5
US Government Shutdown Averted: A Comprehensive Overview.US Government Shutdown Averted: A Comprehensive Overview Background The US government narrowly avoided a shutdown after a last-minute spending deal was passed just hours before the deadline. This agreement came after intense negotiations and a brief period of uncertainty that had federal employees and the public on edge. Key Events Leading to the Near Shutdown Initial Spending Deal: House Speaker Mike Johnson negotiated a bipartisan spending deal that included disaster relief funding and other provisions. However, this deal faced opposition from President-elect Donald Trump and tech billionaire Elon Musk. Trump's Opposition: Trump demanded that the deal include provisions to raise the debt ceiling, leading to the collapse of the initial agreement. Revised Deal: After intense negotiations, a revised spending bill was passed with bipartisan support, excluding the debt ceiling provisions. This bill funds the government through March 2025. Impact of the Near Shutdown Federal Employees: Thousands of federal employees faced uncertainty about their pay. Essential services were maintained, but non-essential functions were at risk of being halted. Economic Effects: Analysts projected that a prolonged shutdown could reduce GDP growth by 0.15 percentage points for each week of closure. However, the impact is expected to be temporary, with a potential boost in GDP growth once the government reopens. Market Reactions: The stock market experienced volatility during the near shutdown period, with investors closely monitoring developments in Washington. The resolution of the shutdown provided some relief to market participants. Future Outlook Debt Ceiling Debate: The issue of raising the debt ceiling remains unresolved and is expected to be a major point of contention in early 2025. Lawmakers will need to address this issue to avoid another potential shutdown. Political Dynamics: The near shutdown highlighted the divisions within the Republican Party and the influence of key figures like Trump and Musk. The upcoming administration will need to navigate these dynamics to ensure smooth governance. Economic Policies: The Federal Reserve's upcoming rate decision and other economic policies will be closely watched by traders and investors. The government's fiscal health and spending priorities will play a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. Latest Trading News for Traders Stocks Tesco's Share Price Current Price: £3.73 Analysis: Tesco's share price is trading around an 11-year high, but some analysts believe it is still undervalued by 41%. However, rising National Insurance contributions and potential cost of living increases pose risks to its earnings. Support Levels: £3.50, £3.20 Resistance Levels: £4.00, £4.50 Los Dos Amigos Closure The popular Mexican restaurant in Portsmouth announced its last day of trading due to a "broken business model" in today's climate. This highlights the ongoing challenges small businesses face in the current economic environment. Forex FXiBot Launch Avenix Fzco has launched FXiBot, a forex robot designed to enhance trading strategies through advanced data processing and systematic trading protocols. This innovation reflects the growing trend of automation in forex trading. Currency Movements USD/JPY: The USD/JPY has been on a six-day rally. Support Levels: 1.25, 1.23 Resistance Levels: 1.30, 1.32 EUR/USD: The EUR/USD has slid after the European Central Bank's rate cut. Support Levels: 1.05, 1.03 Resistance Levels: 1.10, 1.12 Cryptocurrencies Bitcoin (BTC) Current Price: $106,000 Analysis: Bitcoin has hit a new record high ahead of an expected Federal Reserve rate cut. Support Levels: $100,000, $95,000 Resistance Levels: $110,000, $115,000 Ethereum (ETH) Current Price: $3,900 Analysis: Ethereum prices have remained steady amid a broad crypto market pullback. Support Levels: $3,800, $3,600 Resistance Levels: $4,100, $4,300 Commodities Gold (XAU/USD) Current Price: $1,800 Analysis: Gold prices have been muted as traders brace for the Federal Reserve's rate decision. Support Levels: $1,750, $1,720 Resistance Levels: $1,850, $1,900 Oil Prices Oil prices have been volatile due to geopolitical tensions and supply chain disruptions. Support Levels: $70, $65 Resistance Levels: $75, $80 Indices Nasdaq Futures Current Price: 15,000 Analysis: Nasdaq futures have been flat after the tech-heavy index lost sight of record highs. Support Levels: 14,800, 14,500 Resistance Levels: 15,200, 15,500 Dow Jones Current Price: 34,000 Analysis: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has seen mixed performance, with some sectors outperforming while others lag behind. Support Levels: 33,800, 33,500 Resistance Levels: 34,200, 34,500 Upcoming Economic Events US Inflation Data: The US Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index is expected to be released on Friday, December 20th. This data is closely watched by traders as it influences the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions. Central Bank Rate Decisions: The Federal Reserve is scheduled to announce its rate decision on Wednesday, December 18th. The Bank of Japan and the Bank of England will also announce their decisions on Thursday, December 19th1. UK Inflation Data: The UK Consumer Price Index (CPI) is expected to be released on Wednesday, December 18th. This data can impact the GBP/USD exchange rate and other related assets..
FX:BTCUSD
by OakleyJM
BTC following suite with the rest of the market's yearly closeWeekly levels are still keeping the HL > HH narrative. Going into the year we want to see the nearest weekly lows tested $94K down to the imbalance high around GETTEX:89K , the lower the better here. I believe BTC following suite with the rest of the market is seeking levels for the yearly candle transition. During this process we will expect a strong low to be placed to support the rest of the yearly surge to come. A clear support zone in the imbalance below on daily chart with volume profile POC also resting in this fib retrace range. As we can see on VP the bullish liquidity is heavy in this range. Although this range is heavy bullish, I do expect a deeper sweeping of weekly lows before the next year's candle finds its stable low. Daily chart >>
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by HollywooodTrades
$Bitcoin other insightThe more I look at the charts the more positive I start to become. On the RSI index I see changes in effect on almost all charts in the higher time zones. Bottom hit and trend crosses. Have we now hit the bottom with MARKETSCOM:BITCOIN ? and completed a first wave, as it were? I live in the Netherlands and in the past 2 weeks we have only had rain and gray weather. I now look outside and see a clear blue sky with the sun in my face. Could this be a sign? Be kind to the world and each other!
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by RidgerR