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BTCUSD trade ideas

87-88K seems natural targetMorning folks, So, our 80-85K trade was nice. Now we think that it is not time for big trades, mostly because many markets, and especially US bonds and dollar are overextended. That's why for a few sessions we're focused on near standing targets. BTC daily chart shows strong resistance around 87-89K area, which is also might be the neckline of potential reverse H&S. We already talked about this previously. It is the 2nd reason why it would be better to focus on something close. Thus, on 1H chart setup might be looking like you see on the chart. We hope that 83K support will hold. Otherwise, this trade has no sense, because stop placement below 81K support makes risk/reward ratio unattractive. Thus, supposedly 87-88K is an upside target. And we hope that BTC will stay above 83K.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by Sive-Morten
3
BTC/USD...4H chart pattren...To my analyze Bitcoin with a descending channel pattern, we'll consider the following key aspects based on your provided details: 1. Descending Channel Overview: A descending channel is a technical pattern where the price is moving within parallel downward-sloping trendlines. In this case, the sell side implies that Bitcoin's price is expected to keep moving downward, adhering to the top line (resistance) and bouncing between the resistance and the lower support line. 2. Key Levels: High Support (85,000): This suggests that Bitcoin has a significant support zone around the $85,000 price level. If Bitcoin reaches this level, there is likely to be buying pressure or a price bounce. Sell Target (74,000): Your target suggests that you expect Bitcoin to drop to the $74,000 level, which would likely represent the lower boundary of the descending channel or a previous support zone. 3. Price Action Within the Channel: If Bitcoin's price is currently within the descending channel and testing the upper resistance, traders might look for short opportunities (sells) at or near the resistance level. The 85,000 support level could be tested again. If Bitcoin bounces off that level, the downtrend may continue, pushing the price toward the 74,000 target. If Bitcoin breaks the 85,000 support, a deeper decline could be in the cards, and the sell target of 74,000 may need to be adjusted. 4. Potential Indicators to Watch: Volume: Pay attention to volume, especially if Bitcoin approaches the 85,000 support level. A low-volume bounce may indicate a short-term relief rally before the next leg down. RSI: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) can provide insights into whether Bitcoin is oversold or overbought, helping to confirm or challenge the trend within the descending channel. MACD: A bearish crossover on the MACD can confirm downward momentum, reinforcing the sell setup toward your target of 74,000. 5. Risk Management: As this setup involves selling in a descending channel, ensure you set stop-loss orders just above the resistance or the 85,000 level to protect against a reversal. Adjust your stop-loss based on the price action in relation to the channel’s boundaries. Conclusion: Sell if Bitcoin reaches or tests the upper resistance in the descending channel (around 85,000). Target 74,000 as the downside support. Watch for volume, RSI, and MACD indicators to confirm the continuation of the downtrend or a potential reversal. Would you like a more detailed chart or analysis using historical data to refine this strategy further?
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
17
Bullish momentum to extend?The Bitcoin (BTC/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance. Pivot: 79,541.85 1st Support: 72,724.17 1st Resistance: 94,187.24 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:BTCUSDLong
by ICmarkets
1
BTC - Bottom soon?I recently published this idea privately because I was unable to post it publicly at the time. Now, I’d like to make it public. (Click the picture above to view the TA-Chart.) I'll be copying and pasting all the text from the original private idea here, along with the missing links I had prepared on April 2nd. The purpose of this chart is just to illustrate how my three target levels align with my Fibonacci retracement levels — which is also the reason I selected them. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- We are currently in a complex situation. Markets have been experiencing a sell-off due to uncertainty surrounding Trump's tariffs. Additionally, Trump needs to refinance a massive sum of government debt ($7 trillion) over the next 10 years. To achieve this, he must lower the 10-year yield to reduce interest payments. One way to lower yields is by increasing government efficiency, thereby reducing borrowing needs and bond issuance, which in turn decreases yields. Another method is cutting interest rates, yet his tariff policies counteract this approach. This raises the question: does he want a recession? During a recession investors would flock toward bonds as a safe haven, ultimately pushing yields down. Bad Signs - Fed Atlanta GDPNow Gold adjusted at -0.8% - PMI below 50 - Major uncertainty due to enormous tariffs -> Michigan Consumer Sentiment (57) and Expectation (52.6) are at levels seen during the recession of 2022 - FED cannot cut interest rates due to persistently high inflation Are we heading towards a recession? People tend to overreact and overlook key indicators—one of which is liquidity. Examining the WTREGEN, we see a steep decline since mid-February, indicating that cash has been injected into the system. This is further supported by the rising RRPONT since mid-February. Additionally, the Fed has been slowing down QT, meaning the liquidity injection is not being offset as much. Additionally due to the tariffs countries like China could bring a liquidity stimilus into the markets to help their domestic markets. In summary, liquidity levels should be sufficient for at least a blow-off top. The reason markets have not rallied yet is due to uncertainty stemming from Trump’s tariffs. This is reflected in recession-level Michigan Consumer Sentiment and the Fear & Greed Index. A key bullish signal would be a falling RRPONT alongside a declining WTREGEN, as this would indicate that cash injections are flowing into risk assets, showing regained confidence. For confidence to return, we need a positive catalyst, such as an stop to QT, an increase of the balance sheet or an interest rate cut. However, the Fed is holding off on cuts due to high inflation and the tariffs. But this is where it gets interesting: According to Truflation, inflation has dropped significantly below the Fed’s 2% target since early March. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) data lags by a full month, so if Truflation’s data holds any truth, the upcoming inflation report on April 10 may reflect this decline. This could restore confidence and provide the Fed with room to give us a positive catalyst. Where is BTC headed? Compared to my expectations from early february ( ibb.co ) I expect BTC to first move into the $78K–73K range before rallying toward $115K instead of rallying now at 82k. This range aligns with my Fibonacci levels, and 73K was the high of March 2024. Additionally there is currently a fractality compared to the bottom of 2022 where the bottom now would be rougly at 75k. To reach $115K, BTC must first break the black downward trendline and the double-top neckline at around $95K. My blow-off top target is $115K, and if BTC holds above $100K, I will eye $145K and $185K as the next targets. Furthermore there could be a chance that the tariffs are just a negotiation tool since the tariffs do not make any sense % wise. However if Trump does intend to impose these tariffs at the said % and other countries stab back with their tariffs, then we might actually see a stagflation if the Fed does not intervene-or intervenes too late.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by QThanhT
