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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTC/USD 1D Chart ReviewHello everyone, let's look at the 1D BTC to USD chart, in this situation we can see how the price is moving in the designated downward channel, in which the price started to grow again. What's more, we can see consolidations on the EMA Cross indicator and here it is worth watching the movement of the red line to see if it will again go up from the green line, which would confirm the return of the uptrend. Let's start by defining the goals for the near future that the price must face: T1 = 85808 USD T2 = 88093 USD Т3 = 91127 USD Т4 = 95106 USD Now let's move on to the stop-loss in case the market continues to fall: SL1 = 82854 USD SL2 = 79859 USD SL3 = 75171 USD If we look at the MACD indicator, we can see how it indicates an uptrend, but we still have to wait for a return to a strong main uptrend. The RSI shows rebounds near the middle of the range, which we are approaching again, and it is worth paying attention to how the price will behave now.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Venus Cazimi : BTC (historical dates)🖤 Venus governs currency, resources, desire, art, and collective values. During Cazimi Venus is “in the throne room” of the Sun 🖤 Venus Cazimi acts like a cosmic software update—the perfect time to embed intentions into the collective astral matrix. In darker practices, they may deliberately invert Venus’s frequencies. 🖤 Financial systems often see synchronistic pivots near Venus Cazimi windows due to occult knowledge of Venus’s rulership over material and sensual realms.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by EsotericTrading
BITCOIN ...Probably pathMostly,,Till next week it should stay 96 and 76k....till 28 mar...(sell outside this call options above 96k for 28 mar)..stop is 96 k....Also please note I have marked movement for april first week.and 2nd week..once the box level of 96 and 76 k breaks...it will go to the tgts marked on the chart...up as well as down..Most probably it will go Max to 96k and come down....anyway thats later ..but first thing first ..sell any calls above 110 k to be safe mar 28 ..
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by JUDEBOY
Bitcoin’s Biggest Shockwave Yet: The Road to $500K?Bitcoin is no longer just an asset—it’s becoming the backbone of the future financial system. While many are focused on short-term price swings, a massive supply crisis is brewing that could send BTC to unimaginable heights. 90% of Bitcoin’s total supply is already mined, and institutions are accumulating at record speeds. There simply won’t be enough BTC left for retail investors once demand explodes. 🔹 A global banking shakeup is coming—as inflation weakens fiat currencies, sovereign nations could start adding Bitcoin to their reserves, pushing its value into six-figure territory. 🔹 The next bull run won’t just be hype-driven—this time, AI and blockchain innovations will fuel real-world adoption, making Bitcoin the digital gold of the AI economy. With these forces in play, Bitcoin isn’t just heading for $100K—it could break $500K by 2028, creating the biggest wealth shift in history.
CRYPTOCOM:BTCUSD
by IPatrice
BTC longerBitcoin just made a jaw-dropping 100% move up in just three months, to double in price as markets react to a surprise executive order signed by Trump to back the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve (SBR). The order caught no one off guard, positioning BTC as a national asset alongside traditional reserves. Traders to pile in, institutions already in, and momentum hasn’t slowed. Whether it’s a new era or a speculative spike, the charts speak for themselves—Bitcoin is booming.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by juicy642
Bitcoin (BTCUSD) Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Setup! 📌 Overview of the Chart Setup This daily Bitcoin (BTC/USD) chart presents a technical breakout from a falling wedge pattern, a well-known bullish reversal signal. The price has been forming lower highs and lower lows over the past months, consolidating within a tightening structure. However, the current price action suggests an early breakout attempt, which could lead to significant upside movement in the coming weeks. Let’s break down the key levels, technical insights, and trading opportunities visible in this chart. 📉 Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal) 🔹 What is a Falling Wedge? A falling wedge is a bullish continuation or reversal pattern characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines. It typically signals a loss of bearish momentum, leading to a breakout to the upside. 