Keep an eye on 117k as the level to stay above.This is the first time in 7 years that Bitcoin has been able to push up through a long trendline originating in 2018. And this is the longest time we have been above this level, with April 2021 spending one day above it.
Yes, all those shorts calling for a deep retracement got rekt, but a clock is right once a day - so there is always that possibility that we will see some profit taking and consolidation here.
We want to stay above the low in this latest move at 117,250 USD. And we are trying to close the day above the 50% of this latest move, which comes in at 117k USD. Anything less increases the risk of a pullback to digest these latest gains.
BTCUSD trade ideas
Bitcoin Sets New All-Time High – The Bull Run Is OnBitcoin has just printed a new all-time high, breaking decisively above its previous record and entering price discovery. After months of consolidation below resistance, the breakout above ~$118K confirms a major shift in market structure — from sideways to breakout phase.
This level isn’t just a number — it’s a psychological turning point. ATH breakouts often fuel aggressive momentum, FOMO, and trend acceleration, especially with no historical resistance above. All eyes now shift to round levels like $125K and $135K.
📈 New ATH: $118,923
📊 Previous Resistance: $109K → Now Support
🧠 This is what breakout structure looks like on a macro scale.
#BTC #BitcoinATH #AllTimeHigh #PriceDiscovery #CryptoMomentum #BTCUSD #TradingView
BTC eyes on $117,868: SemiMajor Genesis fib to Orbit a few times\Shown here is a single fib series in three different time-frames.
The "Genesis Sequence" has called all major turns since 2015.
This are "High Gravity" Fibs try to capture price into Orbit.
$ 117,668.00 (Coinbase) is the exact level of interest.
$ 111,661.25 is the first support below, a minor ratio.
$ 105,451.85 is semi-major and MUST hold fib below.
$ 125,550.41 is the next target above, a minor ratio.
See "Related Publications" for many PRECISE and TIMELY charts -------->>>>>>>
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BTCUSD: BTC at ATH. Time to celebrate? Hmmmm.....7/11/2025Good day, Guys.
I'm back for a little update for Cryptos
Bitcoin
Last, June 19, 2022, I published an idea that Bitcoin may go below $ 16,000.00 and in the future go as high as $145,000.00. Fortunately, it happened as low as $ 15,479.00. I think right now, Bitcoin is heading to 0.786 Fib $ 145,517.00 as 1st target. It can extend the bull rally up to $ 267,735.00 upon successful break of resistance at $ 145,517.00. For now, there is least resistance and more support on Bitcoin. For me, $ 145,517.00 is the only major resistance to go higher. I think, upon reaching $ 145,517.00 many news outlets will make a positive news about Bitcoin and many institutions/celebrities will declare that they invest right now and recommends Bitcoin. Then, all of a sudden, it dumps at a very discounted price due to long term holders cashing out. As a result, many new comers will be shocked and stunned, and the experience traders may short or buy the dip.
Alts & Meme
In my observation, most of the alts and meme coins haven't recover yet and didn't reach the previous all-time-high while bitcoin for past years have already broken the previous ATH. Thus, many alt & meme coin traders is disappointed and losing hope. From what I see, alt & meme coins is extremely over sold and ranging like a kangaroo. I think with this favorable conditions for experience traders will analyze that charts and fundamentals on these coins. I think the liquidity in Bitcoin will transfer to alts & memes in the coming months.
Monthly Timeframe
In Elliot Wave, Bitcoin is right now heading to III - Primary but Wave 5. The Price will go higher and may top at $ 267,735.00
Full view of my Elliot Wave. Wave (III) may last up to year 2028. 1 Bitcoin will be worth millions of dollars. May Luck be with us.
In this timeframe, Bitcoin is very bullish on RSI but if it fails to break the RSI trendline Resistance the price of Bitcoin may decline significantly. If the successfully breaks the RSI trendline resistance, it's definitely to the moon.
Weekly Timeframe
There is confluence of resistance at Trendline & 0.786 Fib $ 145,517.00
May the force be with you all.
Bitcoin Hits Target —Market Prepares for Next Leg UpMarket Overview:
Bitcoin surged to the 118,000 zone, testing the weekly resistance at 116,577 and marking a local top near 121,100. A pullback followed, but the price remains above the key monthly level at 112,097. The overall market structure remains bullish, and another upward leg is likely after consolidation.
