BTCUSD trade ideas
"BTC/USD Breakout Strategy: Identifying Bullish Momentum BTC/USD Technical Analysis – July 22, 2025
📈 Market Structure Overview:
The chart illustrates a recent Break of Structure (BOS) both to the upside and downside, indicating volatility and a shift in market sentiment. The price action formed a descending channel, followed by a breakout with strong bullish candles, suggesting a momentum reversal.
🧱 Support Zone (Demand Area):
Key Level: $116,400 – $116,900
This zone has acted as a strong demand level, with clear evidence of buying pressure pushing BTC higher after testing this area. The volume profile (VRVP) supports this, showing heightened trading activity at this price.
🔄 Bullish Breakout Confirmation:
A bullish breakout from the descending channel occurred just above the support zone, aligning with the label "Bullish Momentum".
The breakout candle has closed above minor resistance, which increases the probability of a trend reversal.
📍 Price Target:
The projection points toward $120,000, aligning with previous resistance and psychological round-number resistance.
This target is highlighted by an expected bullish leg after a possible retest of the breakout zone around $117,500 – $117,800.
🧭 Key Levels to Watch:
Support: $116,400 – $116,900
Retest Zone (Buy Opportunity): $117,500 – $117,800
Immediate Resistance: $118,400
Major Resistance / Target: $120,000
📊 Summary:
BTC/USD has shown a bullish reversal signal from a well-respected support zone after a descending correction phase. The current price structure, volume buildup, and breakout momentum suggest a high probability of continued upside movement toward the $120,000 mark. A successful retest of the breakout zone would provide a strategic entry for long positions with tight risk management.
Bitcoin ConsolidatesBitcoin continues to flex its strength, grinding higher and holding firm just below resistance at $123,231. After breaking out above $112,000 earlier this month with a burst of volume and momentum, price has cooled off slightly, consolidating in a tight range between $117K and $123K. This isn’t weakness – it’s digestion. A bullish pause. Traders are clearly eyeing the next move, and so far, the chart looks like it’s winding up for another push.
Support at $112,000 has held cleanly, and the 50-day moving average is trending steadily upward, now comfortably below price – a textbook sign of bullish structure. If $123K breaks, it could set off a new leg higher, potentially triggering another wave of FOMO. But even a drop back to $112K would keep the uptrend intact, with secondary support around $105K offering a strong safety net.
Volume tells the story too. It surged during the breakout and has since tapered off, which is exactly what you’d expect during a calm consolidation. In short: BTC looks healthy, poised, and still in charge. The next big move could be just around the corner – and right now, the bulls have the edge.
Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical AnalysisBitcoin (BTC/USD) Technical Analysis – Daily Chart Overview
This chart shows a **bullish continuation setup** for Bitcoin, supported by **EMA structure**, **trendline**, and **support zone** validation. Here's the detailed breakdown:
**1. Trend & Structure**
* **Uptrend:** Price is in a clear uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows.
* **Trendline:** The ascending trendline confirms strong upward momentum. It has been respected multiple times, acting as dynamic support.
**2. Key Support Zones**
* **Recent Breakout Zone (\~\$118,000 – \$119,000):**
Bitcoin broke out above this horizontal resistance and is now **retesting it as support**. This is a classic bullish retest pattern.
* The chart suggests that as long as price holds above this zone, **bullish continuation** is expected.
**3. EMA Indicators (Exponential Moving Averages)**
* **7 EMA (Red) – \$118,386**
* **21 EMA (Blue) – \$114,042**
* **50 EMA (Black) – \$109,483**
All EMAs are **sloping upwards** and aligned in bullish order (7 > 21 > 50), confirming strong upside momentum. The price is currently above all EMAs, which supports a continuation of the bullish trend.
**4. Bullish Target**
* The green arrow suggests a projected bullish move with a potential target above **\$130,000–\$132,500**, assuming price holds the support and resumes upward.
**5. Risk Area**
* If BTC closes **below the highlighted support zone (\~\$118,000)**, it could invalidate the bullish structure temporarily and push toward the next support near **\$114,000–\$115,000**.
**Conclusion**
* **Bias:** Bullish
* **Actionable Insight:**
* As long as BTC remains above the \$118K support zone and trendline, **buy dips** or **hold longs**.
* A clean break and close above recent highs (\~\$121K–\$122K) could open the door toward **\$130K+** targets.
BTCUSDTarget Levels (Upside Potential)
📍 Entry Zone:
Enter near stop losses zone (approx. 117,000 – 117,200 range).
Ideal after bullish confirmation (hammer, engulfing, or breakout from small range).
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 117,800 – 117,900 → First "TARGETING AREA"
TP2: 118,300 – 118,500 → Second "TARGETING AREA"
TP3: 119,000+ → Final move towards the "HIGHLY POINT
These levels are based on previous structure highs and visually marked zones.
🔻 Stop Loss (SL):
Below 116,700 – 116,800
This level is below the lower boundary of the “STOP LOSSES ZONE,” offering protection from false breakouts.
