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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin's left translated cycle - new lowsLet’s analyze both Cycle Market theories separately: 60-Day Cycle Status Bitcoin printed a new cycle low on February 28. While many expected a rebound, it carved another low a week later, leading into a left-translated cycle (price trends downward for over half the cycle). We’re now on day 16, hovering just above the $78,000 low. Further downside is likely in coming weeks. Multi-Timeframe Cycle Breakdown 2-Week Cycle: Will dip below 20 by Monday’s close, marking the start of accumulation (long-term oversold conditions). 1-Week Cycle: Broken below 20 and stuck there for two months – a reversal is imminent, signaling mid-term upside. 3-Day Cycle: Also below 20, confirming short-term bullish momentum. 1-Day Cycle: Topping above 80, hinting at a brief pullback soon. Consensus : Both theories suggest a rally toward the 60-Day Cycle high (days 20-30), aligning with the 3-Day Cycle peak. However, we may see one final dip when the 3-Day Cycle resets to 20 before the bull run resumes.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheStrategyMaster
1
Bitcoin - Market outlook for the upcoming weeksLiquidity Sweep of the Last 4-Hour Low Last week, Bitcoin pulled a classic sell-side liquidity sweep by breaking below the last 4-hour low. This move likely targeted stop-loss orders placed by long traders and trapped breakout sellers. The price dipped sharply below this key level but quickly reversed upward, signaling a potential bullish reversal. Such movements are often orchestrated by institutional players or "smart money" to accumulate liquidity before driving the market in their desired direction Key characteristics of this liquidity sweep include: Key Liquidity Zone: The 4-hour low acted as a critical support level where many traders had stop-loss orders. Sharp Price Spike Below: The price briefly dipped below this level, triggering stop-losses and enticing short sellers. Aggressive Reversal: Following the sweep, the price rebounded strongly, forming bullish rejection candles on lower timeframes. This confirms the sweep and suggests that smart money may now push prices higher Resistance Zone and Current Market Structure The current resistance level is marked by the blue zone, which represents a key imbalance area. For the bullish reversal to gain momentum, Bitcoin must break above this resistance convincingly. A breakout above this zone would: Confirm a shift in market structure to bullish. Likely lead to a retest of the resistance zone as new support (a common breakout strategy). Open the door for further upside movement toward higher targets. However, if Bitcoin fails to break above this resistance, it could indicate continued consolidation or even another test of lower levels. Impact of Today’s PPI Dat a The U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that the Producer Price Index for final demand was unchanged in February 2025, seasonally adjusted. This figure came in below economists expectations of a 0.3% increase. Even tho Bitcoin did not react to this right now, it could still show some signs later. Conclusion The sell-side liquidity sweep below the last 4-hour low is a textbook example of smart money manipulation, setting the stage for a potential bullish reversal. Traders should closely monitor the blue resistance zone for signs of a breakout or rejection. Additionally, today’s PPI data adds another layer of complexity to market dynamics, potentially swaying sentiment depending on whether it signals inflationary pressures or relief. __________________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like 👍 and leave a comment, I’d love to hear your thoughts! 🚀 Make sure to follow me for more price action insights, free indicators, and trading strategies. Let’s grow and trade smarter together! 📈
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by TehThomas
30
BTCUSDT TRADING POINT UPDATE >READ THE CHPTAIANBuddy'S dear friend SMC Trading Signals Update 🗾🗺️ crypto Traders SMC-Trading Point update you on New technical analysis setup for crypto BTC USDT. ) list time post signals 💯 reached target point ) 👉 New technical analysis setup BTC USDT looking for bullish trend 📈 FVG level support level. 83k 82k support level 87k 88k resistance level ). Guys 🤝 good luck 💯💯 Key Resistance level 87k + 88k Key Support level 83k - 82kà Mr SMC Trading point Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by SMC-Trading-Point
