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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin could surprise with new ATHs- one of the more tricky analysis since technically BTC could be in a HTF downtrend so looking for very high upside targets is not the best idea - that said, there are some interesting developments here: 1. PA has broken the very clear downtrend line 2. S/R flip just recently confirmed on the 4H time-frame suggests the bull strength is real 3. perhaps most importantly, Bitcoin has traded differently to US equities for the last couple of days with SPX heading sharply lower but Bitcoin not really following and even rallying (something unheard of until this year!) It is too early to tell whether this is a new dynamic between the two and certainly far too early to say that Bitcoin has become a risk-off/alternative asset but with Trump fundamentally changing the flow of goods, services and most importantly capital it may be time to discard all the old, known asset correlations aside. High conviction that Bitcoin heads to at least the 92k - 94k region. Possibility of a surprise run towards previous and perhaps even new ATHs is present and would be confirmed if Bitcoin starts holding the 95 - 96k level. Ultimately, it is rather likely that the upcoming move is fake/nothing but a bear rally and lower prices are expected or at the very least it is unlikely upside PA for Bitcoin gets sustained in the long term UNTIL .. as long as Solana is not trading below 80$, chances are we are still in a bear(ish) market.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Mansasuma
1
118.75KMorning folks, So, last time BTC was not able to show retracement that we've suggested. In fact by the end of the session, no reversal day was formed. It was some fake alarm. Our long-term 110K target has been completed, so monthly grabber has reached the minimum target. But for now we see nothing to do. We consider no shorts. Market stands confidently around the top, without sharp drop back, it is not at overbought or at some strong resistance, so it could keep going higher. Next our upside target is 118.75K. So we could keep existed longs, just don't forget to manage stops. If downside pullback still starts it might become good chance for long entry again. Market now is driven by rebalancing portfolios of big funds that have to sell US assets as they lost AAA rating. This explains why dollar is falling while yields are raising. This is not fast process and probably will last for some time more.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
BTCUSD Rectangle Pattern Breakout + Bearish Retest & Target🧩 Chart Overview This chart captures a well-defined rectangle continuation pattern forming within a rising channel on the 1-hour timeframe. This setup is a classic combination of horizontal and diagonal price structure interaction, offering valuable insights into potential market behavior and trade opportunities. 🧱 Structure Breakdown Rectangle Pattern: Price action was trapped in a sideways consolidation phase between the resistance zone (~104,800 - 105,400) and the support zone (~101,200 - 101,800). This rectangle followed a strong bullish rally, which often implies a continuation pattern. However, the lack of follow-through from bulls near the resistance led to repeated failures to break out, suggesting weakening momentum. Rising Channel: Within this rectangle, price respected a rising trendline support and resistance structure, forming a parallel ascending channel. Bearish Breakout: The significant event occurred when BTC broke down below both the horizontal support of the rectangle and the lower boundary of the rising channel, triggering a structural shift from bullish to bearish. 🔁 Retesting Phase – What’s Happening Now After the breakdown: Price pulled back toward the prior support zone, which is now acting as resistance (a classic example of the support-turns-resistance principle). This is commonly referred to as a retest, which validates the breakout and offers a lower-risk entry point for traders looking to short. The retest area (around 101,500 - 102,000) is crucial. If price fails to reclaim this level and prints bearish confirmation (e.g., rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle), it increases the probability of downward continuation. 🎯 Trade Setup (Short Bias) Entry Zone: 101,500 – 102,000 (on retest rejection confirmation) Stop Loss: Above 103,000 (above prior highs and invalidation point) Target 1 (TP1): 99,347 – key psychological and horizontal support level from prior structure Target 2 (TP2): 97,277 – measured move of the rectangle height projected downward, aligning with previous demand area This setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, assuming proper trade management and confirmation-based entry. 📊 Additional Technical Confluences Bearish Momentum: The aggressive breakdown candle shows strong seller interest and increased volatility. Volume: If confirmed with high selling volume during the breakdown and low buying volume during the retest, the move gains more credibility. Trend Reversal Signals: The break of the channel and the rectangle support indicates potential trend reversal from short-term bullish to bearish. RSI & Momentum Indicators (optional): Traders may use tools like RSI or MACD to confirm momentum shifts during retest. 