2
$BTC Rebounds to $84K Amid Downtrend—Eyes on $88.8K Resistance Bitcoin (BTC) is currently trading at $84,273.58, recovering slightly from recent lows. The price has increased 5.97% over the past 7 days, though it slipped 1.04% in the last 24 hours. The asset maintains a dominant position with a market cap of $1.67 trillion and a 24-hour trading volume of $28.46 billion, marking a 16.32% surge in activity. From a technical perspective, Bitcoin remains in a corrective bearish structure. After hitting its all-time high of $109,358 on January 19, the price entered a steady decline, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows. This internal structure signals a bearish break of structure (BOS), reinforced by macroeconomic pressures, including a market-wide dip triggered by Trump-era tariffs. Technical analysis Following a recent low near $74,000, Bitcoin has rebounded but has yet to invalidate the prevailing bearish trend. The key resistance level now lies at $88,800, which represents the most recent lower high. If Bitcoin closes above this level with strong bullish momentum, the trend could shift, potentially paving the way for a new leg up toward previous highs. Until that breakout occurs, however, the trend remains technically bearish. A failure to overcome the $88,800 resistance could lead to renewed selling pressure. In that case, Bitcoin may retrace to support zones between $72,000 and $74,000. These levels are critical for bulls to defend in order to avoid a deeper correction. As the market continues to digest both macroeconomic news and technical signals, all eyes remain on whether Bitcoin can flip its structure and reclaim bullish territory.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by DEXWireNews
1
Will BTC emerge from the descending channel on top?Hello everyone, I invite you to review the current situation on BTC. On the one-day interval, you can see how the price is moving in the downtrend channel in which there is again a fight with the upper boundary of the channel. At this stage, you can also see how the EMA Cross 50/200, they have come very close but still indicate the maintenance of a long-term upward trend. Here you can see how the price has currently bounced off the resistance zone from $ 86,503 to $ 87,934. Only an upper exit from this zone will open the way towards the second important zone at the levels of $ 93,959 to $ 96,142, and then we have visible strong resistance around $ 101,800. Looking the other way, you can see that in the event of further declines, we have support at $ 80,550, then you can see an important zone that previously maintained the price decline from $ 74,340 to $ 71,380, in a situation where this zone is broken, we can see a quick decline to around $ 65,360. The MACD indicator shows an attempt to switch to an upward trend, it is worth watching whether there is enough energy for further movement.
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by cryptodailyuk
Trading is a business The masses have the wrong ideas about Trading. It is a business and just like others it involves risk. We grow, we learn, earn and scale up. Crafting a plan is essential to success and character also play a key role here. In this business, risk is an inherent part of the equation. Just like any other enterprise, trading exposes you to challenges and setbacks, but it's how you manage these risks that can differentiate a thriving business from one that falters. Careful risk management—whether through proper position sizing, stop-loss strategies, or diversification—is the foundation that helps protect your capital while you grow your business over time. Crafting a trading plan is essential. This plan should not only outline your entry and exit strategies based on rigorous analysis but also incorporate a framework to evaluate your performance critically. A well-crafted plan serves as a roadmap, guiding your decisions in both favorable and challenging market conditions. Moreover, it creates a discipline that protects you from emotional reactions that can often lead to impulsive decisions—a common pitfall in trading. Character plays a crucial role as well. In trading, psychological fortitude, resilience in the face of losses, and the humility to learn from mistakes are qualities that separate the successful from the rest. Many people mistakenly believe that a few big wins can offset a series of missteps; however, it is the consistent, calculated, and disciplined approach that leads to sustainable growth. This business mindset—acknowledging that each trade is a learning opportunity and a step in scaling up your efforts—is what ultimately propels traders to long-term success. In essence, re-framing trading as a business fosters a mindset where every decision is taken seriously, every mistake is analyzed for improvement, and every trade is seen as a building block for growth. This approach not only minimizes unnecessary risks but also enables you to scale up with confidence. I'm curious—what elements of your trading plan do you find most effective at keeping your business mindset in check, and are there aspects you'd like to refine further?
PEPPERSTONE:BTCUSDEducation
by XTDB
Why is BTC losing volume?!After establishing a new higher high on the rally, we have run into an old bearish zone from April 2nd and losing gas. This is about the end of this bullish cycle is seems and we are getting hourly chart candle indications of this. As you see there is a small bit to go before we can establish ourselves back above the bearish fair value gap (balance). Apparently this bearish FVG was still chock full of pending shorts. We are getting multiple failures to displace above highs I was triggered short. As we close below the highest bullish candle, we should see a mass closing of longs from its low. First target is the inefficient range below (blue) around 84K I believe we must go back to around the50% Fib retracement range as always and correct all imbalances and collect all lows within that range. Therefore I am short after the 11p candle pushed up out of the 10p candle but failed to close above. As always I use failure displacement as a cue to look for a good LTF entry 🫡 4H Review shows massive bearish imbalance:
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by HollywooodTrades
1