Cocoa and Bitcoin: Correlation or Mere Coincidence? Since January of 2023, the price of Cocoa Futures and the price of Bitcoin have demonstrated a highly positive correlation. 115 data points of weekly close prices of Bitcoin and Cocoa Futures were entered into a correlation coefficient calculator between January 1st, 2023 and March 15th, 2025. This yielded an output of r=.9289 representing a strong positive correlation. The correlation in price movement becomes even more clear if we look at the charts going back to early 2023. As you can see below, both Bitcoin (top) and Cocoa Futures (bottom) have moved in nearly identical patterns. There are even some local bottoms and tops that line up to the day. For example, temporal markers such as Election Day (November 5, 2024) and Inauguration Day (January 20, 2025) that very closely mark the start of a local uptrend and local downtrend, respectively, for the price of both assets. Recent Cocoa price increases and volatility have mainly been attributed to decreases in supply, driven by adverse weather conditions in West Africa, crop diseases, supply chain disruptions and strong global demand. While all of these factors clearly play into Cocoa’s price volatility, we cannot discount the uncanny correlation of price movement simultaneously occurring in Bitcoin which is completely unaffected by the aforementioned supply factors.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by ptm310
2
BTC/USD Analysis & Trade Idea - Zooming Out Market Structure & Key Levels Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has recently faced a significant correction after reaching local highs, now testing a key demand zone. The structure indicates a potential reversal or further downside if support fails. - Support Zones: - $73,805 – Currently acting as support; a breakdown could trigger more downside. - $68,997 – A strong demand area that previously led to a bullish breakout. - $61,206 – A deeper retracement level and a key zone for long-term buyers. - Resistance Levels: - $84,304 – A critical resistance where price may face rejection. - $93,401 – A major supply zone; breaking above would confirm bullish momentum. Price Action & Potential Scenario - BTC is testing $73,800 , a key inflection point. A strong bounce could push price toward $84,300 , while a breakdown may lead to $69,000 or lower. - Price recently rejected from local highs, suggesting increased selling pressure . - A confirmed reclaim of $84,300+ would be a bullish confirmation for another leg up. Trade Outlook 📈 Bullish Scenario : If BTC holds above $73,800 and breaks $84,300 , a rally toward $93,400 could follow. 📉 Bearish Scenario : A breakdown below $73,800 could lead to a retest of $69,000 and possibly $61,200 in a deeper correction. Conclusion Bitcoin remains at a key decision point. Holding support could fuel a reversal, while failure to maintain $73,800 may trigger further downside. Watch for price action confirmation before taking positions. --- Disclaimer This analysis is for informational purposes only and reflects my personal views. It is not financial advice. I am not responsible for any trading or investment decisions you make. Always do your own research and consult a professional before investing.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by Gyomeix
BTCUSD Symmetrical pattern, Short trade. *Tools & Patterns Used in This Chart (BTC/USD - 30m Chart)* #### *Chart Pattern:* 1. *Symmetrical Triangle Pattern* - Formed by two *trend lines* converging towards a point. - Indicates a potential *breakout*, in this case, a bullish breakout. #### *Tools & Annotations Used:* 1. *Trend Lines* - Two *diagonal trend lines* form the *triangle pattern*, marking support and resistance. 2. *Entry Point (ENTRY)* - Clearly marked where the breakout is expected to occur. 3. *Point of Interest (POI)* - Marks a *key level* where price is expected to react before moving further. 4. *Take Profit (TP) & Stop Loss (SL) Levels* - *TP (Take Profit):* Set at *85,850*, marking the expected bullish target. - *SL (Stop Loss):* Set at *83,972*, ensuring risk management. 5. *Measured Move Projection* - The green *vertical box* represents the expected price move after the breakout. 6. *Price Percentage Movements (33%)* - Marked throughout the chart to indicate *retracements and impulses*. #### *Conclusion:* - *Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Strategy* is applied. - Tools used: *Trend Lines, Entry & POI Markers, TP & SL Levels, Percentage Movements.* - Expected price movement: *Bullish breakout with a target around 85,850*. Would you like more details on how to trade this pattern effectively?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by David_1_8
1
BTCUSD Trading StrategyBitcoin is currently trading at approximately $84,364.87, with a 24-hour gain of 2.96% and a 7-day cumulative decline of -2.81%. Recently, influenced by news about the Trump administration's strategic reserves, the price experienced a "sell-the-news" style pullback, retreating from its high of around $100,000 to consolidate within the $80,000 range. The short-term support level stands at $74,000, while the resistance level is at $85,000. Bitcoin Trading Strategy sell @ 90000 buy @ 78000 If you're currently dissatisfied with your Bitcoin trading outcomes and seeking daily accurate trading signals, you can follow my analysis for potential assistance.