🔹 Key Observations in the Chart The price has been moving inside the falling wedge structure, with clear lower highs and lower lows. The support level around $75,000-$80,000 has been repeatedly tested, forming a strong demand zone. A trendline breakout has occurred, suggesting that bulls are regaining control over the price action. Volume is expected to increase upon a confirmed breakout, reinforcing the bullish momentum. 📊 Important Technical Levels 1️⃣ Support & Resistance Zones 📌 Support Level: The $75,000-$80,000 zone has acted as a strong base, preventing further downside. Buyers have stepped in multiple times here. 📌 Resistance Level: The $95,000-$100,000 range represents a historical resistance where price has struggled to break through. 2️⃣ Trendline Breakout The chart clearly shows a breakout above the falling wedge’s upper boundary, indicating a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. If this breakout holds, Bitcoin could see strong buying pressure pushing it toward its next major resistance level. 📈 Trading Strategy & Setup 🔹 Entry Confirmation To enter a long position, traders should wait for: ✅ A daily close above the wedge resistance (confirmed breakout). ✅ A successful retest of the breakout zone, which strengthens the bullish case. A breakout retest is ideal because it provides a lower-risk entry point, ensuring the breakout is legitimate rather than a false move. 🔹 Target Price Projection Using the height of the falling wedge as a projection, the potential price target is set at $118,000. This level aligns with a 35%+ upside from the breakout zone. Bitcoin must clear the $95,000-$100,000 resistance before reaching the final target. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement A stop loss is positioned at $59,896, slightly below the previous major support zone. This ensures that if the breakout fails, losses are minimized while still allowing price fluctuations within expected volatility. 🔹 Risk-to-Reward Ratio Entry around breakout level (~$87,000) Target: $118,000 (35% upside) Stop Loss: $59,896 (~30% downside) Risk-to-reward ratio: ~1:3, making this an attractive trade setup. 📢 Market Psychology & Sentiment Why This Pattern Matters? A falling wedge represents seller exhaustion. Over time, the bearish pressure weakens, leading to a bullish breakout. If Bitcoin can maintain this breakout, momentum traders and institutional investors may step in, accelerating the rally. Breaking above the resistance at $95K-$100K would confirm bullish dominance, potentially leading to new all-time highs. Potential Risks ❌ Fake Breakout: If Bitcoin fails to hold above the wedge resistance, we may see a pullback to support before another breakout attempt. ❌ Macro Factors: External factors like regulatory news, interest rate decisions, and market-wide sentiment could impact price action. ❌ Bitcoin Dominance: If altcoins start rallying, some capital may rotate out of Bitcoin, slowing the upside move. 🚀 Final Thoughts: A High-Probability Bullish Setup ✅ The falling wedge breakout suggests a strong bullish shift, with a 35%+ potential upside. ✅ A confirmed breakout above $95K-$100K will act as a final confirmation before the next leg up. ✅ Risk is managed with a stop loss at $59,896, ensuring downside protection. 🔹 Best trading approach? Wait for confirmation, manage risk, and let the trend develop. Would you like additional insights on entry techniques, volume confirmation, or potential invalidation points? 😊
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by GoldMasterTrades
#202512 - priceactiontds - weekly update - bitcoinGood Day and I hope you are well. comment: Bulls are still too weak to close strongly above 84k but they kept the market above 80k. Another neutral week which is good for the bears. We are getting close to the big bear trend line, where I expect market to create another strong bear leg down to 75k or lower. Plan did not change for the past 2 weeks. Above 87k we could test 90k and maybe higher, which would damage the bear case big time. Below 80k we likely do the next leg to 75k or even 70k. Clean bear flag but remember, they can also break to the upside. I just don’t think it’s likely given the current structure. current market cycle: bear trend key levels: 70k - 94k bull case: Bulls need anything above 90k/91k to break above the bear trend line but giving this some room, even 94k could still not be enough for them to stop this bear trend. They are doing good at keeping the market above 80k and if they prevent the bears from testing the previous ath at 73.8k, that would be the third try and likely the last before many bears give up and bulls could test higher again. Did not change much to last week since market has not invalidated anything of it. Invalidation is below 70k. bear case: Bears need to close the bull gap down to 73800, no ifs or buts. If they do not create better selling pressure next week and close a daily bar below 80k, market has likely turned more neutral again and both sides have equal odds of the next impulse. Invalidation is above 94k. short term: Neutral. Need strong selling momentum again for me to join this. medium-long term - Update from 2025-02-23: 75000 is still my biggest target for 2025. It’s happening. 70k/75k and then I expect a bigger bounce first. Then we will see if we can go lower or not. For now it’s very low probability that the big bull trend line from 2023-10 breaks anytime soon. current swing trade: None chart update: Nothing
