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BTCUSD trade ideas

Bitcoin, Interest rates & Key fundamental points since 2021 The Growing question is just how much does the American Federal Reserve interest rate changes effect Bitcoin. We can see how in 2022, it appears they did but from late 2022 and early 2023, it doesn't seem to. Bitcoin began its rise even while rates were being put up. The Fundimental Key points may have had more impact but again, there are moments were we can see something that should have been Great for BTC, had little effect and Visa Versa. Has Bitcon Truly Broken away from being effected by the worlds "largest" economy ? We are currently seeing the ever growing threat of WW3 and Rates being Kept artificially High by the US Fed Reserve. The EU Central banks has already reduced its rate twice while the USA remained with no change ) And Bitcoin remains stable. And Bitcoins international adoption continues. STACK SATS
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Orriginal
โ‚ฟitcoin: SetbackBitcoin has come under selling pressure in recent hours. We cannot rule out that a deeper dip may precede the next leg higher into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891. Once green wave B concludes in this range, we anticipate a wave C decline into the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323 to complete the larger orange wave a. From there, a corrective rally in orange wave b is expected, which should set the stage for a final leg lower to finalize blue wave (ii). Meanwhile, weโ€™re still monitoring the alternative scenario (30% probability), in which blue wave alt.(i) is still in progress. In this case, BTC would stage an immediate breakout above resistance at $130,891. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MarketIntel
Bitcoin - The Elevated Cycle and the Silence Before Powell.โŠข โŸ BTC/USD โ€“ Bitstamp โ€“ (CHART: 1M) โ€“ (June 18, 2025). โŸ Analysis Price: $104,044.00 โŠข โจ€ I. Temporal Axis โ€“ Strategic Interval โ€“ (1M): โ–ฆ EMA90 โ€“ ($39,909.00): โˆด Rising steadily, serving as long-cycle structural support since 2020; โˆด Price remains well above this average, with no signs of downward pressure; โˆด The positive slope confirms ongoing bullish macro structure. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: EMA90 holds the foundational base of the long-term uptrend with ample buffer. โŠข โ–ฆ SMA50 โ€“ ($48,924.00): โˆด Key axis of mid-to-long-term structure, validated by multiple touches during 2022โ€“2023; โˆด Current price distance suggests technical room for retracement; โˆด Still rising with no sign of flattening or decay. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: SMA50 confirms trend integrity, though overextension calls for caution. โŠข โ–ฆ Ichimoku (Kumo & Lines) โ€“ (85,434 | 68,378 | 104,044 | 76,906 | 63,740): โˆด Price remains well above the Kumo cloud โ€“ full bullish confirmation; โˆด Tenkan and Kijun are aligned in bullish configuration, widely spread; โˆด Future cloud projects bullish momentum continuation. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: Complete Ichimoku structure signals dominant cycle strength. โŠข โ–ฆ MACD (12,26,9) โ€“ (2,344 | 16,426 | 14,083): โˆด MACD line remains above the signal, maintaining a monthly buy signal; โˆด Histogram shows mild expansion, but slower than previous bull cycles; โˆด Momentum is positive but decelerating. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: Momentum remains intact, but peak cycle force may have passed. โŠข โ–ฆ RSI (14) โ€“ (68.82 | MA: 67.35): โˆด RSI approaching overbought threshold, hovering near 70; โˆด Momentum is firm but shows resistance to further extension; โˆด Historical comparison to 2020 suggests possible ignition or exhaustion point. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: RSI signals potential tension zone - breakout or reversal ahead. โŠข โ–ฆ VPT (14,8) โ€“ (100): โˆด Volume Price Trend has plateaued at its max threshold; โˆด Lack of new highs despite price advance suggests fading directional volume; โˆด Often a signal of accumulation slowdown or redistribution. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: Buyer strength may be waning beneath the surface. โŠข ๐ŸœŽ Strategic Insight - Technical Oracle: โˆด Market structure remains bullish across all core indicators; โˆด Overextension from key moving averages and flattening momentum call for tactical caution; โˆด Any macroeconomic pressure could trigger a local top, without compromising the broader trend. โŠข โˆซ II. On-Chain Intelligence โ€“ (Source: CryptoQuant): โ–ฆ Realized Price & LTH โ€“ ($47,000): โˆด Market price is well above the realized price baseline; โˆด Indicates majority of holders are in profit โ€” structurally bullish; โˆด However, this also creates a risk of profit-taking if confidence drops. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: Strong support floor, but latent pressure exists. โŠข โ–ฆ SOPR - (Spent Output Profit Ratio) โ€“ (1.013): โˆด Above 1 means active profit-taking; โˆด Downward slope shows this is starting to cool; โˆด Critical to monitor for a break below 1 - would shift dynamic. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: Still healthy, but at the edge of distribution risk. โŠข โ–ฆ NUPL โ€“ (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) - (0.554): โˆด Unrealized profit remains dominant; โˆด Readings above 0.5 historically precede consolidation or pullbacks; โˆด Still distant from euphoric tops, but entering alert zone. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: Market still in profit expansion phase - but under surveillance. โŠข โ–ฆ MVRV - (STH vs LTH) โ€“ (STH: 1.0 | LTH: 3.1 | Global: 2.2): โˆด STH neutral, LTH moderately elevated but not excessive; โˆด Market is mature, but not overheated; โˆด Still in a zone that supports further upside with restraint. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: Healthy balance between holders - no imminent top confirmed. โŠข โ–ฆ CME Futures Open Interest: โˆด Sharp rise in open interest across expiry horizons; โˆด Sign of speculative leverage building; โˆด Historically correlates with volatile price action post-FOMC or macro events. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: Liquidity pressure is rising - extreme caution warranted. โŠข ๐ŸœŽ Strategic Insight - On-Chain Oracle: โˆด On-chain structure mirrors technical signals - strong trend, but cautious undertone; โˆด No major signs of reversal, but profit saturation could act as gravity if macro shocks occur; โˆด Market is exposed, not exhausted. โŠข โง‰ III. Contextvs Macroโ€“Geopoliticvs โ€“ Interflux Economicus: โ–ฆ Fed Chair Powell (Upcoming): โˆด Powell speaks today (June 18); core expectation is rate hold; โˆด Market bracing for hawkish tone: fewer projected cuts and emphasis on inflation resilience; โˆด Historically, Bitcoin has reacted with -2% to -5% dips to hawkish FOMC tone. โœด๏ธ Conclusion: Macro tension peak. Powellโ€™s tone may dictate the next 30-day candle. โŠข โšœ๏ธ ๐Ÿ™โŸ  Magister Arcanvm โ€“ Vox Primordialis! โš–๏ธ Wisdom begins in silence. Precision unfolds in strategy. โŠข โŠข โŒ˜ Codicillus Silentii โ€“ Strategic Note: โˆด The technicals are strong, the on-chain base is stable, and the macro setup is explosive; โˆด This is a tension point, not a resolution point - silence before decision; โˆด Precision now is not found in action, but in observation. โŠข โŒ˜ Market Status: โœด๏ธ Position: " Cautiously Bullish. " โœด๏ธ Tactical Mode: Observation Priority โ€“ No immediate entry without Powell clarity. โŠข
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Magister_Arcanvm
BTC/USD H1 CHART ANNALSIS 18/6/2025 Trading Setup and Strategy Explanation: Buy at:1042.000 Resistance at:103700 Important Note: Resistance should be above the current price, not below. If 105,700 is below 106,800, it typically indicates support, not resistance. **Corrected Interpretation:** Here's how your setup likely looks: - Buy Entry:** 104.200 Support (not resistance) 103700 Target 1:108.000 Target 2: 110.000 Level Type: - 105,700 Support (Stop-loss zone) - 104.200 Entry - 10.7000Target 1 Trade Notes: - If BTC holds above 104200, your long position is technically supported. - A break below 105,700 might invalidate the bullish setup โ€” consider a stop-loss below that. - Momentum toward 110Kโ€“112K is possible if the market breaks out of short-term consolidation or reacts positively to macro news. **Strategy Preference:** Would you like a chart or confirmation based on technical indicators (RSI, trendlines, volume, etc.)?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by Jamsan_Jamy