BINANCE:BTCUSDLong
by George_Lester
KEEP SHORTS FOR 50% CORRECTIONPrice has been trading tops and bottoms within well defined harmonic forms. The third major top was at 68997.75+/- level and corrected to a bottom at 15473.78 on 21/11/2022. From the primary bottom on 05/10/2009 to this bottom we have a timeline 685 weeks forming the horizontal x-axis and price change +689.9775 the vertical y-axis. 05/10/2009 - 21/11/2022 = 4795 days / 685 weeks / 157.5 months From this we have: Price: 0.00 - 68997.75 - 15473.78 (Price change = 689.9775 * 10) pts Time: 05/10/2009 - 21/11/2022 (Time count = 685 weeks) This sets the pace for the expansion forms, price reached 73757.39 from 15473.78 and corrected again to 49217.00 on 05/08/2024, a price change of (+737.5739 * 10) from the primary low and 774 weeks time count. That gives a (737.5739 x 774) structure expanded from (689.9775 x 685). From 68997.75 which is the (1/Phi) level the next expansion would be a (+1087.00 +/-) pts of which price made a top at 109354.00. This would be the 1.0 or the (1 x 1) Gann square of price and time. Price has reached the 1.0 top, time made 798 weeks at this top. From a (1 x 1) Gann square which is usually the smallest expanded structure we would have a 50% decomposition which we expect price to reach at least the 52400.00 level if we break through the 68997k top. Since time is still lagging price by 208 weeks +/- it suggest two possible scenarios to consider. Check back as we make time projections and price levels to expect forward. Good luck, manage risks responsibly.
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by Fairmont-Markets
Bitcoin Might Be Forming a New Ending Diagonal!! (Preliminary Analysis – No Clear Confirmation Yet) The only factor supporting the diagonal possibility is that the rise marked in red is not an impulsive wave, which could indicate a classic ending diagonal formation. However, the starting point of the third wave of the diagonal remains uncertain. It could start from the current level or after a drop to around 60K before initiating an upward move. As stated in the title, this analysis lacks strong confirmations and should be viewed as an early observation. 🔍📉📈
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by BuCKaRo0
BITCOIN Is Very Bearish! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for BITCOIN. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 84,591.77. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 76,443.59. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:BTCUSDShort
by SignalProvider
1
Falling wedge found on Daily TimeframeYou're absolutely right, the falling wedge pattern often suggests a potential breakout to the upside, but it's important to be cautious. That "bleed off" to around 70k could still be part of a larger consolidation before a big move. If we break down out of the wedge, it would definitely signal more bearish market sentiment, especially considering the broader macro risks you're highlighting like geopolitical instability, health crises, and climate concerns. It's a bit of a nerve-wracking but exciting situation, especially with the unpredictable nature of markets these days. How are you thinking of positioning yourself in this scenario? Holding out for the breakout, or preparing for the downside risk as well?
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by frmnCapital
Bitcoin Reversal or Dead Cat Bounce? Here's My Trading Plan! Analyzing BTC on the higher timeframe, we observe a clear structural shift in the prevailing trend 📊. Dropping down to the 4-hour chart, there is a decisive bullish break 📈, leaving behind an imbalance following the initial move—an area that could serve as a retracement target 🎯. Notably, this imbalance aligns with a Fibonacci retracement into equilibrium 📐, adding confluence to the setup. I am considering a long position 💰, but only if the key conditions outlined in the video materialize ✅. If those conditions fail to align, I will discard this trade idea ❌. ⚠️ Not financial advice.
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSD
by fxtraderanthony
BTC/USD – 30-Min Long Trade Setup!📌 🚀 🔹 Asset: Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 🔹 Timeframe: 30-Min Chart 🔹 Setup Type: Bullish Pennant Breakout 📊 Trade Plan (Long Position) ✅ Entry Zone: Above $84,150 (Breakout Confirmation) ✅ Stop-Loss (SL): Below $82,533 (Key Support Level) 🎯 Take Profit Targets: 📌 TP1: $85,756 (Resistance Level) 📌 TP2: $87,951 (Extended Bullish Move) 📊 Risk-Reward Ratio Calculation 📉 Risk (SL Distance): $84,150 - $82,533 = $1,617 risk per BTC 📈 Reward to TP1: $85,756 - $84,150 = $1,606 (1:1 R/R) 📈 Reward to TP2: $87,951 - $84,150 = $3,801 (1:2.35 R/R) 🔍 Technical Analysis & Strategy 📌 Bullish Pennant Formation: Price consolidating within a triangle after an uptrend, signaling a continuation breakout. 📌 Trendline Support: Uptrend support intact, breakout above triangle confirms momentum. 📌 Volume Confirmation Needed: Look for strong green candle with high volume above $84,150. 