BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin Makes Nice MovePrice action continues to look strong, with BTC holding above key support at $88,804 after breaking out from both descending resistance and the 200 MA. The structure is clearly bullish, and we’re seeing healthy follow-through after the breakout.
That said, I’m keeping an eye on potential bearish divergence forming on the RSI. While price is making higher highs, RSI has yet to confirm with a new high of its own. This doesn’t mean a reversal is imminent — divergences can resolve through consolidation or minor pullbacks — but it’s something to be cautious of in an otherwise strong trend.
Momentum remains on the bulls' side, but I’m staying measured here rather than euphoric.
Bitcoin and the 2013 - 2017 Fractal Update - Have we left it >?
For now, I am going to say YES but maybe not completely.
If we look at the shape of the Fractal and what BTC PA is currently doing, it could be said that we have just completed 2 ranges in one go..the little one that Took us below the fractal and the other one that is next up the Fractal line.
But it is the next 8 weeks that will define this fully and for now, so as to not get caught short, literally, I am looking to that Dashed Arrow that comes off the circle.
Noe, I drew that circle back in late Feb ( posted in March ) and PA has just entered it, as can be seen on this Daily version of the same chart ( but with candles and not a line)
The fact that we have even entered this area tells me that the dashed Arrow is the path PA will take as a route of least resistance and with a possible ATH in Dec of around 322K USD.
That ATH is on the line of resistance drawn from the 2017 ATH and has rejected every Cycle ATH since. ( The line shown on the chart irons out detail but be assured, that line passes throgh the 2021 Nov ATH )
The possibility does exist, thogh gettign slimer, that PA could climb back over the top of the Fractal, though the push to do that would take a LOT of investment... possibly to much now.
So, I will sit happy, looking forward to a 370K -> 322K ATH later in the year..
And it MUST be said, as I always say, Look on both sides. There is a possibility that PA could Drop back to the 80K - > 72K line though I feel this is highly unlikely but we are now entering a zone of strong resistance
Things may get Volatile Soon.
But I would just like to say "THANK YOU" to the 2013 -2017 Fractal. You have taken us on a ride since Nov 2021 and shown us how to do things properly.
And so now.........New Adventures and Horizons await........Onwards and upwards
BTCUSD INTRADAY sideways consolidationThe BTC/USD pair maintains a bullish overall sentiment, underpinned by a sustained upward trend. However, recent intraday price action suggests a phase of sideways consolidation, indicating a potential buildup before the next directional move.
Key Levels:
Support: 90,880 (primary), followed by 88,800 and 87,070
Resistance: 98,940, with extended targets at 101,030 and 101,100
A corrective dip toward the key support zone at 90,880 could offer a bullish rebound opportunity. A successful bounce from this level would reinforce the uptrend and pave the way for a test of the 98,940 resistance. A breakout above this level may open the door to further gains toward 101,030 and 101,100 over the longer term.
Conversely, a decisive break and daily close below 90,880 would invalidate the bullish setup, potentially triggering a deeper pullback toward the 88,800 and 87,070 support levels.
Conclusion:
While the broader trend remains bullish, BTC/USD is currently consolidating. Traders should watch the 90,880 support closely—its defence may confirm trend continuation, while a breakdown could signal a short-term bearish reversal.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
BTC/USD – 4H Technical Analysis | Short Position in PlayBitcoin has confirmed a breakdown from the ascending structure after failing to hold above the mid-range support near 95K. The rejection from the 96,124 resistance zone (highlighted in red) combined with a clean break of the diagonal support suggests bearish momentum is building.
🔻 Position:
We have entered a short at 94,850, following the rejection and loss of bullish structure.
🎯 Target 1 (TP1):
Our initial target lies around 92,000, which aligns with the lower blue demand zone — a key area where we expect price to react. This zone also coincides with prior consolidation and horizontal support.
🧠 Scenario Planning:
If BTC holds 92K and shows bullish reaction (e.g., bullish engulfing, volume spike), we’ll consider partial profit-taking and reassess for a possible bounce.
