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BTCUSD trade ideas

DXY Falling Below $106 - Cue AltSeason in March!The biggest shock to everyone is going to be the price of CRYPTOCAP:BTC going DOWN while ALTS skyrocket 🚀 As I have discussed in my macro thesis, the TVC:DXY is FINALLY breaking down on the Weekly along with the 10Y. RSI has topped and Price broke below the WMA9 & 20. Just waiting on the WMA9 to break below the WMA20 for final confirmation. Historically when this happens... it’s ALTSEASON BABY!!! 🥳 After this happened in March 2017, BTC and ALTS pumped together, then BTC went down 33% while ALTS exploded higher over a 3 week period before BTC rallied alongside again.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by jonnieking
Bitcoin's Balancing Act: Consolidation, Theft, and Market ForcesBitcoin continues to consolidate in the 90k - 106k area! Recently there was an act of theft from the ByBit cold wallet, resulting in over $1.5 billion worth of ETH being stolen. This is definitely a negative backdrop, we have seen good support from other exchanges and crypto project funders. Theoretically, it would be possible to roll the chain back as Arthur Hayes suggested, but it doesn't seem to be possible, although it would definitely play in favor of the bulls. I would expect a drop to the $91800 area for several reasons: 1. Bear dominance. This can be seen in the bullish and bearish volume indicator. Bullish volumes have fallen while strong sales volume growth is noticeable. 2. Elliott Wave Correction 3. BlackRock sold 3,283 BTC before the ByBit hack and has yet to buy more. 4. According to the smart money concept, 92400-91200 is a magnet. 5. Need to liquidate a large number of long positions that gained momentum after leaving the 99k level. Horban Brothers.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by horbanbrothers
Big Move Coming - Bitcoin’s Bollinger Bands Are Tight AFBitcoin's daily Bollinger Bands are at one of their tightest levels in history, a pattern that has almost always preceded bullish price action. Historically, when volatility has compressed to this degree, Bitcoin has followed with strong upward movement. There have only been TWO times in Bitcoins history that the price dropped at these compression levels: November 2018: A sharp drop that took ~6 months to recover. August 2023: A decline with a ~2-month recovery. Every other time, a this level of tightness is followed by bullish price action. Given it's history, the odds favour a move higher. What’s your take — up or down? Will history repeat? Or will this be another rare exception?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Drmagicman
BTCUSD TODAY ANALYSISThis is my analysis for BTCUSD, where I am currently analyzing the 4-hour time frame. At the moment, BTCUSD's price is consolidating on the daily time frame. Based on my analysis, I will be looking at a bearish market today. Once the price reaches my key level, I will observe its behavior and rejection confirmation before pulling the trigger on my trade. Always use stoploss for your trade. Always use proper money management and proper R:R ratio. This is just my analysis or prediction. Let's see what happens. #BTCUSD 4H Technical Analyze Expected Move.
OANDA:BTCUSDShort
by TradeTacticsreal
Bitcoin Breakdown Incoming? Watch the 21-Day VWMA!Bitcoin is at a critical decision point, and the next move could be massive. Let’s break it down: 📉 Bearish Scenario (Most Likely) BTC has been consolidating, but it's now breaking below key support and trading under the 21-day VWMA (red line)—a strong bearish signal. If sellers take control, we could see BTC drop to: 🔻 $88,000 (0.5 Fib level) – First major support 🔻 $82,000 (0.618 Fib level) – Next key demand zone 🔻 $75,000 - $78,000 ("Panic Sell" zone) – A breakdown here could trigger liquidations. 📈 Bullish Scenario (Less Likely but Possible) For BTC to reverse this bearish momentum, it must reclaim the 21-day VWMA and break above resistance at $98,000 - $100,000. A breakout above $100,000 would shift sentiment bullish and invalidate the bearish setup. 🔍 Key Takeaways: ✅ BTC is trading below the 21-day VWMA, signaling weakness. ✅ Bulls must reclaim resistance quickly to avoid deeper downside. ✅ High volatility ahead. 🚀 What’s your outlook? Will BTC bounce or continue dropping? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Bitcoin's Unbalanced move with the US electionsThe overall trend is still bullish, but the market needs to rebalance at $86,686 before it can push to new highs. Right now, the price action is not respecting bullish structure and is moving sideways in a consolidation phase. The market does not move in a straight line. Every strong move needs to be balanced before continuing. The price left behind inefficiencies during the last expansion, and the market seeks to correct these before the next leg up. Liquidity is key. Right now, there is an imbalance that needs to be filled, and resting liquidity below must be taken before the market can resume its upward trend. Smart money is not buying at current levels. They need better pricing and the market naturally moves to levels where institutional interest is highest. That level is around eighty-six thousand six hundred eighty-six, where a large amount of liquidity is positioned. The market is likely to dip into this level, take out weak-handed buyers, and trap sellers before pushing higher. A ten percent drop from here would bring the price into that area, where real accumulation can take place. Until then, any short-term rallies are likely to be liquidity grabs rather than true continuation. Please do not forget that this is a daily chart and we can see more liquidity grabs before reaching the target. This is an idea and nothing in the future is certain. With unexpected news we can see unexpected moves. COINBASE:BTCUSD INDEX:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSD KRAKEN:BTCUSD BINANCE:BTCUSDT BINANCE:BTCUSDT28H2025