Technical Signals & Formations:
— Completed extended ABCD pattern
— Breakout and retest of 112,097
— Support zone between 113,856 and 112,000
— EMA and price structure support the uptrend
Key Levels:
Support: 113,856, 112,097
Resistance: 116,577, 121,108
Scenario:
Primary: as long as BTC holds above 112,000 and forms bullish confirmation on H4, a move toward 116,577 and 121,108 remains likely.
Alternative: a drop below 112,000 may lead to a deeper correction toward 108,140–107,290.
[UPD] BTC / ETH / SOL / XRP / HYPE / SUPER / FLOKIUpdating my view on intermediate trend structures I am tracking in CRYPTOCAP:BTC , CRYPTOCAP:ETH , CRYPTOCAP:SOL , CRYPTOCAP:XRP , GETTEX:HYPE , BSE:SUPER and SEED_DONKEYDAN_MARKET_CAP:FLOKI highlighting key support and resistance zones to watch in the coming sessions
Charts featured in the video:
BTC
ETH
XRP
SOL
HYPE
SUPER
FLOKI
Thank you for your attention and I wish you successful trading decisions!
If you’d like to hear my take on any other coin you’re tracking — feel free to ask in the comments (just don’t forget to boost the idea first 😉).
Bitcoin Setup for 109K and New Highs Could Be NextTrade Idea:
Direction: long
Entry: Now 107,350 - 106,800
Stop Loss: 102,000
Target 1: 109,000
Golden Zone: 112,000 - 113,000
Bitcoin has been consolidating for the last four days with no real price increase, but we’ve still managed to break above the short-term descending trend line. This could signal a continuation of the current swing up to the next resistance around 109K, which lines up with the daily trend line.
My bias here is that once we hit that 109K area, we could either see a pullback to around 104 to 106K before pushing higher, or we might break straight through, retest the trendline, and continue quickly to new highs above 112K.
I’ll be watching closely to see how price reacts around 109K, whether it rejects or breaks through. Either way the structure remains bullish, and if we get a rejection I'll be looking to re-enter.
Let's see how this plays out ✌️
BTCUSD 1M (Monthly)Alright folks, here’s the latest view on Bitcoin from yours truly, Lord MEDZ. Things are getting interesting — let’s break it down nice and simple.
Step A – The Pump to $167,000
Bitcoin looks ready to break out from the old highs around $109K and could rally straight up to around $167K. That would be a big move — about a 50% gain from where we are now. There's not much resistance above the old high, so this move could be fast and strong.
Step B – A Healthy Pullback to $125,000
After that run-up, I’m expecting a pullback — possibly back to around $125K. That’s about a 25% drop. Nothing scary, just a typical correction to shake out the weak hands before the next leg.
Step C – Final Move to $177,000
From there, I see Bitcoin pushing one more time to a final high around $177K. That would complete the A-B-C pattern I’m tracking on the monthly chart.
Summary
We're currently around $109K.
First target = $167K
Possible pullback = $125K
Final high = $177K
I think we’re in the early stages of a big move. The old highs are behind us. Above here? It’s clear skies.
⚠️ DISCLAIMER:
This is not financial advice. Just sharing how I see the chart. Always do your own research and manage your risk. The market doesn’t owe us anything.
Stay sharp out there.
– Lord MEDZ
BTCUSD Analysis : Structural Analysis + Mini Reversal + TargetStrong Breakout | Parabolic Structure | Key Reversal Zone Ahead
🧠 Chart Breakdown:
This BTCUSD chart reflects a powerful bullish structure forming off a Black Mind Curve Support, pushing price into a key Mini Reversal Area. You've mapped this move with textbook price action using BOS, structure shifts, parabolic curve, and zone-based anticipation. Let’s break it down.
🌀 Black Mind Curve Support
The parabolic curve labeled as "Black Mind Curve Support" is the backbone of this rally.
Price has been respecting the curve on every pullback, showing accelerating bullish momentum.
This curve represents buyer-controlled sentiment, pushing price vertically as we get closer to the upper zone.
✅ Break of Structure (BOS)
You've identified both:
Minor BOS: Where initial resistance was taken out
Major BOS: Confirmation of a trend reversal from previous highs
These BOS levels show clear demand stepping in and old resistance being flipped.
📍 QFL Base Breakout (QFL – Quick Flip Logic)
Price action also shows a QFL-type breakout, where consolidation gives way to an impulsive move.
The label “QFL” marks the exact launch point.
This is where many smart money entries would happen, confirming breakout strength.
📈 Current Price Movement
Price has now surged strongly and is trading near $117,900+, heading straight into the Mini Reversal Area (just below $120,000).
