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BTCUSD trade ideas

BTC/USD Potential Bullish Reversal – Falling Wedge Breakout WatcBitcoin is showing signs of a potential reversal on the 15-minute timeframe. A Falling Wedge pattern is forming, often seen as a possible early signal for upside continuation. 📌 Technical Overview: Price is currently testing the wedge resistance. If price breaks out and retests the wedge, it could lead to a continuation toward the 108,995–109,199 zone. Strong horizontal support seen around 104,636. Bullish price action forming higher lows. 📈 Breakout Confirmation: A clear breakout and retest of the descending trendline could initiate momentum toward the upper resistance zone. 🟢 Target Area: 108,995–109,199 🔴 Support Level: 104,636 ⚠️ Invalidation: Below 104,300 zone 🔎 Always observe price action and volume confirmation before making decisions. Use proper risk management.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by UAE_USA_GOLD_TRADERS
1
Correction ahead? Or the beginning of the next bear cycle?The bull run has been ongoing since October 2023, and we are beginning to reach the final stages. This is the final push, likely a significant one, but there is strong long-term resistance and trends around the $115,000 mark. Altcoins are starting to gain momentum, but institutions are accumulating and absorbing new supplies, putting upward pressure on Bt prices. The U.S. dollar (DXY) is weak, making Bitcoin appear artificially high compared to alternative currencies, such as the Sterling and Euro, with a new all-time high roughly 15% away for GBP and only 2% for dollar. The NUPL (Net Unrealized Profit/Loss) is currently high, indicating that a significant proportion of holders are in profit, which places us in a state of greed. Short-term holders are selling their positions, while long-term holders continue to accumulate. However, this trend is likely to lose momentum in the next price increase, as long-term holders may sell to free up capital for a potential bear market. Furthermore, inflation remains high, and retail investors are finding it challenging to invest, which makes it less likely that they will engage with Bitcoin at its current levels. This indicates that a period of enthusiasm among retail investors is less probable. Additionally, outflows from ETFs have been shown to quickly impact prices negatively. Bitcoin is projected to continue its price discovery upwards, potentially reaching $112,000 and possibly even higher before fear sets in, leading to profit-taking, which could significantly affect the price. Many investors may perceive this as a peak and anticipate a subsequent bear market. While this cycle could be different, I remain skeptical. I believe that what I term GOB (Greed, Overconfidence, and Belief), which is the opposite of FOMO, will come into play and lead to a market crash.
KRAKEN:BTCUSD
by Discombobulate1
BTCUSD Short Position Update – May 30, 2025Entry: 110,200 Current Price: 105,633 After entering short at 110.2K, price action has validated the downside thesis, moving steadily toward our planned take-profit zones. Trade Management: We are scaling out incrementally at key support levels (see red dots on chart): 104,979 104,414 104,001 Final targets are staged around 103,000 and 102,595, where significant historical liquidity resides. This incremental approach allows us to secure profits while staying positioned for further downside should selling accelerate. Risk: If price reclaims the 106,800–107,000 zone on strong momentum, we will reassess the short thesis and manage exposure accordingly. Thesis: All levels are chosen based on prior demand clusters and high-volume areas. This systematic approach helps derisk the position while participating in potential continuation. This is not financial advice. Trade your own plan.
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by DarkQuantLabs
Long and Short Position Tool Scale Error My strategy relies on a 1:1 risk-to-reward setup, so when I place a long or short position, I expect the take profit and stop loss levels to be visually accurate. However, when I zoom in or out on the chart, the scale of the long/short position tool changes—making the visual representation of the trade no longer reliable. Even if the entry point stays the same, the stop loss and take profit levels appear to shift, which defeats the purpose of using the tool for quick visual reference. This completely undermines the accuracy of a 1:1 setup on screen.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by jmhfl7
BTC PULLS BACKBitcoin has pulled back slightly after the recent surge, currently holding above the $105,500 area, which was previously resistance. This level could now act as support, though it’s early to call. The overall market structure remains bullish, with price trading above both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and the moving averages themselves still aligned in a bullish formation. Volume has tapered a bit on the pullback, suggesting this might just be a healthy retracement rather than a reversal. If Bitcoin can hold this level and continue consolidating, it could set the stage for another move higher. However, a break below $105,500 could open the door for a deeper pullback, with $99,500 as the next key level to watch. Always proceed with caution, especially after strong rallies.