📉 Psychological and Price-Level Significance 101,500 was a strong intraday support zone throughout the consolidation phase. Once broken, it flips polarity and acts as resistance. The round-number level of 100,000 is always a psychological magnet for BTC. It often acts as a bounce or breakout zone, so traders should watch price behavior near this area closely. Deeper demand may emerge around 97,000 – 96,500, which can serve as an extended target or reaccumulation zone depending on broader market conditions. ⚠️ Risk Management & Final Thoughts This setup is high-probability only if the retest confirms rejection. Avoid early entries or assumptions before confirmation. Always use proper stop-loss placement to avoid whipsaws or fake-outs. Manage position sizing based on account size and risk tolerance. News events or macro data can override technicals, so be aware of upcoming economic releases or sentiment shifts. 🧵 Conclusion Bitcoin is showing clear signs of short-term weakness following the breakdown of a long-standing consolidation range within a rising channel. The ongoing retest provides an ideal area for short positioning, with clearly defined invalidation and profit targets. ✅ If bears defend the retest zone, expect downside continuation toward 99.3K and possibly 97.2K.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
BTC perfect wick to wick symmetrical triangle - 109K or 98K You are looking at a 100% perfect wick to wick symmetrical triangle Widest vertical range of the triangle from Top wick: ~$105,700 Bottom wick: ~$100,700 Height = $5,000 Breakout level (horizontal mid-point of triangle): Roughly $103,500 -104,000 Bullish Breakout Target: $103,500 + $5,000 = $108,500 $104,00 + $5,000 = $109.000 108.5 to 109K will be your pure pattern target if BTC breaks to the upside with volume. Bearish Breakdown Target: GETTEX:98K FOR FUN I ASK CHAT GPT WHAT ARE THE ODDS WE BREAKOUT Break Direction Target Confidence Up (likely) $109,000 60–70% Down (less likely) $98,000 10–15%
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by dogdaddevan
Will BTC endure and continue to reach further highs?As we can see, the BTC price has broken the previous ATH and established a new one at $ 109,886, but here we have to see that we had a slight breakout and the price immediately returned below the previous peak. At this point, we should observe whether it will positively break out from the previous peak and whether it will stay above it so that it can gather energy for a strong move towards strong resistance at $ 130,000. However, if we see a correction, it may first go down to $ 101,500, then we can see support at $ 96,000, and then we may have a drop to around $ 87,000. When we look at the Stoch RSI indicator, we will see that despite the current increases, the indicator remains around the middle of the range, which could potentially give room for another upward move.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by cryptodailyuk
1
At ATH, blast continuation or tap and turn?If you find this information inspiring/helpful, please consider a boost and follow! Any questions or comments, please leave a comment! 🚀 Tap & Turn… or Blast? Bitcoin is reacting well to mapped levels, maintaining structure and respecting key zones. Price action continues to print HLs and HH keeping the bulls confident, atm. 💥 Levels Still Respecting Recent price action has shown solid reactions at prior resistance and support zones. Nothing overly aggressive, but clean enough to keep structure traders engaged. 🐂 Bulls Still in Control (for Now) Higher lows remain intact, keeping the bullish structure alive. I did take a lower-degree short, but without a clean break of those HLs, there's no reason to call a shift yet. A break of that pattern would be the first real sign of momentum fading. 🚧 Key Watch Zone: 106K–104K This is where things get more critical. A clean break below that zone could tilt the balance. Trade safe, trade smart, trade clarity.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by CryptoKnee
BTCUSD Market Update & Forecast ( 21st May 2025 )# 📉 **BTCUSD Market Update & Forecast ( 21st May 2025 )** **Date:** May 21, 2025 **Analyst:** NextElliott **Instrument:** BTCUSD **Current Price:** \$106,376 **Strategy Type:** Elliott Wave, Gann Confluence, Probabilistic Reversal **Trade Horizon:** 2–7 Days **Timeframes Observed:** 4H / Daily --- ## 🔍 **Market Context & Price Behavior** BTCUSD has successfully reached my **upper resistance target zone of \$106,200–\$108,400**, topping out near \$106,400. This zone was previously identified as a **potential exhaustion area**—a Fibonacci cluster and Gann resistance confluence, marking the final stage of a **Wave (3) advance**. Price is now reacting to this resistance, and early signs of distribution or momentum loss are appearing in the 4H structure. This suggests a high-probability setup for a **corrective pullback** before any potential continuation of the larger trend. --- ## 📐 **Technical Breakdown** ### 🔻 Resistance Confluence Zone (Hit) * **\$106,200–\$108,400** * 1.618 extension from prior impulse * Gann 120°–135° resistance arcs * Measured wave projection from \$94,500 low ### 🔻 Immediate Support Zones (Pullback Targets) * **TP1:** \$97,870 – High-volume node + sub-wave 4 base * **TP2:** \$96,850 – Structure base and Gann 45° angle * **TP3:** \$95,700 – Final fib/gap support ### 🔄 Elliott Wave Interpretation * Current price action