Bitcoin - Trend Shift Confirmed, Eyes on $102.8K LiquidityMarket Context Bitcoin showed signs of exhaustion after a strong short-term rally within a clean upward channel on the 1H chart. Price action had been respecting the trend structure until a key deviation occurred near $108,500, where we saw an internal liquidity sweep that hinted at potential distribution. Fake-Out Confirmation and Shift in Momentum After taking out local highs around $108.5K, price failed to continue higher and instead reversed sharply, confirming the sweep as a classic fake-out. This kind of internal liquidity grab is typically used to trap breakout buyers before reversing and targeting previous lows. Break of Structure and Channel Retest The rising channel was broken convincingly, and price has now retested the underside of the channel, aligning with the 50% equilibrium of the entire high-to-low range. This reinforces the bearish bias and suggests the market has likely shifted from accumulation to distribution. Downside Targets and Key Levels Immediate support sits around $104.6K, which served as a consolidation base during the earlier run-up. If this level fails to hold, the next key target would be a sweep of the previous significant low at $102.8K. This area is marked as a point of interest and could offer a reaction or reversal. Price Expectations and Trade Outlook As long as price remains below the broken channel and under $107K, the bearish scenario remains in play. Iโ€™m watching for bearish continuation into $104.6K first, and a potential full sweep toward $102.8K if that support fails. Conclusion The internal sweep followed by impulsive rejection, combined with a clear channel breakdown and retest, shifts the bias to bearish. A move into the $104.6K region seems probable, with a lower liquidity target at $102.8K in sight if downside pressure accelerates. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ___________________________________ Thanks for your support! If you found this idea helpful or learned something new, drop a like ๐Ÿ‘ and leave a comment, Iโ€™d love to hear your thoughts! ๐Ÿš€
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by paltena
BTC/USD Potential Bullish ReversalBTC/USD Potential Bullish Reversal ๐ŸŸข๐Ÿ“ˆ ๐Ÿ” Technical Overview: The chart shows a potential bullish reversal pattern forming near a key support zone. Price action has consistently bounced from the support range between $100,000 โ€“ $103,700, marked by multiple higher lows (๐ŸŸ  orange circles), suggesting strong buyer interest. ๐Ÿ“Œ Key Levels: Support Zone: $100,000 โ€“ $103,700 ๐Ÿ›ก๏ธ Immediate Resistance: $110,384 ๐Ÿ”ผ Current Price: $105,202 ๐Ÿ’ฐ ๐Ÿ“Š Pattern Observed: The price structure shows a possible inverted head and shoulders pattern forming, with the right shoulder currently developing. If this structure completes and breaks the $106,000โ€“$107,000 neckline region, we can expect a bullish breakout toward the resistance target of $110,384 or higher. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Bullish Confirmation: Bullish rejection from support area โœ… Clean structure with repeated higher lows ๐Ÿ“ˆ Potential breakout arrow suggests move toward the top resistance zone โš ๏ธ Watch For: Price must hold above $103,700 to maintain bullish bias Break below this level may invalidate bullish setup and retest the broader support zone near $100,000 ๐Ÿ“Œ Conclusion: BTC/USD is setting up for a potential upside breakout if the neckline is broken. Traders should monitor for bullish confirmation before entering long positions. ๐Ÿ”” Strategy Suggestion: Buy Zone: $103,700 โ€“ $104,500 (on bullish confirmation) ๐Ÿ›’ Target Zone: $110,000 โ€“ $111,000 ๐ŸŽฏ Stop-Loss: Below $103,000 ๐Ÿ›‘
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by MrStellanSight