Bullish bounce?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is falling toward the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 111,241.55
1st Support: 98,383.98
1st Resistance: 127,752.45
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bitcoin: Setup Builds for a Run Back Towards the HighsBitcoin is coiling within what resembles a bull pennant pattern, hinting at another bout of consolidation before the rally resumes. Trading near the lower end of the recent range, Monday’s pullback offers an appealing entry point, allowing longs to be established around current levels with a stop beneath the July 15 low for protection.
The downtrend from the record highs looms as the first hurdle, sitting around $119,700 today. A break above that level could prompt an accelerated move towards the current record high just above $123,000—an appropriate target for the trade.
Good luck!
DS
Bitcoin- 175-200k by year's endEvery major Bitcoin move over the last decade — whether a jaw-dropping bull run or a brutal crash — has shared one silent macro trigger.
It’s not the halving.
It’s not ETF hype.
It’s not Twitter sentiment or TikTok FOMO.
👉 It’s global liquidity.
And right now, this powerful force is expanding fast — the same setup that previously drove Bitcoin from $5K to $70K in under a year.
But here’s the twist: as of today, Bitcoin is already trading near $120,000, not $20K or 30k.
That means the engine is already roaring — and if this macro thesis holds, the next stop might just be $175,000-200.000 by year's end.
________________________________________
🧠 What Is Global Liquidity, Really?
Global liquidity = the total money sloshing around the financial system.
It’s often measured through M2 money supply, combining:
• Cash
• Checking/savings deposits
• Easily accessible liquid assets
The most comprehensive view comes from Global M2, which aggregates liquidity from 20 of the world’s largest central banks.
Right now, Global M2 is not just rising — it’s breaking to all-time highs.
And if history repeats itself, Bitcoin tends to follow this wave closely.
________________________________________
📅 Past Performance: Bitcoin and Liquidity Walk Hand in Hand
Let’s break it down:
• 2016–2017: Liquidity surges → BTC +5,000%
• 2020–2021: Post-COVID easing → BTC $5K to $69K
• 2018 & 2022: Liquidity dries up → BTC crashes ~70%
It’s a recurring pattern:
Liquidity drives the crypto cycle.
________________________________________
💡 Why Liquidity Moves: Interest Rates and Central Banks
Central banks control the tap.
• 🟢 Cut rates → Easier credit → More lending → More liquidity
• 🔴 Raise rates → Tighter credit → Less spending → Liquidity contraction
In 2022, the Fed tightened hard.
🧊 U.S. money supply shrank.
📉 Bitcoin fell from $70K to $15K.
But starting August 2023, the Fed paused, then pivoted.
Since then:
• 🟢 The U.S. M2 supply rebounded
• 🟢 Global M2 began expanding again
• 🟢 Over 64 global rate cuts were made in just six months — one of the fastest global easing cycles in history
The last time we saw this much cutting? 2020.
And we all know what happened to Bitcoin then.
U.S M2
________________________________________
🟢 Today’s Setup: The Engine Is Already Running
Fast forward to mid-July 2025:
Bitcoin is no longer at $30K — it’s already testing $120K.
Intraday highs have touched $123K, with a current consolidation zone between $117K–$120K.
This isn’t a "recovery rally" — we’re already in price discovery territory.
The question now becomes:
Is $150K and above next… or are we topping out?
________________________________________
📈 Charting the Path: Bitcoin vs Global M2
When we overlay Bitcoin price over global liquidity trends, one thing becomes crystal clear:
📊 Bitcoin tracks liquidity direction.
• When money supply expands, Bitcoin rallies.
• When money dries up, Bitcoin tanks.
Given that global M2 is at record highs, and liquidity conditions are easing globally, the chart suggests there’s still plenty of fuel in the tank.
And if we follow the same growth, Bitcoin could realistically reach $175,000 before 2026 kicks in.
________________________________________
Technically:
As we can clearly see from the posted weekly chart, you don’t need to be an expert to recognize the strength of the current uptrend.
While last week printed a small bearish Pin Bar, this alone shouldn’t raise major concerns — especially considering the presence of multiple key support levels, starting from the 110K zone.
In the context of a strong and well-established trend, such candles often reflect normal short-term profit-taking, not a reversal.
🎯 Conclusion – Don’t Fight the Tide
This isn’t about hopium.
It’s not moon talk.
It’s about macro flows and monetary velocity.
Ignore the noise.
Watch what the central banks are doing.
Because Bitcoin moves not on wishful thinking, but on waves of liquidity — and the tide right now is rising fast.
Whether $175K comes by year-end, one thing is clear:
We are in the middle of a liquidity-driven expansion phase, and Bitcoin is already responding.
Stay focused, manage your risk, and don’t chase — ride the wave. 🌊
BITCOIN BTC/USD PULLBACK STARTED BACK TO BUYZONE?Hey Traders so today looking at Bitcoin showing a strong Uptrend since April this year. Now showing more bullish momentum after a break above the narrow sideways channel at 112,000. Breakouts normally get retested. Also the best place to buy imo is right at the trend line.