likely marks the top of **sub-wave 5 of Wave (3)**. * A corrective **Wave (4)** is anticipated next, typically retracing to the prior Wave 4 of lesser degree: * **Target range:** \$99,000 → \$97,870 → \$96,850 * Once this retracement completes, a final **Wave (5)** toward new highs may initiate—**provided** structural support holds above \$95,700. --- ## 🧭 **Gann Angle Analysis** * The recent high aligns with the 120° arc from the March low—commonly a **cycle reversal marker**. * Gann support lies near: * **\$97,870** → 45° harmonic * **\$96,850–\$95,700** → 60°–75° cluster Timewise, BTC is exiting the minor **May 10–11 Gann window**, entering a possible correction window lasting until **May 24–26**. --- ## 🎯 **Trade Scenario Outlook** ### 🔴 **Bearish Retracement Scenario (Active)** * **Trigger:** Reaction failure below \$106,200 confirms reversal * **Targets:** * TP1: **\$97,870** * TP2: **\$96,850** * TP3: **\$95,700** * **Invalidation:** 4H close above \$108,400 ### 🛠️ Risk Management * Consider short entries on breakdowns below \$104,800 (support break) * Use stop-losses above \$107,000 (recent high) * Take partial profits near each retracement target * Monitor RSI/Volume divergence for early reversal signs near \$97,870 --- ## 🧠 **Strategic Commentary** BTCUSD has met all pre-defined bullish objectives, aligning with the end of a 5-wave advance. The next **logical market move** is a correction to refresh bullish momentum and reset trader positioning. Expect volatility and potential range-based behavior before the next impulsive rally. This zone offers **ideal conditions for tactical shorts or long re-entries** upon support confirmation. --- ## 📌 **Conclusion** BTCUSD has tagged its upper resistance zone and now shows signs of topping within a mature wave structure. The anticipated pullback toward **\$97,870** is part of a healthy macro trend and should be monitored for possible long-term re-entry opportunities. Traders should shift focus to downside targets, apply disciplined risk management, and stay adaptive to emerging price signals.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by NextElliott
BTCUSD Rejection at Resistance – Double Top + Rising Wedge BreakBTC just bonked its head THREE TIMES at resistance like it’s trying to phase through a wall in a video game. Every time it pumps, it gets yeeted back down harder than my hopes during bull traps. 😂 We got: Triple rejections (red arrows = bonk bonk bonk) Support hugs at $104k (but that line’s getting real tired) Rising wedge? More like a launchpad for bears. Yellow squiggle = my emotional support trajectory 📉 📉 If BTC breaks $104k — it's GG to $102k or even $100k. 📈 If it somehow moons past $105.8k, I’ll eat my shorts (stop loss hits and I cry in leverage). 🧠 Plan: SHORT this sleepy bear rally Entry: $104.5k–$104.9k TP1: $104k (EZ clap) TP2: $102.2k TP3: $100k (degen dreams) SL: $105.9k (risk it for the biscuit, but don’t be dumb) This ain't advice. Just vibes and charts. DYOR or get rekt. 🫡
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by BigRichh
1
BTCUSD Technical Analysis.The chart you provided is a 1-hour candlestick chart of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) on the BITSTAMP exchange, with technical analysis annotations suggesting a short trade setup. Here’s a breakdown: Key Elements in the Chart: Price: Currently around $106,171, showing a decline of 0.64%. Pattern: A rising wedge or ascending triangle is broken downward, indicating a bearish move. Entry Zone: Around the current level (~106,171). Stop-Loss (SL): Set near 107,804, above the recent swing high. Target: Marked near 105,018, which aligns with previous support levels. Risk/Reward Box: Shows favorable risk-reward ratio with a green zone (reward) larger than the red zone (risk). Projected Move: Price is expected to make lower highs and drop to the target area. Summary: The chart suggests a bearish outlook with a short entry around the current price, targeting 105,018, and a stop loss at 107,804. The analysis appears to be based on a breakdown from a rising wedge pattern, a common bearish reversal indicator. Would you like help analyzing if this setup aligns with current fundamentals or sentiment?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by XAUUSD_EXPERT_Team
BITCOIN Free Signal! Sell! Hello,Traders! BITCOIN keep growing in a Strong uptrend but the price Will soon hit an an all-time-high Price around 109,400$ which Is also a resistance from where We can go short with the Take Profit of 103,900$ And the Stop Loss of 109,739$ Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by TopTradingSignals
1
