Get started
BitcoinBitcoinBitcoin
#1#1#1

Bitcoin

No trades
See on Supercharts
Overview News
Ideas
Discussions Technicals Seasonals Markets

BTCUSD trade ideas

BITCOIN UPDATES The logarithmic is not a joke, I see a 10*3 rates on this prices. we might see 177k in the next 3-6 months, Number is pilling up since the halving and the banks are always buying. its a free trade for a long positions or just holding this coin. Power of 3 supposed to be 177k. and this idea is insane? bitcoin has this word "scarcity" . and most people are still denial on this idea. not a financial advice. THis is only my view. since last year. I Posted a logarithmic weekly. now I conclude to myself, this idea is working with the power of 3. Goodluck. we might see it the future of money is here already. ciao..
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by D1GITALTRADES
BITCOIN's Distribution, Greed and Dutch TulipsThe **Tulip Mania** of the 1630s was the original bubble—and it was as absurd as it was dramatic. Picture this: a single tulip bulb sold for the price of a luxurious Amsterdam townhouse. Traders flipped tulips like hotcakes, fortunes were made overnight, and the humble flower became a symbol of outrageous wealth and speculation. Then, in February 1637, the fever broke. Buyers disappeared faster than a Dutch winter thaw, and the market collapsed like a poorly built dike. Those who had mortgaged their futures for tulips were left with nothing but petals and regret. It was a dazzling rise and a catastrophic fall—a timeless lesson in the dangers of speculative greed! 🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉🌷📉 Why do I write about the Tulip Crash? These days, not many young Trader and Investors know about it. And why not learn from the past? Happy profits all.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Tr8dingN3rd
BTC BULLKey Observations: Uptrend Confirmation: Bitcoin has maintained a clear bullish structure, printing consecutive higher highs and higher lows since the start of 2023. The parabolic move from the $49,000 breakout has led to a sharp rally toward $106,869 (current level). Key Support and Resistance Levels: Support: $100,000 - Key psychological support $73,835: This is the previous major resistance that has now flipped into support. If BTC pulls back, this level will be critical for maintaining the bullish structure. Resistance: No significant overhead resistance exists as BTC is in price discovery. Key psychological levels like $120,000 and $130,000 could act as magnets for price. Volume: Volume has been increasing alongside the rally, confirming that this move has strong participation and is not purely speculative. Sustained volume at higher prices is a bullish sign that the breakout has conviction. RSI Analysis: The RSI is currently in the overbought territory (above 70), sitting near 80. Historically, in bull markets, weekly RSI staying elevated for an extended period is common, so overbought conditions don’t necessarily mean an immediate reversal. Moving Averages: 50-Week SMA: Trending sharply upward and currently around $73,000, reinforcing it as a key support level. 200-Week SMA: Sits far below around $49,000, marking the long-term bull/bear cycle boundary. Key Thoughts: Parabolic Move and Healthy Pullback: Bitcoin’s sharp rally suggests we are entering the euphoric stage of the bull market, where strong upward moves can happen in a short period. However, parabolic moves often lead to steep pullbacks for reaccumulation. A retest of the $73,835 support zone would be healthy and expected. 4-Year Cycle Alignment: This move aligns with the Bitcoin 4-year halving cycle. Historically, BTC experiences significant upward momentum in the year leading up to and after the halving. If the pattern holds, Bitcoin could target new highs over the next 6–12 months. Price Discovery Mode: With BTC breaking above all historical levels, there is no technical resistance to cap price movement. Psychological levels such as $120,000 and $150,000 could act as round-number resistance targets. Bitcoin remains firmly bullish on the weekly chart, with price discovery underway and no historical resistance. While short-term overbought conditions suggest caution, the macro uptrend remains intact as long as BTC holds above $73,835. Dips into key support zones should be viewed as buying opportunities. Long-term targets include $120,000–$150,000 if the 4-year cycle continues to play out.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by ScottMelker
1
Extrapolating previous cycle price action to predict the futureUsing the Indicator: 4-Year Cycles Cycle Analysis: Cycle 1 to Cycle 2 Changes: ATH increased from $1,160 to $19,676 (16.96x increase) Gain percentage dropped from 52,287.39% to 12,804.2% Loss percentage slightly improved from 86.9% to 83.11% Cycle 2 to Cycle 3 Changes: ATH increased from $19,676 to $68,979 (3.51x increase) Gain percentage dramatically dropped from 12,804.2% to 1,976.94% Loss percentage improved from 83.11% to 75.93% Projection for Cycle 4: Based on the observed pattern of diminishing returns and the logarithmic nature of Bitcoin's growth: Projected ATH: $242,000 to $275,000 (Calculated by applying the observed ATH increase factors) Projected Gain: Approximately 800-1200% (Continuing the trend of diminishing percentage gains) Projected Loss: Around 70-75% (Following the gradual improvement in loss mitigation) Each