The way I like to trade it is don't chase the market let it come to you. It takes patience but you will always get the best price for your trade if you are willing to wait. However some might disagree with this strategy and say you may miss the move because the market doesn't come back.
I say Who Cares if the market comes back or if it keeps rallying! 🤣
There is always another train at the station (anotherwords there are always other trading opportunities so if we miss one big deal we will another one. Most importantly we will find another one with the best price!
Anyway enough of my rant so if your bullish watch for that pullack to around 112,00-113,000 and put a stop loss below support at 107,500. It looks like a safe level not to get stopped out at.
However if Bearish wait for close below support at 107,500 before considering to sell a rally imo.
Good Luck & Always use Risk Management!
(Just in we are wrong in our analysis most experts recommend never to risk more than 2% of your account equity on any given trade.)
Hope This Helps Your Trading 😃
Clifford
BUY BTCUSD now for 4h time frame bullish trend continuation BUY BTCUSD now for 4h time frame bullish trend continuation ...............
STOP LOSS: 115,836
This buy trade setup is based on hidden bullish divergence trend continuation trading pattern ...
Always remember, the trend is your friend, so whenever you can get a signal that the trend will continue, then good for you to be part of it
TAKE PROFIT : take profit will be when the trend comes to an end, feel from to send me a direct DM if you have any question about take profit or anything...
Remember to risk only what you are comfortable with... trading with the trend, patient and good risk management is the key to success here
BTCUSD - BEARISH DIVERGENCE DETECTEDCAPITALCOM:BTCUSD
BTCUSD has been in a bullish trend over the past few hours and is now approaching the resistance at 119,500.00.
On the hourly chart, a bearish hammer has formed alongside a stochastic divergence, signaling potential downside.
⚡ This signal is reinforced by a strong resistance level above, adding weight to a possible pullback scenario.
📉 If BTCUSD rebounds from this level, consider Sell setups with take profit at the nearest support.
📈 If it breaks out, look for Buy opportunities on confirmation.
⚡ We use Stoch (14) to spot potential reversals when it exits overbought or oversold zones — helping you catch clear, confident entries.
BTC/USD 21.07.25Targeting the $125,500 Resistance
Market Overview:
After a correction down to $116,850, Bitcoin held above the 144 EMA and is recovering toward the key resistance zone around $125,500. A bullish continuation pattern is forming.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— Strong support reaction from $116,850
— 144 EMA on 4H holding as dynamic support
— ABCD harmonic structure supports upside
— Break above $120,000 will confirm bullish momentum
Key Levels:
Support: $116,850, $113,700
Resistance: $123,300, $125,500–$126,000
Scenario:
Primary: continuation upward toward $125,500 with potential breakout
Alternative: minor pullback to $116,850 before next leg up
BTC CONSOLIDATESBitcoin continues to consolidate just below resistance after a strong multi-week rally, currently trading around $118,813. Last week’s candle was notably toppy, with a long wick to the upside that hinted at some exhaustion near the highs. Despite that, this week’s price action has remained relatively firm, suggesting the bulls are still in control for now. The key overhead resistance remains at $123,231 – a level that marked the recent high – and BTC has yet to close above it. Support at $112,000, previously a ceiling during the consolidation in May and June, has now flipped to critical support and must hold to maintain the bullish structure.
Volume has declined modestly since the breakout in early July, a typical sign of consolidation rather than distribution. The 50-week moving average continues to rise and now sits well below price around the $89,000 zone, confirming strong momentum. Still, traders should remain cautious here – failure to break above resistance or a close below $112,000 could lead to a deeper pullback toward the mid-$90K range. Until then, this remains a textbook consolidation just beneath resistance in a larger uptrend, with the potential for a breakout continuation if strength returns.
Find a recovery point to continue buying BTC✏️ CRYPTO:BTCUSD is trading near the all-time high. The trading strategy is to wait for some investors to take profit so that the price can return to the nearest support zones and continue to buy to the new all-time high zones.
📉 Key Levels
BUY Trigger: confirms the recovery from the support trend line 116000
BUY zone 112000 (Strong support zone)
Target 129000
Leave your comments on the idea. I am happy to read your views.
Risk 116. Target 123-125KMorning folks,
Prior 1H H&S was done, we were watching on 120K resistance area, as we said last time. Now, on 1H chart H&S is showing signs of failure - too extended right arm, no downside breakout. Price is taking the shape of triangle . All these signs are bullish. Because butterflies very often appear on a ruins of H&S, we suggest that this one could be formed here...
The risk level for this scenario is 116K lows - BTC has to stay above it to keep butterfly (and triangle) valid, otherwise, deeper retracement to 112K area could start.
Upside target starts from 123K top and up to 125K butterfly target.
Bullish Bitcoin!BINANCE:BTCUSD : Nothing Changed, Still Bullish
BTC still maintains a strong upward momentum. Immediate strong support was found again near 116K.
It seems that the market has set a new low for BTC around this area for now. We think that as long as BTC stays above this area, there is a good chance that the increasing volume and buyers will increase further pushing BTC further, as shown in the chart, to 120,600; 122,400; 125,000 and 127,000.