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by priceactiontds
BITCOIN When unsure, look at the bigger pictureSimple, yet highly informative especially in times of high uncertainty like the current one. Bitcoin / BTCUSD has a Full Cycle of 4 years. 1 year of Bear and 3 years of Bull. Right now we have entered the final year of the 3 year Bull Cycle, so we have a few more months left until the end of the year. Come October, we can start considering a top for BTC. Until then.. Buy the dip. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by TheCryptagon
3
$BTCUSDT: Fictitious Fractal 136KSo. I see we are having a relatively difficult time. My expectations are in this range for the next appx. 125 days - 365 days. Downside: 68.6k-69.9k Topside: 100k to 136k (round to 150k) I drew this fractal by hand and I want to watch it closely. I expect in the next few weeks we hit 100k and then do a nice rug to 69k range. This is probably wrong. I pretty much extrapolated the red brush circle into a weeks long fractal. I am longing all the dips to 68k. Enjoy. Mr. Storm.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by LvNThL
7
Why the Bitcoin Pi Cycle Indicator will not trigger this cycleIn this post, we’ll take a closer look at the Pi Cycle Indicator and explain why we believe it is unlikely to trigger in this cycle. Instead, we present an alternative signal that may better indicate the true Bitcoin top. Understanding the Pi Cycle Indicator The Pi Cycle Indicator has historically been highly accurate in predicting Bitcoin cycle tops. It consists of two simple moving averages: The 111-day simple moving average (SMA) (blue) The 350-day simple moving average (SMA) multiplied by two (green) A signal is generated when the 111-day SMA crosses above the multiplied 350-day SMA, which is marked by a red vertical line. Why This Signal Alone Isn’t Enough While this signal has been useful in the past, we believe it doesn't provide the full picture—specifically, it doesn’t indicate how strong the crossover is. By transforming this indicator into an oscillator that measures the ratio between these two moving averages, we gain a more nuanced perspective: In the chart, the green line represents the ratio between the two moving averages. When it crosses above the red horizontal line (ratio > 1), a Pi Cycle signal occurs (marked by a red vertical line). Notably, the 2017 signal was significantly stronger than the 2021 signal, suggesting a pattern of diminishing returns. We highly recommend checking out our post on diminishing returns and the overall timeline for the current cycle here . Additionally, we've developed our own Bitcoin model that factors in the effects of diminishing returns. Check it out here . The TRUE cycle top signal The key question is whether this diminishing return is strong enough to prevent a signal from forming in this cycle. Based on our analysis, we believe it is. By extrapolating this trend into the future using a white diagonal trend line, it becomes clear that the ratio will likely remain below 1, meaning no crossover is expected this cycle. Instead, we anticipate that the next Bitcoin top will occur at a ratio of approximately 0.9 , as indicated by the orange area on the chart. In summary, while the Pi Cycle Indicator has been a reliable tool in previous cycles, its diminishing strength suggests that it may not trigger this time. Rather than relying solely on this metric, we suggest considering looking deeper into the true value of this indicator instead.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by Cryptonerds
BITCOIN (BTC/USD): Update & The Thing to WatchTake a look at the price movement of ⚠️BITCOIN, the market is consolidating around a significant daily support level. Analyzing a 4-hour chart, I spotted a descending trend line and a potential inverted head and shoulders pattern. The left shoulder and head have already formed, and the right shoulder is currently in progress. The neckline for this pattern is between 83,600 and 84,488. The trigger to buy BITCOIN will be its bullish breakout (4h candle close above), could signal a buying opportunity for BITCOIN with a target range of 88,000 to 90,000. ⚠️However, if the price drops to a new low, the pattern will no longer be valid.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by linofx1