📌 Resistance at $85,756: Breaking this level could push BTC to $87,951. 📉 Trade Execution & Risk Management 📊 Volume Confirmation: Ensure above-average volume on breakout. 📉 Trailing Stop Strategy: Move SL to entry ($84,150) after TP1 ($85,756) is hit. 💰 Partial Profit Booking Strategy: ✔ Take 50% profits at $85,756, let the rest run toward $87,951. ✔ Adjust Stop-Loss to Break-even ($84,150) after TP1 is reached. ⚠️ Fake Breakout Risk ❌ If price fails to hold above $84,150, exit early. ❌ Wait for a 30-min candle close above breakout level before entering. 🚀 Final Thoughts ✔ Bullish Setup – Strong breakout potential. ✔ Momentum Shift Possible – Watch for volume confirmation. ✔ Favorable Risk-Reward Ratio – 1:2.35 to TP2. 💡 Stick to the plan, manage risk, and trade smart! 🚀📈 🔗 #Bitcoin 🔥 #CryptoTrading 📊 #BTCUSD 🚀 #ProfittoPath 📈 #TradingView 📉 #CryptoMarket 💰
MARKETSCOM:BITCOINLong
by ProfittoPath
BTC to Quarter MilBitcoin's Path to $253,000 We are predicting a move to $253,000 for Bitcoin, fueled by a potential short squeeze that could ignite an explosive rally. Key Targets: First Target: $144,000 Second Target: $185,000 Third Target: $253,000 Short Squeeze Setup: Bitcoin's current structure shows signs of a bear trap, with an increasing number of shorts piling in around resistance levels. A break above critical liquidity zones could force mass liquidations, triggering cascading buy orders and accelerating BTC's move upward. Liquidation clusters: ~$75,000 - $85,000 Breakout threshold: $93,000 Parabolic acceleration: Once above $144K Why This Move is Imminent: High Open Interest in Shorts – Short positioning at resistance levels is increasing the likelihood of a squeeze. Post-Halving Supply Shock – Reduced miner selling pressure strengthens upside momentum. Institutional Accumulation – Large players are absorbing liquidity, preparing for the next leg up. Conclusion: If BTC clears the $85K-$93K range, short liquidations could catapult price action straight to $144K, where the next wave of FOMO will likely drive it further toward $185K and beyond. 🔥 Short squeeze ignition incoming – Are you positioned for the breakout? 🔥
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Whisperwave
1
BTC/USD - Bearish Setup | Potential Drop to 76,500!Pair: Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar (BTC/USD) Timeframe: 4H (BITSTAMP) 📉 Bearish Signal Alert! 🚨 Bitcoin is currently trading around $83,925, and we are seeing strong resistance near the $89,000 level. Based on technical analysis, BTC is likely to face rejection and head lower toward key support levels. 🔥 Trade Setup: 🔴 Stop Loss: $89,000 (Above resistance zone) 🟢 Take Profit 1: $79,500 (First support) 🟢 Take Profit 2: $76,500 (Final target) 📊 Technical Outlook: Price is moving inside a strong resistance zone (red area). Expecting a breakdown if rejection occurs near $83,900-$84,000. Key support at $79,500, followed by $76,500 if momentum continues. 💡 Traders should watch for rejection around $84,000 before entering shorts! If BTC breaks $76,500, we could see even lower levels! 📩 What’s your BTC target? Drop your thoughts in the comments!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FX_PREMIERE
Beware of the failed rally 89k is a key area here, if Bitcoin fails to flip this level I think it’ll mark the end of the bull cycle. This entire move up looks like the final 5th Wave according to my count. This would mark the end of crypto bull cycle. But this could be invalidated if we break past 90k with strong volume. If we observe the previous 5 Wave move down during the last peak, you’ll notice the 0.382 and 0.5 Fib was the place to short Bitcoin during its dead cat bounce. So this could be the time to be looking at such a move. Not financial advice, just my thoughts.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by NoFOMO_
BTCUSD: Phase 4 of Bull Cycle just started.Bitcoin is about to turn neutral again on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.562, MACD = -3343.000, ADX = 34.423) as it is making a big 1W comeback on this week's candle following a nearly perfect touch of the 1W MA50. Every test of the 1W MA50, as well as every test of the S1 1W RSI level, has been a straight buy opportunity inside the Bull Cycle's Channel Up since the very begining of the November 2022 bottom. As first the price action was concentrated on the lower half of the Channel Up (green zone) but since February 2024 it has been primarily on the upper half (blue zone) as the rallies got more aggressive, with the only exceptions being the 1W MA50 tests such as the current one (green Arcs). Every bottom rebound has increased by at least +98.76%, so that gives us a peak estimate of TP = 150,000. An temprary high around 120k and pullback to 100-90k is a possible scenario based on all previous rallies/ Phases. Phase 4, which should technicall be the final of the Bull Cycle, has just started. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by InvestingScope