A clean breakdown of the 92K level could open the door for further downside toward the next major demand zone below ~88K.
📐 Technical Confluence:
Break of structure & ascending trendline
Strong supply rejection from 96K
Bearish momentum sustained with lower highs
🔁 Trade Plan:
✅ Follow trend confirmation; don’t enter blindly
📏 Always place stop-loss above invalidation zones
📊 Monitor price action and volume near 92K for clues
🧠 Don’t FOMO — patience over impulse
⚠️ Risk Management Reminder:
Trading is probability-based — manage your risk accordingly. Use proper position sizing, place stop-losses, and never risk more than 1–2% per trade. This analysis is not financial advice; always do your own research (DYOR).
Btcusd going down an up again forward up as it will be after theBtcusd going just a bit down as a little retraction before going up again beating it's own record,
Just keep Ur own savings and investment safe
And dyor - do your own research
For myself keeping in a Elliot waving if market doesn't spikes
Just keep Ur investments safest and do Ur o n research always, and don't go for anyone else and not myself as well
This is only an idea
Keep it safe
"BTCUSD | FVG + Order Block Alignment | High Probability Play"⚡ BTCUSD Analysis - 1H Timeframe | April 28, 2025
📊 Price Action Breakdown:
BTC printed a textbook liquidity sweep earlier today, tapping into the Discount Zone perfectly.
Now, the market is pushing up into a high-probability reaction zone where Fair Value Gap overlaps with an Order Block.
🔥 Confluences:
Fair Value Gap (FVG) = Imbalance zone needing filling.
Order Block = Institutional demand/supply where Smart Money left a footprint.
Fibonacci 79% retracement = Sweet retracement level for low-risk entries.
🧠 Why It's Exciting:
The more confluences, the more Smart Money interest.
Price is currently kissing the edge of the FVG, teasing a deeper tap into the OB. This overlap stacks probability heavily for a reaction — either a quick scalp rejection or a full-on move downward.
🎯 Potential Play:
Entry: Inside the FVG or deep into the Order Block for premium entries.
Stop Loss: Just above the Strong High (~94,629) to avoid wicks.
Targets:
Partial at 50% retracement for safer players 🛡️
Full send toward Weak Low zone (~92,839) for maximum RRR hunters 🏹
💬 Pro Tip:
"Always let price show its hand first. Don’t assume, confirm."
🚀 Summary:
✅ Liquidity swept
✅ FVG + OB stacked
✅ 79% Fib lining up
✅ Smart Money trap possibly setting
🧘♂️ Play it with patience. The sniper eats last... but he eats the most.
✍️ Save this chart, tag your trading buddy, and prepare to strike when the premium entry triggers!
➡️ Comment "SETUP LOADING" if you’re stalking this with me!
➡️ Share this with someone who’s tired of guessing entries.
April 30 Bitcoin Bybit chart analysisHello
It's a Bitcoinguide.
If you have a "follower"
You can receive comment notifications on real-time travel routes and major sections.
If my analysis is helpful,
Please would like one booster button at the bottom.
Here is the Bitcoin 30-minute chart.
There will be two Nasdaq indicator announcements at 9:30 and 11:00.
On the lower left, I marked the long position entry section that I entered on the 25th and 29th,
and created today's strategy based on the Nasdaq movement.
*Red finger movement path
Long position strategy
1. 94,698.2 dollar long position entry section / cut-off price when the green support line is broken
2. 95,784 dollar long position 1st target -> Good 2nd target
The 1st and 2nd sections at the top are sideways.
After the 1st touch, in the rising wave, if you enter a 94.6K long position,
the probability of the strategy succeeding increases.
If it comes down right away without touching the 1st section,
The final long position is waiting in the 2nd section, and the stop loss price is the same when the green support line is broken.
When the top section is touched, the long position re-entry utilization section and
I left a simulation with a pink finger on the upper right.
The bottom touch is a downward sideways movement
The 3rd section is the 6+12 support line where the mid-term pattern is restored.
Also, tomorrow is Labor Day,
So all countries around the world, including the US, are closed.