COINBASE:BTCUSD
by ScottMelker
1
BTC/USD..4H CHART PATTERN.technical breakdown of your BTC/USD 4H trade setup based on the data I'm provided: --- BTC/USD 4H Chart Pattern Analysis Current Action: SELL @ 106,000 --- Key Technical Levels: Entry Point (Sell): 106,000 (Indicates rejection at or near resistance or possible trendline breakdown) Target 1: 102,000 (Short-term support or previous demand zone) Target 2: 93,500 (Major support zone — likely a high confluence area from past structure) --- Pattern & Price Action Analysis: Bearish Reversal Signal Likely at 106K: Potential rejection wick, double top, or bearish engulfing at this level. Descending Triangle or Rising Wedge Breakdown: If price broke support of a wedge or triangle pattern, this would justify bearish continuation. Volume Analysis (if applicable): Decreasing volume on the push up followed by a heavy sell-off = confirmation of a trap and reversal. --- Trade Setup: Sell Entry: 106,000 (activated) Stop Loss (suggested): 107,500–108,000 (above key resistance or invalidation zone) Take Profit 1: 102,000 (watch for bounce) Take Profit 2: 93,500 (major target if trend continues) --- Risk-Reward Outlook: Risk-Reward Ratio to 102,000: ~2:1 Risk-Reward Ratio to 93,500: ~4–5:1 (strong swing trade potential) --- Summary: This is a bearish swing trade setup based on a potential rejection or pattern breakdown at the 106,000 level, with high-probability targets at 102,000 and 93,500. Risk management is critical due to BTC's high volatility. ---
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Algo_Trading_Mql5
3
BTC Dumped as predicted ! SOK buy Signal n this video, we break down the recent Bitcoin (BTC) dump and how it aligned perfectly with our previous analysis. More importantly, we’ve identified a strong buy signal for Solana (SOL) — is this the next big move? ✅ BTC Market Breakdown ✅ Key Technical Levels Hit ✅ SOL Buy Signal Explained ✅ What Traders Should Watch Next 📉 Don’t miss this market opportunity — watch till the end for our insights on the upcoming trend! 🔔 Subscribe for real-time crypto updates, technical analysis, and smart trading strategies. #BTC #Solana #CryptoNews #BitcoinCrash #SOLBuySignal #CryptoTrading #BTCguruonline
BINANCE:BTCUSDShort
by btcguruonline
BTC/USD Ready for the DropThis Bitcoin (BTC/USD) 1-hour chart is flashing a strong bearish setup! After breaking below the key 109,000–110,000 resistance zone, price momentum has shifted sharply downward. The chart shows a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows, signaling sellers are in control. A fresh rejection from the supply zone has fueled further downside pressure, and the recent pullback offers an exciting short entry opportunity. With technical signals aligning for a deeper drop, traders are eyeing key levels below. Watch this setup closely — the market looks primed for action! 🚀 Entry: 105,900 🎯 1st Target: 102,880 🎯 2nd Target: 99,000
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by Trend_logic
BTCUSD SELLERS ACTIVE! | Rejection from $107K Supply ZoneBitcoin just printed a clean rejection from the key $107,427 supply zone and is now dropping fast! Is this the start of a major correction or just a pullback before another pump? Let’s break it down ⬇️ --- 📊 Key Technical Levels: 🔵 Major Supply Zone: $105,000–$107,427 (heavy rejection and volume imbalance) ⚠️ Mid-Support: $92,160 – prior breakout level and demand reaction point 🧱 Strong Demand Zone: $76,412 – where the last major rally began --- 🔥 What’s Happening: BTC failed to close above $107K and reversed sharply A bearish structure is forming with lower highs beginning to appear Price is losing momentum at the top of a high-volume node --- 📉 Bearish Bias Until… BTC reclaims and closes above $107.4K with strong volume = bullish invalidation Otherwise, we could see a drop to $92K, and if that fails... 🚨 $76K becomes the magnet --- 🎯 Trade Plan (for educational purposes): Entry: Break and retest below $103.5K SL: Above $107.5K TP1: $92,160 TP2: $76,412 --- 💬 What do you think – bull trap or dip opportunity? 🔔 Follow @FrankFx14 for expert-level crypto and forex charts! 💥 Like ❤️, Share 🔁, and Comment 🧠 to stay ahead of the game!