This green zone is likely to:
Act as a short-term supply/resistance zone
Trigger possible profit-taking or a consolidation phase
You've mapped out a high-probability price reaction within this area using both structure and pattern logic.
🔄 Expected Scenarios
🔼 Bullish Breakout & Continuation
If price consolidates above $118K and breaks $120K cleanly:
Possible next targets: $122,000 → $124,000+
Structure will continue to follow the curve and momentum
🔁 Rejection & Pullback
If BTC faces rejection inside the Mini Reversal Area:
Pullback could revisit $114K–$112K range
This would still respect the parabolic curve, offering new long opportunities
The path drawn in your chart already suggests a consolidation phase followed by another bullish wave — a smart expectation.
🧩 Why This Chart is High Quality
Clean structure mapping: BOS + QFL + Mini Reversal Zone
Use of Mind Curve reflects dynamic price acceleration (not just horizontal zones)
Predicts market behavior, not just direction
Visually easy to follow for any trader — beginner or advanced
🔐 Final Thoughts
This BTCUSD setup is extremely relevant as Bitcoin tests one of the most critical zones of the current cycle. Your chart highlights structure, momentum, and a probable roadmap forward. Watch how price behaves inside the Mini Reversal Area — that’s where the next move will be born.
BTC re-accumulation and >140k$The year started from manipulation on CRYPTOCAP:BTC and the whole crypto market after Trump's tariff announcement.
Since the start of the summer season, we've already seen another manipulation between Trump and Elon Musk.
On BTC I see weekly FVG and good pinbar candle. I guess we have already entered to consolidaton and summer will also consolidation, but starting from august we will see the final uptrend with euphoria which can finish on October nearly 241.000$ on BTC, but let's see it later
I think this period will be light with base summer and $MOCHI because it's a memecoin which holds the bottom well , when in that time another altcoins are making another bottom
Bitcoin H1 | Bullish uptrend to extend higher?Bitcoin (BTC/USD) could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 116,469.00 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 115,000.00 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 119,095.85 which is a resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
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Bitcoin Smashes Records, Hits $117,000Bitcoin has climbed to a new all-time high of approximately $117,000, gaining further credibility as an institutional asset class. Strong demand from ETFs, growing mainstream adoption, and a favourable stance from President Trump regarding crypto regulation are all contributing to this momentum.
As Bitcoin grows in market cap and adoption, its volatility has been slightly dampened, but it remains highly reactive at technical pivot points.
Technical View (BTC/USD):
The next resistance sits at $118,000, which also coincides with the 161% Fibonacci extension level. If price stalls here, expect potential pullbacks toward $114,000 or even down to $110,000. However, a confirmed breakout above $118,000 could re-establish a new bullish leg.
Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar 4-Hour Chart (BTCUSD)4-hour chart displays the recent price movement of Bitcoin (BTC) against the U.S. Dollar (USD) as of July 11, 2025. The current price is $117,979.53, reflecting a 4-hour increase of $1,938.91 (+1.67%). The chart highlights a significant upward trend, with a notable breakout above the $114,719.92 resistance level, reaching up to $121,362.93. Key price levels include support at $116,625.93 and resistance at $121,362.93, with buy and sell options marked at the current price.
Price action is the vehicle—but these charts show the road aheadIn the world of trading, technical analysis often gets the spotlight—candlesticks, moving averages, and indicators. But beneath every price movement lies a deeper current: macroeconomic forces. These forces shape the environment in which all trades happen.
Great traders don’t just react to price—they understand the context behind it. That context is found in macro charts: the financial “weather maps” of markets. These charts reveal whether capital is flowing toward risk or safety, whether inflation is heating up or cooling down, and whether liquidity is expanding or shrinking.
In this post, we’ll explore 10 macro charts that can elevate your edge, backed by proven examples of how they’ve helped traders stay on the right side of the market. These aren't just charts—they’re market truths in visual form.
1️⃣ DXY – U.S. Dollar Index
Why it matters:
The U.S. dollar affects everything: commodities, stocks, global trade, and especially forex. The DXY measures its strength against major currencies.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2022, DXY surged past 110 due to aggressive Fed rate hikes. This crushed EURUSD, pressured gold, and triggered a global risk-off move. Traders who tracked DXY rode USD strength across the board.
💡 Use it to: Confirm trends in FX and commodities. Strong DXY = bearish pressure on gold and risk assets.
2️⃣ US10Y – 10-Year Treasury Yield
Why it matters:
This is the benchmark for interest rates and inflation expectations. It guides borrowing costs, equity valuations, and safe-haven flows.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2023, the 10Y spiked from 3.5% to nearly 5%, leading to weakness in growth stocks and boosting USD/JPY. Bond traders saw it first—equities followed.