cycle shows a pattern of: Reduced percentage gains Slightly improved loss recovery Continued exponential growth in absolute ATH price ATH Calculation: Cycle 1 to Cycle 2 growth multiplier: $1,160 → $19,676 = 16.96x Cycle 2 to Cycle 3 growth multiplier: $19,676 → $68,979 = 3.51x Observed Growth Multiplier Trend: Cycle 1 to 2: 16.96x Cycle 2 to 3: 3.51x Projection Approach: Lower Bound Calculation: Previous ATH: $68,979 Multiplier: 3.51 (conservative) Lower target: $68,979 × 3.51 = $242,000 Upper Bound Calculation: Previous ATH: $68,979 Multiplier: 4.0 (slightly more optimistic) Upper target: $68,979 × 4.0 = $275,91 Gain Percentage Calculation: Cycle 1: 52,287.39% Cycle 2: 12,804.2% Cycle 3: 1,976.94% Observed Decline Pattern: Cycle 1 to 2: ~75% reduction in gain percentage Cycle 2 to 3: ~84% reduction in gain percentage Projected Gain Range: Lower bound: 600-800% Upper bound: 1000-1200% Loss Percentage Trend: Cycle 1: 86.9% Cycle 2: 83.11% Cycle 3: 75.93% Projected Loss: 70-75% (continuing the gradual improvement) Methodology Notes: Used geometric progression with decreasing multipliers Considered logarithmic growth pattern Accounted for diminishing returns observed in previous cycles Disclaimer: Ultimately, these projections are mathematical extrapolations based on historical data and should not be considered definitive predictions. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and unpredictable. This projection is based on historical patterns and should not be considered financial advice. Always conduct your own research and consult financial professionals before making investment decisions.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by jpkxyz
Bitcoin’s Journey to $108K?: Trends, Insights, and What’s Next"Crypto is like a rollercoaster: thrilling on the way up, terrifying on the way down, and you never really know when the ride ends." 1. Price Volatility: The CRYPTOCAP:BTC Rollercoaster Bitcoin ( CRYPTOCAP:BTC ) recently hit an all-time high of $108,000 before pulling back to $104,000. Analysts are split—is this a correction or a temporary pause before another leg up? Volatility is Bitcoin’s DNA. It’s what attracts both the thrill-seekers and the skeptics. 2. Institutional Interest Driving Supply Squeeze Big players are loading up. Institutions are buying at scale, tightening supply, and fueling price surges. Riot Platforms, among others, continues stacking Bitcoin, signaling growing confidence in $BTC. When institutions dive in, they’re not just buying coins—they’re buying the narrative of Bitcoin’s future. 3. Market Predictions: Wild Speculations The Bitcoin crystal ball is hazy. Forecasts range from $160,000 to $500,000 depending on market conditions and legislation. Others warn of a potential dip to $100,000-$102,000. Crypto predictions are like weather forecasts: everyone has one, and they’re rarely 100% right. 4. Criticism and Debate: The MicroStrategy Playbook MicroStrategy’s leveraged Bitcoin buys have critics, like Peter Schiff, raising alarms about sustainability. Bitcoin believers counter with long-term growth arguments. Love it or hate it, MicroStrategy’s strategy is bold. But bold doesn’t always mean bulletproof. 5. Whale Movements: Mt. Gox and Beyond Massive Bitcoin transfers by entities like Mt. Gox are happening, yet the market holds firm. This resilience showcases robust holding sentiment among whales. Whales are moving funds, but the waters remain calm. A sign of a maturing market? 6. The Bullish Sentiment on X X users are overwhelmingly bullish. Many cite institutional adoption, CME gaps, and The crypto crowd is optimistic, and with Bitcoin, optimism often leads the charge. 7. Is Bitcoin Still Worth the Hype? Bitcoin’s volatility is both its allure and its risk. Institutional interest, strong holding sentiment, and the halving provide reasons for optimism, but corrections are part of the game. The question isn’t whether Bitcoin will grow—it’s how wild the ride will be.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by DCAChampion
Building a massive short up to 55k We are seeing a similar pattern to the 2020-2021 bull run, but this time under different circumstances and with Bitcoin at a much higher price. Over the years, Bitcoin has significantly outperformed benchmarks like the S&P 500, which continues to attract both institutional and retail investors. Previously, we experienced a correction from $60K to $30K. Now, we’re observing a correction from approximately $100K to $50K. These are rough estimates, but the trend appears consistent. In my opinion, based on the past eight years of observing Bitcoin charts (though not daily), the market often feels manipulated. This is likely due to Bitcoin’s relatively smaller market cap compared to other asset classes like stocks, forex, or mega-cap stocks (e.g., FAANGM). Recently, we faced rejection from a falling wedge pattern on the ES, which is bearish. I had hoped that lower VIX levels would encourage portfolio managers to re-enter the market, but with the stock market holiday on Wednesday, the 25th, I anticipated heightened volatility and an additional correction of approximately 8-10%. I’m aware that hedge funds are engaging in “window dressing” as the year ends. Portfolio managers are likely to remain passive, avoiding risky trades that could jeopardize their year-end bonuses. As a result, we can expect a quieter market from their side. Along the way, we may see some “dead cat bounces,” but there’s no need to worry. I had hoped Bitcoin would maintain its upward trajectory, but putting emotions aside and analyzing objectively: VWAP is significantly below the current price. Fibonacci retracement suggests further downside. Awesome Oscillator (AO) and RSI indicate bearish momentum. Money flow is negative. A significant short wall has formed, and many positions have already been liquidated . Based on this, it seems likely that we’ll continue moving downward. I’ve included two additional charts in the comments below for further insights.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Risk_Adj_Return