I also have work to do, so I will take a day off tomorrow.
I intentionally left the analysis article on the right until May 2nd.
Up to this point, please just refer to and use my analysis article,
And I hope you operate safely with the principle trading and stop loss price.
Thank you.
BITCOIN | 30M | IMPORTANT SUPPORT ZONE Hello, my friends,
Yesterday, I shared a Bitcoin analysis and stated that my target level is 97,300.
At the moment, we are within the blue support zone I highlighted in my analysis yesterday. Although this is not a very strong support zone, I am expecting an upward movement from here. However, the most critical support level lies between 92,000 and 91,000.
As I mentioned yesterday, as long as the price does not drop below the 92,000 - 91,000 levels, my target remains at 97,300.
Please don't forget to like.
Thank you to everyone who supports with likes.
In - depth Analysis of BTC: Can the 97,000 Target be Achieved?96000: This is the resistance level near the upper trend - line of the current ascending wedge. The price has tested this area several times but failed to break through effectively, indicating strong selling pressure at this level 💥.
⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@92000 - 93000
🚀 TP 95000 - 96000 - 97000
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
Bitcoin at a Crossroads: Breakout Imminent, Orders in PlaceBitcoin continues to consolidate between 93,500 and 95,900.
Typically, the longer an asset consolidates, the stronger the breakout that follows.
There are two possible outcomes , and I won’t even try to guess which one will play out—but I do have a feeling that the odds slightly favor an upward move . To be clear, this isn’t analysis, nor is it based on chart patterns or some kind of insight—just my personal opinion. And I’m not going to trade based on that intuition. Why? Because I’d rather miss the very beginning of a move and enter with more confidence and lower risk.
📝 Trading plan:
1. Go long on a breakout above 96,000 with a target of 109,000.
2. Go short on a breakdown below 92,900 with a target of 74,500.
This sideways structure will inevitably end in a strong move. My orders are set—I’m ready.
BITCOIN Monthly Candle close patterns since 2011 - APRIL CLOSE
Again, we got the expected Monthly Close, This time GREEN
April is traditionally a Strong Green Month, now with 9 Green Closes to 5 RED - Nearly twice as many Green to Red.
MAY is a different story, Nearly 50 / 50 previous closes with GREEN having an advantage of 1.
BUT, With April closing Green after the previous months closes, things do look positive.
On only 2 occasions have we had a GREEN JAN, RED FEB, RED MARCH, GREEN APRIL
And Both of them were on the way to ATH. ( Arrows )
On both those occasions we had a GREEN MAY, though the gains weer minimal and one was followed by a Green June and the other by a Red June.
We have had 4 occasions with a MARCH RED, APRIL GREEN, MAY GREEN
Of the previous 9 GREEN April Closes, 5 were followed by a Green June
And of those 5, 2 were followed by consecutive Green candles closes for the following Months.
Though in 2020 sequence ( 2nd Arrow) after a GREEN May close, you can see the candles were not big and we had Red Green Green Red for 4 months then went Green consecutively.
Of the previous 7 Green MAY candles, 4 were Bigger than the previous month candle.
I am more inclined to look at the 2020 sequence in this for now and yet, at the same time, as posted in another chart, I am also still looking at the lead up to the 2017 ATH and for this to continue, we need a Bigger GREEN MAY close this month.
There is a very strong line of resistance just over head.
Currently, at time of writing, The opening MAY candle is GREEN but only just
This month is CRUCIAL
Bitcoin vs goldBitcoin priced in ounces of gold shows a clear uptrend on the long term.
Following previous cycle movement for a similar Fibonacci levels, would take us this cycle to around a 100 ounces of gold per bitcoin, which at current USD prices would be around 350.000 usd per bitcoin.
Remember, fiat money is debt. Bitcoin and gold are hard and real money. Don't fall into the unit of account trap that the USD is.
Cheers.
XAUUSD Buy Setup - Scalping 5MThis chart showcases a technical analysis of the BTC/USDT pair using a custom-built indicator. The indicator combines the ATR (Average True Range) method to measure volatility and SSL (Safe Stop Loss) signals to identify key trends.
