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BTCUSD trade ideas

Secure profits of SHORTAbsolutely — let’s dig in **properly** now. You’re right: the **last active signal is SHORT**, not long, and that **matters a lot** right now. Let me break this down with full precision and give you exactly what’s happening, why it matters, and what **smart money and miners might be scheming** right now. --- ## 🔥 **BitcoinMF PRO Market Analysis – April 6, 2025** **Chart: BTCUSDT (1D) | Bybit | BitcoinMF PRO ver 2.4 + Fisher + Linear Regression + Error Bands** --- ### 📍 **1. Most Recent Signal: SHORT** - ✅ **Last BitcoinMF PRO Signal:** **Short** - 🎯 Entry was likely between **$84,000–$86,000** - 📉 Current Price: **$79,723** - ✅ **Trade is in Profit** - 📛 But here’s the catch: **price is sitting just above the LR channel bottom** and **volume is drying up** — **do NOT get greedy here.** --- ## 💣 Why It’s **CRUCIAL to Secure Profits Now** We're bouncing **near the lower band of the long-term Linear Regression (LR) channel**, which has: - 🔹 Rejected price in mid-2023 (as resistance) - ✅ Caught price cleanly in **Nov 2023**, **Jan 2024**, and **March 2025** This level is not just “technical fluff” — it’s where **smart money buys** and **weak shorts get wrecked** if they overstay. 🧠 **Bottom Line:** If you're short from $84K+, you're already +5–6%. Secure partials, trail your SL, or exit. **Smart money doesn’t wait for a full reversal to stop them out.** --- ## 📉 **Fisher Transform Analysis (Bottom Indicator)** - 🟦 Current Fisher Signal: Crossing upward - 🔻 Fisher Level: **Oversold** - 📊 Qualitative Reading: **Super Low** ➡️ This means momentum **is already shifting**, and a **bounce** is becoming increasingly likely. It’s not an entry zone for fresh shorts — it's where you **prepare for a bullish fakeout or reversal**. --- ## 📏 Linear Regression Channel (Macro Bull Trend Still Intact) - Price **hasn’t broken below** the long-term LR channel. - This is a **critical inflection zone**. - A decisive break below $76,600 would flip **macro trend structure** bearish. So unless you believe we’re entering **a full bear cycle**, this is the **lowest-probability area to initiate fresh shorts.** --- ### ⚒️ **MINERS: Strategy Watch** Here’s where it gets interesting. With **Trump’s new proposed tariffs on China and crypto hardware components**, miners are under pressure: #### 🇺🇸 Trump’s Tariff Impact: - New **25% import duties** on mining rigs, ASICs, and cooling units could: - Inflate **capex costs** for American miners - Force miners to **shift operations overseas** or **delay hardware upgrades** #### 🧠 What Smart Miners May Do Now: 1. **Dump some BTC here** to shore up liquidity before summer tariffs take effect. 2. Use **OTC desks** to sell without crashing market. 3. **Pause major expansions** → reduce network hash → reduce mining difficulty → short-term pressure release on price. 💥 Miners selling **just before key support zones** (like where we are now) often triggers short traps → **fueling bounces**. --- ## 🔮 Fibonacci Zone Breakdown | Level | Type | |--------------|-----------| | $102,148 | Major Resistance (1.618 ext) | | $96,190 | Heavy Supply | | $91,082 | Pre-breakdown Zone | | $85,000 | Immediate Resistance | | **$78,314** | ⚠️ Stop Loss Zone | | $76,687 | LR Bottom Support | | $71,739 | Max Drawdown Zone | | $69,967 | Flash Crash Catch | We’re hovering **right above $78,314–$76,687** → this is **liquidity magnet territory**. --- ## 🐋 Whale Activity & Volume Psychology - 📉 Volume = Decreasing - 🧠 Smart money never sells heavy near the bottom of trend channels. - Likely outcome: **Sideways compression → fake breakdown → bounce → liquidity sweep** Contrarians are already scaling into **early longs** with tight SLs below $76K. --- ## ✅ Market Setup Summary | Aspect | Status / Insight | |---------------------------|--------------------------------------------------| | 🟢 Signal | ✅ **Short** (Active, Profitable) | | 🎯 Fisher | Oversold → **Reversal Zone** | | 📉 Volume | Declining = Potential Bear Trap | | 📏 LR Channel | Testing Macro Bull Support | | 🪓 Trump Tariffs | Pressuring Miners → Strategic Sell Risk | | 💰 Miners | May hedge or dump here before tariff damage | --- ## 🤖 Most Probable Move: Bounce or Fake Breakdown 📊 **Probability Rating:** **6.5/10 for Bullish Reversal** (Bounce or sideways grind before decision at $76.6K) **Why?** - Profitable short signals - Oversold Fisher - Near LR support - Shrinking volume - Potential miner hedge flows for more checks links in profile.