💡 Use it to: Anticipate moves in growth vs. value stocks, and confirm macro themes like inflation or deflation.
3️⃣ Fed Dot Plot
Why it matters:
This is the Fed’s forward guidance in visual form. Each dot shows where a policymaker expects interest rates to be in the future.
📉 Chart Reference:
In Dec 2021, the dot plot signaled a faster pace of hikes than the market expected. Those who caught the shift front-ran the USD rally and equity correction in early 2022.
💡 Use it to: Predict future rate policy and align your macro bias with the Fed's path.
4️⃣ M2 Money Supply (US)
Why it matters:
This chart tracks the amount of money in the system. More liquidity = fuel for risk. Less = tightening conditions.
📉 Chart Reference:
After COVID hit, M2 exploded, leading to a major bull run in stocks and crypto. When M2 began contracting in 2022, asset prices peaked and reversed.
💡 Use it to: Gauge macro liquidity conditions. Expansion is bullish; contraction is dangerous.
5️⃣ Copper/Gold Ratio
Why it matters:
Copper is a growth metal; gold is a fear hedge. Their ratio acts as a risk-on/risk-off indicator.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2021, the copper/gold ratio surged—signaling growth and optimism. This preceded strong gains in cyclical equities and commodity currencies like AUD and CAD.
💡 Use it to: Confirm risk sentiment and lead equity or FX trends.
6️⃣ VIX – Volatility Index
Why it matters:
VIX tracks expected volatility in the S&P 500. It's often called the "fear index."
📉Chart Reference :
In March 2020, VIX spiked to nearly 90 as COVID panic set in. This extreme fear was followed by one of the greatest buying opportunities of the decade.
💡 Use it to: Time entries and exits. High VIX = fear = possible reversal. Low VIX = complacency = caution.
7️⃣ Real Yields (10Y TIPS - CPI)
Why it matters:
Shows the inflation-adjusted return on bonds. Real yields affect gold, tech, and risk appetite.
📉Chart Reference :
In 2022, real yields went from deeply negative to positive—crushing gold and high-growth stocks.
💡 Use it to: Confirm direction in gold, NASDAQ, and broad macro trends.
8️⃣ Oil Prices (WTI or Brent)
Why it matters:
Oil is both a growth and inflation input. Rising prices mean higher costs and often precede policy tightening.
📉Chart Reference :
Oil’s rally in early 2022 foreshadowed CPI spikes and led central banks to turn hawkish. Traders who tracked it saw inflation risks building early.
💡 Use it to: Forecast inflation, assess energy-related equities, and understand global demand.
9️⃣ Global PMIs (Purchasing Managers’ Indexes)
Why it matters:
Leading indicator of economic health. PMIs above 50 = expansion. Below 50 = contraction.
📉 Chart Reference:
In 2023, China’s PMI consistently printed below 50—signaling manufacturing weakness and global demand concerns. This helped traders avoid overexposure to emerging markets.
💡 Use it to: Gauge growth momentum globally and regionally.
🔟 SPX vs. Equal-Weighted SPX (Breadth Divergence)
Why it matters:
Shows whether the S&P 500 rally is broad-based or just driven by a few megacaps.
📉Chart Reference :
In early 2024, the index made new highs—but the equal-weighted version lagged badly. That divergence warned traders of a fragile rally.
💡 Use it to: Detect weakness beneath the surface and avoid false confidence in rallies.
🧠 Nerdy Tip: Macro Is the Invisible Hand
These charts don’t give you trade entries—but they give you conviction, timing, and perspective.
When you combine macro context with technical setups, you trade in sync with the market’s deeper rhythm.
So before you place your next trade, ask yourself:
What are yields doing?
Is liquidity expanding or drying up?
Is risk appetite rising or falling?
put together by : @currencynerd as Pako Phutietsile
QUICK TRADE - GOING LONG IN BTCUSDCOINBASE:BTCUSD QUICK TRADE - GOING LONG IN BTCUSD📈
Yesterday bitcoin unexpectedly hit the all-time high 112,000.00 level. Since after that the asset has been shaping the pennant chart pattern, which may be just a consolidation before next bullish impulse. In this case I consider openning
🔼 a buy stop order at 111458.95 with
💰a take profit at 113984.10 and
❌a stop loss at 110591.05
If this happens and we break the resistance level of 112,000.00, we may expect the bullish impulse climb towards 114,000.00 level (my take profit in this case is just below it). Let's see.