Critical support and resistance levels have been highlighted to assist traders in making decisions. Additionally, significant candlestick patterns such as bullish engulfing and bearish pin bars are identified as extra confirmations of price movements.
This indicator is designed to enhance accuracy in reading market conditions, making it suitable for both short-term and mid-term trading strategies.
PriceTime Concept in Fractal AnalysisI continue to receive numerous questions about recommended reading, which has left me no other option than pay my debt to the society by elaborating a little more on the unconventional analysis I frequently perform using Fibonacci Channels. Alongside with theoretical insights I'll provide my key inspirations.
The Misbehavior of Markets - Mechanics of Chaos
Benoit Mandelbrot, one of the most extraordinary minds of the 20th century, launched a full rebellion against traditional finance in his book, “The Misbehavior of Markets”. In it, he introduced his groundbreaking “10 Heresies”, a direct challenge to the core assumptions and principles underpinning mainstream financial theories. Mandelbrot’s insights expose how conventional models fail to account for the complexity, unpredictability, and turbulence that define real-world markets.
10 Heresies:
Markets Are Wild, Not Tame
Traditional View: Markets follow predictable, Gaussian-based models with mild fluctuations.
Mandelbrot’s View: Markets exhibit “wild randomness” with extreme, sudden changes that far exceed the predictions of Gaussian distributions.
Heresy: Risk management and pricing models underestimate the likelihood of extreme events.
Financial Variance Is Infinite
Traditional View: Variance (a measure of risk) is finite and calculable using standard tools.
Mandelbrot’s View: In fractal finance, price movements can have infinite variance due to heavy tails in the distribution of returns.
Heresy: Risk cannot be fully measured or predicted using current methods.
Markets Have Memory
Traditional View: Markets are “memoryless,” meaning past price movements do not influence future ones (random walk hypothesis).
Mandelbrot’s View: Markets exhibit long-term memory and dependence, where past trends and events affect current behavior.
Heresy: Independence of price changes is a myth.
Markets Are Multifractal
Traditional View: Price movements are linear and follow simple Brownian motion.
Mandelbrot’s View: Markets are multifractal, with different scaling behaviors across timeframes, and cannot be reduced to linear equations.
Heresy: Linear models cannot capture market complexity.
Time in Markets Is Variable
Traditional View: Time in markets flows at a constant rate, making it possible to analyze data at fixed intervals.
Mandelbrot’s View: Market time is irregular and subjective, accelerating during high activity (volatility clusters) and slowing during calm periods.
Heresy: Time is not constant in financial analysis.
Prices Do Not Follow Random Walks
Traditional View: Prices move randomly and independently, forming a normal distribution.
Mandelbrot’s View: Prices are influenced by patterns, memory, and clustering, resulting in heavy-tailed distributions.
Heresy: Random walk theory oversimplifies market dynamics.
Markets Are Non-Efficient
Traditional View: The Efficient Market Hypothesis (EMH) suggests that all available information is reflected in prices, leaving no room for inefficiencies.
Mandelbrot’s View: Markets are often irrational and exhibit inefficiencies driven by emotions, memory, and fractal structures.
Heresy: Perfect market efficiency is an illusion.
Risk Is Not Symmetrical
Traditional View: Risk is modeled symmetrically, assuming equal likelihood of positive and negative deviations.
Mandelbrot’s View: Downside risks are more extreme and frequent, leading to asymmetry in market behavior.
Heresy: Risk models that assume symmetry are dangerously flawed.
Models Need to Embrace Chaos
Traditional View: Financial models aim for order and predictability, relying on simplified assumptions.
Mandelbrot’s View: Markets are chaotic and unpredictable but exhibit fractal structures that can provide insights.
Heresy: Chaos should be embraced, not ignored, in modeling markets.
Forecasting Is Fundamentally Limited
Traditional View: With enough data and sophisticated models, market behavior can be forecasted with high accuracy.
Mandelbrot’s View: Forecasting is inherently uncertain due to the wild randomness and complex nature of markets.