Bitcoin Stalls, But Chart Watchers Eye $300,000 Peak: Here's Whe Bitcoin, the world's leading cryptocurrency, has experienced a period of consolidation, leaving investors and analysts alike pondering its next move. While the price has stalled below the $105,000 mark, a confluence of factors, including popular predictive models and bullish sentiment from prominent crypto analysts, suggests that a significant surge could be on the horizon. The potential for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs, possibly soaring to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year, is fueling excitement and speculation within the crypto community. This article delves into the factors driving the bullish outlook for Bitcoin, examining the predictive models, analyst forecasts, and underlying fundamentals that support the possibility of a substantial price increase. We will explore the potential catalysts that could propel Bitcoin to new heights and analyze the technical indicators that chart watchers are monitoring closely. Predictive Models Point to a Massive Surge One of the primary drivers of the bullish sentiment surrounding Bitcoin is the existence of popular predictive models that suggest a massive price surge in the coming months. These models, often based on historical data, supply and demand dynamics, and other relevant factors, attempt to forecast the future price of Bitcoin with varying degrees of accuracy. One such model, which has gained considerable attention in the crypto community, points to a potential surge to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year. While the specifics of this model are not explicitly detailed in the prompt, it is likely based on factors such as Bitcoin's scarcity, its increasing adoption as a store of value, and the potential for institutional investment to drive demand. It is important to note that predictive models are not foolproof and should not be taken as definitive guarantees of future price movements. However, they can provide valuable insights into potential scenarios and help investors make informed decisions. Analyst Forecasts: $159,000 This Cycle In addition to predictive models, bullish forecasts from prominent crypto analysts are also contributing to the optimistic outlook for Bitcoin. One analyst, in particular, has predicted that Bitcoin's price could reach $159,000 this cycle. While the specific methodology used by this analyst is not detailed in the prompt, it is likely based on a combination of technical analysis, fundamental analysis, and market sentiment. Technical analysis involves studying price charts and other technical indicators to identify potential trends and patterns. Fundamental analysis involves evaluating the underlying value of Bitcoin based on factors such as its adoption rate, network security, and regulatory environment. Market sentiment involves gauging the overall mood and expectations of investors in the crypto market. The analyst's forecast of $159,000 this cycle suggests a belief that Bitcoin is currently undervalued and that its price will eventually catch up to its intrinsic value. Bitcoin IS The Opt Out The phrase "Bitcoin IS The Opt Out" encapsulates a growing sentiment within the crypto community that Bitcoin represents a viable alternative to traditional financial systems. This sentiment is based on the belief that Bitcoin offers several advantages over traditional currencies and financial institutions: • Decentralization: Bitcoin is not controlled by any single entity, such as a government or central bank. This decentralization makes it resistant to censorship and manipulation. • Scarcity: Bitcoin has a limited supply of 21 million coins, which makes it a scarce asset. This scarcity is expected to drive its price higher over time as demand increases. • Transparency: All Bitcoin transactions are recorded on a public ledger called the blockchain. This transparency makes it difficult to engage in illicit activities using Bitcoin. • Security: The Bitcoin network is secured by cryptography, making it difficult to hack or tamper with. The belief that Bitcoin offers a viable "opt out" from traditional financial systems is driving increased adoption and investment in the cryptocurrency. BTC Price to $116K Next? 'Early Week' All-Time High The prospect of Bitcoin reaching $116,000 in the near future, potentially even achieving an all-time high early in the week, is further fueling bullish sentiment. This forecast, attributed to a Bitcoin trader, suggests that the cryptocurrency is poised to break out of its current consolidation phase and enter a new period of price discovery. The trader's forecast is likely based on technical analysis, identifying potential breakout patterns and momentum indicators that suggest an imminent surge in price. The expectation of an "early week" all-time high suggests a belief that the market is primed for a rapid and decisive move to the upside. Leaving the Tight Range Behind The statement that "Bitcoin is in line to leave its tight range behind in the coming days" suggests that the period of consolidation is nearing its end. A tight trading range typically indicates a period of indecision in the market, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched. However, such periods often precede significant price movements, as pent-up energy is released in one direction or another. The expectation that Bitcoin will leave its tight range behind suggests a belief that the balance of power is shifting in favor of buyers, setting the stage for a potential breakout to the upside. Retaking All-Time Highs and Pushing into Price Discovery The ultimate goal for Bitcoin bulls is to see the cryptocurrency retake its all-time highs and push into price discovery. Price discovery refers to the process of establishing a new price level for an asset when it breaks out of its previous range. When Bitcoin reaches a new all-time high, it enters a period of price discovery, where there are no historical resistance levels to impede its upward movement. This can lead to rapid and substantial price increases, as buyers are willing to pay higher and higher prices to acquire the asset. Potential