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FrankFx14
BTC Last week I already indicated in my analysis of btc that an imbalance had to be filled on the 4h. In the meantime, it has been filled and we are trying to convert the previous resistance level into support, in other words, the bulls are trying with all their might to defend the 105k. If the bulls succeed in this, then in my view nothing will stand in the way of a run to the 115k. I still expect the bears to try to break through the level a few times and perhaps a double bottom will then arise, which is a good conformation for the way up. I will keep you informed. www.tradingview.com
BINANCE:BTCUSD
by Marco13579
BTCUSD 5/30/2025Come Tap into the mind of SnipeGoat, as he gives you a Sensational Market Breakdown & update to his previous call-out that was again SPOT-ON! Precise Levels, Proper Timing, & Perfect Direction! _SnipeGoat_ _TheeCandleReadingGURU_ #PriceAction #MarketStructure #TechnicalAnalysis #Bearish #Bullish #Bitcoin #Crypto #BTCUSD #Forex #NakedChartReader #ZEROindicators #PreciseLevels #ProperTiming #PerfectDirection #ScalpingTrader #IntradayTrader #DayTrader #SwingTrader #PositionalTrader #HighLevelTrader #MambaMentality #GodMode #UltraInstinct #TheeBibleStrategy
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by TheeSnipeGoat
BTCUSD Breakdown from Pennant – MMC Structure Analysis + Target🧠 Introduction: Why This Chart Matters Bitcoin recently provided a textbook example of market manipulation, where the price action formed a bullish-looking pattern (Pennant), trapped traders with a fake breakout, and then reversed strongly to the downside. By using Mirror Market Concepts (MMC), we can clearly see the logic behind this move—how the market mirrored a previous pattern and fulfilled a predictable target zone. This analysis breaks it all down, step-by-step, for both educational and practical trading purposes. 🔍 Detailed Chart Breakdown: 1️⃣ The Illusion – Bullish Pennant Formation Initially, BTC/USD formed what looked like a bullish pennant—a common continuation pattern in technical analysis. The pattern appeared after a sharp upward move, followed by converging trendlines suggesting consolidation. Retail traders often anticipate a breakout above the pennant as a sign of bullish continuation. This is where the trap begins. Why It’s a Trap: The pattern looked clean and reliable—but the context told another story. This move was designed to lure breakout traders into long positions right before a reversal. 2️⃣ The Fakeout – Liquidity Grab Above the Pattern Shortly after the pennant formed, price pushed above the upper trendline, triggering breakout entries and stop losses of short-sellers. But instead of continuing up: The price reversed sharply. This aggressive move confirmed the fakeout. This is a classic example of a liquidity hunt, where the market moves briefly in one direction to gather orders before executing the real move. 📌 MMC Insight: This behavior mirrors a prior setup—price previously faked upward, then dropped to a key demand zone. The mirror pattern gives a clue that the same outcome might repeat. 3️⃣ CHoCH – Change of Character Confirmed After the fakeout, BTC broke below a key internal support and trendline structure, signaling a CHoCH (Change of Character)—a shift from bullish to bearish market control. This moment is crucial: It confirms the smart money’s intention. It signals that the previous bullish move was just a setup. Sellers now have control. 💡 Pro Tip: CHoCH is one of the earliest and most reliable signs of a reversal when combined with liquidity patterns. 4️⃣ Trendline Break & Structural Sell-Off The break of the trendline following CHoCH solidified the bearish direction. This was the best confirmation-based entry point, as the structure flipped and began forming lower highs and lower lows. 5️⃣ Target Fulfilled – Previous Demand Zone Hit The price then continued down aggressively and hit the marked MMC target zone. This area coincided with: A previous demand zone (where buyers stepped in before). A Mirror Market reversal point, seen earlier in the chart. This fulfillment of the MMC target validates the entire analysis—from trap to reversal to target. 