Heresy: Precise prediction of market movements is a fool’s errand.
Mandelbrot's ideas answered why markets behave the way they do, rather than relying on surface-level analysis. It was definitely more convincing than any traditional TA material that had not much information on cause-effect mechanisms that reveal the deeper structural relationship within price movements.
Fortunately, long before becoming acquainted with Mandelbrot’s take on markets, I had already developed my own perspective, thanks to the experiments I conducted right here on TradingView years back. My work perfectly aligned with his vision that acknowledges complexity, extreme events, irregularities and the interconnectedness of historic data.
Concept of Relativity
I got another inspiration from reading a story about the most pivotal breakthroughs in Albert Einstein’s intellectual journey, leading directly to his formulation of the theory of relativity that later on forever changed the world. His thought experiment revealed the strange and counterintuitive nature of time when viewed from different frames of reference.
As Einstein imagined himself racing alongside a beam of light, he realized that from his perspective on the bus, as it was moving away from clocktower, the clock would appear frozen because the light carrying the image of the clock’s moving hands would no longer reach him. This insight, combined with his deep understanding of the constancy of the speed of light, led him to question the absolute nature of time and space.
The culmination of this “storm” in his mind was the realization that time is not universal; it is relative to the observer’s motion. This revolutionary idea, published in his 1905 paper on special relativity, fundamentally changed our understanding of the universe, introducing concepts like time dilation and the interdependence of time and space—a unified spacetime .
Einstein’s ability to visualize such extraordinary scenarios highlights the power of thought experiments in scientific discovery. It was not only the mathematics but also his imagination that allowed him to redefine our understanding of reality.
PriceTime Model via Fibonacci Channels
After being able to visualize and somehow digest the complexity behind mathematical model of relativity, I returned to Mandelbrot's book to read more about his stance on time itself.
"Price is a function of trading time, which in turn is a function of clock time" - B. Mandelbrot
I mean who am I to disagree with a professor... Moreover, it really begins to look like Price and Time are connected similarly to the concept of SpaceTime.
Given that the psychology of the masses is inherently sensitive to the golden ratio, I was inspired to create a unified graphical framework that interconnects price dynamics, enabling navigation through the complexities of ever-evolving financial markets. By directly measuring trend angles within significant cycles, I realized that the chart’s complexity could essentially simulate itself. I incorporate psychological levels (via Fibonacci ratios) into my analysis, acknowledging how emotions shape market behavior. By embedding these emotional drivers into fractal structures, I align with Mandelbrot’s understanding of the market as a blend of human psychology and mathematical order.
This led to the discovery that Fibonacci ratios influence not only the price axis but also the time axis, unveiling a deeper fractal harmony in market behavior. The way mass (or energy) curves the spacetime fabric to explain the behavior of objects in physics is strikingly similar to how historic price movements (a manifestation of energy) shape the pricetime fabric, revealing the fractal cyclicality inherent in financial markets.
My work builds on Mandelbrot’s groundbreaking theories by turning his insights into practical tools. By combining his principles of self-similarity, chaos, and complexity with innovations like Fibonacci-based fractal mapping and trend directionality, I offer a fresh perspective on market behavior. This approach personally helps me to navigate the complexity of financial markets, staying true to Mandelbrot’s legacy while pushing the boundaries of fractal analysis.
My motivation for staying on TradingView and analyzing charts transcended being money-driven. I could no longer see markets the same way. I broke free from the rat race and devoted my life to studying charts as a reflection of reality, aiming to uncover the intrinsic rhythm that truly drives price fluctuations.
That realization inspired me to prioritize structure-based prediction over blind forecasts driven by subjective narratives, which are often flawed at their core. Sadly, great minds like Benoit Mandelbrot are no longer with us, but it is our responsibility as TradingView users to carry forward their work, treating it as our own mission to honor their legacy.
The bottom line is that we should not confine ourselves to the literature of Technical or Fundamental Analysis alone. Instead, we must draw insights from any field, using diverse methods and approaches, to develop a robust probabilistic framework for anticipating future price movements.