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by TradeConfirmed
1
My BTC Short Idea 23/2/2025BTC is just like NASDAQ reacting bearish but there is an important catalyst to it which is the hack incident that happened last week. This is bearish to investors because it is a threat for them to keep their money in crypto since they are susceptible for breach. I think if BTC falls below the support at 88,000$ then we could finally see the appropriate price correction. BTC bull run season is probably at the end of it and we will have to wait for the next halving event and another catalyst in the Crypto space.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by stingotho
Bitcoin at a Critical Crossroads: Breakout or Rejection?Hello everyone once again, Let's take a general look at BTC. In this analysis, we will focus on indicator-based and general analysis rather than news-driven commentary. At first glance, we can see that BTC has left behind a significant gap on the daily chart, which ranges between 85K-81K. This gap may need to be filled. Since this gap was formed in early November and has not yet been filled, it is likely that BTC will attempt to fill it if a healthy structure is established. Before reaching this gap, BTC might take a small bounce around the 90K weekly EMA20 support to catch its breath. Now, let’s analyze the indicators. Bollinger Bands: 4H Chart: BTC bounced without touching the lower band and is now testing the middle band. If BTC fails to break above this level, it could target 95,108 again. However, if it successfully breaks through this level with the support of MACD and RSI, the next target will be 98,914. Daily Chart: Nothing significant to mention regarding Bollinger Bands. Weekly Chart: BTC has not touched the middle band since 62K, and it still does not seem likely because RSI and MACD do not support such a move. EMA Averages: 4H Chart: BTC has fallen below the EMA levels and remains in this zone. For an uptrend confirmation, BTC must first break above the EMA20 and EMA50 crossover level at 96,810. This level is crucial as it combines two moving averages. If BTC surpasses this level, the next resistance levels are 97,244 and 98,012. Daily Chart: BTC attempted a false breakout at 98K but started pulling back. Currently, it is supported by EMA100 at 94K, which could serve as strong support in case of another pullback. RSI: 4H Chart: RSI has turned upward, strongly supporting the uptrend. Daily Chart: Initially moving towards a weak sell signal, it suddenly turned upward, supporting the uptrend. However, if selling pressure increases before the daily close, BTC could face a weak sell signal again. Weekly Chart: RSI was in a negative trend but has now turned upward, supporting the uptrend. MACD: 4H Chart: MACD has weakened its red candles, supporting the uptrend. However, a bit more consolidation would have been ideal. The reason is that while MACD is turning bullish, it is doing so with a weak buy signal, making it a less strong confirmation. Daily Chart: Although things appear positive, MACD has not yet provided a full-strength buy signal, as the buying power is still weak. Even though MACD has flashed a strong buy signal, the green candles are not well-formed, and there has been little movement in the past three days. If the histogram bars grow along with buying power, the uptrend will be better supported. Weekly Chart: After a strong sell signal, MACD is now showing an upward directional shift in line movement, but not yet in candle formation. Summary for Those Short on Time: General Outlook: BTC has not yet filled the 85K-81K gap, but before doing so, it might bounce from the 90K weekly EMA20 support. Bollinger Bands: 4H: BTC is testing the middle band. If it breaks, the target is 98,914; if it fails, it may drop to 95,108. Weekly: BTC has not touched the middle band since 62K, and indicators do not yet support a move toward it. EMA Averages: 4H: The EMA20-EMA50 crossover at 96,810 is a key resistance level. If broken, 97,244 and 98,012 could be the next targets. Daily: BTC failed at 98K and is currently at EMA100 support (94K). RSI: 4H: RSI supports the uptrend. Daily: It turned upward from a weak sell signal, supporting the uptrend. Weekly: RSI was bearish but has now turned upward. MACD: 4H: Red candles are fading, but the support is not yet strong. Daily: Strong buy signal, but buying power is still weak. Weekly: After a strong sell signal, MACD is now shifting upward. Conclusion: Although there are some risks in the 4-hour chart, the daily chart shows that BTC’s uptrend is supported. If BTC surpasses 98K, a stronger rally may occur. If BTC faces resistance, 94K EMA100 support will be an important level to watch. Thank you for reading! Please remember that your comments and likes encourage me to continue providing these analyses. Wishing you all profitable trades! 🚀
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Alpekon