BTCUSD trade ideas
Mooooooooooon! This capitulation period could be the end of a bearish butterfly / failed break of the range low.
If it is, then it'll be uppy from here.
Very tight tolerance for stops here. If this fails it could be absolutely horrific. But markets have what I suspect to be wash out low properties.
I'll try one more batch of longs and if they don't work write that off as misadventure.
Best chance of a bigger rally to date so far in BTC now I think.
BTC SHORT TP:77,200 07-04-2025⚠️ Despite its recent recovery, Bitcoin is showing bearish patterns on the 1-hour and 2-hour timeframes. That's why I'm targeting a short at 77,300.
This analysis is based on those timeframes, so we expect it to develop in the next 12 hours; otherwise, it will be invalidated.
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Bitcoin Plan.I tried to explain simply the things to pay attention to.
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$75K BIT COIN: ReboundSo, since my last forecast we've finally after a few weeks reached the $75K mark. Is the bloodshed over? No.
Price is respecting areas where pivots happens based on the data thus far it is moving in a sellers market profile since it made its sharp decline on entering February 2025. At the end of February it was confirmed with the selloff that took it down to$78K and has a sharp bounce reaction as the buyers were getting squeezed the pressure was on there was profit taking also causing a selloff ripple effect.
Now finally having just tapped below $75K and briefly bounced, is the nightmare over? Based on the economic outlook my take is, we're not done with down momentum. I would expect price to dabble inside the two black horizontal lines and try to balance itself in this area $70-$65K. But that doesn't mean it cannot continue to bomb dive to a psychological price level $50K which makes total sense after hitting $100K.
Understand that all other coins have lost nearly or more of their value. If you were on the sidelines and cashed out at the highs consider yourself smart or lucky or both-- that was a good move. But are you considering buying at what some consider this to be a 'discount selloff' to buy the dip and HODL once more for a return to ATH?
Crypto tends to do its run during Fall/Winder. Is it smart to buy now or wait more mid-summer to start loading up the boat?
What are your thoughts!
BTCUSD capped by resistance at 84,600Recent price action in Bitcoin (BTCUSD) suggests an oversold bounce, with resistance capping gains at the 88,000 level. The continuation of selling pressure could extend the downside move, with key support levels at 76,144, followed by 74,420 and 73,283.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 84,600, accompanied by a daily close higher, would invalidate the bearish outlook. In this scenario, Bitcoin could target 88,000, with further resistance at 91,890.
Conclusion:
The price remains below pivotal level, with 88,000 acting as a key resistance. Failure to break above this level could reinforce downside risks, while a breakout could shift momentum back in favor of bulls. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
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#BTC/USD ANALYSIS. (BULLISH)Bitcoin Price Action Analysis. The Next Big Move?
Bitcoin is moving within an ascending channel, showing strong bullish momentum! However, a key decision point is approaching as the price nears a critical support zone (highlighted in blue). If BTC holds above this level, we could see a strong push towards the $91,500 resistance and potentially break into the $94,700 range.
A well structured risk-to-reward setup is in play, with a potential bullish breakout targeting new highs. Will BTC sustain its momentum, or will we see a retracement before the next leg up? Stay sharp and trade wisely! We will execute our trades only after receiving bullish confirmation.
Use proper stoploss and proper money management.
This is just my analysis. Observe the behavior of price how it will react.
#BTCUSD 2H Technical Analysis Expected Move.
BTC/USD Weekly Analysis – Cup and Handle Breakout Toward Target🔍 Overview
The chart displays a classic Cup and Handle pattern on the weekly timeframe, a well-established bullish continuation formation often found in long-term uptrends. This pattern, combined with major technical confluences such as trendline support and strong horizontal levels, provides a high-conviction long setup with defined risk and reward.
☕ 1. The Cup Formation
Timeframe: Mid-2021 to early 2024
Shape: Rounded bottom, a hallmark of slow accumulation.
After reaching an all-time high in late 2021, BTC entered a bear market, dropping sharply and eventually bottoming out between $15,000–$20,000.
A gradual recovery followed, forming a wide and symmetrical base—indicating accumulation by institutional and long-term holders.
This phase represents a shift in market sentiment, from bearish to neutral, and eventually bullish, as buyers stepped in around key demand zones.
🔧 2. The Handle Formation
Timeframe: Early 2024 to late 2024
After reclaiming its previous high resistance area near $69,000–$75,000, BTC formed a short-term consolidation or pullback, creating the "handle" portion of the pattern.