🎯 Key Zones: Fakeout High: $69,600 area (liquidity sweep) CHoCH Break Level: Around $69,100 Trendline Break Confirmation: $69,000 Final Target Zone: $68,500–$68,700 📈 Trading Strategy Recap: Entry Idea: Enter short after CHoCH and trendline break Stop Loss: Above fakeout high ($69,600+) Take Profit: MMC demand zone ($68,500–$68,700) This trade offered excellent risk-to-reward and confluence using multiple tools (MMC, CHoCH, structure, liquidity sweep). 🧠 What You Can Learn from This Setup: Patterns Can Lie: A pattern like a pennant isn’t enough—context is key. Liquidity Is King: Understand where the market needs to go to collect orders. Mirror Market Concepts Work: Historical behavior often repeats in reverse. Use MMC to forecast likely outcomes. CHoCH is Powerful: It's your early alert system for trend changes. 🔎 Final Thoughts: This BTC/USD chart is a powerful example of how smart money operates—with manipulation, pattern traps, and mirrored market behavior. If you’re a price action trader or use MMC, this breakdown is a must-study. Don't just trade patterns—trade context. Look for traps. Use MMC. Watch CHoCH. And always have a mapped target based on structure.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by GoldMasterTrades
1
BTC Breakdown – Reaccumulation at RiskBitcoin just posted a decisive 4H candle close below 55 SMA, mid-Bollinger Band, and the primary ascending trendline. Volume spiked to 7.31M, and RSI dropped to 38, confirming bearish momentum. ⸻ 🧩 Wyckoff Structure Under Threat: • ❌ LPS level invalidated • ❌ Phase D uptrend broken • 📉 No breakout above ATH (~109.8K) after three attempts • 🟠 Still holding BC (Pole End) at ~105.8K • 🔁 If this breaks next, the entire Phase D/E thesis collapses ⸻ 🔻 What’s Next? • Support: • S1: Lower BB (~106.9K) • S2: 105.8K (BC level — key structural base) • Break of 105.8K = invalidation of reaccumulation, transition into potential distribution. Watch for daily close for confirmation. • S3: Point of control at 104k ⸻ 📊 Breakdown Triggers Confirmed: • ✅ Close below mid-BB (108.9K) • ✅ RSI < 45 • ✅ High-volume red candle • ✅ Structural break of ascending LPS pattern A short hedge can be initiated with a tight stop over breaking candle high. Note that this could be the shakeout moment i mentioned in my related post. ⸻ Unless BTC recovers 108.5K+ with rising volume quickly, this is now a valid short breakdown, and reaccumulation thesis hangs by a thread. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Breakdown #CryptoTA #BTC4H #PriceAction #TechnicalAnalysis
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by BitcoinMillio18
BTC Daily Breakdown – Major Uptrend BreachedBitcoin has now closed below the multi-week ascending trendline on the daily chart — the same trendline that defined the entire Phase D markup structure. ⸻ 🔍 Breakdown Highlights: 📉 Daily Close: 107,764 → well below trendline ✅ 🔻 Volume: 18.42M (near 20-day average) → not a panic candle, but confirms exit ✅ 📉 Fibonacci Cluster: 0.5 (107,093) and 0.618 (105,495) now in play ✅ ⚠️ RSI (14): 61.14 → still neutral, but diverging from price ❗ 🧱 Next supports: • 106,146 = BB basis • 105,821 = BC Pole End • 104,000 = Point of control from volume profile ⸻ 🧩 Structural Impact (Wyckoff View): • ❌ Trendline break = Phase D invalidated • ❌ No breakout above ATH (109,852) after 3 attempts • 🟠 Still not fully invalidated — if 105.8K holds, Spring-like scenario still possible • 🔻 Close below 105.8K = Phase C fails → transition into Redistribution ⸻ ⚠️ What to Watch Next: • Bounce from 106.1–105.5K with volume could offer one last recovery setup • A close below 105.8K confirms structural invalidation ⸻ 🧠 Final Take: The trendline break is real. Bulls need to defend the Fibonacci cluster + BC base around 105.8K. If that gives way, this becomes a failed reaccumulation and BTC risks a deeper structural rotation. #Bitcoin #BTCUSDT #Breakdown #Trendline #TechnicalAnalysis #Wyckoff #BTC #CryptoMarkets #BTCdaily