6
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 3-19-25 : Top PatternToday's Top pattern suggests the SPY/QQQ will attempt to rally up to resistance, then form a peak/top in price, and then roll over a bit. After yesterday's fairly consolidated price range, I believe the SPY/QQQ may rally through most of the day and move into the topping pattern near the end of today's trading day. Overall, I believe the markets are still rolling into the Excess Phase Peak consolidation phase and that means traders need to prepare for extreme price volatility. What is interesting is how BTCUSD is trying to rally a bit, but not finding upward momentum. As I stated in today's video, I believe a fairly big move upward, possibly $3000 or more, in BTCUSD could happen between now and the end of this week. This would be a perfect upward price advance into resistance that could correlate with a move h higher in the SPY/QQQ - targeting the upper level of the Consolidation Phase. Gold and Silver have reached a "pause" level. I believe Gold and Silver will only pause for 48 to 96 hours before attempting to break higher. So, metals will still attempt to break higher into late March 2025. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #gold #nq #investing #trading #spytrading #spymarket #tradingmarket #stockmarket #silver
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by BradMatheny
6
Crypto: From "HODL Paradise" to a Speculator’s PlaygroundDuring past bull markets, a simple HODL strategy worked wonders. Bitcoin and Ethereum set the market trend, and altcoins followed with explosive gains. If you bought the right project before the hype wave, the profits were massive. However, today’s market is vastly different: ✅ Liquidity is unevenly distributed – Only a handful of major projects attract serious capital, while many altcoins stagnate. ✅ Investors are more sophisticated – Institutional players and smart money dominate, making retail-driven pumps less frequent. ✅ Not all coins pump together – Only projects with real utility and solid tokenomics see sustainable growth. ________________________________________ 2. What Matters Now? Strategies for the New Crypto Era To succeed in the current market, you need a more calculated approach. Here’s what you should focus on: 🔹 Technical Analysis You can’t just buy blindly and hope for a moonshot. Understanding support and resistance levels, price patterns, trading volumes, etc. is crucial. Example: If an altcoin has surged 50% in a few days and reaches a strong resistance level, it’s not a buying opportunity—it’s a sell signal for short-term traders. 🔹 Tokenomics and Supply Mechanics In 2017 and 2021, as long as a project had a compelling whitepaper, it could attract investors. Now, you need to analyze total token supply, distribution models, utility, and vesting schedules. Example: If a project has an aggressive vesting schedule where early investors and the team receive new tokens monthly, there will be constant selling pressure. No matter how good the technology is, you don’t want to be caught in a dumping cycle. 🔹 Market Psychology and Speculative Cycles Crypto is driven by emotions. You need to recognize when the crowd is euphoric (time to sell) and when fear dominates (time to buy). Example: If a project is all over Twitter, Telegram, and TikTok, it might already be near the top. On the other hand, when a solid project is ignored and trading volume is low, it could be a prime accumulation opportunity. ________________________________________ 3. Realistic Expectations: 30-50-100% Are the New "100x" If catching a 10x or 100x was common in the past, those days are largely over. Instead, 30-50-100% gains are far more realistic and sustainable. Why? • The market is more mature, and liquidity doesn’t flood into random projects. • Most "100x" gains were pump & dump schemes, which are now avoided by smart investors. • Experienced traders take profits earlier, limiting parabolic price action. Recommended strategy: 1. Enter early in a solid project with clear utility and strong tokenomics. 2. Set realistic profit targets (e.g., take 30% profit at +50%, another 30% at +100%, and hold the rest long-term). 