BTC/USD Analysis โ€“ Is the Pullback Just Beginning?Bitcoin has recently faced strong resistance at the $108,874 zone, a high-volume supply area identified by the LuxAlgo Visible Range. Price was rejected sharply, and now BTC is trading at $104,746 after a -1.32% move down. --- ๐Ÿ” Technical Breakdown: ๐ŸŸฅ Supply Zone: $106,800 โ€“ $108,800 Price has tested this area multiple times but failed to break above it. ๐ŸŸฆ Key Support Zones to Watch: 1. $94,334: Mid-level support; if broken, it confirms bearish strength. 2. $77,957 โ€“ $80,000: Strong demand zone; potential reversal or consolidation area. ๐Ÿ“‰ Bearish Signals: Lower highs forming after rejection at resistance. Red arrows indicate potential drop targets. Volume fading on recent rallies โ€“ suggesting weakening bullish momentum. --- ๐ŸŽฏ Potential Trading Plan: ๐Ÿ”ป Short Setup: Entry: $104,500 โ€“ $105,000 (below current structure) TP1: $94,300 TP2: $80,000 SL: $106,800 (above resistance zone) ๐ŸŸ  Long Setup (if price reaches demand): Entry: $78,000 โ€“ $80,000 SL: $76,000 TP: $94,000 / $100,000 --- โšกNews Catalyst: โš ๏ธ Major U.S. and global economic events expected soon. Be ready for volatility spikes (icons indicate calendar impact). --- ๐Ÿ“Š What I'm Watching: Volume divergence Price reaction to $94k level Fed announcements and macro impact on crypto --- ๐Ÿ’ฌ Do you think BTC will bounce from $94k or head to $80k? Comment below your trade setup ๐Ÿ‘‡ --- ๐Ÿ”– Hashtags for Reach: #BTCUSD #BitcoinAnalysis #CryptoTrading #SupplyAndDemand #LuxAlgo #BTCShort #PriceAction #BitcoinCrash #CryptoTA #BTCTradeSetup #tradingviewcommunity ---
WHITEBIT:BTCUSDShort
by FrankFx14
โ‚ฟitcoin: Directly or with a Detour?!Under our primary scenario, Bitcoin remains on track to climb into the upper blue Target Zone between $117,553 and $130,891 during green wave B. The key question at this stage: will the crypto giant head straight for the zone โ€“ or take a detour below the $100,000 level first? Either path remains structurally consistent with the broader outlook. Once wave B concludes, we expect a pullback to unfold in wave C, with the low of that move โ€“ and the bottom of orange wave a โ€“ anticipated in the lower blue Target Zone between $62,395 and $51,323. From there, orange wave b should initiate a corrective rally, likely rebounding toward the $100,000 mark. This would set the stage for the final leg down in blue wave (ii). Meanwhile, our alternative scenario remains intact on the 8-hour chart. This 30% likely scenario suggests Bitcoin is still advancing within blue wave alt.(i) , rather than correcting in wave (ii). A confirmed breakout above $130,891 would validate this outcome. ๐Ÿ“ˆ Over 190 precise analyses, clear entry points, and defined Target Zones - that's what we do.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by MarketIntel
Elliot Wave Count Bitcoin - BTCElliot Wave count BTC. Last wave up could be 1st of 5th wave, but think it's a B wave, in expanded flat wave B can take on an impulsive structure and consist of five waves, allowing it to rise above the starting point of wave A. Supported by Elliot Wave count in Equity where probably wave 5 is also placed. And by latest lower high what could be start of market structure change. Invalidation above more or less 113-116k. Fib.time 0.66 gives turning point on July 6th in confluence with end of wedge. World is mega bullish with lot of fresh Longs (big-time in ETF's) waiting for overnight millions. Lets see how this count works out.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.P
by Helliot_Vermogensbeheer
BTCUSD bullish breakout consolidation support at 103,620Trend Overview: Bitcoin BTCUSD remains in a bullish trend, characterised by higher highs and higher lows. The recent intraday price action is forming a continuation consolidation pattern, suggesting a potential pause before a renewed move higher. Key Technical Levels: Support: 103,620 (primary pivot), followed by 101,770 and 100,140 Resistance: 109.830 (initial), then 113,960 and 117,390 Technical Outlook: A pullback to the 103,620 level, which aligns with the previous consolidation zone, could act as a platform for renewed buying interest. A confirmed bounce from this support may trigger a continuation toward the next resistance levels at 109,830, 113,960, and ultimately 117,390. Conversely, a daily close below 103,620 would suggest weakening bullish momentum. This scenario would shift the bias to bearish in the short term, potentially targeting 101,770 and 100.140 as downside levels. Conclusion: Bitcoin BTCUSD maintains a bullish structure while trading above the 103,620 support. A bounce from this level would validate the consolidation as a continuation pattern, with upside potential toward the 109,830 area. A breakdown below 103,620, however, would invalidate this view and suggest deeper corrective risk. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:BTCUSD
by TradeNation