4
bears in chargeCurrent Trend: The chart shows a recent downtrend, with the Bitcoin price falling from levels near $98,332 to around $95,000. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance 1: $98,332 - This level has acted as resistance, where the price has unsuccessfully attempted to break out on several occasions. Support 1: $97,729 - A support level where the price has bounced off. Support 2: $96,167 - Another critical support level, where the price has also shown bounce. Support 3: $95,002 - The lowest support visible on the chart, where the price has recently bounced off. Descending Triangle: The chart shows a sideways triangle pattern, which is generally a trend continuation pattern. Trading Strategy: Entry at Support: If the price touches the support at $95,002. and shows signs of bouncing (possibly confirmed by an increase in volume or a bullish candlestick pattern), it could be a good entry point for a long position. Breakout Entry: We expect the price to break the sideways triangle pattern to the downside, this could be a sell signal. An increase in volume at this point would reinforce the signal. Stop Loss: Place a stop loss just above the highest resistance level at 98.332 to limit losses in case of an upward breakout. Risk Management: Risk/Reward Ratio: Make sure the potential reward is greater than the risk taken. Confirmation: It is always advisable to wait for confirmation through other technical indicators or fundamental analysis before taking a position.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by JAG_Trader
PumpyDumpy - Crab It UpSay what you will, but I’m not impressed by the $100,000 level. It doesn’t feel like a milestone has been conquered, does it? The price action is way too narrow around this mark. If it’s going to turn into solid support, we need a convincing blast through that resistance—big green dilly, not this weak movement. I’m spotting a rising wedge pattern. Maybe it plays out, maybe we push to a new higher high. But ask yourself: do you really know where the sellers are lurking? And seriously, avoid leveraged positions. This is scam wick territory—one bad move and you’re rekt. Also, don't short sell. Shortselling is for idiots. Sell what you have, not what you don't.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by PumpyDumpy
1
BTCUSD 12/20/2024Performance Recap (Previous Analysis from 10/8/2023): • Entry: 27,948 • Targets Achieved: o 63k (+127.81%) o 96k (+244.56%) • High Reached: 108k ________________________________________ BTC/USD Daily Chart Analysis Technical Analysis (Current Scenario): Chart Patterns: • Cup and Handle Formation: o Confirmed breakout signals bullish continuation. o Long-term uptrend reinforced. Indicators: • Golden Cross: The 50-day EMA has crossed above the 200-day EMA, signaling a bullish trend. • MACD: Firmly in bullish territory, confirming positive momentum. • Hammer Candlestick: Closed at support (around 92K), indicating potential reversal and entry point. Support and Resistance Levels: • Support: o 92K (key level tested multiple times). o 50-day EMA (current level). • Resistance: o None until the 310k target based on the Cup and Handle projection. ________________________________________ Target Analysis: • Cup and Handle Target: o Measured distance from the cup's bottom to its neckline. o Projected Target: 310k. • Timeline: o Historical reference to 2013–2017 suggests a 6–8 month timeline with minor pullbacks for additional entry opportunities. ________________________________________ Trade Setup: • Entry: 97,703.80 • Stop-Loss: 69,092.64 (-29.28%) • Target 1: 310k (+217.29%, 7.42 RR ratio). • Target 2: Use a trailing stop based on the 20-day EMA if price exceeds 310k Summary: BTC/USD has surged from 27K to 108k since the last analysis, forming a textbook Cup and Handle pattern, which has now broken out, confirming a bullish reversal and signaling a continuation of the long-term uptrend. Key indicators, including a Golden Cross between the 50-day and 200-day EMAs and a bullish MACD, support this momentum. Currently, BTC is bouncing around the 92K support level and holding above the 50-day EMA, which also acts as a support. The appearance of a Hammer candlestick at this level further solidifies the bullish case and sets the stage for a new long position. The measured move for the Cup and Handle pattern projects a target of 310k. Drawing from historical price behavior, this uptrend could unfold over the next 6–8 months, with minor pullbacks offering additional entry opportunities. This setup presents a strong technical case for continued upside, with a clear structure, supportive indicators, and a high-probability target.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by rudcharts