Catalysts for a Bitcoin Surge Several potential catalysts could propel Bitcoin to new all-time highs and trigger a period of price discovery: • Increased Institutional Investment: As more and more institutional investors, such as hedge funds, pension funds, and corporations, allocate capital to Bitcoin, demand for the cryptocurrency is likely to increase, driving its price higher. • Regulatory Clarity: Greater regulatory clarity surrounding Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies could remove a major source of uncertainty and encourage more investors to enter the market. • Mainstream Adoption: As Bitcoin becomes more widely accepted as a form of payment and a store of value, its adoption rate is likely to increase, driving demand and price appreciation. • Macroeconomic Factors: Macroeconomic factors, such as inflation, currency devaluation, and geopolitical instability, could drive investors to seek refuge in Bitcoin as a safe haven asset. Technical Indicators to Watch Chart watchers are closely monitoring several technical indicators to gauge the potential for a Bitcoin surge: • Breakout Patterns: Identifying potential breakout patterns, such as ascending triangles, cup and handle formations, and flag patterns, can provide clues about when Bitcoin is likely to break out of its current range. • Volume: Monitoring trading volume can help to confirm the validity of a breakout. A breakout accompanied by high volume is generally considered more reliable than a breakout accompanied by low volume. • Momentum Indicators: Momentum indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), can help to gauge the strength of a trend and identify potential overbought or oversold conditions. • Support and Resistance Levels: Identifying key support and resistance levels can help to anticipate potential price movements and set appropriate entry and exit points. Conclusion: Awaiting the Next Chapter in Bitcoin's Story Bitcoin's recent period of consolidation has left investors and analysts eager to see what the future holds. While the price has stalled below $105,000, a confluence of factors, including predictive models, analyst forecasts, and bullish market sentiment, suggests that a significant surge could be on the horizon. The potential for Bitcoin to reach new all-time highs, possibly soaring to between $275,000 and $300,000 by October of this year, is fueling excitement and speculation within the crypto community. Whether Bitcoin achieves these lofty targets remains to be seen, but the stage is set for what could be another exciting chapter in the cryptocurrency's story. As always, investors should conduct their own research, assess their risk tolerance, and make informed decisions before investing in Bitcoin or any other cryptocurrency. The journey ahead promises to be volatile, but the potential rewards could be substantial for those who are willing to navigate the risks.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by bryandowningqln
1
BTC Preparing for A Move Towards $110k Are You Ready?Bitcoin Market Update: BTC Preparing for a Move Towards 109,200 and 110,000 Levels Bitcoin (BTC) appears to be gearing up for a potential upward move targeting the 109,200 to 110,000 price range. Over the past several days, Bitcoin has been consolidating within a tight range, indicating accumulation and market indecision. However, the latest price action has shown a strong bullish breakout, confirmed by a solid bullish candle, followed by a healthy retest of the breakout zone. This retest suggests that Bitcoin may now be preparing for its next leg upward. The current price area presents a possible buying opportunity, especially as we approach the key black-marked zones on the chart. These levels are significant because they hold pending liquidity from previous days’ highs and also correspond to notable swing highs—areas where the market previously reversed. Traders should remain alert and not miss this potential opportunity. It's crucial to monitor the market closely for any structural shifts or additional confirmation signals, such as bullish patterns, increased volume, or momentum indicators aligning with the upward trend. As always, conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any trading decisions. Market conditions can change rapidly, and informed decisions backed by solid analysis are essential for successful trading.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by Peter_Wade
BTC/USD 1-Hour Range Analysis: Key Levels & StrategieBTC/USD 1-Hour Chart Analysis 📊 Currently, BTC/USD is oscillating within the 101,500–105,000 range on the 1-hour chart 📈. Key Levels Support: 101,500 acts as short-term support 🛡️. Below that, the strong support lies at 100,600 — a breach of this key level could trigger a sharp price decline. Resistance: 105,000 is a tough resistance level 🚧, with multiple failed upward attempts. The area above 106,000 forms a resistance zone, which bulls must overcome to initiate a significant uptrend. Trend The price is in a downward consolidation phase, with recent highs and lows gradually decreasing. However, chart patterns suggest a potential rebound after testing support, hinting at a possible short-term trend shift 🤔. ⚡⚡⚡ BTCUSD ⚡⚡⚡ 🚀 Sell@105000 - 106000 🚀 TP 102500 - 101500 🚀 Buy@101500 - 102500 🚀 TP 105000 - 106000 Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Sovereign-