The handle appeared as a descending channel, a healthy correction that typically precedes a breakout in this pattern.
This correction also aligned with a trendline retest, offering dynamic support and further strengthening the pattern's reliability.
💥 3. Breakout Confirmation
The breakout from the handle occurred above the descending resistance of the handle pattern.
Weekly candles showed strong bullish momentum, backed by rising volume and rejection from lower trendline levels.
BTC is now trading near $83,000, just above the trendline, confirming both pattern validation and support holding.
🎯 4. Target & Projection
The measured move of the Cup and Handle pattern is calculated by measuring the depth of the cup and projecting that from the breakout point.
Cup Depth: Approximately $60,000
Breakout Point: ~$75,000–$80,000
Target Price: ~$123,000–$125,000
This target aligns with historical Fibonacci extensions and psychological round-number resistance.
🔐 5. Key Levels
Support Zone: $20,000–$30,000 (multi-year accumulation base)
Trendline Support: Drawn from 2022 lows, holding well through handle correction
Resistance Zone: $100,000 psychological barrier
Stop Loss: Placed just below trendline and swing low at $76,340 to protect against downside volatility
🧠 Why This Setup is Strong
Multi-year Base Formation (2.5+ years of consolidation)
Pattern Reliability: Cup and Handle is a well-tested bullish continuation pattern
Confluence of Support: Both horizontal and dynamic trendline support levels
Momentum Structure: BTC has resumed higher highs and higher lows
Volume: Breakout occurred with a noticeable spike in volume, a key validation point
🏁 Conclusion
Bitcoin is displaying strong bullish potential through a large-scale Cup and Handle pattern. This technical setup is supported by:
Long-term accumulation
Structural breakout
Strong support levels
A clear roadmap toward $120K+ targets
As long as BTC maintains above the trendline and doesn't invalidate the handle's structure, the bulls remain firmly in control.
Bitcoin Bubble at $70K? Prepare for ImpactBitcoin recently faced strong rejection near the $81,000 level, forming a potential double top pattern on the higher timeframes. This classic bearish reversal setup is now playing out, as price action has begun to decline from the second peak.
Adding to the bearish confluence, the MACD has confirmed a bearish crossover, signaling weakening momentum and a potential trend reversal. The rejection at $81K aligns with historical resistance, and price has failed to break above it despite multiple attempts.
Going forward, there are two key scenarios to watch:
Retest of the $76,700 zone – A minor support area that could offer a bounce or consolidation before the next move.
Deeper pullback towards $70,000 – If bearish pressure continues, CRYPTOCAP:BTC could head lower to test this psychological and technical support level.
Bitcoin Long, but not yet! Waiting for discountArea between 75k-70k is a nice discount for bitcoin and area I hoped we will get to since december. Because prices back then were to high to buy. Wait for lows from last month to be taken out. If 70k don't hold next big area and even better to enter longs is between 55k-50k. It would be amazing discount and opportunity for long term holders on Bitcoin. Imagine 50% sale from 100k!
BITCOIN I H1 CLS within Daily CLS I Model 2 I 50% TP1 and HoldHey Traders!!
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Bearish drop?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 81,250.81
1st Support: 74,377.30
1st Resistance: 84,581.33
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BITCOIN | 1 DAY | '' Bitcoin will fall to $72,000 ''Hey everyone 💙
In the long run, I expect BINANCE:BTCUSD to drop to around $72,000. But don’t worry—this could actually be a sign of a massive rally ahead. If you're holding spot positions, there's no need to panic!
Big moves up often come after strong corrections. In my opinion, this dip is just a profit-taking phase, and the whales are setting the stage to push Bitcoin above $100K in the long term.
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I think crypto bulls are about to run out of time. For a long time I've tried my best here to take every single conceivable angle to explain why it's ENTRIURELY STUPID to be led into believing there's a simple and repeatable cycle to these things.
I've tried being nice. Tried being mean. Tried TA. Tried logic. Tried getting ChatGPT to write me posts. Tried debating. Tried being friendly.
I've tried all I can.
If I have this right, you're about to run out of time.
Read this:
And read this:
IGNORE THE OPINIONS OF PEOPLE FOOLISH ENOUGH TO HAVE TRICKED THEMSELVES INTO THINKING THEY KNOW THE FUTURE.