What I see using simple trend linesOn the daily time frame bitcoin is still in the consolidation range.
The 10 21 and 50 moving averages are way above the 200. I'd like to see all four bunched tightly together before considering a long or short. If price action continues as it has then this could happen towards the end of March.
On the 4hr time frame bitcoin has broken out of my descending channel and retested it but I don't think it can be sustained. It could be positive to see two daily candles close outside of this descending channel. But this could delay the next major rally beyond March.
The 10 21 and 50 moving averages are way below the 200. Bitcoin needs to be heading to 100,000 for those moving averages to cross the 200. If bitcoin can reach 100,000 soon then this is potentially bullish.
On the 45min time frame bitcoin remains in the other descending channel.
If the 50 crosses the 200 then this is potentially bullish in the short term. But the 10, 21 and 50 moving averages have crossed the 200 a few times lately with no significant rally.
My conclusion is bitcoin is going to remain in this range for several weeks. Price may tumble to 88,000 but it's nothing to be worried about. If price goes above 101,000 too soon I'd be cautious that it's a bull trap, while any price action below 88,000 could be a bear trap. I would expect the latter to happen just before the market is primed to rally to a new ATH, and the former will trick retail into thinking the bulls have taken control. It's a time for patience and having faith in your strategy.