3. Don’t wait for a “super cycle” to make money—take profits consistently. ________________________________________ 4. Conclusion: Adapt or Get Left Behind The crypto market has evolved from a “HODL Paradise” where almost any coin could 10-100x into a speculator’s playground, favoring skilled traders and informed investors. To stay profitable, you must: ✅ Master technical analysis and identify accumulation vs. distribution zones. ✅ Pick projects with solid tokenomics and avoid those with aggressive unlock schedules. ✅ Set realistic expectations—forget about 100x and aim for sustainable 30-100% gains. ✅ Stay flexible and adapt to market psychology and emerging trends. Crypto is no longer a game of luck. It’s a game of knowledge and strategy. If you don’t adapt, you’ll be stuck waiting for a 100x that may never come. So, at least this is my opinion. But what about you? Do you think crypto is still a "HODL paradise," or are we fully in the era of skilled traders and speculators? Will we ever see another cycle where almost everything pumps together, or is selective investing the new reality? I’d love to hear your thoughts—drop a comment below and let’s discuss
BITFINEX:BTCUSDEducation
by Mihai_Iacob
BTC overview - Will we make another huge bounce from here?In this analysis, we discuss BTC on the weekly timeframe in correlation with the RSI and the Stochastic RSI. Is BTC able to bounce from these levels, or are we heading to lower levels before the next bounce? I will explore this in the following analysis. After a long consolidation in 2024, BTC reached a new all-time high (ATH) at the end of 2024/beginning of 2025. However, by making a new ATH, BTC formed a bearish divergence with the RSI—similar to what happened in 2021 when BTC reached a new ATH. At the moment, BTC's price action looks very healthy. It is making new highs and higher lows. During the recent correction from nearly 110K, the RSI dropped to around 44, a strong support zone for the RSI in this bull market. The last two times the RSI bounced from the 44 level, BTC saw an increase of approximately 180% and 100%. In both instances, the Stochastic RSI was also oversold and bounced back to the overbought zone. Currently, BTC is heading toward the support level at 73K, which aligns with the Golden Pocket, while the RSI holds support at 44 and the Stochastic RSI remains oversold. It is crucial that BTC maintains support at 73K and the RSI at 44. If either one breaks, lower levels are highly likely. If BTC finds strength at these support levels, we need to see the RSI break above 79. This would indicate the end of the bearish divergence and open the door for higher prices. However, if BTC reaches a new ATH and the RSI fails to break 79, we must watch for a continuation of the bearish divergence. Can Bitcoin hold this level and make a significant bounce, as it did the last two times, with BTC at support, RSI at support, and the Stochastic RSI in the oversold area? The coming weeks may provide a signal on the direction BTC will take—bullish or bearish. For now, it could go either way, and we must wait for a clear market direction. Thanks for your support! Drop a like and leave a comment to have a conversation about this topic. Make sure to follow me so you don’t miss out on the next analysis.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Youriverse
14
How To Properly Read Open Interest (OI) Identify Trends $VARAIn crypto, especially when trading shit coins, measure OI on BTC, ETH, and any other asset that has futures up against whatever you are trading. Most importantly identify positive or negative correlation between the asset pair and TRADE accordingly. i.e. if you are measuring OI for USDX or DXY know that it will have negative correlation toward your risk asset whatever it is. Open Interest and Volume ARE NOT THE SAME THING! Volume is the measure of contracts settled in a trading session (hourly, daily, monthly, etc.) Open interest (or OI for short) is the total number of contracts still outstanding. OI and order wall size are correlated. OI is charted. Increasing OI means an increase in liquidity i.e. open contracts. Decreasing OI means that there is a decrease in liquidity i.e. liquidity is leaving the market either cash or asset. Open Interest can help you identify trend shifts. Use it along with order flow the compliment each other. OI Rising - Market trends up - Volume increasing - Trend will continue OI Falling - Market trends up - Volume decreasing - Trend will turn bullish OI Rising - Market trends down - Volume rising - Strong bearish continuation OI Falling - Market trends down - Volume falling - Bearish bias is lessening Notice in the above simplified examples that volume MUST be paired with OI to be useful. One might mistake that volume on it's own can be used to judge trends. Open interest will increase as more traders enter the market which means often that money is coming into the market. OI will decrease as traders exit the market or as contracts are closed. This means that money is leaving the market i.e. less buyers
COINBASE:BTCUSDEducation
by fritbjorn