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PShort
by BitcoinMillio18
Bitcoin 4H Outlook: Dual Wyckoff Reaccumulation in Play⚙️ Technical Thesis: We're currently witnessing the unfolding of two back-to-back Wyckoff reaccumulation structures on the 4H timeframe: 📦 Reaccumulation #1 (Left) Structure: PSY → BC → AR → ST → Spring + Test → LPS → SOS Bullish pennant formed after Spring, leading to a strong breakout BC of this phase (105,821) now acts as a major upper resistance 📦 Reaccumulation #2 (Right) Structure: BC → ST → UT → Shakeout → Minor Spring → SPRING (current) Current price has tagged Spring at the convergence of: Lower Bollinger Band ($105,174) 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ($105,915) 🧪 Market Internals RSI: 38.31 → deeply oversold, aligned with a Spring phase Volume: Fading on last leg down, hinting exhaustion BBs: Upper: $110,828 Basis: $108,006 (confluent with 55 SMA) Lower: $105,174 200 SMA: $102,248 (macro support) Pattern context: Another bullish flag is forming within the second structure 🎯 Trade Expectations (Pending Spring Test as Confirmation) If this Spring holds: 🔄 LPS → Look for bullish reaction with increased volume TP1: AR retest around $106,752 TP2: 55 SMA + BB Midline confluence at ~$108,000 TP3: Range target or previous BC level near $112,000–$113,000 A decisive break below $105,000 with RSI < 35 and rising volume would invalidate the Spring and shift focus to breakdown risk. 🔍 Wyckoff View This is a classic Spring setup from a Wyckoff reaccumulation structure. Two sequential structures are visible, and the first structure’s BC now serves as the foundational support for the second. This kind of layered support builds conviction — but needs validation via LPS and SOS phases. Yes the major trendline was broken, but we are now consolidation and reaccumulation for the next leg up, unless the pattern is invalidated. 🕹 No short setups active unless structural failure confirmed. 💬 Share your view: do you see this as a Spring or potential failure? #BTCUSDT #Wyckoff #Reaccumulation #CryptoTrading #BitcoinAnalysis #TechnicalAnalysis #Spring #LPS
BINANCE:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitcoinMillio18
BTCUSD SMC Short | 70.5% Fib + OB Rejection Incoming?BTCUSD | High Risk-Reward Setup at Key Supply Zone 🔥 This Bitcoin setup is setting up for a potential clean short opportunity, right from a key Order Block zone confluenced with 61.8–70.5% Fib retracement and a Strong High liquidity magnet above. 🧠 1. Why This Trade Setup is 🔥 This BTCUSD chart shows Smart Money preparing a trap: 🔺 Impulse down ➝ forming market structure shift 📉 Retracement back to a refined OB (purple zone) 📍 Aligned perfectly with: ✅ 61.8–70.5% Fib retracement zone ✅ Strong High = liquidity trap ✅ Bearish engulfing rejection from supply zone This is textbook SMC confluence. Price could sweep the high one more time, then tank hard. 📌 2. Zone Breakdown OB Entry Zone (purple): ~108,000 to 108,400 SL Above Strong High: ~109,000 TP at Weak Low: ~104,600 ✅ Entry around 108,000 ✅ RRR: ~1:5 👑 📈 3. Market Structure HTF Bias: Bearish LTF Structure: Retracing to premium zone Expecting BOS downward if rejection confirms ⚙️ 4. Trade Plan Wait for price to tap 61.8–70.5% zone Look for M5/M15 bearish structure break Enter on pullback to M15 OB SL = Above the High TP = Weak Low (104,630) 🛑 5. Risk Management Tips Never enter blindly at 61.8% Always wait for confirmation on LTF (M5/M15) If price blows past 70.5%, let it go — don’t chase 🧘 🧠 Save this trade plan 📈 Comment “BTC SMC ENTRY” if you caught this 👀 Follow for more Smart Money chart breakdowns
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ChartNinjas88