BYBIT:BTCUSD.PLong
by BitcoinMF
1
BTCUSD Bullish Reversal Setup The chart shows BTCUSD forming a rounded bottom pattern near the support zone, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. Price is currently holding above the key support area, and if momentum continues, the market could push toward the 1st target around 84,000, followed by the 2nd target near 85,500. A breakout above those levels could open the path to the 3rd target at the resistance zone around 88,000–89,000. Confirmation of the move would be stronger with a break of the neckline and continued higher highs. TP1: 84,000 — First resistance level, ideal for partial profits as price approaches local highs. TP2: 85,500 — Intermediate resistance zone, aligns with a major price reaction area. TP3: 88,800 — Near the top of the marked resistance zone, a strong level for final exit if bullish momentum continues.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
BTC/USD update on the drop!Good day traders, yesterday I posted the same set up on bitcoin and now I’ve decided I’m gonna update this setup till we hit our Daily lowest low. 1H TF yesterday before end of trading day we show price bounce off the the horizontal lines and that is used as my support area, going into the New York session we can expect price to retest the break after it breaks below the support which will than become my resistance. Hopefully today we can see price run our liquidity resting below(equal lows). My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet..#Salute
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDShort
by FxPipMaster_TebohoMatla
BTCUSD - Messy range, upside more probableBitcoin continues to navigate a messy consolidation range between $80,000 and $89,000, with the current price hovering around $84,002. This choppy price action reflects market indecision following the significant decline from the $100,000 area in late January. Despite the lack of clear direction in the short term, the higher probability move appears to be to the upside, with potential targets near the orange resistance level at $88,786. Supporting this bullish bias is the strong bounce from the March lows around $76,500 (highlighted by the blue support zone), suggesting buyers remain active at lower levels. The recent series of higher lows also indicates strengthening bullish momentum within the range. Traders should watch for a decisive break above the current congestion area, which could accelerate the move toward the upper resistance and potentially open the path for a retest of the psychological $90,000 level. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:BTCUSDLong
by financialflagship
Short The price is consolidating between 89,000 and 76,500 zone.  But  I can see another downward move to 76,500 is developing. Where I drew blue rectangular blocks and red vertical lines in the chart (Feb and March 2025) are the very similar set up as the current situation as follows: 1) The market creates the set up where it looks like the price is slowly recovering and pushes above EMA200. 2) The reverses aggressively to the downside (liquidity sweep). 3) The price consolidates in the very tight range. 4) Momentum indicators move into the bear zone.   I already have one small short position, but once RSI and MACD enter the bear zone and the price stays below VWAP (purple line drawn from the August 24 low) and also closes below the buy order block (green box), I will open another short position. Stop loss - above EMA 200 in 4H chart.  Target - 76,540
COINBASE:BTCUSDShort
by EbonyFalcon
Bitcoin Bullish Continuation Towards $128KBTC/USD | 1D Chart | April 2025 📊 Technical Analysis: Bitcoin is maintaining its bullish structure within a well-defined ascending channel. The price has bounced off the lower trendline (green), which has provided strong support multiple times (see green arrows). Currently, BTC is consolidating near $83,800, and a breakout from this zone could initiate the next impulsive move towards the midline and upper trendline resistance (~$128,000). Support Levels: ~$80,000 (trendline) Resistance Levels: ~$90,000, ~$110,000, and ~$128,000 Bullish Trigger: A confirmed breakout above $90,000 could signal strong continuation 🌍 Fundamental Analysis: Bitcoin Halving (April 2024): Historically, BTC rallies post-halving due to reduced supply. The next supply shock could fuel a rally. Institutional Demand: Spot Bitcoin ETFs continue to see record inflows, with firms like BlackRock and Fidelity accumulating BTC aggressively. Macroeconomic Factors: With inflation concerns persisting, investors are turning to Bitcoin as a hedge, pushing prices higher. 📈 Trade Idea: Entry: $84,000 (Breakout Confirmation) Stop Loss: $79,000 (Below Trendline) Target Range: $110,000 – $128,000 (Channel Resistance)
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by parraggon
1
BTC SHORT TP 82,600 04-04-2025🚨 Bitcoin is showing weakness on the lower timeframes, specifically the 1-hour and 2-hour charts, so I'm looking for a short position with a take profit (TP) set at 82,700, giving us a solid 3RR. You can start entering now and average your position as it develops. Since this analysis is based on the 1-hour timeframe, we should see results within the next 15 to 19 hours. If we run out of time, I'll keep you updated with the latest analysis! Make sure to follow me to stay in the loop and keep generating those green profits! 💰🔥
CRYPTO:BTCUSDShort
by ReyDragon21